Dynamic Volatility Differential Model (DVDM)The Dynamic Volatility Differential Model (DVDM) is a quantitative trading strategy designed to exploit the spread between implied volatility (IV) and historical (realized) volatility (HV). This strategy identifies trading opportunities by dynamically adjusting thresholds based on the standard deviation of the volatility spread. The DVDM is versatile and applicable across various markets, including equity indices, commodities, and derivatives such as the FDAX (DAX Futures).
Key Components of the DVDM:
1. Implied Volatility (IV):
The IV is derived from options markets and reflects the market’s expectation of future price volatility. For instance, the strategy uses volatility indices such as the VIX (S&P 500), VXN (Nasdaq 100), or RVX (Russell 2000), depending on the target market. These indices serve as proxies for market sentiment and risk perception (Whaley, 2000).
2. Historical Volatility (HV):
The HV is computed from the log returns of the underlying asset’s price. It represents the actual volatility observed in the market over a defined lookback period, adjusted to annualized levels using a multiplier of \sqrt{252} for daily data (Hull, 2012).
3. Volatility Spread:
The difference between IV and HV forms the volatility spread, which is a measure of divergence between market expectations and actual market behavior.
4. Dynamic Thresholds:
Unlike static thresholds, the DVDM employs dynamic thresholds derived from the standard deviation of the volatility spread. The thresholds are scaled by a user-defined multiplier, ensuring adaptability to market conditions and volatility regimes (Christoffersen & Jacobs, 2004).
Trading Logic:
1. Long Entry:
A long position is initiated when the volatility spread exceeds the upper dynamic threshold, signaling that implied volatility is significantly higher than realized volatility. This condition suggests potential mean reversion, as markets may correct inflated risk premiums.
2. Short Entry:
A short position is initiated when the volatility spread falls below the lower dynamic threshold, indicating that implied volatility is significantly undervalued relative to realized volatility. This signals the possibility of increased market uncertainty.
3. Exit Conditions:
Positions are closed when the volatility spread crosses the zero line, signifying a normalization of the divergence.
Advantages of the DVDM:
1. Adaptability:
Dynamic thresholds allow the strategy to adjust to changing market conditions, making it suitable for both low-volatility and high-volatility environments.
2. Quantitative Precision:
The use of standard deviation-based thresholds enhances statistical reliability and reduces subjectivity in decision-making.
3. Market Versatility:
The strategy’s reliance on volatility metrics makes it universally applicable across asset classes and markets, ensuring robust performance.
Scientific Relevance:
The strategy builds on empirical research into the predictive power of implied volatility over realized volatility (Poon & Granger, 2003). By leveraging the divergence between these measures, the DVDM aligns with findings that IV often overestimates future volatility, creating opportunities for mean-reversion trades. Furthermore, the inclusion of dynamic thresholds aligns with risk management best practices by adapting to volatility clustering, a well-documented phenomenon in financial markets (Engle, 1982).
References:
1. Christoffersen, P., & Jacobs, K. (2004). The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39(2), 375-397.
2. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007.
3. Hull, J. C. (2012). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
4. Poon, S. H., & Granger, C. W. J. (2003). Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review. Journal of Economic Literature, 41(2), 478-539.
5. Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
This strategy leverages quantitative techniques and statistical rigor to provide a systematic approach to volatility trading, making it a valuable tool for professional traders and quantitative analysts.
在腳本中搜尋"entry"
Forex Pair Yield Momentum This Pine Script strategy leverages yield differentials between the 2-year government bond yields of two countries to trade Forex pairs. Yield spreads are widely regarded as a fundamental driver of currency movements, as highlighted by international finance theories like the Interest Rate Parity (IRP), which suggests that currencies with higher yields tend to appreciate due to increased capital flows:
1. Dynamic Yield Spread Calculation:
• The strategy dynamically calculates the yield spread (yield_a - yield_b) for the chosen Forex pair.
• Example: For GBP/USD, the spread equals US 2Y Yield - UK 2Y Yield.
2. Momentum Analysis via Bollinger Bands:
• Yield momentum is computed as the difference between the current spread and its moving
Bollinger Bands are applied to identify extreme deviations:
• Long Entry: When momentum crosses below the lower band.
• Short Entry: When momentum crosses above the upper band.
3. Reversal Logic:
• An optional checkbox reverses the trading logic, allowing long trades at the upper band and short trades at the lower band, accommodating different market conditions.
4. Trade Management:
• Positions are held for a predefined number of bars (hold_periods), and each trade uses a fixed contract size of 100 with a starting capital of $20,000.
Theoretical Basis:
1. Yield Differentials and Currency Movements:
• Empirical studies, such as Clarida et al. (2009), confirm that interest rate differentials significantly impact exchange rate dynamics, especially in carry trade strategies .
• Higher-yields tend to appreciate against lower-yielding currencies due to speculative flows and demand for higher returns.
2. Bollinger Bands for Momentum:
• Bollinger Bands effectively capture deviations in yield momentum, identifying opportunities where price returns to equilibrium (mean reversion) or extends in trend-following scenarios (momentum breakout).
• As Bollinger (2001) emphasized, this tool adapts to market volatility by dynamically adjusting thresholds .
References:
1. Dornbusch, R. (1976). Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics. Journal of Political Economy.
2. Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1996). Foundations of International Macroeconomics.
3. Clarida, R., Davis, J., & Pedersen, N. (2009). Currency Carry Trade Regimes. NBER.
4. Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands.
5. Mendelsohn, L. B. (2006). Forex Trading Using Intermarket Analysis.
Trend Trader-Remastered StrategyOfficial Strategy for Trend Trader - Remastered
Indicator: Trend Trader-Remastered (TTR)
Overview:
The Trend Trader-Remastered is a refined and highly sophisticated implementation of the Parabolic SAR designed to create strategic buy and sell entry signals, alongside precision take profit and re-entry signals based on marked Bill Williams (BW) fractals. Built with a deep emphasis on clarity and accuracy, this indicator ensures that only relevant and meaningful signals are generated, eliminating any unnecessary entries or exits.
Please check the indicator details and updates via the link above.
Important Disclosure:
My primary objective is to provide realistic strategies and a code base for the TradingView Community. Therefore, the default settings of the strategy version of the indicator have been set to reflect realistic world trading scenarios and best practices.
Key Features:
Strategy execution date&time range.
Take Profit Reduction Rate: The percentage of progressive reduction on active position size for take profit signals.
Example:
TP Reduce: 10%
Entry Position Size: 100
TP1: 100 - 10 = 90
TP2: 90 - 9 = 81
Re-Entry When Rate: The percentage of position size on initial entry of the signal to determine re-entry.
Example:
RE When: 50%
Entry Position Size: 100
Re-Entry Condition: Active Position Size < 50
Re-Entry Fill Rate: The percentage of position size on initial entry of the signal to be completed.
Example:
RE Fill: 75%
Entry Position Size: 100
Active Position Size: 50
Re-Entry Order Size: 25
Final Active Position Size:75
Important: Even RE When condition is met, the active position size required to drop below RE Fill rate to trigger re-entry order.
Key Points:
'Process Orders on Close' is enabled as Take Profit and Re-Entry signals must be executed on candle close.
'Calculate on Every Tick' is enabled as entry signals are required to be executed within candle time.
'Initial Capital' has been set to 10,000 USD.
'Default Quantity Type' has been set to 'Percent of Equity'.
'Default Quantity' has been set to 10% as the best practice of investing 10% of the assets.
'Currency' has been set to USD.
'Commission Type' has been set to 'Commission Percent'
'Commission Value' has been set to 0.05% to reflect the most realistic results with a common taker fee value.
Swing High/Low Pivots Strategy [LV]The Swing High/Low Pivots Strategy was developed as a counter-momentum trading tool.
The strategy is suitable for any market and the default values used in the input settings menu are set for Bitcoin (best on 15min). These values, expressed in minimum ticks (or pips if symbol is Forex) make this tool perfectly adaptable to every symbol and/or timeframe.
Check tooltips in the settings menu for more details about every user input.
STRTEGY ENTRY & EXIT MECHANISMS:
Trades Entry based on the detection of swing highs and lows for short and long entries respectively, validated by:
- Limit orders placed after each new pivot level confirmation
- Moving averages trend filter (if enabled)
- No active trade currently open
Trades Exit when the price reaches take-profit or stop-loss level as defined in the settings menu. A double entry/second take-profit level can be enabled for partial exits, with dynamic stop-loss adjustment for the remaining position.
Enhanced Trade Precision:
By limiting entries to confirmed swing high (HH, LH) or swing low (HL, LL) pivot points, the strategy ensures that trades occur at levels of significant price reversals. This precision reduces the likelihood of entering trades in the midst of a trend or during uncertain price action.
Risk Management Optimization:
The strategy incorporates clearly defined stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels derived from the pivot points. This structured approach minimizes potential losses while locking in profits, which is critical for consistent performance in volatile markets.
Trend Filtering for Better Entry:
The use of a configurable moving average filter adds a layer of trend validation. This prevents entering trades against the dominant market trend, increasing the probability of success for each trade.
Avoidance of Noise:
The lookback period (length parameter) confirms pivots only after a set number of bars, effectively filtering out market noise and ensuring that entries are based on reliable, well-defined price movements.
Adaptability Across Markets:
The strategy is versatile and can be applied across different markets (Forex, stocks, crypto) due to its dynamic use of ticks and pips converters. It adapts seamlessly to varying price scales and asset types.
Dual Quantity Entries:
The original and optionnal double-entry mechanism allows traders to capture both short-term and extended profits by scaling out of positions. This adaptive approach caters to varying risk appetites and market conditions.
Clear Visualization:
The plotted pivot points, entry limits, SL, and TP levels provide visual clarity, making it easy for traders to track the strategy's behavior and make informed decisions.
