Bollinger Bands Fibonacci Ratios StrategyHello, everyone!
We have just released an innovative strategy for TradingView. It allows you to identify price pivot points and volatility.
This strategy is:
User-friendly
Configurable
Equipped with Bollinger Bands and smoothed ATR to measure volatility
Features
Thanks to the BB Fibo strategy, you can:
Trade stocks and commodities.
Identify price pivot points.
Choose any band for trading Long or Short positions.
Swap upper and lower bands applying Use Reverse Buy/Sell parameters.
Note! The upper bands are for the Long position. The lower bands are for the Short positions.
Parameters
We have equipped our strategy with more than 14 additional parameters. So, you can configure the EA according to your needs!
Inputs:
Length
Source: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4
Offset
Fibonacci Ratio 1 — a Fibonacci factor for the 1st upper and lower indicator lines calculating.
Fibonacci Ratio 2 — a Fibonacci factor for the 2nd upper and lower indicator lines calculating.
Fibonacci Ratio 3 — a Fibonacci factor for the 3d upper and lower indicator lines calculating.
Use Reverse Buy — the strategy will use lower Bollinger bands instead of upper ones.
Fibonacci Buy — band selection for opening Long positions conditions.
Use Reverse Sell — the strategy will use upper Bollinger bands instead of lower ones.
Fibonacci Sell — band selection for opening Short positions conditions.
Style:
Basis — baseline color and style settings.
Upper 3 — the 3d upper line color and style.
Upper 2 — the 2nd upper line color and style.
Upper 1 — the 1st upper line color and style.
Lower 1 — the 1st lower line color and style.
Lower 2 — the 2nd lower line color and style.
Lower 3 — the 3d upper line color and style.
Background — the background color within the 3d upper and 3d lower indicator band.
Precision — the number of decimals for BB Fibo values.
Note! Try BB Fibo on your demo account first before going live.
在腳本中搜尋"Volatility"
Chandelier ExitChandelier Exit (CE) is a volatility-based indicator developed by "Chuck Le Beau", ATR is used to measure the Volatility.
It identifies stop loss exit points for long and short trading positions.
Configuring the ATR period = 1 and Multiplier = (say) 1.25 or 1.5, it can be used for readily available buffer Stop Loss value from previous high/low.
Futures Beta Overview with Different BenchmarksBeta Trading and Its Implementation with Futures
Understanding Beta
Beta is a measure of a security's volatility in relation to the overall market. It represents the sensitivity of the asset's returns to movements in the market, typically benchmarked against an index like the S&P 500. A beta of 1 indicates that the asset moves in line with the market, while a beta greater than 1 suggests higher volatility and potential risk, and a beta less than 1 indicates lower volatility.
The Beta Trading Strategy
Beta trading involves creating positions that exploit the discrepancies between the theoretical (or expected) beta of an asset and its actual market performance. The strategy often includes:
Long Positions on High Beta Assets: Investors might take long positions in assets with high beta when they expect market conditions to improve, as these assets have the potential to generate higher returns.
Short Positions on Low Beta Assets: Conversely, shorting low beta assets can be a strategy when the market is expected to decline, as these assets tend to perform better in down markets compared to high beta assets.
Betting Against (Bad) Beta
The paper "Betting Against Beta" by Frazzini and Pedersen (2014) provides insights into a trading strategy that involves betting against high beta stocks in favor of low beta stocks. The authors argue that high beta stocks do not provide the expected return premium over time, and that low beta stocks can yield higher risk-adjusted returns.
Key Points from the Paper:
Risk Premium: The authors assert that investors irrationally demand a higher risk premium for holding high beta stocks, leading to an overpricing of these assets. Conversely, low beta stocks are often undervalued.
Empirical Evidence: The paper presents empirical evidence showing that portfolios of low beta stocks outperform portfolios of high beta stocks over long periods. The performance difference is attributed to the irrational behavior of investors who overvalue riskier assets.
Market Conditions: The paper suggests that the underperformance of high beta stocks is particularly pronounced during market downturns, making low beta stocks a more attractive investment during volatile periods.
Implementation of the Strategy with Futures
Futures contracts can be used to implement the betting against beta strategy due to their ability to provide leveraged exposure to various asset classes. Here’s how the strategy can be executed using futures:
Identify High and Low Beta Futures: The first step involves identifying futures contracts that have high beta characteristics (more sensitive to market movements) and those with low beta characteristics (less sensitive). For example, commodity futures like crude oil or agricultural products might exhibit high beta due to their price volatility, while Treasury bond futures might show lower beta.
Construct a Portfolio: Investors can construct a portfolio that goes long on low beta futures and short on high beta futures. This can involve trading contracts on stock indices for high beta stocks and bonds for low beta exposures.
Leverage and Risk Management: Futures allow for leverage, which means that a small movement in the underlying asset can lead to significant gains or losses. Proper risk management is essential, using stop-loss orders and position sizing to mitigate the inherent risks associated with leveraged trading.
Adjusting Positions: The positions may need to be adjusted based on market conditions and the ongoing performance of the futures contracts. Continuous monitoring and rebalancing of the portfolio are essential to maintain the desired risk profile.
Performance Evaluation: Finally, investors should regularly evaluate the performance of the portfolio to ensure it aligns with the expected outcomes of the betting against beta strategy. Metrics like the Sharpe ratio can be used to assess the risk-adjusted returns of the portfolio.
Conclusion
Beta trading, particularly the strategy of betting against high beta assets, presents a compelling approach to capitalizing on market inefficiencies. The research by Frazzini and Pedersen emphasizes the benefits of focusing on low beta assets, which can yield more favorable risk-adjusted returns over time. When implemented using futures, this strategy can provide a flexible and efficient means to execute trades while managing risks effectively.
References
Frazzini, A., & Pedersen, L. H. (2014). Betting against beta. Journal of Financial Economics, 111(1), 1-25.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427-465.
Black, F. (1972). Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing. Journal of Business, 45(3), 444-454.
Ang, A., & Chen, J. (2010). Asymmetric volatility: Evidence from the stock and bond markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 99(1), 60-80.
By utilizing the insights from academic literature and implementing a disciplined trading strategy, investors can effectively navigate the complexities of beta trading in the futures market.
Average True Range with EMAIncreasing and decreasing volatility in respect to ATR crossing an ema of ATR.
Ema acts as a proxy for look-back period as per Historical Volatility Percentile.
ATR is a proxy for Volatility as per standard deviation.
Divergence below ema means low volatility: the more divergence, the lower.
Divergence above the ema means high volatility.
VoVix DEVMA🌌 VoVix DEVMA: A Deep Dive into Second-Order Volatility Dynamics
Welcome to VoVix+, a sophisticated trading framework that transcends traditional price analysis. This is not merely another indicator; it is a complete system designed to dissect and interpret the very fabric of market volatility. VoVix+ operates on the principle that the most powerful signals are not found in price alone, but in the behavior of volatility itself. It analyzes the rate of change, the momentum, and the structure of market volatility to identify periods of expansion and contraction, providing a unique edge in anticipating major market moves.
This document will serve as your comprehensive guide, breaking down every mathematical component, every user input, and every visual element to empower you with a profound understanding of how to harness its capabilities.
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: THE MATHEMATICS OF MARKET DYNAMICS
VoVix+ is built upon a multi-layered mathematical engine designed to measure what we call "second-order volatility." While standard indicators analyze price, and first-order volatility indicators (like ATR) analyze the range of price, VoVix+ analyzes the dynamics of the volatility itself. This provides insight into the market's underlying state of stability or chaos.
1. The VoVix Score: Measuring Volatility Thrust
The core of the system begins with the VoVix Score. This is a normalized measure of volatility acceleration or deceleration.
Mathematical Formula:
VoVix Score = (ATR(fast) - ATR(slow)) / (StDev(ATR(fast)) + ε)
Where:
ATR(fast) is the Average True Range over a short period, representing current, immediate volatility.
ATR(slow) is the Average True Range over a longer period, representing the baseline or established volatility.
StDev(ATR(fast)) is the Standard Deviation of the fast ATR, which measures the "noisiness" or consistency of recent volatility.
