Reverse Cutlers Relative Strength IndexIntroduction
The Reverse Cutlers Relative Strength Index (RCRSI) is an indicator which tells the user what price is required to give a particular Cutlers Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, or cross its Moving Average (MA) signal line.
Overview
Background & Credits:
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that was originally developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.”.
Cutler created a variation of the RSI known as “Cutlers RSI” using a different formulation to avoid an inherent accuracy problem which arises when using Wilders method of smoothing.
Further developments in the use, and more nuanced interpretations of the RSI have been developed by Cardwell, and also by well-known chartered market technician, Constance Brown C.M.T., in her acclaimed book "Technical Analysis for the Trading Professional” 1999 where she described the idea of bull and bear market ranges for RSI, and while she did not actually reveal the formulas, she introduced the concept of “reverse engineering” the RSI to give price level outputs.
Renowned financial software developer, co-author of academic books on finance, and scientific fellow to the Department of Finance and Insurance at the Technological Educational Institute of Crete, Giorgos Siligardos PHD. brought a new perspective to Wilder’s RSI when he published his excellent and well-received articles "Reverse Engineering RSI " and "Reverse Engineering RSI II " in the June 2003, and August 2003 issues of Stocks & Commodities magazine, where he described his methods of reverse engineering Wilders RSI.
Several excellent Implementations of the Reverse Wilders Relative Strength Index have been published here on Tradingview and elsewhere.
My utmost respect, and all due credits to authors of related prior works.
Introduction
It is worth noting that while the general RSI formula, and the logic dictating the UpMove and DownMove data series as described above has remained the same as the Wilders original formulation, it has been interpreted in a different way by using a different method of averaging the upward, and downward moves.
Cutler recognized the issue of data length dependency when using wilders smoothing method of calculating RSI which means that wilders standard RSI will have a potential initialization error which reduces with every new data point calculated meaning early results should be regarded as unreliable until enough calculation iterations have occurred for convergence.
Hence Cutler proposed using Simple Moving Averaging for gain and loss data which this Indicator is based on.
Having "Reverse engineered" prices for any oscillator makes the planning, and execution of strategies around that oscillator far simpler, more timely and effective.
Introducing the Reverse Cutlers RSI which consists of plotted lines on a scale of 0 to 100, and an optional infobox.
The RSI scale is divided into zones:
• Scale high (100)
• Bull critical zone (80 - 100)
• Bull control zone (62 - 80)
• Scale midline (50)
• Bear critical zone (20 - 38)
• Bear control zone (0 - 20)
• Scale low (0)
The RSI plots are:
• Cutlers RSI
• RSI MA signal line
• Test price RSI
• Alert level high
• Alert level low
The info box displays output closing price levels where Cutlers RSI value will crossover:
• Its previous value. (RSI )
• Bull critical zone.
• Bull control zone.
• Mid-Line.
• Bear control zone.
• Bear critical zone.
• RSI MA signal line
• Alert level High
• Alert level low
And also displays the resultant RSI for a user defined closing price:
• Test price RSI
The infobox outputs can be shown for the current bar close, or the next bar close.
The user can easily select which information they want in the infobox from the setttings
Importantly:
All info box price levels for the current bar are calculated immediately upon the current bar closing and a new bar opening, they will not change until the current bar closes.
All info box price levels for the next bar are projections which are continually recalculated as the current price changes, and therefore fluctuate as the current price changes.
Understanding the Relative Strength Index
At its simplest the RSI is a measure of how quickly traders are bidding the price of an asset up or down.
It does this by calculating the difference in magnitude of price gains and losses over a specific lookback period to evaluate market conditions.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that can move between two extremes) and outputs a value limited between 0 and 100.
It is typically accompanied by a moving average signal line.
Traditional interpretations
Overbought and oversold:
An RSI value of 70 or above indicates that an asset is becoming overbought (overvalued condition), and may be may be ready for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price.
An RSI value of 30 or below indicates that an asset is becoming oversold (undervalued condition), and may be may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price.
Midline Crossovers:
When the RSI crosses above its midline (RSI > 50%) a bullish bias signal is generated. (only take long trades)
When the RSI crosses below its midline (RSI < 50%) a bearish bias signal is generated. (only take short trades)
Bullish and bearish moving average signal Line crossovers:
When the RSI line crosses above its signal line, a bullish buy signal is generated
When the RSI line crosses below its signal line, a bearish sell signal is generated.
