Implied Volatility WallsThe Implied Volatility Walls (IVW) indicator is a powerful and advanced trading tool designed to help traders identify key market zones where price may encounter significant resistance or support based on volatility. Using implied volatility, historical volatility, and machine learning models, IVW provides traders with a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. This indicator is especially useful for those who wish to forecast volatility-driven price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
How the Implied Volatility Walls (IVW) Works:
The Implied Volatility Walls (IVW) indicator uses a combination of historical price data and advanced machine learning algorithms to calculate key volatility levels and forecast future market conditions. It tracks cumulative volatility, identifies support and resistance zones, and detects liquidation bubbles to highlight critical price areas.
The main concept behind this tool is that price tends to move most of the time by the same amount, making it possible to average the past maximum excursion in order to obtain a validated area where traders can be able to see clearly that the price is moving more than normal.
This indicator primarily focuses on:
1. Volatility Zones: Potential support and resistance levels based on implied and historical volatility.
2. Machine Learning Volatility Forecast: A machine learning model that predicts high, medium, or low volatility for future market conditions.
3. Liquidation Detection: Highlights key areas of potential forced liquidations, where market participants may be forced out of their positions, often leading to significant price movements.
4. Backtesting and Win Rate: The indicator continuously monitors how effective its volatility-based predictions are, offering insights into the performance of its predictions.
Key Features:
1. Volatility Tracking:
- The IVW indicator calculates cumulative volatility by analyzing the range between the high and low prices over time. It also tracks volatility percentiles and separates the market conditions into high, medium, or low volatility zones, enabling traders to gauge how volatile the market is.
2. Volatility Walls (Upper and Lower Zones):
- Upper Volatility Wall (Red Zones): Represent resistance levels where the price might encounter difficulty moving higher due to excess in volatility. This zone is calculated based on the chosen percentile in the settings.
- Lower Volatility Wall (Blue Zones): Represent support levels where price may find buying support.
- These walls help traders visualize potential zones where reversals or breakouts could occur based on volatility conditions.
3. Machine Learning Forecast:
- One of the standout features of the IVW indicator is its machine learning algorithm that estimates future volatility levels. It categorizes volatility into high, medium, and low based on recent data and provides forecasts on what the next market condition is likely to be.
- This forecast helps traders anticipate market conditions and adapt their strategies accordingly. It is displayed on the chart as "Exp. Vol", providing insight into the future expected volatility.
4. VIX Adjustments:
- The indicator can be adjusted using the well-known **VIX (Volatility Index)** to further refine its volatility predictions. This enables traders to incorporate market sentiment into their analysis, improving the accuracy of the predictions for different market conditions.
5. Liquidation Bubbles:
- The Liquidation Bubbles feature highlights areas where large forced selling or buying events may occur, which are usually accompanied by spikes in volatility and volume. These bubbles appear when price deviates significantly from moving averages with substantial volume increases, alerting traders to potential volatile moves.
- Red dots indicate likely forced liquidations on the upside, and blue dots indicate forced liquidations on the downside. These bubbles can help traders spot moments of market stress and potential price swings due to liquidations.
6. Dynamic Volatility Zones:
- IVW dynamically adjusts support and resistance levels as market conditions evolve. This allows traders to always have up-to-date and relevant information based on the latest volatility patterns.
7. Cumulative Volatility Histogram:
- At the bottom of the chart, the purple histogram represents cumulative volatility over time, giving traders a visual cue of whether volatility is building up or subsiding. This can provide early signals of market transitions from low to high volatility, aiding traders in timing their entries and exits more accurately.
8. Backtesting and Win Rate:
- The IVW indicator includes a backtesting function that monitors the success of its volatility predictions over a selected period. It shows a Win Rate (WR) percentage (with 33% meaning that the machine learning algorithm does not bring any edge), representing how often the indicator's predictions were correct. This metric is crucial for assessing the reliability of the model’s forecasts.
9. Opening Range:
- At the beginning of a new session, the indicator will plot two lines indicating the high and the low of the first candle of the new time frame chosen.
Chart Breakdown:
Below is a description of what users see when using the Implied Volatility Walls (IVW) indicator on the chart:
Volatility Walls:
- Red shaded zones at the top represent upper volatility walls (resistance zones), while blue shaded zones at the bottom represent lower volatility walls (support zones). These areas show where price is likely to react due to high or low volatility conditions.
Liquidation Bubbles:
- Red and blue dots plotted above and below the price represent **liquidation bubbles**, indicating moments of market stress where volatility and volume spikes may force market participants to exit positions.
Cumulative Volatility Histogram:
- The purple histogram at the bottom of the chart reflects the buildup of cumulative volatility over time. Higher bars suggest increased volatility, signaling the potential for large price movements, while smaller bars represent calmer market conditions.
Real-Time Support and Resistance Levels:
- Solid and dashed lines represent current and historical support and resistance levels, helping traders identify price zones that have historically acted as volatility-driven turning points.
Gradient Bar Colors:
- The price bars change color based on their proximity to the volatility walls, with different colors representing how close the price is to these key levels. This color gradient provides a quick visual cue of potential market turning points.
Data Tables Explained:
Table 1: **Volatility Information Table (Top Right Corner):
- EV: Expected Volatility (based on the VIX FIX calculation from Larry Williams).
- +V and -V: Represents the adjusted volatility for upward (+V) and downward (-V) movements.
- Exp. Vol: Shows the expected volatility condition for the next period (High, Medium, or Low) based on the machine learning algorithm.
- WR: The Win Rate based on the backtesting of previous volatility predictions (three outcomes, so base Win rate is 33%, and not 50%).
Table 2: Expected Cumulative Range (Top Right Corner of the separated pane):
- Exp. CR: Expected Cumulative Range based on a machine learning algorithm that calculate the most likely outcome (cumulative range) based on the past days and metrics.
How to Use the Indicator:
1. Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- Use the upper (red) and lower (blue) volatility walls to identify zones where the price is likely to face resistance or support due to volatility dynamics.
2. Forecast Future Volatility:
- Pay attention to the Expected Vol field in the table to understand whether the machine learning model predicts high, medium, or low volatility for the next trading session.
3. Monitor Liquidation Bubbles:
- Watch for red and blue bubbles as they can signal significant market events where volatility and volume spikes may lead to sudden price reversals or continuations.
4. Use the Histogram to Gauge Market Conditions:
- The cumulative volatility histogram shows whether the market is entering a high or low volatility phase, helping you adjust your risk accordingly and making you able to identify the potential of the rest of the chosen session.
5. Backtesting Confidence:
- The Win Rate (WR) provides insight into how reliable the indicator’s predictions have been over the backtested period, giving you additional confidence in its future forecasts, remember that considering the 3 scenarios possible (high volatility, medium and low volatility), the standard win rate is 33%, and not 50%!.
Final Notes:
The Implied Volatility Walls (IVW) indicator is a powerful tool for volatility-based analysis, providing traders with real-time data on potential support and resistance levels, liquidation bubbles, and future market conditions. By leveraging a machine learning model for volatility forecasting, this tool helps traders stay ahead of the market’s volatility patterns and make informed decisions.
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes only and should not be solely relied upon for trading decisions. Always perform your own research and risk management when trading.
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RSI with Swing Trade by Kelvin_VAlgorithm Description: "RSI with Swing Trade by Kelvin_V"
1. Introduction:
This algorithm uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and optional Moving Averages (MA) to detect potential uptrends and downtrends in the market. The key feature of this script is that it visually changes the candle colors based on the market conditions, making it easier for users to identify potential trend swings or wave patterns.
The strategy offers flexibility by allowing users to enable or disable the MA condition. When the MA condition is enabled, the strategy will confirm trends using two moving averages. When disabled, the strategy will only use RSI to detect potential market swings.
2. Key Features of the Algorithm:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is used to identify potential market turning points based on overbought and oversold conditions.
When the RSI exceeds a predefined upper threshold (e.g., 60), it suggests a potential uptrend.
When the RSI drops below a lower threshold (e.g., 40), it suggests a potential downtrend.
Moving Averages (MA) - Optional:
Two Moving Averages (Short MA and Long MA) are used to confirm trends.
If the Short MA crosses above the Long MA, it indicates an uptrend.
If the Short MA crosses below the Long MA, it indicates a downtrend.
Users have the option to enable or disable this MA condition.
Visual Candle Coloring:
Green candles represent a potential uptrend, indicating a bullish move based on RSI (and MA if enabled).
Red candles represent a potential downtrend, indicating a bearish move based on RSI (and MA if enabled).
3. How the Algorithm Works:
RSI Levels:
The user can set RSI upper and lower bands to represent potential overbought and oversold levels. For example:
RSI > 60: Indicates a potential uptrend (bullish move).
RSI < 40: Indicates a potential downtrend (bearish move).
Optional MA Condition:
The algorithm also allows the user to apply the MA condition to further confirm the trend:
Short MA > Long MA: Confirms an uptrend, reinforcing a bullish signal.
Short MA < Long MA: Confirms a downtrend, reinforcing a bearish signal.
This condition can be disabled, allowing the user to focus solely on RSI signals if desired.
Swing Trade Logic:
Uptrend: If the RSI exceeds the upper threshold (e.g., 60) and (optionally) the Short MA is above the Long MA, the candles will turn green to signal a potential uptrend.
Downtrend: If the RSI falls below the lower threshold (e.g., 40) and (optionally) the Short MA is below the Long MA, the candles will turn red to signal a potential downtrend.
Visual Representation:
The candle colors change dynamically based on the RSI values and moving average conditions, making it easier for traders to visually identify potential trend swings or wave patterns without relying on complex chart analysis.
4. User Customization:
The algorithm provides multiple customization options:
RSI Length: Users can adjust the period for RSI calculation (default is 4).
RSI Upper Band (Potential Uptrend): Users can customize the upper RSI level (default is 60) to indicate a potential bullish move.
RSI Lower Band (Potential Downtrend): Users can customize the lower RSI level (default is 40) to indicate a potential bearish move.
MA Type: Users can choose between SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) for moving average calculations.
Enable/Disable MA Condition: Users can toggle the MA condition on or off, depending on whether they want to add moving averages to the trend confirmation process.
5. Benefits of the Algorithm:
Easy Identification of Trends: By changing candle colors based on RSI and MA conditions, the algorithm makes it easy for users to visually detect potential trend reversals and trend swings.
Flexible Conditions: The user has full control over the RSI and MA settings, allowing them to adapt the strategy to different market conditions and timeframes.
Clear Visualization: With the candle color changes, users can quickly recognize when a potential uptrend or downtrend is forming, enabling faster decision-making in their trading.
6. Example Usage:
Day traders: Can apply this strategy on short timeframes such as 5 minutes or 15 minutes to detect quick trends or reversals.
Swing traders: Can use this strategy on longer timeframes like 1 hour or 4 hours to identify and follow larger market swings.
Arithmetic Candlesticks (Zeiierman)█ Arithmetic Candlestick - Overview
Arithmetic Candlesticks (Zeiierman) introduce a new way to read charts by applying logical arithmetic to real price data. These candlesticks focus on filtering out noise and smoothing price movements using a bell-shaped curve, which helps to refine the data and highlight the true trend. This approach provides a clearer view of market trends, allowing traders to interpret price action more effectively with minimal lag and distraction.
⚪ What is Arithmetic Candlesticks
Arithmetic Candlesticks use a calculation method rooted in the idea that the market moves in patterns that can be identified and predicted by examining past price movements.
Analyzing momentum, price action, and trend patterns is useful for traders who want to quickly scan and identify price patterns, trends, and momentum in the market. The system searches for these patterns and trends to anticipate future price movements. Traders and investors can identify trends hidden in market noise, enabling them to uncover trading opportunities that might not be immediately obvious to the naked eye.
⚪ Eliminates price noise
The Arithmetic Candlestick noise filtering function is used to reduce price noise, which is the randomness in the price movement of an asset caused by market participants trading on a short-term basis. The idea behind the filter is that it eliminates the impact of short-term fluctuations in the price, thus providing a more accurate picture of the overall trend.
█ Capturing Trends with precise chart reading
Trend moves are some of the biggest moneymakers in trading; in fact, trading in the direction of the trend reduces risk and increases profit potential. Arithmetic Candlestick helps traders do just that.
In a fast-moving and volatile market characterized by high-frequency algorithms, retail traders have a hard time distinguishing the real trend from the noise. Arithmetic Candlesticks are designed to filter out the noise created by insignificant price moves and leave traders with the price action that matters, namely a clear and insightful chart reading. Due to its sophisticated mathematical calculations, Arithmetic Candlesticks are able to analyze any market and timeframe.
█ How to use Arithmetic Candlesticks
Arithmetic Candlesticks is an all-in-one trend and momentum tool that can be used stand-alone or in conjunction with other indicators. Its primary use is to provide a clear chart reading, easily identify trends, and help traders stay longer in trends.
The indicator includes excellent momentum features that offer insights into the current momentum and the strength of the price action. This provides traders with a unique chart experience that yields valuable insights. The indicator boasts numerous features, each of which can be used stand-alone or in combination with others. Read more about the features below.
These candles can be used in conjunction with other indicators such as support/resistance, trendlines, ICT trading, and other patterns.
█ Arithmetic Candlesticks features
The indicator comes with tons of great features that make the indicator into its own system that can be used stand-alone. You find everything from trend reading, entry/exit points, identifying momentum, and auto-stop loss.
⚪ Candle Modes:
Traders can select from three different types of arithmetic candle calculations and enable our volatility-adjusted filter for all of them. By default, the candles are set to Arithmetic candlesticks. However, depending on their trading preferences, users can select Arithmetic + Heikin Ashi Candles or Impulse + Wicks Candles.
The Heikin Ashi mode of the candlesticks makes the indicator smoother and more trend-friendly.
The Impulse + Wick mode of the candlesticks makes the indicator responsive to momentum. The length of the wicks represents the strength of the current momentum. The longer the wicks, the greater the momentum in the market.
If traders enable the Volatility Adjusted candles , the indicator becomes much more responsive to volatility moves, which is a way of making the candlesticks more responsive to significant price movements.
⚪ Trend coloring
Arithmetic candlesticks come in three different color modes: the default one, the gradient one, and the advanced trend coloring. Enable the Trend coloring if you want to engage in long-term trend trading. This filter does not change the arithmetic candlesticks, only the bar coloring.
⚪ Buy and Sell signals
To make trend trading easier to understand, we have included Buy/Sell signals. These signals are based both on the type of candlesticks selected and the type of coloring used. In addition, they come with three filters and are available in scalping and trend modes.
Candle Color Filter: A buy signal will only occur if the candlesticks are bullish, and a sell signal will only occur if the candlesticks are bearish.
Trend Tracker Filter: A buy signal will only occur if the Trend Tracker is bullish, and a sell signal will only occur if the Trend Tracker is bearish.
When both filters are applied, it means that both the candle color and the Trend Tracker should have the same sign in order to trigger a signal.
These filters are very effective and should be used when utilizing the signals.
Take Profit signals can be enabled to help traders know when to take profits.
Adaptive Stop Loss can be enabled for the signals, helping traders manage their risk.
