Linear Cross Trading StrategyLinear Cross Trading Strategy
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a technical analysis strategy that uses linear regression to predict the future price of a stock. The strategy is based on the following principles:
The price of a stock tends to follow a linear trend over time.
The slope of the linear trend can be used to predict the future price of the stock.
The strategy enters a long position when the predicted price crosses above the current price, and exits the position when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is implemented in the TradingView Pine script below. The script first calculates the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time. The script then plots the predicted price and the current price on the chart. The script also defines two signals:
Long signal: The long signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses above the current price.
Short signal: The short signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The script enters a long position when the long signal is triggered and exits the position when the short signal is triggered.
Here is a more detailed explanation of the steps involved in the Linear Cross trading strategy:
Calculate the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time.
Plot the predicted price and the current price on the chart.
Define two signals: the long signal and the short signal.
Enter a long position when the long signal is triggered.
Exit the long position when the short signal is triggered.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a simple and effective way to trade stocks. However, it is important to note that no trading strategy is guaranteed to be profitable. It is always important to do your own research and backtest the strategy before using it to trade real money.
Here are some additional things to keep in mind when using the Linear Cross trading strategy:
The length of the linear regression period is a key parameter that affects the performance of the strategy. A longer period will smooth out the noise in the price data, but it will also make the strategy less responsive to changes in the price.
The strategy is more likely to generate profitable trades when the stock price is trending. However, the strategy can also generate profitable trades in ranging markets.
The strategy is not immune to losses. It is important to use risk management techniques to protect your capital when using the strategy.
I hope this blog post helps you understand the Linear Cross trading strategy better. Booost and share with your friend, if you like.
在腳本中搜尋"profit"
[OKX Signal Bot] Indicator Script Set Up TemplateDiscover the power of the Turtle Trade Channels Indicator (TUTCI), an innovative tool that integrates the time-tested principles of the legendary Turtle Trade system. This groundbreaking system shattered the belief that successful traders are born, not made, by transforming ordinary individuals into profitable traders.
The Turtle Trade Experiment, which achieved a remarkable 80% annual return over four years and amassed a staggering $150 million, showcased the immense potential of this trend-following strategy. Unlike the conventional "buy low and sell high" approach, the Turtle Trade system embraces a different philosophy—one of capturing substantial profits by following prevailing trends.
At the heart of the Turtle Trade Channels Indicator lies the concept of Donchian Channels, a powerful technical indicator developed by Richard Donchian. Building upon this foundation, the main rule of TUTCI is to identify 20-day breakouts and capitalize on them, while simultaneously utilizing a profit-taking strategy based on breaching 10-day highs or lows.
For long trades, the indicator signals a buying opportunity when the price breaks above the 20-day high. Conversely, for short trades, a selling opportunity arises when the price falls below the 20-day low. This systematic approach allows traders to align themselves with the prevailing momentum, capturing significant price movements.
To further enhance trading precision, TUTCI incorporates two key lines. The red line represents the trading line, indicating the direction of the trend. Price bars above the trend line suggest an uptrend, while those below indicate a downtrend. The dotted blue line serves as the exit line, guiding traders to close their positions when price action breaches the 10-day high or low. This rule safeguards profits and helps traders avoid potential trend reversals.
The Turtle Trade Channels Indicator (TUTCI) is a versatile tool applicable to various financial markets, including stocks, commodities, and forex. By harnessing the power of breakouts and integrating profit-taking rules, this indicator empowers traders to capitalize on favorable trading opportunities while managing risk effectively.
As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to conduct thorough backtesting and evaluation of the TUTCI system before implementing it in live trading. Traders can customize the indicator's parameters to align with their trading preferences and adapt to changing market conditions. Employing sound risk management techniques, such as position sizing and stop-loss orders, is paramount to protect capital and minimize potential losses.
Experience the transformational potential of the Turtle Trade Channels Indicator (TUTCI) and embark on a journey of trend following, capturing significant profits, and achieving trading success.
These scripts are only functioning as sample script templates to support okx alert standards. It is not intended to provide any investment, tax, or legal advice, nor should it be considered an offer to purchase, sell, hold or offer any services relating to digital assets. Digital assets, including stablecoins, involve a high degree of risk, can fluctuate greatly, and can even become worthless. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and risk tolerance. OKX does not provide investment or asset recommendations. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions, and OKX is not responsible for any potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult your legal/tax/investment professional for questions about your specific circumstances.
Financial Ratios Fundamental StrategyWhat are financial ratios?
Financial ratios are basic calculations using quantitative data from a company’s financial statements. They are used to get insights and important information on the company’s performance, profitability, and financial health.
Common financial ratios come from a company’s balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement.
Businesses use financial ratios to determine liquidity, debt concentration, growth, profitability, and market value.
The common financial ratios every business should track are
1) liquidity ratios
2) leverage ratios
3)efficiency ratio
4) profitability ratios
5) market value ratios.
Initially I had a big list of 20 different ratios for testing, but in the end I decided to stick for the strategy with these ones :
Current ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities
The current ratio measures how a business’s current assets, such as cash, cash equivalents, accounts receivable, and inventories, are used to settle current liabilities such as accounts payable.
Interest coverage ratio: EBIT / Interest expenses
Companies generally pay interest on corporate debt. The interest coverage ratio shows if a company’s revenue after operating expenses can cover interest liabilities.
Payables turnover ratio: Cost of Goods sold (or net credit purchases) / Average Accounts Payable
The payables turnover ratio calculates how quickly a business pays its suppliers and creditors.
Gross margin: Gross profit / Net sales
The gross margin ratio measures how much profit a business makes after the cost of goods and services compared to net sales.
With this data, I have created the long and long exit strategy:
For long, if any of the 4 listed ratios,such as current ratio or interest coverage ratio or payable turn ratio or gross margin ratio is ascending after a quarter, its a potential long entry.
For example in january the gross margin ratio is at 10% and in april is at 15%, this is an increase from a quarter to another, so it will get a long entry trigger.
The same could happen if any of the 4 listed ratios follow the ascending condition since they are all treated equally as important
For exit, if any of the 4 listed ratios are descending after a quarter, such as current ratio or interest coverage ratio or payable turn ratio or gross margin ratio is descending after a quarter, its a potential long exit.
For example in april we entered a long trade, and in july data from gross margin comes as 12% .
In this case it fell down from 15% to 12%, triggering an exit for our trade.
However there is a special case with this strategy, in order to make it more re active and make use of the compound effect:
So lets say on july 1 when the data came in, the gross margin data came descending (indicating an exit for the long trade), however at the same the interest coverage ratio came as positive, or any of the other 3 left ratios left . In that case the next day after the trade closed, it will enter a new long position and wait again until a new quarter data for the financial is being published.
Regarding the guidelines of tradingview, they recommend to have more than 100 trades.
With this type of strategy, using Daily timeframe and data from financials coming each quarter(4 times a year), we only have the financial data available since 2016, so that makes 28 quarters of data, making a maximum potential of 28 trades.
This can however be "bypassed" to check the integrity of the strategy and its edge, by taking for example multiple stocks and test them in a row, for example, appl, msft, goog, brk and so on, and you can see the correlation between them all.
At the same time I have to say that this strategy is more as an educational one since it miss a risk management and other additional filters to make it more adapted for real live trading, and instead serves as a guiding tool for those that want to make use of fundamentals in their trades
If you have any questions, please let me know !
[tradinghook] - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy V2Title: Renko Trend Reversal Strategy
Short Title: - Renko TRS
> Special thanks to for manually calculating `renkoClose` and `renkoOpen` values in order to remove the infamous repaint issue
Description:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy ( - Renko TRS) is a powerful and original trading approach designed to identify trend reversals in financial markets using Renko charts. Renko charts differ from traditional time-based charts, as they focus solely on price movements and ignore time, resulting in a clearer representation of market trends. This strategy leverages Renko charts in conjunction with the Average True Range (ATR) to capture trend reversals with high precision and effectiveness.
Key Concepts:
Renko Charts: Renko charts are unique chart types that only plot price movements beyond a predefined brick size, ignoring time and noise. By doing so, they provide a more straightforward depiction of market trends, eliminating insignificant price fluctuations and making it easier to spot trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR): The strategy utilizes the ATR indicator, which measures market volatility and provides valuable insights into potential price movements. By setting the brick size of the Renko chart based on the ATR, the strategy adapts to changing market conditions, ensuring optimal performance across various instruments and timeframes.
How it Works:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify trend reversal points and generate buy or sell signals based on the following principles:
Renko Brick Generation: The strategy calculates the ATR over a user-defined period (ATR Length) and utilizes this value to determine the size of Renko bricks. Larger ATR values result in bigger bricks, capturing higher market volatility, while smaller ATR values create smaller bricks for calmer market conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when the Renko chart's open price crosses below the close price, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal. Conversely, sell signals are generated when the open price crosses above the close price, suggesting a bearish trend reversal. These signals help traders identify potential entry points to capitalize on market movements.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Management: To manage risk and protect profits, the strategy incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. The stop-loss level is calculated as a percentage of the Renko open price, ensuring a fixed risk amount for each trade. Similarly, the take-profit level is set as a percentage of the Renko open price to secure potential gains.
How to Use:
Inputs: Before using the strategy, traders can customize several parameters to suit their trading preferences. These inputs include the ATR Length, Stop Loss Percentage, Take Profit Percentage, Start Date, and End Date. Adjusting these settings allows users to optimize the strategy for different market conditions and risk tolerances.
