Gold's Next Big Move: Will XAUUSD Break Resistance or Crash?

Chart 1: 4-Hour Timeframe

Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a clear upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A wedge pattern is visible with converging trend lines indicating a potential breakout scenario.

Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.
Major Resistance: The upper trendline around 2480.

Recent Price Action:
The price has recently tested the lower trendline support and is currently retracing upwards.
A lower high (LH) has formed around 2480, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase.

Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If the price breaks above the 2412 resistance, it may retest the upper trendline around 2480.
Bearish: A break below the 4hr LQZ at 2348.248 could signal further downside towards the daily LQZ at 2267.320.
Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe

Trend Analysis:
A shorter-term view confirming the upward trend with higher highs and higher lows.
The formation of a wedge pattern indicates consolidation within a narrowing price range.

Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240, coinciding with the previous chart.

Recent Price Action:
Price recently bounced off the 4hr LQZ support level and is now hovering near the 2412 resistance.
The lower high (LH) indicates sellers are stepping in around the 2412 level.

Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: Breaking and closing above 2412 could lead to further upside towards 2480.
Bearish: Rejection at 2412 and a break below recent lows could target the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.
Chart 3: 15-Minute Timeframe

Trend Analysis:
Short-term consolidation observed within a wedge pattern.
Recent price action indicates potential for a breakout or breakdown from this pattern.

Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.

Recent Price Action:
Price is consolidating just below the 2412 resistance level, forming a wedge pattern.
The 15-minute timeframe shows the price struggling to break above 2412.

Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: A breakout above the wedge and 2412 resistance could lead to a quick move towards 2480.
Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge could revisit the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.

Conclusion
The overall trend across multiple timeframes remains bullish with key resistance at 2412 and significant support at 2348.248. A break above 2412 could signal further upside towards 2480, while a failure to break and sustain above this level may lead to consolidation or a pullback to the 4hr LQZ support. Monitoring price action around these key levels will provide insights into the next directional move.
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