ε (epsilon) is a very small number to prevent division by zero.
Market Implementation:
Positive Score (Expansion): When the fast ATR is significantly higher than the slow ATR, it indicates a rapid increase in volatility. The market is "stretching" or expanding.
Negative Score (Contraction): When the fast ATR falls below the slow ATR, it indicates a decrease in volatility. The market is "coiling" or contracting.
Normalization: By dividing by the standard deviation, we normalize the score. This turns it into a standardized measure, allowing us to compare volatility thrust across different market conditions and timeframes. A score of 2.0 in a quiet market means the same, relatively, as a score of 2.0 in a volatile market.
2. Deviation Analysis (DEV): Gauging Volatility's Own Volatility
The script then takes the analysis a step further. It calculates the standard deviation of the VoVix Score itself.
Mathematical Formula:
DEV = StDev(VoVix Score, lookback_period)
Market Implementation:
This DEV value represents the magnitude of chaos or stability in the market's volatility dynamics. A high DEV value means the volatility thrust is erratic and unpredictable. A low DEV value suggests the change in volatility is smooth and directional.
3. The DEVMA Crossover: Identifying Regime Shifts
This is the primary signal generator. We take two moving averages of the DEV value.
Mathematical Formula:
fastDEVMA = SMA(DEV, fast_period)
slowDEVMA = SMA(DEV, slow_period)
The Core Signal:
The strategy triggers on the crossover and crossunder of these two DEVMA lines. This is a profound concept: we are not looking at a moving average of price or even of volatility, but a moving average of the standard deviation of the normalized rate of change of volatility.
Bullish Crossover (fastDEVMA > slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is increasing relative to the long-term measure. This often precedes a significant market expansion and is interpreted as a bullish volatility regime.
Bearish Crossunder (fastDEVMA < slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is decreasing. The market is settling down or contracting, often leading to trending moves or range consolidation.
⚙️ INPUTS MENU: CONFIGURING YOUR ANALYSIS ENGINE
Every input has been meticulously designed to give you full control over the strategy's behavior. Understanding these settings is key to adapting VoVix+ to your specific instrument, timeframe, and trading style.
🌀 VoVix DEVMA Configuration
🧬 Deviation Lookback: This sets the lookback period for calculating the DEV value. It defines the window for measuring the stability of the VoVix Score. A shorter value makes the system highly reactive to recent changes in volatility's character, ideal for scalping. A longer value provides a smoother, more stable reading, better for identifying major, long-term regime shifts.
⚡ Fast VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the fastDEVMA. It represents the short-term trend of volatility's chaos. A smaller number will result in a faster, more sensitive signal line that reacts quickly to market shifts.
🐌 Slow VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the slowDEVMA. It represents the long-term, baseline trend of volatility's chaos. A larger number creates a more stable, slower-moving anchor against which the fast line is compared.
How to Optimize: The relationship between the Fast and Slow lengths is crucial. A wider gap (e.g., 20 and 60) will result in fewer, but potentially more significant, signals. A narrower gap (e.g., 25 and 40) will generate more frequent signals, suitable for more active trading styles.
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence
🧠 Enable Adaptive Features: When enabled, this activates the strategy's performance tracking module. The script will analyze the outcome of its last 50 trades to calculate a dynamic win rate.
⏰ Adaptive Time-Based Exit: If Enable Adaptive Features is on, this allows the strategy to adjust its Maximum Bars in Trade setting based on performance. It learns from the average duration of winning trades. If winning trades tend to be short, it may shorten the time exit to lock in profits. If winners tend to run, it will extend the time exit, allowing trades more room to develop. This helps prevent the strategy from cutting winning trades short or holding losing trades for too long.
⚡ Intelligent Execution
📊 Trade Quantity: A straightforward input that defines the number of contracts or shares for each trade. This is a fixed value for consistent position sizing.
🛡️ Smart Stop Loss: Enables the dynamic stop-loss mechanism.
🎯 Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: Determines the distance of the stop loss from the entry price, calculated as a multiple of the current 14-period ATR. A higher multiplier gives the trade more room to breathe but increases risk per trade. A lower multiplier creates a tighter stop, reducing risk but increasing the chance of being stopped out by normal market noise.
💰 Take Profit ATR Multiplier: Sets the take profit target, also as a multiple of the ATR. A common practice is to set this higher than the Stop Loss multiplier (e.g., a 2:1 or 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
🏃 Use Trailing Stop: This is a powerful feature for trend-following. When enabled, instead of a fixed stop loss, the stop will trail behind the price as the trade moves into profit, helping to lock in gains while letting winners run.
🎯 Trail Points & 📏 Trail Offset ATR Multipliers: These control the trailing stop's behavior. Trail Points defines how much profit is needed before the trail activates. Trail Offset defines how far the stop will trail behind the current price. Both are based on ATR, making them fully adaptive to market volatility.
⏰ Maximum Bars in Trade: This is a time-based stop. It forces an exit if a trade has been open for a specified number of bars, preventing positions from being held indefinitely in stagnant markets.
⏰ Session Management
These inputs allow you to confine the strategy's trading activity to specific market hours, which is crucial for day trading instruments that have defined high-volume sessions (e.g., stock market open).
🎨 Visual Effects & Dashboard
These toggles give you complete control over the on-chart visuals and the dashboard. You can disable any element to declutter your chart or focus only on the information that matters most to you.
📊 THE DASHBOARD: YOUR AT-A-GLANCE COMMAND CENTER
The dashboard centralizes all critical information into one compact, easy-to-read panel. It provides a real-time summary of the market state and strategy performance.
🎯 VOVIX ANALYSIS
Fast & Slow: Displays the current numerical values of the fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA. The color indicates their direction: green for rising, red for falling. This lets you see the underlying momentum of each line.
Regime: This is your most important environmental cue. It tells you the market's current state based on the DEVMA relationship. 🚀 EXPANSION (Green) signifies a bullish volatility regime where explosive moves are more likely. ⚛️ CONTRACTION (Purple) signifies a bearish volatility regime, where the market may be consolidating or entering a smoother trend.
Quality: Measures the strength of the last signal based on the magnitude of the DEVMA difference. An ELITE or STRONG signal indicates a high-conviction setup where the crossover had significant force.
PERFORMANCE
Win Rate & Trades: Displays the historical win rate of the strategy from the backtest, along with the total number of closed trades. This provides immediate feedback on the strategy's historical effectiveness on the current chart.
EXECUTION
Trade Qty: Shows your configured position size per trade.
Session: Indicates whether trading is currently OPEN (allowed) or CLOSED based on your session management settings.
POSITION
Position & PnL: Displays your current position (LONG, SHORT, or FLAT) and the real-time Profit or Loss of the open trade.
🧠 ADAPTIVE STATUS
Stop/Profit Mult: In this simplified version, these are placeholders. The primary adaptive feature currently modifies the time-based exit, which is reflected in how long trades are held on the chart.
🎨 THE VISUAL UNIVERSE: DECIPHERING MARKET GEOMETRY
The visuals are not mere decorations; they are geometric representations of the underlying mathematical concepts, designed to give you an intuitive feel for the market's state.
The Core Lines:
FastDEVMA (Green/Maroon Line): The primary signal line. Green when rising, indicating an increase in short-term volatility chaos. Maroon when falling.
SlowDEVMA (Aqua/Orange Line): The baseline. Aqua when rising, indicating a long-term increase in volatility chaos. Orange when falling.
🌊 Morphism Flow (Flowing Lines with Circles):
What it represents: This visualizes the momentum and strength of the fastDEVMA. The width and intensity of the "beam" are proportional to the signal strength.
Interpretation: A thick, steep, and vibrant flow indicates powerful, committed momentum in the current volatility regime. The floating '●' particles represent kinetic energy; more particles suggest stronger underlying force.
📐 Homotopy Paths (Layered Transparent Boxes):
What it represents: These layered boxes are centered between the two DEVMA lines. Their height is determined by the DEV value.
