Kalman PSaR [BackQuant]Kalman PSaR
Overview and Innovation
The Kalman PSaR combines the well-known Parabolic SAR (PSaR) with the advanced smoothing capabilities of the Kalman Filter . This innovative tool aims to enhance the traditional PSaR by integrating Kalman filtering, which reduces noise and improves trend detection. The Kalman PSaR adapts dynamically to price movements, making it a highly effective indicator for spotting trend shifts while minimizing the impact of false signals caused by market volatility.
Please Find the Basic Kalman Here:
Kalman Filter Dynamics
The Kalman Filter is a powerful algorithm for estimating the true value of a system amidst noisy data. In the Kalman PSaR, this filter is applied to the high, low, and closing prices, resulting in a smoother and more accurate representation of price action. The filter’s parameters—process noise and measurement noise—are customizable, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to market conditions. By reducing the impact of noise, the Kalman-filtered PSaR offers clearer signals for identifying trend reversals and continuations.
Enhanced PSaR Calculation
The traditional Parabolic SAR is a popular trend-following indicator that highlights potential entry and exit points based on price acceleration. In the Kalman PSaR, this calculation is enhanced by the Kalman-filtered prices, providing a smoother and more reliable signal. The indicator continuously updates based on the acceleration factor and max step values, while the Kalman filter ensures that sudden price spikes or market noise do not trigger false signals.
Min Step and Max Step: These settings control the sensitivity of the PSaR. The Min Step sets the initial acceleration factor, while the Max Step limits how fast the PSaR adapts to price changes, helping traders fine-tune the indicator’s responsiveness.
Optional Smoothing Techniques To further enhance the signal clarity, the Kalman PSaR includes an optional smoothing feature. Traders can choose from various smoothing methods, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, WMA, TEMA, and more, to reduce short-term fluctuations and emphasize the underlying trend. The smoothing period is customizable, allowing traders to adjust the indicator’s behavior according to their preferred trading style and timeframe.
Color-Coded Candle Painting The Kalman PSaR features color-coded candles that change according to the trend direction. When the price is above the PSaR, candles are painted green to indicate a long trend, and when the price is below the PSaR, candles are painted red to signal a short trend. This visual representation makes it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance, improving decision-making speed during fast-moving markets.
Key Features and Customization
Kalman Filter Customization: The process noise and measurement noise parameters allow traders to adjust how aggressively the filter adapts to price changes, making it suitable for both volatile and stable markets.
Smoothing Options: A variety of moving average types, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, and more, can be applied to smooth the PSaR values, ensuring that the signal remains clear even in choppy markets.
Dynamic Trend Detection: The Kalman PSaR dynamically updates based on price movements, helping traders spot trend reversals early while filtering out false signals caused by short-term volatility.
Bar Coloring and PSaR Plotting: Traders can choose to color candles based on trend direction or plot the PSaR directly on the chart for additional visual clarity.
Practical Applications
Trend-Following Strategies: The Kalman PSaR excels in trend-following strategies by providing timely signals of trend changes. The dynamic nature of the indicator allows traders to capture significant price movements while avoiding market noise.
Reversal Identification: The indicator’s ability to filter out noise and provide smoother signals makes it ideal for identifying reversals in volatile markets.
Risk Management: By plotting clear stop levels based on the PSaR, traders can use this indicator to effectively manage risk, placing stop-loss orders at key points based on the trend direction.
Conclusion
The Kalman PSaR is a fusion of the classic Parabolic SAR and the Kalman filter, offering enhanced trend detection with reduced noise. Its customizable filtering and smoothing options, combined with dynamic trend-following capabilities, make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to improve their timing and signal accuracy. The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter, combined with the robust PSaR logic, helps traders stay on the right side of the market and manage risk more effectively.
Adaptive
DEMA Adaptive DMI [BackQuant]DEMA Adaptive DMI
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The DEMA Adaptive DMI blends the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Directional Movement Index (DMI) to offer a unique approach to trend-following. By applying DEMA to the high and low prices, this indicator refines the traditional DMI calculation, enhancing its responsiveness to price changes. This results in a more adaptive and timely measure of market trends and momentum, providing traders with a more refined tool for capturing directional movements in the market.
Technical Composition and Calculation
At its core, the DEMA Adaptive DMI calculates the DEMA for both the high and low prices over a user-defined period. This dual application of DEMA serves to smooth out price fluctuations while retaining sensitivity to market movements. The DMI is then derived from the changes in these DEMA values, producing a set of plus and minus directional indicators that reflect the prevailing trend. Additionally, an Average Directional Index (ADX) is computed to measure the strength of the trend, with the entire process being dynamically adjusted based on the DEMA calculations.
DEMA Application:
The DEMA is applied to both high and low prices to reduce lag and provide a smoother representation of price action.
Directional Movement Calculation: The DMI is calculated using the smoothed price changes, resulting in plus and minus indicators that accurately reflect market trends.
ADX Calculation:
The ADX is computed to quantify the strength of the trend, offering traders insight into whether the market is trending strongly or is in a phase of consolidation.
Features and User Inputs The DEMA Adaptive DMI offers a range of customizable options to suit different trading styles and market conditions:
DEMA Calculation Period: Users can set the period for the DEMA calculation, allowing for adjustments based on the desired sensitivity.
DMI Length: The length of the DMI calculation can be adjusted, providing flexibility in how trends are measured.
ADX Smoothing Period: The smoothing period for the ADX can be customized to fine-tune the trend strength measurement.
Divergence Detection: Optional divergence detection features allow traders to spot potential reversals based on the DMI and price action.
Visualization options include static high and low levels to mark extreme DMI thresholds, the ability to color bars according to trend direction, and background hues to highlight overbought and oversold conditions.
Practical Applications
The DEMA Adaptive DMI is particularly effective in markets where trend strength and direction are crucial for successful trading. Traders can leverage this indicator to:
Identify Trend Reversals:
Detect potential trend reversals by monitoring the DMI and ADX in conjunction with divergence signals.
Trend Confirmation:
Use the DEMA-based DMI to confirm the strength and direction of a trend, aiding in the timing of entries and exits.
Strategic Positioning:
The indicator's responsiveness allows traders to position themselves effectively in fast-moving markets, reducing the risk of late entries or exits.
Advantages and Strategic Value
By integrating the DEMA with the DMI, this indicator provides a more adaptive and timely measure of market trends. The reduced lag from the DEMA ensures that traders receive signals that are closely aligned with current market conditions, while the dynamic DMI calculation offers a more accurate representation of trend direction and strength. This makes the DEMA Adaptive DMI a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their trend-following strategies with a focus on precision and adaptability.
Summary and Usage Tips
The DEMA Adaptive DMI is a sophisticated trend-following indicator that combines the benefits of DEMA and DMI into a single, powerful tool. Traders are encouraged to incorporate this indicator into their trading systems for a more nuanced and responsive approach to trend detection and confirmation. Whether used for identifying trend reversals, confirming trend strength, or strategically positioning in the market, the DEMA Adaptive DMI offers a versatile and reliable solution for trend-following strategies.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Efficiency Weighted OrderFlow [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Efficiency Weighted Orderflow Indicator by AlgoAlpha! 📈✨
Elevate your trading game with our cutting-edge Efficiency Weighted Orderflow Indicator, designed to provide clear insights into market trends and potential reversals. This tool is perfect for traders seeking to understand the underlying market dynamics through efficiency-weighted volume calculations.
🌟 Key Features 🌟
✨ Smooth OrderFlow Calculation : Option to smooth order flow data for more consistent signals.
🔧 Customizable Parameters : Adjust the Order Flow Period and HMA Smoothing Length to fit your trading strategy.
🔍 Visual Clarity : Easily distinguish between bullish and bearish trends with customizable colors.
📊 Standard Deviation Normalization : Keeps order flow values normalized for better comparison across different market conditions.
🔔 Trend Reversal Alerts : Stay ahead with built-in alert conditions for significant order flow changes.
🚀 Quick Guide to Using the Efficiency Weighted Orderflow Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator: Search for "Efficiency Weighted Orderflow " in TradingView's Indicators & Strategies. Customize settings like smoothing and order flow period to fit your trading style.
📊 Market Analysis: Watch for trend reversal alerts to capture trading opportunities by studying the behaviour of the indicator.
🔔 Alerts: Enable notifications for significant order flow changes to stay updated on market trends.
🔍 How It Works
The Efficiency Weighted Orderflow Indicator starts by calculating the efficiency of price movements using the absolute difference between the close and open prices, divided by volume. The order flow is then computed by summing these efficiency-weighted volumes over a specified period, with an option to apply Hull Moving Average (HMA) smoothing for enhanced signal stability. To ensure robust comparison, the order flow is normalized using standard deviation. The indicator plots these values as columns, with distinct colors representing bullish and bearish trends. Customizable parameters for period length and smoothing allow traders to tailor the indicator to their strategies. Additionally, visual cues and alert conditions for trend reversals and significant order flow changes keep traders informed and ready to act. This indicator improves on the Orderflow aspect of our Standardized Orderflow indicator. The Efficiency Weighted Orderflow is less susceptible to noise and is also quicker at detecting trend changes.
Log Regression Channel [UAlgo]The "Log Regression Channel " channel is useful for analyzing price trends and volatility in a financial instrument over a specified period. By using logarithmic scaling, this indicator can more effectively handle the wide range of price movements seen in many financial markets, making it particularly valuable for assets with exponential growth characteristics.
The indicator plots the central regression line along with upper and lower deviation bands, providing a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels.
🔶 Key Features
Logarithmic Regression Line: The central line represents the logarithmic regression, which fits the price data over the specified length using a logarithmic scale. This helps in identifying the overall trend direction.
