EWMA & EWVar + EWStd Expansion with MTF_V.5EWMA & EWVar + EWStd Expansion with MTF_V.5
This indicator combines adaptive trend smoothing (EWMA), variance estimation (EWVar) and dynamic volatility “bursts” (EWStd Expansion) with optional higher-timeframe confirmation. It’s designed both for visual chart analysis and for automated alerts on regime changes.
Key Features
EWMA (Exponential Smoothing):
• Computes an exponential moving average with either a custom α or a length-derived α = 2/(N+1).
• Option to recalculate only every N bars (reduces CPU load).
EWVar & EWStd (Variance & Standard Deviation):
• Exponentially weighted variance tracks recent price dispersion.
• EWStd (σ) is computed alongside the EWMA.
• Z-score (deviation in σ units) shows how far price has diverged from trend.
Multi-Timeframe Filter (MTF):
• Optionally require the same trend direction on a chosen higher timeframe (e.g. Daily, Weekly, H4).
• Real-time lookahead available (may repaint).
Gradient Around EWMA:
• A multi-layer “glow” zone of ±1σ, broken into up to 10 steps.
• Color interpolates between “upper” and “lower” shades for bullish, bearish and neutral regimes.
Instantaneous Trendline (ITL):
• Ultra-fast trend filter with slope-based coloring.
• Highlights micro-trends and short-lived accelerations.
Cross-Over Signals (ITL ↔ EWMA):
• Up/down triangles plotted when the ITL crosses the main EWMA.
EWStd Expansion (Volatility Bursts):
• Automatically detects σ expansions (σ growth above a set % threshold).
• Price filter: only when price moves beyond EWMA ± (multiplier·σ).
• Optional higher-timeframe confirmation.
Labels & Alerts:
• Text labels and circular markers on bars where a volatility burst occurs.
• Built-in alertcondition calls for both bullish and bearish expansions.
How to Use
Visual Analysis:
• The gradient around EWMA shows the width of the volatility channel expanding or contracting.
• ITL color changes instantly highlight short-term impulses.
• EWMA line color switches (bullish/bearish/neutral) indicate trend state.
Spotting Volatility Breakouts:
• “EWStd Expansion” labels and circles signal the onset of strong moves when σ spikes.
• Useful for entering at the start of new impulses.
Automated Alerts:
• Set alerts on the built-in conditions “Bullish EWStd Expansion Alert” or “Bearish EWStd Expansion Alert” to receive a popup or mobile push when a burst occurs.
This compact tool unifies trend, volatility and multi-timeframe analysis into a single indicator—ideal for traders who want to see trend direction, current dispersion, and timely volatility burst signals all at once.
在腳本中搜尋"Volatility"
Macd, Wt Cross & HVPMacd Wt Cross & HVP – Advanced Multi-Signal Indicator
This script is a custom-designed multi-signal indicator that brings together three proven concepts to provide a complete view of market momentum, reversals, and volatility build-ups. It is built for traders who want to anticipate key market moves, not just react to them.
Why This Combination ?
While each tool has its strengths, their combined use creates powerful signal confluence.
Instead of juggling multiple indicators separately, this script synchronizes three key perspectives into a single, intuitive display—helping you trade with greater clarity and confidence.
1. MACD Histogram – Momentum and Trend Clarity
At the core of the indicator is the MACD histogram, calculated as the difference between two exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Color-coded bars represent momentum direction and intensity:
Green / blue bars: bullish momentum
Red / pink bars: bearish momentum
Color intensity shows acceleration or weakening of trend.
This visual makes it easy to detect trend shifts and momentum divergence at a glance.
2. WT Cross Signals – Early Reversal Detection
Overlaid on the histogram are green and red dots, based on the logic of the WaveTrend oscillator cross:
Green dots = potential bullish cross (buy signal)
Red dots = potential bearish cross (sell signal)
These signals are helpful for identifying reversal points during both trending and ranging phases.
3. Historical Volatility Percentile (HVP) – Volatility Compression Zones
Behind the histogram, purple vertical zones highlight periods of low historical volatility, based on the HVP:
When volatility compresses below a specific threshold, these zones appear.
Such periods are often followed by explosive price moves, making them prime areas for pre-breakout positioning.
By integrating HVP, the script doesn’t just tell you where the trend is—it tells you when the trend is likely to erupt.
How to Use This Script
Use the MACD histogram to confirm the dominant trend and its strength.
Watch for WT Cross dots as potential entry/exit signals in alignment or divergence with the MACD.
Monitor HVP purple zones as warnings of incoming volatility expansions—ideal moments to prepare for breakout trades.
Best results occur when all three elements align, offering a high-probability trade setup.
What Makes This Script Original?
Unlike many mashups, this script was not created by simply merging indicators. Each component was carefully integrated to serve a specific, complementary purpose:
MACD detects directional bias
WT Cross adds precision timing
HVP anticipates volatility-based breakout timing
This results in a strategic tool for traders, useful on multiple timeframes and adaptable to different trading styles (trend-following, breakout, swing).
Combined ATR + VolumeOverview
The Combined ATR + Volume indicator (C-ATR+Vol) is designed to measure both price volatility and market participation by merging the Average True Range (ATR) and trading volume into a single normalized value. This provides traders with a more comprehensive tool than ATR alone, as it highlights not only how much price is moving, but also whether there is sufficient volume behind those moves.
Originality & Utility
Two Key Components
ATR (Average True Range): Measures price volatility by analyzing the range (high–low) over a specified period. A higher ATR often indicates larger price swings.
Volume: Reflects how actively traders are participating in the market. High volume typically indicates strong buying or selling interest.
Normalized Combination
Both ATR and volume are independently normalized to a 0–100 range.
The final output (C-ATR+Vol) is the average of these two normalized values. This makes it easy to see when both volatility and market participation are relatively high.
Practical Use
Above 80: Signifies elevated volatility and strong volume. Markets may experience significant moves.
Around 50–80: Indicates moderate activity. Price swings and volume are neither extreme nor minimal.
Below 50: Suggests relatively low volatility and lower participation. The market may be ranging or consolidating.
This combined approach can help filter out situations where volatility is high but volume is absent—or vice versa—providing a more reliable context for potential breakouts or trend continuations.
Indicator Logic
ATR Calculation
Uses Pine Script’s built-in ta.tr(true) function to measure true range, then smooths it with a user-selected method (RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA).
Key Input: ATR Length (default 14).
Volume Calculation
Smooths the built-in volume variable using the same selectable smoothing methods.
Key Input: Volume Length (default 14).
Normalization
For each metric (ATR and Volume), the script finds the lowest and highest values over the lookback period and converts them into a 0–100 scale:
normalized value
=(current value−min)(max−min)×100
normalized value= (max−min)(current value−min) ×100
Combined Score
The final plot is the average of Normalized ATR and Normalized Volume. This single value simplifies the process of identifying high-volatility, high-volume conditions.
How to Use
Setup
Add the indicator to your chart.
Adjust ATR Length, Volume Length, and Smoothing to match your preferred time horizon or chart style.
Interpretation
High Values (above 80): The market is experiencing significant price movement with high participation. Potential for strong trends or breakouts.
Moderate Range (50–80): Conditions are active but not extreme. Trend setups may be forming.
Low Values (below 50): Indicates quieter markets with reduced liquidity. Expect ranging or less decisive moves.
Strategy Integration
Use C-ATR+Vol alongside other trend or momentum indicators (e.g., Moving Averages, RSI, MACD) to confirm potential entries/exits.
