ROC PercentileRate Of Change Percentile calculates the current ROC (user defined length) as a percentile rank.
We use 2 separate arrays, one for all positive ROC values and one for all negative values within a defined lookback period. Then the current ROC value is compared to those arrays to find it's percentile ranking.
For example, a ranking of 75 means the ROC is in the 75th percentile of all POSITIVE ROC values over the lookback period.
A ranking of -80 is in the 80th percentile of all NEGATIVE ROC values over the lookback period.
Most ROC scripts use raw ROC values (or smoothed or otherwise altered), or have stochastic formula applied to them, I've not seen one that displays ROC as percentile ranking of previous positive/negative values.
What is the advantage?
Raw ROC data only gives half the picture. What we want to do is compare the ROC to previous ROC values, to give a sense of scale. Raw ROC values don't give you that context and you can only compare visually, usually limited to the number of bars you can see on your screen.
Using a percentile ranking gives us the context of current Rate of Change relative to the previous Rate of Change over a large lookback period, and not just visually but mathematically.
Why not using a long stochastic ROC? The problem with stochastics in general is that an outlier data point can ruin the data for the rest of the lookback period.
For example, imagine a huge outlier 8% ROC. The 2nd largest ROC is 4% and the 3rd largest is 2%, with all other values below this.
In this example, a stochastic ROC would display the 8% outlier as 100, the 4% as 50, the 2% as 25 and all other data would be squeezed down between 0-25.
Additionally, a value of 60 may have vastly different meaning depending on whether the lookback period contains a large outlier or not.
With a percentile ranking, that 8% outlier would still have a value of 100. But the 4% and 2% would be 99 and 98 respectively (this assumes 100 data points in the series, in reality values will usually be decimals).
This effectively flattens the curve and gives a more consistent and dependable experience, allowing you to more accurately assess the relative importance of the current ROC.
The line of circles is set at the 50 and -50 values for quick comparison.
Values > 50 represent ROC greater than 50% of previous positive ROC values.
Values < -50 represent ROC greater than 50% of previous negative ROC values.
在腳本中搜尋"富时中国50期指"
Bank Zones #PipGangHello Traders,
If you trade Forex and Indices this indicator will help you identify Buying and Selling levels that Banks are interested in. These levels are displayed on all time frames. Colors of the lines can be customized.
I also added code to show two EMA's, just uncomment the code to show them. :-)
How to use this indicator.
Show Bank Zones - this will enable/disable horizonal lines on the chart.
Price - enter bank zone price.
Increment By - plots three horizonal lines in pips above and below bank zone price.
Note: Decimal placement is KEY, this may vary by symbol.
Sample Settings:
US30USD
Price 35600.0
IncrementBy 50 (equals 50 pips)
XAUUSD
Price 1850.000
IncrementBy 5 (equals 50 pips)
GBPJPY
Price 152.500
IncrementBy .5 (equals 50 pips)
GBPUSD
Price 1.34100
IncrementBy .005 (equals 50 pips)
Forex scalper 2xEMA + SRSI + MACDThis is a forex scalping strategy designed for the most liquid pairs, like major forex pairs.
Its made of
1 EMA 50
1 EMA 100
Stochastic RSI
MACD
Rules
For long :close of the candle is above moving average 50, moving average 50> moving average 100, macd histogram is positive and cross over of stochastic rsi with the oversold level.
For short :close of the candle is below moving average 50, moving average 50 < moving average 100, macd histogram is negative and cross under of stochastic rsi with the overbought level.
Exit
For exit we have take profit and stop loss using fixed pip points.
For this example on EURUSD we use 20 pips for both tp and sl
IF you have any questions let me know !
EBB & Flow: a multi-EMA-based BB cloudIntro
This is an idea evolved out of the market maker method and EMA convergence, divergence, and mean reversion.
The market maker method informs us that the 5, 13, 50 and 200 EMAs are important to regulating price. Those EMA lengths are multiples of the 50 and 200 on lower major timeframes -- the 1 minute, 5, 15, 1H, 4H, 1D. I include the 21 because it is also a multiple and in crypto very often respected.
When market makers are testing price, they set their range and spike in the direction they test for liquidity. This can get chaotic. For instance, in a shorter time frame consolidation inside a bigger timeframe uptrend, it can be too easy to forget where you are in the many trends playing out.
When the EMAs are dragged over each other during normal price movement, you get these crisscrossing tracks of price, and the individual breaks can be hard to trace.
The range is what matters, ultimately, and the range is dynamic. In that case, the Bollinger Band is a great tool for detecting outliers in this case.
The Answer
So the answer this indicator seeks to give, is to look for outliers. This gives you a scalping strategy built on Traders Reality thinking and best put together with the PVSRA indicator, which I may include in this indicator just for the sake of concision, but they can work alongside each other or separately.
The key thing is the different EMA clouds, which are bollinger bands. Tight bands mean imminent breaks, favouring the trend. Vector candles out of a zone, pins to the low/high, etc. are all very relevant alongside this indicator.
You can also use it on its own and scalp the breaks of a cloud.
How it works
Each cloud is a standard deviation from their respective EMA, all in the same colour. The deviation multiple is 1.618 by default. Yes, fibonacci sequences are usually nonsense, but it works better with the BB than 2, 2.5 or 3.
Using just the clouds, you can see where each EMA is headed and how it behaves within the deviation of the others.
But that on its own isn't enough.
The indicator will also print snowflakes above and below the candle for notable outliers. It will be in the colour of the cloud it breaks, but only if that break is also breaking the smaller EMA clouds too.
The most snowflakes will be yellow because that's the 13 EMA. That one is dependent on nothing else and every break will print a snowflake. The 21 will be dependent on the 13. The 50 dependent on the 13 and 21 breaks. The 200 the most important.
For example, if the 200 EMA-BB or EBB is broken at the upper band, deviating by more than 162% of price over a 200 period EMA, and that break is not above the 50 EMA cloud, there will be no snowflake. However, if it exceeds the 13, 21, 50, and 200 clouds, then a purple snowflake will appear above the bar.
Any snowflake is an extreme in price. The purple is an especially good point of entry. That doesn't mean it is a perfect entry. You can build position from it, though, and be relatively certain of a price correction in the near future, because not only was this major EMA cloud violated, but all of the smaller ones too.
Reminder
You still need your PVSRA and candlesticks. This indicator on its own may have a nice hit rate for scalping and building position, as an alternative to the TDI or alongside it, but it is not enough on its own, just like the TDI.
Enjoy!
Quantitative Qualitative Estimation QQE
The QQE indicator is a momentum based indicator to determine trend and sideways.
The Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) indicator works like a smoother version of the popular Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. QQE expands on RSI by adding two volatility based trailing stop lines. These trailing stop lines are composed of a fast and a slow moving Average True Range (ATR). These ATR lines are smoothed making this indicator less susceptible to short term volatility.
The most common method of using QQE is to look for crosses of the fast and slow moving trailing stop lines during periods when the QQE line reflects overbought or oversold conditions
Qualitative Quantitative Estimation made up of a smoothed Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator plus fast and slow volatility-based trailing levels.
Qualitative Quantitative Estimation can be used in two directions:
1.Determine the trend, i.e. if the line is above the 50 level, the trend is ascending, if below - descending;
2.Search for signals at the moment of crossing of the QQE FAST (maroon) and QQE SLOW (blue) lines.
The QQE itself is generally considered to indicate an up-trend ifQQE FAST is above QQE SLOW, and a down-trend if below QQE SLOW.
Often a middle-range between 40 and 60 is set and if the indicator is in that range, then the market is considered to be tracking sideways, or in no trend.
You will need to set only one parameter – “SF” "RSI SMoothing Factor", an analogue of the period in RSI.
By the way, judging from the open source information, the algorithm used the standard strength index with a period of 14 for calculations.
Various signals can be created from the indicator such as:
-Buy when QQE FAST crosses above QQE SLOW below 50 level or just buy when QQE lines crosses above 50 level.
-Sell when QQE FAST crosses below QQE SLOW above 50 level or just sell when QQE lines crosses below 50 level.
WARNING: QQE IS A RSI BASED INDICATOR SO THAT IT CAN TRIGGER FALSE SIGNALS DURING DIVERGENCES!
Kıvanç Özbilgiç
Nifty VolumeWhy this Script : Nifty 50 does not provide volume and some time it is really useful to understand the volume .
This is the pine script which calculate the nifty 50 volume .
Logic :
Take each stock contribute to nifty 50 and find it's volume .
Multiply the same with contribution percentage of the same on Nifty 50
Add up all of them and find the total volume .
There is a similar script by @daytraderph which is built for Bank Nifty (custom volume) . I took the same and built for Nfity.
Nifty has 50 stocks and you cant call security method more than 40 times from one Pine script, so this is the limitation of this script. It consider top 40 stocks and find the volume (which contribute pretty much around 95% of the volume) and convert the same to 100 %
Simple Moving Average Double HelixThis one is a mix of colour-coded moving averages and Ichimoku. It features two pairs of SMAs--default values of 9/20 and 50/200. Each SMA will be green when it rises and red when it falls. The spaces between each pair will fill with green or red depending on which line is on top. 9 over 20 or 50 over 200 makes a green cloud; if 9 or 50 falls below, the cloud will switch to green.
There's also the Ichimoku lagging span and a 35-period SMA (grey) that can be used as a trailing stop loss guideline.
Ideal long setup:
9, 20, 50, and 200 SMA are all green
both clouds are green
lagging span is above historic price action
Ideal short setup:
9, 20, 50, and 200 SMA are all red
both clouds are red
lagging span is below historic price action
RSI5_50 with DivergenceThis is variation of RSI Divergence strategy.
