Bayesian BBSMA OscillatorSometime ago (very long ago), one of my tinkering project was to do a spam or ham classification type app to filter news I'd wanna read. So I built myself a Naive Bayes Classifier to feed me my relevant articles. It worked great, I can cut through the noise.
The hassle was I needed to manually train it to understand what I wanna read. I trained it using 50 articles and to my surprise, it's enough.
Complexity Theory
I've been reading a book called The Road to Ruin by Jim Rickards. He described how he got to his conclusion of how the stock market works by using Complexity Theory. Bill Williams would agree. Jim tells us that by using just enough data, we calculate the probability of an event to occur. We can't say for sure when but we know it's coming. This was my light bulb moment.
While Jim talks much about Bayesian Inference in which a probability of an event can always be updated as more evidence comes to light, I had my eyes set on binary probabilities of when prices are going up and down.
Assumptions
These are my assumptions:
Prices breaking up a Bollinger basis line will have fuel to go up even higher
Prices will go down when prices have broken up a Bollinger upper band
Scalping is the main method so we should use a lower period Moving Average (MA)
When prices are above MA, it's likelier a correction to the downside is imminent
When prices are below MA, it's likelier a correction to the upside is imminent
Optimize parameters for 1 hour timeframe which will give us time to react while still having more opportunities to trade
Building Blocks
Jim Rickards started with limited data (events) while in technical trading, data are plentiful. I decided to classify 2 events which are:
Next candles would be breaking up
Next candles would be breaking down
Key facts:
We won't know for sure when prices are going to break
We won't know for sure how much the prices movements are going to be
Formulas
Breaking up:
Pr(Up|Indicator) = Pr(Indicator|Up) * Pr(Up) / Pr(Indicator|Up) * Pr(Up) + Pr(Indicator|Down) * Pr(Down)
Breaking down:
Pr(Down|Indicator) = Pr(Indicator|Down) * Pr(Down) / Pr(Indicator|Down) * Pr(Down) + Pr(Indicator|Up) * Pr(Up)
Reading The Oscillator
Green is the probability of prices breaking up
Red is the probability of prices breaking down
When either green or red is flatlining ceiling, immediately on the next candle when the probability decreases go short or long based on which direction you're observing - Strong Signal
When either green or red is flatlining ceiling, take no action while it's ceiled
Usually when either green or red is flatlining bottom, the next candle when the probability increases, immediately take a short long position based on the direction you're observing - Weak Signal
When either green or red is flatlining bottom, take no action while it's bottomed
Alerts
Use Once per Bar option when generating alerts.
在腳本中搜尋"break"
cATRpillerThis indicator is used to identify range breakouts using an ATR multiplier. My first script, Im sure there are indies out there like this, but this my favorite way to identify breakouts and trends.
Renko AccelerationRenko is a very useful charting method for analyzing stock movement. It does a great job of filtering out all the excess noise so that all we're left with is pure price action. But, what about time? Time is a fundamental part of chart analysis and we are only seeing part of the picture. After all, shouldn't we take a very different approach to trading signals from a block that renders in 2 seconds as opposed to a block that renders in 30 minutes?
This indicator provides the best of both worlds, enabling us to correlate the passing of time with price movement and clearly see when squeezes and breakouts occur.
As the indicator turns up to green we can see that volatility is on the move and the market is accelerating (breakout), and as it turns down to red the market is stagnating (squeeze). There is also an alternate 'Precise' view which renders the exact time per block for more granular analysis.
San's Candles ProThe San Trader Candles for bullish and bearish market
- Buy on breaking High of "San's Bullish Candle"
- Sell on breaking Low of "San's Bearish Candle"
Preferred Time Frame: Daily and Weekly
Renko Chart Alerts with PivotsAdd alerts to renko charts to be notified when:
new brick
brick up
brick down
direction change
direction change up
direction change down
Also shows pivots based on brick reversals. Alerts also available for:
pivot breakout
pivot high breakout
pivot low breakout
You can hide the plots for pivot high/low and breakouts in the style tab of the settings for the indicator.
To add the alerts:
add the indicator to your renko chart
click add alert
click the condition dropdown and choose Renko Alerts
you should see all the alerts there and you can add any one or more to your chart
Support-Resistance breakoutStrategy based on longing resistance breakout and shorting support breakout.
It defines highs and lows using fractal with 2 bars for confirming high/lows. So it has 2 bars lag.
It calculates the difference between sma with defined length (21 by default) of highs and of lows and uses it as alt SR level. This idea I took from synapticEx's indicator Nebula-Advanced-Dynamic-Support-Resistance.
Position enter is the breakout of SR, defined by fractals.
Position exit is: bar change in opposite to position direction > difference is sma of highs and of lows.
Trend Follower With Help of Donchian Channels - TFWHDCThis is a simple Day Trade indicator, but can be used for swing and long term trades.