Chart Setup: Apply the - Renko TRS script to your desired financial instrument and timeframe on TradingView. The Renko chart will dynamically adjust its brick size based on the ATR Length parameter.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy will generate green "Buy" labels below bullish reversal points and red "Sell" labels above bearish reversal points on the Renko chart. These labels indicate potential entry points for long and short trades, respectively.
Risk Management: The strategy automatically calculates stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the user-defined percentages. Traders can ensure proper risk management by using these levels to protect their capital and secure profits.
Backtesting and Optimization: Before implementing the strategy live, traders are encouraged to backtest it on historical data to assess its performance across various market conditions. Adjust the input parameters through optimization to find the most suitable settings for specific instruments and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is a unique and versatile tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals with greater accuracy. By combining Renko charts and the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this strategy adapts to market dynamics and provides clear entry and exit signals. Traders can harness the power of Renko charts while effectively managing risk through stop-loss and take-profit levels. Before using the strategy in live trading, backtesting and optimization will help traders fine-tune the parameters for optimal performance. Start exploring trend reversals with the - Renko TRS and take your trading to the next level.
(Note: This description is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders are advised to thoroughly test the strategy and exercise sound risk management practices when trading in real markets.)
[tradinghook] - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy
Short Title: - Renko TRS
Description:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy ( - Renko TRS) is a powerful and original trading approach designed to identify trend reversals in financial markets using Renko charts. Renko charts differ from traditional time-based charts, as they focus solely on price movements and ignore time, resulting in a clearer representation of market trends. This strategy leverages Renko charts in conjunction with the Average True Range (ATR) to capture trend reversals with high precision and effectiveness.
Key Concepts:
Renko Charts: Renko charts are unique chart types that only plot price movements beyond a predefined brick size, ignoring time and noise. By doing so, they provide a more straightforward depiction of market trends, eliminating insignificant price fluctuations and making it easier to spot trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR): The strategy utilizes the ATR indicator, which measures market volatility and provides valuable insights into potential price movements. By setting the brick size of the Renko chart based on the ATR, the strategy adapts to changing market conditions, ensuring optimal performance across various instruments and timeframes.
How it Works:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify trend reversal points and generate buy or sell signals based on the following principles:
Renko Brick Generation: The strategy calculates the ATR over a user-defined period (ATR Length) and utilizes this value to determine the size of Renko bricks. Larger ATR values result in bigger bricks, capturing higher market volatility, while smaller ATR values create smaller bricks for calmer market conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when the Renko chart's open price crosses below the close price, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal. Conversely, sell signals are generated when the open price crosses above the close price, suggesting a bearish trend reversal. These signals help traders identify potential entry points to capitalize on market movements.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Management: To manage risk and protect profits, the strategy incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. The stop-loss level is calculated as a percentage of the Renko open price, ensuring a fixed risk amount for each trade. Similarly, the take-profit level is set as a percentage of the Renko open price to secure potential gains.
How to Use:
Inputs: Before using the strategy, traders can customize several parameters to suit their trading preferences. These inputs include the ATR Length, Stop Loss Percentage, Take Profit Percentage, Start Date, and End Date. Adjusting these settings allows users to optimize the strategy for different market conditions and risk tolerances.
Chart Setup: Apply the - Renko TRS script to your desired financial instrument and timeframe on TradingView. The Renko chart will dynamically adjust its brick size based on the ATR Length parameter.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy will generate green "Buy" labels below bullish reversal points and red "Sell" labels above bearish reversal points on the Renko chart. These labels indicate potential entry points for long and short trades, respectively.
Risk Management: The strategy automatically calculates stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the user-defined percentages. Traders can ensure proper risk management by using these levels to protect their capital and secure profits.
Backtesting and Optimization: Before implementing the strategy live, traders are encouraged to backtest it on historical data to assess its performance across various market conditions. Adjust the input parameters through optimization to find the most suitable settings for specific instruments and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is a unique and versatile tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals with greater accuracy. By combining Renko charts and the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this strategy adapts to market dynamics and provides clear entry and exit signals. Traders can harness the power of Renko charts while effectively managing risk through stop-loss and take-profit levels. Before using the strategy in live trading, backtesting and optimization will help traders fine-tune the parameters for optimal performance. Start exploring trend reversals with the - Renko TRS and take your trading to the next level.
(Note: This description is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders are advised to thoroughly test the strategy and exercise sound risk management practices when trading in real markets.)
Trailing Stop with RSI - Momentum-Based StrategyTrailing Stop with RSI - Momentum-Based Strategy
Description:
The Trailing Stop with RSI strategy combines momentum analysis and trailing stop functionality to help traders identify potential entry and exit points in their trading decisions. This strategy is suitable for various markets and timeframes.
Key Features:
Momentum Analysis: The strategy incorporates momentum indicators to identify potential buying and selling opportunities based on momentum shifts in the price.
Trailing Stop Functionality: The strategy utilizes a trailing stop to protect profits and dynamically adjust the stop loss level as the trade moves in the desired direction.
RSI Confirmation: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is included to provide additional confirmation for trade entries by considering overbought and oversold conditions.
How to Use:
Entry Conditions: Long positions are triggered when positive momentum is detected, and the RSI confirms an oversold condition. Short positions are triggered when negative momentum is detected, and the RSI confirms an overbought condition.
Trailing Stop Activation: Once a position is opened, the trailing stop is activated when the specified profit level (as a percentage) is reached.
Trailing Stop Level: The trailing stop maintains a stop loss level at a specified distance (as a percentage) from the highest profit achieved since opening the position.
Exit Conditions: The trailing stop will trigger an exit and close all positions when the trailing stop level is breached.
Markets and Conditions:
This strategy can be applied to various markets, including stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, and commodities. It can be used in trending and ranging market conditions, making it versatile for different market environments.
Important Considerations:
Adjust Parameters: Traders can modify the length of the momentum and RSI indicators to suit their preferred timeframe and trading style.
Risk Management: It is recommended to consider appropriate position sizing, risk-to-reward ratios, and overall risk management practices when using this strategy.
Backtesting and Optimization: Traders are encouraged to backtest the strategy on historical data and optimize the parameters to find the best settings for their chosen market and timeframe.
By incorporating momentum analysis, trailing stop functionality, and RSI confirmation, this strategy aims to provide traders with a systematic approach to capturing profitable trades while managing risk effectively.
Alpha Fractal BandsWilliams fractals are remarkable support and resistance levels used by many traders. However, it can sometimes be challenging to use them frequently and get confirmation from other oscillators and indicators. With the new "Alpha Fractal Bands", a unique blend of Williams Fractals and Bollinger Bands emerges, offering a fresh perspective. Extremes can be utilized as price reversals or for taking profits. I look forward to hearing your thoughts. Best regards... Happy trading!
An easy solution for long positions is to:
Identify a bullish trend or a potential entry point for a long position.
Set a stop-loss order to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you.
Determine a target price or take-profit level to lock in profits.
Consider using technical indicators or analysis tools to confirm the strength of the bullish trend.
Regularly monitor the trade and make necessary adjustments based on market conditions.
An easy solution for short positions could be to follow these steps:
Identify a bearish trend or a potential entry point for a short position.
Set a stop-loss order to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you.
Determine a target price or take-profit level to lock in profits.
Consider using technical indicators or analysis tools to confirm the strength of the bearish trend.
Regularly monitor the trade and make necessary adjustments based on market conditions.
Remember, it's important to conduct thorough research and analysis before entering any trade and to manage your risk effectively.
To stay updated with the content, don't forget to follow and engage with it on TV, my friends. Remember to leave comments as well :)
Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive SmoothingThis indicator is designed to provide traders with insights into the relative strength of a security by incorporating volume-weighted elements, effectively combining the concepts of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume-weighted averages to generate meaningful trading signals.
The indicator calculates the traditional RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements, as well as the volume-weighted RSI, which considers the influence of trading volume on price action. It then applies adaptive smoothing to the volume-weighted RSI, allowing for customization of the smoothing process. The resulting smoothed volume-weighted RSI is plotted alongside the original RSI, providing traders with a comprehensive view of the price strength dynamics.
The line coloration in this indicator is designed to provide visual cues about the relationship between the RSI and the volume-weighted RSI. When the RSI line is above or equal to the volume-weighted RSI line, it suggests a potentially bullish condition with positive market momentum. In such cases, the line is colored lime. Conversely, when the RSI line (fuchsia) is below the volume-weighted RSI line, it indicates a potentially bearish condition with negative market momentum. The line color is set to fuchsia. By observing the line color, traders can quickly assess the relative strength between the RSI and the volume-weighted RSI, aiding their decision-making process.
The bar color and background color further enhance the visual interpretation of the indicator. The bar color reflects the RSI's relationship with the volume-weighted RSI and the predefined thresholds. If the RSI line is above both the volume-weighted RSI line and the overbought threshold (70), the bar color is set to lime, indicating a potentially overbought condition. Conversely, if the RSI line is below both the volume-weighted RSI line and the oversold threshold (30), the bar color is set to fuchsia, suggesting a potentially oversold condition. When the RSI line is between these two thresholds, the bar color is set to yellow, indicating a neutral or intermediate state. The background color, displayed with a semi-transparent shade, provides additional context by reflecting the prevailing market conditions. It turns lime if the volume-weighted RSI is above the overbought threshold, fuchsia if below the oversold threshold, and yellow if it falls between these two thresholds. This coloration scheme aids traders in quickly assessing market conditions and potential trading opportunities.