Swing Failures and classic rejection patterns:
If the RSI makes a lower high, and then follows with a downside move below the previous low, a Top Swing Failure has occurred.
If the RSI makes a higher low, and then follows with an upside move above the previous high, a Bottom Swing Failure has occurred.
Examples of classic swing rejection patterns
Bullish swing rejection pattern:
The RSI moves into oversold zone (below 30%).
The RSI rejects back out of the oversold zone (above 30%)
The RSI forms another dip without crossing back into oversold zone.
The RSI then continues the bounce to break up above the previous high.
Bearish swing rejection pattern:
The RSI moves into overbought zone (above 70%).
The RSI rejects back out of the overbought zone (below 70%)
The RSI forms another peak without crossing back into overbought zone.
The RSI then continues to break down below the previous low.
Divergences:
A regular bullish RSI divergence is when the price makes lower lows in a downtrend and the RSI indicator makes higher lows.
A regular bearish RSI divergence is when the price makes higher highs in an uptrend and the RSI indicator makes lower highs.
A hidden bullish RSI divergence is when the price makes higher lows in an uptrend and the RSI indicator makes lower lows.
A hidden bearish RSI divergence is when the price makes lower highs in a downtrend and the RSI indicator makes higher highs.
Regular divergences can signal a reversal of the trending direction.
Hidden divergences can signal a continuation in the direction of the trend.
Chart Patterns:
RSI regularly forms classic chart patterns that may not show on the underlying price chart, such as ascending and descending triangles & wedges, double tops, bottoms and trend lines etc.
Support and Resistance:
It is very often easier to define support or resistance levels on the RSI itself rather than the price chart.
Modern interpretations in trending markets:
Modern interpretations of the RSI stress the context of the greater trend when using RSI signals such as crossovers, overbought/oversold conditions, divergences and patterns.
Constance Brown, CMT, was one of the first who promoted the idea that an oversold reading on the RSI in an uptrend is likely much higher than 30%, and that an overbought reading on the RSI during a downtrend is much lower than the 70% level.
In an uptrend or bull market, the RSI tends to remain in the 40 to 90 range, with the 40-50 zone acting as support.
During a downtrend or bear market, the RSI tends to stay between the 10 to 60 range, with the 50-60 zone acting as resistance.
For ease of executing more modern and nuanced interpretations of RSI it is very useful to break the RSI scale into bull and bear control and critical zones.
These ranges will vary depending on the RSI settings and the strength of the specific market’s underlying trend.
Limitations of the RSI
Like most technical indicators, its signals are most reliable when they conform to the long-term trend.
True trend reversal signals are rare, and can be difficult to separate from false signals.
False signals or “fake-outs”, e.g. a bullish crossover, followed by a sudden decline in price, are common.
Since the indicator displays momentum, it can stay overbought or oversold for a long time when an asset has significant sustained momentum in either direction.
Data Length Dependency when using wilders smoothing method of calculating RSI means that wilders standard RSI will have a potential initialization error which reduces with every new data point calculated meaning early results should be regarded as unreliable until calculation iterations have occurred for convergence.
在腳本中搜尋"bear"
Trigrams based on Candle PatternThis script matches a Trigram for the current candle from its pattern Bullish/Bearish: Marubozu, Hammer, Inverted Hammer, Spinning Top.
The source for Trigram to candlestick pattern can be found online. I'm missing the reputation to add the link here.
Heaven = Bearish Marubozu
Earth = Bullish Marubozu
Thunder = Bearish Spinning Top
Water = Bullish Inverted Hammer
Mountain = Bullish Hammer
Wind = Bullish Spinning Top
Flame = Bearish Hammer
Lake = Bearish Inverted Hammer
The idea is simple. It takes the current candles pattern to match the Trigram.
Inspired by the Trigram Script from ByzantineSC
Anyways, not sure what use it is yet, but if there is anyone else out there interested in I Ching, Yin/Yang theory and trading, this is for you.
ATR with EOM and VORTEXThis is a strategy, designed for long trends for stock and crypto market.
Its made of ATR for volatility, EOM for volume and VORTEX for the trend direction.