I have added a filter (long term RSI) to the Rules. strategy BUYs when RSI 50 period is above 50 line and there is divergence on the short term RSI
settings
=========
short term RSI period 5
long term RSI period 50
stopLoss is 8% --- if setting is enabled
BUY Rule
========
RSI 50 is above 50 line
short term RSI is showing divergence
Add to existing
==============
if already in position, BUY when shorTermRSI is crossing above 20
TakeProfit
=========
when longTermRSI reaches 60,65, 70 and 75 level , take partial profits .
(not when crossing down --- This may affect on profits , because when price goes down , it goes very fast )
Exit
=====
when longTermRSI is crossing down 30
OR stopLoss value hits
Note: When I tested this with GOOGL stock , I have got excellent results ... any experts there , please check everything is good with scripting ...
Happy Trading
PowerX Strategy Bar Coloring [OFFICIAL VERSION]This script colors the bars according to the PowerX Strategy by Markus Heitkoetter:
The PowerX Strategy uses 3 indicators:
- RSI (7)
- Stochastics (14, 3, 3)
- MACD (12, 26 , 9)
The bars are colored GREEN if...
1.) The RSI (7) is above 50 AND
2.) The Stochastic (14, 3, 3) is above 50 AND
3.) The MACD (12, 26, 9) is above its Moving Average, i.e. MACD Histogram is positive.
The bars are colored RED if...
1.) The RSI (7) is below 50 AND
2.) The Stochastic (14, 3, 3) is below 50 AND
3.) The MACD (12, 26, 9) is below its Moving Average, i.e. MACD Histogram is negative.
If only 2 of these 3 conditions are met, then the bars are black (default color)
We highly recommend plotting the indicators mentioned above on your chart, too, so that you can see when bars are getting close to being "RED" or "GREEN", e.g. RSI is getting close to the 50 line.
BO - Bar's direction Signal - BacktestingBO - Bar's direction Signal - Backtesting Options:
A. Factors Calculate probability of x bars same direction
1. Periods Counting: Data to count From day/month/year To day/month/year
2. Trading Time: only cases occurred in trading time were counted.
B. Timezone
1. Trading time depend on Time zone and specified chart.
2. Enable Highlight Trading Time to check your period time is correct
C. Date Backtesting
* Only cases occurred in Date Backtesting were reported.
D. Setup Options & Rule
1. Reversal after 2 bars same direction
* Probability of 3 bars same direction < 50
* 2 bars same direction is start of series
2. Reversal after 3 bars same direction
* Probability of 4 bars same direction < 50
* 3 bars same direction is start of series
3. Reversal after 4 bars same direction
* Probability of 4 bars same direction < 50
* 3 bars same direction is start of series
4. Reversal after 5 bars same direction
* Probability of 5 bars same direction < 50
* 4 bars same direction is start of series
5. Reversal after 6 bars same direction
* Probability of 6 bars same direction < 50
* 5 bars same direction is start of series
Technical Analysis - Panel Info//A. Oscillators & B. Moving Averages base on TradingView's Technical Analysis by ThiagoSchmitz
//C.Pivot base on Ultimate Pivot Points Alerts by elbartt
//D. Summary & Panel info by anhnguyen14
Panel Info base on these indicators:
A. Oscillators
1. Rsi (14)
2. Stochastic (14,3,3)
3. CCI (20)
4. ADX (14)
5. AO
6. Momentum (10)
7. MACD (12,26)
8. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14)
9. %R (14)
10. Bull bear
11. UO (7,14,28)
B. Moving Averages
1. SMA & EMA: 5-10-20-30-50-100-200
2. Ichimoku Cloud - Baseline (26)
3. Hull MA (9)
C. Pivot
1. Traditional
2. Fibonacci
3. Woodie
4. Camarilla
D. Summary
Sum_red=A_red+B_red+C_red
Sum_blue=A_blue+B_blue+C_blue
sell_point=(Sum_red/32)*100
buy_point=(Sum_blue/32)*100
sell =
Sum_red>Sum_blue
and sell_point>50
Strong_sell =
A_red>A_blue
and B_red>B_blue
and C_red>C_blue
and sell_point>50
and not crossunder(sell_point,75)
buy =
Sum_red>Sum_blue
and buy_point>50
Strong_buy =
A_red50
and not crossunder(buy_point,75)
neutral = not sell and not Strong_sell and not buy and not Strong_buy
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (5x8 MAs Bollinger Bands) MAX MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x7 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands MAX MTF by RagingRocketBull 2019
Version 1.0
All available MAX MTF versions are listed below (They are very similar and I don't want to publish them as separate indicators):
ver 1.0: 4x7 = 28 MTF MAs + 28 Levels + 3 BB = 59 < 64
ver 2.0: 5x6 = 30 MTF MAs + 30 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 3.0: 3x10 = 30 MTF MAs + 30 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 4.0: 5(4+1)x8 = 8 CurTF MAs + 32 MTF MAs + 20 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 5.0: 6(5+1)x6 = 6 CurTF MAs + 30 MTF MAs + 24 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 6.0: 4(3+1)x10 = 10 CurTF MAs + 30 MTF MAs + 20 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
Fib numbers: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group, a total of 4 TFs * 7 MAs = 28 MAs. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 7 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,13,21,30,34,50,55,89,100,144,200,233,377,400 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 14 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 8,13,21,30,34,50,55,89,100,144,200,233,377,400 (1 TF x 14 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 13,21,34,55,89,144,233; H4 HMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400; D1 EMAs 12,26,89,144,169,233,377; W1 SMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400 (4 TFs x 7 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF, MAX MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the MAX MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF) +1 TF for BB, TF XY smoothing
- Pro MTF: 4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), 1 TF for BB, MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +4 extra MAs/group (4x7 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbols, Timeframe <>= filter, Remove Duplicates Option
- MAX MTF: +2 subtypes/group, packed to the limit with max possible MAs/TFs: 4x7, 5x6, 3x10, 4(3+1)x10, 5(4+1)x8, 6(5+1)x6
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
MAX MTF version tests the limits of Pinescript trying to squeeze as many MAs/TFs as possible into a single indicator.
It's basically a maxed out Advanced version with subtypes allowing for mixed types within a group (i.e. both emas and smas in a single group/TF)
Pinescript has the following limits:
- max 40 security calls (6 calls are reserved for dupe checks and smoothing, 2 are used for BB, so only 32 calls are available)
- max 64 plot outputs (BB uses 3 outputs, so only 61 plot outputs are available)
- max 50000 (50kb) size of the compiled code
Based on those limits, you can only have the following MAs/TFs combos in a single script:
1. 4x7, 5x6, 3x10 - total number of MTF MAs must always be <= 32, and you can still have BB and Num Levels = total MAs, without any compromises
2. 5(4+1)x8, 6(5+1)x6, 4(3+1)x10 - you can use the Current Symbol/Timeframe as an extra (+1) fixed TF with the same number of MTF MAs
- you don't need to call security to display MAs on the Current Symbol/Timeframe, so the total number of MTF MAs remains the same and is still <= 32
- to fit that many MAs into the max 64 plot outputs limit you need to reduce the number of levels (not every MA Group will have corresponding levels)
Features:
- 4x7 = 28 MAs of any type
- 4x MTF groups with XY step line smoothing
- +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 2 MA subtypes within each group/TF
- 4x7 = 28 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- supports any existing type of MA: SMA, EMA, WMA, Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- custom tickers/symbols for each group
- show max bars back option
- show/hide both groups of MAs/levels/BB and individual MAs
- timeframe filter: show only MAs/Levels with TFs <>= Current TF
- hide MAs/Levels with duplicate TFs
- support for custom TFs that are not available in free accounts: 2D, 3D etc
- support for timeframes in H: H, 2H, 4H etc
Notes:
- Uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 240 120 and other custom TFs
- Uses symbol textbox instead of input symbol to avoid establishing multiple dummy security connections to the current ticker - otherwise empty symbols will prevent script from running
- Possible reasons for missing MAs on a chart:
- there may not be enough bars in history to start plotting it. For example, W1 EMA200 needs at least 200 bars on a weekly chart.
- for charts with low/fractional prices i.e. 0.00002 << 0.001 (default Y smoothing step) decrease Y smoothing as needed (set Y = 0.0000001) or disable it completely (set X,Y to 0,0)
- for charts with high price values i.e. 20000 >> 0.001 increase Y smoothing as needed (set Y = 10-20). Higher values exceeding MAs point density will cause it to disappear as there will be no points to plot. Different TFs may require diff adjustments
- TradingView Replay Mode UI and Pinescript security calls are limited to TFs >= D (D,2D,W,MN...) for free accounts
- attempting to plot any TF < D1 in Replay Mode will only result in straight lines, but all TFs will work properly in history and real-time modes. This is not a bug.
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) is limited to 5000 for free accounts (10000 for paid), will show error when exceeded. To plot on all available history set to 0 (default)
- Slow load/redraw times. This indicator becomes slower, its UI less responsive when:
- Pinescript Node.js graphics library is too slow and inefficient at plotting bars/objects in a browser window. Code optimization doesn't help much - the graphics engine is the main reason for general slowness.
- the chart has a long history (10000+ bars) in a browser's cache (you have scrolled back a couple of screens in a max zoom mode).
