WD Gann: Close Price X Bars Ago with Line or Candle PlotThis indicator is inspired by the principles of WD Gann, a legendary trader known for his groundbreaking methods in time and price analysis. It helps traders track the close price of a security from X bars ago, a technique that is often used to identify key price levels in relation to past price movements. This concept is essential for Gann’s market theories, which emphasize the relationship between time and price.
WD Gann’s analysis often revolved around specific numbers that he considered significant, many of which correspond to squared numbers (e.g., 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49, 64, 81, 100, 121, 144, 169, 196, 225, 256, 289, 324, 361, 400, 441, 484, 529, 576, 625, 676, 729, 784, 841, 900, 961, 1024, 1089, 1156, 1225, 1296, 1369, 1444, 1521, 1600, 1681, 1764, 1849, 1936). These numbers are believed to represent natural rhythms and cycles in the market. This indicator can help you explore how past price levels align with these significant numbers, potentially revealing key price zones that could act as support, resistance, or reversal points.
Key Features:
- Historical Close Price Calculation: The indicator calculates and displays the close price of a security from X bars ago (where X is customizable). This method aligns with Gann's focus on price relationships over specific time intervals, providing traders with valuable reference points to assess market conditions.
- Customizable Plot Type: You can choose between two plot types for visualizing the historical close price:
- Line Plot: A simple line that represents the close price from X bars ago, ideal for those who prefer a clean and continuous representation.
- Candle Plot: Displays the close price as a candlestick chart, providing a more detailed view with open, high, low, and close prices from X bars ago.
- Candle Color Coding: For the candle plot type, the script color-codes the candles. Green candles appear when the close price from X bars ago is higher than the open price, indicating bullish sentiment; red candles appear when the close is lower, indicating bearish sentiment. This color coding gives a quick visual cue to market sentiment.
- Customizable Number of Bars: You can adjust the number of bars (X) to look back, providing flexibility for analyzing different timeframes. Whether you're conducting short-term or long-term analysis, this input can be fine-tuned to suit your trading strategy.
- Gann Method Application: WD Gann's methods involved analyzing price action over specific time periods to predict future movements. This indicator offers traders a way to assess how the price of a security has behaved in the past in relation to a chosen time interval, a critical concept in Gann's theories.
How to Use:
1. Input Settings:
- Number of Bars (X): Choose the number of bars to look back (e.g., 100, 200, or any custom period).
- Plot Type: Select whether to display the data as a Line or Candles.
2. Interpretation:
- Using the Line plot, observe how the close price from X bars ago compares to the current market price.
- Using the Candles plot, analyze the full price action of the chosen bar from X bars ago, noting how the close price relates to the open, high, and low of that bar.
3. Gann Analysis: Integrate this indicator into your broader Gann-based analysis. By looking at past price levels and their relationship to significant squared numbers, traders can uncover potential key levels of support and resistance or even potential reversal points. The historical close price can act as a benchmark for predicting future market movements.
Suggestions on WD Gann's Emphasis in Trading:
WD Gann’s trading methods were rooted in several key principles that emphasized the relationship between time and price. These principles are vital to understanding how the "Close Price X Bars Ago" indicator fits into his overall analysis:
1. Time Cycles: Gann believed that markets move in cyclical patterns. By studying price levels from specific time intervals, traders can spot these cycles and predict future market behavior. This indicator allows you to see how the close price from X bars ago relates to current market conditions, helping to spot cyclical highs and lows.
2. Price and Time Squaring: A core concept in Gann’s theory is that certain price levels and time periods align, often marking significant reversal points. The squared numbers (e.g., 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, etc.) serve as potential key levels where price and time might "square" to create support or resistance. This indicator helps traders spot these historical price levels and their potential relevance to future price action.
3. Geometric Angles: Gann used angles (like the 45-degree angle) to predict market movements, with the belief that prices move at specific geometric angles over time. This indicator gives traders a reference for past price levels, which could align with key angles, helping traders predict future price movement based on Gann's geometry.
4. Numerology and Key Intervals: Gann paid particular attention to numbers that held significance, including squared numbers and numbers related to the Fibonacci sequence. This indicator allows traders to analyze price levels based on these key numbers, which can help in identifying potential turning points in the market.
5. Support and Resistance Levels: Gann’s methods often involved identifying levels of support and resistance based on past price action. By tracking the close price from X bars ago, traders can identify past support and resistance levels that may become significant again in future market conditions.
Perfect for:
Traders using WD Gann’s methods, such as Gann angles, time cycles, and price theory.
Analysts who focus on historical price levels to predict future price action.
Those who rely on numerology and geometric principles in their trading strategies.
By integrating this indicator into your trading strategy, you gain a powerful tool for analyzing market cycles and price movements in relation to key time intervals. The ability to track and compare the historical close price to significant numbers—like Gann’s squared numbers—can provide valuable insights into potential support, resistance, and reversal points.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is based on the methods and principles of WD Gann and is for educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The use of this indicator is at your own discretion and risk. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
在腳本中搜尋"Cycle"
Retracement Painpoints - Robinhodl21Description:
Retracement Painpoints is crafted to delve into the psychology of markets, particularly assets that are heavily driven by profit expectations and hype cycles. This tool excels when applied to assets experiencing strong hype phases. By visualizing downturns, you can assess which pullbacks are mere pauses in the hype cycle and which ones might signal the end of a trend or precede more significant declines. This insight allows you to identify critical points where market sentiment shifts, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Main Features:
Focuses on assets influenced by hype and strong profit expectations. Helps distinguish between normal retracements and potential trend reversals.
Trend Detection Methods: Moving Average (MA): Utilizes a customizable MA period to determine market trends. Delta to All-Time High (ATH): Analyzes the percentage distance from the ATH to define trend direction. No Trend Detection: Allows for neutral analysis without trend bias.
Statistical Drawdown Analysis: Identifies local minima in drawdowns to calculate statistically significant levels. Option to calculate statistics based on trend direction (bullish/bearish). Adjustable variables for fine-tuning statistical levels.
Visualization: Plots drawdown curves with color-coding based on trend direction. Displays calculated statistical levels on the chart to highlight potential pain points.
Usage:
Set Parameters: Trend Detection Method: Choose your preferred method (MA, Delta to ATH, or None). MA Period: Define the period for the moving average (default: 420). Delta to ATH (%): Set the threshold for distance to ATH (default: 30%). Neutral Zone Delta to ATH (%): Define the neutral market zone (default: 60%). Stat Variables 1 & 2: Adjust these to select the desired statistical drawdown levels. Minimum Drawdown Threshold (%): Set the minimum drawdown to consider in analysis (default: 10%).
Interpretation: Drawdown Curve: Monitor percentage declines from local maxima. The color indicates the current trend direction: Green: Uptrend. Red: Downtrend. Gray: Neutral or no trend detection. Statistical Levels: Use the displayed levels as potential support or resistance zones, reflecting key psychological levels in the market.
Strategic Application: Identify crucial areas where the price has historically reversed. Assess whether a downturn is a typical retracement within a hype cycle or a sign of a more significant decline. Combine this tool with other technical analysis methods to enhance your trading strategy. Adjust settings based on market conditions and personal trading preferences.
Notes: The indicator is based on historical data and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. It's recommended to test the indicator across various markets and timeframes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Created by Robinhodl
3Commas dollar cost averaging (DCA) QFL IndicatorAs investors, we often face the dilemma of willing high stock prices when we sell, but not when we buy. There are times when this dilemma causes investors to wait for a dip in prices, thereby potentially missing out on a continual rise. This is how investors get lured away from the markets and become tangled in the slippery slope of market timing, which is not advisable to a long-term investment strategy.
Skyrex developed a complex indicator based on dollar-cost averaging in Quick Fingers Luc's interpretation. It is a combinations of strategies which allows to systematically accumulate assets by investing scaled amounts of money at defined market cycle global support levels. Dollar-cost averaging can reduce the overall impact of price volatility and lower the average cost per asset thus even during market slumps only a small bounce is required to reach take profit.
The indicator script monitors a chart price action and identifies bases as they form. When bases are reached the script provides entry alerts. During price action development an asset value can go lower and in this way the script will perform safety entries alerts at each subsequent accumulation levels. When weighted average entry price reaches target profit the script will perform a take profit action alert.