Automated Execution with Alerts:
Integrated alerts for both entries and exits ensure timely actions without the need for constant market monitoring, enhancing efficiency. Configurable alert messages are suitable for API use.
Any feedback, comments, or suggestions for improvement are always welcome.
Hope you enjoy!
3_SMA_Strategy_V-Singhal by ParthibIndicator Name: 3_SMA_Strategy_V-Singhal by Parthib
Description:
The 3_SMA_Strategy_V-Singhal by Parthib is a dynamic trend-following strategy that combines three key simple moving averages (SMA) — SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200 — to generate buy and sell signals. This strategy uses these SMAs to capture and follow market trends, helping traders identify optimal entry (buy) and exit (sell) points. Additionally, the strategy highlights the closing price (CP), which plays a critical role in confirming buy and sell signals.
The strategy also features a Second Buy Signal triggered if the price falls more than 10% after an initial buy signal, providing a re-entry opportunity with a different visual highlight for the second buy signal.
Features:
Three Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
SMA 20: Short-term moving average reflecting immediate market trends.
SMA 50: Medium-term moving average showing the prevailing trend.
SMA 200: Long-term moving average that indicates the overall market trend.
Buy Signal (B1):
Triggered when:
SMA 200 > SMA 50 > SMA 20, indicating a bullish market structure.
The closing price is positioned below all three SMAs, confirming a potential upward reversal.
A green label appears at the low of the bar with the text B1-Price, indicating the price at which the buy signal is generated.
Second Buy Signal (B2):
Triggered if the price falls more than 10% after the first buy signal, providing an opportunity to re-enter the market at a potentially better price.
A blue label appears at the low of the bar with the text B2-Price, showing the price at which the second buy opportunity arises.
Sell Signal (S):
Triggered when:
SMA 20 > SMA 50 > SMA 200, indicating a bearish trend.
The closing price (CP) is positioned above all three SMAs, confirming a potential downward movement.
A red label appears at the high of the bar with the text S-Price, showing the price at which the sell signal is triggered.
How It Works:
Buy Conditions:
SMA 200 > SMA 50 > SMA 20: Indicates a bullish market where the long-term trend (SMA 200) is above the medium-term (SMA 50), and the medium-term trend is above the short-term (SMA 20).
Closing price below all three SMAs: Confirms that the price is in a favorable position for a potential upward reversal.
Sell Conditions:
SMA 20 > SMA 50 > SMA 200: This setup indicates a bearish trend.
Closing price above all three SMAs: Confirms that the price is in a favorable position for a potential downward movement.
Second Buy Signal (B2): If the price falls more than 10% after the first buy signal, the strategy triggers a second buy opportunity (B2) at a potentially better price. This helps traders take advantage of pullbacks or corrections after an initial favorable entry.
Labeling System:
B1-Price: The first buy signal label, appearing when the market is bullish and the closing price is below all three SMAs.
B2-Price: The second buy signal label, triggered if the price falls more than 10% after the initial buy signal.
S-Price: The sell signal label, appearing when the market turns bearish and the closing price is above all three SMAs.
How to Use:
Add the Indicator: Add "3_SMA_Strategy_V-Singhal by Parthib" to your chart on TradingView.
Interpret Buy Signals (B1): Look for green labels with the text "B1-Price" when the closing price (CP) is below all three SMAs and the trend is bullish.
Interpret Second Buy Signals (B2): If the price falls more than 10% after the first buy, look for blue labels with "B2-Price" and a re-entry opportunity.
Interpret Sell Signals (S): Look for red labels with the text "S-Price" when the market turns bearish, and the closing price (CP) is above all three SMAs.
Conclusion:
The 3_SMA_Strategy_V-Singhal by Parthib is an efficient and simple trend-following tool for traders looking to make informed buy and sell decisions. By combining the power of three SMAs and the closing price (CP) confirmation, this strategy helps traders to buy when the market shows a strong bullish setup and sell when the trend turns bearish. Additionally, the second buy signal feature ensures that traders don’t miss out on re-entry opportunities after price corrections, giving them a chance to re-enter the market at a favorable price.
Momentum Zones [TradersPro]OVERVIEW
The Momentum Zones indicator is designed for momentum stock traders to provide a visible trend structure with actionable price levels. The indicator has been designed for high-growth, bullish stocks on a daily time frame but can be used on any chart and timeframe.
Momentum zones help traders focus on the momentum structure of price, enabling disciplined trading plans with specific entry, exit, and risk management levels.
It is built using CCI values, allowing for fixed trend range calculations. It is most effective when applied to screens of stocks with high RSI, year-to-date (YTD) price gains of 25% or higher, as well as stocks showing growth in both sales and earnings quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.
CONCEPTS
The indicator defines and colors uptrends (green), downtrends (red), and trends in transition or pausing (yellow).
The indicator can be used for new trend entry or trend continuation entry. New trend entry can be done on the first green bar after a red bar. Trend continuation entries can be done with the first green bar after a yellow bar. The yellow transition zones can be used as price buffers for stop-loss management on new entries.
To see the color changes, users need to be sure to uncheck the candlestick color settings. This can be done by right-clicking the chart, going to Symbols, and unchecking the candle color body, border, and wick boxes.
Remember to check them if the indicator is turned off, or the candles will be blank with no color.
The settings also correspond to the screening function to get a list of stocks entering various momentum zones so you can have a prime list of the stocks meeting any other fundamental criteria you may desire. Traders can then use the indicator for the entry and risk structure of the trading plan.
Adaptive MA Crossover with ATR-Based Risk MarkersDescription:
The Cross MA Entry Indicator with ATR-Based Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Markers is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify trend-following opportunities while managing risk effectively. By combining customizable moving average (MA) crossovers with ATR-based stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) markers, this indicator provides a complete entry and risk management framework in a single script.
Unique Features:
1. Versatile Moving Average Combinations: The indicator allows users to select from four types of moving averages—SMA, EMA, DEMA, and TEMA—for both fast and slow lines, enabling a variety of crossover configurations. This flexibility helps traders tailor entry signals to specific trading strategies, asset types, or market conditions, enhancing the adaptability of the indicator across different styles and preferences.
2. ATR-Based Dynamic Risk Management: Leveraging the Average True Range (ATR), the indicator dynamically calculates stop-loss and take-profit levels based on market volatility. This approach adjusts to changing market conditions, making it more responsive and reliable for setting realistic, volatility-based risk parameters.
3. Customizable Risk/Reward Ratio: Users can define their preferred risk/reward ratio (e.g., 2:1, 3:1) to tailor take-profit levels relative to stop-loss distances. This feature empowers traders to align trades with their individual risk management strategies and objectives, while maintaining consistency and discipline in execution.
4. Streamlined Visualization of Entry and Risk Levels: Upon a crossover, the indicator places discrete markers at the calculated SL and TP levels, avoiding clutter while providing traders with an immediate view of potential risk and reward. Small dots represent SL and TP levels, offering a clean, clear display of critical decision points.
How to Use:
1. Entry Signals from MA Crossovers: This indicator generates entry signals when the selected moving averages cross, with green markers indicating long entries and red markers indicating short entries. The customizable MA selection enables traders to optimize crossover signals for various timeframes and asset classes.
2. Integrated Risk Markers: SL and TP levels are shown as small dots at the crossover point, based on the ATR multiplier and risk/reward ratio settings. These markers allow traders to quickly visualize the defined risk and potential reward for each entry.
This indicator offers a comprehensive solution for trend-following strategies by combining entry signals with adaptive risk management. Suitable for multiple timeframes, it allows for backtesting and adjustments to ATR and risk/reward parameters for improved alignment with individual trading goals. As with all strategies, thorough testing is recommended to ensure compatibility with your trading approach.
Stoch RSI and RSI Buy/Sell Signals with MACD Trend FilterDescription of the Indicator
This Pine Script is designed to provide traders with buy and sell signals based on the combination of Stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD indicators, enhanced by the confirmation of candle colors. The primary goal is to facilitate informed trading decisions in various market conditions by utilizing different indicators and their interactions. The script allows customization of various parameters, providing flexibility for traders to adapt it to their specific trading styles.
Usefulness
This indicator is not just a mashup of existing indicators; it integrates the functionality of multiple momentum and trend-detection methods into a cohesive trading tool. The combination of Stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD offers a well-rounded approach to analyzing market conditions, allowing traders to identify entry and exit points effectively. The inclusion of color-coded signals (strong vs. weak) further enhances its utility by providing visual cues about the strength of the signals.
How to Use This Indicator
Input Settings: Adjust the parameters for the Stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD to fit your trading style. Set the overbought/oversold levels according to your risk tolerance.
Signal Colors:
Strong Buy Signal: Indicated by a green label and confirmed by a green candle (close > open).
Weak Buy Signal: Indicated by a blue label and confirmed by a green candle (close > open).
Strong Sell Signal: Indicated by a red label and confirmed by a red candle (close < open).
Weak Sell Signal: Indicated by an orange label and confirmed by a red candle (close < open).
Example Trading Strategy Using This Indicator
To effectively use this indicator as part of your trading strategy, follow these detailed steps:
Setup:
Timeframe : Select a timeframe that aligns with your trading style (e.g., 15-minute for intraday, 1-hour for swing trading, or daily for longer-term positions).
Indicator Settings : Customize the Stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD parameters to suit your trading approach. Adjust overbought/oversold levels to match your risk tolerance.
Strategy:
1. Strong Buy Entry Criteria :
Wait for a strong buy signal (green label) when the RSI is at or below the oversold level (e.g., ≤ 35), indicating a deeply oversold market. Confirm that the MACD shows a decreasing trend (bearish momentum weakening) to validate a potential reversal. Ensure the current candle is green (close > open) if candle color confirmation is enabled.