⚪ Trend Tracker
The Trend Tracker line provides insights about the underlying trend. Adjust it if you want to engage in scalping, which makes the line much more responsive. Set the underlying speed of the trend to either Fast or Slow. This Trend Tracker works well in conjunction with Arithmetic Candlesticks and the associated signals.
⚪ Trend Sentiment
Enable Trend Sentiment to identify the levels at which the market is considered bullish or bearish. This feature helps you gauge the overall market direction, allowing you to align your trades with the prevailing trend. The Trend Sentiment also measures the strength of the trend, highlighting whether the current price action reflects a strong or weak trend. Adjust the sensitivity to determine how early or late you want to capture these trend signals.
⚪ Impulse
Enable Impulse Signals to understand when the market is making a significant move, often leading to a pullback or pause. These Impulse Signals can indicate the very start of a trend or serve as the first sign of a reversal. Enable 'Significant Impulses' if you only want to display the most significant market impulses.
█ How is Arithmetic Candlesticks Calculated?
⚪ Candlesticks
These candlesticks combine advanced smoothing techniques with price pattern recognition, giving traders a clearer view of market dynamics.
Adaptive Smoothing: The core of this smoothing approach is its ability to adjust dynamically based on market conditions. It reduces lag while staying responsive to price changes. This adaptive nature allows the candlesticks to follow the price action smoothly, minimizing the influence of short-term fluctuations. As a result, the trend is depicted with greater accuracy, helping traders to stay in tune with the market’s true direction.
Refined Smoothing with Weighted Averages: Another key component of the smoothing process involves applying a refined technique that uses a bell-shaped curve to weight price data. This method reduces the impact of outlier movements, resulting in a smoother, more continuous curve that accurately represents the market's central trend. This ensures that the candlesticks reflect a more balanced view of price action, focusing on the significant movements while filtering out unnecessary noise.
⚪ Trend Coloring
The Trend Coloring feature offers a powerful visualization tool that helps traders quickly identify the prevailing market trend and its strength. By analyzing market structure and the velocity of price movements, this feature provides a clear, dynamic view of the long-term trend direction.
Market Structure Analysis: The Trend Coloring is rooted in a thorough analysis of market structure, focusing on key price levels over time. By evaluating these levels, the system determines whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or ranging phase. This information is then used to color the chart according to the current trend direction, providing a visual cue that makes it easier to align your trades with the broader market movement.
Velocity of Price Movements: . In addition to identifying the trend direction, the system also calculates the velocity of price movements. This involves assessing how quickly or slowly prices are advancing in a particular direction, offering deeper insight into the trend's strength and momentum. Faster price movements suggest a stronger trend, while slower movements may indicate a weakening or consolidating market. This dynamic approach ensures that the Trend Coloring not only highlights the trend but also reflects its intensity and potential sustainability.
⚪ Buy and Sell signals
The Buy/Sell signals are generated using a sophisticated approach that tracks key price action levels to determine market direction and momentum. This method constantly evaluates the relationship between the current price and dynamically adjusting levels that reflect the underlying market conditions. By staying in tune with the flow of the market, this approach effectively captures the onset of new trends while reducing the lag typically associated with traditional indicators.
Dynamic Price Action Levels: The signals are based on critical price action levels that adapt in real-time to market movements. These levels serve as flexible thresholds that help identify potential buy or sell opportunities. When the price interacts with these levels, it triggers signals that indicate possible entry or exit points, aligning your trades with the prevailing market direction.
Price Patterns: The algorithm also recognizes and integrates specific price patterns that are often precursors to significant market moves. By identifying these patterns, the system can anticipate changes in market direction more accurately, enabling earlier and more precise signals. This helps in capturing trend reversals or continuations effectively.
Momentum-Driven Adjustments: The system's price action levels are not static; they adjust dynamically in response to strong price movements. This ensures that the signals are not only timely but also in sync with the underlying market momentum, making the system highly effective in volatile conditions where quick decision-making is crucial.
⚪ Trend Tracker
The Trend Tracker utilizes the core principles of Arithmetic Candlesticks, including their sophisticated smoothing techniques and pattern recognition capabilities. By leveraging these features, the Trend Tracker effectively filters out market noise, allowing it to present a smooth and accurate representation of the current trend. This makes it easier to identify whether the market is trending upwards, downwards, or entering a period of consolidation.
Adaptive to Market Conditions: The Trend Tracker is not static; it dynamically adjusts as market conditions change. Whether the market is experiencing high volatility or moving through a quieter phase, the Trend Tracker remains responsive, continuously updating to reflect the most recent price action. This ensures that traders are always working with the most relevant information, making it easier to stay in sync with the market's true direction.
⚪ Trend Sentiment
Trend Sentiment analyzes key price levels and market structure to determine whether the current market sentiment is bullish or bearish. By examining the direction and momentum of price movements, it provides a straightforward view of the market's overall trend direction.
⚪ Impulse
Impulse monitors the market for sudden shifts in momentum, recognizing when the price is making a strong move that could lead to a trend continuation or a reversal. The feature is tuned to distinguish between regular market fluctuations and significant impulses. It focuses on the most meaningful price movements, ensuring that the signals you receive are relevant and actionable.
█ Important Note
Caution! Arithmetic candlesticks do not always reflect the actual price. Arithmetic uses smoothing and noise filtering to capture trends; hence, it might deviate from the actual close.
It's important to understand that Arithmetic Candlesticks are intended to provide a clearer picture of trend direction rather than exact price levels. Therefore, they should not be used as a substitute for actual market prices, especially in scenarios like backtesting or precise trade execution where exact price data is crucial. Instead, use Arithmetic Candlesticks as a tool for understanding trends and overall market direction, while relying on actual price data for decisions that require precise price points.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Consolidation Range Detector [Pt]█ Author's Note:
After extensively reviewing the existing consolidation detection tools in the TradingView library, I found that none fully met my expectations. Some tools were overly sensitive, producing too many invalid ranges, while others lacked the necessary sensitivity. Consequently, I decided to develop my own tool. I hope that you, fellow traders, find it valuable and enjoy using it.
█ Description:
The Consolidation Range Detector is a sophisticated TradingView tool designed to identify and visualize periods of price consolidation on any financial chart. This indicator employs advanced algorithms to detect ranges where price movements are confined, helping traders spot potential breakout zones and make informed trading decisions.
█ Key Features:
► Customizable Detection Sensitivity: Adjust the sensitivity of the detection algorithm to suit your trading strategy, ensuring a precise fit within the consolidation range.
► Dynamic Coloring: Choose between random or fixed colors for the consolidation ranges, with options to match different background color schemes (Dark, Light, Neutral).
► Visual Clarity: Highlight detected consolidation ranges directly on the chart with customizable color schemes to enhance visibility and provide clear visual cues.
► ATR-Based Validation: Ensures detected consolidation ranges are significant and reliable by using the Average True Range (ATR) for validation.
█ User-Defined Inputs:
► Minimum Detection Bars: Set the minimum number of bars required to detect a consolidation range.
► Max Range Multiplier: Define the maximum range for detection as a multiple of the ATR.
► Detection Sensitivity: Adjust the sensitivity of the detection algorithm. Higher values mean a tighter fit within the consolidation range.
► Color Options: Choose the color for the consolidation range boxes and decide whether to use random colors.
► Color Scheme (Background): Select a color scheme for the chart background (Dark, Light, Neutral).
█ How It Works:
► Range Detection: The indicator scans the chart for potential consolidation ranges based on user-defined parameters. It calculates the average price and ATR to determine the significance of the range.
► Validation: Each detected range is validated based on criteria such as ATR threshold, range validity, average price comparison, and the number of touches at the range boundaries.
► Visualization: Validated ranges are highlighted on the chart with colored boxes, providing a clear visual cue of potential consolidation zones.
█ Usage Examples:
► Example 1:
The image below showcases the Consolidation Range Detector in action on a chart of S&P 500 E-mini Futures. The indicator highlights several consolidation ranges with different colors, demonstrating its ability to adapt to varying market conditions and visually emphasize key areas of price consolidation. The annotations for breakouts and price reactions are manually marked to illustrate the practical application of the tool in identifying potential trading opportunities based on these key areas.
█ Practical Applications:
► Identify Breakout Zones: Use the detected consolidation ranges to identify potential breakout zones, helping to anticipate significant price movements.
► Identify Key Price Levels: The tool helps in pinpointing key price levels where there is a high probability of significant price reactions, providing crucial insights for trading strategies.
► Enhance Technical Analysis: Integrate the Consolidation Range Detector into your existing technical analysis toolkit to improve the accuracy of your trading decisions.
█ Conclusion:
The Consolidation Range Detector is a powerful tool for traders looking to identify periods of price consolidation and potential breakout zones. With its customizable settings and advanced detection algorithms, it provides a reliable and visual method to enhance your trading strategy. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this indicator can add significant value to your technical analysis.
█ Cautionary Note:
While the Consolidation Range Detector is a powerful tool, it's important to combine it with other indicators and analysis methods for comprehensive trading decisions. Always consider market context and external factors when interpreting detected consolidation ranges.
MTF Workbench [WinWorld]WHAT IS THIS?
This is MTF Workbench — an indicator, which is based on World Class SMC, but has one main feature — multi-timeframe analysis.
WHY MAKING MTF FEATURE AS A SEPARATE INDICATOR?
We weren't able to implement this feature in the World Class SMC itself due to huge size and complexity of the script, so we have re-written the entire script and optimized it to implement MTF and decided to make a separate script for MTF features in order to not make World Class SMC any heavier, because otherwise the script would probably not even load up on the chart.
WHAT ARE THE FEATURES?
MTF Workbench has two features for now: dashboard and structure mapping. But there will be more soon!
DASHBOARD
Dashboard gathers data from 4 different timeframes and visualize the results in the nice little table on the chart. It is useful to have a dashboard because it visualizes important data in a simple way.
The settings of the dashboard are:
- Position. this settings has 2 subsettings: vertical position (bottom, middle, top) and horizontal position (left, center, right). These subsettings allow you to place dashboard on any side of the chart;
- Text size. This settings defines size of the text in the dashboard, simple as that;
- Timeframe #1, #2, ..., #4. These four settings allow you to choose 4 different timeframes for the table to gather data from.
How to read the dashboard:
- The colour of the specific data cell is the current trend of selected timeframe;
- IDM ⧖ — price has not reached IDM yet;
- IDM ✓ — price grabbed IDM.
This is it for dashboard, now for structure mapping.
STRUCTURE MAPPING
By structure we mean IDM, BoS and ChoCh (if you don't what this means, refer to World Class SMC description to learn the terms, we won't explain it here). In our main indicator structure was only drawn for the timeframe you were currently using, but now you can choose whatever timeframe you want to get structure from!
Why do this matter? Well, this feature alone allows to perform so called intern-structure analysis, because now you will able to compare current timeframe's structure to a higher timeframe's structure and get an a sufficient amount of edge about what Smart Money are doing.
* And yes, this feature only works for analyzing higher timeframes!
The structure itself is plotted the same way as it is in our main indicator, but we also add timeframe to the specific structure event (event is when price reaches IDM, BoS or ChoCh lines) so you could differentiate internal-structure events from any other events.
Live structure is also available in this indicator.
WHY USE THIS INDICATOR?
Even though there a lot of structure mapping indicators with MTF features, they don't have what MTF Workbench has — the correct core structure-mapping algorithm. We took our core structure-mapping algorithm and put it into MTF Workbench to finally bring MTF analysis to life to work state-of-the-art structure-mapping algorithm, which gives any user a huge edge in the market by a very simple reason — this algorithm actually works. Our algorithm proved itself to be efficient and it helps map structure without human intervention, which is a huge leap in smart money trading. To this day we were not able to find an algorithm which would match the quality of our algo! Which why we think making an MTF version of our algorithm is a good thing to do, because now users can finally work with current timeframe and see information about structure from other timeframes using only ONE chart. If you are smart-money trader, you understand that this is a HUGE thing.
For PineScript moderators
We know the rule not publish slightly modifie version of some indicator as another indicator, but this is not a slightly different version. MTF Workbench was completely re-writtten from scratch and optimized so it could fint PineSript's code restrictions such as 500 max local scopes, which World Class SMC with MTF Workbench's features exceeded way too far.
Also, by referencing our World Class SMC indicator we don't promote it in any way. The reference is only made with purposes of
1) Informational reference to help users learn specific terms.
2) Informational reference to some of the World Class SMC features to give users a clue about what exactly MTF Workbench does.
We hope that you will find a great use from MTF Workbench as we did and it will help your level up your edge!
Sincerely, WinWorld Team.
Automating wealth creation since 2022.
Volume ForecastThe Volume Forecast indicator on TradingView is a comprehensive tool designed to analyze historical price action and project future market movements based on the average sizes of candles. Incorporating various data points such as candle high/low, open/close, and real volumes, Volume Forecast provides traders with a holistic view of market dynamics, allowing for more informed decision-making.
Key Features:
Multi-Data Source Analysis:
Volume Forecast seamlessly integrates multiple data sources, including candle high/low, open/close prices, and real volumes. By considering these diverse elements, the indicator offers a nuanced understanding of market conditions.
Historical Candle Size Analysis:
The indicator conducts a thorough analysis of historical candle sizes, capturing key data points to calculate the average candle size over a specified period. This historical context serves as the foundation for forecasting future candle sizes.
Customizable Forecasting Parameters:
Traders have the flexibility to fine-tune forecasting parameters to align with their trading strategies. Whether focusing on open/close relationships, high/low points, or real volumes, users can customize the indicator to suit their preferences.
Predictive Algorithm:
Volume Forecast employs a sophisticated predictive algorithm that leverages historical candle size data to project the potential size of upcoming candles. This algorithmic approach enhances the indicator's accuracy in forecasting market movements.
Visual Clarity:
The indicator provides a clear visual representation on the TradingView chart, displaying historical candle sizes and forecasted values. Color-coded elements and visual cues help traders quickly interpret the data, facilitating timely decision-making.
Adaptive Real-Time Updates:
Volume Forecast dynamically updates in real-time, ensuring traders have access to the latest information. This adaptability allows for swift adjustments to trading strategies in response to changing market conditions.
Comprehensive Market Compatibility:
Whether trading stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, or commodities, Volume Forecast is compatible across various financial instruments and timeframes. This versatility makes it a valuable asset for traders in different markets.
User-Friendly Interface:
With an intuitive interface, Volume Forecast is accessible to traders of all experience levels. The indicator's user-friendly design streamlines the analysis process, making it easier for traders to incorporate it into their trading routines.
In summary, Volume Forecast is a robust TradingView indicator that combines historical candle size analysis with advanced forecasting techniques. By incorporating multiple data sources and offering customization options, it empowers traders to make more informed decisions in anticipation of market movements. Whether used independently or in conjunction with other tools, Volume Forecast is a valuable asset for traders seeking a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
Grid by Volatility (Expo)█ Overview
The Grid by Volatility is designed to provide a dynamic grid overlay on your price chart. This grid is calculated based on the volatility and adjusts in real-time as market conditions change. The indicator uses Standard Deviation to determine volatility and is useful for traders looking to understand price volatility patterns, determine potential support and resistance levels, or validate other trading signals.