Interpretation: This visualizes the overall "volatility of volatility." Wider boxes indicate a chaotic, unpredictable market. Narrower boxes suggest a more stable, predictable environment.
🧠 Consciousness Field (The Grid):
What it represents: This grid provides a historical lookback at the DEV range.
Interpretation: It maps the recent "consciousness" or character of the market's volatility. A consistently wide grid suggests a prolonged period of chaos, while a narrowing grid can signal a transition to a more stable state.
📏 Functorial Levels (Projected Horizontal Lines):
What it represents: These lines extend from the current fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA values into the future.
Interpretation: Think of these as dynamic support and resistance levels for the volatility structure itself. A crossover becomes more significant if it breaks cleanly through a prior established level.
🌊 Flow Boxes (Spaced Out Boxes):
What it represents: These are compact visual footprints of the current regime, colored green for Expansion and red for Contraction.
Interpretation: They provide a quick, at-a-glance confirmation of the dominant volatility flow, reinforcing the background color.
Background Color:
This provides an immediate, unmistakable indication of the current volatility regime. Light Green for Expansion and Light Aqua/Blue for Contraction, allowing you to assess the market environment in a split second.
📊 BACKTESTING PERFORMANCE REVIEW & ANALYSIS
The following is a factual, transparent review of a backtest conducted using the strategy's default settings on a specific instrument and timeframe. This information is presented for educational purposes to demonstrate how the strategy's mechanics performed over a historical period. It is crucial to understand that these results are historical, apply only to the specific conditions of this test, and are not a guarantee or promise of future performance. Market conditions are dynamic and constantly change.
Test Parameters & Conditions
To ensure the backtest reflects a degree of real-world conditions, the following parameters were used. The goal is to provide a transparent baseline, not an over-optimized or unrealistic scenario.
Instrument: CME E-mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 5-Minute Chart
Backtesting Range: March 24, 2024, to July 09, 2024
Initial Capital: $100,000
Commission: $0.62 per contract (A realistic cost for futures trading).
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade (A conservative setting to account for potential price discrepancies between order placement and execution).
Trade Size: 1 contract per trade.
Performance Overview (Historical Data)
The test period generated 465 total trades , providing a statistically significant sample size for analysis, which is well above the recommended minimum of 100 trades for a strategy evaluation.
Profit Factor: The historical Profit Factor was 2.663 . This metric represents the gross profit divided by the gross loss. In this test, it indicates that for every dollar lost, $2.663 was gained.
Percent Profitable: Across all 465 trades, the strategy had a historical win rate of 84.09% . While a high figure, this is a historical artifact of this specific data set and settings, and should not be the sole basis for future expectations.
Risk & Trade Characteristics
Beyond the headline numbers, the following metrics provide deeper insight into the strategy's historical behavior.
Sortino Ratio (Downside Risk): The Sortino Ratio was 6.828 . Unlike the Sharpe Ratio, this metric only measures the volatility of negative returns. A higher value, such as this one, suggests that during this test period, the strategy was highly efficient at managing downside volatility and large losing trades relative to the profits it generated.
Average Trade Duration: A critical characteristic to understand is the strategy's holding period. With an average of only 2 bars per trade , this configuration operates as a very short-term, or scalping-style, system. Winning trades averaged 2 bars, while losing trades averaged 4 bars. This indicates the strategy's logic is designed to capture quick, high-probability moves and exit rapidly, either at a profit target or a stop loss.
Conclusion and Final Disclaimer
This backtest demonstrates one specific application of the VoVix+ framework. It highlights the strategy's behavior as a short-term system that, in this historical test on NQ1!, exhibited a high win rate and effective management of downside risk. Users are strongly encouraged to conduct their own backtests on different instruments, timeframes, and date ranges to understand how the strategy adapts to varying market structures. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all trading involves significant risk.
🔧 THE DEVELOPMENT PHILOSOPHY: FROM VOLATILITY TO CLARITY
The journey to create VoVix+ began with a simple question: "What drives major market moves?" The answer is often not a change in price direction, but a fundamental shift in market volatility. Standard indicators are reactive to price. We wanted to create a system that was predictive of market state. VoVix+ was designed to go one level deeper—to analyze the behavior, character, and momentum of volatility itself.
The challenge was twofold. First, to create a robust mathematical model to quantify these abstract concepts. This led to the multi-layered analysis of ATR differentials and standard deviations. Second, to make this complex data intuitive and actionable. This drove the creation of the "Visual Universe," where abstract mathematical values are translated into geometric shapes, flows, and fields. The adaptive system was intentionally kept simple and transparent, focusing on a single, impactful parameter (time-based exits) to provide performance feedback without becoming an inscrutable "black box." The result is a tool that is both profoundly deep in its analysis and remarkably clear in its presentation.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER AND BEST PRACTICES
VoVix+ is an advanced analytical tool, not a guarantee of future profits. All financial markets carry inherent risk. The backtesting results shown by the strategy are historical and do not guarantee future performance. This strategy incorporates realistic commission and slippage settings by default, but market conditions can vary. Always practice sound risk management, use position sizes appropriate for your account equity, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. It is recommended to use this strategy as part of a comprehensive trading plan. This was developed specifically for Futures
"The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite view. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis."
— George Soros
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Ultimate Moving Average Bands [CC+RedK]The Ultimate Moving Average Bands were created by me and @RedKTrader and this converts our Ultimate Moving Average into volatility bands that use the same adaptive logic to create the bands. I have enabled everything to be fully adjustable so please let me know if you find a more useful setting than what I have here by default. I'm sure everyone is familiar with volatility bands but generally speaking if a price goes above the volatility bands then this is either a sign of an extremely strong uptrend or a potential reversal point and vice versa. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so darker colors are strong signals and lighter colors are normal ones. Buy when the lines turn green and sell when they turn red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Volatility MeterThis is my third published indicator; its simple, but don't underestimate it. As the name suggests, it measures volatility. Specifically, it measures this through the incremental difference in closing prices. It then uses an SMA to smooth out the indicator's values, this will allow the trader to see the trend in volatility: Is it increasing? decreasing? etc.
If you have any thoughts or ideas about changing the indicator, let me know.
-racer8
rv_iv_vrpThis script provides realized volatility (rv), implied volatility (iv), and volatility risk premium (vrp) information for each of CBOE's volatility indices. The individual outputs are:
- Blue/red line: the realized volatility. This is an annualized, 20-period moving average estimate of realized volatility--in other words, the variability in the instrument's actual returns. The line is blue when realized volatility is below implied volatility, red otherwise.
- Fuchsia line (opaque): the median of realized volatility. The median is based on all data between the "start" and "end" dates.
- Gray line (transparent): the implied volatility (iv). According to CBOE's volatility methodology, this is similar to a weighted average of out-of-the-money ivs for options with approximately 30 calendar days to expiration. Notice that we compare rv20 to iv30 because there are about twenty trading periods in thirty calendar days.
- Fuchsia line (transparent): the median of implied volatility.
- Lightly shaded gray background: the background between "start" and "end" is shaded a very light gray.
- Table: the table shows the current, percentile, and median values for iv, rv, and vrp. Percentile means the value is greater than "N" percent of all values for that measure.
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Volatility risk premium (vrp) is simply the difference between implied and realized volatility. Along with implied and realized volatility, traders interpret this measure in various ways. Some prefer to be buying options when there volatility, implied or realized, reaches absolute levels, or low risk premium, whereas others have the opposite opinion. However, all volatility traders like to look at these measures in relation to their past values, which this script assists with.
By the way, this script is similar to my "vol premia," which provides the vrp data for all of these instruments on one page. However, this script loads faster and lets you see historical data. I recommend viewing the indicator and the corresponding instrument at the same time, to see how volatility reacts to changes in the underlying price.
ER-Adaptive ATR, STD-Adaptive Damiani Volatmeter [Loxx]ER-Adaptive ATR, STD-Adaptive Damiani Volatmeter is a Damiani Volatmeter with both Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR, used in place of ATR, and Adaptive Deviation, used in place of Standard Deviation.
What is Adaptive Deviation?
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma σ or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility .
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA , we can call it EMA deviation. And added to that, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
The green line is the Adaptive Deviation, the white line is regular Standard Deviation. This concept will be used in future indicators to further reduce noise and adapt to price volatility .
See here for a comparison between Adaptive Deviation and Standard Deviation
What is Efficiency Ratio Adaptive ATR?
Average True Range (ATR) is widely used indicator in many occasions for technical analysis . It is calculated as the RMA of true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range
See here for a comparison between Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR, and ATR.
What is the Damiani Volatmeter?
Damiani Volatmeter uses ATR and Standard deviation to tease out ticker volatility so you can better understand when it's the ideal time to trade. The idea here is that you only take trades when volatility is high so this indicator is to be coupled with various other indicators to validate the other indicator's signals. This is also useful for detecting crabbing and chopping markets.
Shoutout to user @xinolia for the DV function used here.
Anything red means that volatility is low. Remember volatility doesn't have a direction. Anything green means volatility high despite the direction of price. The core signal line here is the green and red line that dips below two while threshold lines to "recharge". Maximum recharge happen when the core signal line shows a yellow ping. Soon after one or many yellow pings you should expect a massive upthrust of volatility . The idea here is you don't trade unless volatility is rising or green. This means that the Volatmeter has to dip into the recharge zone, recharge and then spike upward. You can also attempt to buy or sell reversals with confluence indicators when volatility is in the recharge zone, but I wouldn't recommend this. However, if you so choose to do this, then use the following indicator for confluence.
And last reminder, volatility doesn't have a direction! Red doesn't mean short, and green doesn't mean long, Red means don't trade period regardless of direction long/short, and green means trade no matter the direction long/short. This means you'll have to add an indicator that does show direction such as a mean reversion indicator like Fisher Transform or a Gaussian Filter. You can search my public scripts for various Fisher Transform and Gaussian Filter indicators.
Price-Filtered Spearman Rank Correl. w/ Floating Levels is considered the Mercedes Benz of reversal indicators
Comparison between this indicator, ER-Adaptive ATR, STD-Adaptive Damiani Volatmeter , and the regular Damiani Volatmeter . Notice that the adaptive version catches more volatility than the regular version.
How signals work
RV = Rising Volatility
VD = Volatility Dump
Plots
White line is signal
Thick red/green line is the Volatmeter line
The dotted lower lines are the zero line and minimum recharging line
Included
Bar coloring
Alerts
Signals
Related indicators
Variety Moving Average Waddah Attar Explosion (WAE)
Damiani Volatmeter
Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend [QuantAlgo]Introducing the Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend by QuantAlgo 📈💫
Take your trading and investing strategies to the next level with the Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend , a dynamic tool designed to adapt to market volatility and provide clear, actionable trend signals. This innovative indicator is ideal for both traders and investors looking for a more responsive approach to market trends, helping you capture potential shifts with greater precision.
🌟 Key Features:
🛠 Customizable Trend Settings: Adjust the period for trend calculation and fine-tune the sensitivity to price movements. This flexibility allows you to tailor the Supertrend to your unique trading or investing strategy, whether you're focusing on shorter or longer timeframes.
📊 Volatility-Responsive Multiplier: The Supertrend dynamically adjusts its sensitivity based on real-time market volatility. This could help filter out noise in calmer markets and provide more accurate signals during periods of heightened volatility.
✨ Trend-Based Color-Coding: Visualize bullish and bearish trends with ease. The indicator paints candles and plots trend lines with distinct colors based on the current market direction, offering quick, clear insights into potential opportunities.
🔔 Custom Alerts: Set up alerts for key trend shifts to ensure you're notified of significant market changes. These alerts would allow you to act swiftly, potentially capturing opportunities without needing to constantly monitor the charts.
📈 How to Use:
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend to your chart. Customize the trend period, volatility settings, and price source to match your trading or investing style. This ensures the indicator aligns with your market strategy.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts: Watch the color-coded trend lines and candles as they dynamically shift based on real-time market conditions. These visual cues help you spot potential trend reversals and confirm your entries and exits with greater confidence.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for key trend shifts, allowing you to stay informed of potential market reversals or continuation patterns, even when you're not actively watching the market.
⚙️ How It Works:
The Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend is designed to adapt to changes in market conditions, making it highly responsive to price volatility. The indicator calculates a trend line based on price and volatility, dynamically adjusting it to reflect recent market behavior. When the market experiences higher volatility, the trend line becomes more flexible, potentially allowing for greater sensitivity to rapid price movements. Conversely, during periods of low volatility, the indicator tightens its range, helping to reduce noise and avoid false signals.
The indicator includes a volatility-responsive multiplier, which further enhances its adaptability to market conditions. This means the trend direction would always be based on the latest market data, potentially helping you stay ahead of shifts or continuation trends. The Supertrend's visual color-coding simplifies the process of identifying bullish or bearish trends, while customizable alerts ensure you can stay on top of significant changes in market direction.
This tool is versatile and could be applied across various markets and timeframes, making it a valuable addition for both traders and investors. Whether you’re trading in fast-moving markets or focusing on longer-term investments, the Volatility-Adjusted DEMA Supertrend could help you remain aligned with the current market environment.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is designed to enhance your analysis by providing trend information, but it should not be used as the sole basis for making trading or investing decisions. Always combine it with other forms of analysis and risk management practices. No statements or claims aim to be financial advice, and no signals from us or our indicators should be interpreted as such. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
VIX Percentile Rank HistogramVIX Percentile Rank Histogram
The VIX Percentile Rank Histogram provides a visual representation of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) percentile rank over a customizable lookback period, helping traders gauge market sentiment and make informed trading decisions.
Overview:
This indicator calculates the percentile rank of the VIX over a specified lookback period and displays it as a histogram. The histogram helps traders understand whether the current VIX level is relatively high or low compared to its recent history. This information is particularly useful for timing entries and exits in the S&P 500 or related ETFs and Mega Caps.
How It Works:
VIX Data Integration: The script fetches daily VIX close prices, regardless of the chart you are viewing, to analyze market volatility.
Percentile Rank Calculation: The indicator calculates the rank percentile of the VIX over the chosen lookback period.
Histogram Visualization: The histogram plots the difference between the flipped VIX percentile rank and 50, showing green bars for ranks below 50 (indicating lower market volatility) and red bars for ranks above 50 (indicating higher market volatility).
Usage:
This indicator is most effective when trading the S&P 500 (SPX, SPY, ES1!) or ETFs and Mega Caps that closely follow the S&P 500. It provides insight into market sentiment, helping traders make more informed decisions.
Timing Entries and Exits: Green histogram readings suggest it's a good time to enter or hold long positions, while red readings suggest considering exits or short positions.
Market Sentiment: A high VIX percentile rank (red bars) indicates market fear and uncertainty, while a low percentile rank (green bars) suggests investor confidence and reduced volatility.
Key Features:
Customizable Lookback Period: The default lookback period is set to 20 days, but can be adjusted based on the trader's average trade duration. For example, if your trades typically last 20 days, a 20-day lookback period helps contextualize the VIX level relative to its recent history.
Histogram Visualization: The histogram provides a clear visual representation of market volatility.
Green Bars: Indicate a lower-than-median VIX percentile rank, suggesting reduced market volatility.
Red Bars: Indicate a higher-than-median VIX percentile rank, suggesting increased market volatility.
Threshold Line: A dashed gray line at the 0 level serves as a visual reference for the median VIX rank.
Important Note:
This indicator always shows readings from the VIX, regardless of the chart you are viewing. For example, if you are looking at Natural Gas futures, this indicator will provide no relevant data. It works best when trading the S&P 500 or related ETFs and Mega Caps.
Ehlers AM Detector [CC]The AM Detector was created by John Ehlers (Stocks and Commodities May 2021 pg 14) and this is his first volatility indicator I believe. Since this is a more informational indicator rather than a buy or sell signal generator, I have included buy and sell signals for a simple moving average but feel free to use this in combo with any other system you use. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
Gaussian Smooth Trend | QuantEdgeB🧠 Introducing Gaussian Smooth Trend (GST) by QuantEdgeB
🛠️ Overview
Gaussian Smooth Trend (GST) is an advanced volatility-filtered trend-following system that blends multiple smoothing techniques into a single directional bias tool. It is purpose-built to reduce noise, isolate meaningful price shifts, and deliver early trend detection while dynamically adapting to market volatility.