Deviation Bands: The upper and lower bands are plotted at a specified multiple of the standard deviation from the regression line, highlighting areas of potential overbought and oversold conditions.
Customizable Parameters: Users can adjust the length of the regression, the deviation multiplier, the color of the labels, and the size of the text labels to suit their preferences.
R-Squared Display: The R-squared value, which measures the goodness of fit of the regression model, is displayed on the chart. This helps traders assess the reliability of the regression line.
🔶 Calculations
The indicator performs several key calculations to plot the logarithmic regression channel:
Logarithmic Transformation: The prices and time indices are transformed using the natural logarithm to handle exponential growth in price data.
Regression Coefficients: The slope and intercept of the regression line are calculated using the least squares method on the transformed data.
Predicted Values: The regression equation is used to calculate predicted values for each data point.
Standard Deviation: The standard deviation of the residuals (differences between actual and predicted values) is computed to determine the width of the deviation bands.
Deviation Bands: Upper and lower bands are plotted at a specified multiple of the standard deviation above and below the regression line.
R-Squared Value: The R-squared value is calculated to measure how well the regression line fits the data. This value is displayed on the chart to inform the user of the model's reliability.
🔶 Disclaimer
The "Log Regression Channel " indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own research.
Fourier Adjusted Average True Range [BackQuant]Fourier Adjusted Average True Range
1. Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The FA-ATR leverages the principles of Fourier analysis to dissect market prices into their constituent cyclical components. By applying Fourier Transform to the price data, the FA-ATR captures the dominant cycles and trends which are often obscured in noisy market data. This integration allows the FA-ATR to adapt its readings based on underlying market dynamics, offering a refined view of volatility that is sensitive to both market direction and momentum.
2. Technical Composition and Calculation
The core of the FA-ATR involves calculating the traditional ATR, which measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of price movements. The FA-ATR extends this by incorporating a Fourier Transform of price data to assess cyclical patterns over a user-defined period 'N'. This process synthesizes both the magnitude of price changes and their rhythmic occurrences, resulting in a more comprehensive volatility indicator.
Fourier Transform Application: The Fourier series is calculated using price data to identify the fundamental frequency of market movements. This frequency helps in adjusting the ATR to reflect more accurately the current market conditions.
Dynamic Adjustment: The ATR is then adjusted by the magnitude of the dominant cycle from the Fourier analysis, enhancing or reducing the ATR value based on the intensity and phase of market cycles.
3. Features and User Inputs
Customizability: Traders can modify the Fourier period, ATR period, and the multiplication factor to suit different trading styles and market environments.
Visualization : The FA-ATR can be plotted directly on the chart, providing a visual representation of volatility. Additionally, the option to paint candles according to the trend direction enhances the usability and interpretative ease of the indicator.
Confluence with Moving Averages: Optionally, a moving average of the FA-ATR can be displayed, serving as a confluence factor for confirming trends or potential reversals.
4. Practical Applications
The FA-ATR is particularly useful in markets characterized by periodic fluctuations or those that exhibit strong cyclical trends. Traders can utilize this indicator to:
Adjust Stop-Loss Orders: More accurately set stop-loss orders based on a volatility measure that accounts for cyclical market changes.
Trend Confirmation: Use the FA-ATR to confirm trend strength and sustainability, helping to avoid false signals often encountered in volatile markets.
Strategic Entry and Exit: The indicator's responsiveness to changing market dynamics makes it an excellent tool for planning entries and exits in a trend-following or a breakout trading strategy.
5. Advantages and Strategic Value
By integrating Fourier analysis, the FA-ATR provides a volatility measure that is both adaptive and anticipatory, giving traders a forward-looking tool that adjusts to changes before they become apparent through traditional indicators. This anticipatory feature makes it an invaluable asset for traders looking to gain an edge in fast-paced and rapidly changing market conditions.
6. Summary and Usage Tips
The Fourier Adjusted Average True Range is a cutting-edge development in technical analysis, offering traders an enhanced tool for assessing market volatility with increased accuracy and responsiveness. Its ability to adapt to the market's cyclical nature makes it particularly useful for those trading in highly volatile or cyclically influenced markets.
Traders are encouraged to integrate the FA-ATR into their trading systems as a supplementary tool to improve risk management and decision-making accuracy, thereby potentially increasing the effectiveness of their trading strategies.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman Hull RSI [BackQuant]Kalman Hull RSI
At its core, this indicator uses a Kalman filter of price, put inside of a hull moving average function (replacing the weighted moving averages) and then using that as a price source for the the RSI, very similar to the Kalman Hull Supertrend just processing price for a different indicator.
This also allows it to make it more adaptive to price and also sensitive to recent price action. This indicator is also mainly built for trend-following systems
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
1. What is a Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is an algorithm renowned for its efficiency in estimating the states of a linear dynamic system amidst noisy data. It excels in real-time data processing, making it indispensable in fields requiring precise and adaptive filtering, such as aerospace, robotics, and financial market analysis. By leveraging its predictive capabilities, traders can significantly enhance their market analysis, particularly in estimating price movements more accurately.
If you would like this on its own, with a more in-depth description please see our Kalman Price Filter.
OR our Kalman Hull Supertrend
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA) and Its Core Calculation
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) improves on traditional moving averages by combining the Weighted Moving Average's (WMA) smoothness and reduced lag. Its core calculation involves taking the WMA of the data set and doubling it, then subtracting the WMA of the full period, followed by applying another WMA on the result over the square root of the period's length. This methodology yields a smoother and more responsive moving average, particularly useful for identifying market trends more rapidly.
3. Combining Kalman Filter with HMA
The innovative combination of the Kalman Filter with the Hull Moving Average (KHMA) offers a unique approach to smoothing price data. By applying the Kalman Filter to the price source before its incorporation into the HMA formula, we enhance the adaptiveness and responsiveness of the moving average. This adaptive smoothing method reduces noise more effectively and adjusts more swiftly to price changes, providing traders with clearer signals for market entries or exits.
The calculation is like so:
KHMA(_src, _length) =>
f_kalman(2 * f_kalman(_src, _length / 2) - f_kalman(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length)))
Use Case
The Kalman Hull RSI is particularly suited for traders who require a highly adaptive indicator that can respond to rapid market changes without the excessive noise associated with typical RSI calculations. It can be effectively used in markets with high volatility where traditional indicators might lag or produce misleading signals.
Application in a Trading System
The Kalman Hull RSI is versatile in application, suitable for:
Trend Identification: Quickly identify potential reversals or confirmations of existing trends.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Utilize the dynamic RSI thresholds to pinpoint potential entry and exit points, adapting to current market conditions.
Risk Management: Enhance trading strategies by integrating a more reliable measure of momentum, which can lead to improved stop-loss placements and exit strategies.
Core Calculations and Benefits
Dynamic State Estimation: By applying the Kalman Filter, the indicator continually adjusts its calculations based on incoming price data, providing a real-time, smoothed response to price movements.
Reduced Lag: The integration with HMA significantly reduces lag, offering quicker responses to price changes than traditional moving averages or RSI alone.
Increased Accuracy: The dual filtering effect minimizes the impact of price spikes and noise, leading to more accurate signaling for trades.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA [BackQuant]Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA
The Volatility Adjusted Weighted Double Exponential Moving Average (VAWDEMA) by BackQuant is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders seeking to integrate volatility into their moving average calculations. This innovative indicator adjusts the weighting of the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) according to recent volatility levels, offering a more dynamic and responsive measure of market trends.
Primarily, the single Moving average is very noisy, but can be used in the context of strategy development, where as the crossover, is best used in the context of defining a trading zone/ macro uptrend on higher timeframes.
Why Volatility Adjustment is Beneficial
Volatility is a fundamental aspect of financial markets, reflecting the intensity of price changes. A volatility adjustment in moving averages is beneficial because it allows the indicator to adapt more quickly during periods of high volatility, providing signals that are more aligned with the current market conditions. This makes the VAWDEMA a versatile tool for identifying trend strength and potential reversal points in more volatile markets.
Understanding DEMA and Its Advantages
DEMA is an indicator that aims to reduce the lag associated with traditional moving averages by applying a double smoothing process. The primary benefit of DEMA is its sensitivity and quicker response to price changes, making it an excellent tool for trend following and momentum trading. Incorporating DEMA into your analysis can help capture trends earlier than with simple moving averages.
The Power of Combining Volatility Adjustment with DEMA
By adjusting the weight of the DEMA based on volatility, the VAWDEMA becomes a powerful hybrid indicator. This combination leverages the quick responsiveness of DEMA while dynamically adjusting its sensitivity based on current market volatility. This results in a moving average that is both swift and adaptive, capable of providing more relevant signals for entering and exiting trades.
Core Logic Behind VAWDEMA
The core logic of the VAWDEMA involves calculating the DEMA for a specified period and then adjusting its weighting based on a volatility measure, such as the average true range (ATR) or standard deviation of price changes. This results in a weighted DEMA that reflects both the direction and the volatility of the market, offering insights into potential trend continuations or reversals.
Utilizing the Crossover in a Trading System
The VAWDEMA crossover occurs when two VAWDEMAs of different lengths cross, signaling potential bullish or bearish market conditions. In a trading system, a crossover can be used as a trigger for entry or exit points:
Bullish Signal: When a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses above a longer-period VAWDEMA, it may indicate an uptrend, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
Bearish Signal: Conversely, when a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses below a longer-period VAWDEMA, it might signal a downtrend, indicating a possible exit point or a short entry.
Incorporating VAWDEMA crossovers into a trading strategy can enhance decision-making by providing timely and adaptive signals that account for both trend direction and market volatility. Traders should combine these signals with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques to develop a well-rounded trading strategy.