Example Use : On a 1-hour chart, if the RSI drops below 35, MACD shows three consecutive bars of decreasing negative momentum, and a green candle forms, enter a buy position. This setup signals a robust entry with strong momentum backing it.
2. Weak Buy Entry Criteria :
Monitor for weak buy signals (blue label) when RSI is above the oversold level but still below the neutral (e.g., between 36 and 50). This indicates a market recovering from an oversold state but not fully reversing yet. These signals can be used for early entries with additional confirmations, such as support levels or higher timeframe trends.
Example Use : On the same 1-hour chart, if RSI is at 45, the MACD shows momentum stabilizing (not necessarily negative), and a green candle appears, consider a partial or cautious entry. Use this as an early warning for a potential bullish move, especially when higher timeframe indicators align.
3. Strong Sell Entry Criteria :
Look for a strong sell signal (red label) when RSI is at or above the overbought level (e.g., ≥ 65), signaling a strong overbought condition. The MACD should show three consecutive bars of increasing positive momentum to indicate that the bullish trend is weakening. Ensure the current candle is red (close < open) if candle color confirmation is enabled.
Example Use : If RSI reaches 70, MACD shows increasing momentum that starts to level off, and a red candle forms on a 1-hour chart, initiate a short position with a stop loss set above recent resistance. This is a high-confidence signal for potential price reversal or pullback.
4. Weak Sell Entry Criteria :
Use weak sell signals (orange label) when RSI is between the neutral and overbought levels (e.g., between 50 and 64). These can indicate potential short opportunities that might not yet be fully mature but are worth monitoring. Look for other confirmations like resistance levels or trendline touches to strengthen the signal.
Example Use : If RSI reads 60 on a 1-hour chart, and the MACD shows slight positive momentum with signs of slowing down, place a cautious sell position or scale out of existing long positions. This setup allows you to prepare for a possible downtrend.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss : For buy trades, place stop losses below recent swing lows. For sell trades, set stops above recent swing highs to manage risk effectively.
Take Profit : Target nearby resistance or support levels, apply risk-to-reward ratios (e.g., 1:2), or use trailing stops to lock in profits as price moves in your favor.
Confirmation : Align these signals with broader trends on higher timeframes. For example, if you receive a weak buy signal on a 15-minute chart, check the 1-hour or daily chart to ensure the overall trend is not bearish.
Real-World Example: Imagine trading on a 15-minute chart :
For a buy:
A strong buy signal (green) appears when the RSI dips to 32, MACD shows declining bearish momentum, and a green candle forms. Enter a buy position with a stop loss below the most recent support level.
Alternatively, a weak buy signal (blue) appears when RSI is at 47. Use this as a signal to start monitoring the market closely or enter a smaller position if other indicators (like support and volume analysis) align.
For a sell:
A strong sell signal (red) with RSI at 72 and a red candle signals to short with conviction. Place your stop loss just above the last peak.
A weak sell signal (orange) with RSI at 62 might prompt caution but can still be acted on if confirmed by declining volume or touching a resistance level.
These strategies show how to blend both strong and weak signals into your trading for more nuanced decision-making.
Technical Analysis of the Code
1. Stochastic RSI Calculation:
The script calculates the Stochastic RSI (stochRsiK) using the RSI as input and smooths it with a moving average (stochRsiD).
Code Explanation : ta.stoch(rsi, rsi, rsi, stochLength) computes the Stochastic RSI, and ta.sma(stochRsiK, stochSmoothing) applies smoothing.
2. RSI Calculation :
The RSI is computed over a user-defined period and checks for overbought or oversold conditions.
Code Explanation : rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsiLength) calculates RSI values.
3. MACD Trend Filter :
MACD is calculated with fast, slow, and signal lengths, identifying trends via three consecutive bars moving in the same direction.
Code Explanation : = ta.macd(close, macdLengthFast, macdLengthSlow, macdSignalLength) sets MACD values. Conditions like macdLine < macdLine confirm trends.
4. Buy and Sell Conditions :
The script checks Stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD values to set buy/sell flags. Candle color filters further confirm valid entries.
Code Explanation : buyConditionMet and sellConditionMet logically check all conditions and toggles (enableStochCondition, enableRSICondition, etc.).
5. Signal Flags and Confirmation :
Flags track when conditions are met and ensure signals only appear on appropriate candle colors.
Code Explanation : Conditional blocks (if statements) update buyFlag and sellFlag.
6. Labels and Alerts :
The indicator plots "BUY" or "SELL" labels with the RSI value when signals trigger and sets alerts through alertcondition().
Code Explanation : label.new() displays the signal, color-coded for strength based on RSI.
NOTE : All strategies can be enabled or disabled in the settings, allowing traders to customize the indicator to their preferences and trading styles.
Harmony Signal Flow By ArunThis Pine Script strategy, titled "Harmony Signal Flow By Arun," uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to generate buy and sell signals based on custom thresholds. The script incorporates stop-loss and target management and restricts new trades until the previous position closes. Here's a detailed description:
Custom RSI Metric:
The strategy calculates a 5-period RSI based on the closing price, aiming for a more responsive measure of price momentum.
RSI thresholds are defined:
Lower threshold (30): Indicates oversold conditions, triggering a potential buy.
Upper threshold (70): Indicates overbought conditions, prompting a possible sell.
Entry Conditions:
Buy Signal: The strategy initiates a buy order when the RSI crosses above the lower threshold (30), indicating a shift from oversold conditions.
Sell Signal: A sell order is triggered when the RSI crosses below the upper threshold (70), suggesting an overbought reversal.
Only one order (buy or sell) can be active at a time, ensuring that a new trade begins only when there’s no existing position.
Stop-Loss and Target Management:
For each trade, stop-loss and target conditions are applied to manage risk and secure profits.
For Buy Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points below the entry price.
Target is set 150 points above the entry price.
For Sell Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points above the entry price.
Target is 150 points below the entry price.
The strategy closes the trade when either the stop-loss or target is met, marking the trade as "closed" and allowing a new trade entry.
Trade Sequencing:
A new trade (buy or sell) is only permitted after the previous position hits either its stop-loss or target, preventing overlapping trades and ensuring clear trade sequences.
This sequential approach enhances risk management by ensuring only one active position at any time.
End-of-Day Closure:
All open positions are closed automatically at 3:25 PM (Indian market time) to avoid overnight exposure, ensuring the strategy remains strictly intraday.
The flag for trade entry is reset at the end of each day, enabling fresh trades the next day.
Chart Indicators:
The script plots buy and sell signals directly on the chart with visible labels.
It also displays the custom RSI metric with horizontal lines for the lower and upper thresholds, providing visual cues for entry and exit points.
Summary
This strategy is a momentum-based intraday trading approach that uses the RSI for identifying potential reversals and manages trades through predefined stop-loss and target levels. By enforcing trade sequencing and closing positions at the end of the trading day, it prioritizes risk management and seeks to capitalize on short-term trends while avoiding overnight market risks.
Price Action StrategyThe **Price Action Strategy** is a tool designed to capture potential market reversals by utilizing classic reversal candlestick patterns such as Hammer, Shooting Star, Doji, and Pin Bar near dinamic support and resistance levels.
***Note to moderators
- The moving average was removed from the strategy because it was not suitable for the strategy and not participating in the entry or exit criteria.
- The moving average length has been replaced/renamed by the support/resistance lenght.
- The bullish engulfing and bearish engulfing patterns were also removed because in practice they were not working as entry criteria, since the candle price invariably closes far from the support/resistance level even considering the sensitivity range. There was no change in the backtest results after removing these patterns.
### Key Elements of the Strategy
1. Support and Resistance Levels
- Support and resistance are pivotal price levels where the asset has previously struggled to move lower (support) or higher (resistance). These levels act as psychological barriers where buying interest (at support) or selling interest (at resistance) often increases, potentially causing price reversals.
- In this strategy, support is calculated as the lowest low and resistance as the highest high over a 16-period length. When the price nears these levels, it indicates possible zones for a reversal, and the strategy looks for specific candlestick patterns to confirm an entry.
2. Candlestick Patterns
- This strategy uses classic reversal patterns, including:
- **Hammer**: Indicates a buy signal, suggesting rejection of lower prices.
- **Shooting Star**: Suggests a sell signal, showing rejection of higher prices.
- **Doji**: Reflects indecision and potential reversal.
- **Pin Bar**: Represents price rejection with a long shadow, often signaling a reversal.
By combining these reversal patterns with the proximity to dinamic support or resistance levels, the strategy aims to capture potential reversal movements.
3. Sensitivity Level
- The sensitivity parameter adjusts the acceptable range (Default 0.018 = 1.8%) around support and resistance levels within which reversal patterns can trigger trades (i.e. the closing price of the candle must occur within the specified range defined by the sensitivity parameter). A higher sensitivity value expands this range, potentially leading to less accurate signals, as it may allow for more false positives.
4. Entry Criteria
- **Buy (Long)**: A Hammer, Doji, or Pin Bar pattern near support.
- **Sell (Short)**: A Shooting Star, Doji, or Pin Bar near resistance.
5. Exit criteria
- Take profit = 9.5%
- Stop loss = 16%
6. No Repainting
- The Price Action Strategy is not subject to repainting.
7. Position Sizing by Equity and risk management
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. The stop loss is set to 16% from the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity and stop loss can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
8. Backtest results
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtest and operations in replay mode on **1000000MOGUSDT.P**, with the inclusion of transaction fees at 0.12% and slipagge of 5 ticks, and the past results have shown consistent profitability. Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
9. Chart Visualization
- Support and resistance levels are displayed as green (support) and red (resistance) lines.