In this case on the ATR, I applied an EMA to check if current position is above the EMA -> bull trend, below ema -> bear trend
For EOM I am using the positive and negative value scale, if its positive we are in a bull movement, otherwise a bear movement.
Lastly for VORTEX, I took the min and max, and made an average, after that I am using the average and compare it with 1 value. Above 1 -> bull, belowe 1-> bear.
This strategy only goes long.
If you have any questions, let me know.
Spread Entry Balance of PowerThis is a bar chart showing the strength of a potential option spread entry using 8 conditions for each side of a trade, bull or bear.
In theory, if the SE Strength (Spread Entry Strength) is at one of the extremes of the Bear or Bull side, then a spread is prime for entry.
To calculate this, the 8 conditions receive a 1 or zero dependent on whether the condition is true (1) or false (0), and then all of those are summed. The primary gist of the strength comes from Nishant's book, or my interpretation thereof, with some additives that limits what I need to review (such as condition 8 below.)
The 8 Bull Conditions are:
1) Bollinger Bands are outside of the Keltner Channels
2) ADX is trending up
3) RSI is trending up
4) -DI is trending down
5) RSI is under 30
6) Price is below the lower Keltner Channel
7) Price is between the lower Bollinger Band and the Bollinger basis.
8) Price at one point within the last 5 bars was below the lower Bollinger Band
The 8 Bear Conditions are the inverse conditions (except the first), and the conditions are given a negative disposition (meaning they sum to -8 :)):
1) Bollinger Bands are outside of the Keltner Channels
2) ADX is trending down
3) RSI is trending down
4) +DI is trending up
5) RSI is over 70
6) Price is above the upper Keltner Channel
7) Price is between the upper Bollinger Band and the Bollinger basis.
8) Price at one point within the last 5 bars was above the upper Bollinger Band
888 BOT #alerts█ 888 BOT #alerts (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security ()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED' wich is calculated according with: '%EQUITY ON EACH ENTRY'. Only works with Stop Loss on 'NORMAL' or 'BOTH' mode.
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ ALERTS
There is an alert for each leverage, therefore a maximum of 8 alerts can be set for 'long' and 8 for 'short', plus an alert to close the trade with Take Profit or Stop Loss in market mode. You can also place Take Profit limit and Stop Loss limit orders a few seconds after filling the position entry order.
- 'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It is the maximum allowed multiplier of the % quantity entered on each entry for 1X according to the volume condition.
- 'ADVANCE ALERTS': There is always a time delay from when the alert is triggered until it reaches the exchange and can be between 1-15 seconds. With this parameter, you can advance the alert by the necessary seconds to activate it earlier. In this way it can be synchronized with the exchange so that the execution time of the entry order to the position coincides with the opening of the bar.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Divergence RSI [mado]Divergence screener for OBV RSI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Simple Harmonic Oscillator (SHO)The indicator is based on Akram El Sherbini's article "Time Cycle Oscillators" published in IFTA journal 2018 (pages 78-80) (www.ftaa.org.hk)
The SHO is a bounded oscillator for the simple harmonic index that calculates the period of the market’s cycle. The oscillator is used for short and intermediate terms and moves within a range of -100 to 100 percent. The SHO has overbought and oversold levels at +40 and -40, respectively. At extreme periods, the oscillator may reach the levels of +60 and -60. The zero level demonstrates an equilibrium between the periods of bulls and bears. The SHO oscillates between +40 and -40. The crossover at those levels creates buy and sell signals. In an uptrend, the SHO fluctuates between 0 and +40 where the bulls are controlling the market. On the contrary, the SHO fluctuates between 0 and -40 during downtrends where the bears control the market. Reaching the extreme level -60 in an uptrend is a sign of weakness. Mostly, the oscillator will retrace from its centerline rather than the upper boundary +40. On the other hand, reaching +60 in a downtrend is a sign of strength and the oscillator will not be able to reach its lower boundary -40.
Centerline Crossover Tactic
This tactic is tested during uptrends. The buy signals are generated when the WPO/SHI cross their centerlines to the upside. The sell signals are generated when the WPO/SHI cross down their centerlines. To define the uptrend in the system, stocks closing above their 50-day EMA are considered while the ADX is above 18.
