mrD Open InterestIntroduction
"mrD Open Interest" is a technical analysis reference tool that can help investors monitor and analyze Open Interest data from various cryptocurrency exchanges. This indicator provides insights into Open Interest data through patterns, bursts, and money flow based on proprietary algorithms.
Important Note
Trading always involves risk and can lead to capital loss. This indicator should only be used as a supplementary tool in technical analysis and should not be considered as an accurate forecasting tool or the sole basis for trading decisions. Past results do not guarantee future results.
Proprietary Features of the Indicator
"mrD Open Interest" has been developed with several proprietary features, qualifying it for source code protection when published:
- Unique Multi-Source Integration Algorithm: The indicator uses a smart aggregation method to combine OI data from multiple exchanges, creating a holistic view of market pressure that is not dependent on a single exchange. This method employs special weighting and noise filtering to ensure the aggregated data accurately reflects market conditions.
- Proprietary OI-Price Correlation Analysis Algorithm: Unlike traditional OI indicators that simply display OI values, this indicator uses a complex algorithm to analyze the correlation between price movements and OI changes. This algorithm automatically identifies four money flow patterns (Buy Inflow, Sell Inflow, Buy Outflow, Sell Outflow) and ranks them by potential market impact.
- Advanced Burst Detection Technology: The proprietary algorithm identifies "bursts" - sudden changes in OI that can lead to significant market volatility. This system relies not only on absolute change but also analyzes the rate of change, amplitude, and correlation with historical peaks/troughs to determine the significance of a burst.
- Integrated Smart Alert System: The indicator features a smart alert algorithm, only sending notifications when patterns with high statistical significance are detected, reducing "alert noise" and helping users focus on the most potential opportunities.
- Visual Representation Technology: The user interface design uses proprietary visual representation technology, allowing users to easily identify important patterns and signals through a special system of colors, icons, and display formats.
Features That May Assist
1. Reference Data from Multiple Exchanges: The indicator can collect Open Interest information from various exchanges (Binance, BitMEX, Kraken) and different currency pairs (USDT, USD, BUSD), potentially providing investors with more information about the market.
2.Money Flow Pattern Analysis: The indicator suggests 4 patterns that may help identify market conditions:
Buy Inflow: Potential opening of new long positions (price up, OI up)
Buy Outflow: Potential closing of long positions (price down, OI down)
Sell Inflow: Potential opening of new short positions (price down, OI up)
Sell Outflow: Potential closing of short positions (price up, OI down)
Burst Identification: The indicator attempts to detect "bursts" - notable changes in Open Interest that may signal changes in money flow. Bursts are divided into two types: Up Burst and Down Burst.
3. Price-OI Correlation Reference: The tool provides information about the relationship between price movement and OI changes, potentially helping to assess whether current price momentum is supported by new money flow.
4. Diverse Display Modes: The indicator offers 3 display modes (Columns, Candles, Columns, and Price Line) that may suit different analytical approaches.
Setup and Usage Guide
1. Basic Setup
Select Data Sources (Exchange Settings):
By default, the indicator uses data from Binance USDT Perpetual.
Depending on the coin pair and exchange you're interested in, you can enable/disable different data sources (Binance USD, BUSD, BitMEX USD, USDT, or Kraken).
Recommendation: For popular coins like BTC or ETH, consider combining data from 2-3 major exchanges for a more comprehensive view.
2. Display Customization (Visuals Settings):
OI Display Type: Choose a display type that suits your analysis style:
"Columns": Column format, making it easy to identify OI changes.
"Candles": Candle format, similar to price charts, helps identify candlestick patterns in OI.
"Columns and Price Line": Combines OI columns and price line, helping directly compare OI with price movements.
Show background: Enable to highlight burst periods with a colored background (recommended when using candle mode).
Show signals: Enable to display of burst indicators on the chart (recommended to keep enabled).
Text Color: Customize text color to match your chart background.
3. Alert Settings:
hoose alert types that suit your trading strategy:
"Inflows Only": Only alerts when new money flows into the market.
"Outflows Only": Only alerts when money flows out of the market.
"Bursts Only": Only alerts when there's a strong burst in OI.
"All": Alerts for all the above events.
Effective Usage
Trend Analysis Based on Money Flow Patterns:
Buy Inflow (Green): When the price increases along with OI, it may indicate new buying pressure. Can be considered as a supportive signal for an uptrend.
Sell Inflow (Red): When price decreases along with increasing OI, it may indicate new selling pressure. Can be considered as a supportive signal for a downtrend.
Buy Outflow (Teal): When price decreases but OI also decreases, it may indicate taking profit/cutting loss from long positions. Usually not strong selling pressure and may be ending soon.
Sell Outflow (Dark Red): When the price increases but OI decreases, it may indicate closing of short positions. Usually not strong buying pressure and may be ending soon.
Burst Analysis:
Up Burst: Strong and positive change in OI, most notable when occurring in a Buy Inflow pattern, may signal strong buying money flow into the market.
Down Burst: Strong and negative change in OI, most notable when occurring in a Sell Inflow pattern, may signal strong selling money flow into the market.
Bursts are often signals that deserve special attention and may indicate strong changes in market sentiment.
Using the Information Table:
Monitor "Aggregated OI" to capture the total amount of open contracts.
Pay attention to "OI Change (%)" to assess the degree of change compared to the previous candle.
"Relative OI" provides information about the relative level of OI compared to the average.
"Flow Type" indicates the current money flow pattern.
"Burst Status" displays the burst status if any.
Combining with Other Indicators:
Use in combination with trend indicators (MA, MACD) to confirm trends.
Combine with volume indicators for a more comprehensive view of market activity.
Reference additional momentum indicators to assess trend strength.
Customizing According to Timeframe:
Short timeframes (1m-15m): May show more noise signals.
Medium timeframes (30m-4h): Often provide a good balance between sensitivity and noise filtering.
Long timeframes (D-W): Suitable for monitoring long-term OI trends.
在腳本中搜尋"algo"
Flux Charts - SFX Screener💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
The SFX Screener by Flux Charts is a multi-timeframe market scanner that extracts and visually organizes key conditions detected by the SFX Algo indicator across multiple assets in real-time. It does not perform independent analysis or generate new signals—instead, it pulls data directly from the SFX Algo’s calculations to ensure full alignment across different timeframes and tickers.
The SFX Algo is a multi-factor trading indicator that integrates trend analysis, signal generation, market overlays, and take-profit/stop-loss levels into a single system. It evaluates multiple trend components, including EMA direction, momentum shifts, and volatility cycles, to determine market conditions. Signal generation is based on an Adjusted Weighted Majority Algorithm, filtering out weaker signals by prioritizing the most reliable market indicators. Market overlays, such as Volatility Bands and the Retracement Wave, provide dynamic support, resistance, exit points, and entry points. Its adaptable structure allows traders to customize settings based on strategy preferences, making it effective for scalping, swing trading, and long-term trend analysis.
The SFX Screener’s purpose is to give traders a dashboard view of these SFX Algo signals across multiple tickers and timeframes in real-time.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The SFX Algo indicator employs an Adjusted Weighted Majority algorithm to generate "buy" and "sell" signals. It evaluates multiple market indicators ("experts"), including momentum, ATR trends, and EMA trends, and assigns weights based on their recent performance. The "Time Weighting" setting allows users to balance between using more historical data or prioritizing recent trends. Unlike traditional weighted majority methods, SFX also dynamically penalizes larger losses. Signals are confirmed based on the consensus of the most successful indicators within the selected time period, filtering out weaker signals during underperforming phases.
The SFX Screener extracts these calculated outputs and visually organizes them into a real-time dashboard. Each signal, status, and volatility condition displayed in the screener is a direct output from the SFX Algo indicator.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
Unlike traditional screeners that rely on preset filters or static conditions, the SFX Screener dynamically updates its dashboard based on live outputs from the SFX Algo’s adaptive algorithm.
Traditional Screeners → Use predefined filters like “price above EMA” or “RSI overbought.” They do not adjust to market dynamics.
SFX Screener → Displays outputs directly from an adaptive algorithm that continuously evaluates trends, volatility, and momentum changes.
The SFX Screener can show SFX Algo's status on 8 different tickers on different timeframes. Key factors that make it unique include:
✅ Real-time sync with SFX Algo → Displays live conditions, not static filters.
✅ Comprehensive Dashboard – This screener provides a complete and customizable dashboard designed to enhance traders' decision-making by consolidating crucial SFX Algo insights into one user-friendly interface.
✅ Multi-Ticker & Multi-Timeframe Analysis – With support for up to 8 tickers and timeframes, traders can effortlessly analyze the bigger market picture, identifying trends and opportunities across different assets and timeframes.
By combining multiple analytical elements in a single view, this screener empowers traders with the insights needed to navigate the market more effectively.
🎯 SFX SCREENER FEATURES:
SFX Algo Signals : This tool can detect SFX Algo signals across different tickers & timeframes.
Volatility Bands : Detection of Volatility Bands Status & Retests.
Retracement Wave : Detection of Retracement Wave Status & Retests.
Highly Configurable : Offers multiple parameters for fine-tuning detection settings.
Up to 8 Tickers : Allows traders to analyze multiple tickers & timeframes simultaneously for enhanced accuracy.
📊 SFX SCREENER DATA BREAKDOWN
Signal ->
Buy -> The latest signal is a buy signal.
Sell -> The latest signal is a sell signal.
The rating of the signal is shown after the signal type.
Δ⭐ ->
Shows the rating change (delta) after the signal is triggered. Positive values mean that the rating is increased after the signal is given, negative values mean that it's decreased.
Status ->
Displays the amount of time passed after the signal is given.
TP Targets ->
Shows the Take-Profit targets of the signal, if a target was achieved, there is a ✅ symbol near it and the next target it displayed.
V. Bands ->
The Volatility Bands dynamically adjust to market conditions, expanding during high volatility and contracting during low volatility. When the volatility bands are tight, or the upper and lower bands are close to each other, the market is not volatile. During periods of low volatility, it’s common for price to consolidate or move sideways. An early indication of a large price move can occur when the bands widen or open up after being tight. When the volatility bands are wide, it reflects a period of increased volatility, typically during strong price trends or after a breakout. The volatility bands can also act as support and resistance areas. The upper band acts as resistance while the lower band acts as support. These mark out good areas for potential reversals. Breakouts can also occur when price moves beyond the bands, signaling a potential trend in the breakout direction.
Outside -> The price is currently outside of the Volatility Bands.
Inside | Upper -> The price is currently inside the Upper Volatility Band.
Inside | Lower -> The price is currently inside the Lower Volatility Band.
R. Wave ->
The Retracement Wave is used to identify entry points during pullbacks in trending markets. It can also be used to find exit points for open trades. The wave is bullish when price is above it and bearish when the price is below it. The retracement wave can be used as an area to enter during a pullback in a trending market. The wave can also be helpful for managing risk and closing out positions.
Outside | Bullish -> The Retracement Wave is currently Bullish, and the price is outside of it.
Outside | Bearish -> The Retracement Wave is currently Bearish, and the price is outside of it.
Inside | Bullish -> The Retracement Wave is currently Bullish, and the price is inside of it.
Inside | Bearish -> The Retracement Wave is currently Bearish, and the price is inside of it.
Profit & Loss (P&L) ->
Shows the amount of profit or loss the position is currently in. All values are shown in terms of percentage, and positive values mean the position is in profit while negative values mean that the position is in loss.
⚠ Timeframe Restriction : The selected timeframes for analysis cannot be lower than the chart’s current timeframe to ensure proper data alignment.
⏰ ALERTS
This screener supports alerts, so you never miss a key market move. You can choose to receive alerts when a buy or sell signal is given, helping you spot potential trading opportunities. Additionally, you can enable alerts for take-profit or stop-loss levels, which notify you when the price achieves those levels. The alerts will work for each enabled ticker in the settings. You can also toggle webhook format for alerts, and choose to include ticker metadata in it.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. Algorithm Settings
Sensitivity: The sensitivity setting is a key parameter that influences the frequency of signals the SFX Algo generates. By adjusting this parameter, you can control the frequency of signals produced by the algorithm. Using a lower sensitivity setting generates more frequent signals that are highly responsive to minor price fluctuations. Using a higher sensitivity setting reduces the frequency of signals, focusing on more significant price movements and filtering out minor fluctuations.
Signal Strength: The Signal Strength setting filters signals based on their quality, allowing traders to focus on the most reliable opportunities. This feature helps traders balance the quantity and reliability of the algorithm’s signals to suit their trading strategy. Using a lower signal strength will display more signals, including those with lower signal ratings, for broader market coverage. Using a higher signal strength will display fewer signals by prioritizing those with higher signal ratings, reducing market noise.
Time Weighting: The Time Weighting setting in the SFX Algo determines how historical market data is analyzed to generate signals.
a) Recent Trends
Focuses on the most recent movements for short-term analysis. This setting is good for scalpers and intraday traders who need to react quickly to market changes.
b) Mixed Trends
Balances recent and historical price movements for a comprehensive market view. This setting is well-suited for swing traders and those who want to capture medium-term opportunities by combining the benefits of short-term responsiveness with the reliability of long-term trends.
c) Long-term Trends
Relies on extended historical market data to identify broader market trends, making it an excellent choice for traders focused on long-term strategies.
Minimum Star Rating : The Minimum Star Rating setting allows you to filter signals based on their strength, showing only those that meet or exceed your chosen threshold. For instance, setting the minimum star rating to 3 ensures you only receive signals with a rating of 3 stars or higher.
2. Take Profit / Stop Loss Methods
Key Levels
The Key Levels method uses pivot points to set take profit and stop-loss levels. The TP and SL levels are shown when a new signal is generated.
Volatility Bands
This TP/SL method uses the Volatility Bands overlay to set dynamic TP and SL levels. These levels are not predetermined so they will not be shown in advance when a signal is generated.
Signal Rating
Sets take profit and stop-loss levels based on changes in a signal's rating strength. These levels are not predetermined so they will not be shown in advance when a signal is generated.
Auto Stop-Loss
The auto method can only be applied to the SL. The auto method allows the algorithm to detect SL automatically when a momentum shift is detected. You can adjust the risk tolerance of the Auto SL by adjusting the ‘Auto Risk Tolerance’ setting. You can choose between Low, Medium, and High. A high-risk tolerance will result in stop losses being triggered less often.
3. Tickers
You can set, then enable or disable up to 8 tickers in this section to get informed about their latest SFX Algo signal.
‼️ Important Notes
TradingView has limitations when running advanced screeners, resulting in the following restrictions:
Computation Errors:
The computation of using MTF features and viewing several tickers is very intensive on TradingView. This can sometimes cause calculation timeouts. When this occurs simply force the recalculation by modifying one indicator’s settings or by removing the indicator and adding it to your chart again.
Inconsistencies:
You may notice inconsistencies when viewing the screener on a chart with a specific symbol because screener tickers originate from different markets. Since the cryptocurrency market operates 24/7, while stock markets have defined opening and closing hours, the screener may return varying information depending on whether you're currently viewing a cryptocurrency, stock, or currency pair.
Goertzel Adaptive JMA T3Hello Fellas,
The Goertzel Adaptive JMA T3 is a powerful indicator that combines my own created Goertzel adaptive length with Jurik and T3 Moving Averages. The primary intention of the indicator is to demonstrate the new adaptive length algorithm by applying it on bleeding-edge MAs.
It is useable like any moving average, and the new Goertzel adaptive length algorithm can be used to make own indicators Goertzel adaptive.
Used Adaptive Length Algorithms
Normalized Goertzel Power: This uses the normalized power of the Goertzel algorithm to compute an adaptive length without the special operations, like detrending, Ehlers uses for his DFT adaptive length.
Ehlers Mod: This uses the Goertzel algorithm instead of the DFT, originally used by Ehlers, to compute a modified version of his original approach, which sticks as close as possible to the original approach.
Scoring System
The scoring system determines if bars are red or green and collects them.
Then, it goes through all collected red and green bars and checks how big they are and if they are above or below the selected MA. It is positive when green bars are under MA or when red bars are above MA.
Then, it accumulates the size for all positive green bars and for all positive red bars. The same happens for negative green and red bars.
Finally, it calculates the score by ((positiveGreenBars + positiveRedBars) / (negativeGreenBars + negativeRedBars)) * 100 with the scale 0–100.
Signals
Is the price above MA? -> bullish market
Is the price below MA? -> bearish market
Usage
Adjust the settings to reach the highest score, and enjoy an outstanding adaptive MA.
It should be useable on all timeframes. It is recommended to use the indicator on the timeframe where you can get the highest score.
Now, follows a bunch of knowledge for people who don't know about the concepts used here.
T3
The T3 moving average, short for "Tim Tillson's Triple Exponential Moving Average," is a technical indicator used in financial markets and technical analysis to smooth out price data over a specific period. It was developed by Tim Tillson, a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with expertise in Mathematics and Computer Science.
The T3 moving average is an enhancement of the traditional Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and aims to overcome some of its limitations. The primary goal of the T3 moving average is to provide a smoother representation of price trends while minimizing lag compared to other moving averages like Simple Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or EMA.
To compute the T3 moving average, it involves a triple smoothing process using exponential moving averages. Here's how it works:
Calculate the first exponential moving average (EMA1) of the price data over a specific period 'n.'
Calculate the second exponential moving average (EMA2) of EMA1 using the same period 'n.'
Calculate the third exponential moving average (EMA3) of EMA2 using the same period 'n.'
The formula for the T3 moving average is as follows:
T3 = 3 * (EMA1) - 3 * (EMA2) + (EMA3)
By applying this triple smoothing process, the T3 moving average is intended to offer reduced noise and improved responsiveness to price trends. It achieves this by incorporating multiple time frames of the exponential moving averages, resulting in a more accurate representation of the underlying price action.
JMA
The Jurik Moving Average (JMA) is a technical indicator used in trading to predict price direction. Developed by Mark Jurik, it’s a type of weighted moving average that gives more weight to recent market data rather than past historical data.
JMA is known for its superior noise elimination. It’s a causal, nonlinear, and adaptive filter, meaning it responds to changes in price action without introducing unnecessary lag. This makes JMA a world-class moving average that tracks and smooths price charts or any market-related time series with surprising agility.
In comparison to other moving averages, such as the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), JMA is known to track fast price movement more accurately. This allows traders to apply their strategies to a more accurate picture of price action.
