Weekly Covered Calls Strategy with IV & Delta LogicWhat Does the Indicator Do?
this is interactive you must use it with your options chain to input data based on the contract you want to trade.
Visualize three strike price levels for covered calls based on:
Aggressive (closest to price, riskier).
Moderate (mid-range, balanced).
Low Delta (farthest, safer).
Incorporate Implied Volatility (IV) from the options chain to make strike predictions more realistic and aligned with market sentiment. Adjust the risk tolerance by modifying Delta inputs and IV values. Risk is defined for example .30 delta means 30% chance of your shares being assigned. If you want to generate steady income with your shares you might want to lower the risk of them being assigned to .05 or 5% etc.
How to Use the Indicator with the Options Chain
Start with the Options Chain:
Look for the following data points from your options chain:
Implied Volatility (IV Mid): Average IV for a particular strike price.
Delta:
~0.30 Delta: Closest strike (Aggressive).
~0.15–0.20 Delta: Mid-range strike (Moderate).
~0.05–0.10 Delta: Far OTM, safer (Low Delta).
Strike Price: Identify strike prices for the desired Deltas.
Open Interest: Check liquidity; higher OI ensures tighter spreads.
Input IV into the Indicator:
Enter the IV Mid value (e.g., 0.70 for 70%) from the options chain into the Implied Volatility field of the indicator.
Adjust Delta Inputs Based on Risk Tolerance:
Aggressive Delta: Increase if you want strikes closer to the current price (riskier, higher premium).
Default: 0.2 (20% chance of shares being assigned).
Moderate Delta: Balanced risk/reward.
Default: 0.12 (12%)
Low Delta: Decrease for safer, farther OTM strikes.
Default: 0.05 (5%)
Visualize the Chart:
Once inputs are updated:
Red Line: Aggressive Strike (closest, riskiest, higher premium).
Blue Line: Moderate Strike (mid-range).
Green Line: Low Delta Strike (farthest, safer).
Step-by-Step Workflow Example
Open the options chain and note:
Implied Volatility (IV Mid): Example 71.5% → input as 0.715.
Delta for desired strikes:
Aggressive: 0.30 Delta → Closest strike ~ $455.
Moderate: 0.15 Delta → Mid-range strike ~ $470.
Low Delta: 0.05 Delta → Farther strike ~ $505.
Open the indicator and adjust:
IV Mid: Enter 0.715.
Aggressive Delta: Leave at 0.12 (or adjust to bring strikes closer).
Moderate Delta: Leave at 0.18.
Low Delta: Adjust to 0.25 for safer, farther strikes.
View the chart:
Compare the indicator's strikes (red, blue, green) with actual options chain strikes.
Use the visualization to: Validate the risk/reward for each strike.
Align strikes with technical trends, support/resistance.
Adjusting Inputs Based on Risk Tolerance
Higher Risk: Increase Aggressive Delta (e.g., 0.15) for closer strikes.
Use higher IV values for volatile stocks.
Moderate Risk: Use default values (0.12–0.18 Delta).
Balance premiums and probability.
Lower Risk: Increase Low Delta (e.g., 0.30) for farther, safer strikes.
Focus on higher IV stocks with good open interest.
Key Benefits
Simplifies Strike Selection: Visualizes the three risk levels directly on the chart.
Aligns with Market Sentiment: Incorporates IV for realistic forecasts.
Customizable for Risk: Adjust inputs to match personal risk tolerance.
By combining the options chain (IV, Delta, and liquidity) with the technical chart, you get a powerful, visually intuitive tool for covered call strategies.
在腳本中搜尋"liquidity"
GMO (Gyroscopic Momentum Oscillator) GMO
Overview
This indicator fuses multiple advanced concepts to give traders a comprehensive view of market momentum, volatility, and potential turning points. It leverages the Gyroscopic Momentum Oscillator (GMO) foundation and layers on IQR-based bands, dynamic ATR-adjusted OB/OS levels, torque filtering, and divergence detection. The outcome is a versatile tool that can assist in identifying both short-term squeezes and long-term reversal zones while detecting subtle shifts in momentum acceleration.
Key Components:
Gyroscopic Momentum Oscillator (GMO) – A physics-inspired metric capturing trend stability and momentum by treating price dynamics as “angle,” “angular velocity,” and “inertia.”
IQR Bands – Highlight statistically typical oscillation ranges, providing insight into short-term squeezes and potential near-term trend shifts.
ATR-Adjusted OB/OS Levels – Dynamic thresholds for overbought/oversold conditions, adapting to volatility, aiding in identifying long-term potential reversal zones.
Torque Filtering & Scaling – Smooths and thresholds torque (the rate of change of momentum) and visually scales it for clarity, indicating sudden force changes that may precede volatility adjustments.
Divergence Detection – Highlights potential reversal cues by comparing oscillator swings against price swings, revealing regular and hidden bullish/bearish divergences.
Conceptual Insights
IQR Bands (Short-Term Squeeze & Trend Direction):
Short-Term Momentum and Squeeze: The IQR (Interquartile Range) bands show where the oscillator tends to “live” statistically. When the GMO line hovers within compressed IQR bands, it can signal a momentum squeeze phase. Exiting these tight ranges often correlates with short-term breakout opportunities.
Trend Reversals: If the oscillator pushes beyond these IQR ranges, it may indicate an emerging short-term trend change. Traders can watch for GMO escaping the IQR “comfort zone” to anticipate a new directional move.
Dynamic OB/OS Levels (Long-Term Reversal Zones):
ATR-Based Adaptive Thresholds: Instead of static overbought/oversold lines, this tool uses ATR to adjust OB/OS boundaries. In calm markets, these lines remain closer to ±90. As volatility rises, they approach ±100, reflecting greater permissible swings.
Long-Term Trend Reversal Potential: If GMO hits these dynamically adjusted OB/OS extremes, it suggests conditions ripe for possible long-term trend reversals. Traders seeking major inflection points may find these adaptive levels more reliable than fixed thresholds.
Torque (Sudden Force & Directional Shifts):
Momentum Acceleration Insight: Torque represents the second derivative of momentum, highlighting how quickly momentum is changing. High positive torque suggests a rapidly strengthening bullish force, while high negative torque warns of sudden bearish pressure.
Early Warning & Stability/Volatility Adjustments: By monitoring torque spikes, traders can anticipate momentum shifts before price fully confirms them. This can signal imminent changes in stability or increased volatility phases.
Indicator Parameters and Usage
GMO-Related Inputs:
lenPivot (Default 100): Length for calculating the pivot line (slow market axis).
lenSmoothAngle (Default 200): Smooths the angle measure, reducing noise.
lenATR (Default 14): ATR period for scaling factor, linking price changes to volatility.
useVolatility (Default true): If true, volatility (ATR) influences inertia, adjusting momentum calculations.
useVolume (Default false): If true, volume affects inertia, adding a liquidity dimension to momentum.
lenVolSmoothing (Default 50): Smooths volume calculations if useVolume is enabled.
lenMomentumSmooth (Default 20): EMA smoothing of GMO for a cleaner oscillator line.
normalizeRange (Default true): Normalizes GMO to a fixed range for consistent interpretation.
lenNorm (Default 100): Length for normalization window, ensuring GMO’s scale adapts to recent extremes.
IQR Bands Settings:
iqrLength (Default 14): Period to compute the oscillator’s statistical IQR.
iqrMult (Default 1.5): Multiplier to define the upper and lower IQR-based bands.
ATR-Adjusted OB/OS Settings:
baseOBLevel (Fixed at 90) and baseOSLevel (Fixed at 90): Base lines for OB/OS.
atrPeriodForOBOS (Default 50): ATR length for adjusting OB/OS thresholds dynamically.
atrScaling (Default 0.2): Controls how strongly volatility affects OB/OS lines.
Torque Filtering & Visualization:
torqueSmoothLength (Default 10): EMA length to smooth raw torque values.
atrPeriodForTorque (Default 14): ATR period to determine torque threshold.
atrTorqueScaling (Default 0.5): Scales ATR for determining torque’s “significant” threshold.
torqueScaleFactor (Default 10.0): Multiplies the torque values for better visual prominence on the chart.
Divergence Inputs:
showDivergences (Default true): Toggles divergence signals.
lbR, lbL (Defaults 5): Pivot lookback periods to identify swing highs and lows.
rangeUpper, rangeLower: Bar constraints to validate potential divergences.
plotBull, plotHiddenBull, plotBear, plotHiddenBear: Toggles for each divergence type.
Visual Elements on the Chart
GMO Line (Blue) & Zero Line (Gray):
GMO line oscillates around zero. Positive territory hints bullish momentum, negative suggests bearish.