Combine it with support/resistance or price action analysis for a broader market view.
Important Notes
This script is open-source and intended as a community contribution.
No Future Guarantee: Past market behavior does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and validate signals with additional tools.
The indicator’s performance may vary depending on timeframes, asset classes, and market conditions.
Adjust inputs as needed to suit different instruments or personal trading styles.
By adhering to TradingView’s publishing rules, this script is provided with sufficient detail on what it does, how it’s unique, and how traders can use it. Feel free to customize the settings and experiment with other technical indicators to develop a trading methodology that fits your objectives.
🔹 Combined ATR + Volume (C-ATR+Vol) 지표 설명
이 인디케이터는 ATR(Average True Range)와 거래량(Volume)을 결합하여 시장의 변동성과 유동성을 동시에 측정하는 지표입니다.
ATR은 가격 변동성의 크기를 나타내며, 거래량은 시장 참여자의 활동 수준을 반영합니다. 보통 높은 ATR은 가격 변동이 크다는 의미이고, 높은 거래량은 시장에서 적극적인 거래가 이루어지고 있음을 나타냅니다.
이 두 지표를 각각 0~100 범위로 정규화한 후, 평균을 구하여 "Combined ATR + Volume (C-ATR+Vol)" 값을 계산합니다.
이를 통해 단순한 가격 변동성뿐만 아니라 거래량까지 고려하여, 더욱 신뢰성 있는 변동성 판단을 할 수 있도록 도와줍니다.
📌 핵심 개념
1️⃣ ATR (Average True Range)란?
시장의 변동성을 측정하는 지표로, 일정 기간 동안의 고점-저점 변동폭을 기반으로 계산됩니다.
ATR이 높을수록 가격 변동이 크며, 낮을수록 횡보장이 지속될 가능성이 큽니다.
하지만 ATR은 방향성을 제공하지 않으며, 단순히 변동성의 크기만을 나타냅니다.
2️⃣ 거래량 (Volume)의 역할
거래량은 시장 참여자의 관심과 유동성을 반영하는 중요한 요소입니다.
높은 거래량은 강한 매수 또는 매도세가 존재함을 의미하며, 낮은 거래량은 시장 참여가 적거나 관심이 줄어들었음을 나타냅니다.
3️⃣ ATR + 거래량의 결합 (C-ATR+Vol)
단순한 ATR 값만으로는 변동성이 커도 거래량이 부족할 수 있으며, 반대로 거래량이 많아도 변동성이 낮을 수 있습니다.
이를 해결하기 위해 ATR과 거래량을 각각 0~100으로 정규화하여 균형 잡힌 변동성 지표를 만들었습니다.
두 지표의 평균값을 계산하여, 가격 변동과 거래량이 동시에 높은지를 측정할 수 있도록 설계되었습니다.
📊 사용법 및 해석
80 이상 → 강한 변동성 구간
가격 변동성이 크고 거래량도 높은 상태
강한 추세가 진행 중이거나 큰 변동이 일어날 가능성이 큼
상승/하락 방향성을 확인한 후 트렌드를 따라가는 전략이 유리
50~80 구간 → 보통 수준의 변동성
가격 움직임이 일정하며, 거래량도 적절한 수준
점진적인 추세 형성이 이루어질 가능성이 있음
시장이 점진적으로 상승 혹은 하락할 가능성이 크므로, 보조지표를 활용하여 매매 타이밍을 결정하는 것이 중요
50 이하 → 낮은 변동성 및 유동성 부족
가격 변동이 적고, 거래량도 낮은 상태
시장이 횡보하거나 조정 기간에 들어갈 가능성이 큼
박스권 매매(지지/저항 활용) 또는 돌파 전략을 고려할 수 있음
💡 활용 방법 및 전략
✅ 1. 트렌드 판단 보조지표로 활용
단독으로 사용하는 것보다는 RSI, MACD, 이동평균선(MA) 등의 지표와 함께 활용하는 것이 효과적입니다.
예를 들어, MACD가 상승 신호를 주고, C-ATR+Vol 값이 80을 초과하면 강한 상승 추세로 해석할 수 있습니다.
✅ 2. 변동성 돌파 전략에 활용
C-ATR+Vol이 80 이상인 구간에서 가격이 특정 저항선을 돌파한다면, 강한 추세의 시작을 의미할 수 있습니다.
반대로, C-ATR+Vol이 50 이하에서 가격이 저항선에 가까워지면 돌파 가능성이 낮아질 수 있습니다.
✅ 3. 시장 참여도와 변동성 확인
단순히 ATR만 높아서는 신뢰하기 어려운 경우가 많습니다. 예를 들어, 급등 후 거래량이 급감하면 상승 지속 가능성이 낮아질 수도 있습니다.
하지만 C-ATR+Vol을 사용하면 거래량이 함께 증가하는지를 확인하여 보다 신뢰할 수 있는 분석이 가능합니다.
🚀 결론
🔹 Combined ATR + Volume (C-ATR+Vol) 인디케이터는 단순한 ATR이 아니라 거래량까지 고려하여 변동성을 측정하는 강력한 도구입니다.
🔹 시장이 큰 움직임을 보일 가능성이 높은 구간을 찾는 데 유용하며, 80 이상일 경우 강한 변동성이 있음을 나타냅니다.
🔹 단독으로 사용하기보다는 보조지표와 함께 활용하여, 트렌드 분석 및 돌파 전략 등에 효과적으로 적용할 수 있습니다.
📌 주의사항
변동성이 크다고 해서 반드시 가격이 급등/급락한다는 보장은 없습니다.
특정한 매매 전략 없이 단순히 이 지표만 보고 매수/매도를 결정하는 것은 위험할 수 있습니다.
시장 상황에 따라 변동성의 의미가 다르게 작용할 수 있으므로, 반드시 다른 보조지표와 함께 활용하는 것이 중요합니다.
🔥 이 지표를 활용하여 시장의 변동성과 거래량을 보다 효과적으로 분석해보세요! 🚀
Volatility Momentum Breakout StrategyDescription:
Overview:
The Volatility Momentum Breakout Strategy is designed to capture significant price moves by combining a volatility breakout approach with trend and momentum filters. This strategy dynamically calculates breakout levels based on market volatility and uses these levels along with trend and momentum conditions to identify trade opportunities.
How It Works:
1. Volatility Breakout:
• Methodology:
The strategy computes the highest high and lowest low over a defined lookback period (excluding the current bar to avoid look-ahead bias). A multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) is then added to (or subtracted from) these levels to form dynamic breakout thresholds.
• Purpose:
This method helps capture significant price movements (breakouts) while ensuring that only past data is used, thereby maintaining realistic signal generation.
2. Trend Filtering:
• Methodology:
A short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is applied to determine the prevailing trend.
• Purpose:
Long trades are considered only when the current price is above the EMA, indicating an uptrend, while short trades are taken only when the price is below the EMA, indicating a downtrend.
3. Momentum Confirmation:
• Methodology:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to gauge market momentum.
• Purpose:
For long entries, the RSI must be above a mid-level (e.g., above 50) to confirm upward momentum, and for short entries, it must be below a similar threshold. This helps filter out signals during overextended conditions.
Entry Conditions:
• Long Entry:
A long position is triggered when the current closing price exceeds the calculated long breakout level, the price is above the short-term EMA, and the RSI confirms momentum (e.g., above 50).