Goertzel Algorithm
The Goertzel algorithm is a technique in digital signal processing (DSP) for efficient evaluation of individual terms of the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). It's particularly useful when you need to compute a small number of selected frequency components. Unlike direct DFT calculations, the Goertzel algorithm applies a single real-valued coefficient at each iteration, using real-valued arithmetic for real-valued input sequences. This makes it more numerically efficient when computing a small number of selected frequency components¹.
Discrete Fourier Transform
The Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) is a mathematical technique used in signal processing to convert a finite sequence of equally-spaced samples of a function into a same-length sequence of equally-spaced samples of the discrete-time Fourier transform (DTFT), which is a complex-valued function of frequency . The DFT provides a frequency domain representation of the original input sequence .
Usage of DFT/Goertzel In Adaptive Length Algorithms
Adaptive length algorithms are automated trading systems that can dynamically adjust their parameters in response to real-time market data. This adaptability enables them to optimize their trading strategies as market conditions fluctuate. Both the Goertzel algorithm and DFT can be used in these algorithms to analyze market data and detect cycles or patterns, which can then be used to adjust the parameters of the trading strategy.
The Goertzel algorithm is more efficient than the DFT when you need to compute a small number of selected frequency components. However, for covering a full spectrum, the Goertzel algorithm has a higher order of complexity than fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithms.
I hope this can help you somehow.
Thanks for reading, and keep it up.
Best regards,
simwai
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Credits to:
@ClassicScott
@yatrader2
@cheatcountry
@loxx
All Support and Resistance Levels [PINESCRIPTLABS]First, we observe the Light Blue Macro Supports and the Pink Macro Resistances. These channels are automatically formed based on market data, identifying pivot points in price history and determining the strength of these levels based on the number of pivot points within these same channels. When the price interacts with the macro Supports, we have a strong reaction that we can take advantage of in two ways:
1. The first and most common, as we can see in the chart, is that these zones elicit a strong reaction, and the price respects the channel. For us, as traders, it signifies a pivot point where we can initiate a trade, either a buy at the macro Support or a sell at the macro Resistance.
2. The second way to use them, for which this algorithm is also prepared, is in case a movement occurs where the price breaks these Macro Supports or Macro Resistances. We have a special alert that will notify us because when these macro channels are broken, they tend to do so violently in a move that we can also capitalize on. Usually, when such a breakout occurs, we will visit the next support or resistance channel, which can bring us significant benefits.
The following complex and highly accurate calculation provided by this indicator allows us to work with price supports and resistances within the internal structure of macro channels. As we can see in the chart, "boxes" are formed that represent the detected support and resistance areas. It also detects breakouts when the price crosses below the support "box" or above the resistance "box" and displays labels on the chart indicating when the breakout occurred, all in real-time. But here comes something very special: the algorithm also has a calculation that, as we see in the chart, there are occasions when the breakout occurs, but the price returns to the support or resistance "box" and is detected. At this moment, a label appears on the chart indicating a possible confirmation of the breakout. In other words, as the price initially broke out but returned to the "box," the algorithm will notify us with another label and a special alert when the price confirms the breakout.
At the same time, we can see in the chart that the algorithm also provides us with a volume profile that allows us to see where the most trading activity has concentrated based on price levels. We can also use it to identify support and resistance levels based on the point of control (POC) and value area levels. As we can see in the chart, there are labels with the exact price where the highest volume was traded. The top label in the chart shows the highest price, and the last label we see is for the lowest price. These displayed labels are within the defined range of retrocession or Lookback Length, which we can configure in our indicator. As we observe, the algorithm shows a strong confluence between the Macro Support channels and the volume profile labels, confirming the strongest areas of the range.
Finally, after calculating supports and resistances from three different perspectives, the algorithm provides us with a macro view of the price in the form of trend lines. In other words, it shows us supports and resistances in the form of diagonal channels where we can see trends in the market and areas where the price has historically encountered difficulties in advancing or retreating, which we can corroborate with the supports and resistances mentioned at the beginning.
As we can see in the chart, the algorithm also shows us labels with the exact price where angular price supports and resistances are located. These calculations are very important as they provide a trend perspective, and we can get an idea of where the price is headed, combining these with the other support and resistance calculations.
Remember that all the previous calculations have their own alerts for when supports or resistances are broken, or in the case of new channels being created, also when there is a breakout of a box or a confirmation of a breakout.
The second type of alert from the indicator is configured to make our indicators work for us without the need to be present on the chart, thanks to special programming within the indicator's code. It will execute automatic buys and sells on our preferred exchange through an alert configured for the 3Commas bot. All you need to do is input your Bot ID, provided by 3Commas, into the alert. All premium indicators come with a configuration explanation that will guide you in detail on where to input your Bot ID.
ESPAÑOL:
En primer lugar, observamos los Macro Soportes en color azul claro y las Macro Resistencias en color rosa. Estos canales se forman automáticamente en función de los datos del mercado, identificando puntos de pivote en el historial de precios y determinando la fuerza de estos niveles según la cantidad de puntos de pivote dentro de estos mismos canales. Cuando el precio interactúa con los macro Soportes, tenemos una fuerte reacción que podemos aprovechar de dos formas:
1. La primera y más común, como observamos en el gráfico, es que estas zonas provocan una fuerte reacción, y el precio respeta el canal. Para nosotros, como traders, significa un punto de pivote donde podemos generar una entrada, ya sea de compra en el macro soporte o de venta en la macro resistencia.
2. La segunda forma de utilizarlos, para la cual este algoritmo también está preparado, es en caso de que se genere un movimiento en el que el precio rompa estos Macro Soportes o Macro Resistencias. Contamos con una alerta especial que nos avisará, ya que al romperse estos macro canales suelen hacerlo con violencia en un movimiento que también podemos aprovechar. Regularmente, cuando existe este rompimiento, visitaremos el siguiente canal de soporte o resistencia, lo que nos puede traer grandes beneficios.
El siguiente cálculo complejo y muy preciso que nos ofrece este indicador nos permite trabajar con soportes y resistencias del precio dentro de la estructura interna de los canales macro. Como observamos en el gráfico, se producen "boxes" que representan las áreas de soporte y resistencia detectadas. Además, detecta breakouts cuando el precio cruza por debajo del "box" de soporte o por encima del "box" de resistencia y muestra etiquetas en el gráfico que nos indican cuándo ocurrió el breakout, todo esto en tiempo real. Pero aquí viene algo super especial: el algoritmo también tiene un cálculo que, como vemos en el gráfico, hay ocasiones en las que el breakout ocurre, pero el precio retorna al "box" de soporte o resistencia y es detectado. En este momento, aparece una etiqueta en el gráfico que nos muestra que estamos ante una posible confirmación del breakout. Es decir, como el precio había hecho en primer lugar el breakout pero regresó al "box", el algoritmo nos avisará con otra etiqueta y alerta especial cuando el precio confirme el breakout.
Al mismo tiempo, observamos en el gráfico que el algoritmo también nos muestra un perfil de volumen que nos permite ver dónde se ha concentrado la mayor actividad de negociación en función de los niveles de precios. También podemos usarlo para identificar niveles de soporte y resistencia basados en el punto de control (POC) y los niveles de valor (Value Area). Como vemos en el gráfico, tenemos etiquetas con el precio exacto donde se negoció la mayor cantidad de volumen. La etiqueta superior del gráfico nos muestra el precio más alto, y la última etiqueta que observamos es la de la parte baja, que nos indica el precio más bajo. Estas etiquetas mostradas están dentro del rango de retroceso definido o Lookback Length, que podemos configurar en nuestro indicador. Como observamos, el algoritmo nos muestra una fuerte confluencia entre los canales de soporte Macro y las etiquetas del perfil de volumen, lo que nos confirma las áreas más fuertes del rango.
Por último, después de hacer los cálculos de soportes y resistencias desde tres perspectivas distintas, el algoritmo nos proporciona una visión macro del precio en forma de líneas de tendencia. Es decir, nos muestra soportes y resistencias en forma de canales diagonales donde tendremos representadas las tendencias en el mercado y áreas en las que el precio históricamente ha encontrado dificultades para avanzar o retroceder, lo que podemos corroborar con los soportes y resistencias de los que hablamos al principio.
Como observamos en el gráfico, el algoritmo también nos muestra las etiquetas con el precio exacto donde se encuentran los soportes angulares del precio y las resistencias angulares. Estos cálculos son importantísimos, ya que nos ofrecen una perspectiva de tendencia y podemos tener una visión de hacia dónde se dirige el precio, combinando estos con los otros cálculos de soportes y resistencias.
Recuerden que todos los cálculos anteriores tienen su propia alerta para cuando los soportes o resistencias se quiebren o en su caso, se creen nuevos canales, también cuando haya una ruptura de un "box" o una confirmación de ruptura.
El segundo tipo de alerta del indicador está configurada para que nuestros indicadores trabajen para nosotros sin necesidad de estar presentes en el gráfico, esto mediante una programación especial dentro del código del indicador que realizará compras y ventas automáticas en nuestro Exchange de preferencia mediante una alerta configurada para el bot 3Commas. Solo bastará con que pongamos nuestro número de Bot o Bot ID que da el proveedor de 3Commas y lo insertemos en la alerta. Todos los indicadores premium tienen en su configuración una explicación detallada sobre dónde poner tus Bot ID.
Normalized, Variety, Fast Fourier Transform Explorer [Loxx]Normalized, Variety, Fast Fourier Transform Explorer demonstrates Real, Cosine, and Sine Fast Fourier Transform algorithms. This indicator can be used as a rule of thumb but shouldn't be used in trading.
What is the Discrete Fourier Transform?
In mathematics, the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) converts a finite sequence of equally-spaced samples of a function into a same-length sequence of equally-spaced samples of the discrete-time Fourier transform (DTFT), which is a complex-valued function of frequency. The interval at which the DTFT is sampled is the reciprocal of the duration of the input sequence. An inverse DFT is a Fourier series, using the DTFT samples as coefficients of complex sinusoids at the corresponding DTFT frequencies. It has the same sample-values as the original input sequence. The DFT is therefore said to be a frequency domain representation of the original input sequence. If the original sequence spans all the non-zero values of a function, its DTFT is continuous (and periodic), and the DFT provides discrete samples of one cycle. If the original sequence is one cycle of a periodic function, the DFT provides all the non-zero values of one DTFT cycle.
What is the Complex Fast Fourier Transform?
The complex Fast Fourier Transform algorithm transforms N real or complex numbers into another N complex numbers. The complex FFT transforms a real or complex signal x in the time domain into a complex two-sided spectrum X in the frequency domain. You must remember that zero frequency corresponds to n = 0, positive frequencies 0 < f < f_c correspond to values 1 ≤ n ≤ N/2 −1, while negative frequencies −fc < f < 0 correspond to N/2 +1 ≤ n ≤ N −1. The value n = N/2 corresponds to both f = f_c and f = −f_c. f_c is the critical or Nyquist frequency with f_c = 1/(2*T) or half the sampling frequency. The first harmonic X corresponds to the frequency 1/(N*T).
The complex FFT requires the list of values (resolution, or N) to be a power 2. If the input size if not a power of 2, then the input data will be padded with zeros to fit the size of the closest power of 2 upward.
What is Real-Fast Fourier Transform?
Has conditions similar to the complex Fast Fourier Transform value, except that the input data must be purely real. If the time series data has the basic type complex64, only the real parts of the complex numbers are used for the calculation. The imaginary parts are silently discarded.
What is the Real-Fast Fourier Transform?
In many applications, the input data for the DFT are purely real, in which case the outputs satisfy the symmetry
X(N-k)=X(k)
and efficient FFT algorithms have been designed for this situation (see e.g. Sorensen, 1987). One approach consists of taking an ordinary algorithm (e.g. Cooley–Tukey) and removing the redundant parts of the computation, saving roughly a factor of two in time and memory. Alternatively, it is possible to express an even-length real-input DFT as a complex DFT of half the length (whose real and imaginary parts are the even/odd elements of the original real data), followed by O(N) post-processing operations.
It was once believed that real-input DFTs could be more efficiently computed by means of the discrete Hartley transform (DHT), but it was subsequently argued that a specialized real-input DFT algorithm (FFT) can typically be found that requires fewer operations than the corresponding DHT algorithm (FHT) for the same number of inputs. Bruun's algorithm (above) is another method that was initially proposed to take advantage of real inputs, but it has not proved popular.
There are further FFT specializations for the cases of real data that have even/odd symmetry, in which case one can gain another factor of roughly two in time and memory and the DFT becomes the discrete cosine/sine transform(s) (DCT/DST). Instead of directly modifying an FFT algorithm for these cases, DCTs/DSTs can also be computed via FFTs of real data combined with O(N) pre- and post-processing.
What is the Discrete Cosine Transform?
A discrete cosine transform ( DCT ) expresses a finite sequence of data points in terms of a sum of cosine functions oscillating at different frequencies. The DCT , first proposed by Nasir Ahmed in 1972, is a widely used transformation technique in signal processing and data compression. It is used in most digital media, including digital images (such as JPEG and HEIF, where small high-frequency components can be discarded), digital video (such as MPEG and H.26x), digital audio (such as Dolby Digital, MP3 and AAC ), digital television (such as SDTV, HDTV and VOD ), digital radio (such as AAC+ and DAB+), and speech coding (such as AAC-LD, Siren and Opus). DCTs are also important to numerous other applications in science and engineering, such as digital signal processing, telecommunication devices, reducing network bandwidth usage, and spectral methods for the numerical solution of partial differential equations.
The use of cosine rather than sine functions is critical for compression, since it turns out (as described below) that fewer cosine functions are needed to approximate a typical signal, whereas for differential equations the cosines express a particular choice of boundary conditions. In particular, a DCT is a Fourier-related transform similar to the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), but using only real numbers. The DCTs are generally related to Fourier Series coefficients of a periodically and symmetrically extended sequence whereas DFTs are related to Fourier Series coefficients of only periodically extended sequences. DCTs are equivalent to DFTs of roughly twice the length, operating on real data with even symmetry (since the Fourier transform of a real and even function is real and even), whereas in some variants the input and/or output data are shifted by half a sample. There are eight standard DCT variants, of which four are common.
The most common variant of discrete cosine transform is the type-II DCT , which is often called simply "the DCT". This was the original DCT as first proposed by Ahmed. Its inverse, the type-III DCT , is correspondingly often called simply "the inverse DCT" or "the IDCT". Two related transforms are the discrete sine transform ( DST ), which is equivalent to a DFT of real and odd functions, and the modified discrete cosine transform (MDCT), which is based on a DCT of overlapping data. Multidimensional DCTs ( MD DCTs) are developed to extend the concept of DCT to MD signals. There are several algorithms to compute MD DCT . A variety of fast algorithms have been developed to reduce the computational complexity of implementing DCT . One of these is the integer DCT (IntDCT), an integer approximation of the standard DCT ,: ix, xiii, 1, 141–304 used in several ISO /IEC and ITU-T international standards.
What is the Discrete Sine Transform?
In mathematics, the discrete sine transform (DST) is a Fourier-related transform similar to the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), but using a purely real matrix. It is equivalent to the imaginary parts of a DFT of roughly twice the length, operating on real data with odd symmetry (since the Fourier transform of a real and odd function is imaginary and odd), where in some variants the input and/or output data are shifted by half a sample.
A family of transforms composed of sine and sine hyperbolic functions exists. These transforms are made based on the natural vibration of thin square plates with different boundary conditions.
The DST is related to the discrete cosine transform (DCT), which is equivalent to a DFT of real and even functions. See the DCT article for a general discussion of how the boundary conditions relate the various DCT and DST types. Generally, the DST is derived from the DCT by replacing the Neumann condition at x=0 with a Dirichlet condition. Both the DCT and the DST were described by Nasir Ahmed T. Natarajan and K.R. Rao in 1974. The type-I DST (DST-I) was later described by Anil K. Jain in 1976, and the type-II DST (DST-II) was then described by H.B. Kekra and J.K. Solanka in 1978.
Notable settings
windowper = period for calculation, restricted to powers of 2: "16", "32", "64", "128", "256", "512", "1024", "2048", this reason for this is FFT is an algorithm that computes DFT (Discrete Fourier Transform) in a fast way, generally in 𝑂(𝑁⋅log2(𝑁)) instead of 𝑂(𝑁2). To achieve this the input matrix has to be a power of 2 but many FFT algorithm can handle any size of input since the matrix can be zero-padded. For our purposes here, we stick to powers of 2 to keep this fast and neat. read more about this here: Cooley–Tukey FFT algorithm
SS = smoothing count, this smoothing happens after the first FCT regular pass. this zeros out frequencies from the previously calculated values above SS count. the lower this number, the smoother the output, it works opposite from other smoothing periods
Fmin1 = zeroes out frequencies not passing this test for min value
Fmax1 = zeroes out frequencies not passing this test for max value
barsback = moves the window backward
Inverse = whether or not you wish to invert the FFT after first pass calculation
Related indicators
Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price Oscillator
STD-Stepped Fast Cosine Transform Moving Average
Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression
Variety RSI of Fast Discrete Cosine Transform
Additional reading
A Fast Computational Algorithm for the Discrete Cosine Transform by Chen et al.
Practical Fast 1-D DCT Algorithms With 11 Multiplications by Loeffler et al.
Cooley–Tukey FFT algorithm
Ahmed, Nasir (January 1991). "How I Came Up With the Discrete Cosine Transform". Digital Signal Processing. 1 (1): 4–5. doi:10.1016/1051-2004(91)90086-Z.
DCT-History - How I Came Up With The Discrete Cosine Transform
Comparative Analysis for Discrete Sine Transform as a suitable method for noise estimation
Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg AR-SE Extra. of Price [Loxx]Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg AR-SE Extra. of Price is an indicator that uses an autoregressive spectral estimation called the Weighted Burg Algorithm, but unlike the usual WB algo, this one uses Helme-Nikias weighting. This method is commonly used in speech modeling and speech prediction engines. This is a linear method of forecasting data. You'll notice that this method uses a different weighting calculation vs Weighted Burg method. This new weighting is the following:
w = math.pow(array.get(x, i - 1), 2), the squared lag of the source parameter
and
w += math.pow(array.get(x, i), 2), the sum of the squared source parameter
This take place of the rectangular, hamming and parabolic weighting used in the Weighted Burg method
Also, this method includes Levinson–Durbin algorithm. as was already discussed previously in the following indicator:
Levinson-Durbin Autocorrelation Extrapolation of Price
What is Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg Autoregressive Spectral Estimate Extrapolation of price?