IQR Bands (Teal Lines & Yellow Fill):
Upper/lower bands form a statistical “normal range” for GMO. The median line (purple) provides a central reference. Contraction near these bands indicates a short-term squeeze, expansions beyond them can signal emerging short-term trend changes.
Dynamic OB/OS (Red & Green Lines):
Red line near +90 to +100: Overbought zone (dynamic).
Green line near -90 to -100: Oversold zone (dynamic).
Movement into these zones may mark significant, longer-term reversal potential.
Torque Histogram (Colored Bars):
Plotted below GMO. Green bars = torque above positive threshold (bullish acceleration).
Red bars = torque below negative threshold (bearish acceleration).
Gray bars = neutral range.
This provides early warnings of momentum shifts before price responds fully.
Precession (Orange Line):
Scaled for visibility, adds context to long-term angular shifts in the oscillator.
Divergence Signals (Shapes):
Circles and offset lines highlight regular or hidden bullish/bearish divergences, offering potential reversal signals.
Practical Interpretation & Strategy
Short-Term Opportunities (IQR Focus):
If GMO compresses within IQR bands, the market might be “winding up.” A break above/below these bands can signal a short-term trade opportunity.
Long-Term Reversal Zones (Dynamic OB/OS):
When GMO approaches these dynamically adjusted extremes, conditions may be ripe for a major trend shift. This is particularly useful for swing or position traders looking for significant turnarounds.
Monitoring Torque for Acceleration Cues:
Torque spikes can precede price action, serving as an early catalyst signal. If torque turns strongly positive, anticipate bullish acceleration; strongly negative torque may warn of upcoming bearish pressure.
Confirm with Divergences:
Divergences between price and GMO reinforce potential reversal or continuation signals identified by IQR, OB/OS, or torque. Use them to increase confidence in setups.
Tips and Best Practices
Combine with Price & Volume Action:
While the indicator is powerful, always confirm signals with actual price structure, volume patterns, or other trend-following tools.
Adjust Lengths & Periods as Needed:
Shorter lengths = more responsiveness but more noise. Longer lengths = smoother signals but greater lag. Tune parameters to match your trading style and timeframe.
Use ATR and Volume Settings Wisely:
If markets are highly volatile, consider useVolatility to refine momentum readings. If liquidity is key, enable useVolume.
Scaling Torque:
If torque bars are hard to read, increase torqueScaleFactor further. The scaling doesn’t affect logic—only visibility.
Conclusion
The “GMO + IQR Bands + ATR-Adjusted OB/OS + Torque Filtering (Scaled)” indicator presents a holistic framework for understanding market momentum across multiple timescales and conditions. By interpreting short-term squeezes via IQR bands, long-term reversal zones via adaptive OB/OS, and subtle acceleration changes through torque, traders can gain advanced insights into when to anticipate breakouts, manage risk around potential reversals, and fine-tune timing for entries and exits.
This integrated approach helps navigate complex market dynamics, making it a valuable addition to any technical analysis toolkit.
Stablecoin Delta [SAKANE]Overview
Stablecoin Delta is an indicator designed to provide a detailed analysis of the market trends of major stablecoins (USDT and USDC). Stablecoins play a crucial role in supporting the liquidity of the cryptocurrency market, and fluctuations in their supply significantly impact the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
This indicator leverages data from CryptoCap to visualize the daily changes in the market capitalization of stablecoins. Traders can use this tool to understand the effects of stablecoin supply fluctuations on the market in a timely manner, enabling more strategic investment decisions.
The key benefits include the ability to quickly monitor stablecoin supply changes, utilize this data as a supplementary tool for predicting Bitcoin price movements, and identify both short-term market movements and long-term trends. This indicator is valuable for traders of all levels, from beginners to seasoned professionals.
Features
- Support for USDT and USDC Market Cap
Monitor the market trends of these two major stablecoins using data from CryptoCap. Users can also choose to analyze only one of them.
- Daily Net Change Calculation
Calculates the daily change in market capitalization compared to the previous day, providing a clear view of trends.
- Flexible Smoothing Options
Apply either SMA or EMA smoothing for both the histogram and the line chart, based on user preference.
- Customizable Colors
Customize the colors for the histogram (positive/negative) and line chart for better visualization.
Visualization
- Histogram
Displays daily net changes as a histogram, with positive changes (green) and negative changes (red) clearly differentiated.
- Smoothed Line Chart
Provides a smoothed line chart to make trend identification easier.
Use Cases
- In-depth Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market
The supply of stablecoins is a critical factor influencing the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This indicator helps traders understand overall market liquidity, enabling more effective investment decisions.
- Short-Term and Long-Term Strategy Development
Trends derived from stablecoin supply fluctuations are essential for traders to gauge short-term price movements and long-term market flows.
- Real-Time Market Adjustment
In times of sudden market shifts, this tool enables traders to quickly assess changes in stablecoin supply and adjust their positions accordingly.
Future Plans
- Additional stablecoins will be considered for inclusion if their market share grows significantly.
Disclaimer
- This indicator relies on data from CryptoCap. The results are subject to the accuracy and timeliness of the data and should be used as reference information only.
Session Highs and Lows IndicatorThis indicator marks the high and low levels for key trading sessions, allowing traders to identify significant price zones across different markets. The default session times are defined in UTC and will automatically adjust to your local timezone:
- **London Session (07:00-09:00 UTC)**: Tracks intraday liquidity zones for potential highs/lows.
- **New York Session (12:00-14:00 UTC)**: Highlights volatility during market overlaps with Europe.
- **Asia Session (23:00-01:00 UTC)**: Confirms trend continuation and retracement opportunities.
- **New York Close Session (19:00-21:00 UTC)**: Focuses on reversals and breakout tests during global transitions.
The script dynamically updates session highs and lows with clear labels and dashed horizontal lines for better visualization. **Time ranges can be adjusted to suit your trading preferences.** This makes the indicator flexible and effective for liquidity hunting, trend trading, and breakout strategies.
London/NY Sessions [jpkxyz]London/NY Sessions Indicator Guide
This indicator tracks the forex market's most active trading periods: London session, New York session, and their overlap.
This characteristics of the London and New York trading sessions are well documented and many traders use them as a key element in their trading strategies. It is most relevant in forex trading, however it is to an extend also applicable in cryptocurrencies.
London Session (08:00-16:00 UTC)
Most active trading session (35% of daily forex volume)
Highest trading volume and liquidity
Major price movements and trend development
Significant institutional participation
New York Session (13:00-20:00 UTC)
Second most active trading period
High institutional order flow
Major US economic releases
Significant impact on USD pairs
London/New York Overlap (13:00-16:00 UTC)
The most active period in forex markets:
Maximum market liquidity
Highest daily trading volume
Strong price movements
Tightest spreads
Peak institutional activity
This indicator helps traders:
Visualize key trading sessions
Track session highs and lows
Monitor overlap dynamics
Identify potential support/resistance levels (session highs/lows)
ICT Macro Sessions by @zeusbottradingICT Macro Sessions Indicator
The ICT Macro Sessions Indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders who follow the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology and want to optimize their trading during specific high-probability time intervals. This indicator highlights all the key macro sessions throughout the trading day in the GMT+8 (Hong Kong) time zone.
What Does the Indicator Do?
This indicator visually marks ICT Macro Sessions on your trading chart using background colors and optional labels. Each session corresponds to specific time intervals when institutional activity is most likely to drive price action. By focusing on these periods, traders can align their strategies with market volatility and liquidity, increasing their chances of success.
Highlighted Sessions
The indicator covers all major ICT Macro Sessions, each with a unique color for easy identification:
London Macro 1 (15:33–16:00 GMT+8):
- Marks the early London session, often characterized by strong directional moves.
London Macro 2 (17:03–17:30 GMT+8):
- Captures the mid-London session, where price frequently reacts to liquidity levels.
New York AM Macro 1 (22:50–23:10 GMT+8):
- Highlights the start of the New York session, a prime time for price reversals or continuations.
New York AM Macro 2 (23:50–00:10 GMT+8):
- Focuses on late-morning New York activity, often aligning with key news releases.
New York Lunch Macro (00:50–01:10 GMT+8):
- Covers the lunch period in New York, where price may consolidate or set up for afternoon moves.
New York PM Macro 1 (02:10–02:40 GMT+8):
- Tracks post-lunch activity in New York, often featuring renewed volatility.
New York PM Macro 2 (04:15–04:45 GMT+8):
- Captures late-session moves as institutional traders finalize their positions.
Features of the Indicator
Fixed Time: The indicator is pre-configured for GMT+8 but it will adapt automatically to your timezone. No need to change anything in the code.
Background Highlighting: Each session is visually marked with a unique background color for quick recognition.
Optional Labels: Traders can enable or disable labels for each session, providing flexibility in how information is displayed.
