I11L - Meanreverter 4h---Overview---
The system buys fear and sells greed.
Its relies on a Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages (MA) to find oversold and overbought states.
It seems to work best in market conditions where the Bond market has a negative Beta to Stocks.
Backtests in a longer Timeframe will clearly show this.
---Parameter---
Frequency: Smothens the RSI curve, helps to "remember" recent highs better.
RsiFrequency: A Frequency of 40 implies a RSI over the last 40 Bars.
BuyZoneDistance: Spacing between the different zones. A wider spacing reduces the amount of signals and icnreases the holding duration. Should be finetuned with tradingcosts in mind.
AvgDownATRSum: The multiple of the Average ATR over 20 Bars * amount of opentrades for your average down. I choose the ATR over a fixed percent loss to find more signals in low volatility environments and less in high volatility environments.
---Some of my thoughts---
Be very careful about the good backtesting performance in many US-Stocks because the System had a favourable environment since 1970.
Be careful about the survivorship bias as well.
52% of stocks from the S&P500 were removed since 2000.
I discount my Annual Results by 5% because of this fact.
You will find yourself quite often with very few signals because of the high market correlation.
My testing suggests that there is no expected total performance difference between a signal from a bad and a signal from a good market condition but a higher volatility.
I am sharing this strategy because i am currently not able to implement it as i want to and i think that meanreversion is starting to be taken more serious by traders.
The challange in implementing this strategy is that you need to be invested 100% of the time to retrieve the expected annual performance and to reduce the fat tail risk by market crashes.
在腳本中搜尋"curve"
Dynamic Highest Lowest Moving AverageSimilar to my last script, although this one uses the RSI value of
(highest high - price) / (price - lowest low)
to feed into the the logic creating the dynamic length. Choose how the length curve works by selecting either Incline, Decline, Peak or Trough.
Lastly select the moving average type to filter the result through to smoothen things out a bit
to find something that works for your strategy. This is useful as an entry/exit indicator along with other moving averages, or even just a standalone if you play with the settings enough.
Quantitative Backtesting Panel + ROI Table - ShortsThis script is an aggregate of a backtesting panel with quantitative metrics, ROI table and open ROI reader. It also contains a mechanism for having a fixed percentage stop loss, similar to native TV backtester. For shorts only.
Backtesting Panel:
- Certain metrics are color coded, with green being good performance, orange being neutral, red being undesirable.
• ROI : return with the system, in %
• ROI(COMP=1): return if money is compounded at a rate of 100%
• Hit rate: accuracy of the system, as a %
• Profit factor: gross profit/gross loss
• Maximum drawdown: the maximum value from a peak to a successive trough of the system's equity curve
• MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion. The biggest loss of a trade suffered while the position is still open
• Total trades: total number of closed trades
• Max gain/max loss: shows the biggest win over the biggest loss suffered
• Sharpe ratio: measures the performance of the system with adjusted risk (no comparison to risk-free asset)
• CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate. The mean annual rate of growth of the system of n years (provided n>1)
• Kurtosis: measures how heavily the tails of the distribution differ from that of a normal distribution (symmetric on both sides of mean where mean=0, standard deviation=1). A normal distribution has a kurtosis of 3, and skewness of 0. The kurtosis indicates whether or not the tails of the returns contain extreme values
• Skewness: measures the symmetry of the distribution of returns
- Leptokurtic: K > 0. Having more kurtosis than a normal distribution. It's stretched up and to the side too (2nd pic down). High kurtosis (leptokurtic) is bad as the wider tails (called heavy tails) suggest there is relatively high probability of extreme events
- Mesokurtic: K =0. Having the same kurtosis as a normal distribution
- Platykurtic: K < 0. Having less kurtosis than a normal distribution. This suggests there are light tails and fewer extreme events in the distribution
- Skewness is good: +/- 0.5 (fairly symmetrical)
- Skewness is average: -1 to -0.5 or 0.5 to 1 (moderately skewed)
- Skewness is bad: > +/- 1 (highly skewed)
Evolving ROI table:
- The table of ROI values evolve with the year and month. The sum of each year is given. Please avoid using it on non-cryptocurrencies or any market whose trading session is not 24/7
Open ROI reader:
- At the top center is the open ROI of a trade
Quantitative Backtesting Panel + ROI Table - LongsThis script is an aggregate of a backtesting panel with quantitative metrics, ROI table and open ROI reader. It also contains a mechanism for having a fixed percentage stop loss, similar to native TV backtester. For longs only.
