$QCOM: Stock Rises 7% But Bearish Signals Build — Prior Settlement Still Haunts
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Court: S.D. California
Case: 3:17-cv-00121
Qualcomm 
QCOM has seen a 7% recent uptick, but technical indicators paint a far weaker picture. Analysts remain split on the stock’s outlook, with concerns over tariffs, rare earth supply risks, and rising AI chip competition from new entrants. Despite healthy fundamentals and margins, institutional money flows are cautious, and short-term chart patterns point to growing bearish momentum. Adding to investor caution, Qualcomm continues to carry the shadow of a past settlement tied to anticompetitive practices and financial reporting issues.
Key Highlights
- Stock Performance: +7.01% recent rise, but facing 3 bearish signals vs. 1 bullish.
- Technical Score: 2.57, showing high correction risk (WR Overbought, MACD Golden Cross, Marubozu White).
- Analyst Outlook: Mixed — weighted rating 1.88 vs. average score of 4.00.
- Fundamentals: Net profit growth +17.65% YoY, gross margin 55.03%, positive operating cash flow.
- Market Risks: Tariffs, rare earth supply pressures, and intensifying global AI chip competition.
- Flows: Institutional inflows remain weak (ratio 0.38), signaling big-money caution.
- Timeline OverviewJan 17, 2017 — FTC filed complaint alleging Qualcomm’s anticompetitive licensing practices.Jan 18, 2017 — Media exposed overcharging and exclusivity deals.Jan 19, 2017 — QCOM plunged 18.3%.Jan 23, 2017 — Investors filed lawsuit.
- Allegations IncludeOvercharging manufacturers for licenses.Refusing sales without restrictive agreements.Offering exclusive royalty discounts to Apple.Breaching FRAND licensing obligations.
- Investor UpdateSettlement resolved investor claims tied to anticompetitive conduct and weak reporting controls.While litigation closed, Qualcomm’s regulatory and antitrust exposure remains part of the long-term risk profile.Investors continue to weigh governance history alongside near-term technical weakness.
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