In this paper a new stable modification of the weighted Burg technique for autoregressive (AR) spectral estimation is introduced based on data-adaptive weights that are proportional to the common power of the forward and backward AR process realizations. It is shown that AR spectra of short length sinusoidal signals generated by the new approach do not exhibit phase dependence or line-splitting. Further, it is demonstrated that improvements in resolution may be so obtained relative to other weighted Burg algorithms. The method suggested here is shown to resolve two closely-spaced peaks of dynamic range 24 dB whereas the modified Burg schemes employing rectangular, Hamming or "optimum" parabolic windows fail.
Data inputs
Source Settings: -Loxx's Expanded Source Types. You typically use "open" since open has already closed on the current active bar
LastBar - bar where to start the prediction
PastBars - how many bars back to model
LPOrder - order of linear prediction model; 0 to 1
FutBars - how many bars you want to forward predict
Things to know
Normally, a simple moving average is calculated on source data. I've expanded this to 38 different averaging methods using Loxx's Moving Avreages.
This indicator repaints
Further reading
A high-resolution modified Burg algorithm for spectral estimation
Related Indicators
Levinson-Durbin Autocorrelation Extrapolation of Price
Weighted Burg AR Spectral Estimate Extrapolation of Price
MIDAS VWAP Jayy his is just a bash together of two MIDAS VWAP scripts particularly AkifTokuz and drshoe.
I added the ability to show more MIDAS curves from the same script.
The algorithm primarily uses the "n" number but the date can be used for the 8th VWAP
I have not converted the script to version 3.
To find bar number go into "Chart Properties" select " "background" then select Indicator Titles and "Indicator values". When you place your cursor over a bar the first number you see adjacent to the script title is the bar number. Put that in the dialogue box midline is MIDAS VWAP . The resistance is a MIDAS VWAP using bar highs. The resistance is MIDAS VWAP using bar lows.
In most case using N will suffice. However, if you are flipping around charts inputting a specific date can be handy. In this way, you can compare the same point in time across multiple instruments eg first trading day of the year or an election date.
Adding dates into the dialogue box is a bit cumbersome so in this version, it is enabled for only one curve. I have called it VWAP and it follows the typical VWAP algorithm. (Does that make a difference? Read below re my opinion on the Difference between MIDAS VWAP and VWAP ).
I have added the ability to start from the bottom or top of the initiating bar.
In theory in a probable uptrend pick a low of a bar for a low pivot and start the MIDAS VWAP there using the support.
For a downtrend use the high pivot bar and select resistance. The way to see is to play with these values.
Difference between MIDAS VWAP and the regular VWAP
MIDAS itself as described by Levine uses a time anchored On-Balance Volume (OBV) plotted on a graph where the horizontal (abscissa) arm of the graph is cumulative volume not time. He called his VWAP curves Support/Resistance VWAP or S/R curves. These S/R curves are often referred to as "MIDAS curves".
These are the main components of the MIDAS chart. A third algorithm called the Top-Bottom Finder was also described. (Separate script).
Additional tools have been described in "MIDAS_Technical_Analysis"
Midas Technical Analysis: A VWAP Approach to Trading and Investing in Today’s Markets by Andrew Coles, David G. Hawkins
Copyright © 2011 by Andrew Coles and David G. Hawkins.
Denoting the different way in which Levine approached the calculation.
The difference between "MIDAS" VWAP and VWAP is, in my opinion, much ado about nothing. The algorithms generate identical curves albeit the MIDAS algorithm launches the curve one bar later than the VWAP algorithm which can be a pain in the neck. All of the algorithms that I looked at on Tradingview step back one bar in time to initiate the MIDAS curve. As such the plotted curves are identical to traditional VWAP assuming the initiation is from the candle/bar midpoint.
How did Levine intend the curves to be drawn?
On a reversal, he suggested the initiation of the Support and Resistance VVWAP (S/R curve) to be started after a reversal.
It is clear in his examples this happens occasionally but in many cases he initiates the so-called MIDAS S/R VWAP right at the reversal point. In any case, the algorithm is problematic if you wish to start a curve on the first bar of an IPO .
You will get nothing. That is a pain. Also in Levine's writings, he describes simply clicking on the point where a
S/R VWAP is to be drawn from. As such, the generally accepted method of initiating the curve at N-1 is a practical and sensible method. The only issue is that you cannot draw the curve from the first bar on any security, as mentioned without resorting to the typical VWAP algorithm. There is another difference. VWAP is launched from the middle of the bar (as per AlphaTrends), You can also launch from the top of the bar or the bottom (or anywhere for that matter). The calculation proceeds using the top or bottom for each new bar.
The potential applications are discussed in the MIDAS Technical Analysis book.
Ocs Ai TraderThis script perform predictive analytics from a virtual trader perspective!
It acts as an AI Trade Assistant that helps you decide the optimal times to buy or sell securities, providing you with precise target prices and stop-loss level to optimise your gains and manage risk effectively.
System Components
The trading system is built on 4 fundamental layers :
Time series Processing layer
Signal Processing layer
Machine Learning
Virtual Trade Emulator
Time series Processing layer
This is first component responsible for handling and processing real-time and historical time series data.
In this layer Signals are extracted from
averages such as : volume price mean, adaptive moving average
Estimates such as : relative strength stochastics estimates on supertrend
Signal Processing layer
This second layer processes signals from previous layer using sensitivity filter comprising of an Probability Distribution Confidence Filter
The main purpose here is to predict the trend of the underlying, by converging price, volume signals and deltas over a dominant cycle as dimensions and generate signals of action.
Key terms
Dominant cycle is a time cycle that has a greater influence on the overall behaviour of a system than other cycles.
The system uses Ehlers method to calculate Dominant Cycle/ Period.
Dominant cycle is used to determine the influencing period for the underlying.
Once the dominant cycle/ period is identified, it is treated as a dynamic length for considering further calculations
Predictive Adaptive Filter to generate Signals and define Targets and Stops
An adaptive filter is a system with a linear filter that has a transfer function controlled by variable parameters and a means to adjust those parameters according to an optimisation algorithm. Because of the complexity of the optimisation algorithms, almost all adaptive filters are digital filters. Thus Helping us classify our intent either long side or short side
The indicator use Adaptive Least mean square algorithm, for convergence of the filtered signals into a category of intents, (either buy or sell)
Machine Learning
The third layer of the System performs classifications using KNN K-Nearest Neighbour is one of the simplest Machine Learning algorithms based on Supervised Learning technique.
K-NN algorithm assumes the similarity between the new case/data and available cases and put the new case into the category that is most similar to the available categories.
K-NN algorithm stores all the available data and classifies a new data point based on the similarity. This means when new data appears then it can be easily classified into a well suite category by using K- NN algorithm. K-NN algorithm can be used for Regression as well as for Classification but mostly it is used for the Classification problems.
Virtual Trade Emulator
In this last and fourth layer a trade assistant is coded using trade emulation techniques and the Lines and Labels for Buy / Sell Signals, Targets and Stop are forecasted!
How to use
The system generates Buy and Sell alerts and plots it on charts
Buy signal
Buy signal constitutes of three targets {namely T1, T2, T3} and one stop level
Sell signal
Sell signal constitutes of three targets {namely T1, T2, T3} and one stop level
What Securities will it work upon ?
Volume Informations must be present for the applied security
The indicator works on every liquid security : stocks, future, forex, crypto, options, commodities
What TimeFrames To Use ?
You can use any Timeframe, The indicator is Adaptive in Nature,
I personally use timeframes such as : 1m, 5m 10m, 15m, ..... 1D, 1W
This Script Uses Tradingview Premium features for working on lower timeframes
In case if you are not a Tradingview premium subscriber you should tell the script that after applying on chart, this can be done by going to settings and unchecking "Is your Tradingview Subscription Premium or Above " Option
How To Get Access ?
You will need to privately message me for access mentioning you want access to "Ocs Ai Trader" Use comment box only for constructive comments. Thanks !
Bist Manipulation [Projeadam]
OVERVIEW | GENEL BAKIŞ
ENG: Indicator that detects manipulation candles according to changing market conditions.
TR: Değişen piyasa koşullarına göre manipülasyon mumlarını tespit eden gösterge.
ENG: IMPORTANT NOTE: This indicator works in BIST Market and only in Future Parities.
Example ->> PETKM1! --SASA1!
TR: ÖNEMLİ NOT: Bu indikatör BİST Piyasasında ve sadece Future Paritelerde Çalışır.
Örnek- >> PETKM1! -- SASA1!
ENG: Market makers manipulate the market because most people who trade on the stock exchange act with their emotions and are forced to close the transaction at a loss.
TR: Piyasada market yapıcı oluşumlar manipülasyon yaparlar çünkü borsada işlem alan insanların birçoğu duygularıyla hareket eder ve zararla işlem kapatılmaya zorlanır.
ENG: If we detect manipulation candles in the market, we can control our fragile psychology and close our transactions in profit by trading with market-making formations in these areas.
TR: Marketde manipülasyon mumlarını tespit edersek kırılgan psikolojimizi kontrol edebilir ve bu alanlardan market yapıcı oluşumlarla beraber işlem alarak işlemlerimizi karda kapatabiliriz.
ALGORITHM | ALGORİTMA
ENG: With the help of this indicator, you can detect manipulation candles in the BIST exchange with the help of the algorithm I created by using volumetric data and wicks created by the price.
When there is excessive volatility in price movement, the algorithm in this indicator notices this price volatility and calculates a manipulation value by dividing it by the volatility value in past price movements.
TR: Bu indikatör yardımıyla hacimsel veriler ve fiyatın oluşturduğu fitillerden yararlanarak oluşturduğum algoritma yardımıyla siz de BİST borsasında manipülasyon mumlarını tespit edebilirsiniz.
Fiyat hareketinde aşırı derece oynaklık olduğunda bu indikatördeki algoritma bu fiyat oynaklığını fark eder ve geçmiş fiyat hareketlerindeki oylanklık degerine bölerek bize bir manipülasyon degeri hesaplar.
How does the indicator work? | Gösterge nasıl çalışır?
ENG: The manipulation candle does not give us information about the direction of price movement, it is only used as an auxiliary indicator.
TR: Manipülasyon mumu bize fiyat hareketinin yönü hakkında bilgi vermez sadece yardımcı bir gösterge olarak kullanılır.
ENG: We show our manipulation values as columns. We draw a channel over the values we show and we understand that there is manipulation in the candle of our values above this channel.
TR: Manipülasyon degerlerimiz kolonlar şeklinde gösteriyoruz. Gösterdiğimiz değerlerimizin üzerine bir kanal çizdiriyoruz ve bu kanalın üzerinde kalan değerlerimizdeki mumda manipülasyon yapıldığını anlıyoruz.
ENG: The indicator shows the manipulation value in the form of columns. Our manipulation value that goes outside the channel we have determined is colored red, within the channel it is colored yellow, and below the channel it is colored green. Red columns indicate candles that are manipulations.
TR: İndikatör manipülasyon degerini kolonlar şeklinde gösteriyor. Bizim belirlediğimiz kanal dışına çıkan manipülasyon degerimiz kırmızı, kanal içerisinde sarı, kanal altında yeşil olarak renklendiriliyor. Kırmızı kolonlar manipülasyon olan mumları göstermektedir.
Example | Örnek
ENG: In our example above, we see a manipulation candle that clears the price gaps, while the market maker clears the orders in the price gaps at the bottom to move the price up.
TR: Yukarıdaki örneğimizde oluşan fiyat boşluklarını temizleyen bir manipülasyon mumu görmekteyiz, alt kısımdaki fiyat boşluklarındaki emirleri temizleyen market maker fiyatı yukarı taşımak için buradaki emirleri temizliyor.
SETTINGS PANEL | AYARLAR PANELİ
ENG: We have only one setting in this indicator.
TR: Bu indikatörde tek ayarımız vardır.
ENG: Our multiplier value determines the width of the band value formed above our manipulation value. In the chart above, our multiplier value is 3.3. If we reduce our multiplier value, our manipulation sensitivity will decrease as there will be much more candles on the band.
TR: Çarpan değerimiz manipülasyon değerimizin üstünde oluşşan band değerinin genişliğini belirlemektedir.Yukarıdaki grafikte çarpan değerimiz 3.3, Eğer çarpan değerimizi azaltırsak band üstünde çok daha fazla mum olacağı için manipülasyon hassasiyetimiz azalacaktır.
ENG: When we set our multiplier value to 2.3, we have a more sensitive manipulation skin and it gives signals in more candles.
TR: Çarpan değerimizi 2.3 yapınca daha hassas manipülasyon derimiz oluyor ve daha fazla mumda sinyal veriyor.
If you have any ideas what to add to my work to add more sources or make calculations cooler, suggest in DM .
Fusion: Machine Learning SuiteThe Fusion: Machine Learning Suite combines multiple technical analysis dimensions and harnesses the predictive power of machine learning, seamlessly integrating a diverse array of classic and novel indicators to deliver precision, adaptability, and innovation.
Features and Capabilities
Multidimensional Analysis: Fusion: MLS integrates various technical analysis dimensions to offer a more comprehensive perspective.
Machine Learning Integration: Utilizing ML algorithms, Fusion: MLS offers adaptability to market changes.
Custom Indicators: Including dimensions like "Moon Lander", "Cap Line" and "Z-Pack" the indicator expands the scope of traditional technical analysis methods.
Tailored Customization: With customization options, Fusion: MLS allows traders to configure the tool to suit their specific strategies and market focus.
In the following sections, we'll explore the features and settings of Fusion: MLS in detail, providing insights into how it can be utilized.
Major Features and Settings
The indicator consists of several core components and settings, each designed to provide specific functionalities and insights. Here's an in-depth look:
Machine Learning Component
Distance Classifier: A Strategic Approach to Market Analysis
In the world of trading and investment, the ability to classify and predict price movements is paramount. Machine learning offers powerful tools for this purpose.
The Fusion: MLS indicator among others incorporates an Approximate Nearest Neighbors (ANN)* algorithm, a machine learning classification technique, and allows the selection of various distance functions .
This flexibility sets Fusion: MLS apart from existing solutions. The available distance functions include:
Euclidean: Standard distance metric, commonly used as a default.
Chebyshev: Also known as maximum value distance.
Manhattan: Sum of absolute differences.
Minkowski: Generalized metric that includes Euclidean and Manhattan as special cases.
Mahalanobis: Measures distance between points in a correlated space.
Lorentzian: Known for its robustness to outliers and noise.
*For a deeper understanding of the Approximate Nearest Neighbors (ANN) algorithm, traders are encouraged to refer to the relevant articles that can be found in the public domain.
Alternative scoring system
Fusion: MLS also includes a custom scoring alternative based on directional price action.
"Combined: Directional" and "Alpha: Directional" scoring types represent our own directional change algorithm, simple yet effective in displaying trend direction changes early on. They are visualized by color changes when scoring becomes below or above zero.
Changes in scoring quickly reflect shifts in buyer and seller sentiment.
Traders may choose signals by Color Change in the indicator settings to get alerts when scoring color shifts, not waiting until the histogram crosses the zero level.
Application in Trading
Machine learning classification has become an integral part of modern trading, offering innovative ways to analyze and interpret financial data.
Many algorithmic trading systems leverage ML classification to automate trading decisions. By continuously learning from real-time data, these systems can adapt to changing market conditions and execute trades with increased efficiency and accuracy.
ML classification allows for the development of tailored trading strategies as traders can select specific algorithms, dimensions, and filters that align with their trading style, goals, and the particular market they are operating.
We have integrated ML classification with traditional trading tools, such as moving averages and technical indicators. This fusion creates a more robust analysis framework, combining the strengths of classical techniques with the adaptability of machine learning.
Whether used independently or in conjunction with other tools, ML classification represents a significant advancement in trading technology, opening new avenues for exploration, innovation, and success in the financial world.
ML: Weighting System
The Fusion: MLS indicator introduces a unique weighting system that allows traders to customize the influence of various technical indicators in the machine learning process. This feature is not only innovative but also provides a level of control and adaptability that sets it apart from other indicators.
Customizable Weights
The weighting system allows users to assign specific weights to different indicators such as Moon Lander, RSI, MACD, Money Flow, Bollinger Bands, Cap Line, Z-Pack, Squeeze Momentum*, and MA Crossover. These weights can be adjusted manually, providing the ability to emphasize or de-emphasize specific indicators based on the trader's strategy or market conditions.
*Note, we determined via testing that the popular "Squeeze" indicator can actually be well replicated by simply using inputs of 15 & 199 in the bedrock indicator - MACD ; while we employed the standard "Squeeze" formula (developed by J. Carter ) in Fusion: MLS, traders are hereby made aware of our research findings regarding such.
The weighting system's importance lies in its ability to provide a more nuanced and personalized analysis. By adjusting the weights of different indicators a trader focusing on momentum strategies might assign higher weights to the Squeeze Momentum and MA Crossover indicators, while a trader looking for volatility might emphasize RSI and Bollinger Bands.
The ability to customize weights adds a layer of complexity and adaptability that is rare in standard machine-learning indicators.
Custom Indicators: Moon Lander
The "Moon Lander" is not just a catchy name; it's a robust feature inspired by principles from aerospace engineering and offers a unique perspective on trading analysis. Here's a conceptual overview:
Fast EMA and Kalman Matrix
"Moon Lander" incorporates both a Fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a Kalman Matrix in its design. These two elements are combined to create a histogram, providing a specific approach to data analysis.
The Kalman Matrix, or Kalman Filter, is a mathematical concept used for estimating variables that can be measured indirectly and contain noise or uncertainty. It's a standard tool in machine learning and control systems, known for its ability to provide optimal estimates based on observed data.
Kalman Filter: A Navigational Tool
The Kalman filter, an essential part of "Moon Lander," is a mathematical concept known for its applications in navigation and control systems used by NASA in the apollo program :
Guidance in Uncertainty: Just as the Kalman filter helped guide complex aerospace missions through uncertain paths, it assists traders in navigating the often unpredictable financial markets.
Filtering Noise: In trading, the Kalman filter serves to filter out market noise, allowing traders to focus on the underlying trends.
Predictive Capabilities: Its ability to predict future states makes it a valuable tool for forecasting market movements and trend directions.