Bases are identified as pivot lows in a fractal pattern and validated by an adjustable decrease/rise percentage to ensure significancy of identified bases. To qualify a pivot low, the indicator will perform the following validation:
Validate the price rate of change on drops and bounces is above a given threshold amount.
Validate the volume at the low pivot point is above the volume moving average (using a given length).
Validate the volume amount is a given factor of magnitude above is above the volume moving average.
Validate the potential new base is not too close to the previous range by using a given price percent difference threshold amount.
A fractal pattern is a recurring pattern on a price chart that can predict reversals among larger, more chaotic price movements. These basic fractals are composed of five or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
Basic dollar-cost averaging approach is enhances by implementation of adjustable accumulation levels in order to provide opportunity of setting them at defined global support levels and Martingale volume coefficient to increase averaging effect. According to Quick Fingers Luc's principles trading principles we added volume validation of a base because it allows to confirm that the market is resistant to further price decrease.
The indicator supports traditional and cryptocurrency spot, futures , options and marginal trading exchanges. It works accurately with BTC , USD, USDT, ETH and BNB quote currencies. Best to use with 1H timeframe charts and limit orders. The indicator can be and should be configured for each particular asset according to its global support and resistance levels and price action cycles. You can modify levels and risk management settings to receive better performance
The difference between core script and this interpretation is that this strategy is specially designed for 3Commas bots
How to use?
1. Apply indicator to a trading pair your are interested in using 1H timeframe chart
2. Configure the indicator: change layer values, order size multiple and take profit/stop loss values according to current market cycle stage
3. Set up a TradingView custom alert using the indicator settings to trigger on a condition you are interested in
4. The indicator will send alerts when to enter and when to exit positions which can be applied to your portfolio using external trading platforms
5. Update settings once market conditions are changed using backtests on a monthly period
Dollar cost averaging (DCA) QFL IndicatorAs investors, we often face the dilemma of willing high stock prices when we sell, but not when we buy. There are times when this dilemma causes investors to wait for a dip in prices, thereby potentially missing out on a continual rise. This is how investors get lured away from the markets and become tangled in the slippery slope of market timing, which is not advisable to a long-term investment strategy.
Skyrex developed a complex indicator based on dollar-cost averaging in Quick Fingers Luc's interpretation. It is a combinations of strategies which allows to systematically accumulate assets by investing scaled amounts of money at defined market cycle global support levels. Dollar-cost averaging can reduce the overall impact of price volatility and lower the average cost per asset thus even during market slumps only a small bounce is required to reach take profit.
The indicator script monitors a chart price action and identifies bases as they form. When bases are reached the script provides entry alerts. During price action development an asset value can go lower and in this way the script will perform safety entries alerts at each subsequent accumulation levels. When weighted average entry price reaches target profit the script will perform a take profit action alert.
Bases are identified as pivot lows in a fractal pattern and validated by an adjustable decrease/rise percentage to ensure significancy of identified bases. To qualify a pivot low, the indicator will perform the following validation:
Validate the price rate of change on drops and bounces is above a given threshold amount.
Validate the volume at the low pivot point is above the volume moving average (using a given length).
Validate the volume amount is a given factor of magnitude above is above the volume moving average.
Validate the potential new base is not too close to the previous range by using a given price percent difference threshold amount.
A fractal pattern is a recurring pattern on a price chart that can predict reversals among larger, more chaotic price movements. These basic fractals are composed of five or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
Basic dollar-cost averaging approach is enhances by implementation of adjustable accumulation levels in order to provide opportunity of setting them at defined global support levels and Martingale volume coefficient to increase averaging effect. According to Quick Fingers Luc's principles trading principles we added volume validation of a base because it allows to confirm that the market is resistant to further price decrease.
The indicator supports traditional and cryptocurrency spot, futures, options and marginal trading exchanges. It works accurately with BTC, USD, USDT, ETH and BNB quote currencies. Best to use with 1H timeframe charts and limit orders. The indicator can be and should be configured for each particular asset according to its global support and resistance levels and price action cycles. You can modify levels and risk management settings to receive better performance
Advantages of this indicator:
The indicator has custom alert settings for each strategy action
The indicator can be used with 3Commas, Cryptohopper, Alertatron or Zignaly bots
The indicator is sustainable to market slumps and can be used for long-term trading
The indicator provides a large number of entries which is good for diversification
Can be applied to any market and quote currency
Easy to configure user interface settings
How to use?
1. Apply indicator to a trading pair your are interested in using 1H timeframe chart
2. Configure the indicator: change layer values, order size multiple and take profit/stop loss values according to current market cycle stage
3. Set up a TradingView custom alert using the indicator settings to trigger on a condition you are interested in
4. The indicator will send alerts when to enter and when to exit positions which can be applied to your portfolio using external trading platforms
5. Update settings once market conditions are changed using backtests on a monthly period
[GYTS] Filters ToolkitFilters Toolkit indicator
🌸 Part of GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
🌸 --------- 1. INTRODUCTION --------- 🌸
💮 Overview
The GYTS Filters Toolkit indicator is an advanced, interactive interface built atop the high‐performance, curated functions provided by the FiltersToolkit library . It allows traders to experiment with different combinations of filtering methods -— from smoothing low-pass filters to aggressive detrenders. With this toolkit, you can build custom indicators tailored to your specific trading strategy, whether you're looking for trend following, mean reversion, or cycle identification approaches.
🌸 --------- 2. FILTER METHODS AND TYPES --------- 🌸
💮 Filter categories
The available filters fall into four main categories, each marked with a distinct symbol:
🌗 Low Pass Filters (Smoothers)
These filters attenuate high-frequency components (noise) while allowing low-frequency components (trends) to pass through. Examples include:
Ultimate Smoother
Super Smoother (2-pole and 3-pole variants)
MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA) and Following Adaptive Moving Average (FAMA)
BiQuad Low Pass Filter
ADXvma (Adaptive Directional Volatility Moving Average)
A2RMA (Adaptive Autonomous Recursive Moving Average)
Low pass filters are displayed on the price chart by default, as they follow the overall price movement. If they are combined with a high-pass or bandpass filter, they will be displayed in the subgraph.
🌓 High Pass Filters (Detrenders)
These filters do the opposite of low pass filters - they remove low-frequency components (trends) while allowing high-frequency components to pass through. Examples include:
Butterworth High Pass Filter
BiQuad High Pass Filter
High pass filters are displayed as oscillators in the subgraph below the price chart, as they fluctuate around a zero line.
🌑 Band Pass Filters (Cycle Isolators)
These filters combine aspects of both low and high pass filters, isolating specific frequency ranges while attenuating both higher and lower frequencies. Examples include:
Ehlers Bandpass Filter
Cyber Cycle
Relative Vigor Index (RVI)
BiQuad Bandpass Filter
Band pass filters are also displayed as oscillators in a separate panel.
🔮 Predictive Filter
Voss Predictive Filter: A special filter that attempts to predict future values of band-limited signals (only to be used as post-filter). Keep its prediction horizon short (1–3 bars) for reasonable accuracy.
Note that the the library contains elaborate documentation and source material of each filter.
🌸 --------- 3. INDICATOR FEATURES --------- 🌸
💮 Multi-filter configuration
One of the most powerful aspects of this indicator is the ability to configure multiple filters. compare them and observe their combined effects. There are four primary filters, each with its own parameter settings.
💮 Post-filtering
Process a filter’s output through an additional filter by enabling the post-filter option. This creates a filter chain where the output of one filter becomes the input to another. Some powerful combinations include:
Ultimate Smoother → MAMA: Creates an adaptive smoothing effect that responds well to market changes, good for trend-following strategies
Butterworth → Super Smoother → Butterworth: Produces a well-behaved oscillator with minimal phase distortion, John Ehlers also calls a "roofing filter". Great for identifying overbought/oversold conditions with minimal lag.
A bandpass filter → Voss Prediction filter: Attempts to predict future movements of cyclical components, handy to find peaks and troughs of the market cycle.
💮 Aggregate filters
Arguably the coolest feature: aggregating filters allow you to combine multiple filters with different weights. Important notes about aggregation:
You can only aggregate filters that appear on the same chart (price chart or oscillator panel).
The weights are automatically normalised, so only their relative values matter
Setting a weight to 0 (zero) excludes that filter from the aggregation
Filters don't need to be visibly displayed to be included in aggregation
💮 Rich visualisation & alerts
The indicator intelligently determines whether a filter is displayed on the price chart or in the subgraph (as an oscillator) based on its characteristics.