GST leverages the Gaussian filter as its core engine, wrapped in a layered framework of DEMA smoothing, SMMA signal tracking, and standard deviation-based breakout thresholds, producing a powerful toolset for trend confirmation and momentum-based decision-making.
🔍 How It Works
1️⃣ DEMA Smoothing Engine
The indicator begins by calculating a Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), which provides a responsive and noise-resistant base input for subsequent filtering.
2️⃣ Gaussian Filter
A custom Gaussian kernel is applied to the DEMA signal, allowing the system to detect smooth momentum shifts while filtering out short-term volatility.
This is especially powerful during low-volume or sideways markets where traditional MAs struggle.
3️⃣ SMMA Layer with Z-Filtering
The filtered Gaussian signal is then passed through a custom Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA). A standard deviation envelope is constructed around this SMMA, dynamically expanding/contracting based on market volatility.
4️⃣ Signal Generation
• ✅ Long Signal: Price closes above Upper SD Band
• ❌ Short Signal: Price closes below Lower SD Band
• ➖ No trade: Price stays within the band → market indecision
✨ Key Features
🔹 Multi-Stage Trend Detection
Combines DEMA → Gaussian Kernel → SMMA → SD Bands for robust signal integrity across market conditions.
🔹 Gaussian Adaptive Filtering
Applies a tunable sigma parameter for the Gaussian kernel, enabling you to fine-tune smoothness vs. responsiveness.
🔹 Volatility-Aware Trend Zones
Price must close outside of dynamic SD envelopes to trigger signals — reducing whipsaws and increasing signal quality.
🔹 Dynamic Color-Coded Visualization
Candle coloring and band fills reflect live trend state, making the chart intuitive and fast to read.
⚙️ Custom Settings
• DEMA Source: Price stream used for smoothing (default: close)
• DEMA Length: Period for initial exponential smoothing (default: 7)
• Gaussian Length / Sigma: Controls smoothing strength of kernel filter
• SMMA Length: Final smoothing layer (default: 12)
• SD Length: Lookback period for standard deviation filtering (default: 30)
• SD Mult Up / Down: Adjusts distance of upper/lower breakout zones (default: 2.5 / 1.8)
• Color Modes: Six distinct color palettes (e.g., Strategy, Warm, Cool)
• Signal Labels: Toggle on/off entry markers ("𝓛𝓸𝓷𝓰", "𝓢𝓱𝓸𝓻𝓽")
📌 Trading Applications
✅ Trend-Following → Enter on confirmed breakouts from Gaussian-smoothed volatility zones
✅ Breakout Validation → Use SD bands to avoid false breakouts during chop
✅ Volatility Compression Monitoring → Narrowing bands often precede large directional moves
✅ Overlay-Based Confirmation → Can complement other QuantEdgeB indicators like K-DMI, BMD, or Z-SMMA
📌 Conclusion
Gaussian Smooth Trend (GST) delivers a precision-built trend model tailored for modern traders who demand both clarity and control. The layered signal architecture, combined with volatility awareness and Gaussian signal enhancement, ensures accurate entries, clean visualizations, and actionable trend structure — all in real-time.
🔹 Summary Highlights
1️⃣ Multi-stage Smoothing — DEMA → Gaussian → SMMA for deep signal integrity
2️⃣ Volatility-Aware Filtering — SD bands prevent false entries
3️⃣ Visual Trend Mapping — Gradient fills + candle coloring for clean charts
4️⃣ Highly Customizable — Adapt to your timeframe, style, and volatility
📌 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
📌 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
Amplitude [Anan]The Amplitude indicator calculates and visualizes both the amplitude and cumulative amplitude of price movements, providing traders with insights into price volatility and trend strength. By distinguishing between positive and negative amplitude movements, this indicator aids in identifying bullish and bearish sentiments, potential reversal points, and confirming trend directions.
█ Main Formulas
‣ Amplitude = High - Low
‣ Cumulative Amplitude = sum of Amplitude over the specified lookback period
‣ Percentage Amplitude = (Amplitude / Open) × 100%
High: Candle high (or highest high when lookback > 1)
Low: Candle low (or lowest low when lookback > 1)
Open: Open price of the first candle in the lookback period
█ Key Features
✦Dual Amplitude Calculations:
Amplitude: Reflects price range and direction over a short-term period.
Cumulative Amplitude: Aggregates amplitude over a longer period for broader trend analysis.
✦Customizable Parameters: Adjust lookback periods, smoothing options, moving averages and Alerts.
✦Direction Separation: Distinguish between positive and negative amplitude movements to identify market sentiment.
✦Flexible Visualization: Customizable colors and plot styles for enhanced chart readability.
✦Alert System: Generate signals based on amplitude direction and moving average crossovers
█ How to Use and Interpret
✦Understanding Amplitude and Cumulative Amplitude:
‣Amplitude: Measures the price range (high - low) over a specified short-term period.
‣Cumulative Amplitude: Aggregates amplitude over a defined longer-term period.
‣Percentage Representation: shows amplitude relative to the open price from `amp_length` bars ago, providing a normalized view.
‣Interpretation:
Large Amplitude Values: Indicate high volatility.
Small Amplitude Values: Indicate low volatility.
✦Trend Identification:
‣Uptrend: Consistently positive amplitudes and upward-moving averages.
‣Downtrend: Consistently negative amplitudes and downward-moving averages.
✦Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
‣High Positive Amplitude: May indicate overbought conditions and potential reversals.
‣High Negative Amplitude: May indicate oversold conditions and potential reversals.
✦Volatility Analysis:
‣High Amplitude Values: Suggest increased market volatility.
‣Low Amplitude Values: Suggest reduced market volatility.
✦Signal Confirmation:
‣Moving Average Crossovers: Confirm the strength and direction of trends, aiding in informed trading decisions.
✦Trading Strategies:
‣ Breakout Trading: Large increases in amplitude can signal potential breakouts.
‣ Mean Reversion: Extreme amplitude values may indicate upcoming price corrections.
‣ Volatility-Based Strategies: Adjust position sizes or trading frequency based on amplitude magnitudes.
‣ Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Compare amplitudes across different timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
█ Customization Tips
‣ Lookback Periods: Experiment with different periods to suit your trading style and asset characteristics.
‣ Smoothing Settings: Adjust to balance responsiveness and noise reduction.
‣ Percentage Amplitude: Use for normalized comparisons across different price levels.
ATR Strength Index~~~~~~~ATRRSI~~~~~~~~~
Understanding the ATR Strength IndexThe "ATR Strength Index" (ATR SI) is a custom technical indicator derived by applying the calculation methodology of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the values of the Average True Range (ATR).
While the standard RSI measures the momentum of price changes, the ATR SI measures the momentum of volatility itself, as represented by the ATR.It is important to note that this is not a standard, widely recognised indicator like the traditional RSI or ATR.
It's a custom construction designed to provide a different perspective on market dynamics – specifically, the speed and magnitude of changes in volatility.
How it is Calculated
The calculation of the ATR Strength Index follows the same steps as the standard RSI, but the input data is the ATR value for each period, rather than the price.Let ATRi be the Average True Range value for the current period i.Let ATRi−1 be the Average True Range value for the previous period i−1.Calculate the period-over-period change in ATR:ΔATRi=ATRi−ATRi−1Separate ATR Gains and ATR Losses:If ΔATRi>0, then ATR,Gaini=ΔATRi and ATR,Lossi=0.If ΔATRi<0, then ATR,Gaini=0 and ATR,Lossi=∣ΔATRi∣.If ΔATRi=0, then ATR,Gaini=0 and ATR,Lossi=0.Calculate the Smoothed Average ATR Gain and Average ATR Loss over a specified lookback period (let's call this the "RSI Length" or n).