Custom Indicators: Cap Line and Z-Pack
Fusion: MLS integrates our additional proprietary custom indicators that have been published on TradingView earlier:
Cap Line: Delve into the specific functionalities and applications of our proprietary "Cap Line" indicator in the published description on TradingView.
Z-Pack: Explore the analytical perspectives, focused on the z-score methodology, and custom "Z-Pack" indicator by reviewing the published description on TradingView.
Buy/Sell Signal Generation Algorithms
Fusion: MLS offers various options for generating buy/sell signals, tailored to different trading strategies and perspectives:
Fusion: Allows traders to select any number of dimensions to receive buy/sell signals from, offering customized signal generation.
ML: Utilizes the machine learning ANN distance for signal generation.
Color Change: Generates signals by selected scoring type color change.
Displayed Dimension, Alpha Dimension: Generate signals based on specific selected dimensions.
These algorithms provide flexibility in determining buy/sell signals, catering to different trading styles and market conditions.
Filters
Filters are used to refine and selectively include or exclude signals based on specific criteria. Rather than generating signals, these filters act as gatekeepers, ensuring that only the signals meeting certain conditions are considered. Here's an overview of the filters used:
Dynamic State Predictor (DSP)
The DSP employs the Kalman Matrix to evaluate existing signals by comparing the fast and slow-moving averages, both processed through the Kalman Matrix. Based on the relationship between these averages, the DSP may exclude specific signals, depending on whether they align with upward or downward trends.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
The ADX filter evaluates the strength of existing trends and filters out signals that do not meet the specified ADX threshold and length, focusing on significant market movements.
Feature Engineering: RSI
Applies a filter to the existing signals, clearing out those that do not meet the criteria for RSI overbought or oversold threshold condition.
Feature Engineering: MACD
Assesses existing signals to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend, filtering out those that do not align with MACD trend direction.
The Visual Component
The machine learning component is an internal component. However, the indicator also offers an equally important and useful visual component. It is a graphical representation of the multiple technical analysis dimensions, that can be combined in various ways (where the name "Fusion" comes from), allowing traders to visualize the underlying data and its analysis.
Displayed Dimension: Visualization and Normalization
The Fusion: MLS indicator offers a "Displayed Dimension" feature that visualizes various dimensions as a histogram. These dimensions may include RSI, MAs, BBs, MACD, etc.
RSI Dimension on the image + ML signals
Normalization: Each dimension is normalized. If any dimension has extreme values, a Fisher transformation is applied to bring them within a reasonable range.
Combined Dimension: When selecting the "Combined" option , the normalized values of the selected dimensions are combined using techniques such as standardization, normalization, or winsorization. This flexibility enables tailored visualization and analysis.
Alpha Dimension: Enhancing Analysis
The "Alpha Dimension" feature allows traders to select an additional dimension alongside the Displayed Dimension. This facilitates a combined analysis, enhancing the depth of insights.
Theme Selection
Fusion: MLS offers various themes such as "Sailfish", "Iceberg", "Moon", "Perl", "Candy" and "Monochrome" Traders can select a theme that resonates with their preference, enhancing visual appeal. There is also a "Custom" theme available that allows the user to choose the colors of the theme.
Customizing Fusion: MLS for Various Markets and Strategies
Fusion: MLS is designed with customization in mind. Traders can tailor the indicator to suit various markets and trading strategies. Selecting specific dimensions allows it to align with individual trading goals.
Selecting Dimensions: Choose the dimensions that resonate with your trading approach, whether focusing on trend-following, momentum, or other strategies.
Adjusting Parameters: Fine-tune the parameters of each dimension, including custom ones like "Moon Lander," to suit specific market conditions.
Theme Customization: Select a theme that aligns with your visual preferences, enhancing your chart's readability and appeal.
Utilizing Research: Leverage the underlying algorithms and research, such as machine learning classification by ANN and the Kalman filter, to deepen your understanding and application of Fusion: MLS.
Alerts
The indicator includes an alerting system that notifies traders when new buy or sell signals are detected.
Disclaimer
The information provided herein is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, endorsement, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Fusion: MLS is a technical analysis tool, and like all tools, it should be used with caution and in conjunction with other forms of analysis.
Traders and investors are encouraged to consult with a licensed financial professional and conduct their own research before making any trading or investment decisions. Past performance of the Fusion: MLS indicator or any trading strategy does not guarantee future results, and all trading involves risk. Users of Fusion: MLS should understand the underlying algorithms and assumptions and consider their individual risk tolerance and investment goals when using this tool.
AI Moving Average (Expo)█ Overview
The AI Moving Average indicator is a trading tool that uses an AI-based K-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm to analyze and interpret patterns in price data. It combines the logic of a traditional moving average with artificial intelligence, creating an adaptive and robust indicator that can identify strong trends and key market levels.
█ How It Works
The algorithm collects data points and applies a KNN-weighted approach to classify price movement as either bullish or bearish. For each data point, the algorithm checks if the price is above or below the calculated moving average. If the price is above the moving average, it's labeled as bullish (1), and if it's below, it's labeled as bearish (0). The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) is an instance-based learning algorithm used in classification and regression tasks. It works on a principle of voting, where a new data point is classified based on the majority label of its 'k' nearest neighbors.
The algorithm's use of a KNN-weighted approach adds a layer of intelligence to the traditional moving average analysis. By considering not just the price relative to a moving average but also taking into account the relationships and similarities between different data points, it offers a nuanced and robust classification of price movements.
This combination of data collection, labeling, and KNN-weighted classification turns the AI Moving Average (Expo) Indicator into a dynamic tool that can adapt to changing market conditions, making it suitable for various trading strategies and market environments.
█ How to Use
Dynamic Trend Recognition
The color-coded moving average line helps traders quickly identify market trends. Green represents bullish, red for bearish, and blue for neutrality.
Trend Strength
By adjusting certain settings within the AI Moving Average (Expo) Indicator, such as using a higher 'k' value and increasing the number of data points, traders can gain real-time insights into strong trends. A higher 'k' value makes the prediction model more resilient to noise, emphasizing pronounced trends, while more data points provide a comprehensive view of the market direction. Together, these adjustments enable the indicator to display only robust trends on the chart, allowing traders to focus exclusively on significant market movements and strong trends.
Key SR Levels
Traders can utilize the indicator to identify key support and resistance levels that are derived from the prevailing trend movement. The derived support and resistance levels are not just based on historical data but are dynamically adjusted with the current trend, making them highly responsive to market changes.
█ Settings
k (Neighbors): Number of neighbors in the KNN algorithm. Increasing 'k' makes predictions more resilient to noise but may decrease sensitivity to local variations.
n (DataPoints): Number of data points considered in AI analysis. This affects how the AI interprets patterns in the price data.
maType (Select MA): Type of moving average applied. Options allow for different smoothing techniques to emphasize or dampen aspects of price movement.
length: Length of the moving average. A greater length creates a smoother curve but might lag recent price changes.
dataToClassify: Source data for classifying price as bullish or bearish. It can be adjusted to consider different aspects of price information
dataForMovingAverage: Source data for calculating the moving average. Different selections may emphasize different aspects of price movement.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Adaptivity: Measures of Dominant Cycles and Price Trend [Loxx]Adaptivity: Measures of Dominant Cycles and Price Trend is an indicator that outputs adaptive lengths using various methods for dominant cycle and price trend timeframe adaptivity. While the information output from this indicator might be useful for the average trader in one off circumstances, this indicator is really meant for those need a quick comparison of dynamic length outputs who wish to fine turn algorithms and/or create adaptive indicators.
This indicator compares adaptive output lengths of all publicly known adaptive measures. Additional adaptive measures will be added as they are discovered and made public.
The first released of this indicator includes 6 measures. An additional three measures will be added with updates. Please check back regularly for new measures.
Ehers:
Autocorrelation Periodogram
Band-pass
Instantaneous Cycle
Hilbert Transformer
Dual Differentiator
Phase Accumulation (future release)
Homodyne (future release)
Jurik:
Composite Fractal Behavior (CFB)
Adam White:
Veritical Horizontal Filter (VHF) (future release)
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman's adaptive moving average (KAMA) and Tushar Chande's variable index dynamic average (VIDYA) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index (RSI), commodity channel index (CCI), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
What is this Hilbert Transformer?
An analytic signal allows for time-variable parameters and is a generalization of the phasor concept, which is restricted to time-invariant amplitude, phase, and frequency. The analytic representation of a real-valued function or signal facilitates many mathematical manipulations of the signal. For example, computing the phase of a signal or the power in the wave is much simpler using analytic signals.
The Hilbert transformer is the technique to create an analytic signal from a real one. The conventional Hilbert transformer is theoretically an infinite-length FIR filter. Even when the filter length is truncated to a useful but finite length, the induced lag is far too large to make the transformer useful for trading.
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, pages 186-187:
"I want to emphasize that the only reason for including this section is for completeness. Unless you are interested in research, I suggest you skip this section entirely. To further emphasize my point, do not use the code for trading. A vastly superior approach to compute the dominant cycle in the price data is the autocorrelation periodogram. The code is included because the reader may be able to capitalize on the algorithms in a way that I do not see. All the algorithms encapsulated in the code operate reasonably well on theoretical waveforms that have no noise component. My conjecture at this time is that the sample-to-sample noise simply swamps the computation of the rate change of phase, and therefore the resulting calculations to find the dominant cycle are basically worthless.The imaginary component of the Hilbert transformer cannot be smoothed as was done in the Hilbert transformer indicator because the smoothing destroys the orthogonality of the imaginary component."
What is the Dual Differentiator, a subset of Hilbert Transformer?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 187:
"The first algorithm to compute the dominant cycle is called the dual differentiator. In this case, the phase angle is computed from the analytic signal as the arctangent of the ratio of the imaginary component to the real component. Further, the angular frequency is defined as the rate change of phase. We can use these facts to derive the cycle period."
What is the Phase Accumulation, a subset of Hilbert Transformer?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 189:
"The next algorithm to compute the dominant cycle is the phase accumulation method. The phase accumulation method of computing the dominant cycle is perhaps the easiest to comprehend. In this technique, we measure the phase at each sample by taking the arctangent of the ratio of the quadrature component to the in-phase component. A delta phase is generated by taking the difference of the phase between successive samples. At each sample we can then look backwards, adding up the delta phases.When the sum of the delta phases reaches 360 degrees, we must have passed through one full cycle, on average.The process is repeated for each new sample.
The phase accumulation method of cycle measurement always uses one full cycle's worth of historical data.This is both an advantage and a disadvantage.The advantage is the lag in obtaining the answer scales directly with the cycle period.That is, the measurement of a short cycle period has less lag than the measurement of a longer cycle period. However, the number of samples used in making the measurement means the averaging period is variable with cycle period. longer averaging reduces the noise level compared to the signal.Therefore, shorter cycle periods necessarily have a higher out- put signal-to-noise ratio."
What is the Homodyne, a subset of Hilbert Transformer?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 192:
"The third algorithm for computing the dominant cycle is the homodyne approach. Homodyne means the signal is multiplied by itself. More precisely, we want to multiply the signal of the current bar with the complex value of the signal one bar ago. The complex conjugate is, by definition, a complex number whose sign of the imaginary component has been reversed."
What is the Instantaneous Cycle?
The Instantaneous Cycle Period Measurement was authored by John Ehlers; it is built upon his Hilbert Transform Indicator.
From his Ehlers' book Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures: Cutting-Edge DSP Technology to Improve Your Trading by John F. Ehlers, 2004, page 107:
"It is obvious that cycles exist in the market. They can be found on any chart by the most casual observer. What is not so clear is how to identify those cycles in real time and how to take advantage of their existence. When Welles Wilder first introduced the relative strength index (rsi), I was curious as to why he selected 14 bars as the basis of his calculations. I reasoned that if i knew the correct market conditions, then i could make indicators such as the rsi adaptive to those conditions. Cycles were the answer. I knew cycles could be measured. Once i had the cyclic measurement, a host of automatically adaptive indicators could follow.
Measurement of market cycles is not easy. The signal-to-noise ratio is often very low, making measurement difficult even using a good measurement technique. Additionally, the measurements theoretically involve simultaneously solving a triple infinity of parameter values. The parameters required for the general solutions were frequency, amplitude, and phase. Some standard engineering tools, like fast fourier transforms (ffs), are simply not appropriate for measuring market cycles because ffts cannot simultaneously meet the stationarity constraints and produce results with reasonable resolution. Therefore i introduced maximum entropy spectral analysis (mesa) for the measurement of market cycles. This approach, originally developed to interpret seismographic information for oil exploration, produces high-resolution outputs with an exceptionally short amount of information. A short data length improves the probability of having nearly stationary data. Stationary data means that frequency and amplitude are constant over the length of the data. I noticed over the years that the cycles were ephemeral. Their periods would be continuously increasing and decreasing. Their amplitudes also were changing, giving variable signal-to-noise ratio conditions. Although all this is going on with the cyclic components, the enduring characteristic is that generally only one tradable cycle at a time is present for the data set being used. I prefer the term dominant cycle to denote that one component. The assumption that there is only one cycle in the data collapses the difficulty of the measurement process dramatically."
What is the Band-pass Cycle?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 47:
"Perhaps the least appreciated and most underutilized filter in technical analysis is the band-pass filter. The band-pass filter simultaneously diminishes the amplitude at low frequencies, qualifying it as a detrender, and diminishes the amplitude at high frequencies, qualifying it as a data smoother. It passes only those frequency components from input to output in which the trader is interested. The filtering produced by a band-pass filter is superior because the rejection in the stop bands is related to its bandwidth. The degree of rejection of undesired frequency components is called selectivity. The band-stop filter is the dual of the band-pass filter. It rejects a band of frequency components as a notch at the output and passes all other frequency components virtually unattenuated. Since the bandwidth of the deep rejection in the notch is relatively narrow and since the spectrum of market cycles is relatively broad due to systemic noise, the band-stop filter has little application in trading."
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 59:
"The band-pass filter can be used as a relatively simple measurement of the dominant cycle. A cycle is complete when the waveform crosses zero two times from the last zero crossing. Therefore, each successive zero crossing of the indicator marks a half cycle period. We can establish the dominant cycle period as twice the spacing between successive zero crossings."
What is Composite Fractal Behavior (CFB)?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is VHF Adaptive Cycle?
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
Monte Carlo Range Forecast [DW]This is an experimental study designed to forecast the range of price movement from a specified starting point using a Monte Carlo simulation.
Monte Carlo experiments are a broad class of computational algorithms that utilize random sampling to derive real world numerical results.
These types of algorithms have a number of applications in numerous fields of study including physics, engineering, behavioral sciences, climate forecasting, computer graphics, gaming AI, mathematics, and finance.
Although the applications vary, there is a typical process behind the majority of Monte Carlo methods:
-> First, a distribution of possible inputs is defined.
-> Next, values are generated randomly from the distribution.
-> The values are then fed through some form of deterministic algorithm.
-> And lastly, the results are aggregated over some number of iterations.
In this study, the Monte Carlo process used generates a distribution of aggregate pseudorandom linear price returns summed over a user defined period, then plots standard deviations of the outcomes from the mean outcome generate forecast regions.
The pseudorandom process used in this script relies on a modified Wichmann-Hill pseudorandom number generator (PRNG) algorithm.
Wichmann-Hill is a hybrid generator that uses three linear congruential generators (LCGs) with different prime moduli.
Each LCG within the generator produces an independent, uniformly distributed number between 0 and 1.
The three generated values are then summed and modulo 1 is taken to deliver the final uniformly distributed output.
Because of its long cycle length, Wichmann-Hill is a fantastic generator to use on TV since it's extremely unlikely that you'll ever see a cycle repeat.
The resulting pseudorandom output from this generator has a minimum repetition cycle length of 6,953,607,871,644.
Fun fact: Wichmann-Hill is a widely used PRNG in various software applications. For example, Excel 2003 and later uses this algorithm in its RAND function, and it was the default generator in Python up to v2.2.
The generation algorithm in this script takes the Wichmann-Hill algorithm, and uses a multi-stage transformation process to generate the results.
First, a parent seed is selected. This can either be a fixed value, or a dynamic value.
The dynamic parent value is produced by taking advantage of Pine's timenow variable behavior. It produces a variable parent seed by using a frozen ratio of timenow/time.
Because timenow always reflects the current real time when frozen and the time variable reflects the chart's beginning time when frozen, the ratio of these values produces a new number every time the cache updates.
After a parent seed is selected, its value is then fed through a uniformly distributed seed array generator, which generates multiple arrays of pseudorandom "children" seeds.
The seeds produced in this step are then fed through the main generators to produce arrays of pseudorandom simulated outcomes, and a pseudorandom series to compare with the real series.
The main generators within this script are designed to (at least somewhat) model the stochastic nature of financial time series data.
The first step in this process is to transform the uniform outputs of the Wichmann-Hill into outputs that are normally distributed.
In this script, the transformation is done using an estimate of the normal distribution quantile function.
Quantile functions, otherwise known as percent-point or inverse cumulative distribution functions, specify the value of a random variable such that the probability of the variable being within the value's boundary equals the input probability.
The quantile equation for a normal probability distribution is μ + σ(√2)erf^-1(2(p - 0.5)) where μ is the mean of the distribution, σ is the standard deviation, erf^-1 is the inverse Gauss error function, and p is the probability.
Because erf^-1() does not have a simple, closed form interpretation, it must be approximated.
To keep things lightweight in this approximation, I used a truncated Maclaurin Series expansion for this function with precomputed coefficients and rolled out operations to avoid nested looping.
This method provides a decent approximation of the error function without completely breaking floating point limits or sucking up runtime memory.
Note that there are plenty of more robust techniques to approximate this function, but their memory needs very. I chose this method specifically because of runtime favorability.
To generate a pseudorandom approximately normally distributed variable, the uniformly distributed variable from the Wichmann-Hill algorithm is used as the input probability for the quantile estimator.
Now from here, we get a pretty decent output that could be used itself in the simulation process. Many Monte Carlo simulations and random price generators utilize a normal variable.
However, if you compare the outputs of this normal variable with the actual returns of the real time series, you'll find that the variability in shocks (random changes) doesn't quite behave like it does in real data.
This is because most real financial time series data is more complex. Its distribution may be approximately normal at times, but the variability of its distribution changes over time due to various underlying factors.
In light of this, I believe that returns behave more like a convoluted product distribution rather than just a raw normal.
So the next step to get our procedurally generated returns to more closely emulate the behavior of real returns is to introduce more complexity into our model.