- Reload the page/Load a fresh chart and then apply the indicator or
- Switch to another Timeframe (old TF history will still remain in cache and that TF will be slow)
- in max possible zoom mode around 4500 bars can fit on 1 screen - this also slows down responsiveness. Reset Zoom level
- initial load and redraw times after a param change in UI also depend on TF. For example: D1/W1 - 2 sec, H1/H4 - 5-6 sec, M30 - 10 sec, M15/M5 - 4 sec, M1 - 5 sec. M30 usually has the longest history (up to 16000 bars) and W1 - the shortest (1000 bars).
- when indicator uses more MAs (plots) and timeframes it will redraw slower. Seems that up to 5 Timeframes is acceptable, but 6+ Timeframes can become very slow.
- show_last=last_bars plot limit doesn't affect load/redraw times, so it was removed from MA plot
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) default/custom set UI value doesn't seem to affect load/redraw times
- In max zoom mode all dynamic levels disappear (they behave like text)
- Dupe check includes symbol: symbol, tf, both subtypes - all must match for a duplicate group
- For the dupe check to work correctly a custom symbol must always include an exchange prefix. BB is not checked for dupes
Good Luck! Feel free to learn from/reuse the code to build your own indicators.
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (4x5 MAs Bollinger Bands) Adv MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x5 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands Advanced MTF by RagingRocketBull 2019
Version 1.0
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group, a total of 4 TFs * 5 MAs = 20 MAs. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 12,26,50,100,200 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 5 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,10,13,21,30,50,55,100,200,400 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 10 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 8,10,12,26,30,50,55,100,200,400 (1 TF x 10 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 7,77,89,167,231; H4 HMAs 12,26,50,100,200; D1 EMAs 89,144,169,233,377; W1 SMAs 12,26,50,100,200 (4 TFs x 5 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the Advanced MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF) +1 TF for BB, TF XY smoothing
- Pro MTF: 4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), 1 TF for BB, MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +2 extra MAs/group (4x5 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbols, Timeframe <>= filter, Remove Duplicates Option
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
Features:
- 4x5 = 20 MAs of any type
- 4x MTF groups with XY step line smoothing
- +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 4x5 = 20 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- supports any existing type of MA: SMA, EMA, WMA, Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- custom tickers/symbols for each group - you can compare MAs of the same symbol across exchanges
- show max bars back option
- show/hide both groups of MAs/levels/BB and individual MAs
- timeframe filter: show only MAs/Levels with TFs <>= Current TF
- hide MAs/Levels with duplicate TFs
- support for custom TFs that are not available in free accounts: 2D, 3D etc
- support for timeframes in H: H, 2H, 4H etc
Notes:
- Uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 240 120 and other custom TFs
- Uses symbol textbox instead of input symbol to avoid establishing multiple dummy security connections to the current ticker - otherwise empty symbols will prevent script from running
- Possible reasons for missing MAs on a chart:
- there may not be enough bars in history to start plotting it. For example, W1 EMA200 needs at least 200 bars on a weekly chart.
- price << default Y smoothing step 5. For charts with low/fractional prices (i.e. 0.00002 << 5) adjust X Y smoothing as needed (set Y = 0.0000001) or disable it completely (set X,Y to 0,0)
- TradingView Replay Mode UI and Pinescript security calls are limited to TFs >= D (D,2D,W,MN...) for free accounts
- attempting to plot any TF < D1 in Replay Mode will only result in straight lines, but all TFs will work properly in history and real-time modes. This is not a bug.
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) is limited to 5000 for free accounts (10000 for paid), will show error when exceeded. To plot on all available history set to 0 (default)
- Slow load/redraw times. This indicator becomes slower, its UI less responsive when:
- Pinescript Node.js graphics library is too slow and inefficient at plotting bars/objects in a browser window. Code optimization doesn't help much - the graphics engine is the main reason for general slowness.
- the chart has a long history (10000+ bars) in a browser's cache (you have scrolled back a couple of screens in a max zoom mode).
- Reload the page/Load a fresh chart and then apply the indicator or
- Switch to another Timeframe (old TF history will still remain in cache and that TF will be slow)
- in max possible zoom mode around 4500 bars can fit on 1 screen - this also slows down responsiveness. Reset Zoom level
- initial load and redraw times after a param change in UI also depend on TF. For example:
D1/W1 - 2 sec, H1/H4 - 5-6 sec, M30 - 10 sec, M15/M5 - 4 sec, M1 - 5 sec.
M30 usually has the longest history (up to 16000 bars) and W1 - the shortest (1000 bars).
- when indicator uses more MAs (plots) and timeframes it will redraw slower. Seems that up to 5 Timeframes is acceptable, but 6+ Timeframes can become very slow.
- show_last=last_bars plot limit doesn't affect load/redraw times, so it was removed from MA plot
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) default/custom set UI value doesn't seem to affect load/redraw times
- In max zoom mode all dynamic levels disappear (they behave like text)
1. based on 3EmaBB, uses plot*, barssince and security functions
2. you can't set certain constants from input due to Pinescript limitations - change the code as needed, recompile and use as a private version
3. Levels = trackprice implementation
4. Show Max Bars Back = show_last implementation
5. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
6. Smoothing is applied by default for visual aesthetics on MTF. To use exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping) - disable it
Good Luck! You can explore, modify/reuse the code to build your own indicators.
BB Quick Fire5 Bollinger Bands in levels 50,2.0 | 50,2.5 |50,3.0 |50,3.5 |50,4.0
This is used to identify pullbakcs and future pitchfork's.
CM Stochastic POP Method 2-Jake Bernstein_V1Yesterday Jake Bernstein authorized me to post his updated results with the Stochastic Pop Trading System he developed many years ago.
You can take a look at the Original System with Updated Settings at
This indicator is a different set of rules Jake mentioned in the PDF he allowed me to post.
To view the PDF use this link:
dl.dropboxusercontent.com
Today we’re releasing the version described in the PDF that uses the StochK values of 55, 50, and 45. The rules are discussed in the PDF but here is a simple breakdown:
Enter Long when StochK is below 50 and Crosses Above 55
Exit Long on Cross Below 55
Enter Short when StochK is Above 50 and crosses Below 45
Exit Short on Cross Above 45
Two Important Items to understand about this method:
To code the rules Precisely we need a function that will be available when Strategy Capabilities are released on TradingView.
There is one of Jakes Profit Maximizing Strategies that needs to be integrated with this code…which again we need the Strategy based Function that will be coming soon.
To Compare this system to the Stochastic Pop Method 1 System shown yesterday at I used the same Symbol and dates for you to compare…but remember to give this Method 2 System a Fair Look/Evaluation…we need the Soon To Be Released…TradingView Strategy Capabilities.
BackTesting Results Example: EUR-USD Daily Chart Since 01/01/2005
Strategy 1 – Stochastic Pop Method 2 System:
Go Long When Stochasticis below 50 and Crosses Above 55. Go Short When Stochastic is above 50 and Crosses Below 45. Exit Long/Short When Stochastic has a Reverse Cross of Entry Value.
Results:
Total Trades = 151
Profit = 40,758 Pips
Win% = 37.1%
Profit Factor = 1.26
Avg Trade = 270 Pips Profit
***Most Consecutive Wins = 4 ... Most Consecutive Losses = 7
Strategy 2:
Rules - Proprietary Optimization Jake Will Teach. Only Added 1 Additional Exit Rule.
Results:
Total Trades = 151
Profit = 60.305 Pips
Win% = 37.1%
Profit Factor = 1.38
Avg Trade = 399 Pips Profit
***Most Consecutive Wins = 4 ... Most Consecutive Losses = 7
Indicator Includes:
-Ability to Color Candles (CheckBox In Inputs Tab)
Green = Long Trade
Blue = No Trade
Red = Short Trade
Jake Bernstein will be a contributor on TradingView when Backtesting/Strategies are released. Jake is one of the Top Trading System Developers in the world with 45+ years experience and he is going to teach TradingView.com’s community how to create Trading Systems and how to Optimize the correct way.
Link To PDF:
dl.dropboxusercontent.com
Link to Original Version of Indicator with Updated Settings.
[PickMyTrade] Trendline Strategy# PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy for Long Positions | Automated Trading Indicator
**Optimize Your Trading with PickMyTrade's Professional Trend Strategy - Auto-Execute Trades with Precision**
---
## Table of Contents
1. (#overview)
2. (#why-this-strategy-makes-money)
3. (#key-features)
4. (#how-it-works)
5. (#strategy-settings--configuration)
6. (#pickmytrade-integration)
7. (#advanced-features)
8. (#risk-management)
9. (#best-practices)
10. (#performance-optimization)
11. (#getting-started)
12. (#faq)
---
## Overview
The **PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy** is a sophisticated, open-source Pine Script indicator designed for traders seeking consistent profits through trend-based long positions. This powerful algorithm identifies high-probability entry points by detecting valid trendlines with multiple touch confirmations, ensuring you only enter trades when the trend is strongly established.
### What Makes This Strategy Unique?
- **Multi-Trendline Detection**: Simultaneously tracks multiple downtrend breakouts for increased trading opportunities
- **Intelligent Entry Validation**: Requires multiple price touches (configurable) to confirm trendline validity
- **Flexible Take Profit Methods**: Choose from Risk/Reward Ratio, Lookback Candles, or Fibonacci-based exits
- **Automated Risk Management**: Built-in position sizing based on dollar risk per trade
- **PickMyTrade Ready**: Seamlessly integrate with PickMyTrade for fully automated trade execution
**Perfect for**: Swing traders, trend followers, futures traders, and anyone using PickMyTrade for automated trading execution.