Alert Conditions For Trading
alertcondition(vwdema>vwdema , title="VWDEMA Long", message="VWDEMA Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(vwdema<vwdema , title="VWDEMA Short", message="VWDEMA Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossover(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Long", message="VWDEMA Crossover Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossunder(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Short", message="VWDEMA Crossover Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman Hull Supertrend [BackQuant]Kalman Hull Supertrend
At its core, this indicator uses a Kalman filter of price, put inside of a hull moving average function (replacing the weighted moving averages) and then using that as a price source for the supertrend instead of the normal hl2 (high+low/2).
Therefore, making it more adaptive to price and also sensitive to recent price action.
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
1. What is a Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is an algorithm renowned for its efficiency in estimating the states of a linear dynamic system amidst noisy data. It excels in real-time data processing, making it indispensable in fields requiring precise and adaptive filtering, such as aerospace, robotics, and financial market analysis. By leveraging its predictive capabilities, traders can significantly enhance their market analysis, particularly in estimating price movements more accurately.
If you would like this on its own, with a more in-depth description please see our Kalman Price Filter.
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA) and Its Core Calculation
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) improves on traditional moving averages by combining the Weighted Moving Average's (WMA) smoothness and reduced lag. Its core calculation involves taking the WMA of the data set and doubling it, then subtracting the WMA of the full period, followed by applying another WMA on the result over the square root of the period's length. This methodology yields a smoother and more responsive moving average, particularly useful for identifying market trends more rapidly.
3. Combining Kalman Filter with HMA
The innovative combination of the Kalman Filter with the Hull Moving Average (KHMA) offers a unique approach to smoothing price data. By applying the Kalman Filter to the price source before its incorporation into the HMA formula, we enhance the adaptiveness and responsiveness of the moving average. This adaptive smoothing method reduces noise more effectively and adjusts more swiftly to price changes, providing traders with clearer signals for market entries or exits.
The calculation is like so:
KHMA(_src, _length) =>
f_kalman(2 * f_kalman(_src, _length / 2) - f_kalman(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length)))
4. Integration with Supertrend
Incorporating this adaptive price smoothing technique into the Supertrend indicator further enhances its efficiency. The Supertrend, known for its proficiency in identifying the prevailing market trend and providing clear buy or sell signals, becomes even more powerful with an adaptive price source. This integration allows the Supertrend to adjust more dynamically to market changes, offering traders more accurate and timely trading signals.
5. Application in a Trading System
In a trading system, the Kalman Hull Supertrend indicator can serve as a critical component for identifying market trends and generating signals for potential entry and exit points. Its adaptiveness and sensitivity to price changes make it particularly useful for traders looking to minimize lag in signal generation and improve the accuracy of their market trend analysis. Whether used as a standalone tool or in conjunction with other indicators, its dynamic nature can significantly enhance trading strategies.
6. Core Calculations and Benefits
The core of this indicator lies in its sophisticated filtering and averaging techniques, starting with the Kalman Filter's predictive adjustments, followed by the adaptive smoothing of the Hull Moving Average, and culminating in the trend-detecting capabilities of the Supertrend. This multi-layered approach not only reduces market noise but also adapts to market volatility more effectively. Benefits include improved signal accuracy, reduced lag, and the ability to discern trend changes more promptly, offering traders a competitive edge.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
DEMA RSI Overlay [BackQuant]DEMA RSI Overlay
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
Anyways,
BackQuant's new trading indicator that blends the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to create a unique overlay on the trading chart. This combination is not arbitrary; both the DEMA and RSI are revered for their distinct advantages in trading strategy development. Let's delve into the core components of this script, the rationale behind choosing DEMA and RSI, the logic of long and short signals, and its practical trading applications.
Understanding DEMA
DEMA is an enhanced version of the conventional exponential moving average that aims to reduce the lag inherent in traditional averages. It does this by applying more weight to recent prices. The reduction in lag makes DEMA an excellent tool for tracking price trends more closely. In the context of this script, DEMA serves as the foundation for the RSI calculation, offering a smoother and more responsive signal line that can provide clearer trend indications.
Why DEMA?
DEMA is chosen for its responsiveness to price changes. This characteristic is particularly beneficial in fast-moving markets where entering and exiting positions quickly is crucial. By using DEMA as the price source, the script ensures that the signals generated are timely and reflective of the current market conditions, reducing the risk of entering or exiting a trade based on outdated information.
Integrating RSI
The RSI, a momentum oscillator, measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between zero and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. In this script, the RSI is calculated based on DEMA, which means it inherits the responsiveness of DEMA, allowing traders to spot potential reversals or continuation signals sooner.
Why RSI?
Incorporating RSI offers a measure of price momentum and market conditions relative to past performance. By setting thresholds for long (buy) and short (sell) signals, the script uses RSI to identify potential turning points in the market, providing traders with strategic entry and exit points.
Calculating Long and Short Signals
Long Signals : These are generated when the RSI of the DEMA crosses above the longThreshold (set at 70 by default) and the closing price is not above the upper volatility band. This suggests that the asset is gaining upward momentum while not being excessively overbought, presenting a potentially favorable buying opportunity.
Short Signals : Generated when the RSI of the DEMA falls below the shortThreshold (set at 55 by default). This indicates that the asset may be losing momentum or entering a downtrend, signaling a possible selling or shorting opportunity.
Logical Soundness
The logic of combining DEMA with RSI for generating trade signals is sound for several reasons:
Timeliness : The use of DEMA ensures that the price source for RSI calculation is up-to-date, making the momentum signals more relevant.
Balance : By setting distinct thresholds for long and short signals, the script balances sensitivity and specificity, aiming to minimize false signals while capturing genuine market movements.
Adaptability : The inclusion of user inputs for periods and thresholds allows traders to customize the indicator to fit various trading styles and timeframes.
Trading Use-Cases
This DEMA RSI Overlay indicator is versatile and can be applied across different markets and timeframes. Its primary use-cases include:
Trend Following: Traders can use it to identify the start of a new trend or the continuation of an existing trend.
Swing Trading: The indicator's sensitivity to price changes makes it ideal for swing traders looking to capitalize on short to medium-term price movements.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals, it helps traders manage their positions more effectively, potentially reducing the risk of significant losses.
Final Note
We have also decided to add in the option of standard deviation bands, calculated on the DEMA, this can be used as a point of confluence rendering trading ranges. Expanding when volatility is high and compressing when it is low.
For example:
This provides the user with a 1, 2, 3 standard deviation band of the DEMA.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman Price Filter [BackQuant]Kalman Price Filter
The Kalman Filter, named after Rudolf E. Kálmán, is a algorithm used for estimating the state of a linear dynamic system from a series of noisy measurements. Originally developed for aerospace applications in the early 1960s, such as guiding Apollo spacecraft to the moon, it has since been applied across numerous fields including robotics, economics, and, notably, financial markets. Its ability to efficiently process noisy data in real-time and adapt to new measurements has made it a valuable tool in these areas.
Use Cases in Financial Markets
1. Trend Identification:
The Kalman Filter can smooth out market price data, helping to identify the underlying trend amidst the noise. This is particularly useful in algorithmic trading, where identifying the direction and strength of a trend can inform trade entry and exit decisions.
2. Market Prediction:
While no filter can predict the future with certainty, the Kalman Filter can be used to forecast short-term market movements based on current and historical data. It does this by estimating the current state of the market (e.g., the "true" price) and projecting it forward under certain model assumptions.
3. Risk Management:
The Kalman Filter's ability to estimate the volatility (or noise) of the market can be used for risk management. By dynamically adjusting to changes in market conditions, it can help traders adjust their position sizes and stop-loss orders to better manage risk.
4. Pair Trading and Arbitrage:
In pair trading, where the goal is to capitalize on the price difference between two correlated securities, the Kalman Filter can be used to estimate the spread between the pair and identify when the spread deviates significantly from its historical average, indicating a trading opportunity.
5. Optimal Asset Allocation:
The filter can also be applied in portfolio management to dynamically adjust the weights of different assets in a portfolio based on their estimated risks and returns, optimizing the portfolio's performance over time.
Advantages in Financial Applications
Adaptability: The Kalman Filter continuously updates its estimates with each new data point, making it well-suited to markets that are constantly changing.
Efficiency: It processes data and updates estimates in real-time, which is crucial for high-frequency trading strategies.
Handling Noise: Its ability to distinguish between the signal (e.g., the true price trend) and noise (e.g., random fluctuations) is particularly valuable in financial markets, where price data can be highly volatile.
Challenges and Considerations
Model Assumptions: The effectiveness of the Kalman Filter in financial applications depends on the accuracy of the model used to describe market dynamics. Financial markets are complex and influenced by numerous factors, making model selection critical.
Parameter Sensitivity: The filter's performance can be sensitive to the choice of parameters, such as the process and measurement noise values. These need to be carefully selected and potentially adjusted over time.
Despite these challenges, the Kalman Filter remains a potent tool in the quantitative trader's arsenal, offering a sophisticated method to extract useful information from noisy financial data. Its use in trading strategies should, however, be complemented with sound risk management practices and an awareness of the limitations inherent in any model-based approach to trading.
AI Adaptive Money Flow Index (Clustering) [AlgoAlpha]🌟🚀 Dive into the future of trading with our latest innovation: the AI Adaptive Money Flow Index by AlgoAlpha Indicator! 🚀🌟
Developed with the cutting-edge power of Machine Learning, this indicator is designed to revolutionize the way you view market dynamics. 🤖💹 With its unique blend of traditional Money Flow Index (MFI) analysis and advanced k-means clustering, it adapts to market conditions like never before.
Key Features:
📊 Adaptive MFI Analysis: Utilizes the classic MFI formula with a twist, adjusting its parameters based on AI-driven clustering.
