Question we have to ask ourselves is if Bitcoin has enough sole momentum to surge up through the 100 Day SMA to challenge the 200 Day SMA. In my opinion, this is unlikely but we might see 1-3 partial candle break through, only to get dumped on Wednesday.
We have now seen the bull trap but if we see a significant dovish turn from the fed, I would be willing to turn 180 degrees on my bearish outlook.