- Only the candlestick pattern that generated the entry signal to triger the trade is identified and labeled on the chart. During the operation, the occurrence of new Doji, Pin Bar, Hammer and Shooting Star patterns will not be demonstrated on the chart, since the exit criteria are based on percentage take profit and stop loss.
Doji:
Pin Bar and Doji
Shooting Star and Doji
Hammer
10. Default settings
Chart timeframe: 20 min
Moving average lenght: 16
Sensitivity: 0.018
Stop loss (%): 16
Take Profit (%): 9.5
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Supertrend StrategyThe Supertrend Strategy was created based on the Supertrend and Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators, widely respected tools in technical analysis. This strategy combines these two indicators to capture market trends with precision and reliability, looking for optimizing exit levels at oversold or overbought price levels.
The Supertrend indicator identifies trend direction based on price and volatility by using the Average True Range (ATR). The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between an asset’s high and low prices over a set period. It provides insight into price fluctuations, with higher ATR values indicating increased volatility and lower values suggesting stability. The Supertrend Indicator plots a line above or below the price, signaling potential buy or sell opportunities: when the price closes above the Supertrend line, an uptrend is indicated, while a close below the line suggests a downtrend. This line shifts as price movements and volatility levels change, acting as both a trailing stop loss and trend confirmation.
To enhance the Supertrend strategy, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been added as an exit criterion. As a momentum oscillator, the RSI indicates overbought (usually above 70) or oversold (usually below 30) conditions. This integration allows trades to close when the asset is overbought or oversold, capturing gains before a possible reversal, even if the percentage take profit level has not been reached. This mechanism aims to prevent losses due to market reversals before the Supertrend signal changes.
### Key Features
1. **Entry criteria**:
- The strategy uses the Supertrend indicator calculated by adding or subtracting a multiple of the ATR from the closing price, depending on the trend direction.
- When the price crosses above the Supertrend line, the strategy signals a long (buy) entry. Conversely, when the price crosses below, it signals a short (sell) entry.
- The strategy performs a reversal if there is an open position and a change in the direction of the supertrend occurs
2. **Exit criteria**:
- Take profit of 30% (default) on the average position price.
- Oversold (≤ 5) or overbought (≥ 95) RSI
- Reversal when there is a change in direction of the Supertrend
3. **No Repainting**:
- This strategy is not subject to repainting, as long as the timeframe configured on your chart is the same as the supertrend timeframe .
4. **Position Sizing by Equity and risk management**:
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. At the time of opening the position, the supertrend line is typically positioned at about 12 to 16% of the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
5. **Backtest results**:
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtesting and operations in replay mode, including transaction fees of 0.12%, and slippage of 5 ticks.
- The past results in deep backtest and replay mode were compatible and profitable (Variable results depending on the take profit used, supertrend and RSI parameters). However, it should be noted that few operations were evaluated, since the currency in question has been created for a short time and the frequency of operations is relatively small.
- Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
Default Settings
Chart timeframe: 2h
Supertrend Factor: 3.42
ATR period: 14
Supertrend timeframe: 2 h
RSI timeframe: 15 min
RSI Lenght: 5 min
RSI Upper limit: 95
RSI Lower Limit: 5
Take Profit: 30%
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
ICT Master Suite [Trading IQ]Hello Traders!
We’re excited to introduce the ICT Master Suite by TradingIQ, a new tool designed to bring together several ICT concepts and strategies in one place.
The Purpose Behind the ICT Master Suite
There are a few challenges traders often face when using ICT-related indicators:
Many available indicators focus on one or two ICT methods, which can limit traders who apply a broader range of ICT related techniques on their charts.
There aren't many indicators for ICT strategy models, and we couldn't find ICT indicators that allow for testing the strategy models and setting alerts.
Many ICT related concepts exist in the public domain as indicators, not strategies! This makes it difficult to verify that the ICT concept has some utility in the market you're trading and if it's worth trading - it's difficult to know if it's working!
Some users might not have enough chart space to apply numerous ICT related indicators, which can be restrictive for those wanting to use multiple ICT techniques simultaneously.
The ICT Master Suite is designed to offer a comprehensive option for traders who want to apply a variety of ICT methods. By combining several ICT techniques and strategy models into one indicator, it helps users maximize their chart space while accessing multiple tools in a single slot.
Additionally, the ICT Master Suite was developed as a strategy . This means users can backtest various ICT strategy models - including deep backtesting. A primary goal of this indicator is to let traders decide for themselves what markets to trade ICT concepts in and give them the capability to figure out if the strategy models are worth trading!
What Makes the ICT Master Suite Different
There are many ICT-related indicators available on TradingView, each offering valuable insights. What the ICT Master Suite aims to do is bring together a wider selection of these techniques into one tool. This includes both key ICT methods and strategy models, allowing traders to test and activate strategies all within one indicator.
Features
The ICT Master Suite offers:
Multiple ICT strategy models, including the 2022 Strategy Model and Unicorn Model, which can be built, tested, and used for live trading.
Calculation and display of key price areas like Breaker Blocks, Rejection Blocks, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Equal Levels, and more.
The ability to set alerts based on these ICT strategies and key price areas.
A comprehensive, yet practical, all-inclusive ICT indicator for traders.
Customizable Timeframe - Calculate ICT concepts on off-chart timeframes
Unicorn Strategy Model
2022 Strategy Model
Liquidity Raid Strategy Model
OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) Strategy Model
Silver Bullet Strategy Model
Order blocks
Breaker blocks
Rejection blocks
FVG
Strong highs and lows
Displacements
Liquidity sweeps
Power of 3
ICT Macros
HTF previous bar high and low
Break of Structure indications
Market Structure Shift indications
Equal highs and lows
Swings highs and swing lows
Fibonacci TPs and SLs
Swing level TPs and SLs
Previous day high and low TPs and SLs
And much more! An ongoing project!
How To Use
Many traders will already be familiar with the ICT related concepts listed above, and will find using the ICT Master Suite quite intuitive!
Despite this, let's go over the features of the tool in-depth and how to use the tool!
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite with almost all techniques activated.
ICT 2022 Strategy Model
The ICT Master suite provides the ability to test, set alerts for, and live trade the ICT 2022 Strategy Model.
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the 2022 ICT model.
A liquidity sweep occurs prior to an upside breakout. During the upside breakout the model looks for the FVG that is nearest 50% of the setup range. A limit order is placed at this FVG for entry.
The target entry percentage for the range is customizable in the settings. For instance, you can select to enter at an FVG nearest 33% of the range, 20%, 66%, etc.
The profit target for the model generally uses the highest high of the range (100%) for longs and the lowest low of the range (100%) for shorts. Stop losses are generally set at 0% of the range.
The image above shows the short model in action!
Whether you decide to follow the 2022 model diligently or not, you can still set alerts when the entry condition is met.
ICT Unicorn Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the ICT Unicorn model.
A lower swing low followed by a higher swing high precedes the overlap of an FVG and breaker block formed during the sequence.
During the upside breakout the model looks for an FVG and breaker block that formed during the sequence and overlap each other. A limit order is placed at the nearest overlap point to current price.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the swing high and the stop loss at the swing low. However, both the profit target and stop loss for this model are configurable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Longs, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing Low
Bottom of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the short version of the Unicorn Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Shorts, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing High
Top of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the profit target and stop loss options in the settings for the Unicorn Model.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the OTE model.
Price retraces either 0.62, 0.705, or 0.79 of an upside move and a trade is entered.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the -0.5 fib level. This is also adjustable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
The image above shows the short version of the OTE Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
Liquidity Raid Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Liquidity Raid Modell.
The user must define the session in the settings (for this example it is 13:30-16:00 NY time).
During the session, the indicator will calculate the session high and session low. Following a “raid” of either the session high or session low (after the session has completed) the script will look for an entry at a recently formed breaker block.
If the session high is raided the script will look for short entries at a bearish breaker block. If the session low is raided the script will look for long entries at a bullish breaker block.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Swing high
User inputted Lib level
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Swing low
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block bottom
The image above shows the short version of the Liquidity Raid Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Swing Low
User inputted Lib level
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Swing High
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block top
Silver Bullet Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Silver Bullet Modell.
During the session, the indicator will determine the higher timeframe bias. If the higher timeframe bias is bullish the strategy will look to enter long at an FVG that forms during the session. If the higher timeframe bias is bearish the indicator will look to enter short at an FVG that forms during the session.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing High Above Entry
Previous Day High
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing Low
Previous Day Low
The image above shows the short version of the Silver Bullet Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing Low Below Entry
Previous Day Low
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing High
Previous Day High
Order blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the order blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Breaker Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the breaker blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Rejection Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling rejection blocks.
The color of the rejection blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Fair Value Gaps
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling fair value gaps.
The color of the fair value gaps, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Additionally, you can select to only show fair values gaps that form after a liquidity sweep. Doing so reduces "noisy" FVGs and focuses on identifying FVGs that form after a significant trading event.
The image above shows the feature enabled. A fair value gap that occurred after a liquidity sweep is shown.
Market Structure
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating market structure shots and break of structures!
The color of MSS and BoS, and whether they should be displayed, are configurable in the settings.
Displacements
The images above show indicator identifying and labeling displacements.
The color of the displacements, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Equal Price Points
The image above shows the indicator identifying and labeling equal highs and equal lows.
The color of the equal levels, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Previous Custom TF High/Low
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating the high and low price for a user-defined timeframe. In this case the previous day’s high and low are calculated.
To illustrate the customizable timeframe function, the image above shows the indicator calculating the previous 4 hour high and low.
Liquidity Sweeps
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to an upside breakout.
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to a downside breakout.
The color and aggressiveness of liquidity sweep identification are adjustable in the settings!