Session Toggles: You can choose which sessions to display based on your trading preferences and strategy.
Intraday Timeframes: The indicator is optimized for intraday charts with timeframes of 45 minutes or less. You can change it to anything you like.
Why Use This Indicator?
The ICT Macro Sessions Indicator helps traders focus on the most critical times of the trading day when institutional activity is at its peak. These periods often coincide with significant price movements, making them ideal for scalping, day trading, or even swing trading setups. By visually highlighting these sessions, the indicator eliminates guesswork and allows traders to plan their trades with precision.
Power Of 3 ICT 01 [TradingFinder] AMD ICT & SMC Accumulations🔵 Introduction
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) strategy, developed by Michael J. Huddleston, known as the Inner Circle Trader, is a structured approach to analyzing daily market activity. This strategy divides the trading day into three distinct phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
Each phase represents a unique market behavior influenced by institutional traders, offering a clear framework for retail traders to align their strategies with market movements.
Accumulation (19:00 - 01:00 EST) takes place during low-volatility hours, as institutional traders accumulate orders. Manipulation (01:00 - 07:00 EST) involves false breakouts and liquidity traps designed to mislead retail traders. Finally, Distribution (07:00 - 13:00 EST) represents the active phase where significant market movements occur as institutions distribute their positions in line with the broader trend.
This indicator is built upon the Power of 3 principles to provide traders with a practical and visual tool for identifying these key phases. By using clear color coding and precise time zones, the indicator highlights critical price levels, such as highs and lows, helping traders to better understand market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.
Incorporating the ICT AMD setup into daily analysis enables traders to anticipate market behavior, spot high-probability trade setups, and gain deeper insights into institutional trading strategies. With its focus on time-based price action, this indicator simplifies complex market structures, offering an effective tool for traders of all levels.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) indicator is designed to help traders analyze daily market movements by visually identifying the three key phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
Here's how traders can effectively use the indicator :
🟣 Accumulation Phase (19:00 - 01:00 EST)
Purpose : Identify the range-bound activity where institutional players accumulate orders.
Trading Insight : Avoid placing trades during this phase, as price movements are typically limited. Instead, use this time to prepare for the potential direction of the market in the next phases.
🟣 Manipulation Phase (01:00 - 07:00 EST)
Purpose : Spot false breakouts and liquidity traps that mislead retail traders.
Trading Insight : Observe the market for price spikes beyond key support or resistance levels. These moves often reverse quickly, offering high-probability entry points in the opposite direction of the initial breakout.
🟣 Distribution Phase (07:00 - 13:00 EST)
Purpose : Detect the main price movement of the day, driven by institutional distribution.
Trading Insight : Enter trades in the direction of the trend established during this phase. Look for confirmations such as breakouts or strong directional moves that align with broader market sentiment
🔵 Settings
Show or Hide Phases :mDecide whether to display Accumulation, Manipulation, or Distribution.
Adjust the session times for each phase :
Accumulation: 1900-0100 EST
Manipulation: 0100-0700 EST
Distribution: 0700-1300 EST
Modify Visualization : Customize how the indicator looks by changing settings like colors and transparency.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand and leverage market structure based on time and price dynamics. By visually highlighting the three key phases—Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution—this indicator simplifies the complex movements of institutional trading strategies.
With its customizable settings and clear representation of market behavior, the indicator is suitable for traders at all levels, helping them anticipate market trends and make more informed decisions.
Whether you're identifying entry points in the Accumulation phase, navigating false moves during Manipulation, or capitalizing on trends in the Distribution phase, this tool provides valuable insights to enhance your trading performance.
By integrating this indicator into your analysis, you can better align your strategies with institutional movements and improve your overall trading outcomes.
ICT Setup 02 [TradingFinder] Breaker Blocks + Reversal Candles🔵 Introduction
The "Breaker Block" concept, widely utilized in ICT (Inner Circle Trader) technical analysis, is a crucial tool for identifying reversal points and significant market shifts. Originating from the "Order Block" concept, Breaker Blocks help traders pinpoint support and resistance levels. These blocks are essential for understanding market trends and recognizing optimal entry and exit points.
A Breaker Block is essentially a failed Order Block that changes its role when price action breaks through it. When an Order Block fails to hold as a support or resistance level, it reverses its function, becoming a Breaker Block.
There are two primary types : Bullish Breaker Blocks and Bearish Breaker Blocks. These Breaker Blocks align with the prevailing market trend and indicate potential entry points after a liquidity sweep or a shift in market structure.
Understanding and applying the Breaker Block strategy enables traders to capitalize on the behavior of institutional investors, enhancing their trading outcomes.
Bullish Setup :
Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Setup 02 indicator designed to automate the identification of Bullish and Bearish Breaker Blocks. This tool enables traders to easily spot these blocks on a chart and utilize them for entering or exiting trades. Below is a breakdown of how to use this indicator in both bullish and bearish setups.
🟣 Bullish Breaker Block Setup
A Bullish Breaker Block setup is identified in an uptrend, where it serves as a potential entry point. This setup occurs when a Bearish Order Block fails and the price moves above the high of that Order Block. In this scenario, the previously bearish Order Block turns into a Bullish Breaker Block, which now acts as a support level for the price.
To trade a Bullish Breaker Block, wait for the price to retest this newly formed support level. Confirmation of the uptrend can be achieved by analyzing lower time frames for further market structure shifts or other bullish indicators.
A successful retest of the Bullish Breaker Block provides a high-probability entry point for a long trade, as it signals institutional support. Traders often place their stop-loss below the low of the Breaker Block zone to minimize risk.
🟣 Bearish Breaker Block Setup
A Bearish Breaker Block setup, conversely, is used in a downtrend to identify potential sell opportunities. This setup forms when a Bullish Order Block fails, and the price moves below the low of that Order Block.
Once this Order Block is broken, it reverses its role and becomes a Bearish Breaker Block, providing resistance to the price as it pushes downward. For a Bearish Breaker Block trade, wait for the price to retest this resistance level.
A confirmation of the downtrend, such as a market structure shift on a lower time frame or additional bearish signals, strengthens the setup. The Bearish Breaker Block retest provides an opportunity to enter a short position, with a stop-loss placed just above the high of the Breaker Block zone.
🔵 Settings
Pivot Period : This setting controls the look-back period used to identify pivot points that contribute to the detection of Order Blocks. A higher period captures longer-term pivots, while a lower period focuses on more recent price action. Adjusting this parameter allows traders to fine-tune the indicator to match their trading time frame.
Breaker Block Validity Period : This setting defines how long a Breaker Block remains valid based on the number of bars elapsed since its formation. Increasing the validity period keeps Breaker Blocks active for a longer duration, which can be useful for higher time frame analysis.
Mitigation Level BB : This option lets traders choose the level of the Order Block at which the price is expected to react. Options like "Proximal," "50% OB," and "Distal" adjust the zone where a reaction may occur, offering flexibility in setting up the entry and stop-loss levels.
Breaker Block Refinement : The refinement option refines the Breaker Block zone to display a more precise range for aggressive or defensive trading approaches. The "Aggressive" mode provides a tighter range for risk-tolerant traders, while the "Defensive" mode expands the zone for those with a more conservative approach.
🔵 Conclusion
The Breaker Block indicator provides traders with a sophisticated tool for identifying key reversal zones in the market. By leveraging Breaker Blocks, traders can gain insights into institutional order flow and predict critical support and resistance levels.
Using Breaker Blocks in conjunction with other ICT concepts, like Fair Value Gaps or liquidity sweeps, enhances the reliability of trading signals. This indicator empowers traders to make informed decisions, aligning their trades with institutional moves in the market.
As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to incorporate proper risk management, using stop-losses and position sizing to minimize potential losses. The Breaker Block strategy, when applied with discipline and thorough analysis, serves as a powerful addition to any trader’s toolkit.
SMC StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), designed for TradingView. Here's a brief summary of what the script does:
1. Swing High and Low Calculation: It identifies recent swing highs and lows, which are used to define key zones.
2. Equilibrium, Premium, and Discount Zones:
- Equilibrium is the midpoint between the swing high and low.
- Premium Zone is above the equilibrium, indicating a potential resistance area (sell zone).
- Discount Zone is below the equilibrium, indicating a potential support area (buy zone).
3. Simple Moving Average (SMA): It uses a 50-period SMA to determine the trend direction. If the price is above the SMA, the trend is bullish; if it's below, the trend is bearish.
4. Buy and Sell Signals:
- Buy Signal: Generated when the price is in the discount zone and above the equilibrium, with the price also above the SMA.
- Sell Signal: Triggered when the price is in the premium zone and below the equilibrium, with the price also below the SMA.
