Unlock the Power of Seasonality: Monthly Performance StrategyThe Monthly Performance Strategy leverages the power of seasonality—those cyclical patterns that emerge in financial markets at specific times of the year. From tax deadlines to industry-specific events and global holidays, historical data shows that certain months can offer strong opportunities for trading. This strategy was designed to help traders capture those opportunities and take advantage of recurring market patterns through an automated and highly customizable approach.
The Inspiration Behind the Strategy:
This strategy began with the idea that market performance is often influenced by seasonal factors. Historically, certain months outperform others due to a variety of reasons, like earnings reports, holiday shopping, or fiscal year-end events. By identifying these periods, traders can better time their market entries and exits, giving them an advantage over those who solely rely on technical indicators or news events.
The Monthly Performance Strategy was built to take this concept and automate it. Instead of manually analyzing market data for each month, this strategy enables you to select which months you want to focus on and then executes trades based on predefined rules, saving you time and optimizing the performance of your trades.
Key Features:
Customizable Month Selection: The strategy allows traders to choose specific months to test or trade on. You can select any combination of months—for example, January, July, and December—to focus on based on historical trends. Whether you’re targeting the historically strong months like December (often driven by the 'Santa Rally') or analyzing quieter months for low volatility trades, this strategy gives you full control.
Automated Monthly Entries and Exits: The strategy automatically enters a long position on the first day of your selected month(s) and exits the trade at the beginning of the next month. This makes it perfect for traders who want to benefit from seasonal patterns without manually monitoring the market. It ensures precision in entering and exiting trades based on pre-set timeframes.
Re-entry on Stop Loss or Take Profit: One of the standout features of this strategy is its ability to re-enter a trade if a position hits the stop loss (SL) or take profit (TP) level during the selected month. If your trade reaches either a SL or TP before the month ends, the strategy will automatically re-enter a new trade the next trading day. This feature ensures that you capture multiple trading opportunities within the same month, instead of exiting entirely after a successful or unsuccessful trade. Essentially, it keeps your capital working for you throughout the entire month, not just when conditions align perfectly at the beginning.
Built-in Risk Management: Risk management is a vital part of this strategy. It incorporates an Average True Range (ATR)-based stop loss and take profit system. The ATR helps set dynamic levels based on the market’s volatility, ensuring that your stops and targets adjust to changing market conditions. This not only helps limit potential losses but also maximizes profit potential by adapting to market behavior.
Historical Performance Testing: You can backtest this strategy on any period by setting the start year. This allows traders to analyze past market data and optimize their strategy based on historical performance. You can fine-tune which months to trade based on years of data, helping you identify trends and patterns that provide the best trading results.
Versatility Across Asset Classes: While this strategy can be particularly effective for stock market indices and sector rotation, it’s versatile enough to apply to other asset classes like forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. Each asset class may exhibit different seasonal behaviors, allowing you to explore opportunities across various markets with this strategy.
How It Works:
The trader selects which months to test or trade, for example, January, April, and October.
The strategy will automatically open a long position on the first trading day of each selected month.
If the trade hits either the take profit or stop loss within the month, the strategy will close the current position and re-enter a new trade on the next trading day, provided the month has not yet ended. This ensures that the strategy continues to capture any potential gains throughout the month, rather than stopping after one successful trade.
At the start of the next month, the position is closed, and if the next month is also selected, a new trade is initiated following the same process.
Risk Management and Dynamic Adjustments:
Incorporating risk management with this strategy is as easy as turning on the ATR-based system. The strategy will automatically calculate stop loss and take profit levels based on the market’s current volatility, adjusting dynamically to the conditions. This ensures that the risk is controlled while allowing for flexibility in capturing profits during both high and low volatility periods.
Maximizing the Seasonal Edge:
By automating entries and exits based on specific months and combining that with dynamic risk management, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy takes advantage of seasonal patterns without requiring constant monitoring. The added re-entry feature after hitting a stop loss or take profit ensures that you are always in the game, maximizing your chances to capture profitable trades during favorable seasonal periods.
Who Can Benefit from This Strategy?
This strategy is perfect for traders who:
Want to exploit the predictable, recurring patterns that occur during specific months of the year.
Prefer a hands-off, automated trading approach that allows them to focus on other aspects of their portfolio or life.
Seek to manage risk effectively with ATR-based stop losses and take profits that adjust to market conditions.
Appreciate the ability to re-enter trades when a take profit or stop loss is hit within the month, ensuring that they don't miss out on multiple opportunities during a favorable period.
In summary, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy provides traders with a comprehensive tool to capitalize on seasonal trends, optimize their trading opportunities throughout the year, and manage risk effectively. The built-in re-entry system ensures you continue to benefit from the market even after hitting targets within the same month, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to maximize their edge in any market.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The Monthly Performance Strategy is designed to help traders identify seasonal trends, but past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to carefully consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading goals before using any strategy. Always use appropriate risk management and consult with a professional financial advisor if necessary. The use of this strategy does not eliminate the risk of losses, and traders should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment. Be sure to test the strategy on a demo account before applying it in live markets.