• Short Entry:
A short position is triggered when the closing price falls below the calculated short breakout level, the price is below the EMA, and the RSI confirms momentum (e.g., below 50).
Risk Management:
• Position Sizing:
Trades are sized to risk a fixed percentage of account equity (set here to 5% per trade in the code, with each trade’s stop loss defined so that risk is limited to approximately 2% of the entry price).
• Stop Loss & Take Profit:
A stop loss is placed a fixed ATR multiple away from the entry price, and a take profit target is set to achieve a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
• Realistic Backtesting:
The strategy is backtested using an initial capital of $10,000, with a commission of 0.1% per trade and slippage of 1 tick per bar—parameters chosen to reflect conditions faced by the average trader.
Important Disclaimers:
• No Look-Ahead Bias:
All breakout levels are calculated using only past data (excluding the current bar) to ensure that the strategy does not “peek” into future data.
• Educational Purpose:
This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
• User Responsibility:
Traders should thoroughly backtest and paper trade the strategy under various market conditions and adjust parameters to fit their own risk tolerance and trading style before live deployment.
Conclusion:
By integrating volatility-based breakout signals with trend and momentum filters, the Volatility Momentum Breakout Strategy offers a unique method to capture significant price moves in a disciplined manner. This publication provides a transparent explanation of the strategy’s components and realistic backtesting parameters, making it a useful tool for educational purposes and further customization by the TradingView community.
India VIXThe VIX chart represents the Volatility Index, commonly referred to as the "Fear Gauge" of the stock market. It measures the market's expectations of future volatility over the next 30 days, based on the implied volatility of NSE index options. The VIX is often used as an indicator of investor sentiment, reflecting the level of fear or uncertainty in the market.
Here’s a breakdown of what you might observe on a typical VIX chart:
VIX Value: The y-axis typically represents the VIX index value, with higher values indicating higher levels of expected market volatility (more fear or uncertainty), and lower values signaling calm or stable market conditions.
VIX Spikes: Large spikes in the VIX often correspond to market downturns or periods of heightened uncertainty, such as during financial crises or major geopolitical events. A high VIX is often associated with a drop in the stock market.
VIX Drops: A decline in the VIX indicates a reduction in expected market volatility, usually linked with periods of market calm or rising stock prices.
Trend Analysis: Technical traders might use moving averages or other indicators on the VIX chart to assess the potential for future market movements.
Inverse Relationship with the Stock Market: Typically, there is an inverse correlation between the VIX and the stock market. When stocks fall sharply, volatility increases, and the VIX tends to rise. Conversely, when the stock market rallies or remains stable, the VIX tends to fall.
A typical interpretation would be that when the VIX is low, the market is relatively stable, and when the VIX is high, the market is perceived to be uncertain or volatile.
Volatility Price RangeThe Volatility Price Range is an overlay which estimates a price range for the next seven days and next day, based on historical volatility (already available in TradingView). The upper and lower bands are calculated as follows:
The Volatility for one week is calculated using the formula: WV = HV * √t where:
WV: one-week volatility
HV: annual volatility
√: square root
t: the time factor expressed in years
From this formula we can deduce the weekly volatility WV = HV * √(1 / 52) = HV / 7.2 where 52: weeks in a year.
The daily volatility DV = HV * √(1 / 365) = HV / 19.1 where 365: days in a year.
To calculate the lower and upper value of the bands, the weekly/daily volatility value obtained will be subtracted/added from/to the current price.
Volatility Gap TrackerThe Volatility Gap Tracker ( *VGT ) indicator calculates the historical volatility of an asset using the standard deviation of the natural logarithm of the closing price relative to the previous period's closing price. *VGT visualizes the HV with gap lines to highlight when the current HV has increased or decreased significantly compared to the previous period, and adds labels to show the HV value for each of those bars.
Low HV calculated by *VGT can potentially signify a potential move up or down in the price of an asset. When HV is low, it indicates that the price of the asset has been relatively stable or range-bound over the specified period of time. This can sometimes be a precursor to a significant move in either direction, as the price may be building up energy to break out of its range.
*VGT can be used for any market that TradingView supports, including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. It is especially useful for traders who want to identify periods of high volatility or sudden changes in volatility , which can indicate potential trading opportunities or risks. However, it's important to note that HV is a historical measure and may not always accurately predict future volatility .
The indicator can be used under various market conditions, but is especially useful during periods of high volatility , such as market crashes or major news events. It can also be useful for traders who want to monitor the volatility of specific stocks or assets over a longer period of time.
*VGT is provided for informational purposes only and is not a guarantee of future performance or accuracy. Traders should use multiple indicators and analysis methods to make informed trading decisions. Trading involves risks and traders should always conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Chervolinos-Wave-PM-ForecastThe Wave PM (Whistler Active Volatility Energy – Price Mass) indicator is an oscillator described in Mark Whistler's book, Volatility Illuminated.
The Wave PM is specifically designed to help read volatility cycles. When we visualize volatility cycles as a chart, we can get a clear view of the market volatility phases in multiple time frames. This indicator forms an arithmetic mean over 30 observed periods. Traders can thus get a better insight into "potential" volatility from up to pent-up energy, the different zones give strong help to predict future price developments.
Possible interpretation patterns:
You are at the end of a long uptrend and you want to know if the price is going to go down, if the indicator shows red and the value is above 25, it is likely to do so.
You're in a downtrend and there's a bit of a recovery phase, so you might be wondering if it's going to continue when the indicator shows green. It would go further with yellow, but with green it can be assumed that it is going down rapidly.
Special thanks to sourcey who programmed the 3D Wave-PM.
This variant of sourcey looks very nice, but was too confusing for me. In order to get a strong overview, forming an arithmetic mean is very useful.
I hope you and the Mods like my version
Best regards, Chervolino
Volume Adaptive Chikou Scalping StudyIDEA PLACEMENT
This indicator uses “Chikou” cross concept of Ichimoku cloud indicator and enhances usage of High/Low data with Volume Breakout and Volatility based dynamic adaption.
I’ve been working on making Moving Averages more adaptive based on Volume Breakout and Volatility but as we know Mas work better on close values. I wanted to create a study that may have maximum data available and that’s how I came up with the concept of making adaptive Ichimoku Cloud. Except, I used different concept than Ichimoku. As we know that Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen from Ichimoku Cloud average out highest and lowest values within 26 and 9 period respectively but I tried making it Volume Breakout and Volatility based Adaptive but couldn’t get better results.
Along the way I came up with an idea of instead of averaging out just keeping the High/Low values data separate and intact and to do so I took Linear regression of High values of Volume Breakout and Volatility based Adaptive dynamic period and similarly with Low values.
Then the strategy was to use Chikou for crossover and crossunder indication and for this purpose I used Chikou with same dynamic length as used before in High/Low linear regression.
The idea becomes simple as when Adaptive Dynamic Chikou crosses Adaptive Dynamic Linear Regression of High/Low values then Lowest / Highest value within current Adaptive Dynamic Length becomes the next Support / Resistance.
SIGNALS
Not every Chikou cross would give signal instead signal should be supported by either Volume Breakout or Volatility whatever you have selected from.
FIBONACCI EVELOPE BANDS
I’ve included ATR based Fibonacci multiple bands which would act as good support/resistance zones.
DEFAULT SETTINGS
I’ve set default Minimum length to 20 and Maximum length to 50 which I’ve found works best for almost all timeframes but you can change this delta to adpat your timeframe accordingly with more precision.
