Fibonacci
Ebay Wave Analysis – 2 October 2025
- Ebay reversed from support level 87,50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 94.20
Ebay recently reversed up from the support area between the support level 87,50 (low of the previous wave A from the start of September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The support level 87,50 was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse 5 from June and by the support trendline from April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Ebay can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 94.20 (which stopped earlier waves B and ii).
BTC: New ATH or One More Correction? The 78.6% Level DecidesIn every great story, there is a final challenge before the ultimate prize. For Bitcoin, that moment is now. The price is approaching the last major line of resistance that stands between the current price and a new All-Time High. This analysis breaks down that critical level and the tactical, counter-trend opportunity it may present.
Bitcoin is continuing its uptrend after the correction to the 61.8% Fib level, which I showed in the trade idea " Bitcoin's Tumble: How Deep Does the Rabbit Hole Go? ", and is now approaching a very important level that will determine whether a new ATH will be formed or if the asset will correct further before that.
This is the 78.6% Fib level - the last resistance level from which a short can be considered.
Conditions for the Short Setup:
🔑 POI: 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement Level
🔎 ENTRY CONDITIONS: The price must find acceptance below the 78.6% level. Since this is a daily structure, this may require daily candle bodies closing below the level for confirmation.
🎯 MINIMUM TARGET: Bullish Daily Order Block below.
❌ INVALIDATION: A confirmed break and hold above the 78.6% level. A break here would signal a probable move to a new ATH.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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CIFR Bullish on Daily1. Trend Structure
The stock is currently in a bullish market structure, as confirmed by the recent break above the last Higher High (HH).
Before this breakout, the price retraced neatly to the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 10.86, respecting the shallow retracement zone typical of strong bullish trends.
This indicates strong buyers’ presence and confirms that the correction phase is complete.
2. Fibonacci Confluence
Swing Low to Swing High: The 0.382 retracement level around 10.86 acted as a demand zone.
Price not only respected this level but also used it as a springboard for continuation, increasing the probability that the bullish leg is sustainable.
The fact that the stock broke past the last higher high post retracement strengthens the continuation thesis.
3. AB=CD Harmonic Projection
The ABCD pattern is playing out, and the completion zone projects a target at 22.00.
Harmonic traders often consider this a measured move extension, aligning with Fibonacci expansion levels (typically the 1.272 or 1.618 extension of the prior swing).
This level coincides with the next psychological resistance area, making it a valid target.
4. Trade Setup
Entry: Current Market Price (CMP) at 15.76
Stop Loss: Below 10.86 (0.382 Fib retracement / last HL). Conservative traders may keep a tighter SL just under the recent HL instead of the full fib retracement to optimize risk.
Target Price: 22.00 (ABCD projection completion zone).
$SNAP — Early Reversal WatchSNAP pulled back into the 0.618–0.786 Fib zone and tapped the 200 EMA before bouncing. We now see price reclaiming above the short EMAs (8/21), signaling early reversal momentum.
✅ Entry trigger: Close above the 200 EMA
🎯 Targets: Fib 1.0, 1.272, and 1.618
⛔ Stop: Just below the recent swing low (0 Fib)
This fits my playbook setup — early reversal long @ 200 EMA with Fib confluence. Definitely worth watching as a potential swing setup.
BNBUSDT preparing for major upside RallyBNBUSDT has broken out of a major bullish structure and has since transitioned into a well defined ascending wedge, suggesting the development of an extended Wave 3 within an impulsive Elliott sequence.
Price is currently progressing toward the projected Wave 3 target around $935, a level that also coincides with a significant historical supply zone. Once reached, this area may trigger a sharp corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 4.
Should this correction hold above key structural support, the final impulsive leg toward the $1,613 region is expected to complete the ongoing trading cycle for BNB.
We invite you to share your perspective in the comments and revisit our earlier BNB analysis linked below for broader context on this setup.
Solana SOL price analysis📞 Rumor has it that as soon as the global geopolitics reach a “temporary lull”, the following ETFs will be launched
Solana ETF is the most likely to be the next one (but there are at least 2 coins more on the list, which we will talk about in the coming days)
🪙 So, are you ready to buy CRYPTOCAP:SOL in your investment portfolio? For example, in the range of $117-123
🤖 Maybe we need to launch a long trading bot OKX:SOLUSDT so that it can buy in micro portions on the current possible price correction to get a “tasty price” as a result
◆ Would you like to join such a trading bot and copy them?