Power Of Three
The image above shows the indicator calculating Po3 for two user-defined higher timeframes!
Macros
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite identifying the ICT macros!
ICT Macros are only displayable on the 5 minute timeframe or less.
Strategy Performance Table
In addition to a full-fledged TradingView backtest for any of the ICT strategy models the indicator offers, a quick-and-easy strategy table exists for the indicator!
The image above shows the strategy performance table in action.
Keep in mind that, because the ICT Master Suite is a strategy script, you can perform fully automatic backtests, deep backtests, easily add commission and portfolio balance and look at pertinent metrics for the ICT strategies you are testing!
Lite Mode
Traders who want the cleanest chart possible can toggle on “Lite Mode”!
In Lite Mode, any neon or “glow” like effects are removed and key levels are marked as strict border boxes. You can also select to remove box borders if that’s what you prefer!
Settings Used For Backtest
For the displayed backtest, a starting balance of $1000 USD was used. A commission of 0.02%, slippage of 2 ticks, a verify price for limit orders of 2 ticks, and 5% of capital investment per order.
A commission of 0.02% was used due to the backtested asset being a perpetual future contract for a crypto currency. The highest commission (lowest-tier VIP) for maker orders on many exchanges is 0.02%. All entered positions take place as maker orders and so do profit target exits. Stop orders exist as stop-market orders.
A slippage of 2 ticks was used to simulate more realistic stop-market orders. A verify limit order settings of 2 ticks was also used. Even though BTCUSDT.P on Binance is liquid, we just want the backtest to be on the safe side. Additionally, the backtest traded 100+ trades over the period. The higher the sample size the better; however, this example test can serve as a starting point for traders interested in ICT concepts.
Community Assistance And Feedback
Given the complexity and idiosyncratic applications of ICT concepts amongst its proponents, the ICT Master Suite’s built-in strategies and level identification methods might not align with everyone's interpretation.
That said, the best we can do is precisely define ICT strategy rules and concepts to a repeatable process, test, and apply them! Whether or not an ICT strategy is trading precisely how you would trade it, seeing the model in action, taking trades, and with performance statistics is immensely helpful in assessing predictive utility.
If you think we missed something, you notice a bug, have an idea for strategy model improvement, please let us know! The ICT Master Suite is an ongoing project that will, ideally, be shaped by the community.
A big thank you to the @PineCoders for their Time Library!
Thank you!
Candle Range Theory | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Candle Range Theory Indicator! This powerful tool offers a strategy built around the Candle Range Theory, which analyzes market movements through the relative size and structure of price candles. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new Candle Range Theory Indicator :
Implementation of the Candle Range Theory
FVG & Order Block Entry Methods
2 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The Candle Range Theory (CRT) indicator operates by identifying significant price movements through the relative size and structure of candlesticks. A key part of the strategy is determining large candles based on their range compared to the Average True Range (ATR) in a higher timeframe. Once identified, a breakout of either the high wick or the low wick of the large candle is required. This breakout is considered a liquidity grab. After that, the indicator waits for confirmation through Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Order Blocks (OBs). The confirmation structure must be the opposite direction of the breakout, for example if the high wick is broken, a bearish FVG is required for the short entry. After a confirmation signal is received, the indicator will trigger entry points based on your chosen entry method (FVG or OB), and exit points will be calculated using either a dynamic ATR-based TP/SL method or fixed percentages. Alerts for Buy, Sell, Take-Proft, and Stop-Loss are available.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator stands out because it combines two highly effective entry methods: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Order Blocks (OBs). You can choose between these strategies depending on market conditions. Additionally, the dynamic TP/SL system uses the ticker's volatility to automatically calculate stop-loss and take-profit targets. The backtesting dashboard provides metrics about the performance of the indicator. You can use it to tune the settings for best use in the current tiker. The Candle Range Theory approach offers more flexibility compared to traditional indicators, allowing for better customization and control based on your risk tolerance.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Higher Timeframe: Customize the higher timeframe for analysis. Recommended combinations include M15 -> H4, H4 -> Daily, Daily -> Weekly, and Weekly -> Monthly.
HTF Candle Size: Define the size of the higher timeframe candles as Big, Normal, or Small to filter valid setups based on their range relative to ATR.
Entry Mode: Choose between FVGs and Order Blocks for your entry triggers.
Require Retracement: Enable this option if you want a retracement to the FVG or OB for entry confirmation.
Show HTF Candle Lines: Toggle to display the higher timeframe candle lines for better visual clarity.
2. Fair Value Gaps
FVG Sensitivity: You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivities resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivities resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
3. Order Blocks
Swing Length: Swing length is used when finding order block formations. Smaller values will result in finding smaller order blocks.
4. TP / SL
TP / SL Method:
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk: The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
Interest Rate Trading (Manually Added Rate Decisions) [TANHEF]Interest Rate Trading: How Interest Rates Can Guide Your Next Move.
How were interest rate decisions added?
All interest rate decision dates were manually retrieved from the 'Record of Policy Actions' and 'Minutes of Actions' on the Federal Reserve's website due to inconsistent dates from other sources. These were manually added as Pine Script currently only identifies rate changes, not pauses.
█ Simple Explanation:
This script is designed for analyzing and backtesting trading strategies based on U.S. interest rate decisions which occur during Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, to make trading decisions. No trading strategy is perfect, and it's important to understand that expectations won't always play out. The script leverages historical interest rate changes, including increases, decreases, and pauses, across multiple economic time periods from 1971 to the present. The tool integrates two key data sources for interest rates—USINTR and FEDFUNDS—to support decision-making around rate-based trades. The focus is on identifying opportunities and tracking trades driven by interest rate movements.
█ Interest Rate Decision Sources:
As noted above, each decision date has been manually added from the 'Record of Policy Actions' and 'Minutes of Actions' documents on the Federal Reserve's website. This includes +50 years of more than 600 rate decisions.
█ Interest Rate Data Sources:
USINTR: Reflects broader U.S. interest rate trends, including Treasury yields and various benchmarks. This is the preferred option as it corresponds well to the rate decision dates.
FEDFUNDS: Tracks the Federal Funds Rate, which is a more specific rate targeted by the Federal Reserve. This does not change on the exact same days as the rate decisions that occur at FOMC meetings.
█ Trade Criteria:
A variety of trading conditions are predefined to suit different trading strategies. These conditions include:
Increase/Decrease: Standard rate increases or decreases.
Double/Triple Increase/Decrease: A series of consecutive changes.
Aggressive Increase/Decrease: Rate changes that exceed recent movements.
Pause: Identification of no changes (pauses) between rate decisions, including double or triple pauses.
Complex Patterns: Combinations of pauses, increases, or decreases, such as "Pause after Increase" or "Pause or Increase."
█ Trade Execution and Exit:
The script allows automated trade execution based on selected criteria:
Auto-Entry: Option to enter trades automatically at the first valid period.
Max Trade Duration: Optional exit of trades after a specified number of bars (candles).
Pause Days: Minimum duration (in days) to validate rate pauses as entry conditions. This is especially useful for earlier periods (prior to the 2000s), where rate decisions often seemed random compared to the consistency we see today.
█ Visualization:
Several visual elements enhance the backtesting experience:
Time Period Highlighting: Economic time periods are visually segmented on the chart, each with a unique color. These periods include historical phases such as "Stagflation (1971-1982)" and "Post-Pandemic Recovery (2021-Present)".
Trade and Holding Results: Displays the profit and loss of trades and holding results directly on the chart.
Interest Rate Plot: Plots the interest rate movements on the chart, allowing for real-time tracking of rate changes.
Trade Status: Highlights active long or short positions on the chart.
█ Statistics and Criteria Display:
Stats Table: Summarizes trade results, including wins, losses, and draw percentages for both long and short trades.
Criteria Table: Lists the selected entry and exit criteria for both long and short positions.
█ Economic Time Periods:
The script organizes interest rate decisions into well-defined economic periods, allowing traders to backtest strategies specific to historical contexts like:
(1971-1982) Stagflation
(1983-1990) Reaganomics and Deregulation
(1991-1994) Early 1990s (Recession and Recovery)
(1995-2001) Dot-Com Bubble
(2001-2006) Housing Boom
(2007-2009) Global Financial Crisis
(2009-2015) Great Recession Recovery
(2015-2019) Normalization Period
(2019-2021) COVID-19 Pandemic
(2021-Present) Post-Pandemic Recovery
█ User-Configurable Inputs:
Rate Source Selection: Choose between USINTR or FEDFUNDS as the primary interest rate source.
Trade Criteria Customization: Users can select the criteria for long and short trades, specifying when to enter or exit based on changes in the interest rate.
Time Period: Select the time period that you want to isolate testing a strategy with.
Auto-Entry and Pause Settings: Options to automatically enter trades and specify the number of days to confirm a rate pause.
Max Trade Duration: Limits how long trades can remain open, defined by the number of bars.
█ Trade Logic:
The script manages entries and exits for both long and short trades. It calculates the profit or loss percentage based on the entry and exit prices. The script tracks ongoing trades, dynamically updating the profit or loss as price changes.
█ Examples:
One of the most popular opinions is that when rate starts begin you should sell, then buy back in when rate cuts stop dropping. However, this can be easily proven to be a difficult task. Predicting the end of a rate cut is very difficult to do with the the exception that assumes rates will not fall below 0.25%.
2001-2009
Trade Result: +29.85%
Holding Result: -27.74%
1971-2024
Trade Result: +533%
Holding Result: +5901%
█ Backtest and Real-Time Use:
This backtester is useful for historical analysis and real-time trading. By setting up various entry and exit rules tied to interest rate movements, traders can test and refine strategies based on real historical data and rate decision trends.