This typically uses a smoothing method similar to Wilder's original RSI calculation (a modified moving average or exponential moving average).Average,ATR,Gainn=Smoothed Average of ATR,Gain over n periodsAverage,ATR,Lossn=Smoothed Average of ATR,Loss over n periodsCalculate the ATR Relative Strength (ATR RS):ATR,RSn=Average,ATR,LossnAverage,ATR,GainnCalculate the ATR Strength Index:ATR,SIn=100−1+ATR,RSn100The resulting index oscillates between 0 and 100, just like the standard RSI.
How to Use It
Interpreting the ATR Strength Index focuses on the momentum of volatility rather than price momentum:High Values (e.g., above 70): Indicate that volatility (as measured by ATR) has been increasing rapidly over the chosen period.
This could suggest a market transitioning from a period of low volatility to high volatility, potentially preceding or accompanying strong directional price moves or increased choppiness.Low Values (e.g., below 30): Indicate that volatility has been decreasing rapidly.
This could suggest a market transitioning from high volatility to low volatility, potentially entering a period of consolidation or ranging price action.Midline (50): Represents a balance between increasing and decreasing volatility momentum.Divergence: You could potentially look for divergence between the ATR value itself and the ATR Strength Index. For example, if ATR is making higher highs but the ATR SI is making lower highs, it might suggest that while volatility is still increasing, the speed of that increase is slowing down. The interpretation and reliability of such divergence would need careful testing.
This indicator is best used as a supplementary tool to gain insight into the underlying volatility dynamics of the market, rather than as a primary signal generator for price direction.
It can help in understanding the current market environment – whether volatility is picking up or dying down – which can inform the suitability of different trading strategies (e.g., trend-following strategies might be more effective when volatility momentum is high, while range-bound strategies might suit periods of low volatility momentum).
Uniqueness
The ATR Strength Index is unique because it applies a momentum oscillator's logic (RSI) to a volatility indicator's output (ATR).Standard RSI: Focuses on the directional force of price movements.Standard ATR: Measures the amount of volatility, regardless of direction.ATR Strength Index: Measures the speed and direction of change in volatility.
It provides a perspective that neither the standard RSI nor ATR offers on their own – a quantified measure of how quickly the market's choppiness or range is expanding or contracting. This can be valuable for traders who incorporate volatility analysis into their decision-making process.In summary, the ATR Strength Index is a custom indicator that adapts the RSI calculation to measure the momentum of volatility, offering a unique view on market dynamics by showing how rapidly volatility is increasing or decreasing.
Volatility Exponential Moving AverageVEMA is a custom indicator that enhances the traditional moving average by incorporating market volatility. Unlike standard moving averages that rely solely on price, VEMA integrates both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing price, alongside a measure of market volatility.
The unique aspect of VEMA is its approach. It calculates the standard deviation of the closing price and also computes the simple moving average of this volatility. This dual approach to understanding market fluctuations allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics.
Key to VEMA's functionality is the dynamic weighting factor, which adjusts the influence of SMA and EMA based on current market volatility. This factor increases the weight of the EMA, which is more responsive to recent price changes, during periods of high volatility. Conversely, during periods of lower volatility, the SMA, which offers a smoother view of price trends, becomes more prominent.
The resultant is a hybrid moving average that responds adaptively to changes in market volatility. This adaptability makes VEMA particularly useful in dynamic markets, potentially offering more insightful trend analysis and reversal signals compared to traditional moving averages.
trend_vol_forecastNote: The following description is copied from the script's comments. Since TradingView does not allow me to edit this description, please refer to the comments and release notes for the most up-to-date information.
-----------
USAGE
This script compares trend trading with a volatility stop to "buy and hold".
Trades are taken with the trend, except when price exceeds a volatility
forecast. The trend is defined by a moving average crossover. The forecast
is based on projecting future volatility from historical volatility.
The trend is defined by two parameters:
- long: the length of a long ("slow") moving average.
- short: the length of a short ("fast") moving average.
The trend is up when the short moving average is above the long. Otherwise
it is down.
The volatility stop is defined by three parameters:
- volatility window: determines the number of periods in the historical
volatility calculation. More periods means a slower (smoother)
estimate of historical volatility.
- stop forecast periods: the number of periods in the volatility
forecast. For example, "7" on a daily chart means that the volatility
will be forecasted with a one week lag.
- stop forecast stdev: the number of standard deviations in the stop
forecast. For example, "2" means two standard deviations.
EXAMPLE
The default parameters are:
- long: 50
- short: 20
- volatility window: 30
- stop forecast periods: 7
- stop forecast standard deviations: 1
The trend will be up when the 20 period moving average is above the 50
period moving average. On each bar, the historical volatility will be
calculated from the previous 30 bars. If the historical volatility is 0.65
(65%), then a forecast will be drawn as a fuchsia line, subtracting
0.65 * sqrt(7 / 365) from the closing price. If price at any point falls
below the forecast, the volatility stop is in place, and the trend is
negated.
OUTPUTS
Plots:
- The trend is shown by painting the slow moving average green (up), red
(down), or black (none; volatility stop).
- The fast moving average is shown in faint blue
- The previous volatility forecasts are shown in faint fuchsia
- The current volatility forecast is shown as a fuchsia line, projecting
into the future as far as it is valid.
Tables:
- The current historical volatility is given in the top right corner, as a
whole number percentage.
- The performance table shows the mean, standard deviation, and sharpe
ratio of the volatility stop trend strategy, as well as buy and hold.
If the trend is up, each period's return is added to the sample (the
strategy is long). If the trend is down, the inverse of each period's
return is added to the sample (the strategy is short). If there is no
trend (the volatility stop is active), the period's return is excluded
from the sample. Every period is added to the buy-and-hold strategy's
sample. The total number of periods in each sample is also shown.
Risk Management: Position Size & Risk RewardHere is a Risk Management Indicator that calculates stop loss and position sizing based on the volatility of the stock. Most traders use a basic 1 or 2% Risk Rule, where they will not risk more than 1 or 2% of their capital on any one trade. I went further and applied four levels of risk: 0.25%, 0.50%, 1% and 2%. How you apply these different levels of risk is what makes this indicator extremely useful. Here are some common ways to apply this script:
• If the stock is extremely volatile and has a better than 50% chance of hitting the stop loss, then risk only 0.25% of your capital on that trade.
• If a stock has low volatility and has less than 20% change of hitting the stop loss, then risk 2% of your capital on that trade.
• Risking anywhere between 0.25% and 2% is purely based on your intuition and assessment of the market.
• If you are on a losing streak and you want to cut back on your position sizing, then lowering the Risk % can help you weather the storm.
• If you are on a winning streak and your entries are experiencing a higher level of success, then gradually increase the Risk % to reap bigger profits.
• If you want to trade outside the noise of the market or take on more noise/risk, you can adjust the ATR Factor.
• … and whatever else you can imagine using it to benefit your trading.
The position size is calculated using the Capital and Risk % fields, which is the percentage of your total trading capital (a.k.a net liquidity or Capital at Risk). If you instead want to calculate the position size based on a specific amount of money, then enter the amount in the Custom Risk Amt input box. Any amount greater than 0 in the Custom Risk Amt field will override the values in the Capital and Risk % fields.
The stop loss is calculated by using the ATR. The default setting is the 14 RMA, but you can change the length and smoothing of the true range moving average to your liking. Selecting a different length and smoothing affects the stop loss and position size, so choose these values very carefully.
The ATR Factor is a multiplier of the ATR. The ATR Factor can be used to adjust the stop loss and move it outside of the market noise. For the more volatile stock, increase the factor to lower the stop loss and reduce the chance of getting stopped out. For stocks with less volatility , you can lower the factor to raise the stop loss and increase position size. Adjusting the ATR Factor can also be useful when you want the stop loss to be at or below key levels of support.
The Market Session is the hours the market is open. The Market Session only affects the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) option, so it’s important to change these values if you’re trading the ORB and you’re outside of Eastern Standard Time or you’re trading in a foreign exchange.