█ How It Works
The indicator initiates its computations by assessing the market volatility through an established statistical model: the Standard Deviation. Following the volatility determination, the algorithm calculates a central equilibrium line—commonly referred to as the "mid-line"—on the chart to serve as a baseline for additional computations. Subsequently, upper and lower grid lines are algorithmically generated and plotted equidistantly from the central mid-line, with the distance being dictated by the previously calculated volatility metrics.
█ How to Use
Trend Analysis: The grid can be used to analyze the underlying trend of the asset. For example, if the price is above the Average Line and moves toward the Upper Range, it indicates a strong bullish trend.
Support and Resistance: The grid lines can act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Price tends to bounce off these levels or breakthrough, providing potential trade opportunities.
Volatility Gauge: The distance between the grid lines serves as a measure of market volatility. Wider lines indicate higher volatility, while narrower lines suggest low volatility.
█ Settings
Volatility Length: Number of bars to calculate the Standard Deviation (Default: 200)
Squeeze Adjustment: Multiplier for the Standard Deviation (Default: 6)
Grid Confirmation Length: Number of bars to calculate the weighted moving average for smoothing the grid lines (Default: 2)
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Quantum TrendQuantum Trend indicator is our new tool to trade on futures and spot markets in the world of cryptocurrency.
This indicator uses some advanced techniques to determine price reversals and filter them out with other indicators, such as oscillators ( Stochastic RSI and etc. ) and trend-based indicators ( such as EMA and others ), but even after filtering signals with these tools Quantum Trend indicator then applies our own private algorithm, based on our modified z-score mertic, which reduces lag drastically and helps find good entries faster.
What algo is behind the signals?
For finding new entries we used RSI- and stochastic-based oscillators, which help us determine potential price reversal movements. When new entry is found, we filter it through our own stochastic RSI filter (takes stoch RSI's pivot points into account to find better entries; pivot points left and right bars are hard coded into the indicator) with our private indicators, based on close-to-close volatility filter methods, to understand whether or not entry valid enough. Why stochastic RSI? Because it is much less messy than most of other existing oscillators (by our own opinion and experience).
That was first filtering stage, now comes the second .
In the second phase we filter out signals even more with our own modified-standard-deviation-based indicators ( not Bollinger Bands! ) to determine whether or not price went above or below 2 sigma channel, which would mean that current price's movement is extremely rare (because for going above 2 sigma or below -2 sigma there is only 5% chance (classic Gaussian distribution)) and the reversal will probably happen soon.
If signal passed all two phases of filtering, it will be showed on the chart.
Over all, this indicator uses our own private indicators, based on some core concepts, which we described above ( classic Gaussian distribution for choosing signals with nice reversal moments , close-to-close volatility for understanding if market is volatile enough to make a good move , modified z-score metric for reducing lag and finding entries faster , own stoch RSI filter with pivot points for reducing lag and finding good reversal moments and etc. )
That's for idea reveal, now let's dive into the settings!
Indicator settings
Main Algo Settings — group of settings of the core algorithm, that forms signals.
Signal Length * — determines how many bars from the past should be taken to make a signal.
Signal Factor * — determines the threshold for signal quality.
* — the more this parameter is, the less signals you will get, but they will be more high-quality.
Signals to Show — determines which type of signals will be displayed on the chart:
Classic — Long/Short signals;
Strong — Strong Long/Short signals;
All — Classic + Strong signals;
Signal Colours — group of settings for customizing signals' colours.
Long — colour for Long signals
Short — colour for Short signals
Strong Long — colour for Strong Long signals
Strong Short — colour for Strong Short signals
Filter for Strong Signals — group of settings for strong signals.
Use Strong Signals? — enabling/disabling strong signals on the chart;
Apply this filter to Strong Signals? — enabling/disabling filter for strong signals. When disabled, strong signals won't be filtered and there will be a lot more signals on the chart, but with less quallity.
Fast Period * — number of bars for 1st group of candles to form a signal;
Slow Period * — number of bars for 2nd group of candles to form a signal ( we need these two groups to align short-term with long-term trend );
Additional Filter Period * — period for filter indicator, which cuts out bad strong signals;
Additional Filter Smoother Period * — period for filter indicator's smoother, which makes additionally smoothes signals to filter out bad ones;
Filter's source — price souce for the filter ( open, close, hl2 and etc. ).
* — the more this parameter is, the less signals you will get, but they will be more high-quality.
2nd Filter — group of settings for the 2nd filter, which cuts out bad signals from Main Algo.
Enable 2nd Filter? — enabling/disabling 2nd filter. When diasbled, there wiull be a lot more signals on the chart, but with less quality;
2nd Filter Length — period for the indicator, which is embedded in 2nd filter. Based on improved RSI;
OverBought Lvl — level, which indicates that asset is probably overbought ;
OverSold Lvl — level, which indicates that asset is probably oversold ;
TP/SL Settings — Take-Profit/Stop-Loss settings
Use TP? — Show take profits on the chart
TP Mode — Take Profit mode (either zone or 3 levels (drawn on the chart))
Take-Profit 1, 2, 3 Factor — Multiplier/factor for the 1st, 2nd, 3rd take-profits accrodingly . Determines the width of the take profits/zone (the higher the factor, the further the take profits are located from the entry point)
SL Factor — Multiplier/factor for the stop loss (line on the chart; not displayed if the take profit mode is set to zone)
Whales Screener — screener, that shows where whales buy (green zones) and sell (red zones).
Use Whales Screener? — enabling/disabling whales screener.
Support & Resistance Settings — group of settings for support and resistance lines.
Support Color — Support color;
Resistance Color — Resistance color;
S/R Strength — Strength of support and resistance lines. The greater it is, the more reliable the S/R lines will be;
Line Style — style of each S/R line ( solid, dotted, dashed );
Zone Width, % — Zone width in percentage of the price fro the last 250 bars;
Extend S/R Lines — Extend the S/R lines to the right and left.
What timeframes to use?
This indicator was built to work on any timeframe, but our practice shows that it works best on higher timeframes such 30 minutes and more, but you should find by yourself which timeframe suits you best.
What markets can this indicator be applied to?
This indicator is market-indifferent, which means that you can use this indicator on any possible market.
How should I use this indicator?
Quantum Trend indicator can be a useful tool for finding entries and confirming signals from your own trading system, as it is built with multiple signal filter layers, which drastically reduce amount of bad signals. Also it is better to use other indicators to confirm signals, produced by Quantum Trend, because this way you will get even more high-quality signals.
Does it repaint?
No, this indicator doesn't repaint.
IMPORTANT, PLEASE READ!
This is indicator is not a Holy Grail of trading and we DON'T promote it as such in any possible way. As any possible indicator, Quantum Trend uses price data of the past, which CAN NOT guarantee perfect price predicitions of the future!
Hope this indicator will help you make a much better trading decisions!
Buy/Sell Toolkit (Expo)█ Overview
The Buy/Sell Toolkit is a comprehensive trading tool designed to provide a holistic approach to trading. It brings together essential trading indicators and features in one place, simplifying the trading process and offering valuable insights into the market.
The indicator serves as an all-inclusive solution for traders seeking in-depth technical insights. While the Buy/Sell Toolkit can be utilized alongside other technical analysis methods, it can also be used as a standalone toolkit, adaptable to any trading style. In addition, each feature is thoughtfully integrated because not all technical indicators are suitable for every market condition or trading style.
The Buy/Sell toolkit works in any market and timeframe for discretionary analysis and includes many features:
█ Features
Buy/Sell signals: This feature provides real-time Buy/Sell trading signals for any market and timeframe. These signals are based on the trend.
Contrarian Signals: This feature provides real-time contrarian signals to take a position against the prevailing market trend.
Ultimate Trend: This feature assists in identifying the overall trend of the market, recognizing whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways.
Trend Advisor: The Trend Advisor helps traders understand the trend's strength, duration, and direction.
Trend Reversal: This feature identifies potential points where the current market may reverse within a trend. It's basically a trend-following line based on reversal calculation; it helps traders catch trend continuation setups.
Momentum Average: This indicator measures the rate of change in prices to identify the strength of the current trend. It can be beneficial for spotting potential price breakouts or warning of a market slowdown and pullbacks.
Take Profit Points: This feature suggests optimal points to exit a trade and lock in profits. It determines these points by using various factors such as volatility, support and resistance levels, and historical price movements.
Candle Coloring, Arithmetic Candlesticks, including Arithmetic Heikin Ashi: This feature provides an excellent visual aid to assist traders in recognizing patterns, identifying trends, and optimizing their trading strategies. The Arithmetic Candlesticks help smooth out price volatility and identify market trends more clearly.
Reversal Cloud: This innovative feature provides a graphical representation of potential price reversal zones. The cloud helps traders visualize where the price might reverse its trend.
Trend Cloud: Similar to the Reversal Cloud, this feature visualizes the prevailing market trend, making it easy for traders to understand the direction of the market at a glance.
Signal Optimizer: The Signal Optimizer is a powerful tool that optimizes the Buy/Sell and contrarian signals based on win-rate or performance. It automatically applies the best settings to the signals, freeing traders from the task of constantly adjusting them. This helps traders to get the most reliable signals automatically, enhancing their trading efficiency.
█ How to use the Buy/Sell Toolkit?
Here are a few illustrative examples to provide traders with a better understanding of the Toolkit's practical usage. These examples showcase the combination of features, but it's important to note that they serve as demonstrations, and we encourage traders to explore and adapt the features to align with their unique trading styles.
Buy/Sell Signals & Take Profit
Optimized Buy/Sell signals & Candle Color + Trend Advisor + Reversal Cloud
Contrarian Signals & Take Profit
,with Reversal Cloud
Optimized Contrarian Signals & Ultimate Trend & Reversal Cloud
Trend Cloud
Filter signals with Trend Cloud
█ Why is this Buy/Sell Toolkit Needed?
The Buy/Sell Toolkit is an exceptional tool for traders because it consolidates several critical trading indicators into a single, user-friendly platform. The Toolkit's holistic approach to market analysis can enhance decision-making, reduce guesswork, and improve overall trading performance. Additionally, it allows traders to customize their approach according to the market conditions and their trading style.
The Toolkit's automated features, such as the Signal Optimizer, save time and effort, making it easier for both new and experienced traders. In addition, its comprehensive suite of features ensures traders have all the information they need to make informed trading decisions. All these features make the Buy/Sell Toolkit a powerful ally in any trader's arsenal.
Here's why this Toolkit is essential:
Comprehensive Market Analysis: The Toolkit offers a wide range of indicators and tools for comprehensive market analysis, from trend detection to momentum analysis. This reduces the need for multiple tools and allows for a more efficient trading process. By providing a host of indicators like Buy/Sell signals, Contrarian Signals, Trend Analysis, and Momentum Average, the Toolkit helps traders make well-informed decisions based on comprehensive data and trend analysis.
Automation and Time-Saving: The Signal Optimizer automatically applies the best settings to the signals based on win rate or performance. This saves time and ensures the signals' reliability, reducing, it makes the trading process efficient and hassle-free.
Versatility: The Toolkit is versatile and can be used for various financial markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, or cryptocurrencies. Regardless of the market you trade in, the Buy/Sell Toolkit has something to offer.
Visual Tools: The Toolkit provides visual tools like Reversal Cloud, Trend Cloud, Trend lines, Candle coloring, and much more, which are excellent for visualizing market trends and potential reversal zones. This can make the process of understanding market movements more intuitive and less intimidating, especially for novice traders.
Confirmation: By using multiple indicators in conjunction with each other, traders can confirm signals and improve the accuracy of their trades.
Learning and Development: The Toolkit serves as an excellent resource for both novice and experienced traders to learn about different trading indicators, how they interact, and how to use them effectively.
█ Any Alert Function Call
This function allows traders to combine any feature and create customized alerts. These alerts can be set for various conditions and customized according to the trader's strategy or preferences.
█ How are the features calculated? - Overview
The Toolkit combines many of our existing premium indicators and new technical analysis algorithms to analyze the market. This overview covers how the main features are calculated.
Buy/Sell
The core function calculates the Exponential Weighting for a given time series X over a period T. The time series is based on absolute price changes. It focuses on the magnitude of price changes from one period to the next, irrespective of the direction (up or down). This type of time series can be used to measure the volatility of a price series, as it quantifies the size of price movements. It's useful in scenarios where the direction of the change is not as important as the magnitude of the change.
Contrarian Signals
Our contrarian signals are based on deviation from the expected range value. The algorithm quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of trading ranges. Non-expected values are the fundamental core of the signal generation process.
Ultimate Trend
The Ultimate trend calculates an adaptive smoothing momentum function by first determining the directional price movement and then applying smoothing to the positive and negative price changes. It then uses these values to calculate a form of Variable Moving Average (VMA), where the smoothing factor is adjusted based on a normalized measure of the relative difference between the Positive and Negative Directional values.
Trend Advisor
It's a form of Moving Averages that are applied to the price chart using three different weighting functions, simple weighting, price volatility smoothing constant weighting, and the traditional EMA weighting function.
Trend Reversal and Cloud
The function uses the information on how much the current price compared to the relative historical price fluctuates over a specific period and automatically updates its equilibrium value at new price changes.
Momentum Average
Essentially, it uses a modified version of the relative rate of change over a certain period.
Take Profit
The take profit uses similar range price functions as the contrarian signals, where a take profit signal is triggered at extremely abnormal values.
Candles
Note, Using and Backtesting on non-standard charts produces unrealistic results since it does not represent the closing price. The candles are based on a smoothing process that finds the best smoothing coefficient for the current data, using close as time series.
█ In conclusion , The Buy/Sell Toolkit serves as a comprehensive, user-friendly, and efficient trading assistant. It brings automation and intelligent data play-by-play to your fingertips, making it an essential tool for anyone serious about trading.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Channel Based Zigzag [HeWhoMustNotBeNamed]🎲 Concept
Zigzag is built based on the price and number of offset bars. But, in this experiment, we build zigzag based on different bands such as Bollinger Band, Keltner Channel and Donchian Channel. The process is simple:
🎯 Derive bands based on input parameters
🎯 High of a bar is considered as pivot high only if the high price is above or equal to upper band.
🎯 Similarly low of a bar is considered as pivot low only if low price is below or equal to lower band.
🎯 Adding the pivot high/low follows same logic as that of regular zigzag where pivot high is always followed by pivot low and vice versa.
🎯 If the new pivot added is of same direction as that of last pivot, then both pivots are compared with each other and only the extreme one is kept. (Highest in case of pivot high and lowest in case of pivot low)
🎯 If a bar has both pivot high and pivot low - pivot with same direction as previous pivot is added to the list first before adding the pivot with opposite direction.
🎲 Use Cases
Can be used for pattern recognition algorithms instead of standard zigzag. This will help derive patterns which are relative to bands and channels.
Example: John Bollinger explains how to manually scan double tap using Bollinger Bands in this video: www.youtube.com This modified zigzag base can be used to achieve the same using algorithmic means.
🎲 Settings
Few simple configurations which will let you select the band properties. Notice that there is no zigzag length here. All the calculations depend on the bands.
With bands display, indicator looks something like this
Note that pivots do not always represent highest/lowest prices. They represent highest/lowest price relative to bands.