This powerful tool allows traders to customize strategies, backtest them through different economic periods, and get visual feedback on their trading performance, helping to make more informed decisions based on interest rate dynamics. The main goal of this indicator is to challenge the belief that future events must mirror the 2001 and 2007 rate cuts. If everyone expects something to happen, it usually doesn’t.
TPS Short Strategy by Larry ConnersThe TPS Short strategy aims to capitalize on extreme overbought conditions in an ETF by employing a scaling-in approach when certain technical indicators signal potential reversals. The strategy is designed to short the ETF when it is deemed overextended, based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages.
Components:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Purpose: Acts as a long-term trend filter. The ETF must be below its 200-day SMA to be eligible for shorting.
Rationale: The 200-day SMA is widely used to gauge the long-term trend of a security. When the price is below this moving average, it is often considered to be in a downtrend (Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll, "The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging Into the Latest Indicators").
2-Period RSI:
Purpose: Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought conditions.
Criteria: Short 10% of the position when the 2-period RSI is above 75 for two consecutive days.
Rationale: A high RSI value (above 75) indicates that the ETF may be overbought, which could precede a price reversal (J. Welles Wilder, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems").
Scaling-In Mechanism:
Purpose: Gradually increase the short position as the ETF price rises beyond previous entry points.
Scaling Strategy:
20% more when the price is higher than the first entry.
30% more when the price is higher than the second entry.
40% more when the price is higher than the third entry.
Rationale: This incremental approach allows for an increased position size in a worsening trend, potentially increasing profitability if the trend continues to align with the strategy’s premise (Marty Schwartz, "Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader").
Exit Conditions:
Criteria: Close all positions when the 2-period RSI drops below 30 or the 10-day SMA crosses above the 30-day SMA.
Rationale: A low RSI value (below 30) suggests that the ETF may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound, while the SMA crossover indicates a potential change in the trend (Martin J. Pring, "Technical Analysis Explained").
Risks and Considerations:
Market Risk:
The strategy assumes that the ETF will continue to decline once shorted. However, markets can be unpredictable, and price movements might not align with the strategy's expectations, especially in a volatile market (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable").
Scaling Risks:
Scaling into a position as the price increases may increase exposure to adverse price movements. This method can amplify losses if the market moves against the position significantly before any reversal occurs.
Liquidity Risk:
Depending on the ETF’s liquidity, executing large trades in increments might affect the price and increase trading costs. It is crucial to ensure that the ETF has sufficient liquidity to handle large trades without significant slippage (James Altucher, "Trade Like a Hedge Fund").
Execution Risk:
The strategy relies on timely execution of trades based on specific conditions. Delays or errors in order execution can impact performance, especially in fast-moving markets.
Technical Indicator Limitations:
Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical data and may not always predict future price movements accurately. They can sometimes produce false signals, leading to potential losses if used in isolation (John Murphy, "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets").
Conclusion
The TPS Short strategy utilizes a combination of long-term trend filtering, overbought conditions, and incremental shorting to potentially profit from price reversals. While the strategy has a structured approach and leverages well-known technical indicators, it is essential to be aware of the inherent risks, including market volatility, liquidity issues, and potential limitations of technical indicators. As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting and risk management are crucial to its successful implementation.
LRS-Strategy: 200-EMA Buffer & Long/Short Signals LRS-Strategy: 200-EMA Buffer & Long/Short Signals
This indicator is designed to help traders implement the Leveraged Return Strategy (LRS) using the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a key trend-following signal. The indicator offers clear long and short signals by analyzing the price movements relative to the 200-day EMA, enhanced by customizable buffer zones for increased precision.
Key Features:
200-Day EMA: The main trend indicator. When the price is above the 200-day EMA, the market is considered in an uptrend, and when it is below, it indicates a downtrend.
Customizable Buffer Zones: Users can define a percentage buffer around the 200-day EMA (default is 3%). The upper and lower buffer zones help filter out noise and prevent premature signals.
Precise Long/Short Signals:
Long Signal: Triggered when the price moves from below the lower buffer zone, crosses the 200-day EMA, and then breaks above the upper buffer zone.
Short Signal: Triggered when the price moves from above the upper buffer zone, crosses the 200-day EMA, and then breaks below the lower buffer zone.
Alternating Signals: Ensures that a new signal (long or short) is only generated after the opposite signal has been triggered, preventing multiple signals of the same type without a reversal.
Clear Visual Aids: The indicator displays the 200-day EMA and buffer zones on the chart, along with buy (long) and sell (short) signals. This makes it easy to track trends and time entries/exits.
How to Use:
Long Entry: Look for the price to move below the lower buffer, cross the 200-day EMA from below, and then break out of the upper buffer to confirm a long signal.
Short Entry: Look for the price to move above the upper buffer, cross below the 200-day EMA, and then break below the lower buffer to confirm a short signal.
This indicator is perfect for traders who prefer a structured, trend-following approach, using clear rules to minimize noise and identify meaningful long or short opportunities.
Fibonacci-Only StrategyFibonacci-Only Strategy
This script is a custom trading strategy designed for traders who leverage Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential trade entries and exits. The strategy is versatile, allowing users to trade across multiple timeframes, with built-in options for dynamic stop loss, trailing stops, and take profit levels.
Key Features:
Custom Fibonacci Levels:
This strategy calculates three specific Fibonacci retracement levels: 19%, 82.56%, and the reverse 19% level. These levels are used to identify potential areas of support and resistance where price reversals or breaks might occur.
The Fibonacci levels are calculated based on the highest and lowest prices within a 100-bar period, making them dynamic and responsive to recent market conditions.
Dynamic Entry Conditions:
Touch Entry: The script enters long or short positions when the price touches specific Fibonacci levels and confirms the move with a bullish (for long) or bearish (for short) candle.
Break Entry (Optional): If the "Use Break Strategy" option is enabled, the script can also enter positions when the price breaks through Fibonacci levels, providing more aggressive entry opportunities.
Stop Loss Management:
The script offers flexible stop loss settings. Users can choose between a fixed percentage stop loss or an ATR-based stop loss, which adjusts based on market volatility.
The ATR (Average True Range) stop loss is multiplied by a user-defined factor, allowing for tailored risk management based on market conditions.
Trailing Stop Mechanism:
The script includes an optional trailing stop feature, which adjusts the stop loss level as the market moves in favor of the trade. This helps lock in profits while allowing the trade to run if the trend continues.
The trailing stop is calculated as a percentage of the difference between the entry price and the current market price.
Multiple Take Profit Levels:
The strategy calculates seven take profit levels, each at incremental percentages above (for long trades) or below (for short trades) the entry price. This allows for gradual profit-taking as the market moves in the trade's favor.
Each take profit level can be customized in terms of the percentage of the position to be closed, providing precise control over exit strategies.
Strategy Backtesting and Results:
Realistic Backtesting:
The script has been backtested with realistic account sizes, commission rates, and slippage settings to ensure that the results are applicable to actual trading scenarios.
The backtesting covers various timeframes and markets to ensure the strategy's robustness across different trading environments.
Default Settings:
The script is published with default settings that have been optimized for general use. These settings include a 15-minute timeframe, a 1.0% stop loss, a 2.0 ATR multiplier for stop loss, and a 1.5% trailing stop.
Users can adjust these settings to better fit their specific trading style or the market they are trading.
How It Works:
Long Entry Conditions:
The strategy enters a long position when the price touches the 19% Fibonacci level (from high to low) or the reverse 19% level (from low to high) and confirms the move with a bullish candle.
If the "Use Break Strategy" option is enabled, the script will also enter a long position when the price breaks below the 19% Fibonacci level and then moves back up, confirming the break with a bullish candle.
Short Entry Conditions:
The strategy enters a short position when the price touches the 82.56% Fibonacci level and confirms the move with a bearish candle.
If the "Use Break Strategy" option is enabled, the script will also enter a short position when the price breaks above the 82.56% Fibonacci level and then moves back down, confirming the break with a bearish candle.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Logic:
The stop loss for each trade is calculated based on the selected method (fixed percentage or ATR-based). The strategy then manages the trade by either trailing the stop or taking profit at predefined levels.
The take profit levels are set at increments of 0.5% above or below the entry price, depending on whether the position is long or short. The script gradually exits the trade as these levels are hit, securing profits while minimizing risk.
Usage:
For Fibonacci Traders:
This script is ideal for traders who rely on Fibonacci retracement levels to find potential trade entries and exits. The script automates the process, allowing traders to focus on market analysis and decision-making.
For Trend and Swing Traders:
The strategy's flexibility in handling both touch and break entries makes it suitable for trend-following and swing trading strategies. The multiple take profit levels allow traders to capture profits in trending markets while managing risk.
Important Notes:
Originality: This script uniquely combines Fibonacci retracement levels with dynamic stop loss management and multiple take profit levels. It is not just a combination of existing indicators but a thoughtful integration designed to enhance trading performance.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and it is crucial to test this script in a demo account or through backtesting before applying it to live trading. Users should ensure that the settings align with their individual risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Quadratic Kernel with Quadratic Divergence [PinescriptLabs]This indicator combines a quadratic kernel regression with adaptive deviation bands to provide a unique view of market trends.
Key Features:
**Customizable Parameters:**
- Regression Period: Adjusts the sensitivity of the central line (default 50).
- Time Deformation: Modifies the weight of recent vs. older data (default 1.0). Increasing the "Time Deformation" makes more recent data more relevant, while decreasing it gives more weight to older data in the regression calculation.
- Confidence Band Width: Controls the width of the bands (default 3.0). Determines how many standard deviations are added to or subtracted from the central line to form the confidence bands. The standard deviations are calculated as the difference between the central line and the closing prices. A higher confidence value will result in wider bands, indicating a broader range of expected price variation, while a lower confidence value will result in narrower bands, indicating a narrower range of expected price variation.
