Trend Forecasting - The Quant Science🌏 Trend Forecasting | ENG 🌏
This plug-in acts as a statistical filter, adding new information to your chart that will allow you to quickly verify the direction of a trend and the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future, helping you to uncover probable market inefficiencies.
🧠 Model calculation
The model calculates the arithmetic mean in relation to positive and negative events within the available sample for the selected time series. Where a positive event is defined as a closing price greater than the average, and a negative event as a closing price less than the average. Once all events have been calculated, the probabilities are extrapolated by relating each event.
Example
Positive event A: 70
Negative event B: 30
Total events: 100
Probabilities A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Probabilities B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Event A has a 70% probability of occurring compared to Event B which has a 30% probability.
🔍 Information Filter
The data on the graph show the future probabilities of prices being above average (default in green) and the probabilities of prices being below average (default in red).
The information that can be quickly retrieved from this indicator is:
1. Trend: Above-average prices together with a constant of data in green greater than 50% + 1 indicate that the observed historical series shows a bullish trend. The probability is correlated proportionally to the value of the data; the higher and increasing the expected value, the greater the observed bullish trend. On the other hand, a below-average price together with a red-coloured data constant show quantitative data regarding the presence of a bearish trend.
2. Future Probability: By analysing the data, it is possible to find the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future. In green are classified the probabilities that the price will be higher than the average, in red are classified the probabilities that the price will be lower than the average.
🔫 Operational Filter .
The indicator can be used operationally in the search for investment or trading opportunities given its ability to identify an inefficiency within the observed data sample.
⬆ Bullish forecast
For bullish trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bullish trend, with high probability of a bullish trend in the future that is currently below the average.
⬇ Bearish forecast
For short trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bearish trend, with a high probability of a bearish trend in the future that is currently above the average.
📚 Settings
Input: via the Input user interface, it is possible to adjust the periods (1 to 500) with which the average is to be calculated. By default the periods are set to 200, which means that the average is calculated by taking the last 200 periods.
Style: via the Style user interface it is possible to adjust the colour and switch a specific output on or off.
🇮🇹Previsione Della Tendenza Futura | ITA 🇮🇹
Questo plug-in funge da filtro statistico, aggiungendo nuove informazioni al tuo grafico che ti permetteranno di verificare rapidamente tendenza di un trend, probabilità con la quale il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro aiutandoti a scovare probabili inefficienze di mercato.
🧠 Calcolo del modello
Il modello calcola la media aritmetica in relazione con gli eventi positivi e negativi all'intero del campione disponibile per la serie storica selezionata. Dove per evento positivo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura maggiore della media, mentre per evento negativo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura minore della media. Calcolata la totalità degli eventi le probabilità vengono estrapolate rapportando ciascun evento.
Esempio
Evento positivo A: 70
Evento negativo B: 30
Totale eventi : 100
Formula A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Formula B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Evento A ha una probabilità del 70% di realizzarsi rispetto all' Evento B che ha una probabilità pari al 30%.
🔍 Filtro informativo
I dati sul grafico mostrano le probabilità future che i prezzi siano sopra la media (di default in verde) e le probabilità che i prezzi siano sotto la media (di default in rosso).
Le informazioni che si possono rapidamente reperire da questo indicatore sono:
1. Trend: I prezzi sopra la media insieme ad una costante di dati in verde maggiori al 50% + 1 indicano che la serie storica osservata presenta un trend rialzista. La probabilità è correlata proporzionalmente al valore del dato; tanto più sarà alto e crescente il valore atteso e maggiore sarà la tendenza rialzista osservata. Viceversa, un prezzo sotto la media insieme ad una costante di dati classificati in colore rosso mostrano dati quantitativi riguardo la presenza di una tendenza ribassista.
2. Probabilità future: analizzando i dati è possibile reperire la probabilità con cui il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro. In verde vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà maggiore alla media, in rosso vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà minore della media.
🔫 Filtro operativo
L' indicatore può essere utilizzato a livello operativo nella ricerca di opportunità di investimento o di trading vista la capacità di identificare un inefficienza all'interno del campione di dati osservato.
⬆ Previsione rialzista
Per operatività di tipo rialzista l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza rialzista, con alte probabilità di tendenza rialzista in futuro che attualmente si trova al di sotto della media.
⬇ Previsione ribassista
Per operatività di tipo short l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza ribassista, con alte probabilità di tendenza ribassista in futuro che si trova attualmente sopra la media.
📚 Impostazioni
Input: tramite l'interfaccia utente Input è possibile regolare i periodi (da 1 a 500) con cui calcolare la media. Di default i periodi sono impostati sul valore di 200, questo significa che la media viene calcolata prendendo gli ultimi 200 periodi.
Style: tramite l'interfaccia utente Style è possibile regolare il colore e attivare o disattivare un specifico output.
在腳本中搜尋"纳斯达克100场外基金+投资回报率"
Stochastic RSI of Smoothed Price [Loxx]What is Stochastic RSI of Smoothed Price?
This indicator is just as it's title suggests. There are six different signal types, various price smoothing types, and seven types of RSI.
This indicator contains 7 different types of RSI:
RSX
Regular
Slow
Rapid
Harris
Cuttler
Ehlers Smoothed
What is RSI?
RSI stands for Relative Strength Index . It is a technical indicator used to measure the strength or weakness of a financial instrument's price action.
The RSI is calculated based on the price movement of an asset over a specified period of time, typically 14 days, and is expressed on a scale of 0 to 100. The RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
Traders and investors use the RSI to identify potential buy and sell signals. When the RSI indicates that an asset is oversold, it may be considered a buying opportunity, while an overbought RSI may signal that it is time to sell or take profits.
It's important to note that the RSI should not be used in isolation and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
What is RSX?
Jurik RSX is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index Smoothed ( RSX ) indicator. It was developed by Mark Jurik and is designed to help traders identify trends and momentum in the market.
The Jurik RSX uses a combination of the RSX indicator and an adaptive moving average (AMA) to smooth out the price data and reduce the number of false signals. The adaptive moving average is designed to adjust the smoothing period based on the current market conditions, which makes the indicator more responsive to changes in price.
The Jurik RSX can be used to identify potential trend reversals and momentum shifts in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend . Traders can use these levels to make trading decisions, such as buying when the indicator crosses above 50 and selling when it crosses below 50.
The Jurik RSX is a more advanced version of the RSX indicator, and while it can be useful in identifying potential trade opportunities, it should not be used in isolation. It is best used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
What is Slow RSI?
Slow RSI is a variation of the traditional Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) indicator. It is a more smoothed version of the RSI and is designed to filter out some of the noise and short-term price fluctuations that can occur with the standard RSI .
The Slow RSI uses a longer period of time than the traditional RSI , typically 21 periods instead of 14. This longer period helps to smooth out the price data and makes the indicator less reactive to short-term price fluctuations.
Like the traditional RSI , the Slow RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Slow RSI is a more conservative version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also be slower to respond to changes in price, which may result in missed trading opportunities. Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Slow RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Rapid RSI?
Same as regular RSI but with a faster calculation method
What is Harris RSI?
Harris RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by Larry Harris and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Harris RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It takes into account both the opening and closing prices of a financial instrument, as well as the high and low prices. The Harris RSI is also normalized to a range of 0 to 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend .
Like the traditional RSI , the Harris RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Harris RSI is a more advanced version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Harris RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Cuttler RSI?
Cuttler RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by Curt Cuttler and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Cuttler RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It takes into account the difference between the closing price of a financial instrument and the average of the high and low prices over a specified period of time. This difference is then normalized to a range of 0 to 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend .
Like the traditional RSI , the Cuttler RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Cuttler RSI is a more advanced version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Cuttler RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Ehlers Smoothed RSI?
Ehlers smoothed RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by John Ehlers and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Ehlers smoothed RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It uses a smoothing algorithm that is designed to reduce the noise and random fluctuations that can occur with the standard RSI . The smoothing algorithm is based on a concept called "digital signal processing" and is intended to improve the accuracy of the indicator.
Like the traditional RSI , the Ehlers smoothed RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Ehlers smoothed RSI can be useful in identifying longer-term trends and momentum shifts in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Ehlers smoothed RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Stochastic RSI?
Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) is a technical analysis indicator that combines the concepts of the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in financial markets, as well as to generate buy and sell signals based on the momentum of price movements.
To understand Stochastic RSI, let's first define the two individual indicators it is based on:
Stochastic Oscillator: A momentum indicator that compares a particular closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain period. It is used to identify potential trend reversals and generate buy and sell signals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges between 0 and 100 and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
Now, let's dive into the Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, essentially creating an indicator of an indicator. It helps to identify when the RSI is in overbought or oversold territory with more sensitivity, providing more frequent signals than the standalone RSI.
The formula for StochRSI is as follows:
StochRSI = (RSI - Lowest Low RSI) / (Highest High RSI - Lowest Low RSI)
Where:
RSI is the current RSI value.
Lowest Low RSI is the lowest RSI value over a specified period (e.g., 14 days).
Highest High RSI is the highest RSI value over the same specified period.
StochRSI ranges from 0 to 1, but it is usually multiplied by 100 for easier interpretation, making the range 0 to 100. Like the RSI, values close to 0 indicate oversold conditions, while values close to 100 indicate overbought conditions. However, since the StochRSI is more sensitive, traders typically use 20 as the oversold threshold and 80 as the overbought threshold.
Traders use the StochRSI to generate buy and sell signals by looking for crossovers with a signal line (a moving average of the StochRSI), similar to the way the Stochastic Oscillator is used. When the StochRSI crosses above the signal line, it is considered a bullish signal, and when it crosses below the signal line, it is considered a bearish signal.
It is essential to use the Stochastic RSI in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators, as well as to consider the overall market context, to improve the accuracy and reliability of trading signals.
Signal types included are the following;
Fixed Levels
Floating Levels
Quantile Levels
Fixed Middle
Floating Middle
Quantile Middle
Extras
Alerts
Bar coloring
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Copy/Paste LevelsCopy/Paste Levels allows levels to be pasted onto your chart from a properly formatted source.
This tool streamlines the process of adding lines to your chart, and sharing lines from your chart.
More than one ticker at a time!
This indicator will only draw lines on charts it has values for!
This means you can input levels for every ticker you need all at once, one time, and only be displayed the levels for the current chart you are looking at. When you switch tickers, the levels for that ticker will display. (Assuming you have levels entered for that ticker)
The formatting is as follows:
Ticker,Color,Style,Width,Lvl1,Lvl2,Lvl3;
Ticker - Any ticker on Tradingview can be used in the field
Color - Available colors are: Red,Orange,Yellow,Green,Blue,Purple,White,Black,Gray
Style - Available styles are: Solid,Dashed,Dotted
Width - This can be any negative integer, ex.(-1,-2,-3,-4,-5)
Lvls - These can be any positive number (decimals allowed)
Semi-Colons separate sections, each section contains enough information to create at least 1 line.
Each additional level added within the same section will have the same styling parameters as the other levels in the section.
Example:
2 solid lines colored red with a thickness of 2 on QQQ, 1 at $300 and 1 at $400.
QQQ,RED,SOLID,-2,300,400;
IMPORTANT MUST READ!!!
Remember to not include any spaces between commas and the entries in each field!
ex. ; QQQ, red, dotted, -1, 325; <- Wrong
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted,-1,325;)<- Right
However,
All fields must be filled out, to use default values in the fields, insert a space between the commas.
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted,,325; <- Wrong
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted, ,325; <- Right
While spaces can not be included line breaks can!
I recommend for easier typing and viewing to include a line break for each new line (if changing styling or ticker)
Example:
2 solid lines, one red at $300, one green at $400, both default width. Written in a single line AND using multiple lines, both give the same output.
QQQ,red,solid, ,300;QQQ,green,solid, ,400;
or
QQQ,red,solid, ,300;
QQQ,green,solid, ,400;
In this following screenshot you can see more examples of different formatting variations.
The textbox contains exactly what is pasted into the settings input box.
As you can see, capitalization does not matter.
Default Values:
Color = optimal contrast color, If this field is filled in with a space it will display the optimal contrast color of the users background.
