🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin's Stock to Flow Ratio

2019年5月5日

🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin's Stock to Flow Ratio by Cryptorhythms

Intro

What is a stock to flow ratio and why is it important? The stock-to-flow ratio of a commodity is the amount of the asset that is held in reserves divided by the amount produced every year.

The higher the stock-to-flow ratio the reduced inflation occurs on the asset annually. Commodities with a higher stock-to-flow ratio are preferred for their scarcity.

How does it relate to Bitcoin?

Today, Bitcoin has a considerable lower stock-to-flow ratio than gold and this is where the opportunity presents itself. Bitcoin’s software has a core component cooked into the protocol in the form of an event called “the halvening”

‘The halving’ is an event that happens every 210,000 blocks or roughly every 4 years where the block reward given to the miners for securing the network gets halved. For example in 2009 the block reward was 50 BTC and today in 2019 it currently sits at 12.5 BTC with the ETA for next halving happening on Mon, 25 May 2020 which will take reward down to 6.25 BTC.

The idea that Bitcoin is the first ever truly verifiable, non-confiscatable fixed asset to exist is an extremely powerful concept. Without its strong and non-inflatable monetary policy Bitcoin would have a futile attempt of being able to disrupt gold and even accrue value in the first place.

Over the next several decades we will see Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow ratio increase significantly into never before seen water. No other asset will have anywhere near the scarcity of bitcoin.
With the incredible influx of talent coming into the industry to build out the infrastructure (custodial, ETF’s, futures) needed to allow legacy financial institutions to dip their toes in the soon smooth and regulated crypto asset waters. The next few years will be very interesting.

You might say "where will all this capital come from to propel bitcoin to new all time highs?"

1. Well asteroid mining is coming which could well eliminate golds scarcity. Your garden variety metallic asteroid could contain as much gold as half the gold humanity has ever mined!
2. Countries/economies with negative interest rate monetary policy and /or heavy quantitative easing. Their currency supply and debt just keep increasing...
3. Countries looking for ways around the USD dominated and US controlled financial systems (Iran, Russia, Venezuela, North Korea, etc)
4. There's tons more I just wanted to highlight a few.

Usage
You can compare Bitcoin with various other precious metals and commodities from the settings panel. I suggest a logarithmic scale for this indicator, other wise most assets are clumped at the bottom:


There's also plots for the forecasted (estimated) SFR ratios after the 2020 and 2024 Halvings.

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