Calculations:
-- RSI Calculation : The traditional RSI is calculated based on the price movements of the asset. The up and down movements are determined, and exponential moving averages are used to smooth the values. The RSI value ranges from 0 to 100, with levels above 70 indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions.
-- Volume-Weighted RSI Calculation : The volume-weighted RSI incorporates the trading volume of the asset into the calculations. The closing price is multiplied by the corresponding volume, and the average is taken over a specific length. The up and down movements are smoothed using exponential moving averages to generate the volume-weighted RSI value.
-- Adaptive Smoothing : The indicator offers an adaptive smoothing option, allowing traders to customize the smoothing process of the volume-weighted RSI. By adjusting the smoothing length, traders can fine-tune the responsiveness of the indicator to changes in market conditions. Smoothing helps reduce noise and enhances the clarity of the signals.
Interpretation:
The indicator provides two main components for interpretation:
-- RSI : The traditional RSI reflects the price momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions. Traders can look for RSI values above 70 as potential overbought signals, suggesting a possible price reversal or correction. Conversely, RSI values below 30 indicate potential oversold signals, indicating a potential price rebound or rally.
-- Volume-Weighted RSI : The volume-weighted RSI incorporates trading volume, which provides insights into the strength of price movements. When the volume-weighted RSI is above the traditional RSI, it suggests that the buying pressure supported by higher volume is stronger, potentially indicating a more reliable trend. Conversely, when the volume-weighted RSI is below the traditional RSI, it suggests that the selling pressure supported by higher volume is stronger, potentially indicating a more significant price reversal.
Potential Strategies:
-- Overbought and Oversold Signals : Traders can utilize the RSI component of the indicator to identify overbought and oversold conditions. A potential strategy is to consider taking short positions when the RSI is above 70 and long positions when the RSI is below 30. These levels can act as dynamic support and resistance areas, indicating possible price reversals.
-- Confirmation with Volume : Traders can use the volume-weighted RSI as a confirmation tool to validate price movements. When the volume-weighted RSI is above the traditional RSI, it may provide additional confirmation for long positions, suggesting stronger buying pressure. Conversely, when the volume-weighted RSI is below the traditional RSI, it may provide confirmation for short positions, indicating stronger selling pressure.
-- Trend Reversal Strategy : Watch for the volume-weighted RSI to reach extreme levels above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold). Look for a reversal signal where the RSI line (green or fuchsia) crosses below or above the volume-weighted RSI line. Enter a trade when the reversal signal occurs, and the RSI line changes color. Exit the trade when the RSI line crosses back in the opposite direction or reaches the opposite extreme level.
-- Divergence Strategy : Compare the direction of the RSI line (green or fuchsia) with the volume-weighted RSI line. A bullish divergence occurs when the RSI line makes higher lows while the volume-weighted RSI line makes lower lows. A bearish divergence occurs when the RSI line makes lower highs while the volume-weighted RSI line makes higher highs. Once a divergence is identified, wait for the RSI line to cross above or below the volume-weighted RSI line as confirmation of a potential trend reversal. Consider using additional indicators or price action analysis to time the entry more accurately. Use stop-loss orders and profit targets to manage risk and secure profits.
-- Trend Continuation Strategy : Assess the overall trend direction by observing the RSI line's position relative to the volume-weighted RSI line. When the RSI line consistently stays above the volume-weighted RSI line, it indicates a bullish trend, while the opposite suggests a bearish trend. Look for temporary pullbacks within the ongoing trend where the RSI line (green or fuchsia) touches or crosses the volume-weighted RSI line. Enter trades in the direction of the dominant trend when the RSI line crosses back in the trend direction. Exit the trade when the RSI line starts to deviate significantly from the volume-weighted RSI line or when the trend shows signs of weakening through other technical or fundamental factors.
Limitations:
-- False Signals : Like any indicator, the "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" may produce false signals, especially during periods of low liquidity or choppy market conditions. Traders should exercise caution and consider using additional confirmation indicators or tools to validate the signals generated by this indicator.
-- Lagging Nature : The indicator relies on historical price data and volume to calculate the RSI and volume-weighted RSI. As a result, the signals provided may have a certain degree of lag compared to real-time price action. Traders should be aware of this inherent lag and consider combining the indicator with other timely indicators to enhance the accuracy of their trading decisions.
-- Parameter Sensitivity : The indicator's effectiveness can be influenced by the choice of parameters, such as the length of the RSI, smoothing length, and adaptive smoothing option. Different market conditions may require adjustments to these parameters to optimize performance. Traders are encouraged to conduct thorough testing and analysis to determine the most suitable parameter values for their specific trading strategies and preferences.
-- Market Conditions : The indicator's performance may vary depending on the prevailing market conditions. It is essential to understand that no indicator can guarantee accurate predictions or consistently profitable trades. Traders should consider the broader market context, fundamental factors, and other technical indicators to complement the insights provided by the "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" indicator.
-- Subjectivity : Interpretation of the indicator's signals involves subjective judgment. Traders may have varying interpretations of overbought and oversold levels, as well as the significance of the volume-weighted RSI in relation to the traditional RSI. It is crucial to combine the indicator with personal analysis and trading experience to make informed trading decisions.
Remember, no single indicator can provide foolproof trading signals. The "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" indicator serves as a valuable tool for analyzing price strength and volume dynamics. It can assist traders in identifying potential entry and exit points, validating trends, and managing risk. However, it should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that considers multiple factors and indicators to increase the likelihood of successful trades.
Goertzel Browser [Loxx]As the financial markets become increasingly complex and data-driven, traders and analysts must leverage powerful tools to gain insights and make informed decisions. One such tool is the Goertzel Browser indicator, a sophisticated technical analysis indicator that helps identify cyclical patterns in financial data. This powerful tool is capable of detecting cyclical patterns in financial data, helping traders to make better predictions and optimize their trading strategies. With its unique combination of mathematical algorithms and advanced charting capabilities, this indicator has the potential to revolutionize the way we approach financial modeling and trading.
█ Brief Overview of the Goertzel Browser
The Goertzel Browser is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that utilizes the Goertzel algorithm to analyze and visualize cyclical components within a financial time series. By identifying these cycles and their characteristics, the indicator aims to provide valuable insights into the market's underlying price movements, which could potentially be used for making informed trading decisions.
The primary purpose of this indicator is to:
1. Detect and analyze the dominant cycles present in the price data.
2. Reconstruct and visualize the composite wave based on the detected cycles.
3. Project the composite wave into the future, providing a potential roadmap for upcoming price movements.
To achieve this, the indicator performs several tasks:
1. Detrending the price data: The indicator preprocesses the price data using various detrending techniques, such as Hodrick-Prescott filters, zero-lag moving averages, and linear regression, to remove the underlying trend and focus on the cyclical components.
2. Applying the Goertzel algorithm: The indicator applies the Goertzel algorithm to the detrended price data, identifying the dominant cycles and their characteristics, such as amplitude, phase, and cycle strength.
3. Constructing the composite wave: The indicator reconstructs the composite wave by combining the detected cycles, either by using a user-defined list of cycles or by selecting the top N cycles based on their amplitude or cycle strength.
4. Visualizing the composite wave: The indicator plots the composite wave, using solid lines for the past and dotted lines for the future projections. The color of the lines indicates whether the wave is increasing or decreasing.
5. Displaying cycle information: The indicator provides a table that displays detailed information about the detected cycles, including their rank, period, Bartel's test results, amplitude, and phase.
This indicator is a powerful tool that employs the Goertzel algorithm to analyze and visualize the cyclical components within a financial time series. By providing insights into the underlying price movements and their potential future trajectory, the indicator aims to assist traders in making more informed decisions.
█ What is the Goertzel Algorithm?
The Goertzel algorithm, named after Gerald Goertzel, is a digital signal processing technique that is used to efficiently compute individual terms of the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). It was first introduced in 1958, and since then, it has found various applications in the fields of engineering, mathematics, and physics.
The Goertzel algorithm is primarily used to detect specific frequency components within a digital signal, making it particularly useful in applications where only a few frequency components are of interest. The algorithm is computationally efficient, as it requires fewer calculations than the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) when detecting a small number of frequency components. This efficiency makes the Goertzel algorithm a popular choice in applications such as:
1. Telecommunications: The Goertzel algorithm is used for decoding Dual-Tone Multi-Frequency (DTMF) signals, which are the tones generated when pressing buttons on a telephone keypad. By identifying specific frequency components, the algorithm can accurately determine which button has been pressed.
2. Audio processing: The algorithm can be used to detect specific pitches or harmonics in an audio signal, making it useful in applications like pitch detection and tuning musical instruments.
3. Vibration analysis: In the field of mechanical engineering, the Goertzel algorithm can be applied to analyze vibrations in rotating machinery, helping to identify faulty components or signs of wear.
4. Power system analysis: The algorithm can be used to measure harmonic content in power systems, allowing engineers to assess power quality and detect potential issues.
The Goertzel algorithm is used in these applications because it offers several advantages over other methods, such as the FFT:
1. Computational efficiency: The Goertzel algorithm requires fewer calculations when detecting a small number of frequency components, making it more computationally efficient than the FFT in these cases.