5. Order Blocks: It detects basic order blocks by identifying the highest high and lowest low within the last 20 bars. These levels help confirm the buy and sell signals.
6. Liquidity Zones: It marks the swing high and low as potential liquidity zones, indicating where price may reverse due to institutional players' activity.
The strategy then executes trades based on these signals, plotting buy and sell markers on the chart and showing the key levels (zones) and trend direction.
XRP Comparative RSI Indicator - Final VersionXRP Comparative RSI Indicator - Final Version
The XRP Comparative RSI Indicator offers a dynamic analysis of XRP’s market positioning through relative strength index (RSI) comparisons across various cryptocurrencies and major market indicators. This indicator allows traders and analysts to gauge XRP’s momentum and potential turning points within different market conditions.
Key Features:
• Normalized RSIs: Each RSI value is normalized between 0.00 and 1.00, allowing seamless comparison across multiple assets.
• Grouped Analysis: Three RSI groups provide specific insights:
• Group 1 (XRP-Specific): Measures XRPUSD, XRP Dominance (XRP.D), and XRP/BTC, focusing on XRP’s performance across different trading pairs.
• Group 2 (Market Influence - Bitcoin): Measures BTCUSD, BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and XRP/BTC, capturing the influence of Bitcoin on XRP.
• Group 3 (Liquidity Impact): Measures USDT Dominance (USDT.D), BTCUSD, and ETHUSD, evaluating the liquidity impact from key assets and stablecoins.
• Individual Asset RSIs: Track the normalized RSI for each specific pair or asset, including XRPUSD, BTCUSD, ETHUSD, XRP/BTC, BTC Dominance, ETH Dominance, and the S&P 500.
• Clear Color Coding: Each asset’s RSI is plotted with a unique color scheme, consistent with the first indicator, for easy recognition.
This indicator is ideal for identifying relative strengths, potential entry and exit signals, and understanding how XRP’s momentum aligns or diverges from broader market trends.
Rounded Grid Levels🟩 Rounded Grid Levels is a visual tool that helps traders quickly identify key psychological price levels on any chart. By dynamically adapting to the user's visible screen area, it provides consistent, easy-to-read round number grids that align with price action. The indicator offers a traditional visualization of horizontal round level grids, along with enhanced options such as tilted grids that align with market sentiment, and fan-shaped grids for alternative price interaction views. It serves purely as a visual aid, providing an adaptable way to observe rounded price levels without making predictions or generating trading signals.
⚡ OVERVIEW ⚡
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator is a visual tool designed to help traders identify and track price levels that may hold psychological significance, such as round numbers or significant milestones. These levels often serve as potential areas for price reactions, including support, resistance, or points of market interest. The indicator's gridlines are determined by user-defined settings and adjust dynamically based on the visible chart area, meaning they are influenced by the user's current zoom level and perspective. This behavior is similar to TradingView's built-in grid lines found in the chart settings canvas, which also adjust in real-time based on the visible screen, ensuring the most relevant price levels are displayed. By default, the indicator provides consistent gridlines to represent traditional round number levels, offering a straightforward view of key psychological areas. Additionally, users have access to experimental and novel configurations, such as fan-shaped layouts, which expand from a central point and adapt directionally based on user settings. This configuration can provide an alternate perspective for traders, especially useful in analyzing broader market moves and visualizing expansion relative to the current price.
Users can display the gridlines in a variety of configurations, including horizontal, neutral, auto, or fan-shaped layouts, depending on their preferred method of analysis. This flexibility allows traders to focus on different types of price action without overcrowding the visual representation of price movements.
This indicator is intended purely as a visual aid for understanding how price interacts with rounded levels over time. It does not generate predictive trading signals or recommendations but rather provides traders with a customizable framework to enhance their market analysis.
⭕ ROUND NUMBERS IN MARKET PSYCHOLOGY ⭕
Round numbers hold a significant place in financial markets, largely due to the psychological tendencies of traders and investors. These levels often represent areas of interest where human behavior, market biases, and trading strategies converge. Whether it's prices ending in 000, 500, or other recognizable values, these levels naturally attract more attention and influence decision-making.
Round numbers can act as key support or resistance levels and often become focal points in market activity. They are frequently highlighted by financial media, embedded in products like options, and serve as foundations for various trading theories. Their impact extends across different market participants and strategies, making them important focal points in both short-term and long-term market analysis.
Round numbers play an important role in guiding trader behavior and market activity. To better understand why these levels are so impactful, there are several key factors that highlight their significance in trading and price dynamics:
Psychological Impact : Humans naturally gravitate toward round numbers, such as prices ending in 000, 500, or 00. These levels tend to draw attention as traders perceive them as psychologically significant. This behavior is rooted in the cognitive bias known as "left-digit bias," where people assign greater importance to rounded, more recognizable numbers. In trading, this means that prices at these levels are more memorable and thus more likely to attract attention, creating an area where traders focus their buying or selling decisions.
Order Clustering : Traders often place buy and sell orders around these rounded levels, either manually or automatically through stop and limit orders. This clustering leads to the formation of visible support or resistance zones, as the concentrated orders tend to influence price behavior around these key levels. Market participants tend to converge their orders around these price points because of their perceived psychological importance, creating a liquidity pocket. As a result, these areas often act as barriers that the price either struggles to cross or uses as springboards for further movement.
External Influences : Financial media frequently highlights round-number milestones, amplifying market sentiment and drawing traders' attention to these levels. Additionally, algorithmic trading systems often react to round-number thresholds, which can further reinforce price movements, creating self-reinforcing reactions at these levels. As media and analysts emphasize these milestones, more traders pay attention to them, leading to increased volume and often heightened volatility at those points. This self-reinforcing cycle makes round numbers an area where price movement can either accelerate due to a breakout or stall because of clustering interest.
Option Strike Prices : Options contracts typically have strike prices set at round numbers, and as expiration approaches, these levels can influence the price of the underlying asset due to concentrated trading activity. The behavior around these levels, often called "pinning," happens because traders adjust their positions to avoid unfavorable scenarios at these key strikes. This activity tends to concentrate price movement toward these levels as traders hedge their positions, leading to increased liquidity and the potential for abrupt price reactions near option expiration dates.
Whole Number Theory : This theory suggests that whole numbers act as natural psychological barriers, where traders tend to make decisions, place orders, or expect price reactions, making these levels crucial for analysis. Whole numbers are simple to remember and are often used as informal targets for profit-taking or stop placement. This behavior leads to a natural ebb and flow around these levels, where the market finds equilibrium temporarily before deciding on a future direction. Whole numbers tend to work like magnets, drawing price to them and often creating reactions that are visible across different timeframes.
Quarters Theory : Commonly used in Forex markets, this theory focuses on quarter-point increments (e.g., 1.0000, 1.2500, 1.5000) as key levels where price often pauses or reverses. These quarter levels are treated as important psychological barriers, with price frequently interacting at these intervals. Traders use these points to gauge market strength or weakness because quarter levels divide larger round-number ranges into more manageable and meaningful segments. For example, in highly traded forex pairs like EUR/USD, traders might treat 1.2500 as a significant barrier because it represents a halfway point between 1.0000 and 1.5000, offering a balanced reference point for decision-making.
Big Round Numbers : Major round numbers, such as 100, 500, or 1000, often attract significant attention and serve as psychological thresholds. Traders anticipate strong reactions when prices approach or cross these levels. This is often because large round numbers symbolize major milestones, and price behavior around them tends to signal important market sentiment shifts. When price crosses a major level, such as a stock moving above $100 or Bitcoin crossing $50,000, it often creates a surge in trading activity as it is viewed as a validation or invalidation of market trends, drawing in momentum traders and triggering both retail and institutional responses.
By visualizing these round levels on the chart, the Rounded Grid Levels indicator helps traders identify areas where price may pause, reverse, or gain momentum. While round numbers provide useful insights, they should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a comprehensive trading strategy.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS 🛠️
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator offers a variety of configurable settings to tailor the visualization according to individual trader preferences. Below are the key settings available for customization:
Custom Settings
Rounding Step : The Rounding Step parameter sets the minimum interval between gridlines. This value determines how closely spaced the rounded levels are on the chart. For example, if the Rounding Step is set to 100, gridlines will be displayed at every 100 points (e.g., $100, $200, $300) relative to the current price level. The Rounding Step is scaled to the chart's visible area, meaning users should adjust it appropriately for different assets to ensure effective visualization. Lower values provide a more granular view, while larger values give a broader, higher-level perspective.
Major Grids : Defines the interval at which major gridlines will appear compared to minor ones. For example, if the Rounding Step is 100 and Major Grids is set to 10, major gridlines will be displayed every $1,000, while minor gridlines will be at every $100. This distinction allows traders to better visualize key psychological levels by emphasizing significant price intervals.