It is based on Donchian Channels to detect trend and point out resistance or support breakouts using arrows.
The bars ared colored when a breakout occurs. When a resistance breakout occurs the current and the next bars are colored green (default) and when a support breakout occurs the current and the next bars are colored red (default). This way this indicator can show if its an uptrend or a downtrend.
I hope this indicator will be useful for many traders!
Thank you!
VWAP Stdev BandsCurrent price always obeys VWAP and is very useful for intraday traders. The Price will never go beyond the second deviation of VWAP at any point of time. The deviation bands are also very useful in predicting the volatility of the script.
Breakout trades can be taken based on the previous day's VWAP and it's deviations.
One can say that the stock has experienced breakout if current price crosses the fourth deviation of the previous day's VWAP or price bounces off that level, the price movement will be rapid if this occurs providing a good trading opportunity with low risk-reward ratio.
Two Bar Break Line Alerts R1.0 by JustUncleLThis indicator with default settings is designed for BINARY OPTIONS trading. The indicator can also be used for Forex trading with some setting changes. The script shows Two Bar Pullback Break lines and alerts when those Break lines are Touched (broken) creating a short term momentum entry condition.
For a Bullish Break (Green Up Arrow) to occur: first must have two (or three) consecutive bear (red) candles which is followed by a bull (green) candle creating a pivot point. The breakout occurs then the High of the current Bull (green) exceeds the highest point of the previous two (or three) pivotal bear candles. The green channel Line shows where the current Bullish BreakOut occurs.
For a Bearish Break (Red Down Arrow) to occur: first must have two (or three) consecutive bull (green) candles which is followed by a bear (red) candle creating a pivot point. The breakout occurs when the Low of the current Bear (red) drops below the lowest point of the previous two (or three) pivotal Bull candles. The red channel Line shows where the current Bearish BreakOut occurs.
The break Line Arrows can optionally be filtered by the Coloured MA (enabled by default), a longer term directional MA (disabled by default) and/or a MACD condition (enabled by default) as a momentum filter.
You can optionally select three Bar break lines instead of two. The three bar break lines are actually equivalent to Guppy's Three Bar Count Back Line method for trade entries (see Guppy's video reference below).
Included in this indicator is an ability to display some basic Binary Option statistics, when enabled (enabled by default) it shows Successful Bars in Yellow and failed Bars in Black and the last Nine numbers on the script title line represent the Binary option Statistics in order:
%ITM rate
Total orders
Successful Orders
Failed Orders
Total candles tested
Candles per Day
Trades per Day
Max Consecutive Wins
Max Consecutive Losses
You can start the Binary Option statistics from a specific Date, which is handy for checking more recent history.
HINTS:
BINARY OPTIONS trading: use 5min, 15m, 1hr or even Daily charts. Trade after the price touches one of the Breakout lines and the Arrow first appears. Wait for the price to come back from Break Line by 1 or 2 pips, the alert arrow must stay on and candle change to black, then take Binary trade expiry End of Candle. If price pull back and arrow turns off, don't trade this candle, move on you probably don't have momentum, there will be plenty of other trigger events. The backtesting results are good with ITM rates 65% to 72% on many currency pairs, commodities and indices. Realtime trading has confirmed the backtesting results and they could even be bettered, provided you are selective on which signals to trade (strong MACD support etc), that you are patient and disciplined to this trading method.
FOREX trading: the default settings should work with scalping. For longer term trades try with settings change to a more standard MACD filter or slower to catch the longer term momentum swings and the idea would be to trade the first Break Line alert that occurs after a decent Pullback in the direction of the trend. Setting the SL to just above/below the Pivot High/Low and set target to two or three times SL.
References:
"Fundamentals of Price Action Trading for Forex, Stocks, Options and Futures" video:
www.youtube.com
Other videos by "basecamptrading" on Naked Trading.
"Taking Profits in Today's Market by Daryl Guppy" video:
www.youtube.com
Systematic TF IndicatorThis is a simple trend following indicator which works off moving averages for trend bias and breakouts for entry.
Line Break StrategyLine Break Strategy
Entry rule:
Long on a bullish line and short on a bearish line.
Backtest:
Profit factors are shown below for three-line break.
Daily time frame, FXCM broker.
EURUSD: 1.267, USDJPY: 1.039, GBPUSD: -0.816, AUDUSD: -0.959
S&P500: -0.783, Nikkei225: 1.099
CrudeOil: 1.03, Gold: 1.196
BTCUSD: -0.883
Reference:
Steve Nison, Beyond Candlesticks - New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed
Note:
This strategy doesn't work properly on the linebreak chart.
A good example is shown below. The entry prices are not always correct.
If you have signal, but the next candle moves in the opposite direction, the entry price is drawn at the Open of the new candle instead of the Close of the previous candle.