Dynamic length adoption is enabled based on both Volume and Volatility but only one or none of them can also be selected.
Trend signals verification is enabled based on Volume but Volatility can also be enabled for more precise confirmations.
In “RVSI” settings TFS Volume Oscillator is set to default but others work good too especially Volume Zone Oscillator. For more details about Volume Breakout you can check “MZ RVSI Indicator”
ATR breakout is set to be true if period 14 exceeds period 46 but can be changed if more adaption with volatility is required.
FURTHER ENHANCEMENTS
I’ve used Linear Regression of High/Low values because I found better results with it but SMA and HMA can also be used. I’m planning to perpetually use this study for Dynamically length adaption and trades confirmations in other strategies.
Bollinger Bands With User Selectable MABollinger Bands with user selection options to calculate the moving average basis and bands from a variety of different moving averages.
The user selects their choice of moving average, and the bands automatically adjust. The user may select a MA that reacts faster to volatility or slower/smoother.
Added additional options to color the bands or basis based on the current trend and alternate candle colors for band touches. Options:
REACT SLOW/SMOOTH TO VOLATILITY
simple moving average (Regular Bollinger Bands)
REACT SMOOTH TO VOLATILITY
exponential moving average (EMA Bollinger Bands)
weighted moving average (Weighted MA Bollinger Bands)
exponential hull moving average (Hull Bollinger Bands with better smoothing)
HIGHLY ADJUSTABLE TO VOLATILITY
Arnaud Legoux Moving average (ALMA Bollinger Bands)
Note: 0.85 ALMA default for more smoothing, set offset=1 to turn off smoothing
REACT HARSH TO VOLATILITY
least squares moving average (Least Squares Bollinger Bands)
REACT VERY FAST TO VOLATILITY
hull moving average (Hull Bollinger Bands or Hullinger Bands)
VALUE ADDED: This script is unique in that no other Bollinger Bands indicator offers a user selection for moving average, and some of the options do not exist yet as Bollinger Bands indicators.
Definitions:
Bollinger Bands: A Bollinger Band® is a technical analysis tool defined by a set of trendlines plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a simple moving average (SMA) of a security's price, but which can be adjusted to user preferences.
Exponential Bollinger Bands: The most important characteristics of the Exponential Bollinger Bands indicator are: When the market is flat, the bands will stay much closer to prices. When the volatility is high, the bands move away from prices faster.
Hull Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands calculated by Hull moving average, rather than simple moving average or ema. The Hull Moving Average (HMA), developed by Alan Hull, is an extremely fast and smooth moving average. In fact, the HMA almost eliminates lag altogether and manages to improve smoothing at the same time.
Exponential Hull Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands calculated by Exponential Hull moving average, rather than simple moving average or ema. The Exponential Hull Moving Average is similar to the standard Hull MA, but with superior smoothing. The standard Hull Moving Average is derived from the weighted moving average (WMA). As other moving average built from weighted moving averages it has a tendency to exaggerate price movement.
Weighted Moving Average Bollinger Bands: A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is similar to the simple moving average (SMA), except the WMA adds significance to more recent data points.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average Bollinger Bands: ALMA removes small price fluctuations and enhances the trend by applying a moving average twice, once from left to right, and once from right to left. At the end of this process the phase shift (price lag) commonly associated with moving averages is significantly reduced. Zero-phase digital filtering reduces noise in the signal. Conventional filtering reduces noise in the signal, but adds a delay.
Least Squares Bollinger Bands: The indicator is based on sum of least squares method to find a straight line that best fits data for the selected period. The end point of the line is plotted and the process is repeated on each succeeding period.
vol_signalNote: This description is copied from the script comments. Please refer to the comments and release notes for updated information, as I am unable to edit and update this description.
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USAGE
This script gives signals based on a volatility forecast, e.g. for a stop
loss. It is a simplified version of my other script "trend_vol_forecast", which incorporates a trend following system and measures performance. The "X" labels indicate when the price touches (exceeds) a forecast. The signal occurs when price crosses "fcst_up" or "fcst_down".
There are only three parameters:
- volatility window: this is the number of periods (bars) used in the
historical volatility calculation. smaller number = reacts more
quickly to changes, but is a "noisier" signal.
- forecast periods: the number of periods for projecting a volatility
forecast. for example, "21" on a daily chart means the plots will
show the forecast from 21 days ago.
- forecast stdev: the number of standard deviations in the forecast.
for example, "2" means that price is expected to remain within
the forecast plot ~95% of the time. A higher number produces a
wider forecast.
The output table shows:
- realized vol: the volatility over the previous N periods, where N =
"volatility window".
- forecast vol: the realized volatility from N periods ago, where N =
"forecast periods"
- up/down fcst (level): the price level of the forecast for the next
N bars, where N = "forecast periods".
- up/down fcst (%): the difference between the current and forecast
price, expressed as a whole number percentage.
The plots show:
- blue/red plot: the upper/lower forecast from "forecast periods" ago.
- blue/red line: the upper/lower forecast for the next
"forecast periods".
- red/blue labels: an "X" where the price touched the forecast from
"forecast periods" ago.
+ NOTE: pinescript only draws a limited number of labels.
They will not appear very far into the past.
BBW, Squeeze, and EMAThis indicator helps traders to identify low volatility areas by using the "Bollinger Bands Squeeze" method. The idea is to look for the lowest values in the Bollinger bands width to judge the lowest volatility readings.
By default the squeeze period is 125, as suggested by John Bollinger.
The indicator is a variation on the BB Squeeze indicator by @danarm. It adds:
* A lowest volatility print, named "Squeeze Line". This shows traders the lowest BBW reads.
* A moving average on top of BBW. This helps traders gauge volatility expansion. I'd use is like this: once you identify volatility contraction, an expansion would be when BBW crosses its average upwards.
* The blue background color indicates where BBW crossed its lowest 125 value, indicating further volatility contraction.
Dual Mean Reversion Channel (adjusted lower band)This is a public and open-source lighter version compared to the "Overextended Price Channel" which is provided complimentaty to the Trend Insight System.
Introduction :
Channels are very useful tools to assess overextended price, volatility and upcoming retracement or impulsive moves (such as Bollinger Band squeezes). It is an indispensable addition to any trader using Mean Reversion theory for a scalp-trade or swing-trade.
This script contains :
- 2 channels Keltner-style, using the True Range for volatility
- customizable volatility (channel width) and smoothing period
- a standard selection of moving average ; SMA, EMA, VWMA
- an embedded readjustment of the lower bands to avoid the drop on a logarithmic scale (see explanation below)
Why another channel indicator ?
I have found most conventional channels to be either not based on "proper" volatility (e.g. standard deviation of price action for Bollinger Band), or the bottom channel to be ill adapted to the logarithmic scale and plunges to 0 on some high volatility periods, messing with readability on logarithmic auto-scaled chart.
Also, I find the channels to be most useful when superimposed with another one of longer length; especially a pair of channels with a 50 and 200 period moving average respectively. Mean Reversion traders that mostly trade the 50 and 200 SMA/EMA know what I am talking about as having a channel helps to have a better visual for a proper of entry and exit point.
Disclaimer :
This indicator was originally intended to be used along with the Trend Insight System to improve performance, and the default configuration mostly backtested on BTCUSD.
Please use with caution, proper risk management and along with your favorite oscillator, candlestick reading and signals system.