Backtesting Panel:
- Certain metrics are color coded, with green being good performance, orange being neutral, red being undesirable.
• ROI : return with the system, in %
• ROI(COMP=1): return if money is compounded at a rate of 100%
• Hit rate: accuracy of the system, as a %
• Profit factor: gross profit/gross loss
• Maximum drawdown: the maximum value from a peak to a successive trough of the system's equity curve
• MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion. The biggest loss of a trade suffered while the position is still open
• Total trades: total number of closed trades
• Max gain/max loss: shows the biggest win over the biggest loss suffered
• Sharpe ratio: measures the performance of the system with adjusted risk (no comparison to risk-free asset)
• CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate. The mean annual rate of growth of the system of n years (provided n>1)
• Kurtosis: measures how heavily the tails of the distribution differ from that of a normal distribution (symmetric on both sides of mean where mean=0, standard deviation=1). A normal distribution has a kurtosis of 3, and skewness of 0. The kurtosis indicates whether or not the tails of the returns contain extreme values
• Skewness: measures the symmetry of the distribution of returns
- Leptokurtic: K > 0. Having more kurtosis than a normal distribution. It's stretched up and to the side too (2nd pic down). High kurtosis (leptokurtic) is bad as the wider tails (called heavy tails) suggest there is relatively high probability of extreme events
- Mesokurtic: K =0. Having the same kurtosis as a normal distribution
- Platykurtic: K < 0. Having less kurtosis than a normal distribution. This suggests there are light tails and fewer extreme events in the distribution
- Skewness is good: +/- 0.5 (fairly symmetrical)
- Skewness is average: -1 to -0.5 or 0.5 to 1 (moderately skewed)
- Skewness is bad: > +/- 1 (highly skewed)
Evolving ROI table:
- The table of ROI values evolve with the year and month. The sum of each year is given. Please avoid using it on non-cryptocurrencies or any market whose trading session is not 24/7
Open ROI reader:
- At the top center is the open ROI of a trade
Williams Vix Fix OHLC candles plot indicator (Tartigradia)OHLC candles plot of the Williams VixFix indicator, which allows to draw trend lines.
Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
The Williams VixFix indicator is usually presented as a curve or histogram. The novelty of this indicator is to present the data as a OHLC candles plot: whereas the original Williams VixFix calculation only involves the close value, we here use the open, high and low values as well. This led to some mathematical challenges because some of these calculations led to absurd values, so workarounds had to be found, but in the end I think the result was worth it, it reproduces the VIX chart quite well.
A great additional value of the OHLC chart is that it shows not just the close value, but all the values during the session: open, high and low in addition to close. This allows to draw trend lines and can provide additional information on momentum and sentiment. In addition, other indicators can be used on it, as if it was a price chart, such as RSI indicators (see RSI+ (alt) indicator for example).
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
This indicator includes only the Williams VixFix as an OHLC candles or bars plot, and price / vixfix candles plot, as well as the typical vixfix histogram. Indeed, it is much more practical for unbounded range indicators to be plotted in their own separate panel, hence why this indicator is released separately, so that it can work and be scaled adequately out of the box.