◆ And then compare the results with all “ETF candidates”
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Gold Eyes $3,890 Resistance After Strong ReboundGold erased Thursday’s drop and climbed back to the $3,890/oz region during Friday’s session.
Weaker USD after U.S. data,
Mixed U.S. bond yields,
And rising uncertainty over the potential U.S. government shutdown
→ All boosted safe-haven demand and pushed XAU/USD higher.
But the $3,890 – $3,895 resistance zone remains the key barrier in the short term.
📐 Technical Outlook (FiboMatrix Zones)
🔴 Resistance / Sell Zone
$3,890 – $3,895 → Strong rejection area.
🟢 Support / Buy Zones
$3,870 – $3,868 → Intraday support, trendline retest.
$3,852 – $3,850 → Strong demand zone, aligned with Fibo 0.618.
$3,835 – $3,830 → Deeper liquidity zone, long-term buy interest.
📊 Trade Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Short-Term Scalps
Entry: $3,890 – $3,895
Targets: $3,870 → $3,852
Stop Loss: Above $3,900
2️⃣ BUY on Pullback
Entry: $3,852 – $3,850
Targets: $3,880 → $3,890+
Stop Loss: Below $3,842
3️⃣ BUY Strategic Setup (Swing)
Entry: $3,835 – $3,830
Targets: $3,890 → $3,900
Stop Loss: Below $3,820
⚡ Key Notes
Watch USD moves & political headlines in the U.S. – they will drive volatility.
BUY setups at major support zones remain more favorable.
SELL only for scalpers with strict risk management.
💬 What do you think traders? Will Gold break through $3,890 to hit $3,900, or pull back deeper before the next rally?
👇 Share your setups below!
FLT LongVolatus Aerospace – Momentum + Structure Play
Entry: Took position on 15m CCI cross as price reclaimed short-term structure and broke above key moving averages.
Stop: Trailing stop managed manually behind weekly HK candles, trailing by two weeks to let trend breathe.
Profit Plan:
• 1/3 at +10% to book early strength.
• 1/3 at Fib 0.382 (~$1.04).
• Final 1/3 at Fib 0.50 (~$1.33) for the bigger swing.
Re-Entry: Will look to scale back in on clean pullbacks/consolidations if longer-term structure stays intact.
Why I like it:
Volatus has broken a multi-year downtrend base with expanding volume. Integrated drone & aerial solutions give it a moat in a growing niche. Technicals are aligning across multiple timeframes — this is my style of “early confirmation with room to run.”
EURUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown SetupSell Opportunity Ahead? Watch the E Wave!
📉 Wedge Pattern in Play — Price is respecting a clear wedge formation (ABCDE), hinting at a potential bearish breakout.
📍 Key Levels:
New High: 1.17543
Sell Stop: 1.17426
Target Zone: 1.17213 – 1.17058
🔴 Possible Fakeout Trap before breakdown.
🧠 Bias: Wait for E point rejection & confirmation candle to sell.
🕒 1H Chart | Structure + Order Flow-Based Setup
💬 Let me know in the comments:
➡️ Are you trading this wedge?
➡️ Do you use wave patterns like this?
#forex #EURUSD #wedgepattern #priceaction #forextrader #elliottwave #smartmoney #forexsetup #tradingsignal #bearishsetup #tradingview
TSLA eyes on $409.56: Golden Genesis fib to hold "High Ground"TSLA has been surging based on various news.
Now retracing towards a Genesis fib at $409.56
Clean bounce would indicate very strong trend.
Golden Genesis fibs are important milestones.
High gravity fibs can capture price into orbit.
Expect consolidation around it then sling shot.
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Previous analysis that caught a PERFECT BOTTOM:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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CESC on Fire - Strong Momentum Building !CESC Daily Timeframe Analysis
CESC is sustaining above its Law of Polarity (LOP) after a breakout.
The stock has successfully retested the LOP and is showing strength.
This level also aligns with the Golden Ratio Zone of Fibonacci Retracement, representing a strong support zone around 159–162.
Potential Upside Target: 172–175.
If the support zone sustains, we may see higher prices in CESC.
Thank you!
GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth. Trigger 3863FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3837.8 - 3863.7, preparing for its seventh consecutive week in positive territory. Despite a correction from a record high of $3897, the metal remains supported by a combination of the Fed's dovish policy and geopolitical risks.