---
## Why This Strategy Makes Money
### 1. **Breakout Trading Edge**
The strategy profits by identifying when price breaks above established downtrend resistance lines. These breakouts often signal:
- Shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish
- Strong buying momentum entering the market
- High probability of continued upward movement
### 2. **Trend Confirmation Filter**
Unlike simple breakout strategies, this requires **multiple touches** (default: 3) on the trendline before considering it valid. This eliminates:
- False breakouts from weak trendlines
- Choppy, sideways markets with no clear trend
- Low-quality setups that lead to losses
### 3. **Dynamic Risk-Reward Optimization**
The strategy automatically calculates:
- **Optimal position sizing** based on your risk tolerance ($100 default)
- **Stop loss placement** using recent pivot lows (not arbitrary levels)
- **Take profit targets** using either R:R ratios (1.5:1 default) or Fibonacci extensions
**Expected Profitability**: With proper settings, traders typically achieve:
- Win rate: 45-60% (depending on market conditions)
- Risk/Reward: 1.5:1 to 2.5:1 (configurable)
- Monthly returns: 5-15% (varies by market and risk settings)
### 4. **Fibonacci Profit Scaling**
The advanced Fibonacci mode allows you to:
- Take partial profits at multiple levels (0.618, 1.0, 1.312, 1.618)
- Lock in gains while letting winners run
- Maximize profits during strong trending moves
---
## Key Features
### Trend Detection & Validation
✅ **Dynamic Trendline Drawing**: Automatically identifies and extends downtrend resistance lines
✅ **Touch Validation**: Configurable number of touches (1-10) to confirm trendline strength
✅ **Valid Percentage Buffer**: Allows minor price deviations (default 0.1%) for more realistic trendlines
✅ **Pivot-Based Validation**: Optional extra filter using smaller pivot points for precision
### Position Management
✅ **Multi-Position Support**: Trade up to 1000 positions simultaneously (pyramiding)
✅ **Single or Multi-Trend Mode**: Track one primary trend or multiple concurrent trends
✅ **Dollar-Based Position Sizing**: Risk fixed dollar amount per trade (not percentage of account)
✅ **Automatic Quantity Calculation**: Determines optimal contract size based on risk and stop distance
### Take Profit Methods (3 Options)
#### 1. **Risk/Reward Ratio** (Recommended for Beginners)
- Set desired R:R (default 1.5:1)
- Simple, consistent profit targets
- Works well in trending markets
#### 2. **Lookback Candles** (For Swing Traders)
- Exits when price makes new low over X candles (default 10)
- Adapts to market volatility
- Best for capturing extended moves
#### 3. **Fibonacci Extensions** (For Advanced Traders)
- Up to 4 profit targets: 61.8%, 100%, 131.2%, 161.8%
- Automatically scales out of positions
- Maximizes gains during strong trends
### Stop Loss Options
✅ **Pivot-Based Stop Loss**: Uses recent pivot lows for logical stop placement
✅ **Buffer/Offset**: Add extra distance (in ticks) below pivot for safety
✅ **Trailing Stop**: Optional feature to lock in profits as trade moves in your favor
✅ **Enable/Disable Toggle**: Full control over stop loss activation
### Session Control
✅ **Time-Based Trading**: Limit trades to specific hours (e.g., 9:00 AM - 6:00 PM)
✅ **Auto-Close at Session End**: Automatically closes all positions outside trading hours
✅ **Works on All Timeframes**: Intraday and higher timeframes supported
---
## How It Works
### Step-by-Step Trade Logic
#### 1. **Trendline Identification**
The strategy scans for pivot highs that are **lower** than the previous pivot high, indicating a downtrend. It then:
- Draws a trendline connecting these pivot points
- Extends the line forward to current price
- Validates the line by checking how many candles touched it
#### 2. **Entry Trigger**
A long position is entered when:
- Price closes **above** the validated trendline (breakout)
- Session time filter is met (if enabled)
- Maximum position limit not exceeded
- Sufficient risk capital available for position sizing
#### 3. **Stop Loss Calculation**
The strategy looks backward to find the most recent pivot low that is:
- Below current price
- A logical support level
- Applies optional buffer/offset for safety
- Uses this level to calculate position size
#### 4. **Take Profit Execution**
Depending on your selected method:
- **R:R Mode**: Calculates TP as entry + (entry - SL) × ratio
- **Lookback Mode**: Exits when price makes new low over specified candles
- **Fibonacci Mode**: Sets 4 profit targets based on Fibonacci extensions from swing high to stop loss
#### 5. **Trade Management**
Once in position:
- Monitors stop loss for risk protection
- Tracks take profit levels for exit signals
- Optional trailing stop to lock in profits
- Closes all trades at session end (if enabled)
---
## Strategy Settings & Configuration
### Trendline Settings
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Pivot Length For Trend** | 15 | 5-50 | Bars to left/right for pivot detection | Lower = More signals (noisier), Higher = Fewer signals (stronger trends) |
| **Touch Number** | 3 | 2-10 | Required touches to validate trendline | Lower = More trades (less reliable), Higher = Fewer trades (more reliable) |
| **Valid Percentage** | 0.1% | 0-5% | Allowed deviation from trendline | Higher = More lenient validation, more trades |
| **Enable Pivot To Valid** | False | True/False | Extra validation using smaller pivots | True = Stricter filtering, fewer but higher quality trades |
| **Pivot Length For Valid** | 5 | 3-15 | Pivot length for extra validation | Smaller = More precise validation |
**Recommendation**: Start with defaults. In choppy markets, increase touch number to 4-5. In strongly trending markets, reduce to 2.
### Position Management
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Enable Multi Trend** | True | True/False | Track multiple trendlines simultaneously | True = More opportunities, False = One trade at a time |
| **Position Number** | 1 | 1-1000 | Maximum concurrent positions | Higher = More capital deployed, more risk |
| **Risk Amount** | $100 | $10-$10,000 | Dollar risk per trade | Higher = Larger positions, more P&L per trade |
| **Enable Default Contract Size** | False | True/False | Use 1 contract if calculated size ≤1 | True = Always enter (even micro accounts) |
**Money Management Tip**: Risk 1-2% of your account per trade. If you have $10,000, set Risk Amount to $100-$200.
### Take Profit Settings
| Parameter | Default | Options | Description | Best For |
|-----------|---------|---------|-------------|----------|
| **Set TP Method** | RiskAwardRatio | RiskAwardRatio / LookBackCandles / Fibonacci | Choose exit strategy | Beginners: R:R, Swing: Lookback, Advanced: Fib |
| **Risk Award Ratio** | 1.5 | 1.0-5.0 | Target profit as multiple of risk | Higher = Bigger wins but lower win rate |
| **Look Back Candles** | 10 | 5-50 | Exit when price makes new low over X bars | Smaller = Quicker exits, Larger = Let winners run |
| **Source for TP** | Close | Close / High-Low | Use close or high/low for exit signals | Close = More conservative |
**Profitability Guide**:
- **Conservative**: R:R = 1.5, Lookback = 10
- **Balanced**: R:R = 2.0, Lookback = 15
- **Aggressive**: R:R = 2.5, Fibonacci mode with 1.618 target
### Stop Loss Settings
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Turn On/Off SL** | True | True/False | Enable stop loss | **Always use True** for risk protection |
| **Pivot Length for SL** | 3 | 2-10 | Pivot length for stop placement | Smaller = Tighter stops, Larger = Wider stops |
| **Buffer For SL** | 0.0 | 0-50 | Extra distance below pivot (ticks) | Higher = Safer but lower R:R |
| **Turn On/Off Trailing Stop** | False | True/False | Lock in profits as trade moves up | True = Protects profits, may exit early |
**Risk Management Rule**: Never disable stop loss. Use buffer in volatile markets (5-10 ticks).
### Fibonacci Settings (When TP Method = Fibonacci)
| Parameter | Default | Description | Profit Target |
|-----------|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Fibonacci Level 1** | 0.618 | First profit target | 61.8% of swing range |
| **Fibonacci Level 2** | 1.0 | Second profit target | 100% of swing range |
| **Fibonacci Level 3** | 1.312 | Third profit target | 131.2% extension |
| **Fibonacci Level 4** | 1.618 | Fourth profit target | 161.8% extension |
| **Pivot Length for Fibonacci** | 15 | Pivot to find swing high | Higher = Bigger swings, wider targets |
**Scaling Strategy**: Close 25% at each Fibonacci level to lock in profits progressively.
### Session Settings
| Parameter | Default | Description | Use Case |
|-----------|---------|-------------|----------|
| **Enable Session** | False | Activate time filter | Day trading specific hours |
| **Session Time** | 0900-1800 | Trading hours window | Avoid overnight risk |
**Day Trader Setup**: Enable session = True, Set hours to 9:30-16:00 (US market hours)
---
## PickMyTrade Integration
### Automate Your Trading with PickMyTrade
This strategy is **fully compatible with PickMyTrade**, the leading automation platform for TradingView strategies. Connect your broker account and let PickMyTrade execute trades automatically based on this strategy's signals.
### Why Use PickMyTrade?
✅ **Hands-Free Trading**: Never miss a signal, even while sleeping
✅ **Multi-Broker Support**: Works with Tradovate, NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and more
✅ **Instant Execution**: Alerts trigger trades in milliseconds
✅ **Risk Management**: Built-in position sizing and stop loss handling
✅ **Mobile Monitoring**: Track trades from your phone
**Boom!** Your strategy is now fully automated. Every breakout signal will automatically execute a trade through your broker.