2. Real-time analysis: The algorithm can be implemented in a streaming fashion, allowing for real-time analysis of signals, which is crucial in applications like telecommunications and audio processing.
3. Memory efficiency: The Goertzel algorithm requires less memory than the FFT, as it only computes the frequency components of interest.
4. Precision: The algorithm is less susceptible to numerical errors compared to the FFT, ensuring more accurate results in applications where precision is essential.
The Goertzel algorithm is an efficient digital signal processing technique that is primarily used to detect specific frequency components within a signal. Its computational efficiency, real-time capabilities, and precision make it an attractive choice for various applications, including telecommunications, audio processing, vibration analysis, and power system analysis. The algorithm has been widely adopted since its introduction in 1958 and continues to be an essential tool in the fields of engineering, mathematics, and physics.
█ Goertzel Algorithm in Quantitative Finance: In-Depth Analysis and Applications
The Goertzel algorithm, initially designed for signal processing in telecommunications, has gained significant traction in the financial industry due to its efficient frequency detection capabilities. In quantitative finance, the Goertzel algorithm has been utilized for uncovering hidden market cycles, developing data-driven trading strategies, and optimizing risk management. This section delves deeper into the applications of the Goertzel algorithm in finance, particularly within the context of quantitative trading and analysis.
Unveiling Hidden Market Cycles:
Market cycles are prevalent in financial markets and arise from various factors, such as economic conditions, investor psychology, and market participant behavior. The Goertzel algorithm's ability to detect and isolate specific frequencies in price data helps trader analysts identify hidden market cycles that may otherwise go unnoticed. By examining the amplitude, phase, and periodicity of each cycle, traders can better understand the underlying market structure and dynamics, enabling them to develop more informed and effective trading strategies.
Developing Quantitative Trading Strategies:
The Goertzel algorithm's versatility allows traders to incorporate its insights into a wide range of trading strategies. By identifying the dominant market cycles in a financial instrument's price data, traders can create data-driven strategies that capitalize on the cyclical nature of markets.
For instance, a trader may develop a mean-reversion strategy that takes advantage of the identified cycles. By establishing positions when the price deviates from the predicted cycle, the trader can profit from the subsequent reversion to the cycle's mean. Similarly, a momentum-based strategy could be designed to exploit the persistence of a dominant cycle by entering positions that align with the cycle's direction.
Enhancing Risk Management:
The Goertzel algorithm plays a vital role in risk management for quantitative strategies. By analyzing the cyclical components of a financial instrument's price data, traders can gain insights into the potential risks associated with their trading strategies.
By monitoring the amplitude and phase of dominant cycles, a trader can detect changes in market dynamics that may pose risks to their positions. For example, a sudden increase in amplitude may indicate heightened volatility, prompting the trader to adjust position sizing or employ hedging techniques to protect their portfolio. Additionally, changes in phase alignment could signal a potential shift in market sentiment, necessitating adjustments to the trading strategy.
Expanding Quantitative Toolkits:
Traders can augment the Goertzel algorithm's insights by combining it with other quantitative techniques, creating a more comprehensive and sophisticated analysis framework. For example, machine learning algorithms, such as neural networks or support vector machines, could be trained on features extracted from the Goertzel algorithm to predict future price movements more accurately.
Furthermore, the Goertzel algorithm can be integrated with other technical analysis tools, such as moving averages or oscillators, to enhance their effectiveness. By applying these tools to the identified cycles, traders can generate more robust and reliable trading signals.
The Goertzel algorithm offers invaluable benefits to quantitative finance practitioners by uncovering hidden market cycles, aiding in the development of data-driven trading strategies, and improving risk management. By leveraging the insights provided by the Goertzel algorithm and integrating it with other quantitative techniques, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and devise more effective trading strategies.
█ Indicator Inputs
src: This is the source data for the analysis, typically the closing price of the financial instrument.
detrendornot: This input determines the method used for detrending the source data. Detrending is the process of removing the underlying trend from the data to focus on the cyclical components.
The available options are:
hpsmthdt: Detrend using Hodrick-Prescott filter centered moving average.
zlagsmthdt: Detrend using zero-lag moving average centered moving average.
logZlagRegression: Detrend using logarithmic zero-lag linear regression.
hpsmth: Detrend using Hodrick-Prescott filter.
zlagsmth: Detrend using zero-lag moving average.
DT_HPper1 and DT_HPper2: These inputs define the period range for the Hodrick-Prescott filter centered moving average when detrendornot is set to hpsmthdt.
DT_ZLper1 and DT_ZLper2: These inputs define the period range for the zero-lag moving average centered moving average when detrendornot is set to zlagsmthdt.
DT_RegZLsmoothPer: This input defines the period for the zero-lag moving average used in logarithmic zero-lag linear regression when detrendornot is set to logZlagRegression.
HPsmoothPer: This input defines the period for the Hodrick-Prescott filter when detrendornot is set to hpsmth.
ZLMAsmoothPer: This input defines the period for the zero-lag moving average when detrendornot is set to zlagsmth.
MaxPer: This input sets the maximum period for the Goertzel algorithm to search for cycles.
squaredAmp: This boolean input determines whether the amplitude should be squared in the Goertzel algorithm.
useAddition: This boolean input determines whether the Goertzel algorithm should use addition for combining the cycles.
useCosine: This boolean input determines whether the Goertzel algorithm should use cosine waves instead of sine waves.
UseCycleStrength: This boolean input determines whether the Goertzel algorithm should compute the cycle strength, which is a normalized measure of the cycle's amplitude.
WindowSizePast and WindowSizeFuture: These inputs define the window size for past and future projections of the composite wave.
FilterBartels: This boolean input determines whether Bartel's test should be applied to filter out non-significant cycles.
BartNoCycles: This input sets the number of cycles to be used in Bartel's test.
BartSmoothPer: This input sets the period for the moving average used in Bartel's test.
BartSigLimit: This input sets the significance limit for Bartel's test, below which cycles are considered insignificant.
SortBartels: This boolean input determines whether the cycles should be sorted by their Bartel's test results.
UseCycleList: This boolean input determines whether a user-defined list of cycles should be used for constructing the composite wave. If set to false, the top N cycles will be used.
Cycle1, Cycle2, Cycle3, Cycle4, and Cycle5: These inputs define the user-defined list of cycles when 'UseCycleList' is set to true. If using a user-defined list, each of these inputs represents the period of a specific cycle to include in the composite wave.
StartAtCycle: This input determines the starting index for selecting the top N cycles when UseCycleList is set to false. This allows you to skip a certain number of cycles from the top before selecting the desired number of cycles.
UseTopCycles: This input sets the number of top cycles to use for constructing the composite wave when UseCycleList is set to false. The cycles are ranked based on their amplitudes or cycle strengths, depending on the UseCycleStrength input.
SubtractNoise: This boolean input determines whether to subtract the noise (remaining cycles) from the composite wave. If set to true, the composite wave will only include the top N cycles specified by UseTopCycles.
█ Exploring Auxiliary Functions
The following functions demonstrate advanced techniques for analyzing financial markets, including zero-lag moving averages, Bartels probability, detrending, and Hodrick-Prescott filtering. This section examines each function in detail, explaining their purpose, methodology, and applications in finance. We will examine how each function contributes to the overall performance and effectiveness of the indicator and how they work together to create a powerful analytical tool.
Zero-Lag Moving Average:
The zero-lag moving average function is designed to minimize the lag typically associated with moving averages. This is achieved through a two-step weighted linear regression process that emphasizes more recent data points. The function calculates a linearly weighted moving average (LWMA) on the input data and then applies another LWMA on the result. By doing this, the function creates a moving average that closely follows the price action, reducing the lag and improving the responsiveness of the indicator.
The zero-lag moving average function is used in the indicator to provide a responsive, low-lag smoothing of the input data. This function helps reduce the noise and fluctuations in the data, making it easier to identify and analyze underlying trends and patterns. By minimizing the lag associated with traditional moving averages, this function allows the indicator to react more quickly to changes in market conditions, providing timely signals and improving the overall effectiveness of the indicator.
Bartels Probability:
The Bartels probability function calculates the probability of a given cycle being significant in a time series. It uses a mathematical test called the Bartels test to assess the significance of cycles detected in the data. The function calculates coefficients for each detected cycle and computes an average amplitude and an expected amplitude. By comparing these values, the Bartels probability is derived, indicating the likelihood of a cycle's significance. This information can help in identifying and analyzing dominant cycles in financial markets.
The Bartels probability function is incorporated into the indicator to assess the significance of detected cycles in the input data. By calculating the Bartels probability for each cycle, the indicator can prioritize the most significant cycles and focus on the market dynamics that are most relevant to the current trading environment. This function enhances the indicator's ability to identify dominant market cycles, improving its predictive power and aiding in the development of effective trading strategies.
Detrend Logarithmic Zero-Lag Regression:
The detrend logarithmic zero-lag regression function is used for detrending data while minimizing lag. It combines a zero-lag moving average with a linear regression detrending method. The function first calculates the zero-lag moving average of the logarithm of input data and then applies a linear regression to remove the trend. By detrending the data, the function isolates the cyclical components, making it easier to analyze and interpret the underlying market dynamics.