Direction : Users can select the gridline direction, choosing between options such as 'Up', 'Down', 'Auto', or 'Neutral'. This setting controls how the gridlines extend relative to the current price level, which can help in analyzing directional trends.
Neutral Direction : This option provides balanced gridlines both above and below the current price, allowing traders to visualize support and resistance levels symmetrically. This is useful for analyzing sideways or ranging markets without directional bias.
Up Direction : The gridlines are tilted upwards, starting from visible lows and extending toward the rounded level at the current price. By choosing Up , traders emphasize an upward sentiment, visualizing price action that aligns with rising trends. This option helps illustrate potential areas where pullbacks may occur, as well as how price might expand upwards in the current market context.
Down Direction : The gridlines are tilted downwards, starting from visible highs and extending toward the rounded level at the current price. Selecting Down allows traders to emphasize a downward sentiment, visualizing how price may expand downwards, which is particularly useful when analyzing downtrends or potential correction levels. The gridlines provide an illustrative view of how price interacts with lower levels during market declines.
Auto Direction : The gridlines automatically adjust their direction based on recent market trends. This adaptive option allows traders to visualize gridlines that dynamically change according to price action, making it suitable for evolving market conditions where the direction is uncertain. It’s useful for traders looking for an indicator that moves in sync with market shifts and doesn’t require manual adjustment.
Grid Type : Allows users to choose between 'Linear' or 'Fan' grid types. The Linear type creates evenly spaced gridlines that can be either horizontal or tilted, depending on the chosen direction setting, providing a straightforward view of price levels. The Fan type radiates lines from a central point, offering a more dynamic perspective for analyzing price expansions relative to the current price. These grid types introduce experimental visualizations influenced by chart properties, including visible highs, lows, and the current price. Regardless of the configuration, the gridlines will always end at the current bar, which represents a rounded price level, ensuring consistency in how key price areas are displayed.
Extend : This setting allows gridlines to be projected into the future, helping traders see potential levels beyond the current bar. When enabled, the behavior of the extended lines varies based on the selected grid type and direction. For Neutral and Horizontal Linear settings, the extended gridlines maintain their round-number alignment indefinitely. However, for Up , Down , or Auto directions, the angle of the extended gridlines can change dynamically based on the chart’s visible high and low or the latest price action. As a result, extended lines may not continue to align with round-number levels beyond the current bar, reflecting instead the current trend and sentiment of the market. Regardless of direction, extended gridlines remain consistently spaced and either parallel or evenly distributed, ensuring a structured visual representation.
Color Settings : Users can customize the colors for resistance, support, and minor gridlines at the current price. This helps in visually distinguishing between different grid types and their significance on the chart.
Color Options
These configuration options make the Rounded Grid Levels indicator a versatile tool for traders looking to customize their charts based on their personal trading strategies and analytical preferences.
🖼️ CHART EXAMPLES 🖼️
The following chart examples illustrate different configurations available in the Rounded Grid Levels indicator. These examples show how variations in grid type, direction, and rounding step settings impact the visualization of price levels. Traders may find that smaller rounding steps are more effective on lower time frames, where precision is key, whereas larger rounding steps help to reduce clutter and highlight key levels on higher time frames. Each image includes a caption to explain the specific configuration used, helping users better understand how to apply these settings in different market conditions.
Smaller Rounding Step (100) : With a smaller rounding step, the gridlines are spaced closely together. This setting is particularly useful for lower time frames where price action is more granular and finer details are needed. It allows traders to track price interactions at narrower levels, but on higher time frames, it may lead to clutter and exceed Pine Script's 500-line limit.
Larger Rounding Step (1000) : With a larger rounding step, the gridlines are spaced farther apart. This visualization is better suited for higher time frames or broader market overviews, allowing users to focus on major psychological levels without overloading the chart. On lower time frames, this may result in fewer actionable levels, but it helps in maintaining clarity and staying within Pine Script's line limit.
Linear Grid Type, Neutral Direction (Traditional Rounded Price Levels) : The Linear gridlines are displayed in a neutral fashion, representing traditional round-number levels with consistent spacing above and below the current price. This layout helps visualize key psychological price levels over time in a straightforward manner.
Linear Grid Type, Down Direction : The Linear gridlines are tilted downwards, remaining parallel and ending at the rounded level at the current price. This setup emphasizes downward market sentiment, allowing traders to visualize price expansion towards lower levels, which is useful when analyzing downtrends or potential correction levels.
Linear Grid Type, Down Direction : The Linear gridlines are tilted downwards, extending from the current price to lower levels. Useful for observing downtrending price movements and visualizing pullback areas during uptrends.
Linear Grid Type, Auto Direction : The Linear gridlines adjust dynamically, tilting either upwards or downwards to align with recent price trends, remaining parallel and ending at the rounded level at the current price. This configuration reflects the current market sentiment and offers traders a flexible way to observe price dynamics as they develop in real time.
Fan Grid Type, Neutral Direction : The fan-shaped gridlines radiate symmetrically from a central point, ending at the rounded level at the current price. This configuration provides an unbiased view of price action, giving traders a balanced visualization of rounded levels without directional influence.
Fan Grid Type, Up Direction : The fan-shaped gridlines originate from lower visible price points and radiate upwards, ending at the rounded level at the current price. This layout helps visualize potential price expansion to higher levels, offering insights into upward momentum while maintaining a dynamic and evolving perspective on market conditions.
Fan Grid Type, Down Direction : The fan-shaped gridlines originate from higher visible price points and radiate downwards, ending at the rounded level at the current price. This setup is particularly useful for observing potential price expansion towards lower levels, illustrating areas where the price might extend during a downtrend.
Fan Grid Type, Auto Direction : The fan-shaped gridlines dynamically adjust, originating from visible chart points based on the current market trend, and radiate outward, ending at the rounded level at the current price. This adaptive visualization offers a continuously evolving representation that aligns with changing market sentiment, helping traders assess price expansion dynamically.
📊 SUMMARY 📊
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator helps traders highlight important round-number price levels on their charts, providing a dynamic way to visualize these psychological areas. With customizable gridline options—including traditional, tilted, and fan-shaped styles—users can adapt the indicator to suit their analysis needs. The gridlines adjust with chart zoom or scale, offering a flexible tool for observing price action, without providing specific trading signals or predictions.
⚙️ COMPATIBILITY AND LIMITATIONS ⚙️
Asset Compatibility :
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator is compatible with all asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, and commodities. Users should adjust both the Rounding Step and the Major Grid settings to ensure the correct scale is used for the specific asset. This adjustment ensures that the most relevant round price levels are displayed effectively regardless of the instrument being analyzed. For instance, when analyzing BTCUSD, a higher Rounding Step may be needed compared to forex pairs like EURUSD, and the Major Grid value should also be adjusted to appropriately emphasize significant levels.
Line Limitations in Pine Script :
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator is subject to Pine Script's 500-line limit. This means that it cannot draw more than 500 gridlines on the chart at any given time. The number of gridlines depends directly on the chosen Rounding Step . If the steps are too small, the gridlines will be spaced too closely, causing the indicator to quickly reach the line limit. For example, if Ethereum is trading around $2,500, a Rounding Step of 100 might be appropriate, but a step of 1.00 would create too many gridlines, exceeding Pine Script's limit. Users should consider appropriate settings to avoid running into this constraint.
Runtime Error Considerations
When using the Rounded Grid Levels indicator, users might encounter a runtime error in specific scenarios. This typically happens if the Rounding Step is set too small, causing the indicator to exceed Pine Script's line limit or take too long to process. This can often occur when switching between charts that have significantly different price ranges. Since the Rounding Step requires flexibility to work with a wide variety of assets—ranging from decimals to thousands—it is not practically limited within the script itself. If a runtime error occurs, the recommended solution is to increase the Rounding Step to a larger value that better matches the current asset's price range.
Runtime Error: If the Rounding Step is too small for the current asset or chart, the indicator may generate a runtime error. Users should increase the Rounding Step to ensure proper visualization.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator is not designed as a predictive tool. While it extends gridlines into the future, this extension is purely for visual continuity and does not imply any forecast of future price movements. The primary function of this indicator is to help users visualize significant round number price levels.
The gridlines adjust dynamically based on the visible chart range, ensuring that the most relevant round price levels are displayed. This behavior allows the indicator to adapt to your current view of the market, but it should not be used to predict price movements. The indicator is intended as a visual aid and should be used alongside other tools in a comprehensive market analysis approach.
While gridlines may align with significant price levels in hindsight, they should not be interpreted as indicators of future price movements. Traders are encouraged to adjust settings based on their strategy and market conditions.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
The Rounded Grid Levels indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed with education and community collaboration in mind. Its open-source nature encourages exploration, experimentation, and the development of new grid calculation indicators, drawings, and strategies. We hope this indicator serves as a framework and a starting point for future innovations in grid trading.
