Gold has been extremely bullish for a while, consistently breaking to the upside and creating higher highs, accompanied by the formation of demand zones that were later mitigated for continuation.
The last significant move was a reaccumulation (Re-acc) phase, which revisited unmitigated demand zones. From there, we saw a bullish reaction. However, due to low year-end volume, Gold hasn't been able to break its previous high. Since then, it has been ranging in the same area.
Key Observations:
Bullish Volume Returning:
EMA Interaction:
Two Scenarios in Play:
Liquidity Trap:
My Perspective:
I remain optimistic about the bullish scenario, as the overall market context suggests a continuation of the upward trend. This is a critical area to watch, and I will monitor closely for confirmation of the next move.
The last significant move was a reaccumulation (Re-acc) phase, which revisited unmitigated demand zones. From there, we saw a bullish reaction. However, due to low year-end volume, Gold hasn't been able to break its previous high. Since then, it has been ranging in the same area.
Key Observations:
Bullish Volume Returning:
- Recently, bullish volume seems to be picking up, signaling the potential start of the next leg upward.
EMA Interaction:
- Previously, the price was "surfing" along the EMAs, demonstrating a strong trend-following behavior.
- Currently, the EMAs have tightened significantly, which often signals an impending price expansion—a strong indication that volatility and directional movement may resume soon.
Two Scenarios in Play:
- Gold may continue ranging before breaking to the upside.
- The current move may sustain and lead to a new high.
Liquidity Trap:
- The reaccumulation created a cloud of liquidity, with many traders now eyeing potential sell opportunities due to:
- The break to the downside.
- The formation of equal highs, often misinterpreted as bearish. - This could very well be a Smart Money Trap, fueling a bullish move as liquidity is taken.
My Perspective:
I remain optimistic about the bullish scenario, as the overall market context suggests a continuation of the upward trend. This is a critical area to watch, and I will monitor closely for confirmation of the next move.
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這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。