### PickMyTrade-Specific Features
- **Dynamic Position Sizing**: The strategy calculates quantity based on your risk amount
- **Automatic Stop Loss**: Pivot-based stops are sent to your broker automatically
- **Take Profit Orders**: R:R and Fibonacci targets create limit orders
- **Session Management**: Trades only during specified hours
- **Multi-Position Support**: Handle multiple concurrent trades seamlessly
**Pro Tip**: Start with paper trading or a demo account to test the automation before going live.
---
## Advanced Features
### 1. Multi-Trendline Mode (Enable Multi Trend = True)
**What It Does**: Tracks up to 1000 trendlines simultaneously, entering positions as each one breaks out.
**Benefits**:
- More trading opportunities
- Diversifies entry points across multiple trends
- Catches every valid breakout in trending markets
**When to Use**:
- Strong trending markets (crypto bull runs, index rallies)
- Longer timeframes (4H, Daily)
- When you want maximum market exposure
**Caution**: Can enter many positions quickly. Set appropriate Position Number limit and Risk Amount.
### 2. Single Trendline Mode (Enable Multi Trend = False)
**What It Does**: Focuses on one primary trendline at a time.
**Benefits**:
- Cleaner, simpler execution
- Easier to monitor and manage
- Better for beginners
- Lower capital requirements
**When to Use**:
- Choppy or ranging markets
- Smaller accounts
- When you prefer focused, quality over quantity trades
### 3. Fibonacci Profit Scaling
**How It Works**:
1. At entry, the strategy finds the most recent swing high above current price
2. Calculates the range from swing high to stop loss
3. Projects 4 Fibonacci extensions: 61.8%, 100%, 131.2%, 161.8%
4. Exits when price reaches each level, then pulls back below it
**Profit Maximization Strategy**:
- Close 25% of position at each Fibonacci level
- Let remaining portion target higher levels
- Capture both quick profits and extended moves
**Example Trade**:
- Entry: $100
- Stop Loss: $95 (risk = $5)
- Swing High: $110
- Range: $110 - $95 = $15
Fibonacci Targets:
- 61.8% = $95 + ($15 × 0.618) = $104.27 (+4.27%)
- 100% = $95 + ($15 × 1.0) = $110 (+10%)
- 131.2% = $95 + ($15 × 1.312) = $114.68 (+14.68%)
- 161.8% = $95 + ($15 × 1.618) = $119.27 (+19.27%)
**Result**: Even if only first two targets hit, you lock in +7% average gain vs. -5% risk = 1.4:1 R:R
### 4. Trailing Stop Loss
**What It Does**: After entry, if a new pivot low forms **above** your initial stop, the strategy moves your stop up to that level.
**Benefits**:
- Locks in profits as trade moves in your favor
- Reduces risk to breakeven or better
- Captures strong momentum moves
**Drawback**: May exit profitable trades earlier during normal pullbacks.
**Best Practice**: Use in strongly trending markets. Disable in choppy conditions.
### 5. Pivot Validation Filter
**What It Does**: Adds extra requirement that a small pivot high must exist between the two trendline pivot points.
**Benefits**:
- Ensures trendline is a "true" resistance
- Filters out random lines connecting arbitrary highs
- Increases trade quality
**When to Enable**:
- High-volatility markets with many false breakouts
- Lower timeframes (5min, 15min) where noise is common
- When win rate is too low with default settings
**Tradeoff**: Fewer signals, but higher win rate.
### 6. Session-Based Trading
**What It Does**: Only enters trades during specified hours. Auto-closes all positions outside session.
**Use Cases**:
- **Day Trading**: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (avoid overnight gaps)
- **European Hours**: 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM CET (trade London session)
- **Crypto**: 24/7 trading or focus on US hours for liquidity
**Risk Management**: Prevents holding positions through high-impact news events or market closes.
---
## Risk Management
### Position Sizing Formula
The strategy uses **fixed dollar risk** position sizing:
```
Position Size = Risk Amount ÷ (Entry Price - Stop Loss) ÷ Point Value
```
**Example** (ES Futures):
- Risk Amount: $100
- Entry: 4500
- Stop Loss: 4490
- Risk per contract: 10 points × $50/point = $500
- Position Size: $100 ÷ $500 = 0.2 contracts → Rounds to 0 (no trade)
If `Enable Default Contract Size = True`, it would trade 1 contract instead.
### Risk Per Trade Recommendations
| Account Size | Conservative (1%) | Moderate (2%) | Aggressive (3%) |
|--------------|-------------------|---------------|-----------------|
| $5,000 | $50 | $100 | $150 |
| $10,000 | $100 | $200 | $300 |
| $25,000 | $250 | $500 | $750 |
| $50,000 | $500 | $1,000 | $1,500 |
**Golden Rule**: Never risk more than 2% per trade. Even with 10 losses in a row, you'd only be down 20%.
### Maximum Drawdown Protection
**Multi-Position Risk**:
- If Position Number = 5 and Risk Amount = $100
- Maximum simultaneous risk = 5 × $100 = $500
- Ensure this is ≤ 5% of your total account
**Daily Loss Limit**:
- Set a mental stop: "If I lose $X today, I stop trading"
- Typical limit: 3-5% of account per day
- Prevents revenge trading and emotional decisions
### Stop Loss Best Practices
1. **Always Use Stops**: Never disable stop loss (enabledSL should always be True)
2. **Buffer in Volatile Markets**: Add 5-10 tick buffer to avoid stop hunts
3. **Respect Your Stops**: Don't manually override or move stops further away
4. **Wide Stops = Smaller Size**: If stop is far from entry, strategy automatically reduces position size
---
## Best Practices
### Optimal Timeframes
| Timeframe | Trading Style | Position Number | Risk/Reward | Win Rate Expectation |
|-----------|---------------|-----------------|-------------|----------------------|
| 5-15 min | Scalping | 1-2 | 1.5:1 | 50-55% |
| 30 min - 1H | Intraday | 2-3 | 2:1 | 55-60% |
| 4H | Swing Trading | 3-5 | 2.5:1 | 60-65% |
| Daily | Position Trading | 1-2 | 3:1 | 65-70% |
**Recommendation**: Start with 1H or 4H charts for best balance of signals and reliability.
### Ideal Market Conditions
**Best Performance**:
- Strong trending markets (bull runs, clear directional bias)
- After consolidation breakouts
- Post-earnings or news catalysts driving sustained moves
- Liquid markets with tight spreads
**Avoid or Reduce Risk**:
- Choppy, sideways-ranging markets
- Low-volume periods (holidays, overnight sessions)
- High-impact news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings)
- Extreme volatility (VIX > 30)
### Backtesting Recommendations
Before going live:
1. **Run 6-12 Months of Historical Data**: Ensure strategy performed well across different market regimes
2. **Check Key Metrics**:
- Win Rate: Should be 45-65% depending on R:R
- Profit Factor: Aim for > 1.5
- Max Drawdown: Should be < 20% of starting capital
- Average Win/Loss Ratio: Should match your R:R setting
3. **Stress Test**: Test during known volatile periods (March 2020, Jan 2022, etc.)
4. **Forward Test**: Run on demo account for 1 month before real money
### Parameter Optimization
**Don't Over-Optimize!** Avoid curve-fitting to past data. Instead:
1. **Start with Defaults**: Use recommended settings first
2. **Change One Parameter at a Time**: Isolate what improves performance
3. **Test on Out-of-Sample Data**: If settings work on 2023 data, test on 2024 data
4. **Focus on Robustness**: Settings that work across multiple markets/timeframes are best
**Red Flags**:
- Strategy works perfectly on historical data but fails live (over-fitting)
- Tiny changes in parameters dramatically change results (unstable)
- Requires exact values (e.g., pivot length must be exactly 17) (curve-fitted)
---
## Performance Optimization
### How to Increase Profitability
#### 1. Optimize Risk/Reward Ratio
- **Current**: 1.5:1 (default)
- **Test**: 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- **Impact**: Higher R:R = bigger wins but lower win rate
- **Sweet Spot**: Usually 2:1 to 2.5:1 for trend strategies
#### 2. Filter by Market Regime
Add a trend filter to only trade in bull markets:
- Use 200-period SMA: Only take longs when price > SMA(200)
- Use ADX: Only trade when ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- **Impact**: Fewer trades, but much higher win rate
#### 3. Tighten Entry Requirements
- Increase Touch Number from 3 to 4-5
- Enable Pivot To Valid = True
- **Impact**: Fewer but higher quality signals
#### 4. Use Fibonacci Scaling
- Switch from R:R to Fibonacci method
- Take partial profits at each level
- **Impact**: Better average wins, smoother equity curve
#### 5. Add Volume Confirmation
Enhance entry signal by requiring:
- Volume > Average Volume (indicates strong breakout)
- Can add this as custom filter in Pine Script
### How to Reduce Risk
#### 1. Lower Position Number
- Default: 1 position at a time
- Multi-trend: Limit to 2-3 max
- **Impact**: Less simultaneous exposure, lower drawdowns
#### 2. Reduce Risk Amount
- Start with $50 per trade (0.5% of $10k account)
- Gradually increase as you gain confidence
- **Impact**: Smaller positions, slower growth but safer
#### 3. Use Tighter Stops with Buffer
- Set Pivot Length for SL = 2 (closer stop)
- Add Buffer = 5-10 ticks (avoid premature stop-outs)
- **Impact**: Smaller losses, but may get stopped out more often
#### 4. Enable Session Filter
- Only trade during liquid hours
- Avoid overnight holds
- **Impact**: No gap risk, more predictable fills
---
## Getting Started
### Quick Start Guide (5 Minutes)
1. **Copy the Strategy Code**
- Open the `.txt` file provided
- Copy all code to clipboard
2. **Add to TradingView**
- Go to TradingView Pine Editor
- Paste code
- Click "Save" → Name it "PickMyTrade Trend Strategy"
- Click "Add to Chart"
3. **Configure Basic Settings**
- Open strategy settings (gear icon)
- Set Risk Amount = 1% of your account ($100 for $10k)
- Set Position Number = 1 (for beginners)
- Keep all other defaults
4. **Backtest on Your Market**
- Choose your instrument (ES, NQ, AAPL, BTC, etc.)