Key supporting factors: Expectations of Fed easing: Dovish sentiment continues to fuel interest in gold. Geopolitical tensions and tougher G7 sanctions against Russia. The ongoing shutdown is delaying the release of US data, increasing uncertainty.
Important: If markets ignore the shutdown, gold may face a correction.
US services data (ISM Services PMI) and Fed speeches: May adjust rate expectations.
Resistance levels: 3863.7, 3900
Support levels: 3853, 3837, 3825
Focus on the current consolidation range of 3863 - 3837. Before attempting a breakout, a retest of support may form within the consolidation. The trend remains bullish, as does the sentiment at the moment.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/JPY Pair Outlook!During this week, several economic data releases and news developments had an impact on the EUR/JPY pair. The most notable were:
- On Wednesday, October 1, the Eurozone’s annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 2.2%, the highest since May 2025, and above expectations of 2.0% for the fourth consecutive month. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde downplayed concerns over the latest figure, noting it was a natural outcome of recent tariff measures. Still, if the Eurozone records two consecutive higher readings, concerns about a possible return of inflation could resurface.
- Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda kept markets on edge by avoiding clear signals regarding a potential rate hike at this month’s meeting. In his speech in Osaka, he emphasized that the BOJ would continue raising rates if its economic and price outlook holds, while also warning about global uncertainties, particularly U.S. labor market weakness and the impact of U.S. tariffs on Japanese corporate profits. His cautious tone pushed the yen lower against the dollar, with markets increasingly expecting a possible rate hike in December rather than October.
Technical Outlook on EUR/JPY
The EUR/JPY pair remains in a broader downtrend on the 4-hour chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. The current rebound is seen as corrective, with resistance around 173.562, which aligns with the 78% Fibonacci retracement from the last swing high to the recent low. The medium-term target stands at 172.670.
The bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 173.915 and confirms a 4-hour candle close above this level.
SOLANA → Retracement for consolidation before growth to 250.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounces off trend support, forms a reversal pattern, and enters a distribution phase, during which it updates its maximum but encounters strong resistance. What's next?
Bitcoin breaks through resistance, updating its maximum and opening up a new chance for growth for altcoins. Correction and retesting of support in the market may end with continued growth.
SOL is testing resistance at 231.5. The rally has temporarily stalled, and a correction is forming, during which the market may test the break-even and imbalance zone before returning to growth. It is worth keeping an eye on Bitcoin, as a resumption of growth by the flagship will support the growth of altcoins.
Resistance levels: 231.5, 235, 250
Support levels: 218, 205
A false breakout of 231.5 is provoking a pullback. It is necessary to monitor the further halt in price. I expect a retest of 220-218 before the price returns to growth.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
XRPUSDT: double bottom and waiting for a breakoutOn the 4H chart, XRPUSDT is shaping a double bottom around the 1.00 level, and the price is now approaching the key resistance area at 3.14–3.32. A breakout above this zone would be a strong confirmation that the bearish phase is losing momentum.
Technically, the scenario suggests a breakout above 3.14, followed by a retest, and then continuation toward 3.32 and 3.57. This fits the classic pattern where accumulation turns into momentum-driven buying.
From a fundamental perspective, XRP still draws attention thanks to Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC and the use of the token in cross-border transactions. Positive headlines can accelerate the rally, though broader crypto market corrections or regulatory pressure could put the brakes on growth.
This is exactly the kind of setup where expectations and reality may diverge. The structure looks bullish, but without a confirmed breakout, the market can easily roll back. Better to wait for confirmation and trade with discipline.
Ethereum: Bulls in Control, But Time for a BreatherIn my previous ETH analysis, I pointed out the high probability of a false breakdown under the 4100 technical support and the 4000 psychological level.
The reasoning was simple: during the strong bull leg from 1350 to 4900 (since April), ETH had already shown this type of price action twice.
That call proved correct. ETH reversed higher, hit my 4400 target, and even pushed further, printing highs close to 4600.
Now, after a nearly 15% rise since last Friday, the market may be due for a pause — a chance to consolidate or correct part of the gains.
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Technical View
• Support: 4300 is the key level. As long as this holds, bulls remain in control.
• Resistance: Immediate pressure sits near 4600, the recent top.
• Structure: The trend remains strong and healthy, but after such a rapid move, short-term cooling is normal.
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Trading Plan
The strategy remains simple: buy dips against 4300.
As long as that support is intact, ETH’s bull case stays firmly alive. 🚀