Some explanation :
Based on Mean Reversion paradigm, everything has a tendency to revert back to the mean :
- when the price enters the upper channel, it is supposed to be (or start getting) overbought as the market is getting overheated, thus prone to correction,
- on the other hand, when the price enters the lower channel, it is supposed to be (or getting) oversold and the market looks favorable for a buy-in.
Depending on the trading style used, a trader will usually either wait until the price leaves the channel towards the mean before taking action (conservative style) or you will set limit orders inside the channel as you expect a reversion to the mean (more agressive/risky style).
With two channels, more complex (and maybe precise) rules can be built to optimize one's trading strategy.
Important notes :
In the end, sticking with 50/200 length and a single setting on volatility might be wiser, be wary of overoptimization which is risky at best and counter productive at worst (according to legendary traders such as Mark Douglas). Even if, needless to say, the volatility needs to be adjusted between a nascent and volatile market (such as crypto) compared to standard call markets that are much less volatile.
End notes :
It will always be considered a work in progress to help bring out the best of trading with channels, any comment and suggestion are welcomed.
Volatility Prism [Nic]What is this
The volatility rainbow tracks divergences in a security and its volatility index. This can be used to identify periods of heightened implied (future) risk.
About Volatility
The volatility is calculated by looking at put / call ratios. When VIX goes up it means that puts are outpacing calls. This is a bearish signal.
About Correlation
When the security goes up while the VIX goes up, the divergence on the plot will increase and turn a color. This should be a warning.
Volatility Rainbow
This is a similar indicator, but this one merges all signals into a single line.
Efficient Trend Step - Spotting Trends EfficientlyIntroduction
The trend-step indicator (or auto-line) was based on volatility and aimed to spot trends in an adaptive way, however the indicator was only based on volatility and didn't gave much attention to the trend, later on i would publish an efficient version of it (efficient auto-line) based on the efficiency ratio who could adapt to the trend and eliminate potential whipsaws trades, however this approach included many settings that would require changes if the user switched markets, which reduce the utility of the indicator and make it actually super inefficient.
This is why i had to propose this indicator who remove all the flaws the efficient auto-line had without removing the core idea of it.
The Indicator
The indicator is based on recursion, when the price is superior/inferior to the indicator precedent value +/- volatility metric, then the indicator is equal to the closing price, this allow the indicator to fit the price relatively well. The volatility metric used is based on 2 standard deviations, one fast and one slow and the efficiency ratio, basically when price is trending the volatility metric will be closer to the value of the fast standard deviations, which would allow the indicator to be closer to the price, else the metric will be closer to the slow standard deviation which restrain the indicator from changing, therefore the volatility metric act as a threshold.
length control the period of the efficiency ratio, lower values of length will result in a volatility metric way closer to the fast standard deviation thus making the indicator more inclined toward making false signals.
Lower values for slow will make the indicator more reactive.
The indicator can be reactive but can also be really conservative, thus even remaining unchanged in some contrary movements of the main trend, this is called robustness and has its pro's and con's.
Conclusion
The trend-step indicators family might get to an end, or not, nonetheless they can provide precise entries and be extremely robust, which is great. Using low settings might prove to be useful to remove some noise. I hope this version find its use amongst the community. Thanks for reading !
IV/HV ratio 1.0 [dime]This script compares the implied volatility to the historic volatility as a ratio.
The plot indicates how high the current implied volatility for the next 30 days is relative to the actual volatility realized over the set period. This is most useful for options traders as it may show when the premiums paid on options are over valued relative to the historic risk.
The default is set to one year (252 bars) however any number of bars can be set for the lookback period for HV.
The default is set to VIX for the IV on SPX or SPY but other CBOE implied volatility indexes may be used. For /CL you have OVX/HV and for /GC you have GVX/HV.
Note that the CBOE data for these indexes may be delayed and updated EOD
and may not be suitable for intraday information. (Future versions of this script may be developed to provide a realtime intraday study. )
There is a list of many volatility indexes from CBOE listed at:
www.cboe.com
(Some may not yet be available on Tradingview)
RVX Russell 2000
VXN NASDAQ
VXO S&P 100
VXD DJIA
GVX Gold
OVX OIL
VIX3M 3-Month
VIX6M S&P 500 6-Month
VIX1Y 1-Year
VXEFA Cboe EFA ETF
VXEEM Cboe Emerging Markets ETF
VXFXI Cboe China ETF
VXEWZ Cboe Brazil ETF
VXSLV Cboe Silver ETF
VXGDX Cboe Gold Miners ETF
VXXLE Cboe Energy Sector ETF
EUVIX FX Euro
JYVIX FX Yen
BPVIX FX British Pound
EVZ Cboe EuroCurrency ETF Volatility Index
Amazon VXAZN
Apple VXAPL
Goldman Sachs VXGS
Google VXGOG
IBM VXIBM
Market Sentiment Trend Gauge [LevelUp]Market Sentiment Trend Gauge simplifies technical analysis by mathematically combining momentum, trend direction, volatility position, and comparison against a market benchmark, into a single trend score from -100 to +100. Displayed in a separate pane below your chart, it resolves conflicting signals from RSI, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and market correlations, providing clear insights into trend direction, strength, and relative performance.
THE PROBLEM MARKET SENTIMENT TREND GAUGE (MSTG) SOLVES
Traditional indicators often produce conflicting signals, such as RSI showing overbought while prices rise or moving averages indicating an uptrend despite market underperformance. MSTG creates a weighted composite score to answer: "What's the overall bias for this asset?"
KEY COMPONENTS AND WEIGHTINGS
The trend score combines
▪ Momentum (25%): Normalized 14-period RSI, capped at ±100.
▪ Trend Direction (35%): 10/21-period EMA relationships,
▪ Volatility Position (20%): Price position, 20-period Bollinger Bands, capped at ±100.
▪ Market Comparison (20%): Daily performance vs. SPY benchmark, capped at ±100.
Final score = Weighted sum, smoothed with 5-period EMA.
INTERPRETING THE MSTG CHART
Trend Score Ranges and Colors
▪ Bright Green (>+30): Strong bullish; ideal for long entries.
▪ Light Green (+10 to +30): Weak bullish; cautiously favorable.
▪ Gray (-10 to +10): Neutral; avoid directional trades.
▪ Light Red (-10 to -30): Weak bearish; exercise caution.
▪ Bright Red (<-30): Strong bearish; high-risk for longs, consider shorts.
Reference Lines
▪ Zero Line (Gray): Separates bullish/bearish; crossovers signal trend changes.
▪ ±30 Lines (Dotted, Green/Red): Thresholds for strong trends.
▪ ±60 Lines (Dashed, Green/Red): Extreme strength zones (not overbought/oversold); manage risk (tighten stops, partial profits) but trends may persist.
Background Colors
▪ Green Tint (>+20): Bullish environment; favorable for longs.
▪ Red Tint (<-20): Bearish environment; caution for longs.
▪ Light Gray Tint (-20 to +20): Neutral/range-bound; wait for signals.
Extreme Readings vs. Traditional Signals
MSTG ±60 indicates maximum alignment of all factors, not reversals (unlike RSI >70/<30). Use for risk management, not automatic exits. Strong trends can sustain extremes; breakdowns occur below +30 or above -30.
INFORMATION TABLE INTERPRETATION
Trend Score Symbols
▲▲ >+30 strong bullish
▲ +10 to +30
● -10 to +10 neutral
▼ -30 to -10
▼▼ <-30 strong bearish
Colors: Green (positive), White (neutral), Red (negative).