**How to Use the Indicator Based on Price Crossings with the Kernel Divergence Line?**
Short: We need a candle to cross and close below the Kernel Divergence Line (bullish), and at the same time, the quadratic channels must be in a Bearish state for confirmation. Once the entry is executed, our exit will be when the Divergence Line changes its color by at least two confirmation points, or the price crosses above, which nullifies the entry.
Long: We need a candle to cross and close above the Kernel Divergence Line (bearish), and at the same time, the quadratic channels must be in a Bullish state for confirmation. Once the entry is executed, our exit will be when the Divergence Line changes its color by at least two confirmation points, or the price crosses below, which nullifies the entry.
**How to Use the Indicator Based Solely on Kernel Divergence??**
We observe the Kernel Divergence line, which indicates bullish momentum while the price is declining, and we are looking for the Reversal point.
**Confirmation of the Reversal Point:** When the Kernel Divergence changes from bullish (green color) to bearish (red color), we look for the price at its lowest point to be below the first lower Quadratic channel or even outside the Quadratic channel. This signals a potential strong reversal.
How to Use the Indicator Based Solely on Quadratic Channels?
Use only confirmations of changes from Bullish to Bearish or vice versa. It is recommended to have at least three confirmation points in the same direction.
Quadratic Kernel Regression: Provides a smoothed trend line that adapts to market movements.
Adaptive Deviation Bands: Dynamically calculated to show market volatility.
Buy/Sell Signals: Based on the price crossing the central line and the direction of the trend.
Quadratic Kernel Regression calculates a smoothed central line based on recent prices.
The deviation bands automatically adjust according to market volatility.
The trend is determined by comparing the current position of the central line with its previous position.
Buy signals are generated when the price crosses above the central line in an uptrend.
Sell signals are generated when the price crosses below the central line in a downtrend.
Español:
Este indicador combina una regresión de kernel cuadrático con bandas de desviación adaptativas para proporcionar una visión única de la tendencia del mercado.
Características principales:
**Parámetros personalizables:**
- Período de regresión: Ajusta la sensibilidad de la línea central (por defecto 50).
- Deformación del tiempo: Modifica el peso de los datos recientes vs. antiguos (por defecto 1.0). Aumentar la "Deformación del tiempo" hace que los datos más recientes sean más relevantes, mientras que disminuirla da más peso a los datos antiguos en el cálculo de la regresión.
- Ancho de bandas de confianza: Controla la amplitud de las bandas (por defecto 3.0). Determina cuántas desviaciones estándar se añaden o restan a la línea central para formar las bandas de confianza. Las desviaciones estándar se calculan como la diferencia entre la línea central y los precios de cierre. Un valor mayor de confianza resultará en bandas más anchas, indicando un rango más amplio de variación esperada en los precios, mientras que un valor menor de confianza resultará en bandas más estrechas, indicando un rango más estrecho de variación esperada.
* *Cómo usar el Indicador Basados en los Cruces de Precio con la Línea de Divergencia del Kernel?**
Short: Necesitamos que una vela cruce y cierre por debajo de la línea de Divergencia del Kernel (bullish) y al mismo tiempo los Canales cuadráticos deben estar en un momento Bearish para confirmación. Una vez ejecutada la entrada, nuestra salida será cuando la Línea de Divergencia haga su cambio de color al menos dos puntos de confirmación o el precio haga un cruce por arriba, lo que anula la entrada.
Long: Necesitamos que una vela cruce y cierre por Encima de la linea de Divergencia del Kernel( Bearish) y al mismo tiempo los Canales cuadráticos deben estar en un momento Bullish para confirmación, una vez ejecutada la entrada nuestra salida será cuando la Linea de Divergencia haga su cambio de color al menos dos puntos de confirmación o el precio haga un cruce por Debajo lo que anula la entrada:
Como usar el indicador Basado en solo en Divergencia del Kernel? : Observamos la linea de Divergencia del Kernel la cual nos indica un momentum bullish mientras que precio va a la baja y lo que buscamos es el punto de Reversion.
Confirmación de punto de reversion: cuando la Divergencia de Kernel pasa de bullish ( color verde) a bearish ( color rojo) buscamos que el precio en su punto mas bajo este por debajo del primer canal inferior Quadratico o fuera incluso del canal Quadratico lo que nos indica una posible reversion con fuerza.
Como usar el indicador basado solo en Canales Quadraticos?
Utilizar únicamente las confirmaciones de Cambio de Bullish a Bearish o visceversa, se recomienda al menos tres puntos de confirmación en la misma dirección.
Regresión de kernel cuadrático: Ofrece una línea de tendencia suavizada que se adapta a los movimientos del mercado.
Bandas de desviación adaptativas: Calculadas dinámicamente para mostrar la volatilidad del mercado.
Señales de compra/venta: Basadas en el cruce del precio con la línea central y la dirección de la tendencia.
La regresión de kernel cuadrático calcula una línea central suavizada basada en los precios recientes.
Las bandas de desviación se ajustan automáticamente según la volatilidad del mercado.
La tendencia se determina comparando la posición actual de la línea central con su posición anterior.
Las señales de compra se generan cuando el precio cruza por encima de la línea central en una tendencia alcista.
Las señales de venta se generan cuando el precio cruza por debajo de la línea central en una tendencia bajista.
The Magic LineThis script is based on the simple 2 or 3 candle entry model taught by Armando "The Professor".
This strategy will work best on the 1hr timeframe or higher and you can also add a MA on your chart to identify direction of trend and trade with the trend. For example, if price is above the 50 SMA, you can opt to only look for 'buy' signals. If price is below the 50 SMA, you can opt to only look for 'sell' signals.
The default setting is to wait for 3 consecutive candles of either bullish or bearish sentiment before printing a buy or sell signal. This can be changed to any number you would like but typically 3 works best, as long as you're using the 1hr timeframe or higher.
Ex: If there are 3 green (bullish) candles print in a row, a 'sell' signal will print, and the entry line will be one tick below the open of the previous green candle. You can use that line as your entry.
For your stop loss, you can try to use the most recent swing high (for sells) or swing low (for buys). You can also use nearby support/resistance levels, or even the PSAR as another way to determine your stop loss.
If there are more than 3 consecutive candles with the same sentiment, signals will continue to print until the streak ends at which point the counter will restart, and the idea is to take the most recent signal as your entry. Limit/Stop entries work best as you can just let price come down to the signal line that is drawn.
Comment below if you have any questions! Good luck!
RV - Relative Strength Index Buy/SellIntroduction
The RV - RSI B/S V1.2 indicator leverages the RSI to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The RSI line color changes according to bullish, bearish, oversold, and overbought zones, helping users identify direction and avoid false trades. By plotting the RSI along with user-defined moving averages and Bollinger Bands, it offers a multi-faceted approach to analyzing market momentum.
Indicator Overview
The indicator RSI line color changes as per the bullish, bearish, oversold, and overbought zones. This helps users find out the direction and the zones. The oversold and overbought zones are colored to help users avoid false trades.
Trading Strategy
Long Trades (Bullish Setup):
Entry: A long trade is initiated when the RSI crosses from 60 up to 80.
Exit: Long trades are generally exited when the RSI is between 80 and 90.
Condition: No long trades are taken if the RSI exceeds 80.
Short Trades (Bearish Setup):
Entry: A short trade is initiated when the RSI crosses from 40 down to 20.
Exit: Short trades are generally exited when the RSI is between 20 and 10.
Condition: No short trades are taken if the RSI falls below 20.
RSI Color Coding and Interpretation
The RV - RSI B/S V1.2 indicator uses color coding to provide a visual representation of RSI values, making it easier to identify critical levels at a glance:
Green (RSI 60-80): Indicates a bullish zone where long trades can be considered.
Red (RSI > 80): Signals an overbought condition where long trades should be avoided.
Orange (RSI 20-40): Indicates a bearish zone where short trades can be considered.
Pink (RSI < 20): Signals an oversold condition where short trades should be avoided.
RSI Settings and Their Importance
RSI Length: The default length is set to 12, which is the standard period for RSI calculation. This setting can be adjusted to increase or decrease sensitivity.
Source: The source of the data for the RSI calculation is typically the closing price.
MA Type: Various moving averages can be applied to the RSI, including SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, and VWMA. Each type offers different smoothing properties and can be selected based on
trading preferences.
MA Length: The default length is set to 20, aligning with the RSI length for consistency.
Bollinger Bands: When using Bollinger Bands, the standard deviation multiplier is set to 2.0 by default, but it can be adjusted to suit different volatility conditions.
Disclaimer
This indicator provides valuable signals for potential trading opportunities based on RSI levels and moving averages. However, it is crucial to incorporate directional price action analysis to confirm signals and improve trading accuracy. The RV - RSI B/S V1.2 should be used as part of a broader trading strategy, considering other technical and fundamental factors.
ACD Indicator [TradingFinder] M Fisher Pivots Methodology Signal🔵 Introduction
The book "The Logical Trader" begins with a comprehensive review of the ACD Methodology principles, which include identifying specific price points related to the opening range.
This method allows you to set reference points for trading and use points "A" and "C" for trade entry. You will also learn about the "Pivot Range" and how to combine them with the ACD method to maximize position size and minimize risk.
In this indicator, the strategy is implemented to make it easier to use.
🔵 How to Use
The "ACD" strategy can be applied to various markets such as stocks, commodities, or forex, providing buy and sell signals that allow you to set your price targets and stop losses.
This strategy is based on the assumption that the opening range of trades is statistically significant each day, meaning the initial market fluctuations influence the market until the end of the day.
The ACD trading strategy is known as a breakout strategy and performs best in volatile or strongly trending markets, such as crude oil and stocks.