Style = solid
Width = -1
More Examples:
Multi-Ticker: drawing 3 lines at $300, all default values, on 3 different tickers
SPY, , , ,300;QQQ, , , ,300;AAPL, , , ,300
or
SPY, , , ,300;
QQQ, , , ,300;
AAPL, , , ,300
Multiple levels: There is no limit* to the number of levels that can be included within 1 section.
* only TV default line limit per indicator (500)
This will be 4 lines all with the same styling at different values on 2 separate tickers.
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
or
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
Semi-colons must separate sections, but are not required at the beginning or end, it makes no difference if they are or are not added.
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
==
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
==
;SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
All the above output the same results.
Hope this is helpful for people,
Enjoy!
MA Oscillator Map [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
The MA Oscillator Map transforms moving average deviations into an oscillator framework that highlights overextended price conditions. By normalizing the difference between price and a chosen moving average, the tool maps oscillations between -100 and +100 , with gradient coloring to emphasize bullish and bearish momentum. When the oscillator cools from extreme levels (-100/100), the indicator marks potential reversal points and extends short-term levels from those extremes. A compact side table and dynamic bar coloring make momentum context visible at a glance.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Oscillator Mapping (±100 Scale):
Price deviation from the selected MA is normalized into a percentage scale, allowing consistent overbought/oversold readings across assets and timeframes.
// MA
MA = ma(close, maLengthInput, maTypeInput)
diff = src - MA
maxVal = ta.highest(math.abs(diff), 50)
osc = diff / maxVal * 100
Customizable MA Types:
Choose SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, or VWMA to fine-tune the smoothing method that powers the oscillator.
Extreme Signal Diamonds:
When the oscillator retreats from +100 or -100, the script plots diamonds to flag potential exhaustion and reversal zones.
Dynamic Levels from Extremes:
Upper and lower dotted lines extend from recent overextension points, projecting temporary barriers until broken by price.
Gradient Bar Coloring:
Candles and oscillator values adopt a bullish-to-bearish gradient, making shifts in momentum instantly visible on the chart.
Compact Momentum Map:
A table at the chart’s edge plots the oscillator position with a gradient scale and live percentage label for precise momentum tracking.
⯁ USAGE
Watch for diamonds after the oscillator exits ±100 — these mark potential exhaustion zones.
Use extended dotted levels as short-term reference lines; if broken, trend continuation is favored.
Combine gradient bar coloring with oscillator shifts for confirmation of momentum reversals.
Experiment with different MA types to adapt sensitivity for trending vs. ranging markets.
Use the side momentum table as a quick-read gauge of trend strength in percent terms.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The MA Oscillator Map reframes moving average deviations into a visual momentum tracker with extremes, reversal signals, and dynamic levels. By blending oscillator math with intuitive visuals like gradient candles, diamonds, and a live gauge, it helps traders spot overextension, exhaustion, and momentum shifts across any market.
Free Stock ScreenerMissing great trade opportunities is annoying, and unless you have 12 screens or only trade one market, you are missing a lot of trades. To fix that, we created this free stock screener so you get notified instantly of potential great trading conditions in real time, right on your chart.
You get notified of trading benchmarks being met by the value being displayed on the scanner as well as a color change so that it grabs your attention and makes you aware that you should take a look at the other market and look for a potential trade. It also has built in alerts so you can have an alert notification go off when any of your trading conditions are met instead of needing to watch the scanner for color changes.
The screener will change the ticker symbol background color to red green when price is above or below the previous daily range and above or below both VWAPs. This signals that the ticker is trending, which typically means it is a great time to trade that market and follow the trend.
This free stock screener allows you to scan up to 10 different markets at the same time for various different conditions so you always know what is going on with your favorite trading symbols. If you want to scan more tickers, just add the indicator to your chart again and change the table position to the other side of the screen and update the tickers on the 2nd screener, allowing you to have 20 tickers at a time.
The scanner can be fully customized by changing the markets that it screens and turning on or off as many of them as you would like. You can also turn on or off any of the different data sets so that you only get information about trading conditions that matter to you.
The screener can provide data on any type of market, such as stocks, crypto, futures, forex and more. Each ticker can be adjusted to whatever market you would like it to scan for data in the settings panel, the only limitation is that it will not provide data for the VWAP and volume trend score if the ticker you are screening does not provide volume data.
Screener Features
The scanner will provide the following types of data for each ticker that is turned on:
Volume - Provides a volume score compared to the average volume and notifies you of higher than normal volume and volume spikes on individual bars by changing colors.
Volatility - Provides a volatility score compared to the average volatility and notifies you of higher than normal volatility by changing colors.
Oscillator - Choose between the RSI or CCI. The value of that oscillator will be displayed and will notify you when values are in extreme ranges such as overbought or oversold conditions according to the threshold values you enter in the settings panel. When those thresholds have been breached, you will be notified by it changing color.
Big Candles - Compares the current candle to average previous candle sizes, and changes color to notify you of big candles including a big top wick, big bottom wick, big candle body and big candle high to low range.
Daily Level Touches & Trends - Calculates and displays various daily candle and intraday open price levels that act as support and resistance. Notifies you when price is touching any of the daily levels that are turned on. The levels you can have on are as follows: previous day high, previous day low or previous day open. It also will notify you when price is touching the current day’s open, NY 930am open, Asia 8pm open, London 2am open and NY midnight 12am open. It will also say “Above” if price is above the previous day’s high or it will say “Below” if price is below the previous day’s low. The color of the cell will also change when a level touch is happening or price is above the previous day high or below the previous day low.
VWAP - Choose from 2 different VWAP lengths, default settings are daily and weekly VWAPs. You will get notified if price touches either of the VWAPs and they will also say “Above” or “Below” if price is currently above or below each VWAP.
How To Use The Screener To Help You Trade
The main purpose of the screener is to scan other markets and notify you of potential good trading opportunities such as price bouncing off of the daily levels or VWAPs. It can also be used to know when price is trending according to the VWAPs and daily levels. Lastly, you can use it to know how the volume and volatility trends are currently which gives you more confidence in taking a trade with this data when volume and volatility are present.
Volume Score
When volume is high, this represents a good time to trade because there are many market participants and price is likely to be volatile while there is high volume which can present a lot of good trade setups for you to take.
The volume score shown on the screener measures the current volume trend compared to previous volume trends and calculates that into a score based on 100 being the same as the previous volume trend. So any value above 100 means it is high volume and any value less than 100 means it is lower volume than normal.
In the settings panel, you can adjust the volume threshold that needs to be met for a volume notification to show up. The default setting is at 120, so you will get notified when the current volume trend score is 120 or higher or you can adjust that threshold value to whatever value you prefer.
It also will notify you when there is a volume spike on the current bar. This is determined by calculating an average of the recent volume totals and then checking to see if the current bar is greater than or equal to that average multiplied by 3. So if a single bar has volume that is greater than 3 times what the average volume is, then you will get a notification that says “Spike” to make you aware of that volume spike.
The volume trend threshold, volume spike multiplier and lookback length for the average volume used in volume spike calculations can all be adjusted in the settings panel to fit your desired preferences.
Volatility Score
High volatility can mean it is a great time to trade because the market is moving quickly and providing large enough movements that you can get in and out in a short amount of time, while still accruing decent sized trade PnL.
The volatility score will calculate the current volatility for each market compared to previous conditions and then divide the current volatility by the average volatility to give you a volatility score. Anything over 100 means the market is decently volatile and you should look at that market to find potential trade setups to execute on. Anything below 100 means the market is not very volatile and it is usually best to just wait until volatility returns before you start trading again.
The screener will notify you when the volatility score is above the threshold you set. The default value is set to 90, but can be adjusted to your preference. Pay attention to any market that shows an alert and take a look at that chart because the high volatility may present a good trade setup for you in the near future.
Oscillator Score
The oscillator data can be switched between Relative Strength Index(RSI) and Commodity Channel Index(CCI).
The RSI provides a value between 0 and 100 that indicates the momentum and strength of the recent price action. Many traders use the extremes of the 0-100 range to signal overbought or oversold conditions and use that as a sign to look for price to reverse in the near future. The typical values used for this and the default settings to provide notifications are: 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold. The scanner will notify you when the RSI value is considered overbought or oversold so you know to take a look at the chart and analyze if it is ready for a trade to be taken.
The CCI provides a value that can be used to determine the trend strength of the underlying asset when the oscillator moves above 100 or below -100. These extreme values are outside of the normal accumulation range and signify that price is moving strongly in that direction so it may be a good time to take a trade in the direction of the trend. The scanner will show you the value of the CCI for each market and notify you if that value is above 100 or below -100.
Both RSI and CCI settings can be adjusted in the settings panel to your desired settings so you have the exact oscillator settings you prefer to use as well as the exact values that you want to use for being notified.
Big Candles
Big candles can mean that many traders are buying or selling at the same time and many times indicate a good signal to trade in that same direction. That is why we included this calculation in the screener, so you are always aware when a large candle prints.
It calculates the average size of the recent candles and then uses that average as the benchmark to determine if the current candle is considered big and worthy of notifying you to take a look at that chart.
You can adjust the multiplier used for the big candle threshold to whatever you desire, but the default setting is 3 which means the candle will be considered big and notify you if it is 3 times as large as an average candle.
The big candles data will track the following candle values and notify you with these labels:
High to Low candle size = HL
Candle Body from open to close candle size = OC
Top Wick size = TW
Bottom Wick size = BW
Daily Level Touches & Trend
Daily level touches are excellent levels to watch for price to bounce because they often act as support and resistance levels for intraday trading. The scanner will track each market and notify you when the current candle is touching any of the daily levels that you have turned on in the settings panel.
The main levels that are turned on by default and are useful for all markets and how they will be labeled on the scanner are as follows:
Previous Day High = High
Previous Day Low = Low
Previous Day Open = < Open
Previous Day Close = Close
Current Day Open = Open
We also included some extra levels that are useful for futures traders. They are as follows:
NY 930am Open = 930am
NY 12am Midnight Open = 12am
Asia Open at 8pm NY time = Asia
London Open at 2am NY Time = London
Watch how price reacts to these levels and then trade the bounces off of these levels if the price action confirms that it is going to respect that level.
When price is currently above the previous day high, the scanner will say “Above” and show a green color, indicating a bullish trend and that price is above the previous daily candle’s high.
When price is currently below the previous day low, the scanner will say “Below” and show a red color, indicating a bearish trend and that price is below the previous daily candle’s low.
Pay attention to when price is trending above or below the previous daily candle as those trends can provide excellent trend trading opportunities.
The daily levels that you have turned on in the settings will also show as lines on the chart and include a label next to them, identifying each level so you know what each line represents. You can turn on or off all of the lines shown on the chart in the main settings or turn them off one by one in the style panel of the settings. Labels can also be turned on or off for all of the lines in the main settings panel. You can adjust the label positioning in the Label Offset section of the settings panel.
VWAP Touches & Trend
VWAP stands for volume weighted average price and is a very popular tool that traders use to determine trend direction based on volume as well as an excellent level to trade price bounces off of.
The typical VWAP time period used is Daily, which means the volume weighted average price will reset at the beginning of a new day. We set the first VWAP to be the daily VWAP by default and the second one to be the weekly VWAP. You can adjust both of the time periods to be any of the provided time lengths that you choose.
The screener will show “Above” with a green background color when price is above the VWAP, indicating a bullish trend. It will show “Below” with a red background color when price is below the VWAP, indicating a bearish trend. When both VWAPs are showing Above or Below, you can expect price to trend in that direction, so look for pullbacks you can trade in the direction of the trend. If the VWAPs are showing different directions, then you should expect to bounce back and forth between the VWAPs, but be careful and watch out for price to break beyond either one and start a trend.
When the current candle is touching the VWAP, the scanner will change colors and say VWAP to notify you that price is touching the VWAP and you should look at that chart and analyze the market for a potential bounce off of the VWAP to trade.
Trending Market Signals
Strong trends are excellent markets to trade and can many times provide excellent trading opportunities that don’t require expert price action reading skills to be able to take winning trades from. That is why we included a signal to notify you of a strong trending market.