🧠 AI-Driven Clustering: Applies k-means clustering to identify and adapt to market states, optimizing the MFI for current conditions.
🎨 Customizable Appearance: Offers adjustable settings for overbought, neutral, and oversold levels, as well as colors for uptrends and downtrends.
🔔 Alerts for Key Market Movements: Set alerts for trend reversals, overbought, and oversold conditions, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Quick Guide to Using the AI Adaptive MFI (Clustering):
🛠 Customize the Indicator: Customize settings like MFI source, length, and k-means clustering parameters to suit your analysis.
📈 Market Analysis: Monitor the dynamically adjusted overbought, neutral, and oversold levels for insights into market conditions. Watch for classification symbols ("+", "0", "-") for immediate understanding of the current market state. Look out for reversal signals (▲, ▼) to get potential entry points.
🔔 Set Alerts: Utilize the built-in alert conditions for trend changes, overbought, and oversold signals to stay ahead, even when you're not actively monitoring the charts.
How It Works:
The AI Adaptive Money Flow Index employs the k-means clustering machine learning algorithm to refine the traditional Money Flow Index, dynamically adjusting overbought, neutral, and oversold levels based on market conditions. This method analyzes historical MFI values, grouping them into initial clusters using the traditional MFI's overbought, oversold and neutral levels, and then finding the mean of each cluster, which represent the new market states thresholds. This adaptive approach ensures the indicator's sensitivity in real-time, offering a nuanced understanding of market trend and volume analysis.
By recalibrating MFI thresholds for each new data bar, the AI Adaptive MFI intelligently conforms to changing market dynamics. This process, assessing past periods to adjust the indicator's parameters, provides traders with insights finely tuned to recent market behavior. Such innovation enhances decision-making, leveraging the latest data to inform trading strategies. 🌐💥
Octopus Nest Strategy Hello Fellas,
Hereby, I come up with a popular strategy from YouTube called Octopus Nest Strategy. It is a no repaint, lower timeframe scalping strategy utilizing PSAR, EMA and TTM Squeeze.
The strategy considers these market factors:
PSAR -> Trend
EMA -> Trend
TTM Squeeze -> Momentum and Volatility by incorporating Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
Note: As you can see there is a potential improvement by incorporating volume.
What's Different Compared To The Original Strategy?
I added an option which allows users to use the Adaptive PSAR of @loxx, which will hopefully improve results sometimes.
Signals
Enter Long -> source above EMA 100, source crosses above PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses above 0
Enter Short -> source below EMA 100, source crosses below PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses below 0
Exit Long and Exit Short are triggered from the risk management. Thus, it will just exit on SL or TP.
Risk Management
"High Low Stop Loss" and "Automatic High Low Take Profit" are used here.
High Low Stop Loss: Utilizes the last high for short and the last low for long to calculate the stop loss level. The last high or low gets multiplied by the user-defined multiplicator and if no recent high or low was found it uses the backup multiplier.
Automatic High Low Take Profit: Utilizes the current stop loss level of "High Low Stop Loss" and gets calculated by the user-defined risk ratio.
Now, follows the bunch of knowledge for the more inexperienced readers.
PSAR: Parabolic Stop And Reverse; Developed by J. Welles Wilders and a classic trend reversal indicator.
The indicator works most effectively in trending markets where large price moves allow traders to capture significant gains. When a security’s price is range-bound, the indicator will constantly be reversing, resulting in multiple low-profit or losing trades.
TTM Squeeze: TTM Squeeze is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Trade the Markets (now Simpler Trading), which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
The volatility component of the TTM Squeeze indicator measures price compression using Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. If the Bollinger Bands are completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels, that indicates a period of very low volatility. This state is known as the squeeze. When the Bollinger Bands expand and move back outside of the Keltner Channel, the squeeze is said to have “fired”: volatility increases and prices are likely to break out of that tight trading range in one direction or the other. The on/off state of the squeeze is shown with small dots on the zero line of the indicator: red dots indicate the squeeze is on, and green dots indicate the squeeze is off.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average; Like a simple moving average, but with exponential weighting of the input data.
Don't forget to check out the settings and keep it up.
Best regards,
simwai
---
Credits to:
@loxx
@Bjorgum
@Greeny
Adaptive Fisherized Z-scoreHello Fellas,
It's time for a new adaptive fisherized indicator of me, where I apply adaptive length and more on a classic indicator.
Today, I chose the Z-score, also called standard score, as indicator of interest.
Special Features
Advanced Smoothing: JMA, T3, Hann Window and Super Smoother
Adaptive Length Algorithms: In-Phase Quadrature, Homodyne Discriminator, Median and Hilbert Transform
Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT)
Signals: Enter Long, Enter Short, Exit Long and Exit Short
Bar Coloring: Presents the trade state as bar colors
Band Levels: Changes the band levels
Decision Making
When you create such a mod you need to think about which concepts are the best to conclude. I decided to take Inverse Fisher Transform instead of normalization to make a version which fits to a fixed scale to avoid the usual distortion created by normalization.
Moreover, I chose JMA, T3, Hann Window and Super Smoother, because JMA and T3 are the bleeding-edge MA's at the moment with the best balance of lag and responsiveness. Additionally, I chose Hann Window and Super Smoother because of their extraordinary smoothing capabilities and because Ehlers favours them.
Furthermore, I decided to choose the half length of the dominant cycle instead of the full dominant cycle to make the indicator more responsive which is very important for a signal emitter like Z-score. Signal emitters always need to be faster or have the same speed as the filters they are combined with.
Usage
The Z-score is a low timeframe scalper which works best during choppy/ranging phases. The direction you should trade is determined by the last trend change. E.g. when the last trend change was from bearish market to bullish market and you are now in a choppy/ranging phase confirmed by e.g. Chop Zone or KAMA slope you want to do long trades.
Interpretation
The Z-score indicator is a momentum indicator which shows the number of standard deviations by which the value of a raw score (price/source) is above or below the mean value of what is being observed or measured. Easily explained, it is almost the same as Bollinger Bands with another visual representation form.
Signals
B -> Buy -> Z-score crosses above lower band
S -> Short -> Z-score crosses below upper band
BE -> Buy Exit -> Z-score crosses above 0
SE -> Sell Exit -> Z-score crosses below 0
If you were reading till here, thank you already. Now, follows a bunch of knowledge for people who don't know the concepts I talk about.
T3
The T3 moving average, short for "Tim Tillson's Triple Exponential Moving Average," is a technical indicator used in financial markets and technical analysis to smooth out price data over a specific period. It was developed by Tim Tillson, a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with expertise in Mathematics and Computer Science.
The T3 moving average is an enhancement of the traditional Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and aims to overcome some of its limitations. The primary goal of the T3 moving average is to provide a smoother representation of price trends while minimizing lag compared to other moving averages like Simple Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or EMA.
To compute the T3 moving average, it involves a triple smoothing process using exponential moving averages. Here's how it works:
Calculate the first exponential moving average (EMA1) of the price data over a specific period 'n.'
Calculate the second exponential moving average (EMA2) of EMA1 using the same period 'n.'
Calculate the third exponential moving average (EMA3) of EMA2 using the same period 'n.'
The formula for the T3 moving average is as follows:
T3 = 3 * (EMA1) - 3 * (EMA2) + (EMA3)
By applying this triple smoothing process, the T3 moving average is intended to offer reduced noise and improved responsiveness to price trends. It achieves this by incorporating multiple time frames of the exponential moving averages, resulting in a more accurate representation of the underlying price action.
JMA
The Jurik Moving Average (JMA) is a technical indicator used in trading to predict price direction. Developed by Mark Jurik, it’s a type of weighted moving average that gives more weight to recent market data rather than past historical data.
JMA is known for its superior noise elimination. It’s a causal, nonlinear, and adaptive filter, meaning it responds to changes in price action without introducing unnecessary lag. This makes JMA a world-class moving average that tracks and smooths price charts or any market-related time series with surprising agility.
In comparison to other moving averages, such as the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), JMA is known to track fast price movement more accurately. This allows traders to apply their strategies to a more accurate picture of price action.
Inverse Fisher Transform
The Inverse Fisher Transform is a transform used in DSP to alter the Probability Distribution Function (PDF) of a signal or in our case of indicators.
The result of using the Inverse Fisher Transform is that the output has a very high probability of being either +1 or –1. This bipolar probability distribution makes the Inverse Fisher Transform ideal for generating an indicator that provides clear buy and sell signals.
Hann Window
The Hann function (aka Hann Window) is named after the Austrian meteorologist Julius von Hann. It is a window function used to perform Hann smoothing.
Super Smoother
The Super Smoother uses a special mathematical process for the smoothing of data points.
The Super Smoother is a technical analysis indicator designed to be smoother and with less lag than a traditional moving average.
Adaptive Length
Length based on the dominant cycle length measured by a "dominant cycle measurement" algorithm.
Happy Trading!
Best regards,
simwai
---
Credits to
@cheatcountry
@everget
@loxx
@DasanC
@blackcat1402
RSI Volatility Bands [QuantraSystems]RSI Volatility Bands
Introduction
The RSI Volatility Bands indicator introduces a unique approach to market analysis by combining the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI) with dynamic, volatility adjusted deviation bands. It is designed to provide a highly customizable method of trend analysis, enabling investors to analyze potential entry and exit points in a new and profound way.
The deviation bands are calculated and drawn in a manner which allows investors to view them as areas of dynamic support and resistance.
Legend
Upper and Lower Bands - A dynamic plot of the volatility-adjusted range around the current price.
Signals - Generated when the RSI volatility bands indicate a trend shift.
Case Study
The chart highlights the occurrence of false signals, emphasizing the need for caution when the bands are contracted and market volatility is low.