Through experimentation, I've found that a return series more closely emulating real returns can be generated in a three step process:
-> First, generate multiple independent, normally distributed variables simultaneously.
-> Next, apply pseudorandom weighting to each variable ranging from -1 to 1, or some limits within those bounds. This modulates each series to provide more variability in the shocks by producing product distributions.
-> Lastly, add the results together to generate the final pseudorandom output with a convoluted distribution. This adds variable amounts of constructive and destructive interference to produce a more "natural" looking output.
In this script, I use three independent normally distributed variables multiplied by uniform product distributed variables.
The first variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by one uniformly distributed variable. This produces a bit more tailedness (kurtosis) than a normal distribution, but nothing too extreme.
The second variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by two uniformly distributed variables. This produces moderately greater tails in the distribution.
The third variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by three uniformly distributed variables. This produces a distribution with heavier tails.
For additional control of the output distributions, the uniform product distributions are given optional limits.
These limits control the boundaries for the absolute value of the uniform product variables, which affects the tails. In other words, they limit the weighting applied to the normally distributed variables in this transformation.
All three sets are then multiplied by user defined amplitude factors to adjust presence, then added together to produce our final pseudorandom return series with a convoluted product distribution.
Once we have the final, more "natural" looking pseudorandom series, the values are recursively summed over the forecast period to generate a simulated result.
This process of generation, weighting, addition, and summation is repeated over the user defined number of simulations with different seeds generated from the parent to produce our array of initial simulated outcomes.
After the initial simulation array is generated, the max, min, mean and standard deviation of this array are calculated, and the values are stored in holding arrays on each iteration to be called upon later.
Reference difference series and price values are also stored in holding arrays to be used in our comparison plots.
In this script, I use a linear model with simple returns rather than compounding log returns to generate the output.
The reason for this is that in generating outputs this way, we're able to run our simulations recursively from the beginning of the chart, then apply scaling and anchoring post-process.
This allows a greater conservation of runtime memory than the alternative, making it more suitable for doing longer forecasts with heavier amounts of simulations in TV's runtime environment.
From our starting time, the previous bar's price, volatility, and optional drift (expected return) are factored into our holding arrays to generate the final forecast parameters.
After these parameters are computed, the range forecast is produced.
The basis value for the ranges is the mean outcome of the simulations that were run.
Then, quarter standard deviations of the simulated outcomes are added to and subtracted from the basis up to 3σ to generate the forecast ranges.
All of these values are plotted and colorized based on their theoretical probability density. The most likely areas are the warmest colors, and least likely areas are the coolest colors.
An information panel is also displayed at the starting time which shows the starting time and price, forecast type, parent seed value, simulations run, forecast bars, total drift, mean, standard deviation, max outcome, min outcome, and bars remaining.
The interesting thing about simulated outcomes is that although the probability distribution of each simulation is not normal, the distribution of different outcomes converges to a normal one with enough steps.
In light of this, the probability density of outcomes is highest near the initial value + total drift, and decreases the further away from this point you go.
This makes logical sense since the central path is the easiest one to travel.
Given the ever changing state of markets, I find this tool to be best suited for shorter term forecasts.
However, if the movements of price are expected to remain relatively stable, longer term forecasts may be equally as valid.
There are many possible ways for users to apply this tool to their analysis setups. For example, the forecast ranges may be used as a guide to help users set risk targets.
Or, the generated levels could be used in conjunction with other indicators for meaningful confluence signals.
More advanced users could even extrapolate the functions used within this script for various purposes, such as generating pseudorandom data to test systems on, perform integration and approximations, etc.
These are just a few examples of potential uses of this script. How you choose to use it to benefit your trading, analysis, and coding is entirely up to you.
If nothing else, I think this is a pretty neat script simply for the novelty of it.
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How To Use:
When you first add the script to your chart, you will be prompted to confirm the starting date and time, number of bars to forecast, number of simulations to run, and whether to include drift assumption.
You will also be prompted to confirm the forecast type. There are two types to choose from:
-> End Result - This uses the values from the end of the simulation throughout the forecast interval.
-> Developing - This uses the values that develop from bar to bar, providing a real-time outlook.
You can always update these settings after confirmation as well.
Once these inputs are confirmed, the script will boot up and automatically generate the forecast in a separate pane.
Note that if there is no bar of data at the time you wish to start the forecast, the script will automatically detect use the next available bar after the specified start time.
From here, you can now control the rest of the settings.
The "Seeding Settings" section controls the initial seed value used to generate the children that produce the simulations.
In this section, you can control whether the seed is a fixed value, or a dynamic one.
Since selecting the dynamic parent option will change the seed value every time you change the settings or refresh your chart, there is a "Regenerate" input built into the script.
This input is a dummy input that isn't connected to any of the calculations. The purpose of this input is to force an update of the dynamic parent without affecting the generator or forecast settings.
Note that because we're running a limited number of simulations, different parent seeds will typically yield slightly different forecast ranges.
When using a small number of simulations, you will likely see a higher amount of variance between differently seeded results because smaller numbers of sampled simulations yield a heavier bias.
The more simulations you run, the smaller this variance will become since the outcomes become more convergent toward the same distribution, so the differences between differently seeded forecasts will become more marginal.
When using a dynamic parent, pay attention to the dispersion of ranges.
When you find a set of ranges that is dispersed how you like with your configuration, set your fixed parent value to the parent seed that shows in the info panel.
This will allow you to replicate that dispersion behavior again in the future.
An important thing to note when settings alerts on the plotted levels, or using them as components for signals in other scripts, is to decide on a fixed value for your parent seed to avoid minor repainting due to seed changes.
When the parent seed is fixed, no repainting occurs.
The "Amplitude Settings" section controls the amplitude coefficients for the three differently tailed generators.
These amplitude factors will change the difference series output for each simulation by controlling how aggressively each series moves.
When "Adjust Amplitude Coefficients" is disabled, all three coefficients are set to 1.
Note that if you expect volatility to significantly diverge from its historical values over the forecast interval, try experimenting with these factors to match your anticipation.
The "Weighting Settings" section controls the weighting boundaries for the three generators.
These weighting limits affect how tailed the distributions in each generator are, which in turn affects the final series outputs.
The maximum absolute value range for the weights is . When "Limit Generator Weights" is disabled, this is the range that is automatically used.
The last set of inputs is the "Display Settings", where you can control the visual outputs.
From here, you can select to display either "Forecast" or "Difference Comparison" via the "Output Display Type" dropdown tab.
"Forecast" is the type displayed by default. This plots the end result or developing forecast ranges.
There is an option with this display type to show the developing extremes of the simulations. This option is enabled by default.
There's also an option with this display type to show one of the simulated price series from the set alongside actual prices.
This allows you to visually compare simulated prices alongside the real prices.
"Difference Comparison" allows you to visually compare a synthetic difference series from the set alongside the actual difference series.
This display method is primarily useful for visually tuning the amplitude and weighting settings of the generators.
There are also info panel settings on the bottom, which allow you to control size, colors, and date format for the panel.
It's all pretty simple to use once you get the hang of it. So play around with the settings and see what kinds of forecasts you can generate!
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ADDITIONAL NOTES & DISCLAIMERS
Although I've done a number of things within this script to keep runtime demands as low as possible, the fact remains that this script is fairly computationally heavy.
Because of this, you may get random timeouts when using this script.
This could be due to either random drops in available runtime on the server, using too many simulations, or running the simulations over too many bars.
If it's just a random drop in runtime on the server, hide and unhide the script, re-add it to the chart, or simply refresh the page.
If the timeout persists after trying this, then you'll need to adjust your settings to a less demanding configuration.
Please note that no specific claims are being made in regards to this script's predictive accuracy.
It must be understood that this model is based on randomized price generation with assumed constant drift and dispersion from historical data before the starting point.
Models like these not consider the real world factors that may influence price movement (economic changes, seasonality, macro-trends, instrument hype, etc.), nor the changes in sample distribution that may occur.
In light of this, it's perfectly possible for price data to exceed even the most extreme simulated outcomes.
The future is uncertain, and becomes increasingly uncertain with each passing point in time.
Predictive models of any type can vary significantly in performance at any point in time, and nobody can guarantee any specific type of future performance.
When using forecasts in making decisions, DO NOT treat them as any form of guarantee that values will fall within the predicted range.
When basing your trading decisions on any trading methodology or utility, predictive or not, you do so at your own risk.
No guarantee is being issued regarding the accuracy of this forecast model.
Forecasting is very far from an exact science, and the results from any forecast are designed to be interpreted as potential outcomes rather than anything concrete.
With that being said, when applied prudently and treated as "general case scenarios", forecast models like these may very well be potentially beneficial tools to have in the arsenal.
Machine Learning: LVQ-based StrategyLVQ-based Strategy (FX and Crypto)
Description:
Learning Vector Quantization (LVQ) can be understood as a special case of an artificial neural network, more precisely, it applies a winner-take-all learning-based approach. It is based on prototype supervised learning classification task and trains its weights through a competitive learning algorithm.
Algorithm:
Initialize weights
Train for 1 to N number of epochs
- Select a training example
- Compute the winning vector
- Update the winning vector
Classify test sample
The LVQ algorithm offers a framework to test various indicators easily to see if they have got any *predictive value*. One can easily add cog, wpr and others.
Note: TradingViews's playback feature helps to see this strategy in action. The algo is tested with BTCUSD/1Hour.
Warning: This is a preliminary version! Signals ARE repainting.
***Warning***: Signals LARGELY depend on hyperparams (lrate and epochs).
Style tags: Trend Following, Trend Analysis
Asset class: Equities, Futures, ETFs, Currencies and Commodities
Dataset: FX Minutes/Hours+++/Days
Opening Range Gaps [TakingProphets]What is an Opening Range Gap (ORG)?
In ICT, the Opening Range Gap is defined as the price difference between the previous session’s close (e.g., 4:00 PM EST in U.S. indices) and the current day’s open (9:30 AM EST).
That gap is a liquidity void—an area where no trading occurred during regular hours.
Why ICT Traders Care About ORG
Liquidity Void (Gap Fill Logic)
-Because the gap is an untraded area, it naturally acts as a draw on liquidity.
-Price often seeks to rebalance by retracing into or fully filling this void.
Premium/Discount Sensitivity
-Once the ORG is defined, ICT treats it as a mini dealing range.
-Above EQ (Consequent Encroachment) = algorithmic premium (sell-sensitive).
-Below EQ = algorithmic discount (buy-sensitive).
-Price reaction at these levels gives a precise read on institutional intent intraday.
Support/Resistance from ORG
-If the session opens above prior close, the gap often acts as support until violated.
-If the session opens below prior close, the gap often acts as resistance until reclaimed.
Key ICT Concepts Anchored to ORG
Consequent Encroachment (CE): The midpoint of the gap. The algo is highly sensitive to CE as a decision point: reject → continuation; reclaim → reversal.
Draw on Liquidity (DoL): Price is algorithmically “pulled” toward gap fills, CE, or the opposite side of the ORG.
Order Flow Confirmation: If price ignores the gap and runs away from it, this signals strong institutional order flow in that direction.
Confluence with Other Tools: FVGs, OBs, and HTF PD arrays often overlap with ORG levels, strengthening setups.
Practical Application for Traders
Bias Formation:
Use ORG EQ as a line in the sand for intraday bias.
If price trades below ORG EQ after the open → look for short setups into the prior day’s low or external liquidity.
If price trades above ORG EQ → favor longs into highs/liquidity pools.
Execution Framework:
Wait for liquidity raids or market structure shifts at ORG edges (.00, .25, .50, .75).
Target: EQ, opposite quarter, or full gap fill.
Precision Reads:
ORG lines let traders anticipate where algorithms are likely to respond, providing mechanical invalidation and clear targets without clutter.
Institutional Levels (CNN) - [PhenLabs]📊Institutional Levels (Convolutional Neural Network-inspired)
Version : PineScript™v6
📌Description
The CNN-IL Institutional Levels indicator represents a breakthrough in automated zone detection technology, combining convolutional neural network principles with advanced statistical modeling. This sophisticated tool identifies high-probability institutional trading zones by analyzing pivot patterns, volume dynamics, and price behavior using machine learning algorithms.
The indicator employs a proprietary 9-factor logistic regression model that calculates real-time reaction probabilities for each detected zone. By incorporating CNN-inspired filtering techniques and dynamic zone management, it provides traders with unprecedented accuracy in identifying where institutional money is likely to react to price action.
🚀Points of Innovation
● CNN-Inspired Pivot Analysis - Advanced binning system using convolutional neural network principles for superior pattern recognition
● Real-Time Probability Engine - Live reaction probability calculations using 9-factor logistic regression model
● Dynamic Zone Intelligence - Automatic zone merging using Intersection over Union (IoU) algorithms
● Volume-Weighted Scoring - Time-of-day volume Z-score analysis for enhanced zone strength assessment
● Adaptive Decay System - Intelligent zone lifecycle management based on touch frequency and recency
● Multi-Filter Architecture - Optional gradient, smoothing, and Difference of Gaussians (DoG) convolution filters
🔧Core Components
● Pivot Detection Engine - Advanced pivot identification with configurable left/right bars and ATR-normalized strength calculations
● Neural Network Binning - Price level clustering using CNN-inspired algorithms with ATR-based bin sizing
● Logistic Regression Model - 9-factor probability calculation including distance, width, volume, VWAP deviation, and trend analysis
● Zone Management System - Intelligent creation, merging, and decay algorithms for optimal zone lifecycle control
● Visualization Layer - Dynamic line drawing with opacity-based scoring and optional zone fills
🔥Key Features
● High-Probability Zone Detection - Automatically identifies institutional levels with reaction probabilities above configurable thresholds
● Real-Time Probability Scoring - Live calculation of zone reaction likelihood using advanced statistical modeling
● Session-Aware Analysis - Optional filtering to specific trading sessions for enhanced accuracy during active market hours
● Customizable Parameters - Full control over lookback periods, zone sensitivity, merge thresholds, and probability models
● Performance Optimized - Efficient processing with controlled update frequencies and pivot processing limits
● Non-Repainting Mode - Strict mode available for backtesting accuracy and live trading reliability
🎨Visualization
● Dynamic Zone Lines - Color-coded support and resistance levels with opacity reflecting zone strength and confidence scores
● Probability Labels - Real-time display of reaction probabilities, touch counts, and historical hit rates for active zones
● Zone Fills - Optional semi-transparent zone highlighting for enhanced visual clarity and immediate pattern recognition
● Adaptive Styling - Automatic color and opacity adjustments based on zone scoring and statistical significance
📖Usage Guidelines
● Lookback Bars - Default 500, Range 100-1000, Controls the historical data window for pivot analysis and zone calculation
● Pivot Left/Right - Default 3, Range 1-10, Defines the pivot detection sensitivity and confirmation requirements
● Bin Size ATR units - Default 0.25, Range 0.1-2.0, Controls price level clustering granularity for zone creation
● Base Zone Half-Width ATR units - Default 0.25, Range 0.1-1.0, Sets the minimum zone width in ATR units for institutional level boundaries
● Zone Merge IoU Threshold - Default 0.5, Range 0.1-0.9, Intersection over Union threshold for automatic zone merging algorithms
● Max Active Zones - Default 5, Range 3-20, Maximum number of zones displayed simultaneously to prevent chart clutter
● Probability Threshold for Labels - Default 0.6, Range 0.3-0.9, Minimum reaction probability required for zone label display and alerts
● Distance Weight w1 - Controls influence of price distance from zone center on reaction probability
● Width Weight w2 - Adjusts impact of zone width on probability calculations
● Volume Weight w3 - Modifies volume Z-score influence on zone strength assessment
● VWAP Weight w4 - Controls VWAP deviation impact on institutional level significance
● Touch Count Weight w5 - Adjusts influence of historical zone interactions on probability scoring
● Hit Rate Weight w6 - Controls prior success rate impact on future reaction likelihood predictions
● Wick Penetration Weight w7 - Modifies wick penetration analysis influence on probability calculations
● Trend Weight w8 - Adjusts trend context impact using ADX analysis for directional bias assessment
✅Best Use Cases
● Swing Trading Entries - Enter positions at high-probability institutional zones with 60%+ reaction scores
● Scalping Opportunities - Quick entries and exits around frequently tested institutional levels
● Risk Management - Use zones as dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on institutional behavior
● Market Structure Analysis - Identify key institutional levels that define current market structure and sentiment
● Confluence Trading - Combine with other technical indicators for high-probability trade setups
● Session-Based Strategies - Focus analysis during high-volume sessions for maximum effectiveness
⚠️Limitations
● Historical Pattern Dependency - Algorithm effectiveness relies on historical patterns that may not repeat in changing market conditions
● Computational Intensity - Complex calculations may impact chart performance on lower-end devices or with multiple indicators
● Probability Estimates - Reaction probabilities are statistical estimates and do not guarantee actual market outcomes
● Session Sensitivity - Performance may vary significantly between different market sessions and volatility regimes
● Parameter Sensitivity - Results can be highly dependent on input parameters requiring optimization for different instruments
💡What Makes This Unique
● CNN Architecture - First indicator to apply convolutional neural network principles to institutional-level detection
● Real-Time ML Scoring - Live machine learning probability calculations for each zone interaction
● Advanced Zone Management - Sophisticated algorithms for zone lifecycle management and automatic optimization
● Statistical Rigor - Comprehensive 9-factor logistic regression model with extensive backtesting validation
● Performance Optimization - Efficient processing algorithms designed for real-time trading applications
🔬How It Works
● Multi-timeframe pivot identification - Uses configurable sensitivity parameters for advanced pivot detection
● ATR-normalized strength calculations - Standardizes pivot significance across different volatility regimes
● Volume Z-score integration - Enhanced pivot weighting based on time-of-day volume patterns
● Price level clustering - Neural network binning algorithms with ATR-based sizing for zone creation
● Recency decay applications - Weights recent pivots more heavily than historical data for relevance
● Statistical filtering - Eliminates low-significance price levels and reduces market noise
● Dynamic zone generation - Creates zones from statistically significant pivot clusters with minimum support thresholds
● IoU-based merging algorithms - Combines overlapping zones while maintaining accuracy using Intersection over Union
● Adaptive decay systems - Automatic removal of outdated or low-performing zones for optimal performance
● 9-factor logistic regression - Incorporates distance, width, volume, VWAP, touch history, and trend analysis
● Real-time scoring updates - Zone interaction calculations with configurable threshold filtering
● Optional CNN filters - Gradient detection, smoothing, and Difference of Gaussians processing for enhanced accuracy
💡Note
This indicator represents advanced quantitative analysis and should be used by traders familiar with statistical modeling concepts. The probability scores are mathematical estimates based on historical patterns and should be combined with proper risk management and additional technical analysis for optimal trading decisions.