As mentioned many times, application of zigzag is not for buying at lower price and selling at higher price. It is mainly used for pattern recognition either manually or via algorithms. Lets build new Harmonic, Chart patterns, Trend Lines using the new zigzag?
Machine Learning: kNN (New Approach)Description:
kNN is a very robust and simple method for data classification and prediction. It is very effective if the training data is large. However, it is distinguished by difficulty at determining its main parameter, K (a number of nearest neighbors), beforehand. The computation cost is also quite high because we need to compute distance of each instance to all training samples. Nevertheless, in algorithmic trading KNN is reported to perform on a par with such techniques as SVM and Random Forest. It is also widely used in the area of data science.
The input data is just a long series of prices over time without any particular features. The value to be predicted is just the next bar's price. The way that this problem is solved for both nearest neighbor techniques and for some other types of prediction algorithms is to create training records by taking, for instance, 10 consecutive prices and using the first 9 as predictor values and the 10th as the prediction value. Doing this way, given 100 data points in your time series you could create 10 different training records. It's possible to create even more training records than 10 by creating a new record starting at every data point. For instance, you could take the first 10 data points and create a record. Then you could take the 10 consecutive data points starting at the second data point, the 10 consecutive data points starting at the third data point, etc.
By default, shown are only 10 initial data points as predictor values and the 6th as the prediction value.
Here is a step-by-step workthrough on how to compute K nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm for quantitative data:
1. Determine parameter K = number of nearest neighbors.
2. Calculate the distance between the instance and all the training samples. As we are dealing with one-dimensional distance, we simply take absolute value from the instance to value of x (| x – v |).
3. Rank the distance and determine nearest neighbors based on the K'th minimum distance.
4. Gather the values of the nearest neighbors.
5. Use average of nearest neighbors as the prediction value of the instance.
The original logic of the algorithm was slightly modified, and as a result at approx. N=17 the resulting curve nicely approximates that of the sma(20). See the description below. Beside the sma-like MA this algorithm also gives you a hint on the direction of the next bar move.
Trend Friend - Swing Trade & Scalp Signals - Stocks Crypto ForexTREND FRIEND is a custom built, data driven algorithm that gives buy and sell signals when many different factors line up together on a single candle. It is designed to catch every move so you can expect early entries and exits across all of your favorite markets. Use scalp mode for early entries with lots of signals or swing mode for longer swings with fewer signals and long swing mode for really long swing trades with even less signals.
The best markets to use this indicator on are high volume tickers with a lot of price action as these markets have enough data to use to give the signals the algo needs to be able to detect highly probable moves in price. That being said, it works across all markets such as stocks, crypto, forex and futures and across all timeframes(on really long timeframes it may not give signals due to not having enough data to work with).
***MAJOR POINTS TO REMEMBER BEFORE USING THIS INDICATOR***
The algo is designed to catch major moves, so if a signal seems to come in late, it is highly likely the market is about to reverse so use caution when taking signals that seem late. This typically happens because the market is indecisive so always be careful in these situations and just wait for a better signal when markets are really decisive.
Always trade in the direction of the trend meaning the volume weighted moving average clouds. There is also a trend detection label and risk level label that you should follow to keep your trades as safe as possible. The safest way to do this is only trade short when the VWMA 100 is below the VWMA 500 and a Bear signal comes in very close to a VWMA line. Only trade long when the VWMA 100 is above the VWMA 500 and a Bull signal comes in very close to a VWMA line.
If price is between the moving averages, play the VWMA 100 and VWMA 500 as support and resistance and only take signals near one of the VWMAs with the plan of price returning to the other VWMA. If you are taking trades against the trend, like trying to buy the dips or sell the tops, wait for price to cross the VWMA 100 before following a signal.
If the VWMA 100 and VWMA 500 are close to each other and/or moving sideways, you can expect choppy price action and consolidation so use caution when taking trades during this time. It is better to wait for the price to hold above or below both VWMAs and stay supportive there before taking trades. Waiting for volume to increase is also a good way to avoid chop after the trend decides a direction.
This indicator will repaint sometimes before the candle has closed, so either wait for the candle to close with a signal before entering trades or only take signals before it closes on candles with good volume and technical analysis backing it.
***ALL THE FEATURES YOU NEED***
Trend Friend has multiple features designed to help you trade better and make decisions faster.
Buy & Sell Signals - When the algo detects all of our required parameters lining up on a single candle, Trend Friend will give Bull or Bear signals on the chart. Bull means upward price action is expected. Bear means downward price action is expected.
Take Profit Signals - When the price action makes a move that typically signals a reversal, a take profit signal will show up on the chart to help you get out of a trade before the next signal comes in.
Risk Levels For Signals
There is a risk detection system that tells you how risky each signal is as it comes in to help you stay out of dangerous trades. Wait for signals with low risk and you’ll be much safer than trying to take trades against the trend.
Alerts - There are options for alerts on buy signals, sell signals, take profit signals, price crossing the VWMA 100 and price crossing the VWMA 500. All of these can be controlled using tradingview alerts so you don't have to watch the charts and wait for things to happen. These alerts can also be used to send orders to trading bots if you choose.
Candles Painted Green Or Red According To Buy & Sell Pressure - By default, this indicator paints the candle sticks green, red or blue according to buy & sell pressure(DMI). You will need to turn off candle colors in your chart settings for this to appear correctly.
Percentage Updates - The table on the right has live percentage updates so you don’t have to measure out every move you are expecting. It will tell you the percentage from closest fibonacci levels, percentage away from the VWAP, percent gain or loss from the last signal entry and percentages from your own trades that can be configured in the settings. These help you always know how much more you can squeeze out of a trade and where your position stands without having to switch screens between Tradingview and your broker constantly.
Moving Average & VWAP Clouds - We included two color coded volume weighted moving averages(VWMA 100 and VWMA 500) and a color coded RMA 10 moving average. We also have a VWAP dotted line and cloud so you can easily see the trend direction on the chart at all times. The cloud and moving averages will turn green or red in real time depending on whether price is above or below each moving average or the VWAP respectively.
Trend Detection Label - The top label on the percentage update table tells you if the trend for this timeframe is Bullish or Bearish as well as when the trend is undecisive with choppy price action expected.
Chop & Low Volume Warning Labels - When price action is choppy or there is very low volume compared to historic candles, a warning label will appear at the top of the screen so you know to use caution and stay out of trades during these times.
Auto Fibonacci Levels - The chart will automatically populate fibonacci retracement and extension levels. The percentage update table will also give you real time updates on how far away the next fibonacci levels are from the current price.
Bounce Zone - We also included a very long term moving average cloud(EMA 1000 and EMA 2000) that shows as purple on the chart. When price enters that cloud, you can expect a reversal in that area. If price was trending above the cloud, expect that cloud to act as support. If price was trending below the cloud, expect that cloud to act as resistance. When price is trying to break through that cloud in either direction you can expect price action to be choppy and big moves to happen once price gets supportive in that zone and breaks out.
Margin Multiplier - If you are using margin to trade, our margin multiplier will multiply all of the percentage updates by the margin level you input in the settings tab so your percentages will reflect the percentages in your account.
***HOW TO USE***
Scalp, Swing And Long Swing Mode
You can choose from scalp mode, swing mode or long swing mode in the indicator settings. It is set to scalp mode by default. Scalpers will want to use the scalp mode as it provides early entries and exits and is designed to catch every move quickly. Swing mode is designed to catch almost every move and filter out some of the noise so it will have less signals than scalp mode. Long swing mode is designed to catch those lengthy moves and will hold positions the longest but give entries later than the other modes.
Try all three on a few charts and timeframes to see which setting matches your trading style the best. If you want more signals with any of the 3 modes, go to a lower timeframe. If you want less signals on any mode, go to a higher timeframe.
Bull & Bear Signals - When all of our algo parameters line up, a BULL or BEAR label will print on the chart. Bull labels will be colored green and bear labels will be colored red. Bull indicates a good place to enter a long trade because the algo is detecting patterns that indicate price should move upwards. Bear indicates a good place to enter a short trade because the algo is detecting patterns that indicate price should move downwards.
For best results using these signals, take trade signals that line up very closely with fibonacci levels or volume weighted moving averages or the vwap or any combination of them. It is also recommended to only take trades in the direction of the trend to avoid trading false reversals. Wait for low risk signals using our risk identifier and then enter the market. Waiting for good volume to come in will also help you avoid chop and catch those quick moves.
Also, make sure to check the percentage updates table to see if the expected move to the next fibonacci level is far enough away to make the risk to reward ratio worth taking the trade. Watch for signals when the VWMAs squeeze together after a wide gap and price breaks out with a corresponding signal as these can bring large, quick moves in price. Use caution when the VWMAs are close to each other and trending sideways as this usually brings choppy price action.
(The bull and bear signals can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab. Useful if you want to clean up the chart or only show bear or bull signals according to the trend.)
Take profit Signals - Take profit labels will show up on the chart when a reversal candle pattern or reversal indicator pattern is detected while a trade is still open. Use these signals as times that it may be a good point to exit the trade to avoid losses or reduced profits.
(The take profit signals can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab.)
Risk Level Label
Taking trades against the trend is dangerous because there are more false bottoms than there are actual bottoms. Our risk detection label is there to keep you from taking dangerous trades against the trend. The label will say Low Risk when the trend is in the same direction as the last signal given. The label will say Medium Risk when the trend is neutral because price likes to chop around during these times. The label will say High Risk when the trend is in the opposite direction as the last signal given.
Make sure you wait for the risk level detector to show Low Risk before taking trades or you may be buying a false bottom.
Candles Colored According To Buy & Sell Pressure - By default this indicator will paint the candlesticks green, red or blue depending on the buy & sell pressure for those candles using the Directional Movement Index or DMI. If buy pressure is higher than sell pressure, it will paint green. If Sell pressure is higher than buy pressure, it will paint red. If buy pressure is equal to sell pressure, it will paint blue. Use this to confirm which direction buying and selling is favoring and use a change in color trend to determine reversal points early. For this to work correctly you will need to go into chart settings(gear icon top right) and in the symbol tab turn off body, wicks and border.
(The buy & sell pressure candle coloring can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab.)
Auto Fibonacci - This indicator will automatically populate fibonacci retracement and extension levels for you. These levels are calculated using the previous high and low. You can switch the source between the previous day, week, month, quarter and year(the weekly setting is the default as it is great for day trading). The previous high and low levels will show as white(These are very important levels so watch for price to bounce off of the white lines). The percentage update table will also show the percentage gap from the current price and the next closest fibonacci level above and below, with labels telling you which fib levels they are.
(The fibonacci levels can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab.)
Volume Weighted Moving Averages With Clouds - The red or green moving averages should be treated as dynamic support and resistance as well as a visual way of telling current price trends. You can expect price to bounce off of these moving averages very often and quick moves usually happen when price breaks out of these moving averages.
The safest long trades you can take will be when the VWMA 100 is above the VWMA 500 and you get a BULL signal that is very close to the VWMA 100 or VWMA 500. The safest short trades you can take will be when the VWMA 100 is below the VWMA 500 and you get a BEAR signal that is very close to the VWMA 100 or VWMA 500.
When the moving averages squeeze together and price bounces between them, you can expect big moves in price when it breaks out. If price has been trending up and the moving averages squeeze together, expect the price to fall quickly once it breaks down from there. If price has been trending down and the moving averages squeeze together, expect the price to jump quickly once it breaks out from there.
These moving averages and the clouds associated with them will paint green when price is above them, indicating a bullish trend and they will change to red when price is below the moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
You can also use the moving averages as support and resistance levels when markets are moving sideways. Since these are volume weighted moving averages, price tends to stick to them very well and paints a much clearer picture of what is going to happen than regular moving averages that don't take volume into account. Try it on a bunch of different timeframes and charts to see for yourself.
(The moving averages and clouds can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab.)
Bounce Zone - The bounce zone is a purple cloud that is made up of two very long term moving averages. When price is trending above this cloud and comes back down to it, you can expect the price to bounce back upwards in this zone. If the price is trending below this cloud and comes up to it, you can expect the price to bounce back downwards when it reaches this zone.
Sometimes price will break through this cloud and you will usually notice a lot of choppy price action and accumulation in this zone. When price does break out of it, you can expect fast, large moves. I also like to call this zone the safe zone because taking trades in this zone is typically a very safe place to enter trades depending on how the price is trending before it entered this zone. If you look at the cloud on any of your favorite charts, you will see that the cloud usually represents support and resistance areas quite well.
(The bounce zone can be turned on or off in the indicator settings input tab.)
Chop & Low Volume Warnings - When price is choppy, it can be a portfolio killer. When volume is low, it can give false signals or the market can reverse easily, so stay out of trades when these warning labels appear on your chart. If you were already in a trade when these warnings appear, keep a close eye on your trades and be ready to exit if things start to go the wrong way.
Long & Short Entry Calculator - Here you can enter your own entry price for short or long positions so that your actual P&L will be shown live on your chart. This eliminates the need to calculate percentages in your head or switch screens to your broker often or use the measuring tool to calculate your P&L. These will show as zero until a trade price is entered.
Margin Multiplier - If you use margin to trade, enter your margin multiplier in this input and all of the percentages in the percentage update table will reflect how far each level is based on your margin. So a 5x margin will multiply all percentages in the chart by 5 and so on. This way you don’t have to calculate everything in your head or switch between your chart and your broker constantly.
Customization - Go into the indicator settings and you can customize just about everything to suit your style. In the Input tab you can: turn the Bull or Bear labels off or on so you only get the signals that are going in the direction of the trend, turn on or off the moving average lines & clouds, turn on or off the vwap & clouds, set your fibonacci timeframe or turn them off completely and set your long or short entry price as well as your margin level for percentage updates according to your portfolio.
You can also easily customize: the moving average lines & clouds, the bounce zone lines and cloud, the vwap color and line style, the support and resistance line colors and thickness, the bull and bear label styles, the take profit label styles and more.
***MARKETS***
This indicator can be used as a signal on all markets, including stocks, crypto, futures and forex as long as Tradingview has enough data to support the calculations needed by the algo.
***TIMEFRAMES***
Trend Friend can be used on all timeframes.
***IMPORTANT NOTES***
For the buy & sell pressure colored candles to show up properly you will need to go to the chart settings(gear icon in top right corner) and in the symbol tab turn off body, wicks and border.
No indicator can be right 100% of the time and remember that past results do not guarantee future performance. You still need to make smart decisions when using this indicator to be successful. It is also important to note that markets with little volume and price action may not give very good signals due to many different parameters needing to line up on one candle for a signal to be given so use it on high volume tickers with lots of price action for best results.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Volume Spikes, Directional Movement Index + Fisher, Volume Profile with DMI, and MOM + MFI + RSI with Trend Friend. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Pulu's 3 Moving Averages
Pulu's 3 Moving Averages
Release version 1, date 2021-09-28
This script allows you to customize three sets of moving averages, turn on/off, set color and parameters. It also tags the start date of the last set of moving average if there is. This, release version 1, supports eight moving average algorithms:
ALMA, Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
EMA, Exponential Moving Average
RMA, Adjusted exponential moving average (aka Wilder’s EMA)
SMA, Simple Moving Average
SWMA, Symmetrically-Weighted Moving Average
VWAP, Volume-Weighted Average Price
VWMA, Volume-Weighted Moving Average
WMA, Weighted Moving Average
The availability and function parameters
Func. Availability Parameters
ALMA
MA1, MA2, MA3
source
length
offset
sigma
EMA
RMA
SMA
VWMA
WMA
MA1, MA2, MA3
source
length
SWMA
VWAP
MA1
source
Parameters
Parameter Description
source the series of values to process. The default is to use the closing price to calculate the moving average.
length an integer value that defines the number of bars to calculate the moving average on. The SWMA and VWAP do not use this parameter.