Juxtaposing this, during volatile market phases as shown, the indicator can effectively adapt to strong trends. This keeps an investor in a position even through a minor drawdown in order to exploit the entire price movement.
Recommended Settings
The RSI Volatility Bands are highly customisable and can be adapted to many assets with diverse behaviors.
The calibrations used in the above screenshots are as follows:
Source = close
RSI Length = 8
RSI Smoothing MA = DEMA
Bandwidth Type = DEMA
Bandwidth Length = 24
Bandwidth Smooth = 25
Methodology
The indicator first calculates the RSI of the price data, and applies a custom moving average.
The deviation bands are then calculated based upon the absolute difference between the RSI and its moving average - providing a unique volatility insight.
The deviation bands are then adjusted with another smoothing function, providing clear visuals of the RSI’s trend within a volatility-adjusted context.
rsiVal = ta.rsi(close, rsiLength)
rsiEma = ma(rsiMA, rsiVal, bandLength)
bandwidth = ma(bandMA, math.abs(rsiVal - rsiEma), bandLength)
upperBand = ma(bandMA, rsiEma + bandwidth, smooth)
lowerBand = ma(bandMA, rsiEma - bandwidth, smooth)
long = upperBand > 50 and not (lowerBand < lowerBand and lowerBand < 50)
short= not (upperBand > 50 and not (lowerBand < lowerBand and lowerBand < 50))
By dynamically adjusting to market conditions, the RSI trend bands offer a unique perspective on market trends, and reversal zones.
Backtesting ModuleDo you often find yourself creating new 'strategy()' scripts for each trading system? Are you unable to focus on generating new systems due to fatigue and time loss incurred in the process? Here's a potential solution: the 'Backtesting Module' :)
INTRODUCTION
Every trading system is based on four basic conditions: long entry, long exit, short entry and short exit (which are typically defined as boolean series in Pine Script).
If you can define the conditions generated by your trading system as a series of integers, it becomes possible to use these variables in different scripts in efficient ways. (Pine Script is a convenient language that allows you to use the integer output of one indicator as a source in another.)
The 'Backtesting Module' is a dynamic strategy script designed to adapt to your signals. It boasts two notable features:
⮞ It produces a backtest report using the entry and exit variables you define.
⮞ It not only serves for system testing but also to combine independent signals into a single system. (This functionality enables to create complex strategies and report on their success!)
The module tests Golden and Death cross signals by default, when you enter your own conditions the default signals will be neutralized. The methodology is described below.
PREPARATION
There are three simple steps to connect your own indicator to the Module.
STEP 1
Firstly, you must define entry and exit variables in your own script. Let's elucidate it with a straightforward example. Consider a system generating long and short signals based on the intersections of two moving averages. Consequently, our conditions would be as follows:
// Signals
long = ta.crossover(ta.sma(close, 14), ta.sma(close, 28))
short = ta.crossunder(ta.sma(close, 14), ta.sma(close, 28))
Now, the question is: How can we convert boolean variables into integer variables? The answer is conditional ternary block, defined as follows:
// Entry & Exit
long_entry = long ? 1 : 0
long_exit = short ? 1 : 0
short_entry = short ? 1 : 0
short_exit = long ? 1 : 0
The mechanics of the Entry & Exit variables are simple. The variable takes on a value of 1 when your trading system generates the signal and if your system does not produce any signal, variable returns 0. In this example, you see how exit signals can be generated in a trading system that only contains entry signals. If you have a system with original exit signals, you can also use them directly. (Please mind the NOTES section below).
STEP 2
To utilize the Entry & Exit variables as source in another script, they must be plotted on the chart. Therefore, the final detail to include in the script containing your trading system would be as follows:
// Plot The Output
plot(long_entry, "Long Entry", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(long_exit, "Long Exit", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(short_entry, "Short Entry", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(short_exit, "Short Exit", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
STEP 3
Now, we are ready to test the system! Load the Backtesting Module indicator onto the chart along with your trading system/indicator. Then set the outputs of your system (Long Entry, Long Exit, Short Entry, Short Exit) as source in the module. That's it.
FEATURES & ORIGINALITY
⮞ Primarily, this script has been created to provide you with an easy and practical method when testing your trading system.
⮞ I thought it might be nice to visualize a few useful results. The Backtesting Module provides insights into the outcomes of both long and short trades by computing the number of trades and the success percentage.
⮞ Through the 'Trade' parameter, users can specify the market direction in which the indicator is permitted to initiate positions.
⮞ Users have the flexibility to define the date range for the test.
⮞ There are optional features allowing users to plot entry prices on the chart and customize bar colors.
⮞ The report and the test date range are presented in a table on the chart screen. The entry price can be monitored in the data window.
⮞ Note that results are based on realized returns, and the open trade is not included in the displayed results. (The only exception is the 'Unrealized PNL' result in the table.)
STRATEGY SETTINGS
The default parameters are as follows:
⮞ Initial Balance : 10000 (in units of currency)
⮞ Quantity : 10% of equity
⮞ Commission : 0.04%
⮞ Slippage : 0
⮞ Dataset : All bars in the chart
For a realistic backtest result, you should size trades to only risk sustainable amounts of equity. Do not risk more than 5-10% on a trade. And ALWAYS configure your commission and slippage parameters according to pessimistic scenarios!
NOTES
⮞ This script is intended solely for development purposes. And it'll will be available for all the indicators I publish.
⮞ In this version of the module, all order types are designed as market orders. The exit size is the sum of the entry size.
⮞ As your trading conditions grow more intricate, you might need to define the outputs of your system in alternative ways. The method outlined in this description is tailored for straightforward signal structures.
⮞ Additionally, depending on the structure of your trading system, the backtest module may require further development. This encompasses stop-loss, take-profit, specific exit orders, quantity, margin and risk management calculations. I am considering releasing improvements that consider these options in future versions.
⮞ An example of how complex trading signals can be generated is the OTT Collection. If you're interested in seeing how the signals are constructed, you can use the link below.
THANKS
Special thanks to PineCoders for their valuable moderation efforts.
I hope this will be a useful example for the TradingView community...
DISCLAIMER
This is just an indicator, nothing more. It is provided for informational and educational purposes exclusively. The utilization of this script does not constitute professional or financial advice. The user solely bears the responsibility for risks associated with script usage. Do not forget to manage your risk. And trade as safely as possible. Best of luck!
Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI [Elysian_Mind]Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator
Overview
The Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders seeking a unique approach to RSI-based signals. This indicator combines traditional RSI analysis with dynamic threshold calculation and optional Bollinger Bands to generate weighted buy and sell signals.
Features
Dynamic Thresholds: The indicator calculates dynamic thresholds based on market volatility, providing more adaptive signal generation.
Performance Analysis: Users can evaluate recent price performance to further refine signals. The script calculates the percentage change over a specified lookback period.
Bollinger Bands Integration: Optional integration of Bollinger Bands for additional confirmation and visualization of potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Customizable Settings: Traders can easily customize key parameters, including RSI length, SMA length, lookback bars, threshold multiplier, and Bollinger Bands parameters.
Weighted Signals: The script introduces a unique weighting mechanism for signals, reducing false positives and improving overall reliability.
Underlying Calculations and Methods
1. Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
The heart of the Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator lies in its ability to dynamically calculate thresholds based on multiple timeframes. Let's delve into the technical details:
RSI Calculation:
For each specified timeframe (1-hour, 4-hour, 1-day, 1-week), the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is calculated using the standard 14-period formula.
SMA of RSI:
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is applied to each RSI, resulting in the smoothing of RSI values. This smoothed RSI becomes the basis for dynamic threshold calculations.
Dynamic Adjustment:
The dynamically adjusted threshold for each timeframe is computed by adding a constant value (5 in this case) to the respective SMA of RSI. This dynamic adjustment ensures that the threshold reflects changing market conditions.
2. Weighted Signal System:
To enhance the precision of buy and sell signals, the script introduces a weighted signal system. Here's how it works technically:
Signal Weighting:
The script assigns weights to buy and sell signals based on the crossover and crossunder events between RSI and the dynamically adjusted thresholds. If a crossover event occurs, the weight is set to 2; otherwise, it remains at 1.
Signal Combination:
The weighted buy and sell signals from different timeframes are combined using logical operations. A buy signal is generated if the product of weights from all timeframes is equal to 2, indicating alignment across timeframe.
3. Experimental Enhancements:
The Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator incorporates experimental features for educational exploration. While not intended as proven strategies, these features aim to offer users a glimpse into unconventional analysis. Some of these features include Performance Calculation, Volatility Calculation, Dynamic Threshold Calculation Using Volatility, Bollinger Bands Module, Weighted Signal System Incorporating New Features.
3.1 Performance Calculation:
The script calculates the percentage change in the price over a specified lookback period (variable lookbackBars). This provides a measure of recent performance.
pctChange(src, length) =>
change = src - src
pctChange = (change / src ) * 100
recentPerformance1H = pctChange(close, lookbackBars)
recentPerformance4H = pctChange(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "240", close), lookbackBars)
recentPerformance1D = pctChange(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "1D", close), lookbackBars)
3.2 Volatility Calculation:
The script computes the standard deviation of the closing price to measure volatility.
volatility1H = ta.stdev(close, 20)
volatility4H = ta.stdev(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "240", close), 20)
volatility1D = ta.stdev(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "1D", close), 20)
3.3 Dynamic Threshold Calculation Using Volatility:
The dynamic thresholds for RSI are calculated by adding a multiplier of volatility to 50.
dynamicThreshold1H = 50 + thresholdMultiplier * volatility1H
dynamicThreshold4H = 50 + thresholdMultiplier * volatility4H
dynamicThreshold1D = 50 + thresholdMultiplier * volatility1D
3.4 Bollinger Bands Module:
An additional module for Bollinger Bands is introduced, providing an option to enable or disable it.