The strong trending market will show up as a green or red background color for the ticker name. If the color of the ticker name is green, it is notifying you that the price is above the previous daily high, above VWAP 1 and above VWAP 2 and is a good market to look for bullish trend trades. If the color of the ticker name is red, it is notifying you that the price is below the previous daily low, below VWAP 1 and below VWAP 2 and is a good market to look for bearish trend trades.
Changing The Tickers It Scans
To change the tickers that the indicator scans, scroll near the bottom of the settings panel and select the ticker symbol you want to update and then search for the exact symbol you want to use. If you want to scan less tickers, then just turn some of the tickers off that you don’t need.
Scanning More Than 10 Tickers
If you want to scan more than 10 tickers, you can add the scanner to your chart again and then just change the table position to the other side of the screen. This will allow you to scan 10 more tickers that will show up separately. Then if you want even more, just add the indicator to your chart again and update the table position until you have as many markets as you want. The table position setting can be found at the bottom of the main settings panel.
Alerts
The screener has alerts that can be used to notify you when any of the data set thresholds have been met or if price is touching one of the levels. You can set alerts for the following events:
Bullish Trend Alert - Price is above the previous daily high and above both VWAPs.
Bearish Trend Alert - Price is below the previous daily low and below both VWAPs.
High Volume Alert - Volume is higher than the threshold or a volume spike is detected.
High Volatility Alert - Volatility is higher than the threshold.
Oscillator Is Extended Alert - Oscillator value has exceeded the upper or lower threshold.
Big Candle Alert - A big candle has been detected.
Daily Level Touch Alert - One of the daily levels that is turned on is being touched.
VWAP Touch Alert - One of the 2 VWAPs are being touched.
An alert will trigger when any one of tickers on your scanner meets the alert conditions, so when you see the alert, you will need to go to your chart and look at the scanner to see which ticker it was and then navigate to that chart to look for potential trade setups.
The alerts will use the exact same settings you have configured in the settings panel to send you alert notifications. With normal settings, this could give you a lot of alerts, so if you only want alerts to fire when abnormal conditions are being met, try setting up a second screener on your chart that has very high threshold values and only has the most important level touches on. Then turn the setting "Do Not Show The Screener On The Chart" to off so the calculations will still run and fire alerts, but won't clog up your charts. This way you can only get alert notifications when major events happen but still have your normal screener settings available on your chart.
Markets This Can Be Used On
This screener uses the price action and volume data so you can use it to scan any type of market you would like as long as the ticker you are scanning has price and volume data feeds. If a market does not have volume data, then it will just show NaN in the volume row and the VWAP rows will not show anything.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
SynchroTrend Oscillator (STO) [PhenLabs]📊 SynchroTrend Oscillator
Version: PineScript™ v5
📌 Description
The SynchroTrend Oscillator (STO) is a multi-timeframe synchronization tool that combines trend information from three distinct timeframes into a single, easy-to-interpret oscillator ranging from -100 to +100.
This indicator solves the common problem of having to analyze multiple timeframe charts separately by consolidating trend direction and strength across different time horizons. The STO helps traders identify when markets are truly synchronized across timeframes, potentially indicating stronger trend conditions and higher probability trading opportunities.
Using either Moving Average crossovers or RSI analysis as the trend definition metric, the STO provides a comprehensive view of market structure that adapts to various trading strategies and market conditions.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Triple-timeframe synchronization in a single view eliminates chart switching
Dual trend detection methods (MA vs Price or RSI) for flexibility across different markets
Dynamic color intensity that automatically increases with signal strength
Scaled oscillator format (-100 to +100) for intuitive trend strength interpretation
Customizable signal thresholds to match your risk tolerance and trading style
Visual alerts when markets reach full synchronization states
🔧 Core Components
Trend Scoring System: Calculates a binary score (+1, -1, or 0) for each timeframe based on selected metrics, providing clear trend direction
Multi-Timeframe Synchronization: Combines and scales trend scores from all three timeframes into a single oscillator
Dynamic Visualization: Adjusts color transparency based on signal strength, creating an intuitive visual guide
Threshold System: Provides customizable levels for identifying potentially significant trading opportunities
🔥 Key Features
Triple Timeframe Analysis: Synchronizes three user-defined timeframes (default: 60min, 15min, 5min) into one view
Dual Trend Detection Methods: Choose between Moving Average vs Price or RSI-based trend determination
Adjustable Signal Smoothing: Apply EMA, SMA, or no smoothing to the oscillator output for your preferred signal responsiveness
Dynamic Color Intensity: Colors become more vibrant as signal strength increases, helping identify strongest setups
Customizable Thresholds: Set your own buy/sell threshold levels to match your trading strategy
Comprehensive Alerts: Six different alert conditions for crossing thresholds, zero line, and full synchronization states
🎨 Visualization
Oscillator Line: The main line showing the synchronized trend value from -100 to +100
Dynamic Fill: Area between oscillator and zero line changes transparency based on signal strength
Threshold Lines: Optional dotted lines indicating buy/sell thresholds for visual reference
Color Coding: Green for bullish synchronization, red for bearish synchronization
📖 Usage Guidelines
Timeframe Settings
Timeframe 1: Default: 60 (1 hour) - Primary higher timeframe for trend definition
Timeframe 2: Default: 15 (15 minutes) - Intermediate timeframe for trend definition
Timeframe 3: Default: 5 (5 minutes) - Lower timeframe for trend definition
Trend Calculation Settings
Trend Definition Metric: Default: “MA vs Price” - Method used to determine trend on each timeframe
MA Type: Default: EMA - Moving Average type when using MA vs Price method
MA Length: Default: 21 - Moving Average period when using MA vs Price method
RSI Length: Default: 14 - RSI period when using RSI method
RSI Source: Default: close - Price data source for RSI calculation
Oscillator Settings
Smoothing Type: Default: SMA - Applies smoothing to the final oscillator
Smoothing Length: Default: 5 - Period for the smoothing function
Visual & Threshold Settings
Up/Down Colors: Customize colors for bullish and bearish signals
Transparency Range: Control how transparency changes with signal strength
Line Width: Adjust oscillator line thickness
Buy/Sell Thresholds: Set levels for potential entry/exit signals
✅ Best Use Cases
Trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Finding high-probability entry points when all timeframes align
Early detection of potential trend reversals
Filtering trade signals from other indicators
Market structure analysis
Identifying potential divergences between timeframes
⚠️ Limitations
Like all indicators, can produce false signals during choppy or ranging markets
Works best in trending market conditions
Should not be used in isolation for trading decisions
Past performance is not indicative of future results
May require different settings for different markets or instruments
💡 What Makes This Unique
Combines three timeframes in a single visualization without requiring multiple chart windows
Dynamic transparency feature that automatically emphasizes stronger signals
Flexible trend definition methods suitable for different market conditions
Visual system that makes multi-timeframe analysis intuitive and accessible
🔬 How It Works
1. Trend Evaluation:
For each timeframe, the indicator calculates a trend score (+1, -1, or 0) using either:
MA vs Price: Comparing close price to a moving average
RSI: Determining if RSI is above or below 50
2. Score Aggregation:
The three trend scores are combined and then scaled to a range of -100 to +100
A value of +100 indicates all timeframes show bullish conditions
A value of -100 indicates all timeframes show bearish conditions
Values in between indicate varying degrees of alignment
3. Signal Processing:
The raw oscillator value can be smoothed using EMA, SMA, or left unsmoothed
The final value determines line color, fill color, and transparency settings
Threshold levels are applied to identify potential trading opportunities
💡 Note:
The SynchroTrend Oscillator is most effective when used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that includes proper risk management techniques. For best results, consider using the oscillator in conjunction with support/resistance levels, price action analysis, and other complementary indicators that align with your trading style.
Triple Moving Average CrossoverBelow is the Pine Script code for TradingView that creates an indicator with three user-defined moving averages (with default periods of 10, 50, and 100) and labels for buy and sell signals at key crossovers. Additionally, it creates a label if the price increases by 100 points from the buy entry or decreases by 100 points from the sell entry, with the label saying "+100".
Explanation:
Indicator Definition: indicator("Triple Moving Average Crossover", overlay=true) defines the script as an indicator that overlays on the chart.
User Inputs: input.int functions allow users to define the periods for the short, middle, and long moving averages with defaults of 10, 50, and 100, respectively.
Moving Averages Calculation: The ta.sma function calculates the simple moving averages for the specified periods.
Plotting Moving Averages: plot functions plot the short, middle, and long moving averages on the chart with blue, orange, and red colors.
Crossover Detection: ta.crossover and ta.crossunder functions detect when the short moving average crosses above or below the middle moving average and when the middle moving average crosses above or below the long moving average.
Entry Price Tracking: Variables buyEntryPrice and sellEntryPrice store the buy and sell entry prices. These prices are updated whenever a bullish or bearish crossover occurs.
100 Points Move Detection: buyTargetReached checks if the current price has increased by 100 points from the buy entry price. sellTargetReached checks if the current price has decreased by 100 points from the sell entry price.
Plotting Labels: plotshape functions plot the buy and sell labels at the crossovers and the +100 labels when the target moves are reached. The labels are displayed in white and green colors.
SA 2.0The 100/200 EMA crossover strategy is a popular trend-following strategy used in technical analysis. It aims to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two exponential moving averages (EMAs), specifically the 100-period EMA and the 200-period EMA. This strategy is designed to capture the momentum of the market and take advantage of sustained trends in the price of US30. This strategy can also work on other instruments, just backtest the winrate.
How it Works:
Timeframe Selection: The strategy is optimized for the US30 index and is implemented on both the 5-minute and 3-minute charts. These shorter timeframes provide more frequent trading opportunities and allow for quicker decision-making.
EMA Crossover: The strategy focuses on the crossover of the 100-period EMA and the 200-period EMA. When the 100 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, it generates a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend. Conversely, when the 100 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA, it generates a bearish signal, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Rejection Confirmation: To filter out false signals and increase the reliability of the strategy, it incorporates a rejection confirmation. After the initial crossover, the strategy looks for price rejections near the 100 EMA. A rejection occurs when the price briefly moves below the 100 EMA and then quickly bounces back above it, indicating potential support and a possible continuation of the trend. It is during this rejection that the strategy generates the buy or sell signal.
Buy and Sell Signals: When a rejection occurs after the crossover, the strategy generates a buy signal if the rejection is above the 100 EMA. This suggests that the price is likely to continue its upward momentum. On the other hand, a sell signal is generated if the rejection occurs below the 100 EMA, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. These signals help traders identify favorable entry points for long or short positions.
Risk Management: As with any trading strategy, proper risk management is crucial. Traders can use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses in case the market moves against their positions. Additionally, setting profit targets or trailing stops can help secure profits as the trend progresses.
It's important to note that no trading strategy guarantees success, and it's recommended to test the strategy on historical data or in a demo trading environment before applying it with real funds. Furthermore, regular monitoring and adjustment may be necessary to adapt to changing market conditions.
Disclaimer: This description is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading carries risks, and individuals should exercise caution and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Any Oscillator Underlay [TTF]We are proud to release a new indicator that has been a while in the making - the Any Oscillator Underlay (AOU) !
Note: There is a lot to discuss regarding this indicator, including its intent and some of how it operates, so please be sure to read this entire description before using this indicator to help ensure you understand both the intent and some limitations with this tool.
Our intent for building this indicator was to accomplish the following:
Combine all of the oscillators that we like to use into a single indicator
Take up a bit less screen space for the underlay indicators for strategies that utilize multiple oscillators
Provide a tool for newer traders to be able to leverage multiple oscillators in a single indicator
Features:
Includes 8 separate, fully-functional indicators combined into one
Ability to easily enable/disable and configure each included indicator independently
Clearly named plots to support user customization of color and styling, as well as manual creation of alerts
Ability to customize sub-indicator title position and color
Ability to customize sub-indicator divider lines style and color
Indicators that are included in this initial release:
TSI
2x RSIs (dubbed the Twin RSI )
Stochastic RSI
Stochastic
Ultimate Oscillator
Awesome Oscillator
MACD
Outback RSI (Color-coding only)
Quick note on OB/OS:
Before we get into covering each included indicator, we first need to cover a core concept for how we're defining OB and OS levels. To help illustrate this, we will use the TSI as an example.