The results of backtest are unreliable due to this reason.
GS_Opening-Range-V1ORB Opening Range Breakout 5 and 3O Minute Indicator
Kudos to Chris Moody for the inspiration to create my first indicator.
The 5 and 30 run together at times but the scalp would be when the equity breaks the 5 go long or short for the scalp and when it breaks the 30 go for the swing trade.
CM_OldSchool_Projected_high_LowHeard this story from Larry Williams…the trader who holds the record for winning the U.S. Trading Championship by turning $10K in to 2 Million.
A trader named Owen Taylor developed this formula as a Floor Trader before to calculate the Projected High and Low of the next day.
The formula worked so well…Owen charged other Traders 1K to get it.
I was pretty impressed with the results…so I coded it for the Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly Projected High Low.
While Owen considered these levels to be major support and resistance, Larry has developed many strategies based on the Breakout of the Projected High Low.
Therefore I coded it so the Levels would plot Yellow, and change to Green if the Projected High was taken out, and Red if the Projected Low was taken out.
***I’ve noticed on many instruments, Stocks, Index’s, Forex etc., depending on the instrument it works great as Support/Resistance or Breakouts.
***On a Daily Chart put the Quarterly and Yearly levels on SPY and EURUSD and go back about 10 years. Levels are pretty accurate.
Chaos Volatility Breakout (ATR + Breakout)-VMThis indicator is a volatility-based breakout trading tool inspired by principles from Chaos Theory, where small changes in momentum during high-energy market conditions can lead to large price movements.
Instead of predicting the market, it focuses on identifying “high-probability expansion zones”—moments when the market is under stress (high volatility) and price is breaking out of a recent range.
Opening Range with Breakouts & Targets w/ Alerts [LuxAlgo]This is the exact Lux Algo opening range with Breakouts and Targets, but added the ability to fire alerts on buy and sell signals
Estrategia Trend Following: 52w/26w BreakoutThis is a classic long-term Trend Following strategy, heavily inspired by the Donchian Channel system and the legendary "Turtle Trading" rules. It is designed to capture major market moves (bull runs) while filtering out short-term market noise and volatility.
This script is ideal for investors and swing traders who prefer a "hands-off" approach, looking to catch large trends rather than day-trading small fluctuations.
How it Works:
1. Entry Condition (The Breakout):
52-Week High: The strategy enters a Long position when the price breaks above the highest high of the last 252 trading days (approx. 1 year).
SuperTrend Filter: An additional filter using the SuperTrend indicator ensures that the breakout is supported by positive momentum, helping to reduce false signals during choppy lateral markets.
2. Exit Condition (The Trailing Stop):
26-Week Low: The strategy ignores short-term corrections. It only closes the position if the price closes below the lowest low of the last 126 trading days (approx. 6 months).
This wide stop allows the trade to "breathe" and stay open during significant pullbacks, ensuring you stay in the trend for as long as possible.
Features & Settings:
Customizable Lookback Periods: You can adjust the Entry (default 252 days) and Exit (default 126 days) periods in the settings menu.
Visual Aids:
Blue Line: Represents the 1-Year High (Entry Threshold).
Red Line: Represents the 6-Month Low (Dynamic Stop Loss).
Channel Shading: Visualizes the trading range between the high and low.
Labels: Clearly marks "BUY" and "EXIT" points on the chart.
Recommended Usage:
Timeframe: Daily (1D). This logic is designed for daily candles.
Assets: Works best on assets with strong trending characteristics (e.g., Bitcoin/Crypto, Tech Stocks, Indices like SPX/NDX, and Commodities).
Patience Required: This strategy generates very few signals. It may stay quiet for months and then hold a position for over a year.
Sniper VFI: Institutional Breakout & HeatmapDescription:
Overview This is a professional-grade momentum indicator designed to track Institutional Smart Money flow while filtering for high-probability breakout setups. It combines volume analysis, trend filtration, and price action triggers into a single dashboard.
How It Works The indicator operates on a three-step validation process:
Trend Filter: Uses a 150 EMA to define the major trend. Long positions are only permitted above the 150 EMA, and Short positions only below it.
Institutional Volume (VFI): Analyzes the Volume Flow Indicator to ensure Smart Money is participating in the move.
Micro-Breakout Trigger: Signals are only generated if the price breaks the High (for Longs) or Low (for Shorts) of the last 3 candles, ensuring immediate momentum.
Visual Guide & Legend
The Histogram (Volume & Momentum):
Bright Lime: Strong Bullish Impulse. Institutional money is flowing in, and momentum is accelerating.
Dark Green: Stable Uptrend. The trend is healthy.
Bright Red: Strong Bearish Impulse. Institutional money is flowing out, and downside momentum is accelerating.
Maroon: Stable Downtrend.