// Additional Module: Bollinger Bands
bbLength = input(20, title="Bollinger Bands Length")
bbMultiplier = input(2.0, title="Bollinger Bands Multiplier")
upperBand = ta.sma(close, bbLength) + bbMultiplier * ta.stdev(close, bbLength)
lowerBand = ta.sma(close, bbLength) - bbMultiplier * ta.stdev(close, bbLength)
3.5 Weighted Signal System Incorporating New Features:
Buy and sell signals are generated based on the dynamic threshold, recent performance, and Bollinger Bands.
weightedBuySignal = rsi1H > dynamicThreshold1H and rsi4H > dynamicThreshold4H and rsi1D > dynamicThreshold1D and crossOver1H
weightedSellSignal = rsi1H < dynamicThreshold1H and rsi4H < dynamicThreshold4H and rsi1D < dynamicThreshold1D and crossUnder1H
These features collectively aim to provide users with a more comprehensive view of market dynamics by incorporating recent performance and volatility considerations into the RSI analysis. Users can experiment with these features to explore their impact on signal accuracy and overall indicator performance.
Indicator Placement for Enhanced Visibility
Overview
The design choice to position the "Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI" indicator both on the main chart and beneath it has been carefully considered to address specific challenges related to visibility and scaling, providing users with an improved analytical experience.
Challenges Faced
1. Differing Scaling of RSI Results:
RSI values for different timeframes (1-hour, 4-hour, and 1-day) often exhibit different scales, especially in markets like gold.
Attempting to display these RSIs on the same chart can lead to visibility issues, as the scaling differences may cause certain RSI lines to appear compressed or nearly invisible.
2. Candlestick Visibility vs. RSI Scaling:
Balancing the visibility of candlestick patterns with that of RSI values posed a unique challenge.
A single pane for both candlesticks and RSIs may compromise the clarity of either, particularly when dealing with assets that exhibit distinct volatility patterns.
Design Solution
Placing the buy/sell signals above/below the candles helps to maintain a clear association between the signals and price movements.
By allocating RSIs beneath the main chart, users can better distinguish and analyze the RSI values without interference from candlestick scaling.
Doubling the scaling of the 1-hour RSI (displayed in blue) addresses visibility concerns and ensures that it remains discernible even when compared to the other two RSIs: 4-hour RSI (orange) and 1-day RSI (green).
Bollinger Bands Module is optional, but is turned on as default. When the module is turned on, the users can see the upper Bollinger Band (green) and lower Bollinger Band (red) on the main chart to gain more insight into price actions of the candles.
User Flexibility
This dual-placement approach offers users the flexibility to choose their preferred visualization:
The main chart provides a comprehensive view of buy/sell signals in relation to candlestick patterns.
The area beneath the chart accommodates a detailed examination of RSI values, each in its own timeframe, without compromising visibility.
The chosen design optimizes visibility and usability, addressing the unique challenges posed by differing RSI scales and ensuring users can make informed decisions based on both price action and RSI dynamics.
Usage
Installation
To ensure you receive updates and enhancements seamlessly, follow these steps:
Open the TradingView platform.
Navigate to the "Indicators" tab in the top menu.
Click on "Community Scripts" and search for "Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator."
Select the indicator from the search results and click on it to add to your chart.
This ensures that any future updates to the indicator can be easily applied, keeping you up-to-date with the latest features and improvements.
Review Code
Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Editor.
Copy the provided script.
Paste the script into the Pine Editor.
Click "Add to Chart."
Configuration
The indicator offers several customizable settings:
RSI Length: Defines the length of the RSI calculation.
SMA Length: Sets the length of the SMA applied to the RSI.
Lookback Bars: Determines the number of bars used for recent performance analysis.
Threshold Multiplier: Adjusts the multiplier for dynamic threshold calculation.
Enable Bollinger Bands: Allows users to enable or disable Bollinger Bands integration.
Interpreting Signals
Buy Signal: Generated when RSI values are above dynamic thresholds and a crossover occurs.
Sell Signal: Generated when RSI values are below dynamic thresholds and a crossunder occurs.
Additional Information
The indicator plots scaled RSI lines for 1-hour, 4-hour, and 1-day timeframes.
Users can experiment with additional modules, such as machine-learning simulation, dynamic real-life improvements, or experimental signal filtering, depending on personal preferences.
Conclusion
The Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator provides traders with a sophisticated tool for RSI-based analysis, offering a unique combination of dynamic thresholds, performance analysis, and optional Bollinger Bands integration. Traders can customize settings and experiment with additional modules to tailor the indicator to their trading strategy.
Disclaimer: Use of the Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator
The Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator is provided for educational and experimental purposes only. The indicator is not intended to be used as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
The creator of this indicator is not a financial advisor, and the use of this indicator does not guarantee profitability or specific trading outcomes. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and analysis and, if necessary, consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
It is important to recognize that all trading involves risk, and users should only trade with capital that they can afford to lose. The Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI Indicator is an experimental tool that may not be suitable for all individuals, and its effectiveness may vary under different market conditions.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you are doing so at your own risk and discretion. The creator of this indicator shall not be held responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of using the indicator.
Kind regards,
Ely
Optimal Length BackTester [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator allows for a ‘Optimal Length’ to be inputted within the Settings as a Source. Unlike most Indicators and/or Strategies that rely on either Static Lengths or Internal calculations for the length, this Indicator relies on the Length being derived from an external Indicator in the form of a Source Input.
This may not sound like much, but this application may allows limitless implementations of such an idea. By allowing the input of a Length within a Source Setting you may have an ‘Optimal Length’ that adjusts automatically without the need for manual intervention. This may allow for Traditional and Non-Traditional Indicators and/or Strategies to allow modifications within their settings as well to accommodate the idea of this ‘Optimal Length’ model to create an Indicator and/or Strategy that adjusts its length based on the top performing Length within the current Market Conditions.
This specific Indicator aims to allow backtesting with an ‘Optimal Length’ inputted as a ‘Source’ within the Settings.
This ‘Optimal Length’ may be used to display and potentially optimize multiple different Traditional Indicators within this BackTester. The following Traditional Indicators are included and available to be backtested with an ‘Optimal Length’ inputted as a Source in the Settings:
Moving Average; expressed as either a: Simple Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average or Volume Weighted Moving Average
Bollinger Bands; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Donchian Channels; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Envelopes; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Envelopes Adjusted; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
All of these Traditional Indicators likewise may be displayed with multiple ‘Optimal Lengths’. They have the ability for multiple different ‘Optimal Lengths’ to be inputted and displayed, such as:
Fast Optimal Length
Slow Optimal Length
Neutral Optimal Length
By allowing for the input of multiple different ‘Optimal Lengths’ we may express the ‘Optimal Movement’ of such an expressed Indicator based on different Time Frames and potentially also movement based on Fast, Slow and Neutral (Inclusive) Lengths.
This in general is a simple Indicator that simply allows for the input of multiple different varieties of ‘Optimal Lengths’ to be displayed in different ways using Tradition Indicators. However, the idea and model of accepting a Length as a Source is unique and may be adopted in many different forms and endless ideas.
Tutorial:
You may add an ‘Optimal Length’ within the Settings as a ‘Source’ as followed in the example above. This Indicator allows for the input of a:
Neutral ‘Optimal Length’
Fast ‘Optimal Length’
Slow ‘Optimal Length’
It is important to account for all three as they generally encompass different min/max length values and therefore result in varying ‘Optimal Length’s’.
For instance, say you’re calculating the ‘Optimal Length’ and you use:
Min: 1
Max: 400
This would therefore be scanning for 400 (inclusive) lengths.
As a general way of calculating you may assume the following for which lengths are being used within an ‘Optimal Length’ calculation:
Fast: 1 - 199
Slow: 200 - 400
Neutral: 1 - 400
This allows for the calculation of a Fast and Slow length within the predetermined lengths allotted. However, it likewise allows for a Neutral length which is inclusive to all lengths alloted and may be deemed the ‘Most Accurate’ for these reasons. However, just because the Neutral is inclusive to all lengths, doesn’t mean the Fast and Slow lengths are irrelevant. The Fast and Slow length inputs may be useful for seeing how specifically zoned lengths may fair, and likewise when they cross over and/or under the Neutral ‘Optimal Length’.
This Indicator features the ability to display multiple different types of Traditional Indicators within the ‘Display Type’.
We will go over all of the different ‘Display Types’ with examples on how using a Fast, Slow and Neutral length would impact it:
Simple Moving Average:
In this example above have the Fast, Slow and Neutral Optimal Length formatted as a Slow Moving Average. The first example is on the 15 minute Time Frame and the second is on the 1 Day Time Frame, demonstrating how the length changes based on the Time Frame and the effects it may have.
Here we can see that by inputting ‘Optimal Lengths’ as a Simple Moving Average we may see moving averages that change over time with their ‘Optimal Lengths’. These lengths may help identify Support and/or Resistance locations. By using an 'Optimal Length' rather than a static length, we may create a Moving Average which may be more accurate as it attempts to be adaptive to current Market Conditions.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are a way to see a Simple Moving Average (SMA) that then uses Standard Deviation to identify how much deviation has occurred. This Deviation is then Added and Subtracted from the SMA to create the Bollinger Bands which help Identify possible movement zones that are ‘within range’. This may mean that the price may face Support / Resistance when it reaches the Outer / Inner bounds of the Bollinger Bands. Likewise, it may mean the Price is ‘Overbought’ when outside and above or ‘Underbought’ when outside and below the Bollinger Bands.