Dynamic colour palettes, adjustable line widths, transparency, and custom fill between any of enabled filters or between oscillators and the zero-line.
A clear legend showing which filters are active and how they're configured
Alerts for direction changes and crossovers of all filters
🌸 --------- 4. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --------- 🌸
This toolkit builds on the work of numerous pioneers in technical analysis and digital signal processing:
John Ehlers, whose groundbreaking research forms the foundation of many filters.
Robert Bristow-Johnson for the BiQuad filter formulations.
The TradingView community, especially @The_Peaceful_Lizard, @alexgrover, and others mentioned in the code of the library.
Everyone who has provided feedback, testing and support!
Stage AnalysisStage Analysis was created by Stan Weinstein, and helps traders to identify where a stock/etf/index is in its Price Cycle.
The Price Cycle was introduced by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 1900s, where he noted that stocks repeatedly go through a cycle of Accumulation, Markup, Distribution and Markdown. Stan Weinstein’s Stage Analysis method modified the Wyckoff Price Cycle, and converted it into four stages, which are:
Stage 1 = Accumulation
Stage 2 = Markup
Stage 3 = Distribution
Stage 4 = Markdown
Stage Analysis indicator:
Stan Weinstein had different definitions for the four stages – Stage 1: The Basing Area, Stage 2: The Advancing Phase, Stage 3: The Top Area, Stage 4: The Declining Phase. But for the purposes of the Stage Analysis indicator, you’ll note that we’ve combined Stage 1 and Stage 3, as they share numerous technical characteristics, and in our opinion, still require some discretionary judgement to determine whether they are showing accumulation or distribution characteristics.
So, we believe that neutral better describes them from a purely technical aspect, as being in Stage 3 doesn’t necessarily mean the top area, as it can still make a Stage 2 continuation breakout to new highs, instead of breaking down into Stage 4. Just as a Stage 1 basing pattern, can still make a further Stage 4 continuation breakdown, and won’t necessarily breakout into a Stage 2 advance. Hence, we display both Stage 1 and Stage 3 as Neutral, to help remove the perceived bias associated with Stage 3 and Stage 1.
So, in the indicator the Stages are displayed as three different colored backgrounds:
Blue = Stage 1 / Stage 3: Neutral
Green = Stage 2: Uptrend
Red = Stage 4: Downtrend
Stage 1 / Stage 3: Neutral (Blue background)
Stage 1 shows signs of a potential accumulation base structure developing and begins with a close above the 30-week simple moving average, when the stock is still below its (usually declining) 40-week MA as well, following a Stage 4 downtrend, and then remains in Stage 1 until either it breaks out into a Stage 2 uptrend, or returns to a Stage 4 downtrend once more. Although, there are often multiple failed breakout and breakdown attempts, which change the Stage briefly to Stage 2 or Stage 4, before reverting back into Stage 1, as the base broadens out.
The initial move into Stage 1 can occur in numerous different ways. Sometimes following a powerful rebound rally from the 52-week lows to above the 30-week MA, and at other times, after a basing period first, while the stock is still in Stage 4, and then only briefly moving into Stage 1, before breaking out into a new Stage 2 uptrend. But with all ways, there is a notable Change of Character compared to the previous Stage 4 downtrend, as supply and demand moves towards equilibrium, and the stock starts to build a more significant sideways range/base structure.
Stage 3 is the exact opposite of Stage 1, and instead of accumulation. Signs of distribution begin to appear when a stock is getting later in a Stage 2 Uptrend, with the stock first closing below its 30-week MA, and then starting to build a more significant sideways range/base structure, than the minor structures that formed when it was still trending higher in Stage 2.
It begins with a change of behaviour (i.e. a bigger correction than seen during the rest of Stage 2, that takes it below its 30-week, but still above its (usually rising) 40-week MA, and then that often broadens out into a sideways structure, with multiple swings above and below the 30-week MA, with tests of the highs and lows of the developing structure. Which can see it briefly revert to Stage 2, with failed breakout attempts at the highs (Upthrusts), or Stage 4, with failed breakdown attempts at the lows of the structure (Shakeouts or Springs).
So, Stage 1 and Stage 3 are both more neutral periods between the Stage 2 (Uptrend) and Stage 4 (Downtrend).
Stage 2: Uptrend (Green Background)
Stage 2 is the most important Stage for traders looking to buy stocks with the Stage Analysis method, and begins with a breakout from the prior Stage 1 base, but can also occur more suddenly from a V-bottom pattern or earnings gaps. In which case, it will move directly from a Stage 4 downtrend into a Stage 2 uptrend.
The move to Stage 2 requires certain technical aspects to be present, including a close above its near-term range (we use a 13-week range based on weekly closes), as well as its 200-day MA (40-week MA), and for our proprietary Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA)* score to be at a least a SATA 6 of 10. And so, the change from Stage 1 to Stage 2 will often occur while the stock is still within a “broader” base structure, as the quarterly range is continually shifting, and doesn’t consider technical levels prior to that period.
The breakout point as Stage 2 begins is the Stage Analysis methods favoured entry zone for investors, as it marks the change from the Stage 1 basing period into the more dynamic Stage 2 uptrend (chart changes to green)
A secondary investor entry point can often form soon after the Stage 2 breakout, as the momentum fades from the initial rally, and it pulls back towards the breakout level, before finding support and swinging back higher into the advancing phase. So, the Stage Analysis indicator can be used to determine this secondary entry point by dropping down to an intraday timeframe – such as the 30-minute chart, and waiting for a Stage 2 breakout attempt on that much shorter timescale.
The Trader method entry points also form during the Stage 2 advance, and occur at the Stage 2 continuation breakout points of the more minor re-accumulation bases that form as the Stage 2 advance progresses higher.
Stage 4: Downtrend (Red Background)
Stage 4 is the opposite of Stage 2, and marks the beginning of a potential downtrend, as the distributional forces from Stage 3 gain control, and the stock attempts to move lower.
Stage 4 is the most important Stage for traders looking to short stocks with the Stage Analysis method, and as with Stage 2, it can also begin more suddenly following a sudden sharp decline or an earnings gap lower etc, that knifes through the key MAs and quarterly range.
The move to Stage 4 also requires certain technical aspects to be present, including a close below its near-term range (we use a 13-week range based on weekly closes), as well as its 200-day MA (40-week MA), and for our proprietary Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA) score to be a maximum of a SATA 3 of 10, as if the SATA score is higher than 3, then it will still be considered as Stage 3 (blue) until that drops to a SATA 3 or lower.
The initial short entry point in Stage 4 occurs at the breakdown from Stage 3 to Stage 4 (chart changes to red), and as with Stage 2, a secondary entry point can form, but in Stage 4 it is on a potential pullback towards the breakdown level that then reverses lower once more. So, the Stage Analysis indicator can be used to determine this secondary entry point by dropping down to an intraday timeframe – such as the 30-minute chart, and waiting for a Stage 4 breakdown attempt on that much shorter timescale.
The Trader method short entry points also form during the Stage 4 decline, and occur at the Stage 4 continuation breakdown points of the more minor re-distribution bases that form as the Stage 4 decline progresses lower.
Recommended Chart Setup:
Weekly
Logarithmic scale
Recommended Indicators:
10 – Simple Moving Average
30 – Simple Moving Average
40 – Simple Moving Average (optional)
Mansfield Relative Strength (Original Version) (optional)
Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA) (optional)
The Stages are intended to be used on the Weekly timeframe with a Logarithmic scale primarily, with a 10-week MA, 30-week MA and 40-week MA. But Stage Analysis can be used across multiple timeframes. So, for shorter-term swing traders, the 195-min (2bars/day), 2-hour, 1-hour, 30-min charts etc are often used with the same relative chart settings. But note that the lower the timeframe, the more noise that you’ll get, so you should always refer back to the weekly Stage to trade with the major trend.
Customise the Stage Analysis indicator
Edit colours of the Stages
Show/Hide Stages
Reference:
*Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA)
The Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA) scoring system is our proprietary tool which measures 10 of the key components that we look for in the Stage Analysis method to help to determine the Stage, and is made up of the following components:
Breakouts and Breakdowns
Price / Moving Averages
Relative Strength versus the S&P 500
Momentum
Volume
Overhead Resistance
Combining the SATA score with the price elements described in the Stages descriptions above, provides a Stage Analysis indicator that is faithful to Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis method, and truly unique from other more simplistic automated versions of the Stages that you might find elsewhere.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. We accept no liability for any loss which may arise from the use of this indicator. All trading decisions are your own, and should be researched thoroughly, with appropriate risk management in place.