Your comments, suggestions, and discussions are invaluable in shaping the future of this project. We actively encourage your feedback and contributions, which will directly help us refine and improve the Rounded Grid Levels indicator. We look forward to seeing the creative ways in which you use and enhance this tool.
Advanced Multi-Seasonality StrategyThe Multi-Seasonality Strategy is a trading system based on seasonal market patterns. Seasonality refers to recurring market trends driven by predictable calendar-based events. These patterns emerge due to economic cycles, corporate activities (e.g., earnings reports), and investor behavior around specific times of the year. Studies have shown that such effects can influence asset prices over defined periods, leading to opportunities for traders who exploit these patterns (Hirshleifer, 2001; Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
How the Strategy Works:
The strategy allows the user to define four distinct periods within a calendar year. For each period, the trader selects:
Entry Date (Month and Day): The date to enter the trade.
Holding Period: The number of trading days to remain in the trade after the entry.
Trade Direction: Whether to take a long or short position during that period.
The system is designed with flexibility, enabling the user to activate or deactivate each of the four periods. The idea is to take advantage of seasonal patterns, such as buying during historically strong periods and selling during weaker ones. A well-known example is the "Sell in May and Go Away" phenomenon, which suggests that stock returns are higher from November to April and weaker from May to October (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Seasonality in Financial Markets:
Seasonal effects have been documented across different asset classes and markets:
Equities: Stock markets tend to exhibit higher returns during certain months, such as the "January effect," where prices rise after year-end tax-loss selling (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987).
Commodities: Agricultural commodities often follow seasonal planting and harvesting cycles, which impact supply and demand patterns (Fama & French, 1987).
Forex: Currency pairs may show strength or weakness during specific quarters based on macroeconomic factors, such as fiscal year-end flows or central bank policy decisions.
Scientific Basis:
Research shows that market anomalies like seasonality are linked to behavioral biases and institutional practices. For example, investors may respond to tax incentives at the end of the year, and companies may engage in window dressing (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987). Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as monetary policy shifts and holiday trading volumes, can also contribute to predictable seasonal trends (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Risks of Seasonal Trading:
While the strategy seeks to exploit predictable patterns, there are inherent risks:
Market Changes: Seasonal effects observed in the past may weaken or disappear as market conditions evolve. Increased algorithmic trading, globalization, and policy changes can reduce the reliability of historical patterns (Lo, 2004).
Overfitting: One of the risks in seasonal trading is overfitting the strategy to historical data. A pattern that worked in the past may not necessarily work in the future, especially if it was based on random chance or external factors that no longer apply (Sullivan, Timmermann, & White, 1999).
Liquidity and Volatility: Trading during specific periods may expose the trader to low liquidity, especially around holidays or earnings seasons, leading to slippage and larger-than-expected price swings.
Economic and Geopolitical Shocks: External events such as pandemics, wars, or political instability can disrupt seasonal patterns, leading to unexpected market behavior.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Seasonality Strategy capitalizes on the predictable nature of certain calendar-based patterns in financial markets. By entering and exiting trades based on well-established seasonal effects, traders can potentially capture short-term profits. However, caution is necessary, as market dynamics can change, and seasonal patterns are not guaranteed to persist. Rigorous backtesting, combined with risk management practices, is essential to successfully implementing this strategy.
References:
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween Indicator, "Sell in May and Go Away": Another Puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1987). Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage. Journal of Business, 60(1), 55-73.
Haugen, R. A., & Lakonishok, J. (1987). The Incredible January Effect: The Stock Market's Unsolved Mystery. Dow Jones-Irwin.
Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15-29.
Sullivan, R., Timmermann, A., & White, H. (1999). Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 1647-1691.
This strategy harnesses the power of seasonality but requires careful consideration of the risks and potential changes in market behavior over time.
asia session w shieldIntroduction
This Script displays the Asia Session Range
Description
The Indicator is based on UTC -7 timing but displays the Session Boxes automatically correct at your chart so you do not have to adjust any timings based on your Time Zone and don't have to do any calculations based on your UTC. It is already perfect.
You will see on default settings the blue Asia Box, the special ' invalid shield ' feature is there because first two hours are spread timing.
Most Timing-based Indicators have "bugged" boxes or don't show clean boxes at all and don't adjust at daylight savings times, we made sure that everything automatically gets adjusted so you don't have to! So the timings will always display at the correct time regarding the daylight savings times.
Combining Timing with Liquidity Zones the right way and in a clear, clean, and simple format.
Different than others this script also shows the "true" Asia range as it respects the "day open gap" which affects the Asia range in other scripts and it also covers the full 8 hours of Asia Session.
Recommended Use
The most beautiful display is on the M5 Timeframe as you have a clear overview of all sessions without losing the intraday view. You can also use it on the M1 for more details or the M15 for the bigger picture. The Template can hide on higher time frames starting from the H1 to not flood your chart with boxes.
How to use the Asia Session Range Box
Use the Asia Range Box as your intraday Guide, keep in mind that a Breakout of Asia high or low induces Liquidity and a common price behavior is a reversal after the fake breakout of that range.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
TRIN (Arms Index) Trading StrategyThe TRIN (Arms Index), also known as the Short-Term Trading Index, is a technical indicator designed to gauge the internal strength or weakness of the market. It compares the number of advancing and declining stocks to the advancing and declining volume (AD Volume). A TRIN value above 1.0 generally indicates bearish market conditions, while a value below 1.0 suggests bullish market sentiment.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Condition (Long Position): When the TRIN value is above 1.0, the strategy enters a long position, indicating that the market may be oversold, and a potential reversal could occur.
Exit Condition: The strategy exits the long position when the closing price is higher than the previous day’s high, signaling a potential rebound in the market.
This strategy aims to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies by entering trades during periods of potential market weakness and exiting when signs of recovery appear.
How the TRIN Index Works:
The TRIN is calculated as follows:
TRIN=Advancing Issues / Declining IssuesAdvancing Volume / Declining Volume
TRIN=Advancing Volume / Declining VolumeAdvancing Issues / Declining Issues
A TRIN value above 1.0 indicates that the market is potentially oversold (more declining stocks with higher volume), while a value below 1.0 suggests the market may be overbought (more advancing stocks with higher volume) .
Empirical Evidence:
Market Sentiment Indicator: The TRIN has been widely used as a sentiment indicator. Research by Zweig (1997) suggests that extreme TRIN values can serve as a contrarian signal, indicating potential turning points in the market. For instance, a TRIN above 2.0 is often considered a sign of panic selling, which can precede a market bottom .
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Studies have shown that indicators like TRIN, which measure market breadth and volume, can be effective in identifying overbought and oversold conditions. According to Fama and French (1988), market sentiment indicators that consider both price and volume data can offer insights into future price movements .
Risks and Limitations:
False Signals:
One of the primary risks of using the TRIN-based strategy is the possibility of false signals. A TRIN value above 1.0 does not always guarantee a market rebound, especially in sustained bearish trends. In such cases, the strategy might enter long positions prematurely, leading to losses.
Research by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) found that while market indicators like TRIN can be useful, they are not foolproof and can generate multiple false positives, particularly in volatile markets .
Market Regimes:
The effectiveness of the TRIN index can vary depending on the market regime. In strongly trending markets, either bullish or bearish, the TRIN may not provide reliable reversal signals, and relying on it could result in trades that go against the prevailing trend. For instance, during strong bear markets, the TRIN may frequently remain above 1.0, leading to multiple losing trades as the market continues to decline.
Short-Term Focus:
The TRIN strategy is inherently short-term focused, aiming to capture quick market reversals. This makes it sensitive to market noise and less effective for longer-term investors. Moreover, short-term trading strategies often require more frequent adjustments and can incur higher transaction costs, which may erode profitability over time.
Liquidity and Execution Risk:
Since the TRIN strategy requires entering and exiting trades based on short-term market movements, it is vulnerable to liquidity and execution risks. In fast-moving markets, the execution of trades may be delayed, leading to slippage and potentially unfavorable entry or exit points.
Conclusion:
The TRIN (Arms Index) Trading Strategy can be an effective tool for traders looking to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies and potential reversals. However, it is important to recognize the risks associated with this strategy, including false signals, sensitivity to market regimes, and execution risks. Traders should employ proper risk management techniques and consider combining the TRIN with other indicators to improve the robustness of the strategy.
While the TRIN provides valuable insights into market sentiment, it is not a standalone solution and should be used in conjunction with a broader trading plan that takes into account both technical and fundamental analysis.
References:
Arms, Richard W. "Volume Adjusted Moving Averages." Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 1993.