Note that the there are however no bottom buy signals. For a more complete indicator, which also includes the OHLC candles plots present here, but also bottom signals and Inverse VixFix (top signals), see:
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
[blackcat] L3 Gann SlopeLevel 3
Background
William Gann (Wilian D. Gann) is one of the most famous investors in the twentieth century. His outstanding achievements in the stock and futures markets are unparalleled. The theory he created that perfectly combines time and price has been It is still talked about and highly praised by the investment community.
Function
The slope is the degree of the angle line relative to the time axis (X axis). Volatility is the ratio of unit amplitude to unit time. At the heart of Gann angles is the determination of volatility. Gann angle is the movement of price defined by time unit and price unit. Each angle is determined by the relationship between time and price. In the rising angle, the angle with the larger slope means that the stock price is rising stronger and falling. In a trend line, the larger the slope, the stronger the downtrend.
This technical indicator speaks of the Gann slope expressed as an oscillator. Its value varies from 0 to 100. The positive slope means rising, and the negative slope means falling. For rising and falling, the strength of rising and falling is distinguished by the thickness and color of the oscillating line:
1. The thin white line represents the basic oscillator curve and has no special meaning.
2. Light red indicates that an uptrend is established, and dark red indicates a very strong uptrend.
3. Light green indicates an established downtrend, dark green indicates a very strong downtrend.
Remarks
Feedbacks are appreciated.
[blackcat] L3 God Hunter ScalpingLevel 3
Background
An ultra-short scaler that I integrate with multiple custom function implementations. Because of its responsiveness it is suitable for small cycle applications.
Function
The first technical indicator to integrate is the stoch. By combining the stoch indicators of long and short periods, I can not only ensure its high-speed reaction speed, but also be compatible with stability.
The second is the improved KDJ indicator to further strengthen buying and selling conditions. Because the final trend output is relatively fast, I used a variety of long-short conditions to improve adaptability. and minimize noise. It is well known that price fluctuations in small cycles are more random.
The third feature is the classification of buying and selling points, not only through the reversal of the trend curve, but also several other buying and selling point conditions, oversold and overbought signals, signal divergence techniques, etc.
Finally, through the nested RSI, the momentum trend strength of the trend signal is represented by a gradient color to assist in judging whether the reversal point is approaching.
Remarks
For differnent instruments and time frames, overbought and oversold threshold should be adjusted accordingly, or it may not work well.
Feedbacks are appreciated.
Machine Learning: kNN (New Approach)Description:
kNN is a very robust and simple method for data classification and prediction. It is very effective if the training data is large. However, it is distinguished by difficulty at determining its main parameter, K (a number of nearest neighbors), beforehand. The computation cost is also quite high because we need to compute distance of each instance to all training samples. Nevertheless, in algorithmic trading KNN is reported to perform on a par with such techniques as SVM and Random Forest. It is also widely used in the area of data science.
The input data is just a long series of prices over time without any particular features. The value to be predicted is just the next bar's price. The way that this problem is solved for both nearest neighbor techniques and for some other types of prediction algorithms is to create training records by taking, for instance, 10 consecutive prices and using the first 9 as predictor values and the 10th as the prediction value. Doing this way, given 100 data points in your time series you could create 10 different training records. It's possible to create even more training records than 10 by creating a new record starting at every data point. For instance, you could take the first 10 data points and create a record. Then you could take the 10 consecutive data points starting at the second data point, the 10 consecutive data points starting at the third data point, etc.
By default, shown are only 10 initial data points as predictor values and the 6th as the prediction value.
Here is a step-by-step workthrough on how to compute K nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm for quantitative data:
1. Determine parameter K = number of nearest neighbors.
2. Calculate the distance between the instance and all the training samples. As we are dealing with one-dimensional distance, we simply take absolute value from the instance to value of x (| x – v |).
3. Rank the distance and determine nearest neighbors based on the K'th minimum distance.
4. Gather the values of the nearest neighbors.
5. Use average of nearest neighbors as the prediction value of the instance.
The original logic of the algorithm was slightly modified, and as a result at approx. N=17 the resulting curve nicely approximates that of the sma(20). See the description below. Beside the sma-like MA this algorithm also gives you a hint on the direction of the next bar move.