The detrend logarithmic zero-lag regression function is used in the indicator to isolate the cyclical components of the input data. By detrending the data, the function enables the indicator to focus on the cyclical movements in the market, making it easier to analyze and interpret market dynamics. This function is essential for identifying cyclical patterns and understanding the interactions between different market cycles, which can inform trading decisions and enhance overall market understanding.
Bartels Cycle Significance Test:
The Bartels cycle significance test is a function that combines the Bartels probability function and the detrend logarithmic zero-lag regression function to assess the significance of detected cycles. The function calculates the Bartels probability for each cycle and stores the results in an array. By analyzing the probability values, traders and analysts can identify the most significant cycles in the data, which can be used to develop trading strategies and improve market understanding.
The Bartels cycle significance test function is integrated into the indicator to provide a comprehensive analysis of the significance of detected cycles. By combining the Bartels probability function and the detrend logarithmic zero-lag regression function, this test evaluates the significance of each cycle and stores the results in an array. The indicator can then use this information to prioritize the most significant cycles and focus on the most relevant market dynamics. This function enhances the indicator's ability to identify and analyze dominant market cycles, providing valuable insights for trading and market analysis.
Hodrick-Prescott Filter:
The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a popular technique used to separate the trend and cyclical components of a time series. The function applies a smoothing parameter to the input data and calculates a smoothed series using a two-sided filter. This smoothed series represents the trend component, which can be subtracted from the original data to obtain the cyclical component. The Hodrick-Prescott filter is commonly used in economics and finance to analyze economic data and financial market trends.
The Hodrick-Prescott filter is incorporated into the indicator to separate the trend and cyclical components of the input data. By applying the filter to the data, the indicator can isolate the trend component, which can be used to analyze long-term market trends and inform trading decisions. Additionally, the cyclical component can be used to identify shorter-term market dynamics and provide insights into potential trading opportunities. The inclusion of the Hodrick-Prescott filter adds another layer of analysis to the indicator, making it more versatile and comprehensive.
Detrending Options: Detrend Centered Moving Average:
The detrend centered moving average function provides different detrending methods, including the Hodrick-Prescott filter and the zero-lag moving average, based on the selected detrending method. The function calculates two sets of smoothed values using the chosen method and subtracts one set from the other to obtain a detrended series. By offering multiple detrending options, this function allows traders and analysts to select the most appropriate method for their specific needs and preferences.
The detrend centered moving average function is integrated into the indicator to provide users with multiple detrending options, including the Hodrick-Prescott filter and the zero-lag moving average. By offering multiple detrending methods, the indicator allows users to customize the analysis to their specific needs and preferences, enhancing the indicator's overall utility and adaptability. This function ensures that the indicator can cater to a wide range of trading styles and objectives, making it a valuable tool for a diverse group of market participants.
The auxiliary functions functions discussed in this section demonstrate the power and versatility of mathematical techniques in analyzing financial markets. By understanding and implementing these functions, traders and analysts can gain valuable insights into market dynamics, improve their trading strategies, and make more informed decisions. The combination of zero-lag moving averages, Bartels probability, detrending methods, and the Hodrick-Prescott filter provides a comprehensive toolkit for analyzing and interpreting financial data. The integration of advanced functions in a financial indicator creates a powerful and versatile analytical tool that can provide valuable insights into financial markets. By combining the zero-lag moving average,
█ In-Depth Analysis of the Goertzel Browser Code
The Goertzel Browser code is an implementation of the Goertzel Algorithm, an efficient technique to perform spectral analysis on a signal. The code is designed to detect and analyze dominant cycles within a given financial market data set. This section will provide an extremely detailed explanation of the code, its structure, functions, and intended purpose.
Function signature and input parameters:
The Goertzel Browser function accepts numerous input parameters for customization, including source data (src), the current bar (forBar), sample size (samplesize), period (per), squared amplitude flag (squaredAmp), addition flag (useAddition), cosine flag (useCosine), cycle strength flag (UseCycleStrength), past and future window sizes (WindowSizePast, WindowSizeFuture), Bartels filter flag (FilterBartels), Bartels-related parameters (BartNoCycles, BartSmoothPer, BartSigLimit), sorting flag (SortBartels), and output buffers (goeWorkPast, goeWorkFuture, cyclebuffer, amplitudebuffer, phasebuffer, cycleBartelsBuffer).
Initializing variables and arrays:
The code initializes several float arrays (goeWork1, goeWork2, goeWork3, goeWork4) with the same length as twice the period (2 * per). These arrays store intermediate results during the execution of the algorithm.
Preprocessing input data:
The input data (src) undergoes preprocessing to remove linear trends. This step enhances the algorithm's ability to focus on cyclical components in the data. The linear trend is calculated by finding the slope between the first and last values of the input data within the sample.
Iterative calculation of Goertzel coefficients:
The core of the Goertzel Browser algorithm lies in the iterative calculation of Goertzel coefficients for each frequency bin. These coefficients represent the spectral content of the input data at different frequencies. The code iterates through the range of frequencies, calculating the Goertzel coefficients using a nested loop structure.
Cycle strength computation:
The code calculates the cycle strength based on the Goertzel coefficients. This is an optional step, controlled by the UseCycleStrength flag. The cycle strength provides information on the relative influence of each cycle on the data per bar, considering both amplitude and cycle length. The algorithm computes the cycle strength either by squaring the amplitude (controlled by squaredAmp flag) or using the actual amplitude values.
Phase calculation:
The Goertzel Browser code computes the phase of each cycle, which represents the position of the cycle within the input data. The phase is calculated using the arctangent function (math.atan) based on the ratio of the imaginary and real components of the Goertzel coefficients.
Peak detection and cycle extraction:
The algorithm performs peak detection on the computed amplitudes or cycle strengths to identify dominant cycles. It stores the detected cycles in the cyclebuffer array, along with their corresponding amplitudes and phases in the amplitudebuffer and phasebuffer arrays, respectively.
Sorting cycles by amplitude or cycle strength:
The code sorts the detected cycles based on their amplitude or cycle strength in descending order. This allows the algorithm to prioritize cycles with the most significant impact on the input data.
Bartels cycle significance test:
If the FilterBartels flag is set, the code performs a Bartels cycle significance test on the detected cycles. This test determines the statistical significance of each cycle and filters out the insignificant cycles. The significant cycles are stored in the cycleBartelsBuffer array. If the SortBartels flag is set, the code sorts the significant cycles based on their Bartels significance values.
Waveform calculation:
The Goertzel Browser code calculates the waveform of the significant cycles for both past and future time windows. The past and future windows are defined by the WindowSizePast and WindowSizeFuture parameters, respectively. The algorithm uses either cosine or sine functions (controlled by the useCosine flag) to calculate the waveforms for each cycle. The useAddition flag determines whether the waveforms should be added or subtracted.
Storing waveforms in matrices:
The calculated waveforms for each cycle are stored in two matrices - goeWorkPast and goeWorkFuture. These matrices hold the waveforms for the past and future time windows, respectively. Each row in the matrices represents a time window position, and each column corresponds to a cycle.
Returning the number of cycles:
The Goertzel Browser function returns the total number of detected cycles (number_of_cycles) after processing the input data. This information can be used to further analyze the results or to visualize the detected cycles.
The Goertzel Browser code is a comprehensive implementation of the Goertzel Algorithm, specifically designed for detecting and analyzing dominant cycles within financial market data. The code offers a high level of customization, allowing users to fine-tune the algorithm based on their specific needs. The Goertzel Browser's combination of preprocessing, iterative calculations, cycle extraction, sorting, significance testing, and waveform calculation makes it a powerful tool for understanding cyclical components in financial data.
█ Generating and Visualizing Composite Waveform
The indicator calculates and visualizes the composite waveform for both past and future time windows based on the detected cycles. Here's a detailed explanation of this process:
Updating WindowSizePast and WindowSizeFuture:
The WindowSizePast and WindowSizeFuture are updated to ensure they are at least twice the MaxPer (maximum period).
Initializing matrices and arrays:
Two matrices, goeWorkPast and goeWorkFuture, are initialized to store the Goertzel results for past and future time windows. Multiple arrays are also initialized to store cycle, amplitude, phase, and Bartels information.
Preparing the source data (srcVal) array:
The source data is copied into an array, srcVal, and detrended using one of the selected methods (hpsmthdt, zlagsmthdt, logZlagRegression, hpsmth, or zlagsmth).
Goertzel function call:
The Goertzel function is called to analyze the detrended source data and extract cycle information. The output, number_of_cycles, contains the number of detected cycles.
Initializing arrays for past and future waveforms:
Three arrays, epgoertzel, goertzel, and goertzelFuture, are initialized to store the endpoint Goertzel, non-endpoint Goertzel, and future Goertzel projections, respectively.
Calculating composite waveform for past bars (goertzel array):
The past composite waveform is calculated by summing the selected cycles (either from the user-defined cycle list or the top cycles) and optionally subtracting the noise component.
Calculating composite waveform for future bars (goertzelFuture array):
The future composite waveform is calculated in a similar way as the past composite waveform.
Drawing past composite waveform (pvlines):
The past composite waveform is drawn on the chart using solid lines. The color of the lines is determined by the direction of the waveform (green for upward, red for downward).
Drawing future composite waveform (fvlines):
The future composite waveform is drawn on the chart using dotted lines. The color of the lines is determined by the direction of the waveform (fuchsia for upward, yellow for downward).