- Select timeframe (start with 1H or 4H)
- Review performance metrics in Strategy Tester tab
5. **Optimize (Optional)**
- Adjust Touch Number (2-5) to balance signals vs. quality
- Try different TP methods (R:R vs. Fibonacci)
- Test on multiple timeframes
6. **Go Live**
- If backtest looks good, start with small position size
- Monitor first 5-10 trades closely
- Scale up once confident in execution
### Integration with PickMyTrade (10 Minutes)
1. **Sign Up for PickMyTrade**
- Visit (pickmytrade.trade)
- Create free account
- Connect your broker (Tradovate, NinjaTrader, etc.)
2. **Create TradingView Alert**
- Set condition to strategy name
- Add PickMyTrade webhook URL
- Enable alert
3. **Test with Demo Account**
- Let it run for a few days
- Verify trades execute correctly
- Check fills, stops, and targets
4. **Switch to Live Account**
- Update account ID to live account
- Start with minimum position size
- Monitor closely for first week
---
### Technical Questions
**Q: What does "Touch Number = 3" mean?**
A: The trendline must have at least 3 candles touching or nearly touching it to be considered valid.
**Q: Why am I getting no trades?**
A: Trendline requirements may be too strict. Try:
- Reduce Touch Number to 2
- Increase Valid Percentage to 0.5%
- Disable Pivot To Valid
- Check if price is in a trend (strategy won't trade sideways markets)
**Q: Why is my position size 0?**
A: Risk Amount is too small for the stop distance. Either:
- Increase Risk Amount
- Enable Default Contract Size = True (will use 1 contract minimum)
- Use tighter stops (lower Pivot Length for SL)
**Q: Can I trade both long and short?**
A: Current code is long-only. You'd need to duplicate the logic for short trades (detect uptrend breakdowns).
**Q: How do I change from TradingView strategy to indicator?**
A: Change line 5 from `strategy(...)` to `indicator(...)`. Replace `strategy.entry()` and `strategy.exit()` with `alert()` calls.
### Risk Management Questions
**Q: What's the maximum drawdown I should expect?**
A: Typically 10-20% depending on settings. If experiencing > 25%, reduce position size or tighten filters.
**Q: Should I risk more to make more money?**
A: No. Risking 2% vs. 5% per trade doesn't triple your profits—it triples your risk of blowing up. Stick to 1-2% per trade.
**Q: What if I hit 5 losses in a row?**
A: Normal. Even with 60% win rate, losing streaks happen. Don't increase position size to "win it back." Stick to your risk plan.
**Q: Do I need to watch the screen all day?**
A: No, especially with PickMyTrade automation. Check positions 1-2 times per day. Overtrading kills profits.
---
## Disclaimer
**Important Risk Disclosure**:
Trading futures, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy is provided for **educational purposes only** and should not be considered financial advice.
**Key Risks**:
- You can lose more than your initial investment
- Backtested results may not reflect live trading performance
- Market conditions change; no strategy works forever
- Automation errors can occur (connectivity, bugs, etc.)
**Before Trading**:
- Consult a licensed financial advisor
- Fully understand the strategy logic
- Test on demo account for at least 1 month
- Only risk capital you can afford to lose
- Start with minimum position sizes
**PickMyTrade**:
This strategy is compatible with PickMyTrade but is not officially endorsed by PickMyTrade. The author is not affiliated with PickMyTrade. For PickMyTrade support, visit their official website.
**License**: This strategy is open-source under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). You may modify and share, but not for commercial use.
---
**Ready to automate your trading with PickMyTrade? Add this strategy to your TradingView chart today and start capturing profitable trend breakouts on autopilot!**
Sentiment Heatmap with EMA Sentiment Heatmap with EMA Let’s build a script mini-LuxAlgo-style sentiment heatmap Enhanced Simple Sentiment Heatmap + Right-Side Legend Automatic legend on the right side
Just like professional indicators:
MAX GREED
GREED
NEUTRAL
FEAR
MAX FEAR
✔ Legend stays updated on the last bar
It moves automatically as price moves.
✔ Trend EMA included (optional) 9 EMA → White
20 EMA → Red
50 EMA → Yellow
100 EMA → Blue
200 EMA → Purple Alerts (e.g., “Max Fear – Buy Zone”)
✔ Liquidity line / support-resistance auto zones Full sentiment heatmap (Greed → Fear)
✔ Right-side legend like LuxAlgo
✔ All 5 EMAs added (my colors): EMA trend cloud (9/20, 20/50, 50/200)
Buy/Sell circles based on sentiment reversals Right-side legend: MAX GREED / GREED / NEUTRAL / FEAR / MAX FEAR
5 EMAs:
9 → White
20 → Red
50 → Yellow
100 → Blue
200 → Purple
MTF MACD – 1m / 15m / 1D / 1W//@version=6
indicator("MTF MACD – 1m / 15m / 1D / 1W", overlay=false)
// MACD inputs
fastLen = input.int(12, "Fast length")
slowLen = input.int(26, "Slow length")
signalLen = input.int(9, "Signal length")
// Multi-timeframe MACD using built-in ta.macd()
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "1", ta.macd(close, fastLen, slowLen, signalLen))
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "15", ta.macd(close, fastLen, slowLen, signalLen))
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", ta.macd(close, fastLen, slowLen, signalLen))
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "W", ta.macd(close, fastLen, slowLen, signalLen))
// Plot MACD lines for each timeframe
plot(macd_1m, title="MACD 1m", color=color.red, linewidth=2)
plot(macd_15m, title="MACD 15m", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
plot(macd_1d, title="MACD 1D", color=color.green, linewidth=2)
plot(macd_1w, title="MACD 1W", color=color.orange, linewidth=2)
// (Optional) you can uncomment these if you also want signals/histograms:
// plot(signal_1m, title="Signal 1m", color=color.new(color.red, 50), style=plot.style_dotted)
// plot(signal_15m, title="Signal 15m", color=color.new(color.blue, 50), style=plot.style_dotted)
// plot(signal_1d, title="Signal 1D", color=color.new(color.green, 50), style=plot.style_dotted)
// plot(signal_1w, title="Signal 1W", color=color.new(color.orange, 50), style=plot.style_dotted)
// plot(hist_1m, title="Hist 1m", color=color.red, style=plot.style_histogram)
// plot(hist_15m, title="Hist 15m", color=color.blue, style=plot.style_histogram)
// plot(hist_1d, title="Hist 1D", color=color.green, style=plot.style_histogram)
// plot(hist_1w, title="Hist 1W", color=color.orange, style=plot.style_histogram)
ENTRY CONFIRMATION V2// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at mozilla.org
// © Zerocapitalmx
//@version=5
indicator(title="ENTRY CONFIRMATION V2", format=format.price, timeframe="", timeframe_gaps=true)
len = input.int(title="RSI Period", minval=1, defval=50)
src = input(title="RSI Source", defval=close)
lbR = input(title="Pivot Lookback Right", defval=5)
lbL = input(title="Pivot Lookback Left", defval=5)
rangeUpper = input(title="Max of Lookback Range", defval=60)
rangeLower = input(title="Min of Lookback Range", defval=5)
plotBull = input(title="Plot Bullish", defval=true)
plotHiddenBull = input(title="Plot Hidden Bullish", defval=false)
plotBear = input(title="Plot Bearish", defval=true)
plotHiddenBear = input(title="Plot Hidden Bearish", defval=false)
bearColor = color.red
bullColor = color.green
hiddenBullColor = color.new(color.green, 80)
hiddenBearColor = color.new(color.red, 80)
textColor = color.white
noneColor = color.new(color.white, 100)
osc = ta.rsi(src, len)
rsiPeriod = input.int(50, minval = 1, title = "RSI Period")
bandLength = input.int(1, minval = 1, title = "Band Length")
lengthrsipl = input.int(1, minval = 0, title = "Fast MA on RSI")
lengthtradesl = input.int(50, minval = 1, title = "Slow MA on RSI")
r = ta.rsi(src, rsiPeriod) // RSI of Close
ma = ta.sma(r, bandLength ) // Moving Average of RSI
offs = (1.6185 * ta.stdev(r, bandLength)) // Offset
fastMA = ta.sma(r, lengthrsipl) // Moving Average of RSI 2 bars back
slowMA = ta.sma(r, lengthtradesl) // Moving Average of RSI 7 bars back
plot(slowMA, "Slow MA", color=color.black, linewidth=1) // Plot Slow MA
plot(osc, title="RSI", linewidth=2, color=color.purple)
hline(50, title="Middle Line", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dotted)
obLevel = hline(70, title="Overbought", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dotted)
osLevel = hline(30, title="Oversold", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dotted)
plFound = na(ta.pivotlow(osc, lbL, lbR)) ? false : true
phFound = na(ta.pivothigh(osc, lbL, lbR)) ? false : true
_inRange(cond) =>
bars = ta.barssince(cond == true)
rangeLower <= bars and bars <= rangeUpper
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Regular Bullish
// Osc: Higher Low
oscHL = osc > ta.valuewhen(plFound, osc , 1) and _inRange(plFound )
// Price: Lower Low
priceLL = low < ta.valuewhen(plFound, low , 1)
bullCond = plotBull and priceLL and oscHL and plFound
plot(
plFound ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Regular Bullish",
linewidth=1,
color=(bullCond ? bullColor : noneColor)
)
plotshape(
bullCond ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Regular Bullish Label",
text=" EDM ",
style=shape.labelup,
location=location.absolute,
color=bullColor,
textcolor=textColor
)
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Hidden Bullish
// Osc: Lower Low
oscLL = osc < ta.valuewhen(plFound, osc , 1) and _inRange(plFound )
// Price: Higher Low
priceHL = low > ta.valuewhen(plFound, low , 1)
hiddenBullCond = plotHiddenBull and priceHL and oscLL and plFound
plot(
plFound ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Hidden Bullish",
linewidth=1,
color=(hiddenBullCond ? hiddenBullColor : noneColor)
)
plotshape(
hiddenBullCond ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Hidden Bullish Label",
text=" EDM ",
style=shape.labelup,
location=location.absolute,
color=bullColor,
textcolor=textColor
)
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Regular Bearish
// Osc: Lower High
oscLH = osc < ta.valuewhen(phFound, osc , 1) and _inRange(phFound )
// Price: Higher High
priceHH = high > ta.valuewhen(phFound, high , 1)
bearCond = plotBear and priceHH and oscLH and phFound
plot(
phFound ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Regular Bearish",
linewidth=1,
color=(bearCond ? bearColor : noneColor)
)
plotshape(
bearCond ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Regular Bearish Label",
text=" EDM ",
style=shape.labeldown,
location=location.absolute,
color=bearColor,
textcolor=textColor
)
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Hidden Bearish
// Osc: Higher High
oscHH = osc > ta.valuewhen(phFound, osc , 1) and _inRange(phFound )
// Price: Lower High
priceLH = high < ta.valuewhen(phFound, high , 1)
hiddenBearCond = plotHiddenBear and priceLH and oscHH and phFound
plot(
phFound ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Hidden Bearish",
linewidth=1,
color=(hiddenBearCond ? hiddenBearColor : noneColor)
)
plotshape(
hiddenBearCond ? osc : na,
offset=-lbR,
title="Hidden Bearish Label",
text=" EDM ",
style=shape.labeldown,
location=location.absolute,
color=bearColor,
textcolor=textColor
)
RSI (Custom Background) KDMThis code is a custom version of the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator.