SUPPORT RESISTANCE STRATEGY [5MIN TF]A SUPPORT RESISTANCE BREAKOUT STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that has the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above Resistance Level ,indicated by Red Line, is a Long condition.
2) Price crosses below Support Level ,indicated by Green Line , is a Short condition.
3) Candle high crosses above ema1, is a part of the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below ema1, is a part of the Short condition .
5) Volume Threshold is an added confirmation for long/short positions.
6) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
7) Default qty size is set to 50 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size.
8) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
→ L_Bars ———————————> Length of Resistance / Support Levels.
→ R_Bars ———————————> Length of Resistance / Support Levels.
→ Volume Break ———————> Volume Breakout from range to confirm Long/Short position.
→ Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition as explained above (3) and (4).
→ ATR LONG —————————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions.
→ ATR SHORT ————————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions.
→ RISK ————————————> Maximum Risk per trade intraday.
The strategy was back-tested on TCS ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below.
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 50 contracts , which can be changed under
Settings
↓
Properties
↓
Order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 27.
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm , at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 92 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 100 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better Back-Test results.
The strategy applied to NSE:TCS ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 50) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.8 ,net Profit of 30,000 Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.49
Sortino Ratio : 1.4
The graph has a Linear Curve with Consistent Profits.
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) L_Bars —————————> 4
2) R_Bars —————————> 4
3) Volume Break ————> 5
4) Price Cross Ema ——> 100
5) ATR LONG ——————> 2.4
6) ATR SHORT —————> 2.6
7) RISK —————————> 2000
8) Default qty size ——> 50
NSE:TCS
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Thank You ☺ NSE:TCS
PIVOT STRATEGY [INDIAN MARKET TIMING]
A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot highest line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot lowest line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot highest , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot lowest , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT —————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK —————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings
↓
properties
↓
order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm, at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60 ) gives us 60% profitability y , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 ,net Profit of 21,500Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits .
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ————————> 5
3) Price Cross Ema ——————> 150
4) ATR LONG ————————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT ———————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——————> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
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Consolidation Breakout [Indian Market Timing]OK let's get started ,
A Day Trading (Intraday) Consolidation Breakout Indication Strategy that explains time condition for Indian Markets .
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is ,
1) Price crosses above upper band , indicated by a color change (green) is the Long condition .
2) Price crosses below lower band , indicated by a color change (red) is the Short condition .
3) ATR is used for trailing after entry
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The time_condition specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 2:57pm.
All open trades get closed at 2:57pm , because some brokers dont allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm.
NSE:NIFTY1!
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 114 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
LENGTH , MULT (factor) and ATR can be changed for better backtest results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY (3 min Time-Frame and contract size 5) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 8 months with a Profit Factor of 2.2 , avg Trade of 6000Rs profit and Sharpe Ratio : 0.67
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
NSE:NIFTY1!
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Defu_RSIThis is a composite indicator, a collection of multiple indicators.
Includes:
1. in the simple RSI oversold and overbought area, I rewritten the RSI index of pine, which is more in line with the change of the relative intensity of rise and fall.
2. the red and green column line to the top is rewritten by William w% index. The red and green column indicates the top of the stage. When the column line disappears, it indicates the top of the stage. It is very reliable.
3. CCI green line: calculate CCI index through EMA weighting, smooth CCI curve and reflect trend change.
4. the j-link of KDJ variant indicates the real-time change of trend, which is used in conjunction with CCI index. Please observe carefully
5. the intra day fluctuation indicator is represented by a red orange column line below the 0 axis, and a simple filter is added to indicate the turning point of the trend.