Displaying cycle information in a table (table3):
A table is created to display the cycle information, including the rank, period, Bartel value, amplitude (or cycle strength), and phase of each detected cycle.
Filling the table with cycle information:
The indicator iterates through the detected cycles and retrieves the relevant information (period, amplitude, phase, and Bartel value) from the corresponding arrays. It then fills the table with this information, displaying the values up to six decimal places.
To summarize, this indicator generates a composite waveform based on the detected cycles in the financial data. It calculates the composite waveforms for both past and future time windows and visualizes them on the chart using colored lines. Additionally, it displays detailed cycle information in a table, including the rank, period, Bartel value, amplitude (or cycle strength), and phase of each detected cycle.
█ Enhancing the Goertzel Algorithm-Based Script for Financial Modeling and Trading
The Goertzel algorithm-based script for detecting dominant cycles in financial data is a powerful tool for financial modeling and trading. It provides valuable insights into the past behavior of these cycles and potential future impact. However, as with any algorithm, there is always room for improvement. This section discusses potential enhancements to the existing script to make it even more robust and versatile for financial modeling, general trading, advanced trading, and high-frequency finance trading.
Enhancements for Financial Modeling
Data preprocessing: One way to improve the script's performance for financial modeling is to introduce more advanced data preprocessing techniques. This could include removing outliers, handling missing data, and normalizing the data to ensure consistent and accurate results.
Additional detrending and smoothing methods: Incorporating more sophisticated detrending and smoothing techniques, such as wavelet transform or empirical mode decomposition, can help improve the script's ability to accurately identify cycles and trends in the data.
Machine learning integration: Integrating machine learning techniques, such as artificial neural networks or support vector machines, can help enhance the script's predictive capabilities, leading to more accurate financial models.
Enhancements for General and Advanced Trading
Customizable indicator integration: Allowing users to integrate their own technical indicators can help improve the script's effectiveness for both general and advanced trading. By enabling the combination of the dominant cycle information with other technical analysis tools, traders can develop more comprehensive trading strategies.
Risk management and position sizing: Incorporating risk management and position sizing functionality into the script can help traders better manage their trades and control potential losses. This can be achieved by calculating the optimal position size based on the user's risk tolerance and account size.
Multi-timeframe analysis: Enhancing the script to perform multi-timeframe analysis can provide traders with a more holistic view of market trends and cycles. By identifying dominant cycles on different timeframes, traders can gain insights into the potential confluence of cycles and make better-informed trading decisions.
Enhancements for High-Frequency Finance Trading
Algorithm optimization: To ensure the script's suitability for high-frequency finance trading, optimizing the algorithm for faster execution is crucial. This can be achieved by employing efficient data structures and refining the calculation methods to minimize computational complexity.
Real-time data streaming: Integrating real-time data streaming capabilities into the script can help high-frequency traders react to market changes more quickly. By continuously updating the cycle information based on real-time market data, traders can adapt their strategies accordingly and capitalize on short-term market fluctuations.
Order execution and trade management: To fully leverage the script's capabilities for high-frequency trading, implementing functionality for automated order execution and trade management is essential. This can include features such as stop-loss and take-profit orders, trailing stops, and automated trade exit strategies.
While the existing Goertzel algorithm-based script is a valuable tool for detecting dominant cycles in financial data, there are several potential enhancements that can make it even more powerful for financial modeling, general trading, advanced trading, and high-frequency finance trading. By incorporating these improvements, the script can become a more versatile and effective tool for traders and financial analysts alike.
█ Understanding the Limitations of the Goertzel Algorithm
While the Goertzel algorithm-based script for detecting dominant cycles in financial data provides valuable insights, it is important to be aware of its limitations and drawbacks. Some of the key drawbacks of this indicator are:
Lagging nature:
As with many other technical indicators, the Goertzel algorithm-based script can suffer from lagging effects, meaning that it may not immediately react to real-time market changes. This lag can lead to late entries and exits, potentially resulting in reduced profitability or increased losses.
Parameter sensitivity:
The performance of the script can be sensitive to the chosen parameters, such as the detrending methods, smoothing techniques, and cycle detection settings. Improper parameter selection may lead to inaccurate cycle detection or increased false signals, which can negatively impact trading performance.
Complexity:
The Goertzel algorithm itself is relatively complex, making it difficult for novice traders or those unfamiliar with the concept of cycle analysis to fully understand and effectively utilize the script. This complexity can also make it challenging to optimize the script for specific trading styles or market conditions.
Overfitting risk:
As with any data-driven approach, there is a risk of overfitting when using the Goertzel algorithm-based script. Overfitting occurs when a model becomes too specific to the historical data it was trained on, leading to poor performance on new, unseen data. This can result in misleading signals and reduced trading performance.
No guarantee of future performance: While the script can provide insights into past cycles and potential future trends, it is important to remember that past performance does not guarantee future results. Market conditions can change, and relying solely on the script's predictions without considering other factors may lead to poor trading decisions.
Limited applicability: The Goertzel algorithm-based script may not be suitable for all markets, trading styles, or timeframes. Its effectiveness in detecting cycles may be limited in certain market conditions, such as during periods of extreme volatility or low liquidity.
While the Goertzel algorithm-based script offers valuable insights into dominant cycles in financial data, it is essential to consider its drawbacks and limitations when incorporating it into a trading strategy. Traders should always use the script in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as well as proper risk management, to make well-informed trading decisions.
█ Interpreting Results
The Goertzel Browser indicator can be interpreted by analyzing the plotted lines and the table presented alongside them. The indicator plots two lines: past and future composite waves. The past composite wave represents the composite wave of the past price data, and the future composite wave represents the projected composite wave for the next period.
The past composite wave line displays a solid line, with green indicating a bullish trend and red indicating a bearish trend. On the other hand, the future composite wave line is a dotted line with fuchsia indicating a bullish trend and yellow indicating a bearish trend.
The table presented alongside the indicator shows the top cycles with their corresponding rank, period, Bartels, amplitude or cycle strength, and phase. The amplitude is a measure of the strength of the cycle, while the phase is the position of the cycle within the data series.
Interpreting the Goertzel Browser indicator involves identifying the trend of the past and future composite wave lines and matching them with the corresponding bullish or bearish color. Additionally, traders can identify the top cycles with the highest amplitude or cycle strength and utilize them in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis for trading decisions.
This indicator is considered a repainting indicator because the value of the indicator is calculated based on the past price data. As new price data becomes available, the indicator's value is recalculated, potentially causing the indicator's past values to change. This can create a false impression of the indicator's performance, as it may appear to have provided a profitable trading signal in the past when, in fact, that signal did not exist at the time.
The Goertzel indicator is also non-endpointed, meaning that it is not calculated up to the current bar or candle. Instead, it uses a fixed amount of historical data to calculate its values, which can make it difficult to use for real-time trading decisions. For example, if the indicator uses 100 bars of historical data to make its calculations, it cannot provide a signal until the current bar has closed and become part of the historical data. This can result in missed trading opportunities or delayed signals.
█ Conclusion
The Goertzel Browser indicator is a powerful tool for identifying and analyzing cyclical patterns in financial markets. Its ability to detect multiple cycles of varying frequencies and strengths make it a valuable addition to any trader's technical analysis toolkit. However, it is important to keep in mind that the Goertzel Browser indicator should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamental analysis to achieve the best results. With continued refinement and development, the Goertzel Browser indicator has the potential to become a highly effective tool for financial modeling, general trading, advanced trading, and high-frequency finance trading. Its accuracy and versatility make it a promising candidate for further research and development.
█ Footnotes
What is the Bartels Test for Cycle Significance?
The Bartels Cycle Significance Test is a statistical method that determines whether the peaks and troughs of a time series are statistically significant. The test is named after its inventor, George Bartels, who developed it in the mid-20th century.
The Bartels test is designed to analyze the cyclical components of a time series, which can help traders and analysts identify trends and cycles in financial markets. The test calculates a Bartels statistic, which measures the degree of non-randomness or autocorrelation in the time series.
The Bartels statistic is calculated by first splitting the time series into two halves and calculating the range of the peaks and troughs in each half. The test then compares these ranges using a t-test, which measures the significance of the difference between the two ranges.
If the Bartels statistic is greater than a critical value, it indicates that the peaks and troughs in the time series are non-random and that there is a significant cyclical component to the data. Conversely, if the Bartels statistic is less than the critical value, it suggests that the peaks and troughs are random and that there is no significant cyclical component.
The Bartels Cycle Significance Test is particularly useful in financial analysis because it can help traders and analysts identify significant cycles in asset prices, which can in turn inform investment decisions. However, it is important to note that the test is not perfect and can produce false signals in certain situations, particularly in noisy or volatile markets. Therefore, it is always recommended to use the test in conjunction with other technical and fundamental indicators to confirm trends and cycles.
Deep-dive into the Hodrick-Prescott Fitler
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is a statistical tool used in economics and finance to separate a time series into two components: a trend component and a cyclical component. It is a powerful tool for identifying long-term trends in economic and financial data and is widely used by economists, central banks, and financial institutions around the world.
The HP filter was first introduced in the 1990s by economists Robert Hodrick and Edward Prescott. It is a simple, two-parameter filter that separates a time series into a trend component and a cyclical component. The trend component represents the long-term behavior of the data, while the cyclical component captures the shorter-term fluctuations around the trend.