The ORB is a bonus to the script. When enabled, the indicator will only appear in the first green candle of the day (09:30:00 or 09:30 AM EST or the start time specified in Market Session). When using the ORB, the stop loss is based on the spread of the first candle at the Open. The spread is the difference between the High and Low of the green candle. On 1-day or higher timeframes, the indicator will be the spread of the last (or current) candle.
The output of the indicator is a label overlaying the chart:
1. ATR (14 RMA x2) – This indicated that the stop loss is determined by the ATR. The x2 is the ATR Factor. If ORB is selected, then the first line will show SPREAD, instead of ATR.
2. Capital – This is your total capital or capital at risk.
3. Risk X% of Capital – The amount you’re risking on a % of the Capital. If a Custom Risk Amt is entered, then Risk Amount will be shown in place of Capital and Risk % of Capital.
4. Entry – The current price.
5. Stop Loss – The stop loss price.
6. -1R – The stop loss price and the amount that will be lost of the stop loss is hit.
7. – These are the target prices, or levels where you will want to take profit.
This script is primarily meant for people who are new to active trading and who are looking for a sound risk management strategy based on market volatility . This script can also be used by the more experienced trader who is using a similar system, but also wants to see it applied as an indicator on TradingView. I’m looking forward to maintaining this script and making it better in future revisions. If you want to include or change anything you believe will be a good change or feature, then please contact me in TradingView.
Quantile DEMA Trend | QuantEdgeB🚀 Introducing Quantile DEMA Trend (QDT) by QuantEdgeB
🛠️ Overview
Quantile DEMA Trend (QDT) is an advanced trend-following and momentum detection indicator designed to capture price trends with superior accuracy. Combining DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) with SuperTrend and Quantile Filtering, QDT identifies strong trends while maintaining the ability to adapt to various market conditions.
Unlike traditional trend indicators, QDT uses percentile filtering to adjust for volatility and provides dynamic thresholds, ensuring consistent signal performance across different assets and timeframes.
✨ Key Features
🔹 Trend Following with Adaptive Sensitivity
The DEMA component ensures quicker responses to price changes while reducing lag, offering a real-time reflection of market momentum.
🔹 Volatility-Adjusted Filtering
The SuperTrend logic incorporates quantile percentile filters and ATR (Average True Range) multipliers, allowing QDT to adapt to fluctuating market volatility.
🔹 Clear Signal Generation
QDT generates clear Long and Short signals using percentile thresholds, effectively identifying trend changes and market reversals.
🔹 Customizable Visual & Signal Settings
With multiple color modes and customizable settings, you can easily align the QDT indicator with your trading strategy, whether you're focused on trend-following or volatility adjustments.
📊 How It Works
1️⃣ DEMA Calculation
DEMA is used to reduce lag compared to traditional moving averages. It is calculated by applying a Double Exponential Moving Average to price data. This smoother trend-following mechanism ensures responsiveness to market movements without introducing excessive noise.
2️⃣ SuperTrend with Percentile Filtering
The SuperTrend component adapts the trend-following signal by incorporating quantile percentile filters. It identifies dynamic support and resistance levels based on historical price data:
• Upper Band: Calculated using the 75th percentile + ATR (adjusted with multiplier)
• Lower Band: Calculated using the 25th percentile - ATR (adjusted with multiplier)
These dynamic bands adjust to market conditions, filtering out noise while identifying the true direction.
3️⃣ Signal Generation
• Long Signal: Triggered when price crosses below the SuperTrend Lower Band
• Short Signal: Triggered when price crosses above the SuperTrend Upper Band
The indicator provides signals with corresponding trend direction based on these crossovers.
👁 Visual & Custom Features
• 🎨 Multiple Color Modes: Choose from "Strategy", "Solar", "Warm", "Cool", "Classic", and "Magic" color palettes to match your charting style.
• 🏷️ Long/Short Signal Labels: Optional labels for visual cueing when a long or short trend is triggered.
• 📉 Bar Color Customization: Bar colors dynamically adjust based on trend direction to visually distinguish the market bias.
👥 Who Should Use QDT?
✅ Trend Followers: Use QDT as a dynamic tool to confirm trends and capture profits in trending markets.
✅ Swing Traders: Use QDT to time entries based on confirmed breakouts or breakdowns.
✅ Volatility Traders: Identify market exhaustion or expansion points, especially during volatile periods.
✅ Systematic & Quant Traders: Integrate QDT into algorithmic strategies to enhance market detection with adaptive filtering.
⚙️ Customization & Default Settings
- DEMA Length(30): Controls the lookback period for DEMA calculation
- Percentile Length(10): Sets the lookback period for percentile filtering
- ATR Length(14): Defines the length for calculating ATR (used in SuperTrend)
- ATR Multiplier(1.2 ): Multiplier for ATR in SuperTrend calculation
- SuperTrend Length(30):Defines the length for SuperTrend calculations
📌 How to Use QDT in Trading
1️⃣ Trend-Following Strategy
✔ Enter Long positions when QDT signals a bullish breakout (price crosses below the SuperTrend lower band).
✔ Enter Short positions when QDT signals a bearish breakdown (price crosses above the SuperTrend upper band).
✔ Hold positions as long as QDT continues to provide the same direction.
2️⃣ Reversal Strategy
✔ Take profits when price reaches extreme levels (upper or lower percentile zones) that may indicate trend exhaustion or reversion.
3️⃣ Volatility-Driven Entries
✔ Use the percentile filtering to enter positions based on mean-reversion logic or breakout setups in volatile markets.
🧠 Why It Works
QDT combines the DEMA’s quick response to price changes with SuperTrend's volatility-adjusted thresholds, ensuring a responsive and adaptive indicator. The use of percentile filters and ATR multipliers helps adjust to varying market conditions, making QDT suitable for both trending and range-bound environments.
🔹 Conclusion
The Quantile DEMA Trend (QDT) by QuantEdgeB is a powerful, adaptive trend-following and momentum detection system. By integrating DEMA, SuperTrend, and quantile percentile filtering, it provides accurate and timely signals while adjusting to market volatility. Whether you are a trend follower or volatility trader, QDT offers a robust solution to identify high-probability entry and exit points.
🔹 Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Trend Confirmation – Uses DEMA and SuperTrend for dynamic trend detection
2️⃣ Volatility Filtering – Adjusts to varying market conditions using percentile logic
3️⃣ Clear Signal Generation – Easy-to-read signals and visual cues for strategy implementation
📌 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
📌 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
Volatility-Driven CandleThis indicator identifies and highlights "volatility-driven candles" on a price chart, based on their body size relative to market volatility. It calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over a 14-period window to measure volatility. A candle is considered "volatility-driven" if its body (the difference between the close and open prices) exceeds a user-defined threshold, which is specified as a multiple of the ATR.
The script distinguishes between bullish and bearish volatility-driven candles:
Bullish volatility-driven candles (where the close is greater than the open) are marked with a blue label.
Bearish volatility-driven candles (where the close is less than the open) are marked with an orange label.
Additionally, the background color of the chart is shaded:
Blue for bullish volatility-driven candles.
Orange for bearish volatility-driven candles.
This script helps traders easily spot significant price movements relative to volatility, highlighting potential reversal points based on candle body size.
VolCorrBeta [NariCapitalTrading]Indicator Overview: VolCorrBeta
The VolCorrBeta indicator is designed to analyze and interpret intermarket relationships. This indicator combines volatility, correlation, and beta calculations to provide a comprehensive view of how certain assets (BTC, DXY, CL) influence the ES futures contract (I tailored this indicator to the ES contract, but it will work for any symbol).
Functionality
Input Symbols
BTCUSD : Bitcoin to USD
DXY : US Dollar Index
CL1! : Crude Oil Futures
ES1! : S&P 500 Futures
These symbols can be customized according to user preferences. The main focus of the indicator is to analyze how the price movements of these assets correlate with and lead the price movements of the ES futures contract.
Parameters for Calculation
Correlation Length : Number of periods for calculating the correlation.
Standard Deviation Length : Number of periods for calculating the standard deviation.
Lookback Period for Beta : Number of periods for calculating beta.
Volatility Filter Length : Length of the volatility filter.