I will continue to update when I have time
//==============The above is translated by Google , please pass the administrator
这是个复合指标，是多个指标的集合。
包含有 1. 简单RSI超卖超买区，我改写了pine自带的rsi指标，这个更加符合涨跌相对强度的变化。
2.到顶红绿柱线，由威廉W%指标改写，红绿柱表示阶段的顶部，当柱线消失时，表示阶段顶部，非常可靠。
3. CCI 绿色线，通过ema加权计算CCI指标，平滑CCI曲线，反应趋势变化。
4.用KDJ变种的J线连表示趋势的即时变化，这个配合CCI指标使用。请仔细观察
5.日内波动指示器，在0轴下方用红橙柱线表示，加了简单的过滤器，表示趋势的转折点。
Hodrick-Prescott MACD [Loxx]Hodrick-Prescott MACD is a MACD indicator using a Hodrick-Prescott Filter.
What is Hodrick–Prescott filter?
The Hodrick–Prescott filter (also known as Hodrick–Prescott decomposition) is a mathematical tool used in macroeconomics, especially in real business cycle theory, to remove the cyclical component of a time series from raw data. It is used to obtain a smoothed-curve representation of a time series, one that is more sensitive to long-term than to short-term fluctuations. The adjustment of the sensitivity of the trend to short-term fluctuations is achieved by modifying a multiplier Lambda.
The filter was popularized in the field of economics in the 1990s by economists Robert J. Hodrick and Nobel Memorial Prize winner Edward C. Prescott, though it was first proposed much earlier by E. T. Whittaker in 1923.
There are some drawbacks to use the HP filter than you can read here: en.wikipedia.org
Included
Bar coloring
3 types of signals
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Hodrick-Prescott Channel [Loxx]Hodrick-Prescott Channel is a fast and slow moving average that moves inside a channel. Breakouts are when the fast ma crosses up over the slow ma and breakdowns are the opposite. The white moving average is the fast ma, the slow moving average is the red/green ma.
What is Hodrick–Prescott filter?
The Hodrick–Prescott filter (also known as Hodrick–Prescott decomposition) is a mathematical tool used in macroeconomics, especially in real business cycle theory, to remove the cyclical component of a time series from raw data. It is used to obtain a smoothed-curve representation of a time series, one that is more sensitive to long-term than to short-term fluctuations. The adjustment of the sensitivity of the trend to short-term fluctuations is achieved by modifying a multiplier Lambda.
The filter was popularized in the field of economics in the 1990s by economists Robert J. Hodrick and Nobel Memorial Prize winner Edward C. Prescott, though it was first proposed much earlier by E. T. Whittaker in 1923.
There are some drawbacks to use the HP filter than you can read here: en.wikipedia.org
Included
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
EuroDollar Curve Implied 3M RateChart shows the Eurodollar futures prices latest prices from Sep 22 onwards. Display logic based on LongFiats code. This needs to be readjusted manually every 3 months whenever the front-month expires. Good tool to see where professional eurodollar futures think interest rates will be over the next few years. Check regularly as sentiment changes.
ln(close/20 sma) adjusted for time (BTC)(This indicator was designed for the BTC index chart)
Designed for Bitcoin. Plots the log of the close/20W SMA with a linear offset m*t, where m is the gradient I've chosen and t is the candle index. Anything above 1 is a mania phase/market cycle top. If it peaks around 0.92 and rolls over, it could be a local/market cycle top.
This will obviously not work at all in the long term as Bitcoin will not continue following the trend line on the log plot (you can even see it start to deviate in the Jan-Feb 2021 peaks where the indicator went to 1.15).
It identifies the 2011, 2013 (both of them), 2017 tops as being just above 1. It also identifies the 2019 local peak and 2021 market cycle top at ~0.94.
Feel free to change the gradient or even add a function to curve the straight line eventually. I made this for fun, feel free to use it as you wish.