We are not affiliated with Stan Weinstein, and this is our own unique interpretation of the Stage Analysis method, based on our long experience with it.
Financial Astrology Indexes ML Daily TrendDaily trend indicator based on financial astrology cycles detected with advanced machine learning techniques for some of the most important market indexes: DJI, UK100, SPX, IBC, IXIC, NI225, BANKNIFTY, NIFTY and GLD fund (not index) for Gold predictions. The daily price trend is forecasted through planets cycles (angular aspects, speed phases, declination zone), fast cycles are based on Moon, Mercury, Venus and Sun and Mid term cycles are based on Mars, Vesta and Ceres . The combination of all this cycles produce a daily price trend prediction that is encoded into a PineScript array using binary format "0 or 1" that represent sell and buy signals respectively. The indicator provides signals since 2021-01-01 to 2022-12-31, the past months signals purpose is to support backtesting of the indicator combined with other technical indicator entries like MAs, RSI or Stochastic . For future predictions besides 2022 a machine learning models re-train phase will be required.
When the signal moving average is increasing from 0 to 1 indicates an increase of buy force, when is decreasing from 1 to 0 indicates an increase in sell force, finally, when is sideways around the 0.4-0.6 area predicts a period of buy/sell forces equilibrium, traders indecision which result in a price congestion within a narrow price range.
We also have published same indicator for Crypto-Currencies research portfolio:
DISCLAIMER: This indicator is experimental and don’t provide financial or investment advice, the main purpose is to demonstrate the predictive power of financial astrology. Any allocation of funds following the documented machine learning model prediction is a high-risk endeavour and it’s the users responsibility to practice healthy risk management according to your situation.
True Seasonal Pattern [tradeviZion]True Seasonal Pattern: Uncover Hidden Market Cycles
Markets have rhythms and patterns that repeat with surprising regularity. The True Seasonal Pattern indicator reveals these hidden cycles across different timeframes, helping you anticipate potential market movements based on historical seasonal tendencies.
What This Indicator Does
The True Seasonal Pattern analyzes years of historical price data to identify recurring seasonal trends. It then plots these patterns on your chart, showing you both the historical pattern and future projection based on past seasonal behavior.
Automatic Timeframe Detection: Works with Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts
Historical Pattern Analysis: Analyzes up to 100 years of data (customizable)
Future Projection: Projects the seasonal pattern ahead on your chart
Smart Smoothing: Applies appropriate smoothing based on your timeframe
How to Use This Indicator
Add the indicator to a Daily, Weekly, or Monthly chart (not designed for intraday timeframes)
The indicator automatically detects your chart's timeframe
The blue line shows the historical seasonal pattern
Watch for potential turning points in the pattern that align with other technical signals
Seasonal patterns work best as a supporting factor in your analysis, not as standalone trading signals. They are particularly effective in markets with well-established seasonal influences.
Best Applications
Futures Markets: Commodities and futures often show strong seasonal tendencies due to production cycles, weather patterns, and economic factors
Stock Indices: Many stock markets demonstrate regular seasonal patterns (like the "Sell in May" phenomenon)
Individual Stocks: Companies with seasonal business cycles often show predictable price patterns
Practical Applications
Identify potential turning points based on historical seasonal patterns
Plan entries and exits around seasonal tendencies
Add seasonal context to your existing technical analysis
Understand why certain months or periods might show consistent behavior
Pro Tip: For best results, use this tool on instruments with at least 5+ years of historical data. Longer timeframes often reveal more reliable seasonal patterns.
Important Notes
This indicator works best on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes - not intraday charts
Seasonal patterns are tendencies, not guarantees
Always combine seasonal analysis with other technical tools
Past patterns may not repeat exactly in the future
// Sample of the seasonal calculation approach
float yearHigh = array.max(currentYearHighs)
float yearLow = array.min(currentYearLows)
// Calculate seasonality for each period
for i = 0 to array.size(currentYearCloses) - 1
float periodClose = array.get(currentYearCloses, i)
if not na(periodClose) and yearHigh != yearLow
float seasonality = (periodClose - yearLow) / (yearHigh - yearLow) * 100
I developed this indicator to help traders incorporate seasonal analysis into their trading approach without the complexity of traditional seasonal tools. Whether you're analyzing agricultural commodities, energy futures, or stock indices, understanding the seasonal context can provide valuable insights for your trading decisions.
Remember: Markets don't always follow seasonal patterns, but when they do, being aware of these tendencies can give you a meaningful edge in your analysis.
FloWave Oscillator [StabTrading]The FloWave Oscillator is a powerful trading tool designed to identify market trends and reversals by analysing reversal zones based on momentum and fear algorithms.
Serving as the first stage in a comprehensive trading system, it is intentionally straightforward, allowing traders to clearly see potential entry points across all charts and timeframes.
By inputting their own market sentiment, traders can customize the algorithm to align with their trading style. This flexibility helps traders navigate complex market environments with greater precision, whether they are seeking to capitalize on short-term opportunities or ride longer-term trends.
💡 Features
Reversal Zones - The FloWave Oscillator identifies key reversal zones driven by momentum and fear dynamics. Lighter green zones signal the initial stages of a potential reversal, while darker green zones indicate that a trend flip is imminent.
Trading Style Customization - The indicator allows traders to adjust their trading style with sensitivity settings ranging from Very Aggressive to Very Conservative. This flexibility lets traders tailor the indicator to their preferred time horizon—whether they seek to scalp short-term opportunities or capture long-term reversals.
🔥 Sensitivity Settings
Very Aggressive/Aggressive - These settings increase the indicator's sensitivity, generating more frequent signals, ideal for traders focused on short-term gains or those navigating choppy markets.
Neutral - Offers a balanced approach, combining both aggressive and conservative elements. It's a starting point for traders to evaluate performance before adjusting to more specific styles.
Conservative/Very Conservative - These settings reduce signal frequency, focusing on stronger, more reliable reversals. Best suited for long-term traders aiming to minimize risk and avoid premature market entries or exits.
🛠️ Usage/Practice
In the above example we’ll analysis how the indicator accurately predicts both the tops and bottoms of a market cycle.
Top of the Bull Market - The trendline initially shows two light red reversal zones, signalling a potential weakening in the upward momentum. As the trend progresses, a dark red zone emerges, confirming that a more substantial trend reversal to the downside is likely. This sequence provides an early warning, allowing traders to prepare for a possible market shift.
First Bull Signal - In the following phase, the indicator mirrors the previous action but in the opposite direction, identifying a reversal towards the upside. This behaviour demonstrates the indicator's ability to adapt to changing market conditions.
Bottom of the Bear Market - As the market continues its downward trajectory, the indicator presents two dark green reversal zones, highlighting areas where the selling pressure may be easing. These dark green zones offer three distinct opportunities to dollar-cost average (DCA) into the asset, allowing traders to build or enhance their positions during the end of the bear cycle. The indicator’s sensitivity in this phase ensures that traders can navigate the bearish market with confidence.
Continuation of Bull Cycle - In this segment, the indicator does not display any dark green reversal zones, implying that the uptrend remains robust. The absence of these zones suggests that the upward momentum is likely to continue, providing traders with another opportunity to add to their long positions. This scenario underscores the indicator’s capacity to identify when a trend is strong enough to warrant additional investment.
Potential Correction in an Uptrend - A light red zone appears, signalling a possible correction within the ongoing uptrend. However, the absence of a dark red zone indicates that the correction may be minor and that the overall trend is still upward. Traders might view this as a conservative point to take some profits off the table, managing risk while staying aligned with the broader bull market.
Bearish Signal - Eventually, a dark red reversal zone emerges, indicating that the trend has lost its upward momentum. This signal serves as a strong indicator that the uptrend may be concluding, prompting traders to consider exiting their positions or taking a more defensive stance. As the market enters a sideways phase, the trader can switch to a more aggressive trading style, seeking opportunities to scalp within the range while navigating the flat market conditions.
In this example, we demonstrate how to identify scalp trading opportunities by combining the Very Conservative and Very Aggressive settings. The key strategy is to use the Very Conservative trend to confirm the validity of reversal zones identified by the Very Aggressive setting.