ALMA offset a floating-point value that controls the tradeoff between smoothness (with a value closer to 1) and responsiveness (with a value closer to 0). This parameter is only used by ALMA.
ALMA sigma a floating-point value that specifies the ALMA’s smoothness. The larger this value, the smoother the moving average is. This parameter is only used by ALMA.
I'm not sure if it is needed, so I do not let the three Moving Averages of the script to have indivial algorithm setting. Because that will involve much complicated condition testing and use up more TradingView script lines limit. If you need to combine different algorithms in the three sets of moving averages, or have other ideas, leave a message to let me know; maybe I will try it in the next update.
我不確定是否需要，所以我沒有讓腳本的三組移動平均線有各別的算法設置。因為這將涉及更多複雜的條件測試，並使用更多 TradingView 腳本列數限制。如果您需要在三組均線中組合不同的算法，或者有其他想法，請留言告訴我；也許我會在下一次更新中嘗試。
GA - Value at RiskGA Value at Risk is a multifunctional tool. Its main purpose is to plot on the chart the Value at Risk . But it shows also integrated features related to the Volatility.
Value at Risk is a measure of the risk of loss for investments, given normal market conditions, in a period.
It measures and quantifies the level of financial risk. In this case, the risk is within position over a specific time frame.
Defining p as VaR, the probability of a loss greater than VaR is p, at most. Instead, the probability of loss that is less than VaR is 1-p, at least.
The VaR Breach occurs when a loss exceeds the VaR threshold .
For this case, VaR calculation uses the volatility estimation in a time interval. It defines the Probability Confidence according to the Normal Distribution. VaR is a percentile of the Normal Distribution. This is a multiplier of the Standard Deviation that define a Volatility Range.
The Normal Distribution Area around +- the Standard Deviation gives 68% of Confidence. 2 times the Standard Deviation returns a 95% of probability area. 3 time the Standard Deviation the Area returns 99.7% of Confidence.
Knowing VaR modeling, it is possible to determine the amount of a potential loss . Then, it is possible to know if there is enough capital to cover losses. In the same way, higher-than-acceptable risks forces reducing exposure in a financial instrument.
One of its practical use is to estimate the risk of an investment that is already at portfolio. Indeed, this is the purpose of the Value at Risk calculated in this script.
At the VaR Breach that investment has reached its worst scenario. Then, it can be the case to manage that investment into the balanced portfolio.
The Value at Risk does not tell when to enter the market.
Moving Averages
GA Value at Risk bases its calculations on a set of Moving Averages. Every feature of the script uses one of these Moving Averages for its algorithm.
Moving Averages from MA0 to MA8, are the core of each feature of the script.
By default, from MA0 to MA8, Moving Averages use the Fibonacci Series to define their lengths. This happens because of the power of the Golden Ratio in the market behavior.
Instead, the first moving average is an extra resource. Its purpose is to plot a Signal Line on the chart.
The script does not consider plotting every Moving Average on the chart. But it lets you enable the plotting of 7 Moving Averages (from MA0 to MA5 + Signal Line).
It is possible to select the Moving Average Formula to use in the script. This is a setting that affects every Moving Average. Then, it changes also the result of every feature of the script.
The selection is between:
Exponential Moving Average.
Simple Moving Average.
Weighted moving Average.
Simple Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Moving Averages and Partial Visibility
The plotting of each Moving Average can be total or partial.
By default, the plotting of Moving Averages and Signal Line is partial.
When the price approaches a Moving Average a little part of the curve becomes visible. This highlights supports or resistances.
Besides, this tracking remains on the chart. Then it shows supports and resistances that the price reached during its progression.
The Partial Visibility Algorithm is a great advantage, ruling how to plot curves. It uses a parameter to set how much of the curves is to plot.
Exponential Moving Averages and Pointers - Partial Visibility
Exponential Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Moving Averages and Pointers
As it is clear, it is not necessary to plot entire curves of Moving Averages on the chart. But it becomes relevant to plot Pointers to Moving Averages.
Indeed, the script plots horizontal segments that point to the latest Average Prices.
Every segment has a Label that shows Average Price, Length, and its related Moving Average (from MA0 to MA8). Besides, it is possible to extend the segment to right.
These pointers are a very useful automatization. They point to the Moving Averages. In this way, they show Dynamic Supports and Resistances as horizontal segments.
They are adaptive. Used together with the Volume Profile their progression approaches Edges of High Nodes.
This adaptive behavior makes easy to see when the price reaches Volume High Nodes and slows down.
Moving Average Pointers use the Partial Visibility Algorithm. In this case, the algorithm shows pointers with higher frequency than curves.
Moving Averages Pointers have:
Horizontal Segment as a Pointer with Arrow.
Label with details.
Circle to the current Average Price.
Weighted Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Volatility Channels
Having Moving Averages, from MA0 to MA8, it is possible to plot 9 Volatility Channels.
Each Volatility Channel uses one of the Moving Averages, from MA0 to MA8.
Indeed, each Volatility Channel has the same designation of the Moving Average used.
The Standard Deviation defines the Volatility Range. It uses the length of the Moving Average related to the Volatility Channel.
The Volatility Range is unique for each Volatility Channel. In the same way, each Volatility Channel is unique because of its relation to only one Moving Average.
By default, each volatility channel has the 2 value as Standard Deviation Multiplier. This gives 95% of Confidence that the price will stay into the Volatility Range.
Using the Simple Moving Average, each Volatility Channel becomes a Bollinger Bands envelop.
Volatility Channels work very well even using Exponential or Weighted Moving Averages.
MA0 - Volatility Channel
Volatility Channels - From MA0 to MA8
Value at Risk (VaR)
GA Value at Risk plots VaR according to the volatility. The VaR plotting follows the Trend Momentum or Buying-Selling Waves.
By default, VaR follows the Trend Momentum by 2 times the Standard Deviation of MA0. Where MA0 is the first Moving Average and Volatility Channel of the set.
Besides, by default, the calculation of the Value at Risk is adaptive. It does not follow the Volatility Channel Bands. But it changes according to the fast reaction of the price into the Volatility Range.
By default, VaR follows the main momentum even if the price is moving in opposition to it. This occurs as long as the Trend Momentum persists.
In the settings box, It is possible to select the following of the latest Buying Wave or Selling Wave.
In this case, VaR changes according to the change of Buying Wave or Selling Wave. This means that, on these conditions, VaR follows main swings. Then it follows the weakening and the strengthening of the trend momentum as long as it persists.
The plotting of the Value at Risk can show these features:
Red cycle to show the Value at Risk at the current price.
Look Back Red Line that shows the progression of the Value at Risk.
Label with details.
MA0 - Value at Risk - Not Adaptive
MA0 - Value at Risk - Adaptive
It is possible to use a different Moving Average and Volatility Channel from the set. This affects the calculation and the plotting of the Value at Risk. In this way, the algorithm return the Value at Risk for the short, middle, or long-term.
Then, you can get the Value at Risk for that Financial Instrument, calculated for ~1 year or more so as for 1 month.
The Value at Risk does not tell you when to enter the market. Besides, it does not show you that the trend is changing.
MA3 - Value at Risk - Adaptive
Value at Profit (VaP)
The Value at Profit has a descriptive purpose. It points the Volatility Band that is opposite to the Value at Risk.
I chose Value at Profit as a designation for this feature. It does not tell you where to exit the market.
But is shows what the price progression is pointing on. This happens following the switching between Volatility Ranges.
The VaP follows the Volatility Band where the price tends to converge.
An outperforming or underperforming price is running faster than the average trend. Then when the price runs enough to converge to the Volatility Band, it is over extended or under extended.
At these conditions, the increased buying or selling pressure affects the price behavior. This slows down the price progression.
The Algorithm behind the Value at Profit is adaptive. Then the pointer jumps up and down the Volatility Bands of the 9 Volatility Channels. This occurs according to the price progression, following the switching between Volatility Ranges.
So, the VaP points a Volatility Band as long as the price can have chances to converges on it. Instead, when the price has chances to exceed the Volatility Band, the VaP points to the next one.
The plotting of the Value at Profit occurs enabling its Label with details.
Value at Profit - MA0 Volatility Channel Upper Band
Value at Profit - MA6 Volatility Channel Upper Band
Price Extension
When the price runs far away from the average trend price, GA Value at Risk can plot the price extension.
It shows the distance in percentage of the price from a Moving Average of the set. This tends to highlight conditions where the price is over or under extended.
An overbought or oversold condition precedes the shortening of the Trust. It is a cause of the hesitation of the price to continue its progression. This includes also Climactic Points and Signs of Dominance.
The Price Extension plotting uses a variation of the Partial Visibility Algorithm. It plots the Price Extension Arrow only when there are specific volatility conditions.
When the Partial Visibility is set to 0, the Price Extension Arrow is always visible on the chart.
The plotting of the Price Extension includes a Label with details.
Over Extension - The Price is Outperforming MA0
Under Extension - The Price is Underperforming MA0
Price Extension Coloring for Bars and Line Chart
GA Value at Risk lets you enable the coloring of vertical charts. Green and Red colors mark the over and under extended price on bars, candle sticks, and also on the Line Chart.
The Price Extension Algorithm colors Bars and Line Chart by a momentum function.
Indeed, the coloring happens following Relative Strength Index or Bollinger Bands %B.
These 2 Momentum functions are different. Indeed, they color the chart according to the purpose of their curves.
Coloring the Line Chart, it is necessary to put on front the script visibility.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions on Line Chart by Bollinger Bands %B
Overbought and Oversold Conditions on Candlesticks Chart by Relative Strength Index
Note: I restrict access to the tool. Use the links in my signature field to gain access to the script. Feel free to send me a PM for any question.
Thank you
Girolamo Aloe
Founder of Profiting Me Finance Analytics
-
Disclaimer
Nobody in Girolamo Aloe websites and trading view profile is a Financial Advisor. Nothing therein is intended to be constructed as Financial Advice. The content on his websites is for information and educational purposes only.
Trading carries high risk. You should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not an indication of future results.
KarkadannKarkadann is an indicator derived from a Naberius trading algorithm. It represents a medium ground between our two other algorithms Mammon and Malphas.
It detects the current trend ranges in the market and prints a suggested entry accordingly at assumed trend channel tops & bottoms upon encountering stalled out price action usually indicative of a retracement. As such, Karakadann can be traded on nearly any timeframe.
This algorithm was developed to trade primarily leveraged XBT; however, after exploring larger alt coins and the more traditional markets outside of cryptocurrency we found that Karkadann does better than the average trader regardless of the pair or ticker being traded at the time. Any core changes to the live trading algorithm will be added to this indicator as they are deployed.
Suggested Methods of Operation:
1. Buy and Sell signals represent a possible trading opportunity. Based on our testing, manual traders should use the 15m - 60m for scalping and 240m - 1D for larger swings.
2. Upon signal print, place your limit orders spread throughout the current candles total body range. DO NOT MARKET IN. DO NOT CHASE. If the limit orders don't fill within the following candle regardless of timeframe being traded remove them and re-evaluate.
3. Use standard candles. Heikin Ashi candles are ok but can be deceiving in times of localized price volatility
4. Trade the trend or wait for extreme price action, counter to the trend, to take up positions.
ETH Growth | AlchimistOfCrypto⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This indicator's source code is kept private as it represents a first-of-its-kind innovation in algorithmic cycle detection and visualization for Ethereum. The mathematical models and proprietary algorithms powering this indicator are the result of extensive research and development.
🌈 ETH Growth Rainbow – Unveiling Ethereum's Logarithmic Growth Fields 🌈
"The ETH Growth Rainbow, engineered through advanced logarithmic mathematics, visualizes the probabilistic distribution of Ethereum's price evolution within a multi-cycle growth paradigm. This indicator employs principles from logarithmic regression where coefficients p001, p002, and p003 create mathematical boundaries that define Ethereum's long-term value progression. Our implementation features algorithmically enhanced rainbow visualization derived from Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) spectral analysis, creating a dynamic representation of Ethereum's logarithmic growth with adaptive color gradients that highlight critical cycle-based phase transitions in the asset's monetary evolution."
📊 Professional Trading Application
The ETH Growth Rainbow transcends traditional price prediction models with a sophisticated multi-band illumination system that reveals the underlying structure of Ethereum's monetary evolution. Scientifically calibrated across multiple 85-week cycles (detected through spectral analysis) and featuring seamless rainbow visualization, it enables investors to perceive Ethereum's position within its macro growth trajectory with unprecedented clarity.
- Cycle Detection Methodology 🔬
The 85-week Ethereum cycle was discovered through sophisticated Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) analysis:
- Logarithmic price returns extracted from historical Ethereum data
- FFT decomposition identifies dominant frequency components in price movements
- Signal amplitude analysis reveals the 85-week cycle as the most statistically significant periodicity
- Adaptive frequency filtering validates cycle consistency across multiple market phases
- Cycle duration rounded to nearest week for practical application
- Visual Theming 🎨
Scientifically designed rainbow gradient optimized for cycle pattern recognition:
- Violet-Blue: Lower value accumulation zones with highest mathematical growth potential
- Green: Fair value equilibrium zone representing the regression mean
- Yellow-Orange: Moderate overvaluation regions indicating potential resistance
- Red: Statistical extreme zones indicating mathematical cycle peaks
- Deep Red: New euphoria band (+6) capturing exceptional market extremes
- Cycle Visualization 🔍
- Precise cycle boundaries demarcating Ethereum's fundamental cycle events
- Adaptive band spacing based on mathematical cycle progression (p003 = 0.858)
- Multiple sub-cycle markers revealing the probabilistic nature of Ethereum's trajectory
- Initial cycle starting from 0.1639 (August 3, 2015) to preserve historical accuracy
🚀 How to Use
1. Identify Macro Position ⏰: Locate Ethereum's current price relative to regression bands
2. Understand Cycle Context 🎚️: Note position within the current 85-week cycle for time-based analysis
3. Assess Mathematical Value 🌈: Determine potential over/undervaluation based on band location
4. Adjust Investment Strategy 🔎: Modulate position sizing based on mathematical value assessment
5. Identify Cycle Phases ✅: Monitor band transitions to detect accumulation and distribution zones
6. Invest with Precision 🛡️: Utilize lower bands for strategic accumulation, upper bands for strategic reduction
7. Manage Risk Dynamically 🔐: Scale investment allocations based on mathematical cycle positioning
#ethereum #ETH #cryptocurrency #tradingview #technicalanalysis #logarithmicregression #rainbowchart #cryptotrading #tradingstrategy #priceaction #cryptoinvesting #ethanalysis #tradingbands #cryptoresearch #FFTanalysis #cyclicalanalysis #ethinvestment #ethusd #buyandsell #accumulation #macroindicator #valueanalysis #priceprediction #ethgrowth #cryptosignals #cyclicpatterns #mathematicaltrading #AI #smartmoney #cryptowhales
HIKMETULLAH// Türkçe
Özel bir algoritma ile bir çok indikatörün bir araya getirilmesi sonucu oluşmuştur.