Its main purpose is to compare recent price gains and losses to determine whether the market is in an overbought or oversold condition.
30–50 zone (purple tone): represents a weak or pullback area.
50–70 zone (green tone): represents a strengthening or dominant buying area.
Additionally, when the RSI line moves above 70, a green gradient background highlights the overbought region; when it moves below 30, a red gradient background emphasizes the oversold region.
Like the classic RSI, this version is a momentum indicator showing whether the price is losing or gaining strength.
The key difference is the colored background, which allows you to visually identify the RSI zones (e.g., 30–50 weak, 50–70 strong) much faster and more clearly.
TraderDemircan Auto Fibonacci RetracementDescription:
What This Indicator Does:This indicator automatically identifies significant swing high and swing low points within a customizable lookback period and draws comprehensive Fibonacci retracement and extension levels between them. Unlike the manual Fibonacci tool that requires you to constantly redraw levels as price action evolves, this automated version continuously updates the Fibonacci grid based on the most recent major swing points, ensuring you always have current and relevant support/resistance zones displayed on your chart.Key Features:
Automatic Swing Detection: Continuously scans the specified lookback period to find the most significant high and low points, eliminating manual drawing errors
Comprehensive Level Coverage: Plots 16 Fibonacci levels including 7 retracement levels (0.0 to 1.0) and 9 extension levels (1.115 to 3.618)
Top-Down Methodology: Draws from swing high to swing low (right-to-left), following the traditional Fibonacci retracement convention where 100% is at the top
Dual Labeling System: Shows both exact price values and Fibonacci percentages for easy reference
Complete Customization: Individual toggle controls and color selection for each of the 16 levels
Flexible Display Options: Adjust line thickness (1-5), style (solid/dashed/dotted), and extension direction (left/right/both)
Visual Swing Markers: Red diamond at the swing high (starting point) and green diamond at the swing low (ending point)
Optional Trend Line: Connects the two swing points to visualize the overall price movement direction
How It Works:The indicator employs a sophisticated swing point detection algorithm that operates in two stages:Stage 1 - Find the Swing Low (Support Base):
Scans the entire lookback period to identify the lowest low, which becomes the anchor point (0.0 level in traditional retracement terms, though displayed at the bottom of the grid).Stage 2 - Find the Swing High (Resistance Peak):
After identifying the swing low, searches for the highest high that occurred after that low point, establishing the swing range. This creates a valid price movement range for Fibonacci analysis.Fibonacci Calculation Method:
The indicator uses the top-down approach where:
1.0 Level = Swing High (100% retracement, the top)
0.0 Level = Swing Low (0% retracement, the bottom)
Retracement Levels (0.236 to 0.786) = Potential support zones during pullbacks from the high
Extension Levels (1.115 to 3.618) = Potential target zones below the swing low
Formula: Price = SwingHigh - (SwingHigh - SwingLow) × FibonacciLevelThis ensures that 0.0 is at the bottom and extensions (>1.0) plot below the swing low, following standard Fibonacci retracement convention.Fibonacci Levels Explained:Retracement Levels (0.0 - 1.0):
0.0 (Gray): Swing low - the base support level
0.236 (Red): Shallow retracement, first minor support
0.382 (Orange): Moderate retracement, commonly watched support
0.5 (Purple): Psychological midpoint, significant support/resistance
0.618 (Blue - Golden Ratio): The most important retracement level, high-probability reversal zone
0.786 (Cyan): Deep retracement, last defense before full reversal
1.0 (Gray): Swing high - the initial resistance level
Extension Levels (1.115 - 3.618):
1.115 (Green): First extension, minimal downside target
1.272 (Light Green): Minor extension, common profit target
1.414 (Yellow-Green): Square root of 2, mathematical significance
1.618 (Gold - Golden Extension): Primary downside target, most watched extension level
2.0 (Orange-Red): 200% extension, psychological round number
2.382 (Pink): Secondary extension target
2.618 (Purple): Deep extension, major target zone
3.272 (Deep Purple): Extreme extension level
3.618 (Blue): Maximum extension, rare but powerful target
How to Use:For Retracement Trading (Buying Pullbacks in Uptrends):
Wait for price to make a significant move up from swing low to swing high
When price starts pulling back, watch for reactions at key Fibonacci levels
Most common entry zones: 0.382, 0.5, and especially 0.618 (golden ratio)
Enter long positions when price shows reversal signals (candlestick patterns, volume increase) at these levels
Place stop loss below the next Fibonacci level
Target: Return to swing high or higher extension levels
For Extension Trading (Profit Targets):
After price breaks below the swing low (0.0 level), use extensions as profit targets
First target: 1.272 (conservative)
Primary target: 1.618 (golden extension - most commonly reached)
Extended target: 2.618 (for strong trends)
Extreme target: 3.618 (only in powerful trending moves)
For Counter-Trend Trading (Fading Extremes):
When price reaches deep retracements (0.786 or below), look for exhaustion signals
Watch for divergences between price and momentum indicators at these levels
Enter reversal trades with tight stops below the swing low
Target: 0.5 or 0.382 levels on the bounce
For Trend Continuation:
In strong uptrends, shallow retracements (0.236 to 0.382) often hold
Use these as low-risk entry points to join the existing trend
Failure to hold 0.5 suggests weakening momentum
Breaking below 0.618 often indicates trend reversal, not just retracement
Multi-Timeframe Strategy:
Use daily timeframe Fibonacci for major support/resistance zones
Use 4H or 1H Fibonacci for precise entry timing within those zones
Confluence between multiple timeframe Fibonacci levels creates high-probability zones
Example: Daily 0.618 level aligning with 4H 0.5 level = strong support
Settings Guide:Lookback Period (10-500):
Short (20-50): Captures recent swings, more frequent updates, suited for day trading
Medium (50-150): Balanced approach, good for swing trading (default: 100)
Long (150-500): Identifies major market structure, suited for position trading
Higher values = more stable levels but slower to adapt to new trends
Pivot Sensitivity (1-20):
Controls how many candles are required to confirm a swing point
Low (1-5): More sensitive, identifies minor swings (default: 5)
High (10-20): Less sensitive, only major swings qualify
Use higher sensitivity on lower timeframes to filter noise
Individual Level Toggles:
Enable only the levels you actively trade to reduce chart clutter
Common minimalist setup: Show only 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.618
Comprehensive setup: Enable all levels for maximum information
Visual Customization:
Line Thickness: Thicker lines (3-5) for presentation, thinner (1-2) for trading
Line Style: Solid for primary levels (0.5, 0.618, 1.618), dashed/dotted for secondary
Price Labels: Essential for knowing exact entry/exit prices
Percent Labels: Helpful for quickly identifying which Fibonacci level you're looking at
Extension Direction: Extend right for forward-looking analysis, left for historical context
What Makes This Original:While Fibonacci indicators are common on TradingView, this script's originality comes from:
Intelligent Two-Stage Detection: Unlike simple high/low finders, this uses a sequential approach (find low first, then find the high that occurred after it), ensuring logical price flow representation
Comprehensive Level Set: Includes 16 levels spanning from retracement to extreme extensions, more than most Fibonacci tools
Top-Down Methodology: Properly implements the traditional Fibonacci retracement convention (high to low) rather than the reverse
Automatic Range Validation: Only draws Fibonacci when both swing points are valid and in the correct temporal order
Dual Extension Options: Separate controls for extending lines left (historical context) and right (forward projection)
Smart Label Positioning: Places percentage labels on the left and price labels on the right for clarity
Visual Swing Confirmation: Diamond markers at swing points help users understand why levels are positioned where they are
Important Considerations:
Historical Nature: Fibonacci retracements are based on past price swings; they don't predict future moves, only suggest potential support/resistance
Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Fibonacci levels work partly because many traders watch them, creating actual support/resistance at those levels
Not All Levels Hold: In strong trends, price may slice through multiple Fibonacci levels without pausing
Context Matters: Fibonacci works best when aligned with other support/resistance (previous highs/lows, moving averages, trendlines)
Volume Confirmation: The most reliable Fibonacci reversals occur with volume spikes at key levels
Dynamic Updates: The levels will redraw as new swing highs/lows form, so don't rely solely on static screenshots
Best Practices:
Don't Trade Blindly: Fibonacci levels are zones, not exact prices. Look for confirmation (candlestick patterns, indicators, volume)
Combine with Price Action: Watch for pin bars, engulfing candles, or doji at key Fibonacci levels
Use Stop Losses: Place stops beyond the next Fibonacci level to give trades room but limit risk
Scale In/Out: Consider entering partial positions at 0.5 and adding more at 0.618 rather than all-in at one level
Check Multiple Timeframes: Daily Fibonacci + 4H Fibonacci convergence = high-probability zone
Respect the 0.618: This golden ratio level is historically the most reliable for reversals
Extensions Need Strong Trends: Don't expect extensions to be hit unless there's clear momentum beyond the swing low