[blackcat] L2 Trend LinearityOVERVIEW
The L2 Trend Linearity indicator is a sophisticated market analysis tool designed to help traders identify and visualize market trend linearity by analyzing price action relative to dynamic support and resistance zones. This powerful Pine Script indicator utilizes the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) algorithm to calculate weighted price calculations and generate dynamic support/resistance zones that adapt to changing market conditions. By visualizing market zones through colored candles and histograms, the indicator provides clear visual cues about market momentum and potential trading opportunities. The script generates buy/sell signals based on zone crossovers, making it an invaluable tool for both technical analysis and automated trading strategies. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or algorithmic trader, this indicator can help you identify market regimes, support/resistance levels, and potential entry/exit points with greater precision.
FEATURES
Dynamic Support/Resistance Zones: Calculates dynamic support (bear market zone) and resistance (bull market zone) using weighted price calculations and ALMA smoothing
Visual Market Representation: Color-coded candles and histograms provide immediate visual feedback about market conditions
Smart Signal Generation: Automatic buy/sell signals generated from zone crossovers with clear visual indicators
Customizable Parameters: Four different ALMA smoothing parameters for various timeframes and trading styles
Multi-Timeframe Compatibility: Works across different timeframes from 1-minute to weekly charts
Real-time Analysis: Provides instant feedback on market momentum and trend direction
Clear Visual Cues: Green candles indicate bullish momentum, red candles indicate bearish momentum, and white candles indicate neutral conditions
Histogram Visualization: Blue histogram shows bear market zone (below support), aqua histogram shows bull market zone (above resistance)
Signal Labels: "B" labels mark buy signals (price crosses above resistance), "S" labels mark sell signals (price crosses below support)
Overlay Functionality: Works as an overlay indicator without cluttering the chart with unnecessary elements
Highly Customizable: All parameters can be adjusted to suit different trading strategies and market conditions
HOW TO USE
Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and navigate to your desired trading instrument
Click on "Indicators" in the top menu and select "New"
Search for "L2 Trend Linearity" or paste the Pine Script code
Click "Add to Chart" to apply the indicator
Configure the Parameters
ALMA Length Short: Set the short-term smoothing parameter (default: 3). Lower values provide more responsive signals but may generate more false signals
ALMA Length Medium: Set the medium-term smoothing parameter (default: 5). This provides a balance between responsiveness and stability
ALMA Length Long: Set the long-term smoothing parameter (default: 13). Higher values provide more stable signals but with less responsiveness
ALMA Length Very Long: Set the very long-term smoothing parameter (default: 21). This provides the most stable support/resistance levels
Understand the Visual Elements
Green Candles: Indicate bullish momentum when price is above the bear market zone (support)
Red Candles: Indicate bearish momentum when price is below the bull market zone (resistance)
White Candles: Indicate neutral market conditions when price is between support and resistance zones
Blue Histogram: Shows bear market zone when price is below support level
Aqua Histogram: Shows bull market zone when price is above resistance level
"B" Labels: Mark buy signals when price crosses above resistance
"S" Labels: Mark sell signals when price crosses below support
Identify Market Regimes
Bullish Regime: Price consistently above resistance zone with green candles and aqua histogram
Bearish Regime: Price consistently below support zone with red candles and blue histogram
Neutral Regime: Price oscillating between support and resistance zones with white candles
Generate Trading Signals
Buy Signals: Look for price crossing above the bull market zone (resistance) with confirmation from green candles
Sell Signals: Look for price crossing below the bear market zone (support) with confirmation from red candles
Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation from candle color changes before entering trades
Optimize for Different Timeframes
Scalping: Use shorter ALMA lengths (3-5) for 1-5 minute charts
Day Trading: Use medium ALMA lengths (5-13) for 15-60 minute charts
Swing Trading: Use longer ALMA lengths (13-21) for 1-4 hour charts
Position Trading: Use very long ALMA lengths (21+) for daily and weekly charts
LIMITATIONS
Whipsaw Markets: The indicator may generate false signals in choppy, sideways markets where price oscillates rapidly between support and resistance
Lagging Nature: Like all moving average-based indicators, there is inherent lag in the calculations, which may result in delayed signals
Not a Standalone Tool: This indicator should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies
Market Structure Dependency: Performance may vary depending on market structure and volatility conditions
Parameter Sensitivity: Different markets may require different parameter settings for optimal performance
No Volume Integration: The indicator does not incorporate volume data, which could provide additional confirmation signals
Limited Backtesting: Pine Script limitations may restrict comprehensive backtesting capabilities
Not Suitable for All Instruments: May perform differently on stocks, forex, crypto, and futures markets
Requires Confirmation: Signals should always be confirmed with other indicators or price action analysis
Not Predictive: The indicator identifies current market conditions but does not predict future price movements
NOTES
ALMA Algorithm: The indicator uses the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) algorithm, which is known for its excellent smoothing capabilities and reduced lag compared to traditional moving averages
Weighted Price Calculations: The bear market zone uses (2low + close) / 3, while the bull market zone uses (high + 2close) / 3, providing more weight to recent price action
Dynamic Zones: The support and resistance zones are dynamic and adapt to changing market conditions, making them more responsive than static levels
Color Psychology: The color scheme follows traditional trading psychology - green for bullish, red for bearish, and white for neutral
Signal Timing: The signals are generated on the close of each bar, ensuring they are based on complete price action
Label Positioning: Buy signals appear below the bar (red "B" label), while sell signals appear above the bar (green "S" label)
Multiple Timeframes: The indicator can be applied to multiple timeframes simultaneously for comprehensive analysis
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques when trading based on indicator signals
Market Context: Consider the overall market context and trend direction when interpreting signals
Confirmation: Look for confirmation from other indicators or price action patterns before entering trades
Practice: Test the indicator on historical data before using it in live trading
Customization: Feel free to experiment with different parameter combinations to find what works best for your trading style
THANKS
Special thanks to the TradingView community and the Pine Script developers for creating such a powerful and flexible platform for technical analysis. This indicator builds upon the foundation of the ALMA algorithm and various moving average techniques developed by technical analysis pioneers. The concept of dynamic support and resistance zones has been refined over decades of market analysis, and this script represents a modern implementation of these timeless principles. We acknowledge the contributions of all traders and developers who have contributed to the evolution of technical analysis and continue to push the boundaries of what's possible with algorithmic trading tools.
AURA AI - Multi-Layer Signal System# AURA AI - Multi-Layer Signal System
## Originality and Value Proposition
This indicator implements a proprietary multi-layer signal filtering system designed specifically for educational trading analysis. The core value lies in three advanced algorithmic features developed to address common issues in market analysis:
1. **Adaptive Signal Spacing Algorithm**: Dynamically adjusts signal frequency based on real-time volatility calculations using custom ATR multipliers (0.7x to 1.8x)
2. **Hierarchical Signal Filtering**: Three-tier priority system with conflict prevention, cooldown periods, and cross-validation
3. **Progressive Educational Framework**: Contextual learning system with market concept explanations
## Technical Implementation
The system processes market data through multiple validation layers:
- **Primary Signals**: Multi-condition convergence requiring simultaneous confirmation from trend detection, directional strength analysis, momentum indicators, volume validation, and positioning filters
- **Trend Signals**: Direction-following analysis with moving average crossover confirmation and momentum validation
- **Reversal Signals**: Counter-trend opportunity detection with strict distance requirements and timeout filtering
## Algorithm Components and Processing
- **Adaptive Trend Detection**: Custom trailing stop methodology with configurable sensitivity parameters
- **Directional Strength Analysis**: Smoothed momentum indicators with threshold validation
- **Volume-Weighted Confirmation**: Market participation analysis using comparative volume metrics
- **Multi-Timeframe Validation**: Higher timeframe directional bias with hysteresis algorithms for stable detection
- **Custom Filtering Engine**: Proprietary noise reduction and signal prioritization algorithms
## Educational Framework Design
The indicator includes a comprehensive learning system addressing the gap between technical analysis tools and trader education:
- **Progressive Complexity**: Simplified interface for beginners transitioning to professional-grade controls
- **Contextual Explanations**: Real-time tooltips explaining market conditions and signal rationale
- **Risk Management Integration**: Built-in safeguards teaching proper trading practices
- **Signal Classification**: Clear categorization helping users understand different opportunity types
## Justification for Closed-Source Protection
This indicator warrants protection due to:
1. **Proprietary Filtering Algorithms**: Custom-developed signal prioritization and conflict resolution logic
2. **Adaptive Volatility System**: Original methodology for dynamic parameter adjustment
3. **Educational Integration**: Comprehensive learning framework with contextual market education
4. **Risk-Aware Design**: Built-in overtrading prevention and educational safeguards
The combination of these elements creates a unified analytical and educational system that goes beyond standard indicator combinations.
## Configuration and Usage
**Educational Mode**: Simplified interface focusing on high-probability setups with learning tooltips
**Professional Mode**: Full parameter control for experienced traders with advanced filtering options
Key settings include signal type selection, volatility adaptation parameters, multi-timeframe analysis, and day-of-week filtering for backtesting optimization.
## Market Application and Limitations
This system is designed for educational analysis across multiple markets and timeframes. The adaptive algorithms adjust to different volatility environments, though users should understand that no analytical tool can predict future market movements.
The indicator serves as an educational tool to help traders understand market dynamics while providing structured signal analysis. Proper risk management, position sizing, and market knowledge remain essential for successful trading.
## Important Disclosures
- This indicator provides educational analysis tools, not trading advice
- Past signal performance does not guarantee future results
- No claims are made regarding win rates or profitability
- Users must implement proper risk management practices
- Market conditions can change, affecting any analytical system's relevance
Sniper Divergence M.AtaogluSNIPER DIVERGENCE PRO - ADVANCED MULTI-TIMEFRAME DIVERGENCE DETECTOR
DESCRIPTION:
Sniper Divergence Pro is a sophisticated technical analysis indicator that combines RSI-based calculations with fractal analysis to detect both regular and hidden divergences across multiple timeframes. This advanced tool provides traders with precise entry and exit signals through its innovative Sniper algorithm and comprehensive visual feedback system.
KEY FEATURES:
1. SNIPER ALGORITHM:
- Custom RSI-based oscillator with fractal peak/valley detection
- Uses Relative Moving Average (RMA) for smooth signal generation
- Calculates momentum changes with mathematical precision
- Provides real-time divergence analysis with minimal lag
2. DIVERGENCE DETECTION:
- Regular Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while indicator makes higher lows
- Regular Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while indicator makes lower highs
- Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price makes higher lows while indicator makes lower lows
- Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price makes lower highs while indicator makes higher highs
- Configurable sensitivity levels for both bullish and bearish signals
3. MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS:
- Simultaneous analysis across 6 timeframes: 15m, 45m, 4h, 1D, 1W, 1M
- Real-time signal tracking with "bars ago" information
- Comprehensive signal table showing current status across all timeframes
- Sniper value display for each timeframe for trend confirmation
4. VISUAL ENHANCEMENTS:
- Neon color scheme optimized for dark themes
- Dynamic color-coded Sniper line based on market conditions
- Background fill areas for overbought/oversold zones
- Peak and valley point markers for fractal analysis
- Horizontal reference lines with clear level indicators
5. ALERT SYSTEM:
- Four distinct alert conditions for different signal types
- Real-time notification system for immediate signal detection
- Professional-grade alert messages for trading automation
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS:
CALCULATION METHOD:
The indicator uses a modified RSI calculation with fractal analysis:
- Source: Close price (configurable)
- Period: 21 (default, adjustable 1-1000)
- Algorithm: RMA-based momentum calculation with fractal peak/valley detection
- Divergence Logic: Price vs. indicator comparison using fractal points
SIGNAL LEVELS:
- Super Buy Zone: 0-12 (Strong bullish momentum)
- Strong Buy Zone: 12-20 (Moderate bullish momentum)
- Neutral Lower: 20-30 (Weak bullish to neutral)
- Neutral Upper: 30-40 (Weak bearish to neutral)
- Strong Sell Zone: 40-50 (Moderate bearish momentum)
- Super Sell Zone: 50+ (Strong bearish momentum)
DIVERGENCE SETTINGS:
- Bullish Divergence Level: 12 (Minimum level for detection)
- Bearish Divergence Level: 35 (Maximum level for detection)
- Hidden Divergence: Enabled by default for professional signals
USAGE INSTRUCTIONS:
1. BASIC SETUP:
- Apply to any chart timeframe
- Default settings work well for most markets
- Adjust RSI period for different market conditions
2. SIGNAL INTERPRETATION:
- Green triangles: Bullish divergence signals (buy opportunities)
- Red triangles: Bearish divergence signals (sell opportunities)
- X-cross symbols: Hidden divergence signals (stronger signals)
- Circle markers: Fractal peak/valley points
3. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFIRMATION:
- Enable signal table for comprehensive analysis
- Look for signal alignment across multiple timeframes
- Use "NOW" indicators for current signal detection
- Monitor Sniper values for trend confirmation
4. RISK MANAGEMENT:
- Use divergences as confirmation, not standalone signals
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
- Set appropriate stop-loss levels
- Consider market context and volatility
ADVANTAGES:
1. ACCURACY: Fractal-based detection reduces false signals
2. VERSATILITY: Works across all market types and timeframes
3. VISIBILITY: Clear visual feedback with neon color scheme
4. COMPREHENSIVE: Multi-timeframe analysis in single indicator
5. PROFESSIONAL: Advanced algorithms suitable for serious traders
6. CUSTOMIZABLE: Extensive parameter adjustment options
LIMITATIONS:
1. LAG: Higher RSI periods may introduce signal delay
2. FALSE SIGNALS: Market noise can generate occasional false positives
3. CONTEXT DEPENDENT: Requires market condition consideration
4. LEARNING CURVE: Advanced features require understanding
RECOMMENDED MARKETS:
- Forex pairs (all timeframes)
- Cryptocurrencies (4h and daily preferred)
- Stock indices (daily and weekly)
- Commodities (4h and daily)
RISK DISCLAIMER:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS:
- TradingView Pro or higher recommended
- Pine Script v6 compatible
- Stable internet connection for real-time data
- Sufficient chart history for accurate calculations
This indicator represents a significant advancement in divergence detection technology, combining traditional RSI concepts with modern fractal analysis to provide traders with a comprehensive tool for identifying high-probability trading opportunities across multiple timeframes.
Price Action 101 Pro3-in-1 Price Action Pro: Complete Trading System
The Ultimate All-in-One Price Action, Support & Resistance, and Break & Retest Professional Trading Suite
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🤔 What Makes This Indicator Unique?
This is the only indicator you'll ever need for complete price action mastery.
Unlike traditional single-purpose tools, the 3-in-1 Price Action Pro combines three essential trading methodologies into one seamlessly integrated system. This isn't just another indicator collection—it's a sophisticated trading ecosystem that automatically detects market structure shifts, identifies dynamic and static support/resistance levels, and signals high-probability break and retest opportunities across multiple timeframes simultaneously.
The 3-in-1 Price Action Pro is your complete price action trading command center.
This revolutionary all-in-one system eliminates the need for multiple indicators cluttering your charts. By combining advanced swing point detection, multi-timeframe support and resistance analysis, and professional-grade break & retest signals into one unified tool, you get institutional-level market analysis with the simplicity of a single indicator. Whether you're scalping 1-minute charts or swing trading daily timeframes, this comprehensive suite adapts to your strategy while maintaining the clean, professional presentation that serious traders demand.
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📊 Core Swing Point Detection System (Price Action Module)
Multi-Length Swing Point Analysis Engine
Transform your market structure analysis with our proprietary multi-length swing detection algorithm. This advanced system simultaneously monitors multiple swing lengths, creating a layered view of market dynamics that captures everything from minor intraday reversals to major trend shifts across multiple time horizons.
Intelligent Swing Point Classification:
- HH (Higher High) - Bullish momentum confirmation
- HL (Higher Low) - Uptrend structure validation
- LH (Lower High) - Bearish momentum signal
- LL (Lower Low) - Downtrend confirmation
The system instantly reveals current market structure by automatically labelling the relationship between consecutive swing points—absolutely crucial for professional trend analysis and strategic trade planning.
Advanced Visual Display Features
Dynamic Swing Point Breakout Lines
Our breakthrough visualization system plots intelligent breakout lines based on recent swing point activity, providing crystal-clear identification of:
- Critical structure shift moments
- High-probability breakout and reversal levels
- Precise entry and exit timing signals
Professional Moving Average Integration
- Standard SMA: Dynamic trend direction with built-in support/resistance functionality
- Exclusive 20SMA River: Creates a flowing price channel system that highlights average price movement range, assists in trend channel trading, and identifies high-probability mean reversion zones
Enhanced Daily Trend Display System
Revolutionary Multi-Mode Trend Analysis
Choose from three powerful trend analysis modes tailored to your trading style:
✅ Real-Time Mode: Live trend updates for scalpers and day traders requiring instant market feedback
✅ Daily Close Mode: Confirmed daily candle analysis perfect for swing traders seeking noise-free signals
✅ Both Mode: Side-by-side comparison display for traders demanding complete market context
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🎯 Multi-Timeframe Support & Resistance Detection System
Automated Dual-Layer S&R Technology
Experience the power of our advanced support and resistance detection engine that automatically identifies and plots critical price levels across multiple timeframes with institutional-grade precision.
Daily Support & Resistance Levels (Automated)
- Proprietary algorithm uses advanced high/low analysis to generate precise support and resistance zones
- Dynamic colour-changing technology when price interacts with levels
- Fully customizable lookback periods optimized for timeframes from 4H down to 1M
- Professional visual zone creation around key institutional price areas
Higher Timeframe Support & Resistance Integration (Automated)
- Intelligent auto-updating system based on higher timeframe swing point analysis
- Perfect for establishing longer-term bias and strategic positioning
- Independent customization settings separate from daily level analysis
- Optimized performance for timeframes from Daily down to 1H
Weekly Separator Integration
Visual weekly separators enhance time-based analysis, helping you maintain proper temporal context for all support and resistance decisions.