1 günlük ve üzeri sinyallerin daha etkin olduğu gözlemlenmiştir.
Destek direnç noktalarına dikkat ederek alım-satım yapılması tavsiye olunur.
Bol ve bereketli kazançlar dilerim.
// English
Formed through a unique algorithm combining multiple indicators, signals of one day or longer are observed to be more effective.
It is advised to conduct buy-and-sell operations by paying attention to support and resistance levels.
Wishing you abundant and prosperous earnings!
// Deutsch
Durch einen einzigartigen Algorithmus, der mehrere Indikatoren kombiniert, entstanden, wird beobachtet, dass Signale mit einer Dauer von einem Tag oder länger effektiver sind.
Es wird empfohlen, Kauf- und Verkaufsoperationen unter Berücksichtigung von Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsniveaus durchzuführen.
Ich wünsche Ihnen reichhaltige und erfolgreiche Gewinne!
العربية //
تم إنشاؤه من خلال خوارزمية فريدة تجمع بين مؤشرات متعددة، لوحظ أن الإشارات التي تستغرق يومًا واحدًا أو أكثر تكون أكثر فعالية. يُنصح بإجراء عمليات الشراء والبيع مع مراعاة مستويات الدعم والمقاومة.
أتمنى لكم أرباحًا وفيرة ومزدهرة!
Machine Learning Adaptive Trend Toolkit [Velowave]The Machine Learning Adaptive Trend Toolkit is a technical analysis tool that combines adaptive algorithms with comprehensive market feature extraction to provide insights into changing market conditions. Unlike static indicators with fixed parameters, this system continuously analyzes and adapts to the evolving market environment.
Core Technology
At the heart of this system is a dynamic approach to market analysis:
• Feature Engineering Pipeline: Extracts and normalizes volatility, momentum, volume, and trend strength metrics
• Market Regime Classification: Identifies 10 distinct market environments including trending, ranging, breakout, and reversal conditions
• Parameter Optimization: Automatically adjusts sensitivity based on detected market conditions
• Dynamic Wave Technology: Creates adaptive support/resistance levels that respond to changing volatility
⚠️ Signal Interpretation
Important: The indicator's wave crosses should be interpreted as trend change signals rather than direct buy/sell recommendations. These signals represent potential trend changes based on adaptive parameters, but require confirmation from other analysis before making trading decisions.
(Image showing example color customizability)
Custom Candle Behavior
The custom candlesticks in this indicator are designed to enhance trend visualization but will behave differently than default candlesticks:
• They use linear regression smoothing to reduce noise
• Their coloring is based on position relative to the adaptive wave, not merely open/close relationships
• They may show different patterns than traditional candlesticks on the same chart
• Trading strategies developed using traditional candlestick patterns may not apply directly to these custom candles
This modified representation helps visualize trend conditions more clearly but should be understood as an analytical tool rather than a direct replacement for traditional price action analysis.
Practical Applications
• Trend Identification
The adaptive wave system provides clear visualization of trend direction and strength, with dynamic support and resistance levels that adjust to current volatility conditions.
• Volatility-Adjusted Analysis
Parameters automatically optimize during high and low volatility periods, preventing false signals during consolidation while remaining responsive during breakouts.
• Regime-Based Strategy Selection
Knowing the current market regime allows you to apply appropriate trading techniques for specific conditions rather than using a one-size-fits-all approach.
• Visual Price Action Analysis
Enhanced candlestick coloring instantly communicates price position relative to the adaptive trend, helping you process market information more efficiently.
(Image showing only the supertrend wave and dynamic moving average)
Technical Components
• Adaptive Wave Algorithm: Creates dynamic support/resistance bands based on volatility, volume, and detected regime
• Dynamic Moving Average: Period automatically adjusts based on market conditions - shorter in trending markets, longer in ranging conditions
• Market Regime Engine: Continuously analyzes feature patterns to classify current conditions
• Custom Candlestick Visualization: Provides instant visual feedback on trend position and momentum
Implementation Details
For full transparency, the core calculations include:
• Volatility normalization through comparative ATR analysis
• Momentum feature extraction using multi-timeframe momentum indicators
• Trend strength quantification through price structure analysis
• Regime detection through feature pattern recognition
• Adaptive parameter adjustment based on detected market conditions
The system uses only historical and current price data for its calculations and analyses. It does not use predictive methodologies that could lead to misleading results. The indicator will show different values on an open bar than it will after the bar closes, which is standard behavior for indicators that use closing prices in their calculations.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk. This indicator is designed as an analytical tool to enhance decision-making, not as a standalone trading system. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
MarketLuminaMarketLumina: A Comprehensive Technical Analysis Tool
MarketLumina is a technical analysis indicator crafted by a team of traders and developers in Germany. Built for TradingView’s Pine Script, it integrates trend visualization, signal generation, and real-time market insights to provide a multifaceted view of market conditions. This tool is designed to support traders in analyzing trends, spotting potential reversals, and evaluating market dynamics across various timeframes.
The best way to get started with MarketLumina is to take your time exploring its wide range of features. Dive in, experiment, and find the 2-3 tools that feel just right for you. Whether you’re a day trader looking for quick signals, a swing trader tracking trends, or an investor watching the bigger picture, MarketLumina lets you pick and choose what works best. Over time, you’ll craft your own unique trading strategy, perfectly tailored to your goals, preferences, and risk tolerance.
Key Features
Fibonacci Trend-Cloud
Displays market direction through Fibonacci-weighted moving averages. The cloud’s color—green (bullish), red (bearish), or yellow (caution)—reflects prevailing conditions, while its width indicates trend intensity.
Advanced Signal System
Generates signals derived from RSI, momentum, volume, money flow, volatility, price action, divergences, specific cloud-interactions, divergences and historical data. Signal categories include strong reversals, potential reversals, short-term tops/bottoms, strong trend, oversold/overbought conditions, exit signals, and money flow strategy triggers.
LuminaPulse – Real-Time Market Insight
A proprietary module that delivers real-time market analysis through a dashboard of six progress bars, each tailored to the symbol and timeframe using a machine learning approach. It screens historical data—key levels, consolidation zones, volatility spikes, and past price reactions—to optimize insights.
Support & Resistance Zones
Highlights critical price levels using volume-weighted historical data and price-action pivot points.
Candlestick-Overlay
Applies color coding to candlesticks—green (bullish), red (bearish), yellow (caution)—to emphasize signal-relevant bars.
Usage Instructions
MarketLumina is intended as a component of a broader analytical framework.
Below are general guidelines for its application:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Align signals with trends on higher timeframes for context.
LuminaPulse Interpretation
Evaluate confluence across trend strength, momentum, money flow, and volume to assess market conditions. Additionally, monitor squeeze conditions for potential breakout signals and volatility to gauge market activity.
Trend-Cloud Context
Use the Fibonacci Trend-Cloud’s direction and width as a filter for signal relevance.
Usage Instructions for MarketLumina’s Advanced Signal System
The Advanced Signal System is a core component of MarketLumina, designed to empower traders by generating a variety of signals derived from RSI, momentum, volume, money flow, volatility, divergences, price action, and more. These signals are organized into distinct categories to help you identify key market conditions and uncover potential trading opportunities.
Below is a comprehensive guide to each signal category, including descriptions, interpretations, and practical applications to enhance your trading decisions:
Strong Reversals
Reversal Signals are generated using a complex price action and volatility algorithm, pinpointing significant potential turning points in the market with elevated confidence.
How to Use:
Look for these signals near critical support or resistance levels, especially when supported by the Fibonacci Trend-Cloud or LuminaPulse metrics.
Treat them as powerful reversal cues when they align with overarching market trends or follow prolonged price movements.
Interpretation:
A bullish Reversal signal flags a strong probability of an upward reversal, often in oversold conditions, suggesting a shift to bullish momentum.
A bearish Reversal signal points to a likely downward reversal, typically in overbought scenarios, indicating bearish potential.
Their reliability increases with confluence factors like divergences or a notable shift in money flow.
Potential Reversals
These signals flag possible trend continuation after a pullback based on price action, RSI thresholds and specific trend-cloud interaction, offering early insights with moderate certainty compared to strong reversals.
How to Use:
Use them as preliminary alerts for potential reversals of a pullback continuing its trend, particularly near support or resistance zones.
Validate their strength with additional tools like the Trend-Cloud thickness or LuminaPulse to gauge reliability.
Interpretation:
Bullish potential reversals hint at the onset of an upward move, while bearish ones suggest a downward continuation may be brewing.
Ideal for spotting early opportunities, these signals gain credibility when paired with confirming indicators.
Short-Term Tops/Bottoms
These signals mark temporary price extremes, identifying short-term tops or bottoms within a trend, driven by Multi-RSI algorithms.
How to Use:
In trending markets, leverage these signals to anticipate brief pullbacks or corrections within the dominant direction.
In range-bound markets, use them to pinpoint reversal points within the established range.
Interpretation:
A short-term top indicates a temporary possible high, offering opportunities to lock in profits or brace for a dip.
A short-term bottom suggests a fleeting low, signaling a potential bounce or recovery within the larger trend.
Oversold/Overbought Conditions
This category highlights extreme market states with oversold/overbought conditions, derived from RSI and price action.
How to Use:
In strong trends, these signals affirm the likelihood of potential temporary exhaustion.
In weaker trends, they signal potential exhaustion and could early indicate reversals.
Interpretation:
Oversold signals in strong trends could mark a short-term break or slower trend continuation and should not be interpreted as a reversal signal.
Strong Trend
These signals flag possible trend continuation based on six key metrics—RSI, Money Flow, Momentum, and more—align to confirm robust momentum.
How to Use:
In strong trends, these signals affirm the likelihood of a continuation.
Interpretation:
Strong trend signals could be interpreted as a confirmation of the bullish movement and a possible continuation.
Money Flow Strategy Triggers
Built on money flow analysis, these signals track capital inflows and outflows on multiple timeframes to reveal shifts in buying or selling pressure, offering a window into market sentiment.
How to Use:
Deploy these triggers to refine entry or exit timing, especially when they sync with other signals and the Trend-Cloud’s direction.
Pair them with LuminaPulse’s Money Flow, Momentum and volume sentiment for a deeper understanding of market participation.
Interpretation:
Positive money flow triggers indicate rising buying pressure, often a precursor to upward price action.
Negative money flow triggers signal increasing selling pressure, potentially foreshadowing a downturn.
Their value shines when diverging from price action, exposing hidden strength or weakness in the market.
Usage Instructions for LuminaPulse
LuminaPulse is a standout feature of MarketLumina, delivering real-time insights into market conditions through a sophisticated, machine-learning-driven approach. It analyzes historical data unique to each symbol and timeframe—examining past key levels, consolidation zones, volatility spikes, and price reactions—to create a dashboard of six progress bars.
These bars represent the strength of critical market factors:
Money Flow
Momentum
Volume
Strength (Trend Strength)
Squeeze
Volatility
Each bar is color-coded—green for bullish conditions, red for bearish—and its fill level reflects the factor’s strength relative to historical patterns. A fully loaded bar suggests a high likelihood of a notable price reaction, based on how the market has responded to similar conditions in the past. What makes LuminaPulse unique is its ability to tailor these insights to the specific symbol and timeframe, going beyond raw metrics to show their historical significance.
Additionally, each bar features a "Ghost-Progress" overlay, marking the highest strength level reached in the current trend. This allows you to see whether the current strength is nearing or retreating from recent peaks, adding depth to your analysis.
How to Use LuminaPulse
LuminaPulse is a confirmation tool, not a standalone signal generator. It shines when paired with other MarketLumina features, like the Fibonacci Trend-Cloud or Advanced Signal System, as part of a broader trading strategy.
Here’s how to apply it effectively:
Seek Confluence
Check for alignment across multiple bars. For example, if Money Flow, Momentum, and Volume are all green and highly filled, it could indicate strong bullish potential.
Spot Divergences
Look for mismatches between price action and the bars. If price rises but Momentum weakens, it might hint at a fading trend.
Monitor Squeeze: A fully loaded Squeeze bar signals consolidation and potential volatility ahead. Use other tools to predict the breakout direction.
Assess Volatility: The Volatility bar sets the context—high levels suggest bigger price swings, while low levels indicate a calmer market.
Interpreting Each Progress Bar
1. Money Flow
Measures the strength of money flowing into or out of the market, compared to historical thresholds, key-levels and past price reactions, using a machine learning approach, tailored to the symbol and timeframe. It’s not just the raw money flow index—it’s the likelihood of a price move based on historical similar money flow movements.
How to Use:
Look for a fully loaded bar alongside a strong Momentum bar near key levels or signals.
Watch for a bar switching colors (e.g., red to green) with a robust Momentum bar for potential trend shifts.
Treat it as the fuel behind price moves, not the absolute flow level.
Interpretation:
A fully loaded green bar suggests strong buying pressure; a red bar indicates selling pressure.
Divergence (e.g., price up, Money Flow down) can signal an impending reversal—confirm with other tools.
2. Momentum
Gauges the strength and direction of price momentum, factoring in historical key levels, volatility, and past reactions, optimized by a machine learning approach, tailored to the symbol and timeframe. It reflects momentum’s strength and potential impact, not just its current state.
How to Use:
Pair a fully loaded bar with a strong Money Flow bar near signals or key levels.
A switching bar (e.g., bearish to bullish) with a solid Money Flow bar may hint at a trend change.
View it as the driving force behind price momentum.
Interpretation:
A fully loaded green bar signals powerful upward momentum; a red bar shows downward force.
Divergence from price action (e.g., price down, Momentum up) can be a reversal clue—verify with confluence.
3. Volume
Shows whether volume is pushing price up or down, based on historical patterns and key levels near the current price, tailored to the symbol and timeframe.
How to Use:
Look for a bar over 50% filled, aligned with Money Flow and Momentum, near signals or key levels.
Combine a strong bar with a fully loaded Squeeze bar for breakout potential.
See it as the muscle behind buying or selling pressure.
Interpretation:
A green bar over 50% suggests volume supports upward moves; a red bar indicates downward pressure.
Alignment with other bars near support/resistance can confirm breakouts or rejections.
4. Strength (Trend Strength)
Focuses on the current trend’s robustness, comparing it to historical price movements, trend direction, and volatility. It helps spot pullbacks or early trend-shift warnings.
How to Use:
Watch for a fully loaded bar opposite your trade, paired with weakening Money Flow or Momentum, as an exit cue.
For reversals, confirm a fully loaded bar with at least two other aligned bars.
Use it to gauge the power of short-term price action.
Interpretation:
A fully loaded bar with supporting bars confirms trend strength.
A dropping bar as price tests key levels may signal a pullback or shift—check support/resistance.