The TSI by default has a mid-point of 0 and a range of -100 to 100. As a result, a common practice is to place lines on the -30 and +30 levels to represent OS and OB zones, respectively. Most people tend to view these levels as distance from the edges/outer bounds or as absolute levels, but we feel a more way to frame the OB/OS concept is to instead define it as distance ("offset") from the mid-line. In keeping with the -30 and +30 levels in our example, the offset in this case would be "30".
Taking this a step further, let's say we decided we wanted an offset of 25. Since the mid-point is 0, we'd then calculate the OB level as 0 + 25 (+25), and the OS level as 0 - 25 (-25).
Now that we've covered the concept of how we approach defining OB and OS levels (based on offset/distance from the mid-line), and since we did apply some transformations, rescaling, and/or repositioning to all of the indicators noted above, we are going to discuss each component indicator to detail both how it was modified from the original to fit the stacked-indicator model, as well as the various major components that the indicator contains.
TSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
TSI and TSI Signal Line
Color-coded fill for the TSI/TSI Signal lines
Moving Average for the TSI
TSI Histogram
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default TSI fill color coding:
Green : TSI is above the signal line
Red : TSI is below the signal line
Note: The TSI traditionally has a range of -100 to +100 with a mid-point of 0 (range of 200). To fit into our stacking model, we first shrunk the range to 100 (-50 to +50 - cut it in half), then repositioned it to have a mid-point of 50. Since this is the "bottom" of our indicator-stack, no additional repositioning is necessary.
Twin RSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Fast RSI (useful if you want to leverage 2x RSIs as it makes it easier to see the overlaps and crosses - can be disabled if desired)
Slow RSI (primary RSI)
Color-coded fill for the Fast/Slow RSI lines (if Fast RSI is enabled and configured)
Moving Average for the Slow RSI
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default Twin RSI fill color coding:
Dark Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Dark Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Note: The RSI naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Stochastic and Stochastic RSI:
These indicators contain the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the RSI (for the Stochastic RSI only), K, and D values
Configurable base price source
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Note: The Stochastic and Stochastic RSI both have a normal range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformations are done on either of these indicators. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast, Middle, and Slow BP/TR components
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Moving Average for the UO
Color-coded fill for the UO/UO MA lines (if UO MA is enabled and configured)
Default UO fill color coding:
Green : UO is above the moving average line
Red : UO is below the moving average line
Note: The UO naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the AO calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the AO calculation
Mid-line
Option to display the AO as a line or pseudo-histogram
Moving Average for the AO
Color-coded fill for the AO/AO MA lines (if AO MA is enabled and configured)
Default AO fill color coding (Note: Fill was disabled in the image above to improve clarity):
Green : AO is above the moving average line
Red : AO is below the moving average line
Note: The AO is technically has an infinite (unbound) range - -∞ to ∞ - and the effective range is bound to the underlying security price (e.g. BTC will have a wider range than SP500, and SP500 will have a wider range than EUR/USD). We employed some special techniques to rescale this indicator into our desired range of 100 (-50 to 50), and then repositioned it to have a midpoint of 50 (range of 0 to 100) to meet the constraints of our stacking model. We then do one final repositioning to place it in the correct position the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
MACD:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable length and calculation method for the MACD Signal Line calculation
Mid-line
Note: Like the AO, the MACD also technically has an infinite (unbound) range. We employed the same principles here as we did with the AO to rescale and reposition this indicator as well. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
Outback RSI (ORSI):
This is a stripped-down version of the Outback RSI indicator (linked above) that only includes the color-coding background (suffice it to say that it was not technically feasible to attempt to rescale the other components in a way that could consistently be clearly seen on-chart). As this component is a bit of a niche/special-purpose sub-indicator, it is disabled by default, and we suggest it remain disabled unless you have some pre-defined strategy that leverages the color-coding element of the Outback RSI that you wish to use.
Binding Infinity - How We Incorporated the AO and MACD (Warning - Math Talk Ahead!)
Note: This applies only to the AO and MACD at time of original publication. If any other indicators are added in the future that also fall into the category of "binding an infinite-range oscillator", we will make that clear in the release notes when that new addition is published.
To help set the stage for this discussion, it's important to note that the broader challenge of "equalizing inputs" is nothing new. In fact, it's a key element in many of the most popular fields of data science, such as AI and Machine Learning. They need to take a diverse set of inputs with a wide variety of ranges and seemingly-random inputs (referred to as "features"), and build a mathematical or computational model in order to work. But, when the raw inputs can vary significantly from one another, there is an inherent need to do some pre-processing to those inputs so that one doesn't overwhelm another simply due to the difference in raw values between them. This is where feature scaling comes into play.
With this in mind, we implemented 2 of the most common methods of Feature Scaling - Min-Max Normalization (which we call "Normalization" in our settings), and Z-Score Normalization (which we call "Standardization" in our settings). Let's take a look at each of those methods as they have been implemented in this script.
Min-Max Normalization (Normalization)
This is one of the most common - and most basic - methods of feature scaling. The basic formula is: y = (x - min)/(max - min) - where x is the current data sample, min is the lowest value in the dataset, and max is the highest value in the dataset. In this transformation, the max would evaluate to 1, and the min would evaluate to 0, and any value in between the min and the max would evaluate somewhere between 0 and 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
It can be used to transform datasets of any range into a new dataset with a consistent and known range (0 to 1).
It has no dependency on the "shape" of the raw input dataset (i.e. does not assume the input dataset can be approximated to a normal distribution).
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique...
First, it assumes the input dataset is complete, or an accurate representation of the population via random sampling. While in most situations this is a valid assumption, in trading indicators we don't really have that luxury as we're often limited in what sample data we can access (i.e. number of historical bars available).
Second, this method is highly sensitive to outliers. Since the crux of this transformation is based on the max-min to define the initial range, a single significant outlier can result in skewing the post-transformation dataset (i.e. major price movement as a reaction to a significant news event).
You can potentially mitigate those 2 "gotchas" by using a mechanism or technique to find and discard outliers (e.g. calculate the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset and discard any raw values more than 5 standard deviations from the mean), but if your most recent datapoint is an "outlier" as defined by that algorithm, processing it using the "scrubbed" dataset would result in that new datapoint being outside the intended range of 0 to 1 (e.g. if the new datapoint is greater than the "scrubbed" max, it's post-transformation value would be greater than 1). Even though this is a bit of an edge-case scenario, it is still sure to happen in live markets processing live data, so it's not an ideal solution in our opinion (which is why we chose not to attempt to discard outliers in this manner).
Z-Score Normalization (Standardization)
This method of rescaling is a bit more complex than the Min-Max Normalization method noted above, but it is also a widely used process. The basic formula is: y = (x – μ) / σ - where x is the current data sample, μ is the mean (average) of the input dataset, and σ is the standard deviation of the input dataset. While this transformation still results in a technically-infinite possible range, the output of this transformation has a 2 very significant properties - the mean (average) of the output dataset has a mean (μ) of 0 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
As it's based on normalizing the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset instead of a linear range conversion, it is far less susceptible to outliers significantly affecting the result (and in fact has the effect of "squishing" outliers).
It can be used to accurately transform disparate sets of data into a similar range regardless of the original dataset's raw/actual range.
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique as well...
First, it still technically does not do any form of range-binding, so it is still technically unbounded (range -∞ to ∞ with a mid-point of 0).
Second, it implicitly assumes that the raw input dataset to be transformed is normally distributed, which won't always be the case in financial markets.
The first "gotcha" is a bit of an annoyance, but isn't a huge issue as we can apply principles of normal distribution to conceptually limit the range by defining a fixed number of standard deviations from the mean. While this doesn't totally solve the "infinite range" problem (a strong enough sudden move can still break out of our "conceptual range" boundaries), the amount of movement needed to achieve that kind of impact will generally be pretty rare.
The bigger challenge is how to deal with the assumption of the input dataset being normally distributed. While most financial markets (and indicators) do tend towards a normal distribution, they are almost never going to match that distribution exactly. So let's dig a bit deeper into distributions are defined and how things like trending markets can affect them.
Skew (skewness): This is a measure of asymmetry of the bell curve, or put another way, how and in what way the bell curve is disfigured when comparing the 2 halves. The easiest way to visualize this is to draw an imaginary vertical line through the apex of the bell curve, then fold the curve in half along that line. If both halves are exactly the same, the skew is 0 (no skew/perfectly symmetrical) - which is what a normal distribution has (skew = 0). Most financial markets tend to have short, medium, and long-term trends, and these trends will cause the distribution curve to skew in one direction or another. Bullish markets tend to skew to the right (positive), and bearish markets to the left (negative).
Kurtosis: This is a measure of the "tail size" of the bell curve. Another way to state this could be how "flat" or "steep" the bell-shape is. If the bell is steep with a strong drop from the apex (like a steep cliff), it has low kurtosis. If the bell has a shallow, more sweeping drop from the apex (like a tall hill), is has high kurtosis. Translating this to financial markets, kurtosis is generally a metric of volatility as the bell shape is largely defined by the strength and frequency of outliers. This is effectively a measure of volatility - volatile markets tend to have a high level of kurtosis (>3), and stable/consolidating markets tend to have a low level of kurtosis (<3). A normal distribution (our reference), has a kurtosis value of 3.
So to try and bring all that back together, here's a quick recap of the Standardization rescaling method:
The Standardization method has an assumption of a normal distribution of input data by using the mean (average) and standard deviation to handle the transformation
Most financial markets do NOT have a normal distribution (as discussed above), and will have varying degrees of skew and kurtosis
Q: Why are we still favoring the Standardization method over the Normalization method, and how are we accounting for the innate skew and/or kurtosis inherent in most financial markets?
A: Well, since we're only trying to rescale oscillators that by-definition have a midpoint of 0, kurtosis isn't a major concern beyond the affect it has on the post-transformation scaling (specifically, the number of standard deviations from the mean we need to include in our "artificially-bound" range definition).
Q: So that answers the question about kurtosis, but what about skew?
A: So - for skew, the answer is in the formula - specifically the mean (average) element. The standard mean calculation assumes a complete dataset and therefore uses a standard (i.e. simple) average, but we're limited by the data history available to us. So we adapted the transformation formula to leverage a moving average that included a weighting element to it so that it favored recent datapoints more heavily than older ones. By making the average component more adaptive, we gained the effect of reducing the skew element by having the average itself be more responsive to recent movements, which significantly reduces the effect historical outliers have on the dataset as a whole. While this is certainly not a perfect solution, we've found that it serves the purpose of rescaling the MACD and AO to a far more well-defined range while still preserving the oscillator behavior and mid-line exceptionally well.
The most difficult parts to compensate for are periods where markets have low volatility for an extended period of time - to the point where the oscillators are hovering around the 0/midline (in the case of the AO), or when the oscillator and signal lines converge and remain close to each other (in the case of the MACD). It's during these periods where even our best attempt at ensuring accurate mirrored-behavior when compared to the original can still occasionally lead or lag by a candle.
Note: If this is a make-or-break situation for you or your strategy, then we recommend you do not use any of the included indicators that leverage this kind of bounding technique (the AO and MACD at time of publication) and instead use the Trandingview built-in versions!
We know this is a lot to read and digest, so please take your time and feel free to ask questions - we will do our best to answer! And as always, constructive feedback is always welcome!
TARVIS Labs - Bitcoin Macro Bottom/Top SignalsSCRIPT DESCRIPTION
This is a script specifically written to help provide indicators from a macro view. This script is best run on the 1 day interval on Bitstamp's $BTCUSD chart. It helps indicate when to accumulate bitcoin, and when its in a bull run when there are local tops, strong top warnings, and a signal to exit a bull run. This is described further below.
If you don't have interest in trading on the way to the top I suggest turning off the following indicators in the settings of the indicator:
- Opportunity To Buy Back In Indicator
- Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator
ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - LIGHT GREEN
Description
When we look at the history of Bitcoin every bottom has crossed below the 100 week EMA. Once it does its accompanied by hash ribbon cross with miner capitulation. After that is the prime time to accumulate as theres a clearer signal the bottom is in. Specifically, a signal to look for is the 14 day MACD/signal cross and the 14 day MACD continuing to stay above the signal until the price returns above the 100 week EMA. This is prime accumulation territory.