Zweig, Martin. Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books, 1997.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices." Journal of Political Economy, 1988.
Brock, William, Josef Lakonishok, and Blake LeBaron. "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 1992.
Swing Failure Pattern SFP [TradingFinder] SFP ICT Strategy🔵 Introduction
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), also referred to as a "Fake Breakout" or "False Breakout," is a vital concept in technical analysis. This pattern is derived from classic technical analysis, price action strategies, ICT concepts, and Smart Money Concepts.
It’s frequently utilized by traders to identify potential trend reversals in financial markets, especially in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies and forex. SFP helps traders recognize failed attempts to breach key support or resistance levels, providing strategic opportunities for trades.
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a popular strategy among traders used to identify false breakouts and potential trend reversals in the market. This strategy involves spotting moments where the price attempts to break above or below a previous high or low (breakout) but fails to sustain the move, leading to a sharp reversal.
Traders use this strategy to identify liquidity zones where stop orders (stop hunt) are typically placed and targeted by larger market participants or whales.
When the price penetrates these areas but fails to hold the levels, a liquidity sweep occurs, signaling exhaustion in the trend and a potential reversal. This strategy allows traders to enter the market at the right time and capitalize on opportunities created by false breakouts.
🟣 Types of SFP
When analyzing SFPs, two main variations are essential :
Real SFP : This occurs when the price breaks a critical level but fails to close above it, then quickly reverses. Due to its clarity and strong signal, this SFP type is highly reliable for traders.
Considerable SFP : In this scenario, the price closes slightly above a key level but quickly declines. Although significant, it is not as definitive or trustworthy as a Real SFP.
🟣 Understanding SFP
The Swing Failure Pattern, or False Breakout, is identified when the price momentarily breaks a crucial support or resistance level but cannot maintain the movement, leading to a rapid reversal.
The pattern can be categorized as follows :
Bullish SFP : This type occurs when the price dips below a support level but rebounds above it, signaling that sellers failed to push the price lower, indicating a potential upward trend.
Bearish SFP : This pattern forms when the price surpasses a resistance level but fails to hold, suggesting that buyers couldn’t maintain the higher price, leading to a potential decline.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively identify an SFP or Fake Breakout on a price chart, traders should follow these steps :
Identify Key Levels: Locate significant support or resistance levels on the chart.
Observe the Fake Breakout: The price should break the identified level but fail to close beyond it.
Monitor Price Reversal: After the breakout, the price should quickly reverse direction.
Execute the Trade: Traders typically enter the market after confirming the SFP.
🟣 Examples
Bullish Example : Bitcoin breaks below a $30,000 support level, drops to $29,000, but closes above $30,000 by the end of the day, signaling a Real Bullish SFP.
Bearish Example : Ethereum surpasses a $2,000 resistance level, rises to $2,100, but then falls back below $2,000, forming a Bearish SFP.
🟣 Pros and Cons of SFP
Pros :
Effective in identifying strong reversal points.
Offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Applicable across different timeframes.
Cons :
Requires experience and deep market understanding.
Risk of encountering false breakouts.
Should be combined with other technical tools for optimal effectiveness.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
SFP Type : Choose between "All", "Real" and "Considerable" modes to identify the swing failure pattern.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
🟣 Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert SFP : Enables alerts for Swing Failure Pattern.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
🔵 Conclusion
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), or False Breakout, is an essential analytical tool that assists traders in identifying key market reversal points for successful trading.
By understanding the nuances between Real SFP and Considerable SFP, and integrating this pattern with other technical analysis tools, traders can make more informed decisions and better manage their trading risks.
ICT Intraday Timeline [neo.|]ICT Intraday Timeline is a script that aims to cleanly display key times that the "Inner Circle Trader" often refers to during the day on a separate pane in your Tradingview chart. While using it, you can clearly see the time it is currently in New York time, as well as your own through Tradingview as usual, as well as relevant times such as the lunch times, Silver Bullet times, and Asian range time.
By using this indicator it is simpler to consider what every time is doing and the effect it has on your current bias, for example: you may want to look at the 8:30 am open which is where news usually comes out, if not you can use 9:30 am for formulating trades. The AM SB is a time for when the "Silver Bullet (ICT)" setup can be found and executed, as it refines a specific range and targets inefficiencies and allows liquidity to form for which it comes back for, meaning it may be a better time for you to enter a trade, these are just examples of what you can look for, and how considering time can help you come up with and refine trade ideas.
Other times which are included are the:
Asia Range: You can mark out the highs and lows which occur during this time to use as liquidity later.
Midnight Open: On equities price will often interact with the midnight opening price, meaning it is an important time to consider.
London Open SB and Premarket SB: As mentioned previously you can find the "Silver Bullet" setup in here.
NY Lunch & London Lunch: Lunch times usually mean less volume therefore you may see less probable trades at this time.
AM SB and PM SB: Once again, times where you can potentially find more probable trades.
You can also easily customize any of the colors such as the SB (Silver Bullet) times, London lunch and NY Lunch times, or the Asia range or line colors to your preference and individual chart style.
ICT Balanced Price Range [TradingFinder] BPR | FVG + IFVG🔵 Introduction
The ICT Balanced Price Range (BPR) indicator is a valuable tool that helps traders identify key areas on price charts where a balance between buyers and sellers is established. These zones can serve as critical points for potential price reversals or continuations.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range
A Bullish BPR forms when a buying pressure zone (Bullish FVG) overlaps with a Bullish Inversion FVG. This overlap indicates a high probability of price moving upwards, making it a crucial area for traders to consider.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range
Similarly, a Bearish BPR is created when a selling pressure zone (Bearish FVG) overlaps with a Bearish Inversion FVG. This zone is often seen as a key area where the price is likely to move downward.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Identifying the Balanced Price Range (BPR)
To identify the Balanced Price Range (BPR), you must first locate two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the price chart. One FVG should be on the sell side, and the other on the buy side. When these two FVGs horizontally oppose each other, the area where they overlap is recognized as the Balanced Price Range (BPR).
This BPR zone is highly sensitive to price movements due to the combination of two FVGs, often leading to strong market reactions. As the price approaches this area, the likelihood of a significant market move increases, making it a prime target for professional traders.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range (Bullish BPR)
To effectively trade using a Bullish BPR, begin by identifying a bullish market structure and searching for bullish Price Delivery Arrays (PD Arrays). Once the market structure shifts to bullish in a lower time frame, locate a Bullish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bearish FVG.
Mark this overlapping zone and wait for the price to test it before executing a buy trade. Alternatively, you can set a Buy Limit order with a stop loss below the recent swing low and target profits based on higher time frame liquidity draws.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range (Bearish BPR)
For bearish trades, start by identifying a bearish market structure and look for bearish PD Arrays. After the market structure shifts to bearish in a lower time frame, identify a Bearish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bullish FVG. Mark this overlapping zone and execute a sell trade when the price tests it.
You can also use a Sell Limit order with a stop loss above the recent swing high and target profits according to higher time frame liquidity draws.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Global Settings
Show All Inversion FVG & IFVG : If disabled, only the most recent FVG & IFVG will be displayed.
FVG & IFVG Validity Period (Bar) : Determines the maximum duration (in number of candles) that the FVG and IFVG remain valid.
Switching Colors Theme Mode : Includes three modes: "Off", "Light", and "Dark". "Light" mode adjusts colors for light mode use, "Dark" mode adjusts colors for dark mode use, and "Off" disables color adjustments.
🟣 Display Settings
Show Bullish BPR : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish BPR : Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level BPR : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
Show Bullish IFVG : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish IFV G: Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level FVG and IFVG : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
🟣 Logic Settings
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filters :
Very Aggressive Filter : Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter : Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter : Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filte r: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert Inversion FVG Mitigation : Enables alerts for Inversion FVG mitigation.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
Display More Info : Provides additional details in alert messages, including price range, date, hour, and minute. Set to 'Off' to exclude this information.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Balanced Price Range is a powerful and reliable tool for identifying key points on price charts. This strategy can be applied across various time frames and serves as a complementary tool alongside other indicators and technical analysis methods.
The most crucial aspect of utilizing this strategy effectively is correctly identifying FVGs and their overlapping areas, which comes with practice and experience.
Market Structure Based Stop LossMarket Structure Based Dynamic Stop Loss
Introduction
The Market Structure Based Stop Loss indicator is a strategic tool for traders designed to be useful in both rigorous backtesting and live testing, by providing an objective, “guess-free” stop loss level. This indicator dynamically plots suggested stop loss levels based on market structure, and the concepts of “interim lows/highs.”
It provides a robust framework for managing risk in both long and short positions. By leveraging historical price movements and real time market dynamics, this indicator helps traders identify quantitatively consistent risk levels while optimizing trade returns.