Professional Applications
- Multi-timeframe confluence analysis for high-probability setups
- Institutional price level identification for trading with the smart money
- Enhanced bounce and breakout opportunity detection
- Precise stop-loss and take-profit placement** based on actual market structure
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🚀 Break & Retest Pro: Advanced Strategy Signal System
Professional Break & Retest Detection Engine
Transform your breakout trading with our sophisticated break and retest identification system. This advanced module combines cutting-edge price action analysis with visual trend confirmation and automated signal generation for executing proven high-probability strategies with institutional-level precision.
Multi-Timeframe Break Analysis Technology
- Advanced break point detection across multiple sensitivity levels
- Dynamic line plotting system visualizes key support and resistance violations
- Real-time identification of significant price structure breaks
- Intelligent filtering eliminates false breakouts and focuses on high-conviction setups
Exclusive SMA River Analysis System
- Professional-grade SMA River with advanced price smoothing algorithms
- Creates dynamic support and resistance channels perfect for river strategy implementation
- Fully customizable transparency and colour schemes for optimal chart clarity
- Visual "river" channel flow identifies trend direction and critical price interaction zones
Integrated Daily Support & Resistance Automation
- Optional automated daily S&R detection and plotting system
- Precision calculation of key daily support and resistance zones
- Clean, professional line display with complete customization control
- Perfect complement to dynamic river levels for comprehensive institutional-style analysis
Advanced Signal Generation
Professional Visual Trading Signals
- Crystal-clear buy/sell arrow indicators for instant trade identification
- Fully customizable arrow display with complete toggle control
- Intelligent color-coded signals that adapt to real-time market conditions
Real-Time Trend Direction Display
- Live trend status table showing current market momentum
- Daily timeframe trend analysis for enhanced probability setups
- Professional customizable colour schemes for all market conditions
Complete Professional Customization Suite
- Adjustable line styles (Solid, Dashed, Dotted) for personal preference
- Full colour customization for all visual elements
- Clean, uncluttered professional chart presentation
- Organized settings interface for efficient configuration
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⚡ Why Choose 3-in-1 Price Action Pro?
Complete Trading System Integration:
This isn't just another indicator—it's a complete price action trading ecosystem that replaces multiple tools with one professional-grade solution.
Institutional-Level Analysis:
Access the same level of market structure analysis used by professional trading firms, but simplified for individual trader implementation.
Multi-Strategy Compatibility:
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, swing trader, or position trader, this system adapts to your methodology while maintaining consistent professional-grade analysis.
Clean Professional Presentation: Maintain uncluttered charts while accessing comprehensive market analysis—perfect for traders who demand both functionality and visual clarity.
Proven Methodology Integration: Based on time-tested price action principles combined with modern algorithmic precision for the ultimate trading advantage.
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🎯 Perfect For All Trading Styles
- Day Traders: Real-time structure analysis with instant breakout detection
- Swing Traders: Multi-day level analysis with confirmed trend direction
- Scalpers: Fast structure shifts with clean entry/exit visualization
- Position Traders: Long-term trend confirmation with strategic level identification
- All Experience Levels: Intuitive visual signals suitable for beginners to professionals
Stop using multiple indicators that conflict with each other. Start trading with the only system that gives you complete price action mastery in one professional package.
Diamond Peaks [EdgeTerminal]The Diamond Peaks indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool that uses a few mathematical models to identify high-probability trading opportunities. This indicator goes beyond traditional support and resistance identification by incorporating volume analysis, momentum divergences, advanced price action patterns, and market sentiment indicators to generate premium-quality buy and sell signals.
Dynamic Support/Resistance Calculation
The indicator employs an adaptive algorithm that calculates support and resistance levels using a volatility-adjusted lookback period. The base calculation uses ta.highest(length) and ta.lowest(length) functions, where the length parameter is dynamically adjusted using the formula: adjusted_length = base_length * (1 + (volatility_ratio - 1) * volatility_factor). The volatility ratio is computed as current_ATR / average_ATR over a 50-period window, ensuring the lookback period expands during volatile conditions and contracts during calm periods. This mathematical approach prevents the indicator from using fixed periods that may become irrelevant during different market regimes.
Momentum Divergence Detection Algorithm
The divergence detection system uses a mathematical comparison between price series and oscillator values over a specified lookback period. For bullish divergences, the algorithm identifies when recent_low < previous_low while simultaneously indicator_at_recent_low > indicator_at_previous_low. The inverse logic applies to bearish divergences. The system tracks both RSI (calculated using Pine Script's standard ta.rsi() function with Wilder's smoothing) and MACD (using ta.macd() with exponential moving averages). The mathematical rigor ensures that divergences are only flagged when there's a clear mathematical relationship between price momentum and the underlying oscillator momentum, eliminating false signals from minor price fluctuations.
Volume Analysis Mathematical Framework
The volume analysis component uses multiple mathematical transformations to assess market participation. The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is calculated as ∑(buying_volume - selling_volume) where buying_volume occurs when close > open and selling_volume when close < open. The relative volume calculation uses current_volume / ta.sma(volume, period) to normalize current activity against historical averages. Volume Rate of Change employs ta.roc(volume, period) = (current_volume - volume ) / volume * 100 to measure volume acceleration. Large trade detection uses a threshold multiplier against the volume moving average, mathematically identifying institutional activity when relative_volume > threshold_multiplier.
Advanced Price Action Mathematics
The Wyckoff analysis component uses mathematical volume climax detection by comparing current volume against ta.highest(volume, 50) * 0.8, while price compression is measured using (high - low) < ta.atr(20) * 0.5. Liquidity sweep detection employs percentage-based calculations: bullish sweeps occur when low < recent_low * (1 - threshold_percentage/100) followed by close > recent_low. Supply and demand zones are mathematically validated by tracking subsequent price action over a defined period, with zone strength calculated as the count of bars where price respects the zone boundaries. Fair value gaps are identified using ATR-based thresholds: gap_size > ta.atr(14) * 0.5.
Sentiment and Market Regime Mathematics
The sentiment analysis employs a multi-factor mathematical model. The fear/greed index uses volatility normalization: 100 - min(100, stdev(price_changes, period) * scaling_factor). Market regime classification uses EMA crossover mathematics with additional ADX-based trend strength validation. The trend strength calculation implements a modified ADX algorithm: DX = |+DI - -DI| / (+DI + -DI) * 100, then ADX = RMA(DX, period). Bull regime requires short_EMA > long_EMA AND ADX > 25 AND +DI > -DI. The mathematical framework ensures objective regime classification without subjective interpretation.
Confluence Scoring Mathematical Model
The confluence scoring system uses a weighted linear combination: Score = (divergence_component * 0.25) + (volume_component * 0.25) + (price_action_component * 0.25) + (sentiment_component * 0.25) + contextual_bonuses. Each component is normalized to a 0-100 scale using percentile rankings and threshold comparisons. The mathematical model ensures that no single component can dominate the score, while contextual bonuses (regime alignment, volume confirmation, etc.) provide additional mathematical weight when multiple factors align. The final score is bounded using math.min(100, math.max(0, calculated_score)) to maintain mathematical consistency.
Vitality Field Mathematical Implementation
The vitality field uses a multi-factor scoring algorithm that combines trend direction (EMA crossover: trend_score = fast_EMA > slow_EMA ? 1 : -1), momentum (RSI-based: momentum_score = RSI > 50 ? 1 : -1), MACD position (macd_score = MACD_line > 0 ? 1 : -1), and volume confirmation. The final vitality score uses weighted mathematics: vitality_score = (trend * 0.4) + (momentum * 0.3) + (macd * 0.2) + (volume * 0.1). The field boundaries are calculated using ATR-based dynamic ranges: upper_boundary = price_center + (ATR * user_defined_multiplier), with EMA smoothing applied to prevent erratic boundary movements. The gradient effect uses mathematical transparency interpolation across multiple zones.
Signal Generation Mathematical Logic
The signal generation employs boolean algebra with multiple mathematical conditions that must simultaneously evaluate to true. Buy signals require: (confluence_score ≥ threshold) AND (divergence_detected = true) AND (relative_volume > 1.5) AND (volume_ROC > 25%) AND (RSI < 35) AND (trend_strength > minimum_ADX) AND (regime = bullish) AND (cooldown_expired = true) AND (last_signal ≠ buy). The mathematical precision ensures that signals only generate when all quantitative conditions are met, eliminating subjective interpretation. The cooldown mechanism uses bar counting mathematics: bars_since_last_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index ≥ cooldown_period. This mathematical framework provides objective, repeatable signal generation that can be backtested and validated statistically.
This mathematical foundation ensures the indicator operates on objective, quantifiable principles rather than subjective interpretation, making it suitable for algorithmic trading and systematic analysis while maintaining transparency in its computational methodology.
* for now, we're planning to keep the source code private as we try to improve the models used here and allow a small group to test them. My goal is to eventually use the multiple models in this indicator as their own free and open source indicators. If you'd like to use this indicator, please send me a message to get access.
Advanced Confluence Scoring System
Each support and resistance level receives a comprehensive confluence score (0-100) based on four weighted components:
Momentum Divergences (25% weight)
RSI and MACD divergence detection
Identifies momentum shifts before price reversals
Bullish/bearish divergence confirmation
Volume Analysis (25% weight)
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) analysis
Volume Rate of Change monitoring
Large trade detection (institutional activity)
Volume profile strength assessment
Advanced Price Action (25% weight)
Supply and demand zone identification
Liquidity sweep detection (stop hunts)
Wyckoff accumulation/distribution patterns
Fair value gap analysis
Market Sentiment (25% weight)
Fear/Greed index calculation
Market regime classification (Bull/Bear/Sideways)
Trend strength measurement (ADX-like)
Momentum regime alignment
Dynamic Support and Resistance Detection
The indicator uses an adaptive algorithm to identify significant support and resistance levels based on recent market highs and lows. Unlike static levels, these zones adjust dynamically to market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR), ensuring the levels remain relevant across different market conditions.
Vitality Field Background
The indicator features a unique vitality field that provides instant visual feedback about market sentiment:
Green zones: Bullish market conditions with strong momentum
Red zones: Bearish market conditions with weak momentum
Gray zones: Neutral/sideways market conditions
The vitality field uses a sophisticated gradient system that fades from the center outward, creating a clean, professional appearance that doesn't overwhelm the chart while providing valuable context.
Buy Signals (🚀 BUY)
Buy signals are generated when ALL of the following conditions are met:
Valid support level with confluence score ≥ 80
Bullish momentum divergence detected (RSI or MACD)
Volume confirmation (1.5x average volume + 25% volume ROC)
Bull market regime environment
RSI below 35 (oversold conditions)
Price action confirmation (Wyckoff accumulation, liquidity sweep, or large buying volume)
Minimum trend strength (ADX > 25)
Signal alternation check (prevents consecutive buy signals)
Cooldown period expired (default 10 bars)
Sell Signals (🔻 SELL)
Sell signals are generated when ALL of the following conditions are met:
Valid resistance level with confluence score ≥ 80
Bearish momentum divergence detected (RSI or MACD)
Volume confirmation (1.5x average volume + 25% volume ROC)
Bear market regime environment
RSI above 65 (overbought conditions)
Price action confirmation (Wyckoff distribution, liquidity sweep, or large selling volume)
Minimum trend strength (ADX > 25)
Signal alternation check (prevents consecutive sell signals)
Cooldown period expired (default 10 bars)
How to Use the Indicator
1. Signal Quality Assessment
Monitor the confluence scores in the information table:
Score 90-100: Exceptional quality levels (A+ grade)
Score 80-89: High quality levels (A grade)
Score 70-79: Good quality levels (B grade)
Score below 70: Weak levels (filtered out by default)
2. Market Context Analysis
Use the vitality field and market regime information to understand the broader market context:
Trade buy signals in green vitality zones during bull regimes
Trade sell signals in red vitality zones during bear regimes
Exercise caution in gray zones (sideways markets)
3. Entry and Exit Strategy
For Buy Signals:
Enter long positions when premium buy signals appear
Place stop loss below the support confluence zone
Target the next resistance level or use a risk/reward ratio of 2:1 or higher
For Sell Signals:
Enter short positions when premium sell signals appear
Place stop loss above the resistance confluence zone
Target the next support level or use a risk/reward ratio of 2:1 or higher
4. Risk Management
Only trade signals with confluence scores above 80
Respect the signal alternation system (no overtrading)
Use appropriate position sizing based on signal quality
Consider the overall market regime before taking trades
Customizable Settings
Signal Generation Controls
Signal Filtering: Enable/disable advanced filtering
Confluence Threshold: Adjust minimum score requirement (70-95)
Cooldown Period: Set bars between signals (5-50)
Volume/Momentum Requirements: Toggle confirmation requirements
Trend Strength: Minimum ADX requirement (15-40)
Vitality Field Options
Enable/Disable: Control background field display
Transparency Settings: Adjust opacity for center and edges
Field Size: Control the field boundaries (3.0-20.0)
Color Customization: Set custom colors for bullish/bearish/neutral states
Weight Adjustments
Divergence Weight: Adjust momentum component influence (10-40%)
Volume Weight: Adjust volume component influence (10-40%)
Price Action Weight: Adjust price action component influence (10-40%)
Sentiment Weight: Adjust sentiment component influence (10-40%)
Best Practices
Always wait for complete signal confirmation before entering trades
Use higher timeframes for signal validation and context
Combine with proper risk management and position sizing
Monitor the information table for real-time market analysis
Pay attention to volume confirmation for higher probability trades
Respect market regime alignment for optimal results
Basic Settings
Base Length (Default: 25)
Controls the lookback period for identifying support and resistance levels
Range: 5-100 bars
Lower values = More responsive, shorter-term levels
Higher values = More stable, longer-term levels
Recommendation: 25 for intraday, 50 for swing trading
Enable Adaptive Length (Default: True)
Automatically adjusts the base length based on market volatility
When enabled, length increases in volatile markets and decreases in calm markets
Helps maintain relevant levels across different market conditions
Volatility Factor (Default: 1.5)
Controls how much the adaptive length responds to volatility changes
Range: 0.5-3.0
Higher values = More aggressive length adjustments
Lower values = More conservative length adjustments
Volume Profile Settings
VWAP Length (Default: 200)
Sets the calculation period for the Volume Weighted Average Price
Range: 50-500 bars
Shorter periods = More responsive to recent price action
Longer periods = More stable reference line
Used for volume profile analysis and confluence scoring
Volume MA Length (Default: 50)
Period for calculating the volume moving average baseline
Range: 10-200 bars
Used to determine relative volume (current volume vs. average)
Shorter periods = More sensitive to volume changes
Longer periods = More stable volume baseline
High Volume Node Threshold (Default: 1.5)
Multiplier for identifying significant volume spikes
Range: 1.0-3.0
Values above this threshold mark high-volume nodes with diamond shapes
Lower values = More frequent high-volume signals
Higher values = Only extreme volume events marked
Momentum Divergence Settings
Enable Divergence Detection (Default: True)
Master switch for momentum divergence analysis
When disabled, removes divergence from confluence scoring
Significantly impacts signal generation quality
RSI Length (Default: 14)
Period for RSI calculation used in divergence detection
Range: 5-50
Standard RSI settings apply (14 is most common)
Shorter periods = More sensitive, more signals
Longer periods = Smoother, fewer but more reliable signals
MACD Settings
Fast (Default: 12): Fast EMA period for MACD calculation (5-50)
Slow (Default: 26): Slow EMA period for MACD calculation (10-100)
Signal (Default: 9): Signal line EMA period (3-20)
Standard MACD settings for divergence detection
Divergence Lookback (Default: 5)
Number of bars to look back when detecting divergences
Range: 3-20
Shorter periods = More frequent divergence signals
Longer periods = More significant divergence signals
Volume Analysis Enhancement Settings
Enable Advanced Volume Analysis (Default: True)
Master control for sophisticated volume calculations
Includes CVD, volume ROC, and large trade detection
Critical for signal accuracy
Cumulative Volume Delta Length (Default: 20)
Period for CVD smoothing calculation
Range: 10-100
Tracks buying vs. selling pressure over time
Shorter periods = More reactive to recent flows
Longer periods = Broader trend perspective
Volume ROC Length (Default: 10)
Period for Volume Rate of Change calculation
Range: 5-50
Measures volume acceleration/deceleration
Key component in volume confirmation requirements
Large Trade Volume Threshold (Default: 2.0)
Multiplier for identifying institutional-size trades
Range: 1.5-5.0
Trades above this threshold marked as large trades
Lower values = More frequent large trade signals
Higher values = Only extreme institutional activity
Advanced Price Action Settings
Enable Wyckoff Analysis (Default: True)
Activates simplified Wyckoff accumulation/distribution detection
Identifies potential smart money positioning
Important for high-quality signal generation
Enable Supply/Demand Zones (Default: True)
Identifies fresh supply and demand zones
Tracks zone strength based on subsequent price action
Enhances confluence scoring accuracy
Enable Liquidity Analysis (Default: True)
Detects liquidity sweeps and stop hunts
Identifies fake breakouts vs. genuine moves
Critical for avoiding false signals
Zone Strength Period (Default: 20)
Bars used to assess supply/demand zone strength
Range: 10-50
Longer periods = More thorough zone validation
Shorter periods = Faster zone assessment
Liquidity Sweep Threshold (Default: 0.5%)
Percentage move required to confirm liquidity sweep
Range: 0.1-2.0%
Lower values = More sensitive sweep detection
Higher values = Only significant sweeps detected
Sentiment and Flow Settings
Enable Sentiment Analysis (Default: True)
Master control for market sentiment calculations
Includes fear/greed index and regime classification
Important for market context assessment
Fear/Greed Period (Default: 20)
Calculation period for market sentiment indicator
Range: 10-50
Based on price volatility and momentum
Shorter periods = More reactive sentiment readings
Momentum Regime Length (Default: 50)
Period for determining overall market regime
Range: 20-100
Classifies market as Bull/Bear/Sideways
Longer periods = More stable regime classification
Trend Strength Length (Default: 30)
Period for ADX-like trend strength calculation
Range: 10-100
Measures directional momentum intensity
Used in signal filtering requirements
Advanced Signal Generation Settings
Enable Signal Filtering (Default: True)
Master control for premium signal generation system
When disabled, uses basic signal conditions
Highly recommended to keep enabled
Minimum Signal Confluence Score (Default: 80)
Required confluence score for signal generation
Range: 70-95
Higher values = Fewer but higher quality signals
Lower values = More frequent but potentially lower quality signals
Signal Cooldown (Default: 10 bars)
Minimum bars between signals of same type
Range: 5-50
Prevents signal spam and overtrading
Higher values = More conservative signal spacing
Require Volume Confirmation (Default: True)
Mandates volume requirements for signal generation
Requires 1.5x average volume + 25% volume ROC
Critical for signal quality
Require Momentum Confirmation (Default: True)
Mandates divergence detection for signals
Ensures momentum backing for directional moves
Essential for high-probability setups
Minimum Trend Strength (Default: 25)
Required ADX level for signal generation
Range: 15-40
Ensures signals occur in trending markets
Higher values = Only strong trending conditions
Confluence Scoring Settings
Minimum Confluence Score (Default: 70)
Threshold for displaying support/resistance levels
Range: 50-90
Levels below this score are filtered out
Higher values = Only strongest levels shown
Component Weights (Default: 25% each)
Divergence Weight: Momentum component influence (10-40%)
Volume Weight: Volume analysis influence (10-40%)
Price Action Weight: Price patterns influence (10-40%)
Sentiment Weight: Market sentiment influence (10-40%)
Must total 100% for balanced scoring
Vitality Field Settings
Enable Vitality Field (Default: True)
Controls the background gradient field display
Provides instant visual market sentiment feedback
Enhances chart readability and context
Vitality Center Transparency (Default: 85%)
Opacity at the center of the vitality field
Range: 70-95%
Lower values = More opaque center
Higher values = More transparent center
Vitality Edge Transparency (Default: 98%)
Opacity at the edges of the vitality field
Range: 95-99%
Creates smooth fade effect from center to edges
Higher values = More subtle edge appearance
Vitality Field Size (Default: 8.0)
Controls the overall size of the vitality field
Range: 3.0-20.0
Based on ATR multiples for dynamic sizing
Lower values = Tighter field around price
Higher values = Broader field coverage
Recommended Settings by Trading Style
Scalping (1-5 minutes)
Base Length: 15
Volume MA Length: 20
Signal Cooldown: 5 bars
Vitality Field Size: 5.0
Higher sensitivity for quick moves
Day Trading (15-60 minutes)
Base Length: 25 (default)
Volume MA Length: 50 (default)
Signal Cooldown: 10 bars (default)
Vitality Field Size: 8.0 (default)
Balanced settings for intraday moves
Swing Trading (4H-Daily)
Base Length: 50
Volume MA Length: 100
Signal Cooldown: 20 bars
Vitality Field Size: 12.0
Longer-term perspective for multi-day moves
Conservative Trading
Minimum Signal Confluence: 85
Minimum Confluence Score: 80
Require all confirmations: True
Higher thresholds for maximum quality
Aggressive Trading
Minimum Signal Confluence: 75
Minimum Confluence Score: 65
Signal Cooldown: 5 bars
Lower thresholds for more opportunities
Hidden Markov Model [Extension] | FractalystWhat's the indicator's purpose and functionality?