The VC trend doesn’t indicate a buy reversal zone, but it shows an upward divergence. This suggests that the reversal buy zone on the VA chart is a potential entry point due to the supportive VC trend.
Multiple sell zones appear on the VA chart, but the VC trend shows a strong and steady uptrend. This suggests that we should wait for confirmation from the VC trend before considering a sell position, as the market is still moving upward strongly.
The VA chart shows several buy zones, but the VC trend indicates a strong downtrend, and no buy zone appears on the conservative setting. This suggests waiting for the next VA buy zone, confirmed by an upward divergence on the VC trend, before entering a trade.
Similar to Point 3 but in the opposite direction, the VA chart shows sell zones, but the VC trend indicates caution. The strategy would be to wait for confirmation from the VC trend before making a move.
🔶Conclusion
When used in conjunction with other indicators like the MeanRevert Matrix, the FloWave Oscillator becomes an integral part of a comprehensive trading system. It helps traders make informed decisions by providing clear signals that are aligned with the current market sentiment and broader economic trends. By following the implementation guidelines and adjusting the indicator settings as market conditions change, traders can effectively enhance their trading performance.
ZigCycleBarCount [MsF]Japanese below / 日本語説明は英文の後にあります。
Based on "ZigZag++" indicator by DevLucem. Thanks for the great indicator.
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This indicator that displays the candle count (bar count) at the peaks of Zigzag .
It also displays the price of the peaks.
You can easily count candles (bars) from peak to peak. Helpful for candles (bars) in cycle theory.
This logic of the indicator is based from the mt4 zigzag indicator .
Parameter:
Depth = depth (price range)
Backstep = Period
Deviation ＝ Percentage of how much the price has wrapped around the previous line.
Example:
Depth = 12
Backstep = 3
Deviation = 5
In this case, the price range is updated by 12 pips or more (Depth), and after 3 or more candlesticks line up (Backstep), if the price deviates from the previous line by 5% or more (Deviation), a peak is added.
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Zigzagの頂点にローソクカウント（バーカウント）を表示するインジケータです。
頂点の価格も表示します。
頂点から頂点までのローソク（バー）を容易にカウントすることができます。
サイクル理論のローソク（バー）に役立ちます。
Zigzagロジック自体はMT4のzigzagインジケータを流用しています。
＜パラメータ＞
Depth＝深さ（値幅）
Backstep＝期間
Deviation＝価格がどれだけ直前のラインの折り返したかの割合
例：
Depth＝12
Backstep＝3
Deviation＝5
この場合、値幅を12pips以上更新し（Depth）、ローソク足が3本以上並んだ後（Backstep）、価格が直前のラインの5％以上折り返せば（Deviation）、頂点を付けます。
＜表示オプション＞
Label_Style = "TEXT"…テキスト表示、"BALLOON"…吹き出し表示
MTF Fractal Bias Confluence DetectorMTF Fractal Bias Confluence Detector
This indicator, the MTF Fractal Bias Confluence Detector, is based on the idea that the market exhibits fractal behaviour. The origin of the idea traces back to 1963, when Benoit Mandelbrot analyzed the fluctuations in cotton prices over a time series starting in 1900, discovering that price changes exhibited scale-invariant patterns. This means that the curve representing daily price changes mirrored the shape of monthly price changes, highlighting the fractal nature of market behaviour. When applied to swing points across multiple timeframes (MTF), this concept suggests that swing points demonstrate similar patterns regardless of the timeframe being analyzed. These self-similar fractal structures provide traders with insights into market reversals and trends, making them a powerful tool for multi-timeframe analysis.
A Swing Point is made up of three main parts: a move away from the last Break level; forming a peak (pivot point) with a Fakeout of the peak (explained through an example later); and a subsequent move away from it. These swing points recur across all timeframes as part of cyclical momentum patterns, meaning each swing point gives rise to a new cycle of market movement. Due to the fractal nature of the market, larger cycles encompass multiple smaller ones.
The theory behind the Fractal Bias Confluence Detector utilizes the idea that the market movements are fractal in nature and illustrates how such swing points can be identified across MTFs. To do so, we examine the Peak Fakeouts within these cycles, as they form. It is not possible to know in advance how long each of these moves will last, but a Swing Point will often occur with a Peak Fakeout. Therefore, the most critical element is to identify the Peak Fakeout.
The snapshot below captures a Peak Fakeout, as discussed earlier.
Similarly, the following snapshot shows various possible breakdowns of Higher Time Frame (HTF) cycles into smaller Lower Time Frame (LTF) movements. The chart contains a white table(not part of the indicator and shown for illustration purposes only).
To further illustrate. Consider the combination of Time Frames (TF) from the 2nd row (from the above snapshot). Cycle TF (1M), Setup TF (1W), Momentum TF (1D) etc.
Price movements in the 1M TF highlight the direction in which HTF traders are pushing the market. Often, when markets have broken out of a level, they tend to form a peak and can then pull back towards the prior breakout level. Once the pullback is beyond the last breakout level, in the opposite direction, we may say the peak formation is created, and directional bias has changed. This is also called Peak Fakeout. Due to the fractal nature of the market, Swing Points on the HTF will often constitute multiple Swing Points on the LTF, though they are not always in sync. However, after such peak formation, there is a high probability that the price might move away from the peak for at least 1 candle (in the cycle TF). This theory illustrates that once a new cycle is in play, we can then look at 1W (Setup TF) to look for possible in-sync movements, at least within that 1 candle of the HTF. Repeating the same for further lower TFs, we may arrive at a confluence of Fractal Bias and see how the movements in LTF are driven by the HTF momentum.
Another example within the chart:
Note: The above examples are just for illustration purposes, and other permutations and combinations of movements across multiple TFs are also possible.
This indicator aims to help users identify such fractal-bias-confluences, so that they can leverage the fractal nature of the market to get a holistic view. To do so, the indicator displays how the market has moved across multiple time frames, with respect to different historical levels.
Features:
1. The bias summary table
The following snapshot depicts the bias summary table at the bottom right of the chart.
1.1. Workings: The table will display, for various TFs, in the first four (starting from "current" to Prev ) rows, one of the following.
"F/H" , " Acronym for the failed break of the previous high",
"F/L" , " Acronym for the failed break of the previous low",
"B/H" , " Acronym for the break of the previous high",
"B/L" , " Acronym for the break of the previous low",
"IN" , " Acronym for an inside candle (never broke high or low of perv candle)",
"OT" , " Acronym for an outside candle (broke both high and low of previous candle and closing price is in between previous high and low)".
Note: these acronyms are customizable according to the user's choice of terminology in any language, as shown in the snapshot below.
1.1.1 In the above snapshot, the 1st row, called "Current", shows how the current candle is evolving with respect to the previous one. The "previous" row shows how the previous candle closed with respect to the pre-previous one. The next two rows represent the bias of the pre-previous and pre-pre-previous in a similar manner. By default, the bias is updated in real-time, even for the already closed historical candles. For example, if the previous 4H candle closed as a B/H and the current price then comes below the pre-previous 4H candle high, then the bias of the previous candle will get updated to F/H. This informs the user that the break above the pre-previous high has failed. However, the user has the option to turn this off. The information in these four rows shows the user how the market is moving currently and how it evolved before reaching the current price levels.
Note: The calculation done by the indicator is to keep track of how the price is moving with respect to the last candle levels in real-time. This means if the price first goes above the previous high and then goes below the previous low, the indicator is equipped to display what happened in the most recent time. The snapshot below shows the option to turn on/off such updates in the bias summary table.
Note: While the bias summary table is turned on, the user also has the option to turn off Prev and Prev rows, as shown in the snapshot below.
1.1.2 The 2nd to last row, called CL/CS(Consecutive Long/Short), shows whether consecutive (2+) breaks of high/low happened or not in one direction without taking out the previous candle's range in the opposite direction. When conditions are met, it will show the number of times the price has been pushed in one direction (in the above manner), followed by "L" for long and "S" for short, for each TF, for example, "4L". It gets updated in real-time for each push in the same direction. Furthermore, a good analogy of "4L" on an HTF is 4 consecutive Break of Structure (BOS) (in the same direction) on LTF, without a Change of Character (CHoCH). Another example would be Stacey Burke's 3 consecutive rises that can be mapped in the indicator, if the conditions are met for "3L" for a given TF.
