NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?

6月6日

XAUUSD – NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?
Gold enters a highly sensitive phase ahead of tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release – one of the most influential data points for global financial markets. With US-China trade tensions rekindling and sovereign debt concerns mounting in the US, the yellow metal could experience a major breakout or a sharp reversal during the New York session.

🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
US-China trade talks have resurfaced, with concerns around tariffs and strategic metals dominating headlines. China's recent stance signals it may take stronger defensive actions.

The US national debt is projected to hit $55 trillion by 2034, prompting global central banks to ramp up gold purchases as a strategic hedge.

Fed Chair Powell reiterated a “no rush to cut” stance, yet political pressure is mounting – especially with Donald Trump urging immediate rate cuts following the weakest ADP job growth in two years.

Unemployment Claims released today came in slightly better than expected (236K vs. 240K), adding fuel to speculations around a softer NFP print – potentially bullish for gold.

🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
The chart shows a clean impulsive wave structure. After hitting the resistance zone at 3408–3410, gold entered a consolidation range.

Price is currently hovering around EMA 89–200, suggesting trend divergence and uncertainty ahead of NFP.

A breakdown below the 3344–3332 support zone could push price down to the FVG (Fair Value Gap) at 3320, which may act as a strong liquidity pool for buyers.

⚠️ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance: 3380 – 3392 – 3408 – 3436

Support: 3365 – 3350 – 3344 – 3332 – 3320

🧭 TRADE SETUPS
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
Stop Loss: 3415

Take Profit: 3404 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 → 3350

🔵 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3310

Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???

✅ CONCLUSION
Gold is poised for a volatile breakout with NFP acting as the key catalyst. A soft jobs report may trigger a breakout above 3410, while stronger-than-expected numbers could fuel a bearish reversal. In this sensitive phase, traders should stick to defined zones and wait for confirmed liquidity reactions rather than chasing price impulsively.

6月7日

交易進行

Planm BUY ZONE yesterday after NONFARM profit 180 PIPS at zone 3318 to 3336