Strategy for Usage
A good strategy to use when accumulating the bottom is dollar-cost averaging over a 30 day period. The accumulation zone can last longer than 30 days but 30 days is a good range of time to DCA.
STRONG BUY IN ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - DARK GREEN
Description
We can add to the bottoming signal by looking for post-downtrend reversals inside the bottoming signal. We do this by using a 9/19 daily cross.
Strategy for Usage
These post-downtrend reversals can potentially provide better targeted days for accumulation than the broader bottoming signal and can be used to add more on that day than on an average day for the dollar cost average strategy. Say for example, use 1/3 of funds on these days rather than 1/30th.
OPPORTUNITY TO BUY BACK IN INDICATOR - BLUE
Description
When the 1d 18 EMA > 1d 63 EMA and the 12/52 1d crosses. These together provide good buy opportunities to buy bitcoin.
Strategy for Usage
If you happen to find yourself out of the market from your own TA or a trade, this signal can provide a buy opportunity to reenter the market if you're out of it.
BULL RUN LOCAL TOP INDICATOR - ORANGE
Description
We will similarly use the 100 week EMA to determine trend reversal into a bull run. When we see the 100 week EMA uptrending, we can begin to look for local tops using the 9/19 daily MACD/signal bearish cross along with the 12 EMA having a negative slope, which could be the beginning signal for a local top.
Strategy for Usage
This is a rather light indicator, but can be used in tandem with your own technical analysis to determine if you want to reenter after you exit from its signal.
LOCAL TOP NEAR BULL RUN TOP INDICATOR - RED
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend we can look for significant loss of momentum in order to determine if a local top is in near a bull run top. Similar to the Bull Run Local Top Indicator, this strategy uses a MACD/signal cross but instead uses the 30/65 day EMAs.
Strategy for Usage
Ideally the right strategy to use here is to exit the market when this indicator starts. When the indicator ends if the "End of Bull Run Indicator" is not showing on the chart you can buy back into the market.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a very strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
END OF BULL RUN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend and the 1d 18 EMA crosses the 1d 63 EMA.
Strategy for Usage
When the 100 week EMA is a strong uptrend and the 18/63 cross occurs the top is very likely in. It has occurred in every bull run top leading to the bear market.
CCI + MACD Signal MTF (2nd-cross)This custom indicator combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the MACD to generate trading signals.
Basic signals (dots):
A green dot is plotted when CCI is above +100 and MACD is positive.
A red dot is plotted when CCI is below –100 and MACD is negative.
These dots help visualize momentum alignment between the two indicators.
Second-cross signals (text + alert):
The indicator also tracks cycles of the CCI.
When CCI first moves above +100 and later falls back below +100, this is counted as one completed cycle.
The next time CCI crosses back above +100 (the second cross), if MACD is still positive, a “BUY” label is plotted and a buy alert is triggered.
Conversely, when CCI first moves below –100 and later rises back above –100, that is one completed cycle.
The next time CCI crosses back below –100 (the second cross), if MACD is negative, a “SELL” label is plotted and a sell alert is triggered.
Alerts:
Alerts are only fired on the second-cross events (BUY or SELL), making them rarer but potentially more reliable than the basic dot conditions.
Timeframe flexibility:
Both the CCI and the MACD can be calculated on custom timeframes independently of the chart’s timeframe.
CCI + MACD Signal MTF (2nd-cross)This custom indicator combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the MACD to generate trading signals.
Basic signals (dots):
A green dot is plotted when CCI is above +100 and MACD is positive.
A red dot is plotted when CCI is below –100 and MACD is negative.
These dots help visualize momentum alignment between the two indicators.
Second-cross signals (text + alert):
The indicator also tracks cycles of the CCI.
When CCI first moves above +100 and later falls back below +100, this is counted as one completed cycle.
The next time CCI crosses back above +100 (the second cross), if MACD is still positive, a “BUY” label is plotted and a buy alert is triggered.
Conversely, when CCI first moves below –100 and later rises back above –100, that is one completed cycle.
The next time CCI crosses back below –100 (the second cross), if MACD is negative, a “SELL” label is plotted and a sell alert is triggered.
Alerts:
Alerts are only fired on the second-cross events (BUY or SELL), making them rarer but potentially more reliable than the basic dot conditions.
Timeframe flexibility:
Both the CCI and the MACD can be calculated on custom timeframes independently of the chart’s timeframe.
QTrade Golden, Bronze & Death, Bubonic Cross AlertsThis indicator highlights key EMA regime shifts with simple, color-coded triangles:
- Golden / Death Cross — 50 EMA crossing above/below the 200 EMA.
- Bronze / Bubonic Cross — 50 EMA crossing above/below the 100 EMA.
- Early-Warning Proxy — tiny triangles for the 4 EMA vs. 200 EMA (4↑200 and 4↓200). These often fire before the 50/100 and 50/200 crosses.
No text clutter on the chart—just triangles. Colors: gold (50↑200), red (50↓200), darker-yellow bronze (50↑100), burgundy (50↓100), turquoise (4↑200), purple (4↓200).
What it tells you (in order of warning → confirmation)
- First warning: 4 EMA crosses the 200 EMA (proxy for price shifting around the 200 line).
- Second warning: 50 EMA crosses the 100 EMA (Bronze/Bubonic).
- Confirmation: 50 EMA crosses the 200 EMA (Golden/Death).
Alerts included
- Golden Cross (50↑200) and Death Cross (50↓200)
- Bronze Cross (50↑100) and Bubonic Cross (50↓100)
- 4 EMA vs. 200 EMA crosses (up & down) — early-warning proxy
- Price–100 EMA events (touch/cross, if enabled in settings)
KRX RS OverlayKRX RS Overlay (Manual, Pine v6) (한국어 설명 아래에)
What it does
Plots a Relative Strength (RS) line of the current symbol versus a selected Korean market index on the price chart (overlay). RS is computed as Close(symbol) / Close(benchmark) and rebased to 100 N bars ago for easy comparison. An SMA of RS is included for signal smoothing.
Benchmarks (manual selection only)
• KOSPI (KRX:KOSPI) — default
• KOSDAQ (KRX:KOSDAQ)
• KOSPI200 (KRX:KOSPI200)
• KOSDAQ150 (KRX:KOSDAQ150)
Inputs
• Benchmark: choose one of the four indices above (default: KOSPI)
• Rebase N bars ago to 100: sets the normalization point (e.g., 252 ≈ 1 trading year on daily)
• RS SMA length: smoothing period for the RS line
• Show 100 base line: toggle the reference line at 100
How to read
• RS rising → the symbol is outperforming the selected index.
• RS above RS-SMA and sloping up → strengthening leadership vs. the benchmark.
• RS crossing above RS-SMA → momentum-style confirmation (an alert is provided).
Tips
• Works on any timeframe; the benchmark is requested on the same timeframe.
• If the RS line scale conflicts with price, place the indicator on the Left scale (Chart Settings → Scales) or set the series to use the left axis.
Notes
• This script is manual only (no auto index detection).
• Educational use; not financial advice.
⸻
KRX RS 오버레이 (수동, Pine v6)
기능
현재 종목을 선택한 한국 지수와 비교한 상대강도(RS) 라인을 가격 차트 위(오버레이)에 표시합니다. RS는 종목 종가 / 지수 종가로 계산하며, 비교를 쉽게 하기 위해 N봉 전 = 100으로 리베이스합니다. 신호 완화를 위해 RS의 SMA도 함께 제공합니다.
벤치마크(수동 선택만 지원)
• KOSPI (KRX:KOSPI) — 기본값
• KOSDAQ (KRX:KOSDAQ)
• KOSPI200 (KRX:KOSPI200)
• KOSDAQ150 (KRX:KOSDAQ150)
입력값
• Benchmark: 위 4개 지수 중 선택(기본: KOSPI)
• Rebase N bars ago to 100: 리베이스 기준(일봉 252 ≈ 1년)
• RS SMA length: RS 스무딩 기간
• Show 100 base line: 100 기준선 표시 여부
해석 가이드
• RS 상승 → 선택 지수 대비 초과성과.
• RS가 RS-SMA 위 & 우상향 → 벤치마크 대비 리더십 강화.
• RS가 RS-SMA 상향 돌파 → 모멘텀 확인(알림 제공).
팁
• 모든 타임프레임에서 동작하며, 지수도 동일 타임프레임으로 요청됩니다.
• 가격 축과 스케일이 겹치면 왼쪽 스케일로 표시하도록 설정하세요(차트 설정 → Scales).
유의사항
• 자동 지수 판별 기능은 포함하지 않았습니다(수동 전용).
Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit ThresholdsBollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds
Author of enhancements: chuckaschultz
Inspired and adapted from the original 'Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator' by LuxAlgo
Overview
Pairs nicely with Contrarian 100 MA
The Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds is a powerful momentum-based indicator designed to help traders identify potential entry and exit points in trending or breakout markets. By leveraging Bollinger Bands, this indicator quantifies price deviations from the bands to generate bullish and bearish momentum signals, displayed as an oscillator. It includes customizable entry and exit signals based on user-defined thresholds, with visual cues plotted either on the oscillator panel or directly on the price chart.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to capture breakout opportunities or confirm trend strength, with flexible settings to adapt to various markets and trading styles.
How It Works
The Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds calculates two key metrics:
Bullish Momentum (Bull): Measures the extent to which the price exceeds the upper Bollinger Band, expressed as a percentage (0–100).
Bearish Momentum (Bear): Measures the extent to which the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, also expressed as a percentage (0–100).
The indicator generates:
Long Entry Signals: Triggered when the bearish momentum (bear) crosses below a user-defined Long Threshold (default: 40). This suggests weakening bearish pressure, potentially indicating a reversal or breakout to the upside.
Exit Signals: Triggered when the bullish momentum (bull) crosses below a user-defined Sell Threshold (default: 80), indicating a potential reduction in bullish momentum and a signal to exit long positions.
Signals are visualized as tiny colored dots:
Long Entry: Blue dots, plotted either at the bottom of the oscillator or below the price bar (depending on user settings).
Exit Signal: White dots, plotted either at the top of the oscillator or above the price bar.
Calculation Methodology
Bollinger Bands:
A user-defined Length (default: 14) is used to calculate an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the source price (default: close).
Standard deviation is computed over the same length, multiplied by a user-defined Multiplier (default: 1.0).
Upper Band = EMA + (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
Lower Band = EMA - (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
Bull and Bear Momentum:
For each bar in the lookback period (length), the indicator calculates:
Bullish Momentum: The sum of positive deviations of the price above the upper band, normalized by the total absolute deviation from the upper band, scaled to a 0–100 range.
Bearish Momentum: The sum of positive deviations of the price below the lower band, normalized by the total absolute deviation from the lower band, scaled to a 0–100 range.
Formula:
bull = (sum of max(price - upper, 0) / sum of abs(price - upper)) * 100
bear = (sum of max(lower - price, 0) / sum of abs(lower - price)) * 100
Signal Generation:
Long Entry: Triggered when bear crosses below the Long Threshold.
Exit: Triggered when bull crosses below the Sell Threshold.
Settings
Length: Lookback period for EMA and standard deviation (default: 14).
Multiplier: Multiplier for standard deviation to adjust Bollinger Band width (default: 1.0).
Source: Input price data (default: close).
Long Threshold: Bearish momentum level below which a long entry signal is generated (default: 40).
Sell Threshold: Bullish momentum level below which an exit signal is generated (default: 80).
Plot Signals on Main Chart: Option to display entry/exit signals on the price chart instead of the oscillator panel (default: false).
Style:
Bullish Color: Color for bullish momentum plot (default: #f23645).
Bearish Color: Color for bearish momentum plot (default: #089981).
Visual Features
Bull and Bear Plots: Displayed as colored lines with gradient fills for visual clarity.
Midline: Horizontal line at 50 for reference.
Threshold Lines: Dashed green line for Long Threshold and dashed red line for Sell Threshold.
Signal Dots:
Long Entry: Tiny blue dots (below price bar or at oscillator bottom).