Some of the rules for using the ACD strategy include the following :
Consider points A and C as reference points and continuously pay attention to these points during trades. These points serve as entry and exit points for trades.
Examine daily and multi-day pivot ranges to analyze market trends. If the price is above the pivots, the trend is upward, and if below the pivots, the trend is downward.
Trading with the ACD strategy in forex is possible using the ACD indicator. This indicator is a technical tool used to measure the balance between supply and demand in the market. By analyzing trading volume and price, this indicator helps traders identify trend strength and suitable entry and exit points.
To use the ACD indicator, consider the following :
Identifying strong trends: The ACD indicator can help you identify strong and stable trends in the market.
Determining entry and exit points: ACD provides buy and sell signals to enter or exit trades at the best possible time.
Bullish Setup :
When the "A up" line is broken, it is advisable to wait for some time to ensure that this is not a "Fake Breakout" and that the price stabilizes above this line.
After entering the trade, the best stop loss you can choose is below the "A down" line. However, it is recommended to test this in backtests to achieve the best results. The suitable reward-to-risk ratio for this strategy is 1, which should also be backtested.
Bearish Setup :
When the "A down" line is broken, it is advisable to wait for some time to ensure that this is not a "Fake Breakout" and that the price stabilizes below this line.
After entering the trade, the best stop loss you can choose is above the "A up" line. However, it is recommended to test this in backtests to achieve the best results. The suitable reward-to-risk ratio for this strategy is 1, which should also be backtested.
🔵 Setting
NDay Pivot Range Period : Using this entry you can specify the number of days to calculate NDay Pivot Range.
Show Daily Pivot Range : Set the Daily Pivot color and displayed or not.
Show NDay Pivot Range : Set the NDay Pivot color and displayed or not.
ATR Period Levels : Determining the period of the ATR indicator, which is used to determine the A and C levels.
Show Tokyo ACD Setup : Set the Tokyo ACD Setup color and displayed or not.
Tokyo Opening Range Time : The amount of time taken to determine the opening range. You can set this number between 5 and 60 minutes.
Tokyo Session : Market start and end time.
A Level Multiplier : The coefficient that is multiplied by ATR to determine the distance of line A up and A down.
C Level Multiplier : The coefficient that is multiplied by ATR to determine the distance of line C up and C down.
The same settings exist for the London and New York sessions.
Chande Kroll Trend Strategy (SPX, 1H) | PINEINDICATORSThe "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" is designed to optimize trading on the SPX using a 1-hour timeframe. This strategy effectively combines the Chande Kroll Stop indicator with a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to create a robust method for identifying long entry and exit points. This detailed description will explain the components, rationale, and usage to ensure compliance with TradingView's guidelines and help traders understand the strategy's utility and application.
Objective
The primary goal of this strategy is to identify potential long trading opportunities in the SPX by leveraging volatility-adjusted stop levels and trend-following principles. It aims to capture upward price movements while managing risk through dynamically calculated stops.
Chande Kroll Stop Parameters:
Calculation Mode: Offers "Linear" and "Exponential" options for position size calculation. The default mode is "Exponential."
Risk Multiplier: An adjustable multiplier for risk management and position sizing, defaulting to 5.
ATR Period: Defines the period for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), with a default of 10.
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier applied to the ATR to set stop levels, defaulting to 3.
Stop Length: Period used to determine the highest high and lowest low for stop calculation, defaulting to 21.
SMA Length: Period for the Simple Moving Average, defaulting to 21.
Calculation Details:
ATR Calculation: ATR is calculated over the specified period to measure market volatility.
Chande Kroll Stop Calculation:
High Stop: The highest high over the stop length minus the ATR multiplied by the ATR multiplier.
Low Stop: The lowest low over the stop length plus the ATR multiplied by the ATR multiplier.
SMA Calculation: The 21-period SMA of the closing price is used as a trend filter.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the closing price crosses over the low stop and is above the 21-period SMA. This condition ensures that the market is trending upward and that the entry is made in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Exit Long: The long position is exited when the closing price falls below the high stop, indicating potential downward movement and protecting against significant drawdowns.
Position Sizing:
The quantity of shares to trade is calculated based on the selected calculation mode (linear or exponential) and the risk multiplier. This ensures position size is adjusted dynamically based on current market conditions and user-defined risk tolerance.
Exponential Mode: Quantity is calculated using the formula: riskMultiplier / lowestClose * 1000 * strategy.equity / strategy.initial_capital.
Linear Mode: Quantity is calculated using the formula: riskMultiplier / lowestClose * 1000.
Execution:
When the long entry condition is met, the strategy triggers a buy signal, and a long position is entered with the calculated quantity. An alert is generated to notify the trader.
When the exit condition is met, the strategy closes the position and triggers a sell signal, accompanied by an alert.
Plotting:
Buy Signals: Indicated with an upward triangle below the bar.
Sell Signals: Indicated with a downward triangle above the bar.
Application
This strategy is particularly effective for trading the SPX on a 1-hour timeframe, capitalizing on price movements by adjusting stop levels dynamically based on market volatility and trend direction.
Default Setup
Initial Capital: $1,000
Risk Multiplier: 5
ATR Period: 10
ATR Multiplier: 3
Stop Length: 21
SMA Length: 21
Commission: 0.01
Slippage: 3 Ticks
Backtesting Results
Backtesting indicates that the "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" performs optimally on the SPX when applied to the 1-hour timeframe. The strategy's dynamic adjustment of stop levels helps manage risk effectively while capturing significant upward price movements. Backtesting was conducted with a realistic initial capital of $1,000, and commissions and slippage were included to ensure the results are not misleading.
Risk Management
The strategy incorporates risk management through dynamically calculated stop levels based on the ATR and a user-defined risk multiplier. This approach ensures that position sizes are adjusted according to market volatility, helping to mitigate potential losses. Trades are sized to risk a sustainable amount of equity, adhering to the guideline of risking no more than 5-10% per trade.
Usage Notes
Customization: Users can adjust the ATR period, ATR multiplier, stop length, and SMA length to better suit their trading style and risk tolerance.
Alerts: The strategy includes alerts for buy and sell signals to keep traders informed of potential entry and exit points.
Pyramiding: Although possible, the strategy yields the best results without pyramiding.
Justification of Components
The Chande Kroll Stop indicator and the 21-period SMA are combined to provide a robust framework for identifying long trading opportunities in trending markets. Here is why they work well together:
Chande Kroll Stop Indicator: This indicator provides dynamic stop levels that adapt to market volatility, allowing traders to set logical stop-loss levels that account for current price movements. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where fixed stops can be easily hit by random price fluctuations. By using the ATR, the stop levels adjust based on recent market activity, ensuring they remain relevant in varying market conditions.
21-Period SMA: The 21-period SMA acts as a trend filter to ensure trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing market trend. By requiring the closing price to be above the SMA for long entries, the strategy aligns itself with the broader market trend, reducing the risk of entering trades against the overall market direction. This helps to avoid false signals and ensures that the trades are in line with the dominant market movement.
Combining these two components creates a balanced approach that captures trending price movements while protecting against significant drawdowns through adaptive stop levels. The Chande Kroll Stop ensures that the stops are placed at levels that reflect current volatility, while the SMA filter ensures that trades are only taken when the market is trending in the desired direction.
Concepts Underlying Calculations
ATR (Average True Range): Used to measure market volatility, which informs the stop levels.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Used to filter trades, ensuring positions are taken in the direction of the trend.
Chande Kroll Stop: Combines high and low price levels with ATR to create dynamic stop levels that adapt to market conditions.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. The "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and risk tolerance.
Price Based Z-Trend - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
Z-score: a statistical measurement of a score's relationship to the mean in a group of scores.
Simple but effective approach.
The "Price Based Z-Trend - Strategy " leverages the Z-score, a statistical measure that gauges the deviation of a price from its moving average, normalized against its standard deviation. This strategy stands out due to its simplicity and effectiveness, particularly in markets where price movements often revert to a mean. Unlike more complex systems that might rely on a multitude of indicators, the Z-Trend strategy focuses on clear, statistically significant price movements, making it ideal for traders who prefer a streamlined, data-driven approach.
BTCUSD 6h LS Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Calculation of the Z-score
"Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-score is 0, it indicates that the data point's score is identical to the mean score. A Z-score of 1.0 would indicate a value that is one standard deviation from the mean. Z-scores may be positive or negative, with a positive value indicating the score is above the mean and a negative score indicating it is below the mean."
The Z-score is central to this strategy. It is calculated by taking the difference between the current price and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the price over a user-defined length, then dividing this by the standard deviation of the price over the same length:
z = (x - μ) /σ
Local
🔶 Trading Signals
Trading signals are generated based on the Z-score crossing predefined thresholds:
- Long Entry: When the Z-score crosses above the positive threshold.
- Long Exit: When the Z-score falls below the negative threshold.
- Short Entry: When the Z-score falls below the negative threshold.
- Short Exit: When the Z-score rises above the positive threshold.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows users to select their preferred trading direction through an input option.
█ Usage
To use this strategy effectively, traders should first configure the Z-score thresholds according to their risk tolerance and market volatility. It's also crucial to adjust the length for the EMA and standard deviation calculations based on historical performance and the expected "noise" in price data.
The strategy is designed to be flexible, allowing traders to refine settings to better capture profitable opportunities in specific market conditions.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both
- Standard Deviation Length: 100
- Average Length: 100
- Threshold for Z-score: 1.0
- Bar Color Indicator: Enabled
These settings offer a balanced starting point but can be customized to suit various trading styles and market environments. The strategy's parameters are designed to be adjusted as traders gain experience and refine their approach based on ongoing market analysis.
Z-score is a must-learn approach for every algorithmic trader.