Optimal Timeframes:
Scalping (1-5 minutes): Lookback 20-30, watch 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 only
Day Trading (15m-1H): Lookback 50-100, all retracement levels important
Swing Trading (4H-Daily): Lookback 100-200, focus on 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, and extensions
Position Trading (Daily-Weekly): Lookback 200-500, all levels relevant for long-term planning
Common Fibonacci Trading Mistakes to Avoid:
Wrong Swing Selection: Choosing insignificant swings produces meaningless levels
Premature Entry: Entering as soon as price touches a Fibonacci level without confirmation
Ignoring Trend: Fighting the main trend by buying deep retracements in downtrends
Over-Reliance: Using Fibonacci in isolation without confirming with other technical factors
Static Analysis: Not updating your Fibonacci as market structure evolves
Arbitrary Lookback: Using the same lookback period for all assets and timeframes
Integration with Other Tools:Fibonacci + Moving Averages:
When 0.618 level aligns with 50 or 200 EMA, confluence creates stronger support
Price bouncing from both Fibonacci and MA simultaneously = high-probability trade
Fibonacci + RSI/Stochastic:
Oversold indicators at 0.618 or deeper retracements = strong buy signal
Overbought indicators at swing high (1.0) = potential reversal warning
Fibonacci + Volume Profile:
High-volume nodes aligning with Fibonacci levels create robust support/resistance
Low-volume areas near Fibonacci levels may see rapid price movement through them
Fibonacci + Trendlines:
Fibonacci retracement level + ascending trendline = double support
Breaking both simultaneously confirms trend change
Technical Notes:
Uses ta.lowest() and ta.highest() for efficient swing detection across the lookback period
Implements dynamic line and label arrays for clean redraws without memory leaks
All calculations update in real-time as new bars form
Extension options allow customization without modifying core code
Format.mintick ensures price labels match the symbol's minimum price increment
Tooltip on swing markers shows exact price values for precision
Major exchages total Open interest & Long/Short OI trends📊 Indicator: Major Exchanges Total OI & Long/Short Trends
This Pine Script™ indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Open Interest (OI) and Long/Short position trends across major cryptocurrency exchanges (Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, HTX, Deribit). It serves as a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market liquidity, participant positioning, and overall market sentiment.
🔑 Key Features and Functionalities
Aggregated Multi-Exchange Open Interest (OI):
Consolidates real-time Open Interest data from user-selected major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Provides a unified view of the total OI, offering insights into the collective market liquidity and the aggregate size of participants' open positions.
Visualized Combined OI Candles:
Presents the aggregated total OI data in a candlestick chart format.
Displays the Open, High, Low, and Close of the combined OI, with color variations indicating increases or decreases from the previous period. This enables intuitive visualization of OI trend shifts.
Estimated Long/Short OI and Visualization:
Calculates and visualizes estimated Long and Short position Open Interest based on the total aggregated OI data.
Estimation Logic:
Employs a sophisticated logic that considers both price changes and OI fluctuations to infer the balance between Long and Short positions. For instance, an increase in both price and OI may suggest an accumulation of Long positions, while a price decrease coupled with an OI increase might indicate growing Short positions.
Initial 50:50 Ratio:
The estimation for Long/Short OI begins with an assumption of a 50:50 ratio at the initial data point available for the selected timeframe. This establishes a neutral baseline, from which subsequent price and OI changes drive the divergence and evolution of the estimated Long/Short balance.
Flexible Visualization Options:
Allows users to display Long/Short OI data in either line or candlestick styles, with customizable color schemes. This flexibility aids in clearly discerning bullish or bearish positioning trends.
💡 Development Background
The development of this indicator stems from the critical importance of Open Interest data in the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Recognizing the limitations of analyzing individual exchange OI in isolation, the primary objective was to integrate data from leading exchanges to offer a holistic perspective on market sentiment and overall positioning dynamics.
The inclusion of the Long/Short position estimation feature is crucial for deciphering the specific directional biases of market participants, which is often not evident from raw OI data alone. This enables a deeper understanding of how positions are being accumulated or liquidated, moving beyond simple OI change analysis.
Furthermore, a key design consideration was to leverage the characteristic where the indicator's data start point dynamically adjusts with the chart's timeframe selection. This allows for the analysis of short-term Long/Short trends on shorter timeframes and long-term trends on longer timeframes. This inherent flexibility empowers traders to conduct analyses across various time scales, aligning with their diverse trading strategies.
🚀 Trading Applications
Leveraging Combined Open Interest (OI):
Trend Confirmation: A sustained increase in total OI signifies growing market interest and capital inflow, potentially confirming the strength of an existing trend. Conversely, decreasing OI may suggest diminishing participant interest or widespread position liquidation.
Validation of Price Extremes: If price forms a new high but OI fails to increase or declines, it could signal a potential trend reversal (divergence). Conversely, a sharp increase in OI during a price decline might indicate a surge in short positions or renewed selling pressure.
Identifying Volatility Triggers: Monitoring rapid shifts in OI during significant news events or market catalysts can help assess immediate market reactions and liquidity changes.
📈Utilizing Long/Short OI Trends
Assessing Market Bias: A sustained dominance or rapid increase in Long OI suggests a prevalent bullish sentiment, which could inform decisions to enter or maintain long positions. The inverse scenario indicates bearish sentiment and potential short entry opportunities.
Anticipating Squeezes: The indicator can help identify scenarios conducive to short or long squeezes. Excessive short positioning followed by a price uptick can trigger a short squeeze, leading to rapid price appreciation. Conversely, an oversupply of long positions preceding a price drop can result in a long squeeze and sharp declines.
Divergence Analysis: Divergences between price action and Long/Short OI estimates can signal potential trend reversals. For example, if price is rising but the increase in Long OI slows down or Short OI begins to grow, it may suggest weakening buying pressure.
🕔Timeframe-Specific Trend Analysis:
Shorter Timeframes (e.g., 1m, 5m, 15m): Ideal for identifying short-term shifts in participant positioning, beneficial for day trading and scalping strategies. Provides insights into immediate market reactions to price movements.
Longer Timeframes (e.g., 1h, 4h, Daily): Valuable for evaluating broader positioning trends and the sustainability or potential reversal of medium-to-long-term trends. Offers a macro perspective on Long/Short dynamics, suitable for swing trading or long-term investment strategies.
This indicator integrates complex market data, provides nuanced Long/Short position estimations, and offers multi-timeframe analytical capabilities, empowering traders to make more informed and strategic decisions.
QQQ TimingThis is a trend-following position trading strategy designed for the QQQ and the leveraged ETF QLD (ProShares Ultra QQQ). The primary goal is to capture multi-month holds for maximal profit.
Key Instruments & Performance
The strategy performs best with QLD, which yields far superior results compared to QQQ.
TQQQ (triple-leveraged) results in higher drawdowns and is not the optimal choice.
Important: The system is not intended for use with other indexes, individual stocks, or investments (like crypto or gold), as performance can vary widely.
Buy Signals
The strategy's signals are rooted in the S&P 500 Index (SPX), as testing showed it provides more reliable triggers than using QQQ itself.
Primary Buy Signal (Credit to IBD/Mike Webster): The SPX triggers a buy when its low closes above the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for three consecutive days.
Refinement with Downtrend Lines: During corrective or bear periods, results and drawdowns can be significantly improved by incorporating downtrend lines. These lines connect lower highs. The strategy waits for the price to close above a drawn downtrend line before executing a buy. This refinement can modify the primary signal, either by allowing for an earlier entry or, in some cases, completely nullifying a false signal until the trend change proves itself.
Risk Management & Exit Strategy
Initial Buy Risk: A 3.7% stop loss is applied immediately upon the initial entry.
Initial Exit Rule: An exit is required if the QQQ's low drops below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Note: The 3.7% stop often provides protection when the initial buy occurs below the 50-day SMA. However, if QQQ is already trading above its 50-day SMA at the time of the SPX signal (indicating relative strength), historically, it has been better to use the 50-day SMA rule to give the position more room to run.
Trend Exit (Profit-Taking): To stay in a strong trend for the optimal amount of time, the long position is exited when a moving average crossover to the downside is triggered, based around the 107-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