5. Squeeze
Highlights consolidation and building pressure from buyers and sellers, suggesting a big move ahead. Its color reflects the trend but isn’t a reliable directional guide.
How to Use:
A fully loaded bar signals an imminent breakout—use other indicators for direction.
Pair with strong Strength and Volume for timing confirmation.
Treat it as a timing tool, not a directional one.
Interpretation:
A fully loaded bar means a significant move is likely, but not where it’s headed.
Use it to prepare for action, not to predict the outcome—direction comes from confluence.
6. Volatility
Measures current volatility relative to historical levels, using a machine learning approach to analyze past volatility and duration patterns specific to the symbol and timeframe. A calm bar might still appear during big swings if that’s normal for the asset or a calm bar could appear after a big move if it's normal for the asset to show single volatility spikes with consolidation afterwards.
How to Use:
Use a high Volatility bar (fully loaded) to favor short-term trades; a low bar (empty) suggests a quieter market.
Pair with Squeeze to anticipate breakout strength.
Adjust your strategy based on the market’s activity level.
Interpretation:
A fully loaded bar signals high volatility and bigger swings; an empty bar indicates low volatility and smaller moves.
Context is key—high volatility for one symbol might be calm for another, based on its history.
Key Features of LuminaPulse
Tailored Insights: Each bar’s strength is customized to the symbol and timeframe’s historical behavior, making it uniquely relevant.
Ghost-Progress: See the peak strength in the current trend, helping you judge if conditions are peaking or fading.
Individual-Adapting Edge: Algorithms adapt to historical data, ensuring insights reflect past reactions, not just current values.
Important Notes
LuminaPulse is a complex, unique tool designed to enhance your analysis, not dictate trades. Its strength lies in its historical context and real-time adaptability, but it’s most effective when combined with other MarketLumina features and your own strategy.
Illustrative Scenarios
Trend Continuation Example
Picture a market where momentum is steadily building. The Fibonacci Trend-Cloud turns red across both the primary and higher timeframes, reflecting a strong bearish direction. As this trend takes shape, reversal or strategy-based signals begin to line up with the cloud’s downward tilt, hinting at sustained weakness. Short-term bottoms and tops might start forming, offering clues about the trend’s rhythm, while a widening cloud could suggest growing confidence in the move. This setup showcases how the indicator can highlight a trend gathering steam, with multiple features reinforcing the direction.
Reversal Example
Imagine a market that’s been rising but approaches a key support zone. Suddenly, strong reversal signals flash on the chart, catching attention near this critical level. Price action starts to stabilize or reject, while LuminaPulse metrics show a subtle uptick in momentum or a shift in volume sentiment. As the market tests this zone, opposing signals fade, and the potential for a downward turn becomes clearer. This scenario illustrates how the indicator’s signals and metrics can converge to spotlight a possible shift in direction.
Pullback Analysis Example
Consider a strong bullish trend unfolding on the higher timeframe, painting a broad picture of upward movement. Zooming into the lower timeframe, a brief retracement emerges, pulling price back toward a support level. Here, strategy-based or reversal signals might pop up, marking this as a key area to watch. LuminaPulse could reveal a slowdown in downward momentum or a tightening of trend strength, suggesting the retracement might be running out of energy. This example demonstrates how the indicator can help dissect a pullback, revealing opportunities within an ongoing trend.
Range-Bound Market Example
Envision a market stuck in a sideways drift, with the Fibonacci Trend-Cloud narrowing and turning yellow—a sign of consolidation. Reversal signals begin appearing near support and resistance zones, hinting at potential bounces within the range. LuminaPulse metrics might spike, showing bursts of volatility or squeeze conditions building up. As price nears these boundaries, the chance of a breakout looms, with retests of the zones offering further clarity. These examples show how MarketLumina’s features—like the cloud’s color and width, signal alignments, and LuminaPulse shifts—can work together to illuminate market dynamics. Whether it’s a trend gaining traction, a reversal brewing, a pullback pausing, or a range tightening, the indicator provides visual and analytical cues to explore. By watching how these elements evolve, you can get a feel for the market’s rhythm and sharpen your understanding of what to look for in different situations.
Legal Notices
MarketLumina is a technical analysis tool, not a substitute for professional financial advice.
Trading carries inherent risks; past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.
All content is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading recommendations. Users bear full responsibility for their trading decisions and are urged to prioritize robust risk management.
Volume Predictor [PhenLabs]📊 Volume Predictor
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
The Volume Predictor is an advanced technical indicator that leverages machine learning and statistical modeling techniques to forecast future trading volume. This innovative tool analyzes historical volume patterns to predict volume levels for upcoming bars, providing traders with valuable insights into potential market activity. By combining multiple prediction algorithms with pattern recognition techniques, the indicator delivers forward-looking volume projections that can enhance trading strategies and market analysis.
🚀 Points of Innovation:
Machine learning pattern recognition using Lorentzian distance metrics
Multi-algorithm prediction framework with algorithm selection
Ensemble learning approach combining multiple prediction methods
Real-time accuracy metrics with visual performance dashboard
Dynamic volume normalization for consistent scale representation
Forward-looking visualization with configurable prediction horizon
🔧 Core Components
Pattern Recognition Engine : Identifies similar historical volume patterns using Lorentzian distance metrics
Multi-Algorithm Framework : Offers five distinct prediction methods with configurable parameters
Volume Normalization : Converts raw volume to percentage scale for consistent analysis
Accuracy Tracking : Continuously evaluates prediction performance against actual outcomes
Advanced Visualization : Displays actual vs. predicted volume with configurable future bar projections
Interactive Dashboard : Shows real-time performance metrics and prediction accuracy
🔥 Key Features
The indicator provides comprehensive volume analysis through:
Multiple Prediction Methods : Choose from Lorentzian, KNN Pattern, Ensemble, EMA, or Linear Regression algorithms
Pattern Matching : Identifies similar historical volume patterns to project future volume
Adaptive Predictions : Generates volume forecasts for multiple bars into the future
Performance Tracking : Calculates and displays real-time prediction accuracy metrics
Normalized Scale : Presents volume as a percentage of historical maximums for consistent analysis
Customizable Visualization : Configure how predictions and actual volumes are displayed
Interactive Dashboard : View algorithm performance metrics in a customizable information panel
🎨 Visualization
Actual Volume Columns : Color-coded green/red bars showing current normalized volume
Prediction Columns : Semi-transparent blue columns representing predicted volume levels
Future Bar Projections : Forward-looking volume predictions with configurable transparency
Prediction Dots : Optional white dots highlighting future prediction points
Reference Lines : Visual guides showing the normalized volume scale
Performance Dashboard : Customizable panel displaying prediction method and accuracy metrics
📖 Usage Guidelines
History Lookback Period
Default: 20
Range: 5-100
This setting determines how many historical bars are analyzed for pattern matching. A longer period provides more historical data for pattern recognition but may reduce responsiveness to recent changes. A shorter period emphasizes recent market behavior but might miss longer-term patterns.
🧠 Prediction Method
Algorithm
Default: Lorentzian
Options: Lorentzian, KNN Pattern, Ensemble, EMA, Linear Regression
Selects the algorithm used for volume prediction:
Lorentzian: Uses Lorentzian distance metrics for pattern recognition, offering excellent noise resistance
KNN Pattern: Traditional K-Nearest Neighbors approach for historical pattern matching
Ensemble: Combines multiple methods with weighted averaging for robust predictions
EMA: Simple exponential moving average projection for trend-following predictions
Linear Regression: Projects future values based on linear trend analysis
Pattern Length
Default: 5
Range: 3-10
Defines the number of bars in each pattern for machine learning methods. Shorter patterns increase sensitivity to recent changes, while longer patterns may identify more complex structures but require more historical data.
Neighbors Count
Default: 3
Range: 1-5
Sets the K value (number of nearest neighbors) used in KNN and Lorentzian methods. Higher values produce smoother predictions by averaging more historical patterns, while lower values may capture more specific patterns but could be more susceptible to noise.
Prediction Horizon
Default: 5
Range: 1-10
Determines how many future bars to predict. Longer horizons provide more forward-looking information but typically decrease accuracy as the prediction window extends.
📊 Display Settings
Display Mode
Default: Overlay
Options: Overlay, Prediction Only
Controls how volume information is displayed:
Overlay: Shows both actual volume and predictions on the same chart
Prediction Only: Displays only the predictions without actual volume
Show Prediction Dots
Default: false
When enabled, adds white dots to future predictions for improved visibility and clarity.
Future Bar Transparency (%)
Default: 70
Range: 0-90
Controls the transparency of future prediction bars. Higher values make future bars more transparent, while lower values make them more visible.
📱 Dashboard Settings
Show Dashboard
Default: true
Toggles display of the prediction accuracy dashboard. When enabled, shows real-time accuracy metrics.
Dashboard Location
Default: Bottom Right
Options: Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right
Determines where the dashboard appears on the chart.
Dashboard Text Size
Default: Normal
Options: Small, Normal, Large
Controls the size of text in the dashboard for various display sizes.
Dashboard Style
Default: Solid
Options: Solid, Transparent
Sets the visual style of the dashboard background.
Understanding Accuracy Metrics
The dashboard provides key performance metrics to evaluate prediction quality:
Average Error
Shows the average difference between predicted and actual values
Positive values indicate the prediction tends to be higher than actual volume
Negative values indicate the prediction tends to be lower than actual volume
Values closer to zero indicate better prediction accuracy
Accuracy Percentage
A measure of how close predictions are to actual outcomes
Higher percentages (>70%) indicate excellent prediction quality
Moderate percentages (50-70%) indicate acceptable predictions
Lower percentages (<50%) suggest weaker prediction reliability
The accuracy metrics are color-coded for quick assessment:
Green: Strong prediction performance
Orange: Moderate prediction performance
Red: Weaker prediction performance
✅ Best Use Cases
Anticipate upcoming volume spikes or drops
Identify potential volume divergences from price action
Plan entries and exits around expected volume changes
Filter trading signals based on predicted volume support
Optimize position sizing by forecasting market participation
Prepare for potential volatility changes signaled by volume predictions
Enhance technical pattern analysis with volume projection context
⚠️ Limitations
Volume predictions become less accurate over longer time horizons
Performance varies based on market conditions and asset characteristics
Works best on liquid assets with consistent volume patterns
Requires sufficient historical data for pattern recognition
Sudden market events can disrupt prediction accuracy
Volume spikes may be muted in predictions due to normalization
💡 What Makes This Unique
Machine Learning Approach : Applies Lorentzian distance metrics for robust pattern matching
Algorithm Selection : Offers multiple prediction methods to suit different market conditions
Real-time Accuracy Tracking : Provides continuous feedback on prediction performance
Forward Projection : Visualizes multiple future bars with configurable display options
Normalized Scale : Presents volume as a percentage of maximum volume for consistent analysis
Interactive Dashboard : Displays key metrics with customizable appearance and placement
🔬 How It Works
The Volume Predictor processes market data through five main steps:
1. Volume Normalization:
Converts raw volume to percentage of maximum volume in lookback period
Creates consistent scale representation across different timeframes and assets
Stores historical normalized volumes for pattern analysis
2. Pattern Detection:
Identifies similar volume patterns in historical data
Uses Lorentzian distance metrics for robust similarity measurement
Determines strength of pattern match for prediction weighting
3. Algorithm Processing:
Applies selected prediction algorithm to historical patterns
For KNN/Lorentzian: Finds K nearest neighbors and calculates weighted prediction
For Ensemble: Combines multiple methods with optimized weighting
For EMA/Linear Regression: Projects trends based on statistical models
4. Accuracy Calculation:
Compares previous predictions to actual outcomes
Calculates average error and prediction accuracy
Updates performance metrics in real-time
5. Visualization:
Displays normalized actual volume with color-coding
Shows current and future volume predictions
Presents performance metrics through interactive dashboard
💡 Note:
The Volume Predictor performs optimally on liquid assets with established volume patterns. It’s most effective when used in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators. The multi-algorithm approach allows adaptation to different market conditions by switching prediction methods. Pay special attention to the accuracy metrics when evaluating prediction reliability, as sudden market changes can temporarily reduce prediction quality. The normalized percentage scale makes the indicator consistent across different assets and timeframes, providing a standardized approach to volume analysis.
Accurate Bollinger Bands mcbw_ [True Volatility Distribution]The Bollinger Bands have become a very important technical tool for discretionary and algorithmic traders alike over the last decades. It was designed to give traders an edge on the markets by setting probabilistic values to different levels of volatility. However, some of the assumptions that go into its calculations make it unusable for traders who want to get a correct understanding of the volatility that the bands are trying to be used for. Let's go through what the Bollinger Bands are said to show, how their calculations work, the problems in the calculations, and how the current indicator I am presenting today fixes these.
--> If you just want to know how the settings work then skip straight to the end or click on the little (i) symbol next to the values in the indicator settings window when its on your chart <--
--------------------------- What Are Bollinger Bands ---------------------------
The Bollinger Bands were formed in the 1980's, a time when many retail traders interacted with their symbols via physically printed charts and computer memory for personal computer memory was measured in Kb (about a factor of 1 million smaller than today). Bollinger Bands are designed to help a trader or algorithm see the likelihood of price expanding outside of its typical range, the further the lines are from the current price implies the less often they will get hit. With a hands on understanding many strategies use these levels for designated levels of breakout trades or to assist in defining price ranges.
--------------------------- How Bollinger Bands Work ---------------------------
The calculations that go into Bollinger Bands are rather simple. There is a moving average that centers the indicator and an equidistant top band and bottom band are drawn at a fixed width away. The moving average is just a typical moving average (or common variant) that tracks the price action, while the distance to the top and bottom bands is a direct function of recent price volatility. The way that the distance to the bands is calculated is inspired by formulas from statistics. The standard deviation is taken from the candles that go into the moving average and then this is multiplied by a user defined value to set the bands position, I will call this value 'the multiple'. When discussing Bollinger Bands, that trading community at large normally discusses 'the multiple' as a multiplier of the standard deviation as it applies to a normal distribution (gaußian probability). On a normal distribution the number of standard deviations away (which trades directly use as 'the multiple') you are directly corresponds to how likely/unlikely something is to happen:
1 standard deviation equals 68.3%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 1 standard deviation 68.3% of the time and be outside of it 31.7% of the time;
2 standard deviation equals 95.5%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 2 standard deviation 95.5% of the time and be outside of it 4.5% of the time;
3 standard deviation equals 99.7%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 3 standard deviation 99.7% of the time and be outside of it 0.3% of the time.
Therefore when traders set 'the multiple' to 2, they interpret this as meaning that price will not reach there 95.5% of the time.
---------------- The Problem With The Math of Bollinger Bands ----------------
In and of themselves the Bollinger Bands are a great tool, but they have become misconstrued with some incorrect sense of statistical meaning, when they should really just be taken at face value without any further interpretation or implication.
In order to explain this it is going to get a bit technical so I will give a little math background and try to simplify things. First let's review some statistics topics (distributions, percentiles, standard deviations) and then with that understanding explore the incorrect logic of how Bollinger Bands have been interpreted/employed.
---------------- Quick Stats Review ----------------
.
(If you are comfortable with statistics feel free to skip ahead to the next section)
.