月圖表
Monthly Strategy Performance TableWhat Is This?
This script code adds a Monthly Strategy Performance Table to your Pine Script strategy scripts so you can see a month-by-month and year-by-year breakdown of your P&L as a percentage of your account balance.
The table is based on realized equity rather than open equity, so it only updates the metrics when a trade is closed.
That's why some numbers will not match the Strategy Tester metrics (such as max drawdown), as the Strategy Tester bases metrics like max drawdown on open trade equity and not realized equity (closed trades).
The script is still a work-in-progress, so make sure to read the disclaimer below. But I think it's ready to release the code for others to play around with.
How To Use It
The script code includes one of my strategies as an example strategy. You need to replace my strategy code with your own. To do that just copy the source code below into a blank script, delete lines 11 -> 60 and paste your strategy code in there instead of mine. The script should work with most systems, but make sure to read the disclaimer below.
It works best with a significant amount of historical data, so it may not work very effectively on intraday timeframes as there is a severe limitation of available bars on TradingView. I recommend using it on 4HR timeframes and above, as anything less will produce very little usable data. Having a premium TradingView plan will also help boost the number of available bars.
You can hover your mouse over a table cell to get more information in the form of tooltips (such as the Long and Short win rate if you hover over your total return cell).
Credit
The code in this script is based on open-source code originally written by QuantNomad, I've made significant changes and additions to the original script but all credit for the idea and especially the display table code goes to them - I just built on top of it:
Why Did I Make This?
None of this is trading or investment advice, just my personal opinion based on my experience as a trader and systems developer these past 6+ years:
The TradingView Strategy Tester is severely limited in some important ways. And unless you use complex Excel formulas on exported test data, you can't see a granular perspective of your system's historical performance.
There is much more to creating profitable and tradeable systems than developing a strategy with a good win rate and a good return with a reasonable drawdown.
Some additional questions we need to ask ourselves are:
What did the system's worst drawdown look like?
How long did it last?
How often do drawdowns occur, and how quickly are they typically recovered?
How often do we have a break-even or losing month or year?
What is our expected compounded annual growth rate, and how does that growth rate compare to our max drawdown?
And many more questions that are too long to list and take a lifetime of trading experience to answer.
Without answering these kinds of questions, we run the risk of developing systems that look good on paper, but when it comes to live trading, we are uncomfortable or incapable of enduring the system's granular characteristics.
This Monthly Performance Table script code is intended to help bridge some of that gap with the Strategy Tester's limited default performance data.
Disclaimer
I've done my best to ensure the numbers this code outputs are accurate, and according to my testing with my personal strategy scripts it appears to work fine. But there is always a good chance I've missed something, or that this code will not work with your particular system.
The majority of my TradingView systems are extremely simple single-target systems that operate on a closed-candle basis to minimize many of the data reliability issues with the Strategy Tester, so I was unable to do much testing with multiple targets and pyramiding etc.
I've included a Debug option in the script that will display important data and information on a label each time a trade is closed. I recommend using the Debug option to confirm that the numbers you see in the table are accurate and match what your strategy is actually doing.
Always do your own due diligence, verify all claims as best you can, and never take anyone's word for anything.
Take care, and best of luck with your trading :)
Kind regards,
Matt.
PS. If you're interested in learning how this script works, I have a free hour-long video lesson breaking down the source code - just check out the links below this script or in my profile.
Monthly Returns of a Strategy in a ChartIt's a simple example of how you can present your strategy's monthly performance in a chart.
You maybe know that there is no support of these kind of charts in TradingView so this chart is actually a table object under the hood.
Table visual appearance is customizable, you can change:
Location
Bar Width / High
Colors
Thanks to @MUQWISHI for hard work, for helping me coding it.
It's not about the strategy itself but the way you display returns on your chart. So pls don't critique my choice of the strategy and its performance 🙂
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Monthly Returns with BenchmarkI keep working on trying to make TradingView strategies look fancier.
A few months ago I published the first version of the Monthly Returns for Strategies in Pine Script. I received quite a lot of good feedback and quite a lot of requests to update it.
This is a more advanced version of the Monthly Returns, in it, you can:
Display monthly returns of your strategy, benchmark, and alpha over this benchmark.
Select benchmark to be another instrument
Select the date from which you want to compute monthly returns
Show/hide benchmark and alpha
Choose colors for gradient for gain/loss values
Use it with any type of strategy
Use it with replay
I hope it will be useful for you.