The HP filter works by minimizing the following objective function:
Minimize: (Sum of Squared Deviations) + λ (Sum of Squared Second Differences)
Where:
The first term represents the deviation of the data from the trend.
The second term represents the smoothness of the trend.
λ is a smoothing parameter that determines the degree of smoothness of the trend.
The smoothing parameter λ is typically set to a value between 100 and 1600, depending on the frequency of the data. Higher values of λ lead to a smoother trend, while lower values lead to a more volatile trend.
The HP filter has several advantages over other smoothing techniques. It is a non-parametric method, meaning that it does not make any assumptions about the underlying distribution of the data. It also allows for easy comparison of trends across different time series and can be used with data of any frequency.
However, the HP filter also has some limitations. It assumes that the trend is a smooth function, which may not be the case in some situations. It can also be sensitive to changes in the smoothing parameter λ, which may result in different trends for the same data. Additionally, the filter may produce unrealistic trends for very short time series.
Despite these limitations, the HP filter remains a valuable tool for analyzing economic and financial data. It is widely used by central banks and financial institutions to monitor long-term trends in the economy, and it can be used to identify turning points in the business cycle. The filter can also be used to analyze asset prices, exchange rates, and other financial variables.
The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a powerful tool for analyzing economic and financial data. It separates a time series into a trend component and a cyclical component, allowing for easy identification of long-term trends and turning points in the business cycle. While it has some limitations, it remains a valuable tool for economists, central banks, and financial institutions around the world.
JS-TechTrading: Supertrend-Strategy_Basic versionAre you looking for a reliable and profitable algorithmic trading strategy for TradingView? If so, you might be interested in our Supertrend basic strategy, which is based on three powerful indicators: Supertrend (ATR), RSI and EMA.
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that helps you identify the direction and strength of the market. It also gives you clear signals for entry and exit points based on price movements.
RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It helps you filter out false signals and avoid overbought or oversold conditions.
EMA is a moving average indicator that smooths out price fluctuations and shows you the long-term trend of the market. It helps you confirm the validity of your trades and avoid trading against the trend.
Our Supertrend basic strategy combines these three indicators to give you a simple yet effective way to trade any market. Here's how it works:
- For long trades, you enter when the price is above Supertrend and pulls back below it (the low of the candle crosses Supertrend) and then rebounds above it (the high of the next candle goes above the pullback candle). You exit when the price closes below Supertrend or when you reach your target profit or stop loss.
- For short trades, you enter when the price is below Supertrend and pulls back above it (the high of the candle crosses Supertrend) and then drops below it (the low of the next candle goes below the pullback candle). You exit when the price closes above Supertrend or when you reach your target profit or stop loss.
- You can also use RSI and EMA filters to improve your results. For long trades, you only enter if RSI is above 50 and price is above 200 EMA. For short trades, you only enter if RSI is below 50 and price is below 200 EMA.
- You can set your stop loss and target profit as a percentage of your entry price or based on other criteria. You can also adjust the parameters of each indicator according to your preferences and risk tolerance.
Our Supertrend basic strategy is easy to use and has been tested on various markets and time frames. It can help you capture consistent profits while minimizing your losses.
LowFinder_PyraMider_V2This strategy is a result of an exploration to experiment with other ways to detect lows / dips in the price movement, to try out alternative ways to exit and stop positions and a dive into risk management. It uses a combination of different indicators to detect and filter the potential lows and opens multiple positions to spread the risk and opportunities for unrealized losses or profits. This script combines code developed by fellow Tradingview community_members.
LowFinder
The lows in the price movement are detected by the Low finder script by RafaelZioni . It finds the potential lows based on the difference between RSI and EMA RSI. The MTF RSI formula is part of the MTFindicators library developed by Peter_O and is integrated in the Low finder code to give the option to use the RSI of higher timeframes. The sensitivity of the LowFinder is controlled by the MA length. When potential lows are detected, a Moving Average, a MTF Stochastic (based the the MTFindiicators by Peter_O) and the average price level filter out the weak lows. In the settings the minimal percentage needed for a low to be detected below the average price can be specified.
Order Sizing and Pyramiding
Pyramiding, or spreading multiple positions, is at the heart of this strategy and what makes it so powerful. The order size is calculated based on the max number of orders and portfolio percentage specified in the input settings. There are two order size modes. The ‘base’ mode uses the same base quantity for each order it opens, the ‘multiply’ mode multiplies the quantity with each order number. For example, when Long 3 is opened, the quantity is multiplied by 3. So, the more orders the bigger the consecutive order sizes. When using ‘multiply’ mode the sizes of the first orders are considerably lower to make up for the later bigger order sizes. There is an option to manually set a fixed order size but use this with caution as it bypasses all the risk calculations.
Stop Level, Take Profit, Trailing Stop
The one indicator that controls the exits is the Stop Level. When close crosses over the Stop Level, the complete position is closed and all orders are exited. The Stop Level is calculated based on the highest high given a specified candle lookback (settings). There is an option to deviate above this level with a specified percentage to tweak for better results. You can activate a Take Profit / Trailing Stop. When activated and close crosses the specified percentage, the Stop Level logic changes to a trailing stop to gain more profits. Another option is to use the percentage as a take profit, either when the stop level crosses over the take profit or close. With this option active, you can make this strategy more conservative. It is active by default.
And finally there is an option to Take Profit per open order. If hit, the separate orders close. In the current settings this option is not used as the percentage is 10%.
Stop Loss
I published an earlier version of this script a couple of weeks ago, but it got hidden by the moderators. Looking back, it makes sense because I didn’t pay any attention to risk management and save order sizing. This resulted in unrealistic results. So, in this script update I added a Stop Loss option. There are two modes. The ‘average price’ mode calculates the stop loss level based on a given percentage below the average price of the total position. The ‘equity’ mode calculates the stop loss level based on a given percentage of your equity you want to lose. By default, the ‘equity’ mode is active. By tweaking the percentage of the portfolio size and the stop loss equity mode, you can achieve a quite low risk strategy set up.
Variables in comments
To sent alerts to my exchange I use a webhook server. This works with a sending the information in the form of a comment. To be able to send messages with different quantities, a variable is added to the comment. This makes it possible to open different positions on the exchange with increasing quantities. To test this the quantities are printed in the comment and the quantities are switched off in the style settings.
This code is a result of a study and not intended for use as a worked out and full functioning strategy. Use it at your own risk. To make the code understandable for users that are not so much introduced into pine script (like me), every step in the code is commented to explain what it does. Hopefully it helps.
Enjoy!
*Backtesting System ⚉ ＯＶＥＲＶＩＥＷ ⚉
One of the best Systems for Backtesting your Strategies.
Incredibly flexible, simple, fast and feature-rich system — will solve most of your queries without much effort.
Many systems for setting StopLoss, TakeProfit, Risk Management and advanced Filters.
All you need to do is plug in your indicator and start Backtesting .
I intentionally left the option to use my System on Full Power before you load your indicator into it.
The system uses the built-in simple and popular moving average crossover signal for this purpose. (EMA 50 & 200).
Also Highly Recommend that you Fully use ALL of the features of this system so that you understand how they work before you ask questions.
Also tried to leave TIPS for each feature everywhere, read Tips, activate them and see how they work.
But before you use this system, I Recommend you to read the following description in Full.
—————— How to connect your indicator in 2 steps:
Adapt your indicator by adding only 2 lines of code and then connect it to this Backtesting System.
Step 1 — Create your connector, For doing so:
• 1 — Find or create in your indicator where are the conditions printing the Long-Buy and Short-Sell signals.
• 2 — Create an additional plot as below
I'm giving an example with a Two moving averages cross.
Please replicate the same methodology for your indicator wether it's a MACD, RSI , Pivots, or whatever indicator with Clear Buy and Sell conditions.
//@version=5
indicator('Moving Average Cross', overlay = true)
MA200 = ta.𝚎𝚖𝚊(close, 200)
MA50 = ta.𝚎𝚖𝚊(close, 50)
// Generate Buy and Sell conditions
buy = ta.crossover (MA200, MA50)
sell = ta.crossunder (MA200, MA50)
plot(MA200, color=color.green)
plot(MA50 , color=color.red )
bgcolor(color = buy ? color.green : sell ? color.red : na, title='SIGNALS')
// ———————————————— SIGNAL FOR SYSTEM ————————————————
Signal = buy ? +1 : sell ? -1 : 0
plot(Signal, title='🔌Connector🔌', display = display.none)
// —————— 🔥 The Backtesting System expects the value to be exactly +1 for the 𝚋𝚞𝚕𝚕𝚒𝚜𝚑 signal, and -1 for the 𝚋𝚎𝚊𝚛𝚒𝚜𝚑 signal
Basically, I identified my Buy & Sell conditions in the code and added this at the bottom of my indicator code
Now you can connect your indicator to the Backtesting System using the Step 2
Step 2 — Connect the connector
• 1 — Add your updated indicator to a TradingView chart and Add the Backtesting System as well to the SAME chart
• 2 — Open the Backtesting System settings and in the External Source field select your 🔌Connector🔌 (which comes from your indicator)
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⚉ ＭＡＩＮ ＳＥＴＴＩＮＧＳ ⚉
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𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞 — Select your indicator. Add your indicator by following the 2 steps described above and select it in the menu. To familiarize yourself with the system until you select your indicator, you will have an in-built strategy of crossing the two moving EMA's of 50 and 200.