-------- I: Probability distributions --------
When you have a lot of data it is helpful to see how many times different results appear in your dataset. To visualize this people use "histograms", which just shows how many times each element appears in the dataset by stacking each of the same elements on top of each other to form a graph. You may be familiar with the bell curve (also called the "normal distribution", which we will be calling it by). The normal distribution histogram looks like a big hump around zero and then drops off super quickly the further you get from it. This shape (the bell curve) is very nice because it has a lot of very nifty mathematical properties and seems to show up in nature all the time. Since it pops up in so many places, society has developed many different shortcuts related to it that speed up all kinds of calculations, including the shortcut that 1 standard deviation = 68.3%, 2 standard deviations = 95.5%, and 3 standard deviations = 99.7% (these only apply to the normal distribution). Despite how handy the normal distribution is and all the shortcuts we have for it are, and how much it shows up in the natural world, there is nothing that forces your specific dataset to look like it. In fact, your data can actually have any possible shape. As we will explore later, economic and financial datasets *rarely* follow the normal distribution.
-------- II: Percentiles --------
After you have made the histogram of your dataset you have built the "probability distribution" of your own dataset that is specific to all the data you have collected. There is a whole complicated framework for how to accurately calculate percentiles but we will dramatically simplify it for our use. The 'percentile' in our case is just the number of data points we are away from the "middle" of the data set (normally just 0). Lets say I took the difference of the daily close of a symbol for the last two weeks, green candles would be positive and red would be negative. In this example my dataset of day by day closing price difference is:
week 1:
week 2:
sorting all of these value into a single dataset I have:
I can separate the positive and negative returns and explore their distributions separately:
negative return distribution =
positive return distribution =
Taking the 25th% percentile of these would just be taking the value that is 25% towards the end of the end of these returns. Or akin the 100%th percentile would just be taking the vale that is 100% at the end of those:
negative return distribution (50%) = -5
positive return distribution (50%) = +4
negative return distribution (100%) = -10
positive return distribution (100%) = +20
Or instead of separating the positive and negative returns we can also look at all of the differences in the daily close as just pure price movement and not account for the direction, in this case we would pool all of the data together by ignoring the negative signs of the negative reruns
combined return distribution =
In this case the 50%th and 100%th percentile of the combined return distribution would be:
combined return distribution (50%) = 4
combined return distribution (100%) = 10
Sometimes taking the positive and negative distributions separately is better than pooling them into a combined distribution for some purposes. Other times the combined distribution is better.
Most financial data has very different distributions for negative returns and positive returns. This is encapsulated in sayings like "Price takes the stairs up and the elevator down".
-------- III: Standard Deviation --------
The formula for the standard deviation (refereed to here by its shorthand 'STDEV') can be intimidating, but going through each of its elements will illuminate what it does. The formula for STDEV is equal to:
square root ( (sum ) / N )
Going back the the dataset that you might have, the variables in the formula above are:
'mean' is the average of your entire dataset
'x' is just representative of a single point in your dataset (one point at a time)
'N' is the total number of things in your dataset.
Going back to the STDEV formula above we can see how each part of it works. Starting with the '(x - mean)' part. What this does is it takes every single point of the dataset and measure how far away it is from the mean of the entire dataset. Taking this value to the power of two: '(x - mean) ^ 2', means that points that are very far away from the dataset mean get 'penalized' twice as much. Points that are very close to the dataset mean are not impacted as much. In practice, this would mean that if your dataset had a bunch of values that were in a wide range but always stayed in that range, this value ('(x - mean) ^ 2') would end up being small. On the other hand, if your dataset was full of the exact same number, but had a couple outliers very far away, this would have a much larger value since the square par of '(x - mean) ^ 2' make them grow massive. Now including the sum part of 'sum ', this just adds up all the of the squared distanced from the dataset mean. Then this is divided by the number of values in the dataset ('N'), and then the square root of that value is taken.
There is nothing inherently special or definitive about the STDEV formula, it is just a tool with extremely widespread use and adoption. As we saw here, all the STDEV formula is really doing is measuring the intensity of the outliers.
--------------------------- Flaws of Bollinger Bands ---------------------------
The largest problem with Bollinger Bands is the assumption that price has a normal distribution. This is assumption is massively incorrect for many reasons that I will try to encapsulate into two points:
Price return do not follow a normal distribution, every single symbol on every single timeframe has is own unique distribution that is specific to only itself. Therefore all the tools, shortcuts, and ideas that we use for normal distributions do not apply to price returns, and since they do not apply here they should not be used. A more general approach is needed that allows each specific symbol on every specific timeframe to be treated uniquely.
The distributions of price returns on the positive and negative side are almost never the same. A more general approach is needed that allows positive and negative returns to be calculated separately.
In addition to the issues of the normal distribution assumption, the standard deviation formula (as shown above in the quick stats review) is essentially just a tame measurement of outliers (a more aggressive form of outlier measurement might be taking the differences to the power of 3 rather than 2). Despite this being a bit of a philosophical question, does the measurement of outlier intensity as defined by the STDEV formula really measure what we want to know as traders when we're experiencing volatility? Or would adjustments to that formula better reflect what we *experience* as volatility when we are actively trading? This is an open ended question that I will leave here, but I wanted to pose this question because it is a key part of what how the Bollinger Bands work that we all assume as a given.
Circling back on the normal distribution assumption, the standard deviation formula used in the calculation of the bands only encompasses the deviation of the candles that go into the moving average and have no knowledge of the historical price action. Therefore the level of the bands may not really reflect how the price action behaves over a longer period of time.
------------ Delivering Factually Accurate Data That Traders Need------------
In light of the problems identified above, this indicator fixes all of these issue and delivers statistically correct information that discretionary and algorithmic traders can use, with truly accurate probabilities. It takes the price action of the last 2,000 candles and builds a huge dataset of distributions that you can directly select your percentiles from. It also allows you to have the positive and negative distributions calculated separately, or if you would like, you can pool all of them together in a combined distribution. In addition to this, there is a wide selection of moving averages directly available in the indicator to choose from.
Hedge funds, quant shops, algo prop firms, and advanced mechanical groups all employ the true return distributions in their work. Now you have access to the same type of data with this indicator, wherein it's doing all the lifting for you.
------------------------------ Indicator Settings ------------------------------
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---- Moving average ----
Select the type of moving average you would like and its length
---- Bands ----
The percentiles that you enter here will be pulled directly from the return distribution of the last 2,000 candles. With the typical Bollinger Bands, traders would select 2 standard deviations and incorrectly think that the levels it highlights are the 95.5% levels. Now, if you want the true 95.5% level, you can just enter 95.5 into the percentile value here. Each of the three available bands takes the true percentile you enter here.
---- Separate Positive & Negative Distributions----
If this box is checked the positive and negative distributions are treated indecently, completely separate from each other. You will see that the width of the top and bottom bands will be different for each of the percentiles you enter.
If this box is unchecked then all the negative and positive distributions are pooled together. You will notice that the width of the top and bottom bands will be the exact same.
---- Distribution Size ----
This is the number of candles that the price return is calculated over. EG: to collect the price return over the last 33 candles, the difference of price from now to 33 candles ago is calculated for the last 2,000 candles, to build a return distribution of 2000 points of price differences over 33 candles.
NEGATIVE NUMBERS(<0) == exact number of candles to include;
EG: setting this value to -20 will always collect volatility distributions of 20 candles
POSITIVE NUMBERS(>0) == number of candles to include as a multiple of the Moving Average Length value set above;
EG: if the Moving Average Length value is set to 22, setting this value to 2 will use the last 22*2 = 44 candles for the collection of volatility distributions
MORE candles being include will generally make the bands WIDER and their size will change SLOWER over time.
I wish you focus, dedication, and earnest success on your journey.
Happy trading :)
MidnightQuant Buy/Exit SignalsThe MidnightQuant Indicator is a sophisticated trend-following tool designed for traders seeking an edge in market analysis through a multi-symbol, multi-timeframe approach. Built on an enhanced Supertrend algorithm, this indicator goes beyond traditional trend-following methods by integrating advanced features that cater to both novice and experienced traders. Its unique design provides comprehensive market insights, empowering traders to make informed decisions with confidence.
Keep in mind that it was tested mainly with higher timeframes, 4H, 1D, 1W.
Overview:
MidnightQuant is specifically engineered to simplify the complexity of market analysis by monitoring and analyzing multiple currency pairs simultaneously. It combines trend detection, reversal signals, and a user-friendly dashboard to present a holistic view of market conditions. Whether you're trading a single asset or managing a portfolio, MidnightQuant delivers actionable insights in real-time.
Key Features:
Multi-Symbol Trend Analysis:
MidnightQuant's most distinguishing feature is its ability to track and analyze up to ten different currency pairs simultaneously. Unlike traditional indicators that focus on a single asset, this multi-symbol capability provides a broader view of market dynamics, allowing traders to identify correlations and divergences across various pairs. This is particularly useful for traders who want to confirm the strength of a trend across different markets before making a trading decision.
Enhanced Supertrend Algorithm:
At the core of MidnightQuant lies an optimized Supertrend algorithm that has been fine-tuned for both accuracy and responsiveness. The algorithm calculates trend directions by factoring in average true range (ATR) data, which helps in identifying significant price movements while filtering out market noise. This results in more reliable trend detection and fewer false signals, making it a powerful tool for trend-following strategies.
Intuitive Dashboard Display:
The MidnightQuant dashboard is designed to centralize critical information, making it accessible at a glance. It displays four key columns: Potential Reversals, Confirmed Reversals, Bullish Trends, and Bearish Trends. Each column provides a quick summary of the current market state for all tracked symbols, allowing traders to see where potential opportunities lie. This streamlined presentation reduces the need for constant chart monitoring and helps traders focus on the most promising setups.
Visual Signals and Candlestick Integration:
MidnightQuant enhances chart readability by incorporating visual signals directly on the price chart. Buy and sell signals are clearly marked at points where trend reversals are detected, providing immediate entry and exit cues. Additionally, the indicator color-codes candlesticks according to the current trend direction—purple for bullish and light lavender for bearish—enabling traders to instantly gauge market sentiment.
Customizable Alerts:
The indicator includes flexible alert conditions that can be customized according to your trading preferences. Alerts are triggered for trend direction changes, providing timely notifications for potential buy or sell opportunities. This feature is invaluable for traders who need to stay informed of market movements even when they are not actively monitoring their charts.
Trend Reversal Detection:
One of MidnightQuant's core functionalities is its ability to detect and signal trend reversals. The indicator monitors changes in the trend direction with precision, helping traders to identify potential turning points in the market. This feature is particularly useful for swing traders and those who aim to capitalize on shifts in market momentum.
Customizable Settings:
The indicator comes with various settings that allow traders to tailor it to their specific needs. From selecting which symbols to track to adjusting the sensitivity of the Supertrend algorithm, users have full control over how the indicator behaves. This customization ensures that MidnightQuant can be adapted to different trading styles and strategies.
How It Works:
MidnightQuant uses a proprietary calculation based on the Supertrend algorithm, which leverages ATR to dynamically adjust to market volatility. The indicator tracks the midpoint of each trading range and applies a factor that defines the threshold for trend changes. When the closing price crosses this threshold, a new trend is identified, and corresponding signals are generated.
The multi-symbol feature is powered by the request.security function, which allows MidnightQuant to pull in data from multiple symbols and timeframes. This data is then processed through the Supertrend algorithm to determine the trend direction for each symbol, which is subsequently displayed on the dashboard.
The indicator also includes a built-in dashboard that provides a summarized view of market conditions, including potential and confirmed reversals, as well as current trend directions. This dashboard updates in real-time, giving traders a continuously updated snapshot of market sentiment across multiple assets.
Use Cases:
Swing Traders: The trend reversal detection and real-time alerts help swing traders identify potential entry and exit points, making it easier to capitalize on market swings.
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How do indicator signals work?
The main purpose of the indicator is to give a signal that is most likely to bring profit based on historical data. This ORIGINAL trend algorithm gives SHORT and LONG signals when several conditions coincide: 1) Breakout of the average value of the modernized VWAP (this VWAP takes data only from certain time periods and trading sessions, as a result, its breakout most often coincides with the beginning of a strong trend); 2) The previous condition must be confirmed by volumes. I noticed that on some crypto exchanges, depending on whether the breakout is false or true, the volumes are different relative to each other. I applied this knowledge for additional filtering of signals (this point works only on crypto assets, on other assets the algorithm works without taking it into account, maybe later I will refine it); 3) When some of my original formulas to determine overbought (similar in principle to RSI, but more designed to work with the trader algorithm), should not show overbought - so that the entry into the transaction was not at too unfavorable values. To summarize, the algorithm tries to find a balance to determine a true breakout, during which the price will not go too far (for an acceptable RR).
But the most important thing is that the parameters to customize the algorithm are governed by our original AI algorithm. It can adjust the indicator in two modes: 1) Settings are selected based on the most profitable historical settings. 2) The settings are selected based not only on historical profitability, but also on winrate, frequency of trades, and a few other items that we will not disclose (so the code is closed) - we consider this approach as a priority, because according to our observations, it gives the highest performance compared to manual tuning. In addition, AI simply simplifies the work with the indicator - you do not need to adjust the settings manually for different trading pairs or timeframes, AI will do it all by itself and immediately give the ready result (backtest) on the table.
How to trade?
After the signal is issued, the indicator determines the recommended levels to close the trade (green dots). Stop loss should be placed behind the corresponding gray SL mark. Levels for closing a deal (TP) and the level of stop loss setting (SL) are also determined automatically for the selected pair and TF, based on volatility and selected indicator settings
To make a trade, you can also use the built-in “Support and Resistance Zones” tool, which displays ranges on the chart based on the modernized ATR, from which the price is more likely to rebound (here I also used my own approach, where in addition to the classic ATR formula, I also used volumes from certain crypto exchanges to determine more accurate price rebound zones)
These zones are also adjusted by AI - the algorithm compares several dozens of variations of these zones (with different settings) and chooses the one that best fits the current settings of the signal algorithm. For example, if the indicator is set up for frequent trades - the zones will be updated faster and will be less deep than if the indicator is set up for medium-term trading
If desired, you can customize the indicator manually using the corresponding section of the settings. Each paramater has a tooltip describing how and what it affects.
Statistisc panel
The panel can be divided into 2 conditional parts:
1) Statistics for each individual TP for the selected strategy. It shows the winrate and gross profit, if you fix a trade on a single target completely
2) Total trading result, if you trade clearly according to the strategy and fix the position by equal hours on 4 TPs. The total trading result is displayed for the current indicator settings, it also shows the best, worst and optimal of the possible indicator settings and the trading result of these settings on the side.
How do setup the indicator?
The indicator has preset settings for several major pairs and timeframes. These are fixed settings specifically selected for individual pairs and timeframes. You can use these presets, or you can choose one of the adaptive settings, which will AUTOMATICALLY select the best/optimal indicator settings.
I recommend choosing the “Adaptive Optimal” preset, as it uses more data to determine the optimal indicator settings and according to my observations this method works better in comparison to manual indicator settings or the “Adaptive Best” preset
Or you can use the manual settings, as mentioned earlier.