VIX: Backwardation Vs ContangoVIX: Backwardation Vs Contango
Quickly visualize Contango vs Backwardation in the S&P 500 Volatility Index by plotting the prices of the futures contracts over the next 9 months
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
TO UPDATE(every few months recommended): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of several similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and pin to Scale A to plot on the same scale as price
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Metals:Backwardation/ContangoMETALS: Gold , Silver , Copper ( GC , SI, HG)
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Gold ( GC ); 21 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Grains:Backwardation/ContangoGRAINS: Wheat , Soybeans , Corn (ZW, ZS, ZC )
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
The above chart shows a nice example of backwardation.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Wheat (ZW); 15 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Meats: Backwardation/CantangoMEATS: Live Cattle , Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs (LE, GF , HE)
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does NOT map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Live Cattle (LE); 8 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
MTF DSS (Double Smoothed Stochastic) [TH]The Double Smoothed Stochastic indicator was created by William Blau.
The DSS ranges from 0 to 100, like the standard Stochastic Oscillator.
The same rules of interpretation apply to Stochastics can be applied to DSS, although the DSS offers a much smoother curve than the raw Stochastic.
How it works:
It applies Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of two different periods to a standard Stochastic %K.
The components that construct the Stochastic Oscillator are first smoothed with the two EMAs.
Then, the smoothed components are plugged into the standard Stochastic formula to calculate the indicator.
Calculation:
EMA of the ( EMA of the (Close – Lowest Low for the specified period) )
Divided by
EMA of the ( EMA of the (Highest High for the specified period – Lowest Low for the specified period) )
X 100
How to add alerts:
Check off each piece of criteria you want for the alerts, then select Okay.
Then go to 'Create Alert' and set the condition to 'MTF DSS', select create.
US/CA Bond Yield CurveEasy Viewing of 4 different duration bond yields for US and Canada. Bond prices and bond yields are excellent indicators of the economy as a whole, and of inflation in particular. A bond's yield is the discount rate that can be used to make the present value of all of the bond's cash flows equal to its price. Good as part of a macro set.
AMASling - All Moving Average Sling ShotThis indicator modifies the SlingShot System by Chris Moody to allow it to be based on 'any' Fast and Slow moving average pair. Open Long / Close Long / Open Short / Close Short alerts can be generated for automated bot trading based on the SlingShot strategy:
• Conservative Entry = Fast MA above Slow MA, and previous bar close below Fast MA, and current price above Fast MA
• Conservative Entry = Fast MA below Slow MA, and previous bar close above Fast MA, and current price below Fast MA
• Aggressive Entry = Fast MA above Slow MA, and price below Fast MA
• Aggressive Exit = Fast MA below Slow MA, and price above Fast MA
Entries and exits can also be made based on moving average crossovers, I initially put this in to make it easy to compare to a more standard strategy, but upon backtesting combining crossovers with the SlingShot appeared to produce better results on some charts.
Alerts can also be filtered to allow long deals only when the fast moving average is above the slow moving average (uptrend) and short deals only when the fast moving average is below the slow moving averages (downtrend).
If you have a strategy that can buy based on External Indicators you can use the 'Backtest Signal' which plots the values set in the 'Long / Short Signals' section.
The Fast, Slow and Signal Moving Averages can be set to:
• Simple Moving Average (SMA)
• Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
• Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
• Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
• Hull Moving Average (HMA)
• Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (RMA) (SMMA)
• Linear regression curve Moving Average (LSMA)
• Double EMA (DEMA)
• Double SMA (DSMA)
• Double WMA (DWMA)
• Double RMA (DRMA)
• Triple EMA (TEMA)
• Triple SMA (TSMA)
• Triple WMA (TWMA)
• Triple RMA (TRMA)
• Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) ** length does not apply **
• Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
• Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA)
• Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA)
'Backtest Signal' and 'Deal State' are plotted to display.none, so change the Style Settings for the chart if you need to see them for testing.
Yes I did choose the name because 'It's Amasling!'
