Analysis of the latest trend of gold and precise trading strateg

Analysis of the latest trend of gold and precise trading strategies:

Core contradictions in the current market
Safe-haven support vs. dollar suppression
Gold bullish:
Trump's tariff increase on Japan and South Korea (effective on August 1) triggered market risk aversion, and US stocks fell.
The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 8 consecutive months, and long-term buying is stable.
Gold bearish:
The US dollar index rose to a one-week high (97.67), suppressing gold denominated in US dollars.
Technically, the strong resistance of $3345 has not been broken, and the bullish momentum is insufficient.

Key price breakthrough:
Break above 3345: Confirm the bullish trend, target 3380-3400.
Break below 3275: May accelerate the callback to the 3250-3230 support area.

Key technical signals
1. 4-hour level
Obvious pressure: 3345 forms a double top pressure, MACD golden cross momentum is exhausted, and if the dead cross will strengthen the callback.
Short-term support: 3280-3275 (if it falls below, look at 3250).

2. 1-hour level
Short-term bearish: The moving average is in a bearish arrangement, and the price rebounds weakly after falling below 3295.
Oversold rebound opportunity: If a long lower shadow or MACD bottom divergence appears near 3280, you can bet on short-term longs.

Today's precise trading plan
Strategy 1: Short-term rebound short (main strategy)
Entry point: 3323-3325 light position short, stop loss 3332 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Target: 3300→3280 (if it breaks below 3280, you can hold and look at 3275).
Logic: 3345 resistance is effective + strong US dollar + 1-hour moving average suppression.

Strategy 2: Short-term long on pullback (auxiliary strategy)
Entry point: 3285-3295 stabilize and then long (need K-line to close positive or MACD golden cross to confirm).
Stop loss: below 3280, target 3310-3320.
Logic: support at the lower edge of the range + risk aversion may be repeated.

Strategy 3: Breakout and follow
Break above 3345: chase long, target 3360-3380, stop loss 3330.
Break below 3275: wait and see whether the decline accelerates, do not buy against the trend.

Risk control and key tips
Strict stop loss:
Short stop loss 3332 (to prevent sudden risk aversion).
Stop loss 3280 for long orders (to avoid a weakening trend).

Data risk:
Pay attention to US PPI data and speeches by Fed officials, which may trigger fluctuations.

Position management:
No more than 5% position in a single transaction, avoid heavy positions.
Summary
Main direction during the day: Prioritize high altitude below 3345, pay attention to pressure near 3325.
Key support: 3280-3275 is the last line of defense for bulls, and it will turn to short if it falls below.
Breakthrough strategy: Follow the trend after breaking above 3345 or below 3275.