By applying All 3 different types of Optimal Lengths towards a Traditional Bollinger Band calculation we may hope to see different ranges of Bollinger Bands and how different lookback lengths may imply possible movement ranges on both a Short Term, Long Term and Neutral perspective. By seeing these possible ranges you may have the ability to identify more levels of Support and Resistance over different lengths and Trading Styles.
Donchian Channels:
Above you’ll see two examples of Machine Learning: Optimal Length applied to Donchian Channels. These are displayed with both the 15 Minute Time Frame and the 1 Day Time Frame.
Donchian Channels are a way of seeing potential Support and Resistance within a given lookback length. They are a way of withholding the High’s and Low’s of a specific lookback length and looking for deviation within this length. By applying a Fast, Slow and Neutral Machine Learning: Optimal Length to these Donchian Channels way may hope to achieve a viable range of High’s and Low’s that one may use to Identify Support and Resistance locations for different ranges of Optimal Lengths and likewise potentially different Trading Strategies.
Envelopes / Envelopes Adjusted:
Envelopes are an interesting one in the sense that they both may be perceived as useful; however we deem that with the use of an ‘Optimal Length’ that the ‘Envelopes Adjusted’ may work best. We will start with examples of the Traditional Envelope then showcase the Adjusted version.
Envelopes:
As you may see, a Traditional form of Envelopes even produced with a Machine Learning: Optimal Length may not produce optimal results. Unfortunately this may occur with some Traditional Indicators and they may need some adjustments as you’ll notice with the ‘Envelopes Adjusted’ version. However, even without the adjustments, these Envelopes may be useful for seeing ‘Overbought’ and ‘Oversold’ locations within a Machine Learning: Optimal Length standpoint.
Envelopes Adjusted:
By adding an adjustment to these Envelopes, we may hope to better reflect our Optimal Length within it. This is caused by adding a ratio reflection towards the current length of the Optimal Length and the max Length used. This allows for the Fast and Neutral (and potentially Slow if Neutral is greater) to achieve a potentially more accurate result.
Envelopes, much like Bollinger Bands are a way of seeing potential movement zones along with potential Support and Resistance. However, unlike Bollinger Bands which are based on Standard Deviation, Envelopes are based on percentages +/- from the Simple Moving Average.
We will conclude our Tutorial here. Hopefully this has given you some insight into how useful adding a ‘Optimal Length’ within an external (secondary) Indicator as a Source within the Settings may be. Likewise, how useful it may be for automation sake in the sense that when the ‘Optimal Length’ changes, it doesn’t rely on an alert where you need to manually update it yourself; instead it will update Automatically and you may reap the benefits of such with little manual input needed (aside from the initial setup).
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
Fibonacci HH LL TRAMA BandLuxAlgo's Trend Moving Adaptive Moving Average was used as a reference to create bands by reading the highest and lowest prices of past bars based on Fibonacci numbers and then multiplying them by the Fibonacci ratio.
LuxAlgo/ LuxAlgo/
In particular, the so-called TRAMA is characterized by its adaptation to the average of the highest and lowest prices over a specific period of time and is used to identify support/resistance.
In order to apply this feature to the maximum extent possible, I used the high or low prices as the source of input, rather than the closing price.
For example,
src = high
not original like
src = close
In addition, I created 6 levels by multiplying the Fibonacci ratio
//Midline
mah = ama1
mal = ama2
m = (mah + mal)/2
//Half Mean Range
dist = (mah - mal)/2
//Levels
h6 = m + dist * 11.089
h5 = m + dist * 6.857
h4 = m + dist * 4.235
h3 = m + dist * 2.618
h2 = m + dist * 1.618
h1 = m + dist * 0.618
l1 = m - dist * 0.618
l2 = m - dist * 1.618
l3 = m - dist * 2.618
l4 = m - dist * 4.235
l5 = m - dist * 6.857
l6 = m - dist * 11.089
If you want to use it for scalping, such as 15 minutes, you can include Fibonacci numbers such as 21,34,55 for a quick reaction type to detect the trend. Also, by including Fibonacci numbers such as 89,144,233, you can see where you stand in the larger trend. Some examples are included below.
For Investors
BTCUSDT 1day Chart Fibonacci number "55"
For Daytraders
BTCUSDT 4hour Chart Fibonacci number "34"
For Scalpers
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "55"
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "89"
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "233"
Fibonacci numbers are 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, etc.,
Fibonacci ratios are 0.618, 1.618, 2.618, 4.236, 6.854, 11.089, etc.,
PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic [Loxx]The PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic is not your typical trading indicator. It synthesizes the computational brilliance of two famed technicians: John Ehlers and John Hull. Let's demystify its sophistication.
█ Ehlers' Phase Accumulation
John Ehlers is well-known in the trading community for his digital signal processing approach to market data. One of his standout techniques is phase accumulation. This method identifies the dominant cycle in the market by accumulating the phases of individual cycles. By doing so, it "adapts" to real-time market conditions.
Here's the brilliance of phase accumulation in this code
The indicator doesn't merely use a static look-back period. Instead, it dynamically determines the dominant market cycle through phase accumulation.
The calcComp function, rooted in Ehlers' methodology, provides a complex computation using a digital signal processing approach to filter out market noise and pinpoint the current cycle's frequency.
By measuring and adapting to the instantaneous period of the market, it ensures that the indicator remains relevant, especially in non-stationary market conditions.
Hull's Moving Average
John Hull introduced the Hull Moving Average (HMA) aiming to reduce lag and improve smoothing. The HMA's essence lies in its weighted average computation, prioritizing more recent prices.
This code takes an adaptive twist on the HMA
Instead of a fixed period, the HMA uses the dominant cycle length derived from Ehlers' phase accumulation. This makes the HMA not just fast and smooth, but also adaptive to the dominant market rhythm.
The intricate iLwmp function in the script provides this adaptive HMA computation. It's a weighted moving average, but its length isn't static; it's based on the previously determined dominant market cycle.
█ Trading Insights
The indicator paints the bars to represent the immediate trend: green for bullish and red for bearish.
Entry points, both long ("L") and short ("S"), are presented visually. These are derived from crossovers of the adaptive HMA, a clear indication of a potential shift in the trend.
Additionally, alert conditions are set, ready to notify a trader when these crossovers occur, ensuring real-time actionable insights.
█ Conclusion
The PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic is a masterclass in advanced technical indicator design. By marrying John Ehlers' adaptive phase accumulation with John Hull's HMA, it creates a dynamic, responsive, and precise tool for traders. It's not just about capturing the trend; it's about understanding the very rhythm of the market.
Adaptive MACD [LuxAlgo]The Adaptive MACD indicator is an adaptive version of the popular Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator, returning longer-term variations during trending markets and cyclic variations during ranging markets while filtering out noisy variations.
🔶 USAGE
The proposed oscillator contains all the elements within a regular MACD, such as a signal line and histogram. A MACD value above 0 would indicate up-trending variations, while a value under 0 would be indicating down-trending variations.
Just like most oscillators, our proposed Adaptive MACD is able to return divergences with the price.
As we can see in the image above ranging markets will make the Adaptive MACD more conservative toward more cyclical conservations, filtering out both noise and longer-term variations. However, when longer-term variations (such as in a trending market) are prominent the oscillator will conserve longer-term variations.
The R2 Period setting determines when trending/ranging markets are detected, with higher values returning indications for longer intervals.
The fast and slow settings will act similarly to the regular MACD, however, closer values will return more cyclical outputs.
The image above compares our proposed MACD (top) with a regular MACD (bottom), both using fast = 19 and slow = 20 .
🔶 DETAILS
It is common to be solely interested in the trend component when the market is trending, however, during a ranging market it is more common to observe a more prominent cyclical/noise component. We want to be able to preserve one of the components at the appropriate market conditions, however, the regular MACD lack the ability to preserve cyclical component with high accuracy.
The MACD is an IIR bandpass filter. In order to obtain a lower passband bandwidth and a more symmetrical magnitude response (which would allow to conserve more precise cyclical variations) we can directly change the system calculation:
y = (price - price ) × g + ((1 - a1) + (1 - a2)) × y - (1 - a1) × (1 - a2) × y
where:
a1 = 2/(fast + 1)
a2 = 2/(slow + 1)
g = a1 - a2
Using division instead of multiplication on the second feedback weight allows further weighting the 2 samples lagged output, returning a more desirable magnitude response with a higher degree of filtering on both ends of the spectrum as shown in the image below:
We are interested in conserving cycles during ranging markets, and longer-term variations during trending markets, we can do this by interpolating between our two filter coefficients:
α × + (1 - α) ×
where 1 > α > 0 . α is measuring if the market is trending or ranging, with values closer to 1 indicating a trending market. We see that for higher values of α the original coefficient of the MACD is used. The image below shows various magnitude responses given multiple values of α :
We use a rolling R-Squared as α , this measurement has the benefit of indicating if the market is trending or ranging, as well as being constrained within range (0, 1), and having a U-shaped distribution.
If you are interested to learn more about the MACD see:
🔶 SETTINGS
R2 Period: Calculation window of the R-Squared.
Fast: Fast period for the calculation of the Adaptive MACD, lower values will return more noisy results.
Slow: Slow period for the calculation of the Adaptive MACD, higher values will return result with longer-term conserved variations.
Signal: Period of the EMA applied to the Adaptive MACD.
adaptive_mfi
█ Description
Money flow an indexed value-based price and volume for the specified input length (lookback period). In summary, a momentum indicator that attempt to measure the flow of money (identify buying/selling pressure) through the asset within a specified period of time. MFI will oscillate between 0 to 100, oftentimes comprehend the analysis with oversold (20) or overbought (80) level, and a divergence that spotted to signaling a further change in trend/direction. As similar to many other indicators that use length (commonly a fixed value) as an input parameter, can be optimized by applied an adaptive filter (Ehlers), to solve the measuring cycle period. In this indicator, the adaptive measure of dominant cycle as an input parameter for the lookback period/n, will be applied to the money flow index.