1.1.3 The last row, FRC/FGC, stands for the first red/green candle. It shows whether the last candle of a TF has closed as green (i.e., close>open) after posting two red candles (i.e., close<open). This helps understand possible short-term retracements in price movements.
1.2 Customizability
1.2.1 We provide a wide range of customizable options, including multiple time frames to choose from for each type of TFs. This is shown in the snapshot below.
1.2.2 All the acronyms on the summary table are customizable and can be user-defined, including text, background color and transparency. This is shown in the snapshot below.
2. High-low lines
2.1 We also show the high and low of various TFs, including the current high and low lines (which are updated in real-time. This can be observed in one of the previous snapshots.
2.2 Previous high, low and close lines can be extended (for Cycles, Setups and Momentum TFs). Their style and thickness are also customizable. This can be observed in one of the previous snapshots.
Note: The user has the option to turn all the lines off. Sub-options include turning off the current line only. Changing the color, thickness, and transparency of the lines. This can be observed in one of the previous snapshots.
3. Last known Break / Failed Break lines.
3.1 We also depict the last known Break and Failed break lines for the user to have all the important levels at their disposal. This can be observed in one of the previous snapshots.
Note: The user has the option to turn this on/off.
4. Magnifier Box
4.1 We have provided the user to look at thirty 1m candles inside a magnifier box while they are in a higher TF chart.
The user has the option to turn this on/off.
5. Moving Averages (MA)
We have also grouped some built-in MA options for the user to utilize along with other elements of the indicator to help them get another layer of confluence.
The user has the option to turn this on/off.
Disclaimer:
The indicator leverages pre-existing theories of market movements. These can be found in decades-old published materials (like books, journals, public lectures accessible over popular video-sharing websites, etc.). As such, we do not claim to have any exclusive rights over the underlying theories. There are many analogous theories and nomenclatures that users can map onto this indicator. Users may also use the indicator in combination with other indicators.
1. Educational Use Only
The "MTF Fractal Bias Confluence Detector" is provided for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, or an obligation, or a guarantee, of profitable trades or loss prevention.
2. No Financial Advice
This tool should not be viewed as financial advice for either trading or investment(s).
3. User Responsibility
Users alone bear all risks associated with any decisions they make using this tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
By using the "MTF Fractal Bias Confluence Detector," you acknowledge that you have read, understood and accepted this disclaimer in its entirety.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Hurst Diamond Notation PivotsThis is a fairly simple indicator for diamond notation of past hi/lo pivot points, a common method in Hurst analysis. The diamonds mark the troughs/peaks of each cycle. They are offset by their lookback and thus will not 'paint' until after they happen so anticipate accordingly. Practically, traders can use the average length of past pivot periods to forecast future pivot periods in time🔮. For example, if the average/dominant number of bars in an 80-bar pivot point period/cycle is 76, then a trader might forecast that the next pivot could occur 76-ish bars after the last confirmed pivot. The numbers/labels on the y-axis display the cycle length used for pivot detection. This indicator doesn't repaint, but it has a lot of lag; Please use it for forecasting instead of entry signals. This indicator scans for new pivots in the form of a rainbow line and circle; once the hi/lo has happened and the lookback has passed then the pivot will be plotted. The rainbow color per wavelength theme seems to be authentic to Hurst (or modern Hurst software) and has been included as a default.
ETH Growth | AlchimistOfCrypto⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This indicator's source code is kept private as it represents a first-of-its-kind innovation in algorithmic cycle detection and visualization for Ethereum. The mathematical models and proprietary algorithms powering this indicator are the result of extensive research and development.
🌈 ETH Growth Rainbow – Unveiling Ethereum's Logarithmic Growth Fields 🌈
"The ETH Growth Rainbow, engineered through advanced logarithmic mathematics, visualizes the probabilistic distribution of Ethereum's price evolution within a multi-cycle growth paradigm. This indicator employs principles from logarithmic regression where coefficients p001, p002, and p003 create mathematical boundaries that define Ethereum's long-term value progression. Our implementation features algorithmically enhanced rainbow visualization derived from Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) spectral analysis, creating a dynamic representation of Ethereum's logarithmic growth with adaptive color gradients that highlight critical cycle-based phase transitions in the asset's monetary evolution."
📊 Professional Trading Application
The ETH Growth Rainbow transcends traditional price prediction models with a sophisticated multi-band illumination system that reveals the underlying structure of Ethereum's monetary evolution. Scientifically calibrated across multiple 85-week cycles (detected through spectral analysis) and featuring seamless rainbow visualization, it enables investors to perceive Ethereum's position within its macro growth trajectory with unprecedented clarity.
- Cycle Detection Methodology 🔬
The 85-week Ethereum cycle was discovered through sophisticated Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) analysis:
- Logarithmic price returns extracted from historical Ethereum data
- FFT decomposition identifies dominant frequency components in price movements
- Signal amplitude analysis reveals the 85-week cycle as the most statistically significant periodicity
- Adaptive frequency filtering validates cycle consistency across multiple market phases
- Cycle duration rounded to nearest week for practical application
- Visual Theming 🎨
Scientifically designed rainbow gradient optimized for cycle pattern recognition:
- Violet-Blue: Lower value accumulation zones with highest mathematical growth potential
- Green: Fair value equilibrium zone representing the regression mean
- Yellow-Orange: Moderate overvaluation regions indicating potential resistance
- Red: Statistical extreme zones indicating mathematical cycle peaks
- Deep Red: New euphoria band (+6) capturing exceptional market extremes
- Cycle Visualization 🔍
- Precise cycle boundaries demarcating Ethereum's fundamental cycle events
- Adaptive band spacing based on mathematical cycle progression (p003 = 0.858)
- Multiple sub-cycle markers revealing the probabilistic nature of Ethereum's trajectory
- Initial cycle starting from 0.1639 (August 3, 2015) to preserve historical accuracy
🚀 How to Use
1. Identify Macro Position ⏰: Locate Ethereum's current price relative to regression bands
2. Understand Cycle Context 🎚️: Note position within the current 85-week cycle for time-based analysis
3. Assess Mathematical Value 🌈: Determine potential over/undervaluation based on band location
4. Adjust Investment Strategy 🔎: Modulate position sizing based on mathematical value assessment
5. Identify Cycle Phases ✅: Monitor band transitions to detect accumulation and distribution zones
6. Invest with Precision 🛡️: Utilize lower bands for strategic accumulation, upper bands for strategic reduction
7. Manage Risk Dynamically 🔐: Scale investment allocations based on mathematical cycle positioning
#ethereum #ETH #cryptocurrency #tradingview #technicalanalysis #logarithmicregression #rainbowchart #cryptotrading #tradingstrategy #priceaction #cryptoinvesting #ethanalysis #tradingbands #cryptoresearch #FFTanalysis #cyclicalanalysis #ethinvestment #ethusd #buyandsell #accumulation #macroindicator #valueanalysis #priceprediction #ethgrowth #cryptosignals #cyclicpatterns #mathematicaltrading #AI #smartmoney #cryptowhales
Neural Network Synthesis: Trend and Valuation [QuantraSystems]Neural Network Synthesis - Trend and Valuation
Introduction
The Neural Network Synthesis (𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱) indicator is an innovative technical analysis tool which leverages neural network concepts to synthesize market trend and valuation insights.
This indicator uses a bespoke neural network model to process various technical indicator inputs, providing an improved view of market momentum and perceived value.
Legend
The main visual component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is the Neural Synthesis Line , which dynamically oscillates within the valuation chart, categorizing market conditions as both under or overvalued and trending up or down.
The synthesis line coloring can be set to trend analysis or valuation modes , which can be reflected in the bar coloring.
The sine wave valuation chart oscillates around a central, volatility normalized ‘fair value’ line, visually conveying the natural rhythm and cyclical nature of asset markets.
The positioning of the sine wave in relation to the central line can help traders to visualize transitions from one market phase to another - such as from an undervalued phase to fair value or an overvalued phase.
Case Study 1
The asset in question experiences a sharp, inefficient move upwards. Such movements suggest an overextension of price, and mean reversion is typically expected.
Here, a short position was initiated, but only after the Neural Synthesis line confirmed a negative trend - to mitigate the risk of shorting into a continuing uptrend.
Two take-profit levels were set:
The midline or ‘fair value’ line.
The lower boundary of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicators valuation chart.
Although mean-reversion trades are typically closed when price returns to the mean, under circumstances of extreme overextension price often overcorrects from an overbought condition to an oversold condition.