Volatility Threshold : Threshold for adjusting the lookback period based on volatility.
Key Calculations
Returns Calculation : Computes the daily returns for each input symbol.
Correlation Calculation : Computes the correlation between each input symbol's returns and the ES futures contract returns over the specified correlation length.
Standard Deviation Calculation : Computes the standard deviation for each input symbol's returns and the ES futures contract returns.
Beta Calculation : Computes the beta for each input symbol relative to the ES futures contract.
Weighted Returns Calculation : Computes the weighted returns based on the calculated betas.
Lead-Lag Indicator : Calculates a lead-lag indicator by averaging the weighted returns.
Volatility Filter : Smooths the lead-lag indicator using a simple moving average.
Price Target Estimation : Estimates the ES price target based on the lead-lag indicator (the yellow line on the chart).
Dynamic Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Levels : Calculates dynamic SL and TP levels using volatility bands.
Signal Generation
The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the filtered lead-lag indicator and confirms them using higher timeframe analysis. Signals are debounced to reduce frequency, ensuring that only significant signals are considered.
Visualization
Background Coloring : The background color changes based on the buy and sell signals for easy visualization (user can toggle this on/off).
Signal Labels : Labels with arrows are plotted on the chart, showing the signal type (buy/sell), the entry price, TP, and SL levels.
Estimated ES Price Target : The estimated price target for ES futures is plotted on the chart.
Correlation and Beta Dashboard : A table displayed in the top right corner shows the current correlation and beta values for relative to the ES futures contract.
Customization
Traders can customize the following parameters to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Input Symbols : Change the symbols for BTC, DXY, CL, and ES.
Correlation Length : Adjust the number of periods used for calculating correlation.
Standard Deviation Length : Adjust the number of periods used for calculating standard deviation.
Lookback Period for Beta : Change the lookback period for calculating beta.
Volatility Filter Length : Modify the length of the volatility filter.
Volatility Threshold : Set a threshold for adjusting the lookback period based on volatility.
Plotting Options : Customize the colors and line widths of the plotted elements.
Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA [BackQuant]Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA
The Volatility Adjusted Weighted Double Exponential Moving Average (VAWDEMA) by BackQuant is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders seeking to integrate volatility into their moving average calculations. This innovative indicator adjusts the weighting of the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) according to recent volatility levels, offering a more dynamic and responsive measure of market trends.
Primarily, the single Moving average is very noisy, but can be used in the context of strategy development, where as the crossover, is best used in the context of defining a trading zone/ macro uptrend on higher timeframes.
Why Volatility Adjustment is Beneficial
Volatility is a fundamental aspect of financial markets, reflecting the intensity of price changes. A volatility adjustment in moving averages is beneficial because it allows the indicator to adapt more quickly during periods of high volatility, providing signals that are more aligned with the current market conditions. This makes the VAWDEMA a versatile tool for identifying trend strength and potential reversal points in more volatile markets.
Understanding DEMA and Its Advantages
DEMA is an indicator that aims to reduce the lag associated with traditional moving averages by applying a double smoothing process. The primary benefit of DEMA is its sensitivity and quicker response to price changes, making it an excellent tool for trend following and momentum trading. Incorporating DEMA into your analysis can help capture trends earlier than with simple moving averages.
The Power of Combining Volatility Adjustment with DEMA
By adjusting the weight of the DEMA based on volatility, the VAWDEMA becomes a powerful hybrid indicator. This combination leverages the quick responsiveness of DEMA while dynamically adjusting its sensitivity based on current market volatility. This results in a moving average that is both swift and adaptive, capable of providing more relevant signals for entering and exiting trades.
Core Logic Behind VAWDEMA
The core logic of the VAWDEMA involves calculating the DEMA for a specified period and then adjusting its weighting based on a volatility measure, such as the average true range (ATR) or standard deviation of price changes. This results in a weighted DEMA that reflects both the direction and the volatility of the market, offering insights into potential trend continuations or reversals.
Utilizing the Crossover in a Trading System
The VAWDEMA crossover occurs when two VAWDEMAs of different lengths cross, signaling potential bullish or bearish market conditions. In a trading system, a crossover can be used as a trigger for entry or exit points:
Bullish Signal: When a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses above a longer-period VAWDEMA, it may indicate an uptrend, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
Bearish Signal: Conversely, when a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses below a longer-period VAWDEMA, it might signal a downtrend, indicating a possible exit point or a short entry.
Incorporating VAWDEMA crossovers into a trading strategy can enhance decision-making by providing timely and adaptive signals that account for both trend direction and market volatility. Traders should combine these signals with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques to develop a well-rounded trading strategy.
Alert Conditions For Trading
alertcondition(vwdema>vwdema , title="VWDEMA Long", message="VWDEMA Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(vwdema<vwdema , title="VWDEMA Short", message="VWDEMA Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossover(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Long", message="VWDEMA Crossover Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossunder(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Short", message="VWDEMA Crossover Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Simple RangeThe daily price range is a good proxy to judge an instrument’s volatility. I have combined multiple concepts in this indicator to display information regarding the daily price range & its volatility.
A trading period's range is simply the difference between its high and the low. This script shows the daily high-to-low range of the price as a column chart. It has 3 main components:
1. Narrow-range days (NR7) & Wide-range Days (WR20) - as plot columns
Original concept from Thomas Bulkowski
Modified from "NR4 & NR7 Indicator" script by theapextrader7
Modified from "WR - BC Identifier" script by wrpteam2020
Narrow range days mark price contractions that often precede price expansions. This script uses NR7 (narrow range 7) as a narrow-range day. This value can be changed by the user if, instead of an NR7, he or she wishes to use NR4 or NR21, or any other interval of his or her choice. NR7 is an indecisive trading day in which the range is narrower than any of the previous six days (a total of 7 days). This is a popular concept given by Thomas Bulkowski. A breakout is said to occur when price closes above the top or below the bottom of the NR7. Upside breakout of an NR 7 candle with high volumes indicates bullishness.
Similarly, highs & lows of wide-range bars (on big volumes) are also significant reference levels for price. Wide-range candle are identified by size of the body candle (open - close). The script compares the size of previous 20 candles to identify WR20 candles. This value can also be changed by the user.
The script shows NR7 & WR20 as orange & blue bars, respectively.
The user can also turn on the option to identify a big high-to-low range candle greater than a pre-defined threshold (default is 5%). These show up as green or red bars.
2. TTM Squeeze - as background
Original concept from John Carter's book "Mastering the Trade"
Based on "Squeeze Momentum Indicator" script by LazyBear
John Carter’s TTM Squeeze indicator looks at the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner's Channels to help identify period of volatility contractions. Bollinger Bands being completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels is indicative of a very low volatility. This is a state of volatility contraction known as squeeze. Using different ATR lengths (1.0, 1.5 and 2.0) for Keltner Channels, we can differentiate between levels of squeeze (High, Mid & Low compression, respectively). Greater the compression, higher the potential for explosive moves.
In the script, the High, Mid & Low compression squeezes are depicted via the background color being red, orange, or yellow, respectively.
3. Average Daily Range - as table
Original idea by alpine_trader
Modified from "ADR% - Average Daily Range % by MikeC" script by TheScrutiniser
Average Day Range (ADR) tells how much the price moves between the high and low on a given day. This is the day Range, which is then averaged to create ADR. The script uses an average of the last 20 days to calculate the ADR. Unlike ATR (Average True Range), this excludes Gaps.
The script displays the ADR as a % value in a table.
If you want to find stocks that move a lot on an average on most days, then look for stocks that have ADR% of 5% or more.
If you prefer lower volatility stocks, focus on stocks with lower ADR% values, such as 2% or less.
How it comes together
For a bullish "momentum burst", or a velocity trade:
Select stocks with Average Day Range % (ADR) greater than 5
Identify significant reference price levels via highs & lows of WR20 bars (on big volumes)
Wait for a decent mid-to-high compression squeeze
Look for clusters of NR7 candles in the consolidation
Any breakout from this consolidation should be accompanied by more than average (preferably pocket pivot) volumes