The Heatmap Tips (RSI Temperature):
Orange Tips: Overbought Warning (RSI > 70). The asset is heating up; caution is advised for new long entries. The opacity increases as RSI approaches 100.
White Tips: Oversold Warning (RSI < 30). The asset is extended to the downside.
The Signals (L/S):
L (Long): Confirmed entry. Trend is Up + VFI Positive + Price broke the recent 3-candle High.
S (Short): Confirmed entry. Trend is Down + VFI Negative + Price broke the recent 3-candle Low.
Note: This tool includes an alternating signal filter to prevent repetitive signals during trends. A Long signal will not repeat until a Short signal or a trend reset occurs.
Custom Session Static Breakout Levels
This indicator defines a trading session based on user-specified time and a custom GMT timezone. Its primary function is to provide traders with fixed historical data rather than dynamic information.
Core Logic:
Dynamic Box Update: While the price remains within the session, the "Box" (dynamic high/low) tracks the current session's extreme prices.
Static Level Anchoring: The moment price breaks above the session's high or below its low, the Box updates, and a static horizontal price line is immediately drawn at the previous, unbroken extreme (the historical support/resistance of the Box).
Breakout Identification: The candle responsible for the breakout is clearly marked, providing traders with an anchor point for fixed, structural analysis.
M5 Candle Follow Breakout - Teknik Gold Fanatic V2 This technique is entirely the property of Prof Sastra Gold Fanatic.
This technique uses a strategy of following breakouts from the first M5 of each hour.
Minor Break of Structure (Minor BoS)This indicator extracts and isolates the Minor Break of Structure (BoS) logic from a full SMC framework and presents it as a clean, lightweight tool for structure-based price action traders.
Unlike traditional BOS indicators that rely on swing calculations with heavy filtering, this script uses original SMC-style minor structure logic to detect meaningful shifts in internal order flow.
A Minor BoS appears when price breaks above a minor swing high (bullish) or below a minor swing low (bearish), confirming a short-term continuation in trend direction.
Features:
Bullish Minor BoS detection
Bearish Minor BoS detection
Automatic line plotting with extend-right
Clear “Minor BoS” label with tiny footprint
Customizable line styles and colors
Lightweight & optimized for fast execution
Zero repainting on BoS confirmations
This tool is ideal for traders who want a simple, clean, and reliable structure-based signal without the noise of major structure, order blocks, liquidity sweeps, or external SMC modules.
Hash Pivot DetectorHash Pivot Detector
Professional Support & Resistance Detection with Multi-Timeframe Zone Analysis
Developed by Hash Capital Research, the Hash Pivot Detector is a sophisticated indicator designed for identifying key support and resistance levels using pivot-based detection with institutional-grade zone analysis.
Key Features
Zone-Based Detection
Unlike traditional single-line S/R indicators, Hash Pivot Detector uses configurable zones around pivot levels to represent realistic institutional order areas. Adjustable zone width accommodates different asset volatilities.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Displays higher timeframe support/resistance levels alongside current timeframe pivots, providing crucial context for institutional positioning and stronger price barriers.
Clean Visual Design
Features Hash Capital's signature fluorescent color scheme (pink resistance, cyan support) optimized for dark charts with high contrast and instant visual recognition. Semi-transparent zones keep your chart clean and readable.
How It Works
The indicator uses pivot high/low detection with configurable left and right bar parameters. When a pivot is confirmed, it plots:
Primary support/resistance lines at pivot levels
Semi-transparent zones representing realistic order areas
Higher timeframe S/R levels as crosses for additional context
Recommended Settings
For Swing Trading:
Pivot Bars: 10-20 left/right
Zone Width: 0.5-1.0%
HTF: Daily (on 1H-4H charts)
For Intraday Trading:
Pivot Bars: 5-10 left/right
Zone Width: 0.3-0.5%
HTF: 1H or 4H (on 5min-15min charts)
Asset-Specific Zone Width:
Forex/Crypto: 0.3-0.5%
Stocks: 0.5-1.0%
Volatile Assets: 1.0-2.0%
What Makes It Different
✓ Zone-based approach (more realistic than lines)
✓ Multi-timeframe confluence detection
✓ Minimal visual clutter with maximum information
✓ Professional institutional aesthetic
✓ Comprehensive tooltips for easy optimization
✓ No repainting - all pivots are confirmed
Best Used For
Identifying high-probability entry/exit zones
Setting stop-loss and take-profit levels
Recognizing breakout/breakdown areas
Multi-timeframe confluence analysis
Swing trading and position trading
Intraday scalping with adjusted parameters
Notes
Works on all timeframes and markets
Fully customizable colors and parameters
All settings include detailed optimization guidance
Clean code, efficient performance
No alerts or notifications (visual analysis only)






