Case Study 2
In the above study, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is applied to the 1 Week Bitcoin chart in order to inform long term investment decisions.
Accumulation Zones - Investors can choose to dollar cost average (DCA) into long term positions when the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicates undervaluation
Distribution Zones - Conversely, when overvalued conditions are indicated, investors are able to incrementally sell holdings expecting the market peak to form around the distribution phase.
Note - It is prudent to pay close attention to any change in trend conditions when the market is in an accumulation/distribution phase, as this can increase the likelihood of a full-cycle market peak forming.
In summary, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is also an effective tool for long term investing, especially for assets like Bitcoin which exhibit prolonged bull and bear cycles.
Special Note
It is prudent to note that because markets often undergo phases of extreme speculation, an asset's price can remain over or undervalued for long periods of time, defying mean-reversion expectations. In these scenarios it is important to use other forms of analysis in confluence, such as the trending component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator to help inform trading decisions.
A special feature of Quantra’s indicators is that they are probabilistically built - therefore they work well as confluence and can easily be stacked to increase signal accuracy.
Example Settings
As used above.
Swing Trading
Smooth Length = 150
Timeframe = 12h
Long Term Investing
Smooth Length = 30
Timeframe = 1W
Methodology
The 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator draws upon the foundational principles of Neural Networks, particularly the concept of using a network of ‘neurons’ (in this case, various technical indicators). It uses their outputs as features, preprocesses this input data, runs an activation function and in the following creates a dynamic output.
The following features/inputs are used as ‘neurons’:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
Bollinger Bands
Stochastic Momentum
Average True Range (ATR)
These base indicators were chosen for their diverse methodologies for capturing market momentum, volatility and trend strength - mirroring how neurons in a Neural Network capture and process varied aspects of the input data.
Preprocessing:
Each technical indicator’s output is normalized to remove bias. Normalization is a standard practice to preprocess data for Neural Networks, to scale input data and allow the model to train more effectively.
Activation Function:
The hyperbolic tangent function serves as the activation function for the neurons. In general, for complete neural networks, activation functions introduce non-linear properties to the models and enable them to learn complex patterns. The tanh() function specifically maps the inputs to a range between -1 and 1.
Dynamic Smoothing:
The composite signal is dynamically smoothed using the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average, which adjusts faster to recent price changes - enhancing the indicator's responsiveness. It mimics the learning rate in neural networks - in this case for the output in a single layer approach - which controls how much new information influences the model, or in this case, our output.
Signal Processing:
The signal line also undergoes processing to adapt to the selected assets volatility. This step ensures the indicator’s flexibility across assets which exhibit different behaviors - similar to how a Neural Network adjusts to various data distributions.
Notes:
While the indicator synthesizes complex market information using methods inspired by neural networks, it is important to note that it does not engage in predictive modeling through the use of backpropagation. Instead, it applies methodologies of neural networks for real-time market analysis that is both dynamic and adaptable to changing market conditions.
Moon Phases + Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly & Yearly Breaks█ Moon Phases
From LuxAlgo description.
Trading moon phases has become quite popular among traders, believing that there exists a relationship between moon phases and market movements.
This strategy is based on an estimate of moon phases with the possibility to use different methods to determine long/short positions based on moon phases.
Note that we assume moon phases are perfectly periodic with a cycle of 29.530588853 days (which is not realistically the case), as such there exists a difference between the detected moon phases by the strategy and the ones you would see. This difference becomes less important when using higher timeframes.
█ Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly & Yearly Breaks
This indicator marks the start of the selected periods with a vertical line that help with identifying cycles.
It allows to enable or disable independently the daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and yearly session breaks.
This script is based on LuxAlgo and kaushi / icostan scripts.
Moon Phases Strategy
Year/Quarter/Month/Week/Day breaks
Month/week breaks
UCS_CycleThis indicator was designed to remove trend from price and make it easier to identify cycles.
Although this indicator has similarities to MACD. It is better used to identify the cycle of High and Lows based on the Statistical Data (Default is set to 25).
**** DO NOT USE THIS AS A MOMENTUM INDICATOR ****
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression BandsOverview
This indicator displays logarithmic regression bands for Bitcoin. Logarithmic regression is a statistical method used to model data where growth slows down over time. I initially created these bands in 2019 using a spreadsheet, and later coded them in TradingView in 2021. Over time, the bands proved effective at capturing Bitcoin's bull market peaks and bear market lows. In 2024, I decided to share this indicator because I believe these logarithmic regression bands offer the best fit for the Bitcoin chart.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression lines are fitted to the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). The two lines in the upper and lower bands share the same 'a' factor, but I adjust the 'b' factor by 0.2 to more accurately capture the bull market peaks and bear market lows. The formula for logaritmic regression is 10^((a * ln) - b).
How to Use the Logarithmic Regression Bands
1. Lower Band (Support Band):
The two lines in the lower band create a potential support area for Bitcoin’s price. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has always found its lows within this band during past market cycles. When the price is within the lower band, it suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and could be set for a rebound.
2. Upper Band (Resistance Band):
The two lines in the upper band create a potential resistance area for Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin has consistently reached its highs in this band during previous market cycles. If the price is within the upper band, it indicates that Bitcoin is overvalued, and a potential price correction may be imminent.
Use Cases
- Price Bottoming:
Bitcoin tends to bottom out at the lower band before entering a prolonged bull market or a period of sideways movement.
- Price Topping:
In reverse, Bitcoin tends to top out at the upper band before entering a bear market phase.
- Profitable Strategy:
Buying at the lower band and selling at the upper band can be a profitable trading strategy, as these bands often indicate key price levels for Bitcoin’s market cycles.
Altcoin Season Index - AdamThe "Altcoin Season Index" is a powerful tool for understanding market dynamics between Bitcoin and altcoins. This indicator helps traders identify whether the market is favoring Bitcoin or if it has shifted to favor altcoins. Understanding this can be crucial for making informed decisions about allocating your investments within the crypto market.
Overview of the Altcoin Season Index
The Altcoin Season Index calculates how well the top 10 altcoins are performing compared to Bitcoin over a given period. It helps traders determine if they are currently in an "Altcoin Season" or a "Bitcoin Season." The indicator gives a score from 0 to 100, representing the percentage of altcoins outperforming Bitcoin over a specific time window. When many altcoins are performing better than Bitcoin, it suggests a possible "Altcoin Season," whereas the opposite may indicate a period of Bitcoin dominance.
Key Features:
1. Top 10 Altcoin Performance Comparison: The indicator evaluates the performance of the top 10 altcoins compared to Bitcoin. It provides a clear view of how well altcoins are doing relative to the market leader, Bitcoin.
2. Customizable Performance Period: The period of analysis is adjustable, allowing users to set a specific timeframe, typically in days, to evaluate the relative performance of altcoins versus Bitcoin.
3. Dynamic Replacement of Altcoins: The indicator includes a feature to replace the last coin in the list, ensuring that the data stays relevant as market conditions change. For example, when a new altcoin enters the top 10 in terms of market cap, the indicator can replace an older coin that is falling out of the top ranks.
4. Threshold Indicators: The indicator uses predefined thresholds to determine and visualize whether it is an "Altcoin Season" or a "Bitcoin Season":
- A value above 75 indicates an Altcoin Season, suggesting that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin.
- A value below 25 suggests Bitcoin dominance, where Bitcoin is outperforming the majority of altcoins.
How the Indicator Works:
1. Performance Calculation: The indicator calculates the percentage change in price for each of the top 10 altcoins and Bitcoin over a given number of days. The comparison is made by looking at how much each asset's price has changed over the specified period.
2. Altcoin Season Calculation: The indicator counts the number of altcoins that have outperformed Bitcoin during the given period. The result is then expressed as a percentage, known as the Altcoin Season Index. If 8 out of 10 altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin, the index will be 80%, signaling a strong altcoin season.
3. Visual Representation: The indicator is visualized on a separate panel within TradingView, showing the Altcoin Season Index over time. Additionally, thresholds are marked on the chart, and background colors are applied to provide visual cues:
- Red Background: When the Altcoin Season Index is above 75, indicating a strong altcoin season.
- Blue Background: When the Altcoin Season Index is below 25, indicating Bitcoin dominance.
Practical Use:
- Identify Market Cycles: Traders can use this indicator to identify when the market is moving into or out of an altcoin season. This can help traders decide whether to rotate capital into altcoins or Bitcoin.