Exit: Tiny white dots (above price bar or at oscillator top).
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Adjust Settings: Customize the Length, Multiplier, Long Threshold, and Sell Threshold to suit your trading strategy.
Interpret Signals:
Enter a long position when a blue dot appears, indicating bearish momentum dropping below the Long Threshold.
Exit the long position when a white dot appears, indicating bullish momentum dropping below the Sell Threshold.
Toggle Plot Location: Enable Plot Signals on Main Chart to display signals on the price chart for easier integration with price action analysis.
Combine with Other Tools: Use alongside other indicators (e.g., trendlines, support/resistance) to confirm signals.
Notes
This indicator is inspired by LuxAlgo’s Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator but has been enhanced with customizable entry/exit thresholds and signal plotting options.
Best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to filter false signals, especially in choppy or range-bound markets.
Adjust the Multiplier to make the Bollinger Bands wider or narrower, affecting the sensitivity of the momentum calculations.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
CCI Divergence Detector
A technical analysis tool that identifies divergences between price action and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) oscillator. Unlike standard divergence indicators, this system employs advanced gradient visualization, multi-layer wave effects, and comprehensive customization options to provide traders with crystal-clear divergence signals and market momentum insights.
Core Detection Mechanism
CCI-Based Analysis: The indicator utilizes the Commodity Channel Index as its primary oscillator, calculated from user-configurable source data (default: HLC3) with adjustable length parameters. The CCI provides reliable momentum readings that effectively highlight price-momentum divergences.
Dynamic Pivot Detection: The system employs adaptive pivot detection with three sensitivity levels (High/Normal/Low) to identify significant highs and lows in both price and CCI values. This dynamic approach ensures optimal divergence detection across different market conditions and timeframes.
Dual Divergence Analysis:
Regular Bullish Divergences: Detected when price makes lower lows while CCI makes higher lows, indicating potential upward reversal
Regular Bearish Divergences: Identified when price makes higher highs while CCI makes lower highs, signaling potential downward reversal
Strength Classification System: Each detected divergence is automatically classified into three strength categories (Weak/Moderate/Strong) based on:
-Price differential magnitude
-CCI differential magnitude
-Time duration between pivot points
-User-configurable strength multiplier
Advanced Visual System
Multi-Layer Wave Effects: The indicator features a revolutionary wave visualization system that creates depth through multiple gradient layers around the CCI line. The wave width dynamically adjusts based on ATR volatility, providing intuitive visual feedback about market conditions.
Professional Color Gradient System: Nine independent color inputs control every visual aspect:
Bullish Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Control oversold areas, wave effects, and strong bullish signals
Bearish Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Manage overbought zones, wave fills, and strong bearish signals
Neutral Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Handle table elements, zero line, and transitional states
Intelligent Color Mapping: Colors automatically adapt based on CCI values:
Overbought territory (>100): Bearish color gradients with increasing intensity
Neutral positive (0 to 100): Blend from neutral to bearish tones
Oversold territory (<-100): Bullish color gradients with increasing intensity
Neutral negative (-100 to 0): Transition from neutral to bullish tones
Key Features & Components
Advanced Configuration System: Eight organized input groups provide granular control:
General Settings: System enable, pivot length, confidence thresholds
Oscillator Selection: CCI parameters, overbought/oversold levels, normalization options
Detection Parameters: Divergence types, minimum strength requirements
Sensitivity Tuning: Pivot sensitivity, divergence threshold, confirmation bars
Visual System: Line thickness, labels, backgrounds, table display
Wave Effects: Dynamic width, volatility response, layer count, glow effects
Transparency Controls: Independent transparency for all visual elements
Smoothing & Filtering: CCI smoothing types, noise filtering, wave smoothing
Professional Alert System: Comprehensive alert functionality with dynamic messages including:
-Divergence type and strength classification
-Current CCI value and confidence percentage
-Customizable alert frequency and conditions
Enhanced Information Table: Real-time display showing:
-Current CCI length and value
-Market status (Overbought/Normal/Oversold)
-Active sensitivity setting
Configurable table positioning (4 corner options)
Visual Elements Explained
Primary CCI Line: Main oscillator plot with gradient coloring that reflects market momentum and CCI intensity. Line thickness is user-configurable (1-8 pixels).
Wave Effect Layers: Multi-layer gradient fills creating a dynamic wave around the
CCI line:
-Outer layers provide broad market context
-Inner layers highlight immediate momentum
-Core layers show precise CCI movement
-All layers respond to volatility and momentum changes
Divergence Lines & Labels:
-Solid lines connecting divergence pivot points
-Color-coded based on divergence type and strength
-Labels displaying divergence type and strength classification
-Customizable transparency and size options
Reference Lines:
-Zero line with neutral color coding
-Overbought level (default: 100) with bearish coloring
-Oversold level (default: -100) with bullish coloring
Background Gradient: Optional background coloring that reflects CCI intensity and market conditions with user-controlled transparency (80-99%).
Configuration Options
Sensitivity Controls:
Pivot sensitivity: High/Normal/Low detection levels
Divergence threshold: 0.1-2.0 sensitivity range
Confirmation bars: 1-5 bar confirmation requirement
Strength multiplier: 0.1-3.0 calculation adjustment
Visual Customization:
Line transparency: 0-90% for main elements
Wave transparency: 0-95% for fill effects
Background transparency: 80-99% for subtle background
Label transparency: 0-50% for text elements
Glow transparency: 50-95% for glow effects
Advanced Processing:
Five smoothing types: None/SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA
Noise filtering with adjustable threshold (0.1-10.0)
CCI normalization for enhanced gradient scaling
Dynamic wave width with ATR-based volatility response
Interpretation Guidelines
Divergence Signals:
Strong divergences: High-confidence reversal signals requiring immediate attention
Moderate divergences: Reliable signals suitable for most trading strategies
Weak divergences: Early warning signals best combined with additional confirmation
Wave Intensity: Wave width and color intensity provide real-time volatility and momentum feedback. Wider, more intense waves indicate higher market volatility and stronger momentum.
Color Transitions: Smooth color transitions between bullish, neutral, and bearish states help identify market regime changes and momentum shifts.
CCI Levels: Traditional overbought (>100) and oversold (<-100) levels remain relevant, but the gradient system provides more nuanced momentum reading between these extremes.
Technical Specifications
Compatible Timeframes: All timeframes supported
Maximum Labels: 500 (for divergence marking)
Maximum Lines: 500 (for divergence drawing)
Pine Script Version: v5 (latest optimization)
Overlay Mode: False (separate pane indicator)
Usage Recommendations
This indicator works best when:
-Combined with price action analysis and support/resistance levels
-Used across multiple timeframes for confirmation
-Integrated with proper risk management protocols
-Applied in trending markets for divergence-based reversal signals
-Utilized with other technical indicators for comprehensive analysis
Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This indicator is provided for analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Divergence signals, while powerful, are not guaranteed to predict future price movements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose.
ADR% Extension Levels from SMA 50I created this indicator inspired by RealSimpleAriel (a swing trader I recommend following on X) who does not buy stocks extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA and uses extensions from the 50 SMA at 7-8-9-10-11-12-13 ADR% to take profits with a 20% position trimming.
RealSimpleAriel's strategy (as I understood it):
-> Focuses on leading stocks from leading groups and industries, i.e., those that have grown the most in the last 1-3-6 months (see on Finviz groups and then select sector-industry).
-> Targets stocks with the best technical setup for a breakout, above the 200 SMA in a bear market and above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA in a bull market, selecting those with growing Earnings and Sales.
-> Buys stocks on breakout with a stop loss set at the day's low of the breakout and ensures they are not extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA.
-> 3-5 day momentum burst: After a breakout, takes profits by selling 1/2 or 1/3 of the position after a 3-5 day upward move.
-> 20% trimming on extension from the 50 SMA: At 7 ADR% (ADR% calculated over 20 days) extension from the 50 SMA, takes profits by selling 20% of the remaining position. Continues to trim 20% of the remaining position based on the stock price extension from the 50 SMA, calculated using the 20-period ADR%, thus trimming 20% at 8-9-10-11 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA. Upon reaching 12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA, considers the stock overextended, closes the remaining position, and evaluates a short.
-> Trailing stop with ascending SMA: Uses a chosen SMA (10, 20, or 50) as the definitive stop loss for the position, depending on the stock's movement speed (preferring larger SMAs for slower-moving stocks or for long-term theses). If the stock's closing price falls below the chosen SMA, the entire position is closed.
In summary:
-->Buy a breakout using the day's low of the breakout as the stop loss (this stop loss is the most critical).
--> Do not buy stocks extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA.
--> Sell 1/2 or 1/3 of the position after 3-5 days of upward movement.
--> Trim 20% of the position at each 7-8-9-10-11-12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA.
--> Close the entire position if the breakout fails and the day's low of the breakout is reached.
--> Close the entire position if the price, during the rise, falls below a chosen SMA (10, 20, or 50, depending on your preference).
--> Definitively close the position if it reaches 12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA.
I used Grok from X to create this indicator. I am not a programmer, but based on the ADR% I use, it works.
Below is Grok from X's description of the indicator:
Script Description
The script is a custom indicator for TradingView that displays extension levels based on ADR% relative to the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below is a detailed description of its features, structure, and behavior:
1. Purpose of the Indicator
Name: "ADR% Extension Levels from SMA 50".
Objective: Draw horizontal blue lines above and below the 50-period SMA, corresponding to specific ADR% multiples (4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13). These levels represent potential price extension zones based on the average daily percentage volatility.
Overlay: The indicator is overlaid on the price chart (overlay=true), so the lines and SMA appear directly on the price graph.
2. Configurable Inputs
The indicator allows users to customize parameters through TradingView settings:
SMA Length (smaLength):
Default: 50 periods.
Description: Specifies the number of periods for calculating the Simple Moving Average (SMA). The 50-period SMA serves as the reference point for extension levels.
Constraint: Minimum 1 period.
ADR% Length (adrLength):
Default: 20 periods.
Description: Specifies the number of days to calculate the moving average of the daily high/low ratio, used to determine ADR%.
Constraint: Minimum 1 period.
Scale Factor (scaleFactor):
Default: 1.0.
Description: An optional multiplier to adjust the distance of extension levels from the SMA. Useful if levels are too close or too far due to an overly small or large ADR%.
Constraint: Minimum 0.1, increments of 0.1.
Tooltip: "Adjust if levels are too close or far from SMA".
3. Main Calculations
50-period SMA:
Calculated with ta.sma(close, smaLength) using the closing price (close).
Serves as the central line around which extension levels are drawn.
ADR% (Average Daily Range Percentage):
Formula: 100 * (ta.sma(dhigh / dlow, adrLength) - 1).
Details:
dhigh and dlow are the daily high and low prices, obtained via request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", high/low) to ensure data is daily-based, regardless of the chart's timeframe.
The dhigh / dlow ratio represents the daily percentage change.
The simple moving average (ta.sma) of this ratio over 20 days (adrLength) is subtracted by 1 and multiplied by 100 to obtain ADR% as a percentage.
The result is multiplied by scaleFactor for manual adjustments.
Extension Levels:
Defined as ADR% multiples: 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13.
Stored in an array (levels) for easy iteration.
For each level, prices above and below the SMA are calculated as:
Above: sma50 * (1 + (level * adrPercent / 100))
Below: sma50 * (1 - (level * adrPercent / 100))
These represent price levels corresponding to a percentage change from the SMA equal to level * ADR%.
4. Visualization
Horizontal Blue Lines:
For each level (4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13 ADR%), two lines are drawn:
One above the SMA (e.g., +4 ADR%).
One below the SMA (e.g., -4 ADR%).
Color: Blue (color.blue).
Style: Solid (style=line.style_solid).
Management:
Each level has dedicated variables for upper and lower lines (e.g., upperLine1, lowerLine1 for 4 ADR%).
Previous lines are deleted with line.delete before drawing new ones to avoid overlaps.
Lines are updated at each bar with line.new(bar_index , level, bar_index, level), covering the range from the previous bar to the current one.
Labels:
Displayed only on the last bar (barstate.islast) to avoid clutter.
For each level, two labels:
Above: E.g., "4 ADR%", positioned above the upper line (style=label.style_label_down).