Uptrend Tactic
During uptrends, the bulls control the markets, and the oscillators will move above their centerline with an increase in the period of cycles. The lower boundaries and equilibrium line crossovers generate buy signals, while crossing the upper boundaries will generate sell signals. The “Re-entry” and “Exit at weakness” tactics are combined with the uptrend tactic. Consequently, we will have three buy signals and two sell signals.
Sideways Tactic
During sideways, the oscillators fluctuate between their upper and lower boundaries. Crossing the lower boundary to the upside will generate a buy signal. On the other hand, crossing the upper boundary to the downside will generate a sell signal. When the bears take control, the oscillators will cross down the lower boundaries, triggering exit signals. Therefore, this tactic will consist of one buy signal and two sell signals. The sideway tactic is defined when stocks close above their 50-day EMA and the ADX is below 18
Divergence Stoch RSI[mado]Divergence screener for Stoch RSI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence RVI[mado]Divergence screener for RVI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence OBV RSI[mado]Divergence screener for OBV RSI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence MFI[mado]Divergence screener for MFI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence MACD [mado]Divergence screener for MACD
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence LinerRegressionSlope[mado]Divergence screener for LinerRegressionSlope
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence KlingerVolumeOscillator [mado]Divergence screener for KVO
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence CCI [mado]Divergence screener for CCI
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Divergence Awesome Oscillator [mado]Divergence screener for Awesome Oscillator
Regular Bullish: "D" navy label
Hidden Bullish: "H" navy label
Regular Bearish: "D" red label
Hidden Bearish: "H" red label
Multi Timeframe ADX and DI w/ AlertsThis script is based off the public DMI code and used to get a quick visual of trend and direction across 3 different timeframes. Alert conditions have been setup for trend changes to bull/bear for all 3 timeframes. This script is meant to pull together the concepts of multi-time frame indicators, custom functions, and custom alert conditions.
The primary instructions for this script was to find a version of the ADX Indicator and give it the same treatment as we did with the Heiken Ashi demo (displaying green/red/gray circles to indicate trend and direction) over a configurable time frame. Display a matrix of each timeframe and the corresponding directional color (green=bull, red=bear, gray=non-trending). Have it produce an alert when the state of indicator changes to either bull or bear.
Elder impulse system with double exponential moving average dema
This version of impulse uses the double exponential moving average instead of the typical ema both to calculate macd and the moving slow and fast moving average that are plotted.
The impulse system :
The Impulse System combines two simple but powerful indicators.
One measures market inertia, the other its momentum. When both
point in the same direction, they identify an impulse worth following.
We get an entry signal when both indicators get in gear.
The Impulse System uses an exponential moving average to find
uptrends and downtrends. When the EMA rises, it shows that inertia
favors the bulls. When EMA falls, inertia works for the bears. The sec-
ond component is MACD-Histogram, an oscillator whose slope reflects
changes of power among bulls or bears. When MACD-Histogram rises,
it shows that bulls are becoming stronger. When it falls, it shows that
bears are growing stronger.
The Impulse System flags those bars where both the inertia and the
momentum point in the same direction. When both the EMA and
MACD-Histogram rise, they show that bulls are roaring and the uptrend
is accelerating.
MACD Zero lag impulse systemThis version of impulse uses the double exponential moving average instead of the typical ema.
The impulse system :
The Impulse System combines two simple but powerful indicators.
One measures market inertia, the other its momentum. When both
point in the same direction, they identify an impulse worth following.
We get an entry signal when both indicators get in gear.
The Impulse System uses an exponential moving average to find
uptrends and downtrends. When the EMA rises, it shows that inertia
favors the bulls. When EMA falls, inertia works for the bears. The sec-
ond component is MACD-Histogram, an oscillator whose slope reflects
changes of power among bulls or bears. When MACD-Histogram rises,
it shows that bulls are becoming stronger. When it falls, it shows that
bears are growing stronger.
The Impulse System flags those bars where both the inertia and the
momentum point in the same direction. When both the EMA and
MACD-Histogram rise, they show that bulls are roaring and the uptrend
is accelerating.
Elder impulse system with barcolor + Safezone stops + emasThe impulse system :
The Impulse System combines two simple but powerful indicators.
One measures market inertia, the other its momentum. When both
point in the same direction, they identify an impulse worth following.
We get an entry signal when both indicators get in gear.