Legend
This indicator utilizes various inputs to customize its functionality, including "Stop Loss Sensitivity" and "Wick Depth," which dictate how closely the stop loss levels hug the price's highs and lows. The stop loss levels are plotted as lines on the trading chart, providing clear visual cues for position management. As seen in the chart below, this indicator dynamically plots stop loss levels for both long and short positions at every point in time.
A “Stop Loss Table” is also included, in order to enhance precision trading and increase backtesting accuracy. It is customizable in both size and positioning.
Case Study
Methodology
The methodology behind this indicator focuses on the precision placement of stop losses using market structure as a guide. It calculates stop losses by identifying the "lowest close" and the corresponding "lowest low" for long setups, and inversely for short setups. By adjusting the sensitivity settings, traders can tweak the indicator's responsiveness to price changes, ensuring that the stop losses are set with a balance between tight risk control and enough room to avoid premature exits due to market noise. The indicator's ability to adapt to different trading styles and time frames makes it an essential tool for traders aiming for efficiency and effectiveness in their risk management strategies.
An important point to make is the fact that the stop loss levels are always placed within the wicks. This is important to avoid what can be described as a “floating stop loss”. A stop loss placed outside of a wick is susceptible to an outsized degree of slippage. This is because traders always cluster their stop losses at high/low wicks, and a stop loss placed outside of this level will inevitably be caught in a low liquidity cascade or “wash-out.” When price approaches a cluster of stop losses, it is highly probable that you will be stopped out anyway, so it is prudent to attempt to be the trader who gets stopped out first in order to avoid high slippage, and losses above what you originally intended.
// For long positions: stop-loss is slightly inside the lowest wick
float dynamic_SL_Long = lowestClose - (lowestClose - lowestLow) * (1 - WickDepth)
// For short positions: stop-loss is slightly inside the highest wick
float dynamic_SL_Short = highestClose + (highestHigh - highestClose) * (1 - WickDepth)
The percentage depth of the wick in which the stop loss is placed is customisable with the “Wick Depth” variable, in order to customize stop loss strategies around the liquidity of the market a trader is executing their orders in.
Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
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Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
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This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
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The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
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The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
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This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
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Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
High & Low Of Custom Session - Breakout True Open [cognyto]This indicator is based on the High & Low Of Custom Session - OpeningRange Breakout (Expo) created by Zeiierman.
It adds new functionality and enhances existing settings, targeting ES, NQ, and YM:
Manages session defaults to 12:00 to 13:00
New true opening fully customizable (default 13:00)
Manages timeframe visualization (default 15m and below)
Manages session draw length until the end of the current session (default NY)
Manages previous sessions, allowing the to be hidden
Improves timezone selection (default NY)
Following the strategy called Paradox detailed by DayTradingRauf, it works with indices like ES, NQ, and YM.
The rules consider three possible profiles:
First
AM session as consolidation (08:00-12:00)
Lunch hour range as consolidation (less than 100 points)
PM session breaking either side of the session range
Second
AM session trending lower (08:00-12:00)
Lunch hour range as consolidation (less than 100 points)
PM session trending higher
Third
AM session trending higher (08:00-12:00)
Lunch hour range as consolidation (less than 100 points)
PM session trending lower
After the session ends, the opening price at 13:00 is automatically drawn as it is a key point for the entry strategy.
The strategy can be monitored using a 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe as follows:
- Wait for a liquidity hunt (either the high or low of the lunch session range or AM is taken).
- If liquidity is taken, switch to the 1-minute timeframe and wait for a CISD (change in the state of delivery), where the price closes below an OB, or consider a breaker block or iFVG to enter the trade.
- Bullish entries should happen below the opening price at 13:00, and bearish entries should happen above.
- Consider a 1:2 reward ratio. However, runners can target the opposite side of the range that was not yet taken.
This indicator is for informational purposes only and you should not rely on any information it provides as legal, tax, investment, financial or other advice. Nothing provided by this indicator constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement or offer by cognyto or any third party service provider to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
US M2### Relevance and Functionality of the "US M2" Indicator
#### Relevance
The "US M2" indicator is relevant for several reasons:
1. **Macro-Economic Insight**: The M2 money supply is a critical indicator of the amount of liquidity in the economy. Changes in M2 can significantly impact financial markets, including equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
2. **Trend Identification**: By analyzing the M2 money supply with moving averages, the indicator helps identify long-term and short-term trends, providing insights into economic conditions and potential market movements.
3. **Trading Signals**: The indicator generates bullish and bearish signals based on moving average crossovers and the difference between current M2 values and their moving averages. These signals can be useful for making informed trading decisions.
#### How It Works
1. **Data Input**:
- **US M2 Money Supply**: The indicator fetches the US M2 money supply data using the "USM2" symbol with a monthly resolution.
2. **Moving Averages**:
- **50-Period SMA**: Calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) over 50 periods (months) to capture short-term trends.
- **200-Period SMA**: Calculates the SMA over 200 periods to identify long-term trends.
3. **Difference Calculation**:
- **USM2 Difference**: Computes the difference between the current M2 value and its 50-period SMA to highlight deviations from the short-term trend.
4. **Amplification**:
- **Amplified Difference**: Multiplies the difference by 100 to make the deviations more visible on the chart.
5. **Bullish and Bearish Conditions**:
- **Bullish Condition**: When the current M2 value is above the 50-period SMA, indicating a positive short-term trend.
- **Bearish Condition**: When the current M2 value is below the 50-period SMA, indicating a negative short-term trend.
6. **Short-Term SMA of Amplified Difference**:
- **14-Period SMA**: Applies a 14-period SMA to the amplified difference to smooth out short-term fluctuations and provide a clearer trend signal.
7. **Plots and Visualizations**:
- **USM2 Plot**: Plots the US M2 data for reference.
- **200-Period SMA Plot**: Plots the long-term SMA to show the broader trend.
- **Amplified Difference Histogram**: Plots the amplified difference as a histogram with green bars for bullish conditions and red bars for bearish conditions.
- **SMA of Amplified Difference**: Plots the 14-period SMA of the amplified difference to track the trend of deviations.
8. **Moving Average Cross Signals**:
- **Bullish Cross**: Plots an upward triangle when the 50-period SMA crosses above the 200-period SMA, signaling a potential long-term uptrend.
- **Bearish Cross**: Plots a downward triangle when the 50-period SMA crosses below the 200-period SMA, signaling a potential long-term downtrend.
### Summary
The "US M2" indicator provides a comprehensive view of the US M2 money supply, highlighting significant trends and deviations. By combining short-term and long-term moving averages with amplified difference analysis, it offers valuable insights and trading signals based on macroeconomic liquidity conditions.
Equal Highs and LowsDescription:
The ‘Equal Highs and Lows’ indicator is a technical analysis tool that marks identical price levels on a trading chart using the current time-frame, assisting traders in identifying potential support and resistance zones or liquidity draws. It creates a horizontal line connecting points where the price has created equal highs and lows within a specified lookback period. Unique to this tool, it maintains a clean chart by removing the line once the price surpasses the equal highs or falls below the equal lows, ensuring only the currently relevant equal highs and lows are highlighted.
Features:
Customization Options: Users can adjust the appearance of the lines (color, width, and style) to match their chart setup or preferences. Users can also choose to extend the lines marking the equal highs/lows to the right of the chart making the equal high/low levels more easier to visualize.
User-Defined Lookback Length: The number of bars to look back for finding equal highs and lows can be set by the user, allowing for flexibility in different market conditions.
How It Works:
The indicator meticulously scans the chart over a user-specified lookback duration, identifying bars with matching high or low values that have not been mitigated on the current chat timeframe, thereby constructing an index of equal values. It subsequently connects these equal values on the chart with a line. While this intuitive indicator does not forecast future market trends, it emphasizes significant price levels derived from historical data.
Usage:
Identifying Support and Resistance: The lines drawn by the indicator can be used to identify potential support and resistance zones and/or draws of liquidity, which are crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Strategy Development: Traders can incorporate the visual cues provided by the indicator into their trading strategies, using them as one of the factors for entry or exit decisions.
Originality:
This indicator presents a distinctive method for pinpointing and illustrating equal highs and lows, granting traders a crucial insight into key price levels. It stands apart from conventional indicators by offering extensive personalization and employing a novel approach to augment chart analysis. Uniquely, it retains only unmitigated equal high/low levels on the chart, automatically discarding mitigated price levels once the price has reached that level.
Conclusion:
The "Equal Highs and Lows" indicator is a practical tool for traders looking to enhance their chart analysis with visual cues of significant price levels. Its customization options and innovative approach make it a valuable addition to the trading toolkit, suitable for various trading styles and strategies.