Below: E.g., "-4 ADR%", positioned below the lower line (style=label.style_label_up).
Color: Blue background, white text.
50-period SMA:
Drawn as a gray line (color.gray) for visual reference.
Diagnostics:
ADR% Plot: ADR% is plotted in the status line (orange, histogram style) to verify the value.
ADR% Label: A label on the last bar near the SMA shows the exact ADR% value (e.g., "ADR%: 2.34%"), with a gray background and white text.
5. Behavior
Dynamic Updating:
Lines update with each new bar to reflect new SMA 50 and ADR% values.
Since ADR% uses daily data ("D"), it remains constant within the same day but changes day-to-day.
Visibility Across All Bars:
Lines are drawn on every bar, not just the last one, ensuring visibility on historical data as well.
Adaptability:
The scaleFactor allows level adjustments if ADR% is too small (e.g., for low-volatility symbols) or too large (e.g., for cryptocurrencies).
Compatibility:
Works on any timeframe since ADR% is calculated from daily data.
Suitable for symbols with varying volatility (e.g., stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies).
6. Intended Use
Technical Analysis: Extension levels represent significant price zones based on average daily volatility. They can be used to:
Identify potential price targets (e.g., take profit at +7 ADR%).
Assess support/resistance zones (e.g., -4 ADR% as support).
Measure price extension relative to the 50 SMA.
Trading: Useful for strategies based on breakouts or mean reversion, where ADR% levels indicate reversal or continuation points.
Debugging: Labels and ADR% plot help verify that values align with the symbol’s volatility.
7. Limitations
Dependence on Daily Data: ADR% is based on daily dhigh/dlow, so it may not reflect intraday volatility on short timeframes (e.g., 1 minute).
Extreme ADR% Values: For low-volatility symbols (e.g., bonds) or high-volatility symbols (e.g., meme stocks), ADR% may require adjustments via scaleFactor.
Graphical Load: Drawing 16 lines (8 upper, 8 lower) on every bar may slow the chart for very long historical periods, though line management is optimized.
ADR% Formula: The formula 100 * (sma(dhigh/dlow, Length) - 1) may produce different values compared to other ADR% definitions (e.g., (high - low) / close * 100), so users should be aware of the context.
8. Visual Example
On a chart of a stock like TSLA (daily timeframe):
The 50 SMA is a gray line tracking the average trend.
Assuming an ADR% of 3%:
At +4 ADR% (12%), a blue line appears at sma50 * 1.12.
At -4 ADR% (-12%), a blue line appears at sma50 * 0.88.
Other lines appear at ±7, ±8, ±9, ±10, ±11, ±12, ±13 ADR%.
On the last bar, labels show "4 ADR%", "-4 ADR%", etc., and a gray label shows "ADR%: 3.00%".
ADR% is visible in the status line as an orange histogram.
9. Code: Technical Structure
Language: Pine Script @version=5.
Inputs: Three configurable parameters (smaLength, adrLength, scaleFactor).
Calculations:
SMA: ta.sma(close, smaLength).
ADR%: 100 * (ta.sma(dhigh / dlow, adrLength) - 1) * scaleFactor.
Levels: sma50 * (1 ± (level * adrPercent / 100)).
Graphics:
Lines: Created with line.new, deleted with line.delete to avoid overlaps.
Labels: Created with label.new only on the last bar.
Plots: plot(sma50) for the SMA, plot(adrPercent) for debugging.
Optimization: Uses dedicated variables for each line (e.g., upperLine1, lowerLine1) for clear management and to respect TradingView’s graphical object limits.
10. Possible Improvements
Option to show lines only on the last bar: Would reduce visual clutter.
Customizable line styles: Allow users to choose color or style (e.g., dashed).
Alert for anomalous ADR%: A message if ADR% is too small or large.
Dynamic levels: Allow users to specify ADR% multiples via input.
Optimization for short timeframes: Adapt ADR% for intraday timeframes.
Conclusion
The script creates a visual indicator that helps traders identify price extension levels based on daily volatility (ADR%) relative to the 50 SMA. It is robust, configurable, and includes debugging tools (ADR% plot and labels) to verify values. The ADR% formula based on dhigh/dlow
EMA Scoring Strategy## **📊 EMA Scoring Strategy for Trend Analysis**
This strategy is designed to **identify bullish trends** based on multiple **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**. It assigns a **score** based on how the price and EMAs interact, and highlights strong bullish conditions when the score reaches **4 or above**.
---
## **🔹 Strategy Logic**
### 1️⃣ **Calculating EMAs**
- **EMA 21** → Short-term trend
- **EMA 50** → Mid-term trend
- **EMA 100** → Long-term trend
---
### 2️⃣ **Scoring System**
For each trading day, the strategy assigns **+1 or -1 points** based on the following conditions:
| Condition | Score |
|-----------|-------|
| If **Price > EMA 21** | +1 |
| If **Price > EMA 50** | +1 |
| If **Price > EMA 100** | +1 |
| If **EMA 21 > EMA 50** | +1 |
| If **EMA 50 > EMA 100** | +1 |
| If **EMA 21 > EMA 100** | +1 |
| If **Price < EMA 21** | -1 |
| If **Price < EMA 50** | -1 |
| If **Price < EMA 100** | -1 |
| If **EMA 21 < EMA 50** | -1 |
| If **EMA 50 < EMA 100** | -1 |
| If **EMA 21 < EMA 100** | -1 |
---
### 3️⃣ **Bullish Confirmation** (Score ≥ 4)
- The **score is calculated every day**.
- When the **score reaches 4 or above**, it confirms a strong **bullish trend**.
- A **green background** is applied to highlight such days.
- A **histogram** is plotted **only when the score is 4 or higher** to keep the chart clean.
- A **buy signal** is generated when the score **crosses above 4**.
---
## **🔹 Visualization & Alerts**
### ✅ **What You See on the Chart**
1. **EMA Lines (21, 50, 100)** 📈
2. **Green Background for Strong Bullish Days (Score ≥ 4)** ✅
3. **Histogram Showing Score (Only for 4 and above)** 📊
4. **Buy Signal When Score Crosses Above 4** 💰
### 🔔 **Alerts**
- **An alert is triggered** when the score crosses **above 4**, notifying the user about a bullish trend.
---
## **📌 How to Use This Strategy**
1. **Identify Strong Bullish Trends:** When the score is **4 or above**, it suggests that price momentum is strong.
2. **Enter Trades on Buy Signals:** When the score **crosses above 4**, it could be a good time to buy.
3. **Stay in the Trade While Score is 4+:** The green background confirms a **strong uptrend**.
4. **Exit When Score Drops Below 4:** This suggests weakening momentum.
---
## **🔹 Advantages of This Strategy**
✅ **Simple & Objective** - Uses clear rules for trend confirmation
✅ **Filters Out Noise** - Only highlights strong bullish conditions
✅ **Works on Any Market** - Can be applied to stocks, indices, crypto, etc.
✅ **Customizable** - You can tweak EMAs or score conditions as needed
---
## **🚀 Next Steps**
Would you like me to add **stop-loss conditions**, **sell signals**, or any **extra confirmations like RSI or volume**? 😃
Position Size Using Manual Stop Loss [odnac]
This indicator calculates the risk per position based on user-defined settings.
Two Calculation Methods
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
Settings
1. init_capital
Enter your current total capital.
2. Maximum Risk (%) per Position of Total Capital
Specify the percentage of your total funds to be risked for a single position.
3. manual_SL(%)
Enter the stop-loss percentage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 100
4. manual_leverage
Enter the leverage you wish to use.
Range: 1 ~ 100
Used in the first method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage).
5. Safety Margin
Specify the safety margin for optimized leverage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 1
Used in the second method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage). Details are explained below.
Indicator Colors
Black: Indicates which method is being used.
White: Leverage.
First Green: Funds to be invested.
Second Green: Funds to be invested * Leverage.
First Red: Stop-loss (%).
Second Red: Stop-loss (%) * Leverage.
Details for Each Method:
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
This method calculates the size of the funds based on user-defined stop-loss (%) and leverage settings.
White: manual_leverage.
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / manual_leverage
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * manual_leverage
Ensure that the product of manual_SL and manual_leverage does not exceed 100.
If it does, there is a risk of liquidation.
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
This method calculates optimized leverage based on the user-defined stop-loss (%) and determines the size of the funds.
Optimization_LEVER = auto_leverage * safety_margin
auto_leverage = 100 / stop-loss (%), rounded down to the nearest whole number.
(Exception: If the stop-loss (%) is in the range of 0 ~ 1%, auto_leverage is always 100.)
Example:
If the stop-loss is 4%, auto_leverage = 25 (100 / 4 = 25).
However, 4% × 25 leverage equals 100%, meaning liquidation occurs even with a stop-loss.
To reduce this risk, the safety_margin value is applied.
White: auto_leverage * safety_margin
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / optimization_LEVER
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * optimization_LEVER
Z-Score Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I is an advanced and experimental trading indicator designed to utilize a combination of slow and fast indicators for a comprehensive analysis of market trends. The system is designed to identify stable trends using slower indicators while capturing rapid market shifts through dynamically weighted fast indicators. The core of this indicator is the dynamic weighting mechanism that utilizes the Z-score of price , allowing the system to respond effectively to significant market movements.
Dynamic Z-Score-Based Weighting System
The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I utilizes the Z-score of price to assign weights dynamically to fast indicators. This mechanism is designed to capture rapid market shifts at potential turning points, providing timely entry and exit signals.
Traders can choose from two primary weighting mechanisms:
Threshold-Based Weighting: The fast indicators are given weight only when the absolute Z-score exceeds a user-defined threshold. Below this threshold, fast indicators have no impact on the final signal.
Continuous Weighting: By setting the threshold to zero, fast indicators always contribute to the final signal, regardless of Z-score levels. However, this increases the likelihood of false signals during ranging or low-volatility markets
// Calculate weight for Fast Indicators based on Z-Score (Slow Indicator weight is kept to 1 for simplicity)
f_zscore_weights(series float z, simple float weight_thre) =>
float fast_weight = na
float slow_weight = na
if weight_thre > 0
if math.abs(z) <= weight_thre
fast_weight := 0
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
Choice of Z-Score Normalization
Traders have the flexibility to select different Z-score processing methods to better suit their trading preferences:
Raw Z-Score or Moving Average: Traders can opt for either the raw Z-score or a moving average of the Z-score to smooth out fluctuations.
Normalized Z-Score (ranging from -1 to 1) or Z-Score Percentile: The normalized Z-score is simply the raw Z-score divided by 3, while the Z-score percentile utilizes a normal distribution for transformation.
f_zscore_perc(series float zscore_src, simple int zscore_len, simple string zscore_a, simple string zscore_b, simple string ma_type, simple int ma_len) =>
z = (zscore_src - ta.sma(zscore_src, zscore_len)) / ta.stdev(zscore_src, zscore_len)
zscore = switch zscore_a
"Z-Score" => z
"Z-Score MA" => ma_type == "EMA" ? (ta.ema(z, ma_len)) : (ta.sma(z, ma_len))
output = switch zscore_b
"Normalized Z-Score" => (zscore / 3) > 1 ? 1 : (zscore / 3) < -1 ? -1 : (zscore / 3)
"Z-Score Percentile" => (f_percentileFromZScore(zscore) - 0.5) * 2
output
Slow and Fast Indicators
The indicator uses a combination of slow and fast indicators:
Slow Indicators (constant weight) for stable trend identification: DMI (Directional Movement Index), CCI (Commodity Channel Index), Aroon
Fast Indicators (dynamic weight) to identify rapid trend shifts: ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average), IIRF (Infinite Impulse Response Filter)
Each indicator is calculated using for-loop methods to provide a smoothed and averaged view of price data over varying lengths, ensuring stability for slow indicators and responsiveness for fast indicators.
Signal Calculation
The final trading signal is determined by a weighted combination of both slow and fast indicators. The slow indicators provide a stable view of the trend, while the fast indicators offer agile responses to rapid market movements. The signal calculation takes into account the dynamic weighting of fast indicators based on the Z-score:
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
float sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtest Mode and Performance Metrics
The indicator features a detailed backtesting mode, allowing traders to compare the effectiveness of their selected settings against a traditional Buy & Hold strategy. The backtesting provides:
Equity calculation based on signals generated by the indicator.