The Impulse System uses an exponential moving average to find
uptrends and downtrends. When the EMA rises, it shows that inertia
favors the bulls. When EMA falls, inertia works for the bears. The sec-
ond component is MACD-Histogram, an oscillator whose slope reflects
changes of power among bulls or bears. When MACD-Histogram rises,
it shows that bulls are becoming stronger. When it falls, it shows that
bears are growing stronger.
The Impulse System flags those bars where both the inertia and the
momentum point in the same direction. When both the EMA and
MACD-Histogram rise, they show that bulls are roaring and the uptrend
is accelerating.
The SafeZone Stop :
Once in a trade, where should you put your stop? This is one of the
hardest questions in technical analysis. After answering it, you’ll face
an even harder one—when and where to move that stop with the pas-
sage of time. Put a stop too close and it’ll get whacked by some mean-
ingless intraday swing. Put it too far, and you’ll have very skimpy
protection.
The Parabolic System, described in Trading for a Living, tried to
tackle this problem by moving stops closer to the market each day,
accelerating whenever a stock or a commodity reached a new extreme.
The trouble with Parabolic was that it kept moving even if the market
stayed flat and often got hit by meaningless noise.
SafeZone trails prices with stops tight enough to protect
capital but remote enough to keep clear of most random fluctuations.
Engineers design filters to suppress noise and allow the signal to come
through. If the trend is the signal, then the countertrend motion is the
noise. When the trend is up, we can define noise as that part of each
day’s range that protrudes below the previous day’s low. When the trend
is down, we can define noise as that part of each day’s range that pro-
trudes above the previous day’s high. SafeZone measures market noise
and places stops at a multiple of noise level away from the market.
We can make our lookback period 100 days or so if we want to aver-
age long-term market behavior.
SafeZone offers an original approach to placing stops. It monitors
changes in prices and adapts stops to the current levels of activity. It
places stops at individually tailored distances rather than at obvious
support and resistance levels.
10/5 Weekly/Daily EMAs with ConfirmationsPlots Daily and Weekly 10 & 5 EMAs (but fully customizable to your own).
In addition to plotting the EMAs it color coordinates trend bias and has cross confirmation signals.
Philosophy and how to read:
I use this indicator when trading strictly on the daily timeframe. I have not tested it on other timeframes.
In my trade system I start with both the monthly and weekly charts to define overall bias.
Here’s the general rule of thumb.
10 EMA is direction (bias) and 5 EMA is price.
If 5EMA is below 10EMA there is a bear bias. If 5EMA is above 10EMA there is a bull bias.
This indicator will plot both the daily and weekly 10 & 5 EMAs.
It will also color code the background based on how these EMAs relate to each other.
Light red typically is just the daily is confirmed bear (typically because it could be either or)
Dark red, both daily and weekly in confirmed bear.
Light green, typically just daily is confirmed bull (typically because it could be either or)
Dark green, both daily and weekly in confirmed bull.
In addition to background highlight there is confirmation crosses.
The daily confirmation cross is default yellow triangle.
Down triangle is 5 crossing the 10 downward.
Up triangle is the 5 crossing the 10 upward.
The weekly confirmation is the same only is aqua color.
Generally, on a color change you want to see one or both confirmation in the direction of the bias change.
If you only want to plot the daily bias in the options unclick the setting: Include Weekly Background Plotting. Unclicking this will remove the background coloring for the weekly bias. This might be helpful if you only want to see the strength of what the weekly timeframe is telling you.
Also, I’m primarily a trend trader but I also do have a reversal system I trade with lower R:R parameters.
A good reversal confirmation signal I’ve noticed is the instrument that you are trading should go through a cycle of light color to dark color.
You could also create alerts with this indicator based on just signals. When the signal fires the value will be 1.
Future Updates:
I want to find some way to correlate the distance between these EMAs to enhance the signal. Also to include a velocity component. Plus a few more things.
If you like this indicator please like and leave a comment down below.
MWho is in ControlWho is in Control.
This study shows who is in control by showing just the Bull side, the Bear side or a combined view. This study follows the same philosophy of simplicity I try to use as much as possible in my studies. The least number of parameters and as understandable as possible.
Len : length of the period
Signal : Signal to show change of trend
Disp Bull : Display/Hide Bull Side
Disp Bear : Display/Hide Bear Side
Disp Differential : Display/Hide the differential between Bulls and Bears.