The Hidden Markov Model is specifically designed to integrate with the Quantify Trading Model framework, serving as a probabilistic market regime identification system for institutional trading analysis.
Hidden Markov Models are particularly well-suited for market regime detection because they can model the unobservable (hidden) state of the market, capture probabilistic transitions between different states, and account for observable market data that each state generates.
The indicator uses Hidden Markov Model mathematics to automatically detect distinct market regimes such as low-volatility bull markets, high-volatility bear markets, or range-bound consolidation periods.
This approach provides real-time regime probabilities without requiring optimization periods that can lead to overfitting, enabling systematic trading based on genuine probabilistic market structure.
How does this extension work with the Quantify Trading Model?
The Hidden Markov Model | Fractalyst serves as a probabilistic state estimation engine for systematic market analysis.
Instead of relying on traditional technical indicators, this system automatically identifies market regimes using forward algorithm implementation with three-state probability calculation (bullish/neutral/bearish), Viterbi decoding process for determining most likely regime sequence without repainting, online parameter learning with adaptive emission probabilities based on market observations, and multi-feature analysis combining normalized returns, volatility comprehensive regime assessment.
The indicator outputs regime probabilities and confidence levels that can be used for systematic trading decisions, portfolio allocation, or risk management protocols.
Why doesn't this use optimization periods like other indicators?
The Hidden Markov Model | Fractalyst deliberately avoids optimization periods to prevent overfitting bias that destroys out-of-sample performance.
The system uses a fixed mathematical framework based on Hidden Markov Model theory rather than optimized parameters, probabilistic state estimation using forward algorithm calculations that work across all market conditions, online learning methodology with adaptive parameter updates based on real-time market observations, and regime persistence modeling using fixed transition probabilities with 70% diagonal bias for realistic regime behavior.
This approach ensures the regime detection signals remain robust across different market cycles without the performance degradation typical of over-optimized traditional indicators.
Can this extension be used independently for discretionary trading?
No, the Hidden Markov Model | Fractalyst is specifically engineered for systematic implementation within institutional trading frameworks.
The indicator is designed to provide regime filtering for systematic trading algorithms and risk management systems, enable automated backtesting through mathematical regime identification without subjective interpretation, and support institutional-level analysis when combined with systematic entry/exit models.
Using this indicator independently would miss the primary value proposition of systematic regime-based strategy optimization that institutional frameworks provide.
How do I integrate this with the Quantify Trading Model?
Integration enables institutional-grade systematic trading through advanced machine learning and statistical validation:
- Add both HMM Extension and Quantify Trading Model to your chart
- Select HMM Extension as the bias source using input.source()
- Quantify automatically uses the extension's bias signals for entry/exit analysis
- The built-in machine learning algorithms score optimal entry and exit levels based on trend intensity, and market structure patterns identified by the extension
The extension handles all bias detection complexity while Quantify focuses on optimal trade timing, position sizing, and risk management along with PineConnector automation
What markets and assets does the indicator Extension work best on?
The Hidden Markov Model | Fractalyst performs optimally on markets with sufficient price movement since the system relies on statistical analysis of returns, volatility, and momentum patterns for regime identification.
Recommended asset classes include major forex pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY) with high liquidity and clear regime transitions, stock index futures (ES, NQ, YM) providing consistent regime behavior patterns, individual equities (large-cap stocks with sufficient volatility for regime detection), cryptocurrency markets (BTC, ETH with pronounced regime characteristics), and commodity futures (GC, CL showing distinct market cycles and regime transitions).
These markets provide sufficient statistical variation in returns and volatility patterns, ensuring the HMM system's mathematical framework can effectively distinguish between bullish, neutral, and bearish regime states.
Any timeframe from 15-minute to daily charts provides sufficient data points for regime calculation, with higher timeframes (4H, Daily) typically showing more stable regime identification with fewer false transitions, while lower timeframes (30m, 1H) provide more responsive regime detection but may show increased noise.
Acceptable Timeframes and Portfolio Integration:
- Any timeframe that can be evaluated within Quantify Trading Model's backtesting engine is acceptable for live trading implementation.
Legal Disclaimers and Risk Acknowledgments
Trading Risk Disclosure
The HMM Extension is provided for informational, educational, and systematic bias detection purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. The extension provides institutional analysis but does not guarantee profitable outcomes, accurate bias predictions, or positive investment returns.
Trading systems utilizing bias detection algorithms carry substantial risks including but not limited to total capital loss, incorrect bias identification, market regime changes, and adverse conditions that may invalidate analysis. The extension's performance depends on accurate data, TradingView infrastructure stability, and proper integration with Quantify Trading Model, any of which may experience data errors, technical failures, or service interruptions that could affect bias detection accuracy.
System Dependency Acknowledgment
The extension requires continuous operation of multiple interconnected systems: TradingView charts and real-time data feeds, accurate reporting from exchanges, Quantify Trading Model integration, and stable platform connectivity. Any interruption or malfunction in these systems may result in incorrect bias signals, missed transitions, or unexpected analytical behavior.
Users acknowledge that neither Fractalyst nor the creator has control over third-party data providers, exchange reporting accuracy, or TradingView platform stability, and cannot guarantee data accuracy, service availability, or analytical performance. Market microstructure changes, reporting delays, exchange outages, and technical factors may significantly affect bias detection accuracy compared to theoretical or backtested performance.
Intellectual Property Protection
The HMM Extension, including all proprietary algorithms, classification methodologies, three-state bias detection systems, and integration protocols, constitutes the exclusive intellectual property of Fractalyst. Unauthorized reproduction, reverse engineering, modification, or commercial exploitation of these proprietary technologies is strictly prohibited and may result in legal action.
Liability Limitation
By utilizing this extension, users acknowledge and agree that they assume full responsibility and liability for all trading decisions, financial outcomes, and potential losses resulting from reliance on the extension's bias detection signals. Fractalyst shall not be liable for any unfavorable outcomes, financial losses, missed opportunities, or damages resulting from the development, use, malfunction, or performance of this extension.
Past performance of bias detection accuracy, classification effectiveness, or integration with Quantify Trading Model does not guarantee future results. Trading outcomes depend on numerous factors including market regime changes, pattern evolution, institutional behavior shifts, and proper system configuration, all of which are beyond the control of Fractalyst.
User Responsibility Statement
Users are solely responsible for understanding the risks associated with algorithmic bias detection, properly configuring system parameters, maintaining appropriate risk management protocols, and regularly monitoring extension performance. Users should thoroughly validate the extension's bias signals through comprehensive backtesting before live implementation and should never base trading decisions solely on automated bias detection.
This extension is designed to provide systematic institutional flow analysis but does not replace the need for proper market understanding, risk management discipline, and comprehensive trading methodology. Users should maintain active oversight of bias detection accuracy and be prepared to implement manual overrides when market conditions invalidate analysis assumptions.
Terms of Service Acceptance
Continued use of the HMM Extension constitutes acceptance of these terms, acknowledgment of associated risks, and agreement to respect all intellectual property protections. Users assume full responsibility for compliance with applicable laws and regulations governing automated trading system usage in their jurisdiction.
Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator# Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator (RAMO): Momentum Analysis with Integrated Risk Assessment
## 1. Introduction
Momentum indicators have been fundamental tools in technical analysis since the pioneering work of Wilder (1978) and continue to play crucial roles in systematic trading strategies (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). However, traditional momentum oscillators suffer from a critical limitation: they fail to account for the risk context in which momentum signals occur. This oversight can lead to significant drawdowns during periods of market stress, as documented extensively in the behavioral finance literature (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Shefrin & Statman, 1985).
The Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator addresses this gap by incorporating real-time drawdown metrics into momentum calculations, creating a self-regulating system that automatically adjusts signal sensitivity based on current risk conditions. This approach aligns with modern portfolio theory's emphasis on risk-adjusted returns (Markowitz, 1952) and reflects the sophisticated risk management practices employed by institutional investors (Ang, 2014).
## 2. Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Momentum Theory and Market Anomalies
The momentum effect, first systematically documented by Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), represents one of the most robust anomalies in financial markets. Subsequent research has confirmed momentum's persistence across various asset classes, time horizons, and geographic markets (Fama & French, 1996; Asness, Moskowitz & Pedersen, 2013). However, momentum strategies are characterized by significant time-varying risk, with particularly severe drawdowns during market reversals (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
### 2.2 Drawdown Analysis and Risk Management
Maximum drawdown, defined as the peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, serves as a critical risk metric in professional portfolio management (Calmar, 1991). Research by Chekhlov, Uryasev & Zabarankin (2005) demonstrates that drawdown-based risk measures provide superior downside protection compared to traditional volatility metrics. The integration of drawdown analysis into momentum calculations represents a natural evolution toward more sophisticated risk-aware indicators.
### 2.3 Adaptive Smoothing and Market Regimes
The concept of adaptive smoothing in technical analysis draws from the broader literature on regime-switching models in finance (Hamilton, 1989). Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (1995) pioneered the application of efficiency ratios to adjust indicator responsiveness based on market conditions. RAMO extends this concept by incorporating volatility-based adaptive smoothing, allowing the indicator to respond more quickly during high-volatility periods while maintaining stability during quiet markets.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Core Algorithm Design
The RAMO algorithm consists of several interconnected components:
#### 3.1.1 Risk-Adjusted Momentum Calculation
The fundamental innovation of RAMO lies in its risk adjustment mechanism:
Risk_Factor = 1 - (Current_Drawdown / Maximum_Drawdown × Scaling_Factor)
Risk_Adjusted_Momentum = Raw_Momentum × max(Risk_Factor, 0.05)
This formulation ensures that momentum signals are dampened during periods of high drawdown relative to historical maximums, implementing an automatic risk management overlay as advocated by modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952).
#### 3.1.2 Multi-Algorithm Momentum Framework
RAMO supports three distinct momentum calculation methods:
1. Rate of Change: Traditional percentage-based momentum (Pring, 2002)
2. Price Momentum: Absolute price differences
3. Log Returns: Logarithmic returns preferred for volatile assets (Campbell, Lo & MacKinlay, 1997)
This multi-algorithm approach accommodates different asset characteristics and volatility profiles, addressing the heterogeneity documented in cross-sectional momentum studies (Asness et al., 2013).
### 3.2 Leading Indicator Components
#### 3.2.1 Momentum Acceleration Analysis
The momentum acceleration component calculates the second derivative of momentum, providing early signals of trend changes:
Momentum_Acceleration = EMA(Momentum_t - Momentum_{t-n}, n)
This approach draws from the physics concept of acceleration and has been applied successfully in financial time series analysis (Treadway, 1969).
#### 3.2.2 Linear Regression Prediction
RAMO incorporates linear regression-based prediction to project momentum values forward:
Predicted_Momentum = LinReg_Value + (LinReg_Slope × Forward_Offset)
This predictive component aligns with the literature on technical analysis forecasting (Lo, Mamaysky & Wang, 2000) and provides leading signals for trend changes.
#### 3.2.3 Volume-Based Exhaustion Detection
The exhaustion detection algorithm identifies potential reversal points by analyzing the relationship between momentum extremes and volume patterns:
Exhaustion = |Momentum| > Threshold AND Volume < SMA(Volume, 20)
This approach reflects the established principle that sustainable price movements require volume confirmation (Granville, 1963; Arms, 1989).
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization and Robustness
RAMO employs Z-score normalization with outlier protection to ensure statistical robustness:
Z_Score = (Value - Mean) / Standard_Deviation
Normalized_Value = max(-3.5, min(3.5, Z_Score))
This normalization approach follows best practices in quantitative finance for handling extreme observations (Taleb, 2007) and ensures consistent signal interpretation across different market conditions.
### 3.4 Adaptive Threshold Calculation
Dynamic thresholds are calculated using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Upper_Threshold = Mean + (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
Lower_Threshold = Mean - (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
This adaptive approach ensures that signal thresholds adjust to changing market volatility, addressing the critique of fixed thresholds in technical analysis (Taylor & Allen, 1992).
## 4. Implementation Details
### 4.1 Adaptive Smoothing Algorithm
The adaptive smoothing mechanism adjusts the exponential moving average alpha parameter based on market volatility:
Volatility_Percentile = Percentrank(Volatility, 100)
Adaptive_Alpha = Min_Alpha + ((Max_Alpha - Min_Alpha) × Volatility_Percentile / 100)
This approach ensures faster response during volatile periods while maintaining smoothness during stable conditions, implementing the adaptive efficiency concept pioneered by Kaufman (1995).
### 4.2 Risk Environment Classification
RAMO classifies market conditions into three risk environments:
- Low Risk: Current_DD < 30% × Max_DD
- Medium Risk: 30% × Max_DD ≤ Current_DD < 70% × Max_DD
- High Risk: Current_DD ≥ 70% × Max_DD
This classification system enables conditional signal generation, with long signals filtered during high-risk periods—a approach consistent with institutional risk management practices (Ang, 2014).
## 5. Signal Generation and Interpretation
### 5.1 Entry Signal Logic
RAMO generates enhanced entry signals through multiple confirmation layers:
1. Primary Signal: Crossover between indicator and signal line
2. Risk Filter: Confirmation of favorable risk environment for long positions
3. Leading Component: Early warning signals via acceleration analysis
4. Exhaustion Filter: Volume-based reversal detection
This multi-layered approach addresses the false signal problem common in traditional technical indicators (Brock, Lakonishok & LeBaron, 1992).
### 5.2 Divergence Analysis
RAMO incorporates both traditional and leading divergence detection:
- Traditional Divergence: Price and indicator divergence over 3-5 periods
- Slope Divergence: Momentum slope versus price direction
- Acceleration Divergence: Changes in momentum acceleration
This comprehensive divergence analysis framework draws from Elliott Wave theory (Prechter & Frost, 1978) and momentum divergence literature (Murphy, 1999).
## 6. Empirical Advantages and Applications
### 6.1 Risk-Adjusted Performance
The risk adjustment mechanism addresses the fundamental criticism of momentum strategies: their tendency to experience severe drawdowns during market reversals (Daniel & Moskowitz, 2016). By automatically reducing position sizing during high-drawdown periods, RAMO implements a form of dynamic hedging consistent with portfolio insurance concepts (Leland, 1980).
### 6.2 Regime Awareness
RAMO's adaptive components enable regime-aware signal generation, addressing the regime-switching behavior documented in financial markets (Hamilton, 1989; Guidolin, 2011). The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on market volatility and risk conditions, providing more reliable signals across different market environments.
### 6.3 Institutional Applications
The sophisticated risk management overlay makes RAMO particularly suitable for institutional applications where drawdown control is paramount. The indicator's design philosophy aligns with the risk budgeting approaches used by hedge funds and institutional investors (Roncalli, 2013).
## 7. Limitations and Future Research
### 7.1 Parameter Sensitivity
Like all technical indicators, RAMO's performance depends on parameter selection. While default parameters are optimized for broad market applications, asset-specific calibration may enhance performance. Future research should examine optimal parameter selection across different asset classes and market conditions.
### 7.2 Market Microstructure Considerations
RAMO's effectiveness may vary across different market microstructure environments. High-frequency trading and algorithmic market making have fundamentally altered market dynamics (Aldridge, 2013), potentially affecting momentum indicator performance.
### 7.3 Transaction Cost Integration
Future enhancements could incorporate transaction cost analysis to provide net-return-based signals, addressing the implementation shortfall documented in practical momentum strategy applications (Korajczyk & Sadka, 2004).
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