It's not about the strategy itself but the way you display returns on your chart. So pls don't critique my choice of the strategy and its performance 🙂
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Simple/Compounded Returns & Drawdowns TableVery excited to bring this script to the public. This is a very useful table that displays the performance of any strategy you give it in a more detailed view. It runs on all timeframes and at any position on the chart with the replay function. It also updates on tick changes. The table consists of three modes: Simple Equity, Compound Equity and Drawdown.
Simple Equity – shows the change in equity for every month and year. It is calculated by finding the difference in initial equity at the beginning of the month/year and the end of the month/year. The table will thus display strategy performance in blocks of time that are not correlated. It is an excellent way to see individual month/year performance from start to finish but it may not represent true change in equity over time. For example, let's assume that 100% of equity is used on every trade for simplicity. If a loss of 50% is made in the first month and a profit of 100% is made in the next month, the strategy will show 50% profit for the year. This aggregate value might be helpful to know for testing purposes, but in reality, the account is actually at break-even for the year (Initial Equity * 0.5 * 2 = Initial Equity).
Compound Equity – shows compounded change in equity for every month and year. It is calculated by finding the difference in starting equity when the strategy is run and equity at the end of the month/year. The table will thus display the true strategy performance – compounded equity at the end of each month/year.
Drawdown – shows max drawdown for every month and year. It is calculated by finding the difference between the highest equity achieved for the month/year and the trough in equity for the same month/year. Notice: strategy tester might have a max drawdown value higher than any of the drawdown values in the table. This is because the strategy tester calculates the difference between the highest and lowest equity for the entire strategy, whereas the table displays drawdowns for months and years only. Sometimes, the max drawdown for the year will also be the max drawdown for the entire strategy; hence the two values will be the same.
To use this table with your own strategy, simply find " PLACE YOUR STRATEGY CODE HERE " at the bottom of the script and place your strategy code there. Special thanks to QuantNomad for the inspiration. As always, please let me know if there are any bugs or if you need some help. Leave a like if you wish!
Monthly Returns in Strategies with Market BenchmarkThis is a modified version of this excellent script Monthly Returns in PineScript Strategues by QuantNomad
I liked and used the script but wanted to see how strategy performed vs market on each month/year. So I am sharing back.
The modification consists in adding Market or Buy & Hold performance between parenthesis inside each cell to better see how strategy performed vs market.
Also, 3 red levels and 3 green levels have been used :
For green :
1/ Light when strategy pnl > 0 but < market
2/ medium when strategy pnl > 0 and > market
3/ Dark when strategy pnl > 0 and market < 0 or pnl > market x 2
Same logic in the opposite direction for red.
The strategy provided here is just a showcase of how to use the table in pine script.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Monthly Returns in PineScript StrategiesI'm not 100% satisfied with the strategy performance output I receive from TradingView. Quite often I want to see something that is not available by default. I usually export raw trades/metrics from TradingView and then do additional analysis manually.
But with tables, you can build additional metrics and tools for your strategies quite easily.
This script will just show a table with monthly/yearly performance of your script. Quite a lot of traders/investors used to look at returns like that. Also, it might help you to identify periods of time when your strategy performed good/bad than expected and try to analyze that better.
The script is very simple and I believe you can easily apply it to your own strategies.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Buy every MonthThis strategy script simulates, if you invest every new month.
Features:
You can set a Date Range
You can set your Sparrate/how much you want to invest every month
In the Right Corner you can see, how much you invested so far
In the End of the Date Range, all positions get closed and you can see your performance.
Note: Please ignore the "Ordersize" Option from the Propeties Tab and use the "Ordersize / Sparrate" option from the Inputs Tab.
With best regards Embit0one.
Diese Strategie simuliert einen Sparplan der jeden Monat eine Summe x investiert.
Features:
Das Start und End Datum für den Sparplan ist frei wählbar
Die Sparrate pro Monat ist einstellbar
In der rechten oberen Ecke sieht man, wieviel bisher investiert wurde
Am End-Datum werden alle Positionen geschlossen und man kann sich das Ergebnis ansehen. Um zu sehen wieviel Prozent man gemacht hat, sollte man die investierte Summe im Feld "Initial Capital" eingeben und im Performance Tab der Strategy nachschauen.
Notiz: Bitte die Sparrate im Inputs Tab eingeben, der Wert im Propeties Tab wird nicht verwendet.
Mit freundlichen Grüßen Embit0one.
Heiken Ashi MTF Strategy- IndicatorHello, this is both a strategy and indicator that revolves around Heikin Ashi candles.
In this case we take 3 different time frames, in this example we use daily , weekly and monthly.
The conditions for entry are :
For long : we check that we have a green daily candle, at the same time we check that the weekly and monthly candles are also green.
For short : We check that all candles, daily, weekly and monthly and red.
For exit of long : as soon as 1 of the 3 candles, daily or weekly or monthly converts to red, we exit.
For exit of short : as soon as 1 of the 3 candles converts to green, we exit.
This strategy- indicator can be adapted to any type of market.