Momentum Score
+40 to +100 strong bullish
0 to +40 moderate bullish
-40 to 0 moderate bearish
-100 to -40 strong bearish
Market vs. Stock
▪ Green: Stock outperforming market
▪ Red: Stock underperforming market
Example Interpretations:
-0.45% / +1.23% (Green): Market down, stock up = Strong relative strength
+2.10% / +1.50% (Red): Both rising, but stock lagging = Relative weakness
-1.20% / -0.80% (Green): Both falling, but stock declining less = Defensive strength
UNDERSTANDING EXTREME READINGS VS TRADITIONAL OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD
⚠️ Critical distinctions
Traditional Overbought/Oversold Signals:
▪ Single indicator (like RSI >70 or <30) showing momentum excess
▪ Often suggests immediate reversal or pullback expected
▪ Based on "price moved too far, too fast" concept
MSTG Extreme Readings (±60):
▪ Composite alignment of 4 different factors (momentum, trend, volatility, relative strength)
▪ Indicates maximum strength in current direction
▪ NOT a reversal signal - means "all systems extremely bullish/bearish"
Key Differences:
▪ RSI >70: "Price got ahead of itself, expect pullback"
▪ MSTG >+60: "Everything is extremely bullish right now"
▪ Strong trends can maintain extreme MSTG readings during major moves
▪ Breakdowns happen when MSTG falls below +30, not at +60
Proper Usage of Extreme Readings:
▪ Risk Management: Tighten stops, take partial profits
▪ Position Sizing: Reduce new position sizes at extremes
▪ Trend Continuation: Watch for sustained extreme readings in strong markets
▪ Exit Signals: Look for breakdown below +30, not reversal from +60
TRADING WITH MSTG
Quick Assessment
1. Check trend symbol for direction.
2. Confirm momentum strength.
3. Note relative performance color.
Examples:
▲▲ 55.2 (Green), Momentum +28.4, Outperforming: Strong buy setup.
▼ -18.6 (Red), Momentum -43.2, Underperforming: Defensive positioning.
Entry Conditions
▪ Long: stock outperforming market
- Score >+30 (bright green)
- Sustained green background
- ▲▲ symbol,
▪ Short: stock underperforming market
- Score <-30 (bright red)
- Sustained red background
- ▼▼ symbol
Avoid Trading When:
▪ Gray zone (-10 to +10).
▪ Rapid color changes or frequent zero-line crosses (choppy market).
▪ Gray background (range-bound).
Risk Management:
▪ Stop Loss: Exit on zero-line crossover against position.
▪ Take Profit: Partial at ±60 for risk control.
▪ Position Sizing: Larger when signals align; smaller in extremes or mixed conditions.
KEY ADVANTAGES
▪ Unified View: Weighted composite reduces noise and conflicts.
▪ Visual Clarity: 5-color system with gradients for rapid recognition.
▪ Market Context: Relative strength vs. SPY identifies leaders/laggards.
▪ Flexibility: Works across timeframes (1-min to weekly); customizable table.
▪ Noise Reduction: EMA smoothing minimizes false signals.
EXAMPLES
Strong Bull: Trend Score 71.9, Momentum Score 76.9
Neutral: Trend Score 0.1, Momentum Score -9.2
Strong Bear: Trend Score -51.7, Momentum Score -51.5
PERFORMANCE AND LIMITATIONS
Strengths: Trend identification, noise reduction, relative performance versus market.
Limitations: Lags at turning points, less effective in extreme volatility or non-trending markets.
Recommendations: View on multiple timeframes, combine with price action and fundamentals.
Bollinger Keltner Squeeze Indicator (BBKC)Bollinger Keltner Squeeze Indicator (BBKC)This single-pane indicator combines the power of Bollinger Bands (BB) and Keltner Channels (KC) to accurately identify periods of low volatility compression—the famous Squeeze—which often precedes large, directional moves.Designed for traders utilizing Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution (AMD) strategies, this tool makes spotting the 'Accumulation' phase simple and visually clear, perfect for high BTC Beta equities or futures markets like MES and MNQ.Key Features:Clear Squeeze Visualization:The background of the main chart is shaded Orange when the Squeeze is active (BB is inside KC). This immediately highlights periods of extreme compression.A simple Red/Green Dot below the chart confirms the Squeeze state (Red = Squeeze ON, Green = Squeeze OFF).Momentum Histogram:A built-in momentum oscillator smooths price action and guides the anticipated direction of the breakout.Teal/Orange Bars: Indicate momentum direction while the Squeeze is active (building pressure).Bright Green/Red Bars: Indicate momentum direction after the Squeeze has broken (expansion/breakout).How to Find Maximum Volatility Compression (The "Tightest" Squeeze)To align this indicator with a strategy focused on catching only the most extreme volatility compression—the key to those explosive moves—traders should adjust the Keltner Channel Multiplier setting.Setting Name: KC Multiplier (ATR)Default Value: 1.5Recommended Adjustment: To filter for only the absolute tightest squeezes (where price is least volatile), decrease this multiplier value, typically down to 1.25 or even 1.0.By lowering the KC Multiplier (ATR), you narrow the Keltner Channel boundaries. This requires the Bollinger Bands to compress even further to fit inside, ensuring the indicator only signals the Squeeze state during moments of truly minimal volatility, setting you up for maximum opportunity.
Mongoose Global Conflict Risk Index v1Overview
The Mongoose Global Conflict Risk Index v1 is a multi-asset composite indicator designed to track the early pricing of geopolitical stress and potential conflict risk across global markets. By combining signals from safe havens, volatility indices, energy markets, and emerging market equities, the index provides a normalized 0–10 score with clear bias classifications (Neutral, Caution, Elevated, High, Shock).
This tool is not predictive of headlines but captures when markets are clustering around conflict-sensitive assets before events are widely recognized.
Methodology
The indicator calculates rolling rate-of-change z-scores for eight conflict-sensitive assets:
Gold (XAUUSD) – classic safe haven
US Dollar Index (DXY) – global reserve currency flows
VIX (Equity Volatility) – S&P 500 implied volatility
OVX (Crude Oil Volatility Index) – energy stress gauge
Crude Oil (CL1!) – WTI front contract
Natural Gas (NG1!) – energy security proxy, especially Europe
EEM (Emerging Markets ETF) – global risk capital flight
FXI (China ETF) – Asia/China proxy risk
Rules:
Safe havens and vol indices trigger when z-score > threshold.
Energy triggers when z-score > threshold.
Risk assets trigger when z-score < –threshold.
Each trigger is assigned a weight, summed, normalized, and scaled 0–10.
Bias classification:
0–2: Neutral
2–4: Caution
4–6: Elevated
6–8: High
8–10: Conflict Risk-On
How to Use
Timeframes:
Daily (1D) for strategic signals and early warnings.
4H for event shocks (missiles, sanctions, sudden escalations).
Weekly (1W) for sustained trends and macro build-ups.
What to Look For:
A single trigger (for example, Gold ON) may be noise.
A cluster of 2–3 triggers across Gold, USD, VIX, and Energy often marks early stress pricing.
Elevated readings (>4) = caution; High (>6) = rotation into havens; Shock (>8) = market conviction of conflict risk.
Practical Application:
Monitor as a heatmap of global stress.
Combine with fundamental or headline tracking.
Use alert conditions at ≥4, ≥6, ≥8 for systematic monitoring.
Notes
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods.