- Investment Strategy Adjustment: During altcoin seasons, altcoins tend to outperform Bitcoin. Traders might allocate more of their portfolio to promising altcoins. Conversely, during Bitcoin-dominant periods, shifting investments towards Bitcoin could provide more stability.
- Support Technical Analysis: This indicator complements other forms of technical analysis by providing macro-level insights about market direction and which asset classes might be favored.
Example Usage:
Imagine that the Altcoin Season Index is currently at 80%. This means that 8 of the top 10 altcoins have performed better than Bitcoin over the selected period. This strong altcoin performance suggests that the market has entered an "Altcoin Season." A trader observing this might consider reallocating funds towards altcoins to capitalize on the positive momentum.
Alternatively, if the index is at 20%, only 2 out of the top 10 altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin, indicating that Bitcoin is currently the stronger player. In this scenario, traders may choose to prioritize Bitcoin or maintain a more conservative portfolio allocation.
Note:
This indicator includes a feature to replace the bottom-ranked altcoin (typically a coin that falls out of the top 10) with a new altcoin when market conditions change. This ensures that the analysis remains relevant by focusing on the top-performing assets by market capitalization.
Conclusion:
The Altcoin Season Index is a helpful tool for understanding broader trends in the cryptocurrency market and making strategic investment decisions. By monitoring which assets are performing better, traders can adapt their strategies and make more informed choices, particularly during shifts in market sentiment.
Please leave your feedback or contributions if there are any inaccuracies in my indicator. Thank you!
GKD-C PA Adaptive Fisher Transform [Loxx]The Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C PA Adaptive Fisher Transform is a confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System."
█ GKD-C PA Adaptive Fisher Transform
Phase Accumulation Adaptive Fisher Transform is an adaptive Fisher Transform using a modified version of Ehlers Phase Accumulation Cycle Period. This version of Phase Accumulation Cylce Period accepts as inputs: 1) total number of cycles you wish to inject into the calculation, this works as a multiplier so the higher this number, the longer the period output; 2) filter is to change the alpha value of the final smother before returning the period output.
What is the Phase Accumulation Cycle?
The phase accumulation method of computing the dominant cycle is perhaps the easiest to comprehend. In this technique, we measure the phase at each sample by taking the arctangent of the ratio of the quadrature component to the in-phase component. A delta phase is generated by taking the difference of the phase between successive samples. At each sample we can then look backwards, adding up the delta phases.When the sum of the delta phases reaches 360 degrees, we must have passed through one full cycle, on average.The process is repeated for each new sample.
The phase accumulation method of cycle measurement always uses one full cycle’s worth of historical data.This is both an advantage and a disadvantage.The advantage is the lag in obtaining the answer scales directly with the cycle period.That is, the measurement of a short cycle period has less lag than the measurement of a longer cycle period. However, the number of samples used in making the measurement means the averaging period is variable with cycle period. longer averaging reduces the noise level compared to the signal.Therefore, shorter cycle periods necessarily have a higher out- put signal-to-noise ratio.
What is Fisher Transform?
The Fisher Transform is a technical indicator created by John F. Ehlers that converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
The indicator highlights when prices have moved to an extreme, based on recent prices. This may help in spotting turning points in the price of an asset. It also helps show the trend and isolate the price waves within a trend.
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
8. Metamorphosis - a technical indicator that produces a compound signal from the combination of other GKD indicators*
*(not part of the NNFX algorithm)
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, and the Average Directional Index (ADX).
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
What is an Metamorphosis indicator?
The concept of a metamorphosis indicator involves the integration of two or more GKD indicators to generate a compound signal. This is achieved by evaluating the accuracy of each indicator and selecting the signal from the indicator with the highest accuracy. As an illustration, let's consider a scenario where we calculate the accuracy of 10 indicators and choose the signal from the indicator that demonstrates the highest accuracy.
The resulting output from the metamorphosis indicator can then be utilized in a GKD-BT backtest by occupying a slot that aligns with the purpose of the metamorphosis indicator. The slot can be a GKD-B, GKD-C, or GKD-E slot, depending on the specific requirements and objectives of the indicator. This allows for seamless integration and utilization of the compound signal within the GKD-BT framework.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
6. GKD-M - Metamorphosis module (Metamorphosis, Number 8 in the NNFX algorithm, but not part of the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Multi-Ticker CC Backtest
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Advance Trend Pressure as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: uf2018
Continuation: Coppock Curve
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Metamorphosis: Baseline Optimizer
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, GKD-M, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
? Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2. Baseline agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Standard Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2a. Baseline agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
1-Candle Baseline Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
1a. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSVVC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Volatility/Volume agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
Confirmation 2 Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSC2C Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Confirmation 2 agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle
1b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
2b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, 1-Candle Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, 1-Candle Baseline Entry, Volatility/Volume Entry, 1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry, Confirmation 2 Entry, 1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry, or Pullback entry triggered previously
2. Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
4. Confirmation 1 agrees
5. Baseline agrees
6. Confirmation 2 agrees
APA-Adaptive, Ehlers Early Onset Trend [Loxx]APA-Adaptive, Ehlers Early Onset Trend is Ehlers Early Onset Trend but with Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm dominant cycle period input.
What is Ehlers Early Onset Trend?
The Onset Trend Detector study is a trend analyzing technical indicator developed by John F. Ehlers , based on a non-linear quotient transform. Two of Mr. Ehlers' previous studies, the Super Smoother Filter and the Roofing Filter, were used and expanded to create this new complex technical indicator. Being a trend-following analysis technique, its main purpose is to address the problem of lag that is common among moving average type indicators.
The Onset Trend Detector first applies the EhlersRoofingFilter to the input data in order to eliminate cyclic components with periods longer than, for example, 100 bars (default value, customizable via input parameters) as those are considered spectral dilation. Filtered data is then subjected to re-filtering by the Super Smoother Filter so that the noise (cyclic components with low length) is reduced to minimum. The period of 10 bars is a default maximum value for a wave cycle to be considered noise; it can be customized via input parameters as well. Once the data is cleared of both noise and spectral dilation, the filter processes it with the automatic gain control algorithm which is widely used in digital signal processing. This algorithm registers the most recent peak value and normalizes it; the normalized value slowly decays until the next peak swing. The ratio of previously filtered value to the corresponding peak value is then quotiently transformed to provide the resulting oscillator. The quotient transform is controlled by the K coefficient: its allowed values are in the range from -1 to +1. K values close to 1 leave the ratio almost untouched, those close to -1 will translate it to around the additive inverse, and those close to zero will collapse small values of the ratio while keeping the higher values high.
Indicator values around 1 signify uptrend and those around -1, downtrend.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Adaptive Look-back/Volatility Phase Change Index on Jurik [Loxx]Adaptive Look-back, Adaptive Volatility Phase Change Index on Jurik is a Phase Change Index but with adaptive length and volatility inputs to reduce phase change noise and better identify trends. This is an invese indicator which means that small values on the oscillator indicate bullish sentiment and higher values on the oscillator indicate bearish sentiment
What is the Phase Change Index?
Based on the M.H. Pee's TASC article "Phase Change Index".
Prices at any time can be up, down, or unchanged. A period where market prices remain relatively unchanged is referred to as a consolidation. A period that witnesses relatively higher prices is referred to as an uptrend, while a period of relatively lower prices is called a downtrend.
The Phase Change Index (PCI) is an indicator designed specifically to detect changes in market phases.
This indicator is made as he describes it with one deviation: if we follow his formula to the letter then the "trend" is inverted to the actual market trend. Because of that an option to display inverted (and more logical) values is added.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers, 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average (VIDYA) adapt to changes in volatility. By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic, relative strength index (RSI), commodity channel index (CCI), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
-Your choice of length input calculation, either fixed or adaptive cycle
-Invert the signal to match the trend
-Bar coloring to paint the trend
Happy trading!
Global M2 YoY % Increase signalThe script produces a signal each time the global M2 increases more than 2.5%. This usually coincides with bitcoin prices pumps, except when it is late in the business cycle or the bitcoin price / halving cycle.
It leverages dylanleclair Global M2 YoY % change, with several modifications:
adding a 10 week lead at the YoY Change plot for better visibility, so that the bitcoin pump moreless coincides with the YoY change.
signal increases > 2.5 in Global M2 at the point at which they occur with a green triangle up.