Performance metrics comparing Buy & Hold metrics with the system’s signals, including: Mean, positive, and negative return percentages, Standard deviations, Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega Ratios
// Calculate Performance Metrics
f_PerformanceMetrics(series float base, int Lookback, simple float startDate, bool Annualize = true) =>
// Initialize variables for positive and negative returns
pos_sum = 0.0
neg_sum = 0.0
pos_count = 0
neg_count = 0
returns_sum = 0.0
returns_squared_sum = 0.0
pos_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
neg_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
// Loop through the past 'Lookback' bars to calculate sums and counts
if (time >= startDate)
for i = 0 to Lookback - 1
r = (base - base ) / base
returns_sum += r
returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r > 0
pos_sum += r
pos_count += 1
pos_returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r < 0
neg_sum += r
neg_count += 1
neg_returns_squared_sum += r * r
float export_array = array.new_float(12)
// Calculate means
mean_all = math.round((returns_sum / Lookback), 4)
mean_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na), 4)
mean_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? neg_sum / neg_count : na), 4)
// Calculate standard deviations
stddev_all = math.round((math.sqrt((returns_squared_sum - (returns_sum * returns_sum) / Lookback) / Lookback)) * 100, 2)
stddev_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((pos_returns_squared_sum - (pos_sum * pos_sum) / pos_count) / pos_count) : na) * 100, 2)
stddev_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((neg_returns_squared_sum - (neg_sum * neg_sum) / neg_count) / neg_count) : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate probabilities
prob_pos = math.round((pos_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neg = math.round((neg_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neu = math.round(((Lookback - pos_count - neg_count) / Lookback) * 100, 2)
// Calculate ratios
sharpe_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
sortino_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
omega_ratio = math.round(pos_sum / math.abs(neg_sum), 2)
// Set values in the array
array.set(export_array, 0, mean_all), array.set(export_array, 1, mean_pos), array.set(export_array, 2, mean_neg),
array.set(export_array, 3, stddev_all), array.set(export_array, 4, stddev_pos), array.set(export_array, 5, stddev_neg),
array.set(export_array, 6, prob_pos), array.set(export_array, 7, prob_neu), array.set(export_array, 8, prob_neg),
array.set(export_array, 9, sharpe_ratio), array.set(export_array, 10, sortino_ratio), array.set(export_array, 11, omega_ratio)
// Export the array
export_array
//}
Calibration Mode
A Calibration Mode is included for traders to focus on individual indicators, helping them fine-tune their settings without the influence of other components. In Calibration Mode, the user can visualize each indicator separately, making it easier to adjust parameters.
Alerts
The indicator includes alerts for long and short signals when the indicator changes direction, allowing traders to set automated notifications for key market events.
// Alert Conditions
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬇Short⬇")
Important Note:
The default settings of this indicator are not optimized for any particular market condition. They are generic starting points for experimentation. Traders are encouraged to use the calibration tools and backtesting features to adjust the system to their specific trading needs.
The results generated from the backtest are purely historical and are not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change, and the performance of this system may differ under different circumstances. Traders and investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research before using this indicator for any trading decisions.
Multiple SMA, EMA, and VWAP CrossoversMultiple SMA, EMA, and VWAP Crossovers with Alerts
Overview : The "Multiple SMA, EMA, and VWAP Crossovers" script is designed for traders who want to monitor various simple moving averages (SMAs), exponential moving averages (EMAs), and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) to identify potential buy and sell opportunities. This script allows you to visualize key moving averages on your chart and create custom alerts for specific crossover events.
Detail s: This script plots the following moving averages:
Simple Moving Averages (SMA): 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, and 325 periods
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): 9 periods
Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
It includes options to display these moving averages and set alerts for their crossovers.
Available Crossovers:
20/50 SMA, 20/100 SMA, 20/200 SMA, 20/325 SMA
50/100 SMA, 50/200 SMA, 50/325 SMA
100/200 SMA, 100/325 SMA
200/325 SMA
VWAP/20 SMA, VWAP/50 SMA, VWAP/100 SMA, VWAP/200 SMA, VWAP/325 SMA
Optional Lines to Add to the Chart:
9 EMA, 5 SMA, 10 SMA, 20 SMA, 50 SMA, 100 SMA, 200 SMA, 325 SMA, VWAP
How to Use:
Enable Indicators: Use the input options to select which SMAs, EMA, and VWAP you want to display on your chart.
Set Alerts: Choose the specific crossover events you want to monitor. For example, you can set an alert for the 20/50 SMA crossover or the VWAP/100 SMA crossover.
Monitor the Chart: The script will plot the selected moving averages on your chart. When a selected crossover event occurs, an alert will be triggered, notifying you of the potential trade opportunity.
Usage Tips:
Trending Market: Use the buy and sell alerts in trending markets where the moving averages can help confirm the direction of the trend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels: Combine crossover alerts with key support and resistance levels for more reliable trading signals.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure there is sufficient volume to support the crossover signals, indicating stronger momentum behind the move.
When NOT to Use Buy and Sell Alerts:
Low Volume: Avoid using buy and sell alerts during periods of low trading volume, as the signals may be less reliable.
Market Noise: Be cautious in highly volatile markets where frequent crossovers might generate false signals.
Sideways Market: In a sideways or range-bound market, crossover signals can result in multiple whipsaws, leading to potential losses.
Why Use This Script? This script provides a comprehensive tool for traders to monitor multiple moving averages and VWAP crossovers efficiently. It allows you to customize alerts based on your trading strategy and helps you make informed decisions by visualizing key technical indicators on your chart.
Legal Disclaimer: The information provided by this script is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The developer of this script is not responsible for any financial losses incurred from using this script.
Support and resistance levels (Day, Week, Month) + EMAs + SMAs(ENG): This Pine 5 script provides various tools for configuring and displaying different support and resistance levels, as well as moving averages (EMA and SMA) on charts. Using these tools is an essential strategy for determining entry and exit points in trades.
Support and Resistance Levels
Daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance levels play a key role in analyzing price movements:
Daily levels: Represent prices where a cryptocurrency has tended to bounce within the current trading day.
Weekly levels: Reflect strong prices that hold throughout the week.
Monthly levels: Indicate the most significant levels that can influence price movement over the month.
When trading cryptocurrencies, traders use these levels to make decisions about entering or exiting positions. For example, if a cryptocurrency approaches a weekly resistance level and fails to break through it, this may signal a sell opportunity. If the price reaches a daily support level and starts to bounce up, it may indicate a potential long position.
Market context and trading volumes are also important when analyzing support and resistance levels. High volume near a level can confirm its significance and the likelihood of subsequent price movement. Traders often combine analysis across different time frames to get a more complete picture and improve the accuracy of their trading decisions.
Moving Averages
Moving averages (EMA and SMA) are another important tool in the technical analysis of cryptocurrencies:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Gives more weight to recent prices, allowing it to respond more quickly to price changes.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Equally considers all prices over a given period.
Key types of moving averages used by traders:
EMA 50 and 200: Often used to identify trends. The crossing of the 50-day EMA with the 200-day EMA is called a "golden cross" (buy signal) or a "death cross" (sell signal).
SMA 50, 100, 150, and 200: These periods are often used to determine long-term trends and support/resistance levels. Similar to the EMA, the crossings of these averages can signal potential trend changes.
Settings Groups:
EMA Golden Cross & Death Cross: A setting to display the "golden cross" and "death cross" for the EMA.
EMA 50 & 200: A setting to display the 50-day and 200-day EMA.
Support and Resistance Levels: Includes settings for daily, weekly, and monthly levels.
SMA 50, 100, 150, 200: A setting to display the 50, 100, 150, and 200-day SMA.
SMA Golden Cross & Death Cross: A setting to display the "golden cross" and "death cross" for the SMA.
Components:
Enable/disable the display of support and resistance levels.
Show level labels.
Parameters for adjusting offset, display of EMA and SMA, and their time intervals.
Parameters for configuring EMA and SMA Golden Cross & Death Cross.
EMA Parameters:
Enable/disable the display of 50 and 200-day EMA.
Color and style settings for EMA.
Options to use bar gaps and the "LookAhead" function.
SMA Parameters:
Enable/disable the display of 50, 100, 150, and 200-day SMA.
Color and style settings for SMA.
Options to use bar gaps and the "LookAhead" function.
Effective use of support and resistance levels, as well as moving averages, requires an understanding of technical analysis, discipline, and the ability to adapt the strategy according to changing market conditions.
(RUS) Данный Pine 5 скрипт предоставляет разнообразные инструменты для настройки и отображения различных уровней поддержки и сопротивления, а также скользящих средних (EMA и SMA) на графиках. Использование этих инструментов является важной стратегией для определения точек входа и выхода из сделок.
Уровни поддержки и сопротивления
Дневные, недельные и месячные уровни поддержки и сопротивления играют ключевую роль в анализе движения цен:
Дневные уровни: Представляют собой цены, на которых криптовалюта имела тенденцию отскакивать в течение текущего торгового дня.
Недельные уровни: Отражают сильные цены, которые сохраняются в течение недели.
Месячные уровни: Указывают на наиболее значимые уровни, которые могут влиять на движение цены в течение месяца.
При торговле криптовалютами трейдеры используют эти уровни для принятия решений о входе в позицию или закрытии сделки. Например, если криптовалюта приближается к недельному уровню сопротивления и не удается его преодолеть, это может стать сигналом для продажи. Если цена достигает дневного уровня поддержки и начинает отскакивать вверх, это может указывать на возможность открытия длинной позиции.
Контекст рынка и объемы торговли также важны при анализе уровней поддержки и сопротивления. Высокий объем при приближении к уровню может подтвердить его значимость и вероятность последующего движения цены. Трейдеры часто комбинируют анализ различных временных рамок для получения более полной картины и улучшения точности своих торговых решений.
Скользящие средние
Скользящие средние (EMA и SMA) являются еще одним важным инструментом в техническом анализе криптовалют:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Экспоненциальная скользящая средняя, которая придает большее значение последним ценам. Это позволяет более быстро реагировать на изменения в ценах.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Простая скользящая средняя, которая равномерно учитывает все цены в заданном периоде.
Основные виды скользящих средних, которые используются трейдерами:
EMA 50 и 200: Часто используются для выявления трендов. Пересечение 50-дневной EMA с 200-дневной EMA называется "золотым крестом" (сигнал на покупку) или "крестом смерти" (сигнал на продажу).
SMA 50, 100, 150 и 200: Эти периоды часто используются для определения долгосрочных трендов и уровней поддержки/сопротивления. Аналогично EMA, пересечения этих средних могут сигнализировать о возможных изменениях тренда.
Группы настроек:
EMA Golden Cross & Death Cross: Настройка для отображения "золотого креста" и "креста смерти" для EMA.
EMA 50 & 200: Настройка для отображения 50-дневной и 200-дневной EMA.
Уровни поддержки и сопротивления: Включает настройки для дневных, недельных и месячных уровней.
SMA 50, 100, 150, 200: Настройка для отображения 50, 100, 150 и 200-дневных SMA.
SMA Golden Cross & Death Cross: Настройка для отображения "золотого креста" и "креста смерти" для SMA.
Компоненты:
Включение/отключение отображения уровней поддержки и сопротивления.
Показ ярлыков уровней.
Параметры для настройки смещения, отображения EMA и SMA, а также их временных интервалов.
Параметры для настройки EMA и SMA Golden Cross & Death Cross.
Параметры EMA:
Включение/отключение отображения 50 и 200-дневных EMA.
Настройки цвета и стиля для EMA.
Опции для использования разрыва баров и функции "LookAhead".
Параметры SMA:
Включение/отключение отображения 50, 100, 150 и 200-дневных SMA.
Настройки цвета и стиля для SMA.
Опции для использования разрыва баров и функции "LookAhead".
Эффективное использование уровней поддержки и сопротивления, а также скользящих средних, требует понимания технического анализа, дисциплины и умения адаптировать стратегию в зависимости от изменяющихся условий рынка.