Nirvana True Duel전략 이름
열반의 진검승부 (영문: Nirvana True Duel)
컨셉과 철학
“열반의 진검승부”는 시장 소음은 무시하고, 확실할 때만 진입하는 전략입니다.
EMA 리본으로 추세 방향을 확인하고, 볼린저 밴드 수축/확장으로 변동성 돌파를 포착하며, OBV로 거래량 확인을 통해 가짜 돌파를 필터링합니다.
전략 로직
매수 조건 (롱)
20EMA > 50EMA (상승 추세)
밴드폭 수축 후 확장 시작
종가가 상단 밴드 돌파
OBV 상승 흐름 유지
매도 조건 (숏)
20EMA < 50EMA (하락 추세)
밴드폭 수축 후 확장 시작
종가가 하단 밴드 이탈
OBV 하락 흐름 유지
진입·청산
손절: ATR × 1.5 배수
익절: 손절폭의 1.5~2배에서 부분 청산
시간 청산: 설정한 최대 보유 봉수 초과 시 강제 청산
장점
✅ 추세·변동성·거래량 3중 필터 → 노이즈 최소화
✅ 백테스트·알람 지원 → 기계적 매매 가능
✅ 5분/15분 차트에 적합 → 단타/스윙 트레이딩 활용 가능
주의점
⚠ 횡보장에서는 신호가 적거나 실패 가능
⚠ 수수료·슬리피지 고려 필요
📜 Nirvana True Duel — Strategy Description (English)
Name:
Nirvana True Duel (a.k.a. Nirvana Cross)
Concept & Philosophy
The “Nirvana True Duel” strategy focuses on trading only meaningful breakouts and avoiding unnecessary noise.
Nirvana: A calm, patient state — waiting for the right opportunity without emotional trading.
True Duel: When the signal appears, enter decisively and let the market reveal the outcome.
In short: “Ignore market noise, trade only high-probability breakouts.”
🧩 Strategy Components
Trend Filter (EMA Ribbon): Stay aligned with the main market trend.
Volatility Squeeze (Bollinger Band): Detect volatility contraction & expansion to catch explosive moves early.
Volume Confirmation (OBV): Filter out false breakouts by confirming with volume flow.
⚔️ Entry & Exit Conditions
Long Setup:
20 EMA > 50 EMA (uptrend)
BB width breaks out from recent squeeze
Close > Upper Bollinger Band
OBV shows positive flow
Short Setup:
20 EMA < 50 EMA (downtrend)
BB width breaks out from recent squeeze
Close < Lower Bollinger Band
OBV shows negative flow
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: ATR × 1.5 below/above entry
Take Profit: 1.5–2× stop distance, partial take-profit allowed
Time Stop: Automatically closes after max bars held (e.g. 8h on 5m chart)
✅ Strengths
Triple Filtering: Trend + Volatility + Volume → fewer false signals
Mechanical & Backtestable: Ideal for objective trading & performance validation
Adaptable: Works well on Bitcoin, Nasdaq futures, and other high-volatility markets (5m/15m)
⚠️ Things to Note
Low signal frequency or higher failure rate in sideways/range markets
Commission & slippage should be factored in, especially on lower timeframes
ATR multiplier and R:R ratio should be optimized per asset
Laguerre-Kalman Adaptive Filter | AlphaNattLaguerre-Kalman Adaptive Filter |AlphaNatt
A sophisticated trend-following indicator that combines Laguerre polynomial filtering with Kalman optimal estimation to create an ultra-smooth, low-lag trend line with exceptional noise reduction capabilities.
"The perfect trend line adapts to market conditions while filtering out noise - this indicator achieves both through advanced mathematical techniques rarely seen in retail trading."
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🎯 KEY FEATURES
Dual-Filter Architecture: Combines two powerful filtering methods for superior performance
Adaptive Volatility Adjustment: Automatically adapts to market conditions
Minimal Lag: Laguerre polynomials provide faster response than traditional moving averages
Optimal Noise Reduction: Kalman filtering removes market noise while preserving trend
Clean Visual Design: Color-coded trend visualization (cyan/pink)
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📊 THE MATHEMATICS
1. Laguerre Filter Component
The Laguerre filter uses a cascade of four all-pass filters with a single gamma parameter:
4th order IIR (Infinite Impulse Response) filter
Single parameter (gamma) controls all filter characteristics
Provides smoother output than EMA with similar lag
Based on Laguerre polynomials from quantum mechanics
2. Kalman Filter Component
Implements a simplified Kalman filter for optimal estimation:
Prediction-correction algorithm from aerospace engineering
Dynamically adjusts based on estimation error
Provides mathematically optimal estimate of true price trend
Reduces noise while maintaining responsiveness
3. Adaptive Mechanism
Monitors market volatility in real-time
Adjusts filter parameters based on current conditions
More responsive in trending markets
More stable in ranging markets
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⚙️ INDICATOR SETTINGS
Laguerre Gamma (0.1-0.99): Controls filter smoothness. Higher = smoother but more lag
Adaptive Period (5-100): Lookback for volatility calculation
Kalman Noise Reduction (0.1-2.0): Higher = more noise filtering
Trend Threshold (0.0001-0.01): Minimum change to register trend shift
Recommended Settings:
Scalping: Gamma: 0.6, Period: 10, Noise: 0.3
Day Trading: Gamma: 0.8, Period: 20, Noise: 0.5 (default)
Swing Trading: Gamma: 0.9, Period: 30, Noise: 0.8
Position Trading: Gamma: 0.95, Period: 50, Noise: 1.2
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📈 TRADING SIGNALS
Primary Signals:
Cyan Line: Bullish trend - price above filter and filter ascending
Pink Line: Bearish trend - price below filter or filter descending
Color Change: Potential trend reversal point
Entry Strategies:
Trend Continuation: Enter on pullback to filter line in trending market
Trend Reversal: Enter on color change with volume confirmation
Breakout: Enter when price crosses filter with momentum
Exit Strategies:
Exit long when line turns from cyan to pink
Exit short when line turns from pink to cyan
Use filter as trailing stop in strong trends
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✨ ADVANTAGES OVER TRADITIONAL INDICATORS
Vs. Moving Averages:
Significantly less lag while maintaining smoothness
Adaptive to market conditions
Better noise filtering
Vs. Standard Filters:
Dual-filter approach provides optimal estimation
Mathematical foundation from signal processing
Self-adjusting parameters
Vs. Other Trend Indicators:
Cleaner signals with fewer whipsaws
Works across all timeframes
No repainting or lookahead bias
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🎓 MATHEMATICAL BACKGROUND
The Laguerre filter was developed by John Ehlers, applying Laguerre polynomials (used in quantum mechanics) to financial markets. These polynomials provide an elegant solution to the lag-smoothness tradeoff that plagues traditional moving averages.
The Kalman filter, developed by Rudolf Kalman in 1960, is used in everything from GPS systems to spacecraft navigation. It provides the mathematically optimal estimate of a system's state given noisy measurements.
By combining these two approaches, this indicator achieves what neither can alone: a smooth, responsive trend line that adapts to market conditions while filtering out noise.
