黃金現貨 / 美元
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DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance line

622
📊 Technical Analysis
● Twin rejections inside the 3 300-3 340 supply, exactly where the purple retest line and rising-channel ceiling intersect, have carved a lower high and completed a bearish flag.
● RSI confirms negative divergence and the candle body is back below the 3 284 pivot, favouring a slide toward the channel median at 3 172 and, if broken, the floor/September swing low near 3 100.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Upbeat US second-estimate GDP and stronger durable-goods orders pushed 2-yr Treasury yields above 5 %, raising gold’s carry cost, while WGC logs a sixth straight week of ETF outflows and the PBoC reportedly paused reserve buying in May.

Summary
Short below 3 300; objectives 3 172 → 3 100. Invalidate on a sustained close above 3 350.

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📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is pinned beneath the H1 descending-channel roof after a false break; the last three candles in the 3 300-3 340 supply print lower-high wicks, turning the zone’s mid-point (≈3 315) into fresh resistance.
● The intraday rising wedge that carried the bounce from 3 240 has cracked; pattern height points to the horizontal/cloned trend support at 3 200, in line with the channel’s median.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US core-PCE (0.3 % m/m) plus hawkish remarks from Fed’s Daly cut September-ease odds to <45 % (CME Watch), lifting 2-yr yields back to 5 % and extending COMEX net-spec long trimming.

Summary
Fade 3 300-3 320; wedge break targets 3 200 → 3 100. Short bias void on an H1 close above 3 350.

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