█ Money Flow Index
mfi = 100 - (100/(1 + money_flow_ratio))
where:
n = int(dominant_cycle)
money_flow_ratio = n positive raw_money_flow / n negative raw_money_flow
raw_money_flow = typical_price * volume
typical_price = hlc3
█ Feature
The indicator will have a specified default parameter of: hp_period = 48; source = ohlc4
Horizontal line indicates positive/negative money flow
MFI Color Scheme: Solid; Normalized
Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel WidthThis indicator is designed to help traders assess and analyze market volatility. By calculating the width of the Donchian channels, it provides valuable insights into the range of price movements over a specified period. This indicator helps traders identify periods of high and low volatility, enabling them to make more informed trading decisions.
The indicator is based on the concept of Donchian channels, which consist of the highest high and lowest low over a specified lookback period. The channel width is calculated as the difference between the upper and lower channels. A wider channel indicates higher volatility, suggesting potentially larger price movements and increased trading opportunities. On the other hand, a narrower channel suggests lower volatility, indicating a relatively calmer market environment with potentially fewer trading opportunities.
The adaptive aspect of the indicator refers to its ability to adjust the width of the channels dynamically based on market conditions. The indicator calculates the width of the channels using the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, which measures the average range of price movements over a specified period. By multiplying the ATR value with the user-defined ATR multiplier, the indicator adapts the width of the channels to reflect the current level of volatility. During periods of higher volatility, the channels expand to accommodate larger price movements, providing a broader range for assessing volatility. Conversely, during periods of lower volatility, the channels contract, reflecting the narrower price ranges and signaling a decrease in volatility. This adaptive nature allows traders to have a flexible and responsive measure of volatility, ensuring that the indicator reflects the current market conditions accurately.
To provide further insights, the indicator includes a signal line. The signal line is derived from the channel width and is calculated as a simple moving average over a specified signal period. This signal line acts as a reference level, allowing traders to compare the current channel width with the average width over a given time frame. By assessing whether the current channel width is above or below the signal line, traders can gain additional context on the volatility level in the market.
The colors used in the Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel Width play a vital role in visualizing the volatility levels:
-- Lime Color : When the channel width is above the signal line, it is colored lime. This color signifies that volatility has entered the market, indicating potentially higher price movements and increased trading opportunities. Traders can pay closer attention to the lime-colored channel width as it may suggest favorable conditions for trend-following or breakout trading strategies.
-- Fuchsia Color : When the channel width is below the signal line, it is colored fuchsia. This color represents relatively low volatility, suggesting a calmer market environment with potentially fewer trading opportunities. Traders may consider adjusting their strategies during periods of low volatility, such as employing range-bound or mean-reversion strategies.
-- Aqua Color : The signal line is represented by the aqua color. This color allows traders to easily identify the signal line amidst the channel width. The aqua color provides a visual reference for the average channel width and helps traders assess whether the current width is above or below this average.
The Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel Width has several practical applications for traders:
-- Volatility Assessment : Traders can use this indicator to assess the level of volatility in the market. By observing the width of the Donchian channels and comparing it to the signal line, they can determine whether the current volatility is relatively high or low. This information helps traders set appropriate expectations and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
-- Breakout Trading : Wide channel widths may indicate an increased likelihood of price breakouts. Traders can use the Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel Width to identify potential breakout opportunities. When the channel width exceeds the signal line, it suggests a higher probability of significant price movements, potentially signaling a breakout. Traders may consider entering trades in the direction of the breakout.
-- Risk Management : The indicator can assist in setting appropriate stop-loss levels based on the current volatility. During periods of high volatility (lime-colored channel width), wider stop-loss orders may be warranted to account for larger price swings. Conversely, during periods of low volatility (fuchsia-colored channel width), narrower stop-loss orders may be appropriate to limit risk in a more range-bound market.
While the Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel Width is a valuable tool, it is important to consider its limitations:
-- Lagging Indicator : The indicator relies on historical price data, making it a lagging indicator. It provides insights based on past price movements and may not capture sudden changes or shifts in volatility. Traders should be aware that the indicator may not generate real-time signals and should be used in conjunction with other indicators and analysis tools.
-- False Signals : Like any technical indicator, the Donchian Volatility Indicator - Adaptive Channel Width is not immune to generating false signals. Traders should exercise caution and use additional analysis to confirm the signals generated by the indicator. Considering the broader market context and employing risk management techniques can help mitigate the impact of false signals.
-- Market Conditions : Market conditions can vary, and volatility levels can differ across different assets and timeframes. Traders should adapt their strategies and consider other market factors when interpreting the signals provided by the indicator. It is crucial to avoid relying solely on the indicator and to incorporate a comprehensive analysis of the market environment.
In conclusion, this indicator is a powerful tool for assessing market volatility. By examining the width of the Donchian channels and comparing it to the signal line, traders can gain insights into the level of volatility and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. The color-coded representation of the channel width and signal line allows for easy visualization and interpretation of the volatility dynamics. Traders should utilize this indicator as part of a broader trading approach, incorporating other technical analysis tools and considering market conditions for a comprehensive assessment of market volatility.
Adaptive Mean Reversion IndicatorThe Adaptive Mean Reversion Indicator is a tool for identifying mean reversion trading opportunities in the market. The indicator employs a dynamic approach by adapting its parameters based on the detected market regime, ensuring optimal performance in different market conditions.
To determine the market regime, the indicator utilizes a volatility threshold. By comparing the average true range (ATR) over a 14-period to the specified threshold, it determines whether the market is trending or ranging. This information is crucial as it sets the foundation for parameter optimization.
The parameter optimization process is an essential step in the indicator's calculation. It dynamically adjusts the lookback period and threshold level based on the identified market regime. In trending markets, a longer lookback period and higher threshold level are chosen to capture extended trends. In ranging markets, a shorter lookback period and lower threshold level are used to identify mean reversion opportunities within a narrower price range.
The mean reversion calculation lies at the core of this indicator. It starts with computing the mean value using the simple moving average (SMA) over the selected lookback period. This represents the average price level. The deviation is then determined by calculating the standard deviation of the closing prices over the same lookback period. The upper and lower bands are derived by adding and subtracting the threshold level multiplied by the deviation from the mean, respectively. These bands serve as dynamic levels that define potential overbought and oversold areas.
In real-time, the indicator's adaptability shines through. If the market is trending, the adaptive mean is set to the calculated mean value. The adaptive upper and lower bands are adjusted by scaling the threshold level with a factor of 0.75. This adjustment allows the indicator to be less sensitive to minor price fluctuations during trending periods, providing more robust mean reversion signals. In ranging market conditions, the regular mean, upper band, and lower band are used as they are more suited to capture mean reversion within a confined price range.
The signal generation component of the indicator identifies potential trading opportunities based on the relationship between the current close price and the adaptive upper and lower bands. If the close price is above the adaptive upper band, it suggests a potential short entry opportunity (-1). Conversely, if the close price is below the adaptive lower band, it indicates a potential long entry opportunity (1). When the close price is within the range defined by the adaptive upper and lower bands, no clear trading signal is generated (0).
To further strengthen the quality of signals, the indicator introduces a confluence condition based on the RSI. When the RSI exceeds the threshold levels of 70 or falls below the threshold level of 30, it indicates a strong momentum condition. By incorporating this confluence condition, the indicator ensures that mean reversion signals align with the prevailing market momentum. It reduces the likelihood of false signals and provides traders with added confidence when entering trades.
The indicator offers alert conditions to notify traders of potential trading opportunities. Alert conditions are set to trigger when a potential long entry signal (1) or a potential short entry signal (-1) aligns with the confluence condition. These alerts allow traders to stay informed about favorable mean reversion setups, even when they are not actively monitoring the charts. By leveraging alerts, traders can efficiently manage their time and take advantage of market opportunities.
To enhance visual interpretation, the indicator incorporates background coloration that provides valuable insights into the prevailing market conditions. When the indicator generates a potential short entry signal (-1) that aligns with the confluence condition, the background color is set to lime. This color suggests a bullish trend that is potentially reaching an exhaustion point and about to revert downwards. Similarly, when the indicator generates a potential long entry signal (1) that aligns with the confluence condition, the background color is set to fuchsia. This color represents a bearish trend that is potentially reaching an exhaustion point and about to revert upwards. By employing background coloration, the indicator enables traders to quickly identify market conditions that may offer mean reversion opportunities with a directional bias.
The indicator further enhances visual clarity by incorporating bar coloring that aligns with the prevailing market conditions and signals. When the indicator generates a potential short entry signal (-1) that aligns with the confluence condition, the bar color is set to lime. This color signifies a bullish trend that is potentially reaching an exhaustion point, indicating a high probability of a downward reversion. Conversely, when the indicator generates a potential long entry signal (1) that aligns with the confluence condition, the bar color is set to fuchsia. This color represents a bearish trend that is potentially reaching an exhaustion point, indicating a high probability of an upward reversion. By using distinct bar colors, the indicator provides traders with a clear visual distinction between bullish and bearish trends, facilitating easier identification of mean reversion opportunities within the context of the broader trend.
While the "Adaptive Mean Reversion Indicator" offers a robust framework for identifying mean reversion opportunities, it's important to remember that no indicator is foolproof. Traders should exercise caution and employ risk management strategies. Additionally, it is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamental factors to make well-informed trading decisions. Regular backtesting and refinement of the indicator's parameters are crucial to ensure its effectiveness in different market conditions.