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💡 TIPS FOR BEST RESULTS
Confirm with Volume: Strong trends should have increasing volume
Multiple Timeframes: Use higher timeframe for trend, lower for entry
Combine with Momentum: RSI or MACD can confirm filter signals
Market Conditions: Adjust noise parameter based on market volatility
Backtesting: Always test settings on your specific instrument
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⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
No indicator is perfect - always use proper risk management
Best suited for trending markets
May produce false signals in choppy/ranging conditions
Not financial advice - for educational purposes only
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🚀 CONCLUSION
The Laguerre-Kalman Adaptive Filter represents a significant advancement in technical analysis, bringing institutional-grade mathematical techniques to retail traders. Its unique combination of polynomial filtering and optimal estimation provides a clean, reliable trend-following tool that adapts to changing market conditions.
Whether you're scalping on the 1-minute chart or position trading on the daily, this indicator provides clear, actionable signals with minimal false positives.
"In the world of technical analysis, the edge comes from using better mathematics. This indicator delivers that edge."
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Developed by AlphaNatt | Professional Quantitative Trading Tools
Version: 1.0
Last Updated: 2025
Pine Script: v6
License: Open Source
Not financial advice. Always DYOR
Advanced Range Analyzer ProAdvanced Range Analyzer Pro – Adaptive Range Detection & Breakout Forecasting
Overview
Advanced Range Analyzer Pro is a comprehensive trading tool designed to help traders identify consolidations, evaluate their strength, and forecast potential breakout direction. By combining volatility-adjusted thresholds, volume distribution analysis, and historical breakout behavior, the indicator builds an adaptive framework for navigating sideways price action. Instead of treating ranges as noise, this system transforms them into opportunities for mean reversion or breakout trading.
How It Works
The indicator continuously scans price action to identify active range environments. Ranges are defined by volatility compression, repeated boundary interactions, and clustering of volume near equilibrium. Once detected, the indicator assigns a strength score (0–100), which quantifies how well-defined and compressed the consolidation is.
Breakout probabilities are then calculated by factoring in:
Relative time spent near the upper vs. lower range boundaries
Historical breakout tendencies for similar structures
Volume distribution inside the range
Momentum alignment using auxiliary filters (RSI/MACD)
This creates a live probability forecast that updates as price evolves. The tool also supports range memory, allowing traders to analyze the last completed range after a breakout has occurred. A dynamic strength meter is displayed directly above each consolidation range, providing real-time insight into range compression and breakout potential.
Signals and Breakouts
Advanced Range Analyzer Pro includes a structured set of visual tools to highlight actionable conditions:
Range Zones – Gradient-filled boxes highlight active consolidations.
Strength Meter – A live score displayed in the dashboard quantifies compression.
Breakout Labels – Probability percentages show bias toward bullish or bearish continuation.
Breakout Highlights – When a breakout occurs, the range is marked with directional confirmation.
Dashboard Table – Displays current status, strength, live/last range mode, and probabilities.
These elements update in real time, ensuring that traders always see the current state of consolidation and breakout risk.
Interpretation
Range Strength : High scores (70–100) indicate strong consolidations likely to resolve explosively, while low scores suggest weak or choppy ranges prone to false signals.
Breakout Probability : Directional bias greater than 60% suggests meaningful breakout pressure. Equal probabilities indicate balanced compression, favoring mean-reversion strategies.
Market Context : Ranges aligned with higher timeframe trends often resolve in the dominant direction, while counter-trend ranges may lead to reversals or liquidity sweeps.
Volatility Insight : Tight ranges with low ATR imply imminent expansion; wide ranges signal extended consolidation or distribution phases.
Strategy Integration
Advanced Range Analyzer Pro can be applied across multiple trading styles:
Breakout Trading : Enter on probability shifts above 60% with confirmation of volume or momentum.
Mean Reversion : Trade inside ranges with high strength scores by fading boundaries and targeting equilibrium.
Trend Continuation : Focus on ranges that form mid-trend, anticipating continuation after consolidation.
Liquidity Sweeps : Use failed breakouts at boundaries to capture reversals.
Multi-Timeframe : Apply on higher timeframes to frame market context, then execute on lower timeframes.
Advanced Techniques
Combine with volume profiles to identify areas of institutional positioning within ranges.
Track sequences of strong consolidations for trend development or exhaustion signals.
Use breakout probability shifts in conjunction with order flow or momentum indicators to refine entries.
Monitor expanding/contracting range widths to anticipate volatility cycles.
Custom parameters allow fine-tuning sensitivity for different assets (crypto, forex, equities) and trading styles (scalping, intraday, swing).
Inputs and Customization
Range Detection Sensitivity : Controls how strictly ranges are defined.
Strength Score Settings : Adjust weighting of compression, volume, and breakout memory.
Probability Forecasting : Enable/disable directional bias and thresholds.
Gradient & Fill Options : Customize range visualization colors and opacity.
Dashboard Display : Toggle live vs last range, info table size, and position.
Breakout Highlighting : Choose border/zone emphasis on breakout events.
Why Use Advanced Range Analyzer Pro
This indicator provides a data-driven approach to trading consolidation phases, one of the most common yet underutilized market states. By quantifying range strength, mapping probability forecasts, and visually presenting risk zones, it transforms uncertainty into clarity.
Whether you’re trading breakouts, fading ranges, or mapping higher timeframe context, Advanced Range Analyzer Pro delivers a structured, adaptive framework that integrates seamlessly into multiple strategies.
Swing Z | Zillennial Technologies Inc.Swing Z by Zillennial Technologies Inc. is an advanced algorithmic framework built specifically for cryptocurrency markets. It integrates multiple layers of technical analysis into a single decision-support tool, generating buy and sell signals only when several independent confirmations align.
Core Concept
Swing Z fuses trend structure, momentum oscillators, volatility signals, and price action tools to capture high-probability trading opportunities in volatile crypto environments.
Trend Structure (EMA 9, 21, 50, 200)
Short-term EMAs (9 & 21) detect immediate momentum shifts.
Longer-term EMAs (50 & 200) define the broader trend and dynamic support/resistance.
Momentum & Confirmation Layer
RSI measures relative strength and market conditions.
MACD crossovers confirm momentum shifts and trend continuations.
Volatility & Market Pressure
TTM Squeeze highlights compression zones likely to precede breakouts.
Volume analysis confirms conviction behind directional moves.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) establishes intraday value zones and institutional benchmarks.
Price Action Filters
Fibonacci retracements are integrated to identify key reversal and continuation levels.
Signals are produced only when multiple conditions agree, reducing noise and improving reliability in fast-moving crypto markets.
Features
Tailored for cryptocurrency trading across major pairs (BTC, ETH, and altcoins).
Works effectively on swing and trend-based timeframes (1H–1D).
Combines trend, momentum, volatility, and price action into a single framework.
Generates clear Buy/Sell markers and integrates with TradingView alerts.
How to Use
Apply to a clean chart for the clearest visualization.
Use Swing Z as a swing trading tool, aligning entries with both trend structure and momentum confirmation.
Combine with your own stop-loss, take-profit, and position sizing rules.
Avoid application on non-standard chart types such as Renko, Heikin Ashi, or Point & Figure, which may distort results.
Disclaimer
Swing Z is designed as a decision-support tool, not financial advice.
All backtesting should use realistic risk, commission, and slippage assumptions.
Past results do not guarantee future performance.
Signals do not repaint but may adjust as new data develops in real-time.
Why Swing Z is original & useful:
Swing Z unifies EMA trend structure, RSI, MACD, TTM Squeeze, VWAP, Fibonacci retracements, and volume analysis into a single algorithmic framework. This multi-confirmation approach improves accuracy by requiring consensus across trend, momentum, volatility, and price action — a design made specifically for the challenges and volatility of cryptocurrency markets.