Long Deals — Enable/Disable Long Deals.
Short Deals — Enable/Disable Short Deals.
Wait End Deal — Enable/Disable waiting for a trade to close at Stop Loss/Take Profit. Until the trade closes on the Stop Loss or Take Profit, no new trade will open.
Reverse Deals — To force the opening of a trade in the opposite direction.
ReEntry Deal — Automatically open the same new deal after the deal is closed.
ReOpen Deal — Reopen the trade if the same signal is received. For example, if you are already in the long and a new signal is received in the long, the trade will reopen. * Does not work if Wait End Deal is enabled.
𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭:
None — Disables take profit. Useful if you only want to use dynamic stoplosses such as MA, Fast-Trailing, ATR Trail.
FIXED ％ — Fixed take profit in percent.
FIXED ＄ — Fixed Take in Money.
ATR — Fixed Take based on ATR.
R:R — Fixed Take based on the size of your stop loss. For example, if your stop is 10% and R:R=1, then the Take would be 10%. R:R=3 Take would be 30%, etc.
HH / LL — Fixed Take based on the previous maximum/minimum (extremum).
𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐩 𝐋𝐨𝐬𝐬:
None — Disables Stop Loss. Useful if you want to work without a stop loss. *Be careful if Wait End Deal is enabled, the trade may not close for a long time until it reaches the Take.
FIXED ％ — Fixed Stop in percent.
FIXED ＄ — Fixed Stop in Money.
TRAILING — Dynamic Trailing Stop like on the stock exchanges.
FAST TRAIL — Dynamic Fast Trailing Stop moves immediately in profit and stays in place if the price stands still or the price moves in loss.
ATR — Fixed Stop based on the ATR.
ATR TRAIL — Dynamic Trailing Stop based on the ATR.
LO / HI — A Fixed Stop based on the last Maximum/Minimum extemum. Allows you to place a stop just behind or above the low/high candle.
MA — Dynamic Stop based on selected Moving Average. * You will have 8 types of MA (EMA, SMA, HMA, etc.) to choose from, but you can easily add dozens of other MAs, which makes this type of stop incredibly flexible.
Add ％ — If true, then with the "𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗽 ％" parameter you can add percentages to any of the current SL. Can be especially useful when using Stop - 𝗔𝗧𝗥 or 𝗠𝗔 or 𝗟𝗢/𝗛𝗜. For example with 𝗟𝗢/𝗛𝗜 to put a stop for the last High/Low and add 0.5% additional Stoploss.
Fixed R:R — If the stop loss is Dynamic (Trailing or MA) then if R:R true can also be made Dynamic * Use it carefully, the function is experimental.
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⚉ ＴＡＫＥ ＰＲＯＦＩＴ ＬＥＶＥＬＳ ⚉
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A unique method of constructing intermediate Take Profit Levels will allow you to select up to 5 intermediate Take Profit Levels and one intermediate Stop Loss.
Intermediate Take Profit Levels are perfectly calculated into 5 equal parts in the form of levels from the entry point to the final Take Profit target.
All you need to do is to choose the necessary levels for fixing and how much you want to fix at each level as a percentage. For example, TP 3 will always be exactly between the entry point and the Take Profit target. And the value of TP 3 = 50 will close 50% of the amount of the remaining size of the position.
Note: all intermediate SL/TP are closed from the remaining position amount and not from the initial position size, as TV does by default.
SL 0 Position — works in the same way as TP 1-5 but it's Stop. With this parameter you can set the position where the intermediate stop will be set.
Breakeven on TP — When activated, it allows you to put the stop loss at Breakeven after the selected TP is reached. For this function to work as it should - you need to activate an intermediate Take. For example, if TP 3 is activated and Breakeven on TP = 3, then after the price reaches this level, the Stop loss will go to Breakeven.
* This function will not work with Dynamic Stoplosses, because it simply does not make sense.
CoolDown # Bars — When activated, allows you to add a delay before a new trade is opened. A new trade after CoolDown will not be opened until # bars pass and a new signal appears.
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⚉ ＴＩＭＥ ＦＩＬＴＥＲＳ ⚉
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Powerful time filter code that allows you to filter data based on specific time zones, dates, and session days. This code is ideal for those who need to analyze data from different time zones and weed out irrelevant data.
With Time Filter, you can easily set the starting and ending time zones by which you want to filter the data.
You can also set a start and end date for your data and choose which days of the week to include in the analysis. In addition, you can specify start and end times for a specific session, allowing you to focus your analysis on specific time periods.
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⚉ ＳＩＧＮＡＬ ＦＩＬＴＥＲＳ ⚉
‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾
Signal Filters — allows you to easily customize and optimize your trading strategies based on 10 filters.
Each filter is designed to help you weed out inaccurate signals to minimize your risks.
Let's take a look at their features:
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⚉ ＲＩＳＫ ＭＡＮＡＧＥＭＥＮＴ ⚉
‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾
Risk management tools that allow you to set the maximum number of losing trades in a row, a limit on the number of trades per day or week and other filters.
Loss Streak — Set Max number of consecutive loss trades.
Win Streak — Max Winning Streak Length.
Row Loss InDay — Max of consecutive days with a loss in a row.
DrawDown ％ — Max DrawDown (in % of strategy equity).
InDay Loss ％ — Set Max Intraday Loss.
Daily Trades — Limit the number of MAX trades per day.
Weekly Trades — Limit the number of MAX trades per week.
* 🡅 I would Not Recommend using these functions without understanding how they work.
Order Size — Position Size
• NONE — Use the default position size settings in Tab "Properties".
• EQUITY — The amount of the allowed position as a percentage of the initial capital.
• Use Net Profit — On/Off the use of profit in the following trades. *Only works if the type is EQUITY.
• SIZE — The size of the allowed position in monetary terms.
• Contracts — The size of the allowed position in the contracts. 1 Сontract = Сurrent price.
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It is important to note that I have never worked with Backtesting and the functions associated with them before.
It took me about a month of slow work to build this system.
I want to say Big Thanks:
• The PineScripters🌲 group, the guys suggested how to implement some features. Especially @allanster
• Thanks to all those people who share their developments for free on TV and not only.
• I also thank myself for not giving up and finishing the project, and not trying to monetize the system by selling it. * Although I really want the money :)
I tried hard to make it as fast and convenient as possible for everyone who will use my code.
That's why I didn't use any libraries and dozens of heavy functions, and I managed to fit in 8+-functions for the whole code.
Absolutely every block of code I tried to make full-fledged modular, that it was easy to import/edit for myself (you).
I have abused the Ternary Pine operator a little (a lot) so that the code was as compact as possible.
Nevertheless, I tried very hard to keep my code very understandable even for beginners.
At last I managed to write 500 lines of code, making it one of the fastest and most feature-rich systems out there.
I hope everyone enjoys my work.
Put comments and write likes.
Advanced VWAP_Pullback Strategy_Trend-Template QualifierGeneral Description and Unique Features of this Script
Introducing the Advanced VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy (long-only) that offers several unique features:
1. Our script/strategy utilizes Mark Minervini's Trend-Template as a qualifier for identifying stocks and other financial securities in confirmed uptrends. Mark Minervini, a 2x US Investment Champion, developed the Trend-Template, which covers eight different and independent characteristics that can be adjusted and optimized in this trend-following strategy to ensure the best results. The strategy will only trigger buy-signals in case the optimized qualifiers are being met.
2. Our strategy is based on the supply/demand balance in the market, making it timeless and effective across all timeframes. Whether you are day trading using 1- or 5-min charts or swing-trading using daily charts, this strategy can be applied and works very well.
3. We have also integrated technical indicators such as the RSI and the MA / VWAP crossover into this strategy to identify low-risk pullback entries in the context of confirmed uptrends. By doing so, the risk profile of this strategy and drawdowns are being reduced to an absolute minimum.
Minervini’s Trend-Template and the ‘Stage-Analysis’ of the Markets
This strategy is a so-called 'long-only' strategy. This means that we only take long positions, short positions are not considered.
The best market environment for such strategies are periods of stable upward trends in the so-called stage 2 - uptrend.
In stable upward trends, we increase our market exposure and risk.
In sideways markets and downward trends or bear markets, we reduce our exposure very quickly or go 100% to cash and wait for the markets to recover and improve. This allows us to avoid major losses and drawdowns.
This simple rule gives us a significant advantage over most undisciplined traders and amateurs!
'The Trend is your Friend'. This is a very old but true quote.
What's behind it???
• 98% of stocks made their biggest gains in a Phase 2 upward trend.
• If a stock is in a stable uptrend, this is evidence that larger institutions are buying the stock sustainably.
• By focusing on stocks that are in a stable uptrend, the chances of profit are significantly increased.
• In a stable uptrend, investors know exactly what to expect from further price developments. This makes it possible to locate low-risk entry points.
The goal is not to buy at the lowest price – the goal is to buy at the right price!
Each stock goes through the same maturity cycle – it starts at stage 1 and ends at stage 4
Stage 1 – Neglect Phase – Consolidation
Stage 2 – Progressive Phase – Accumulation
Stage 3 – Topping Phase – Distribution
Stage 4 – Downtrend – Capitulation
This strategy focuses on identifying stocks in confirmed stage 2 uptrends. This in itself gives us an advantage over long-term investors and less professional traders.
By focusing on stocks in a stage 2 uptrend, we avoid losses in downtrends (stage 4) or less profitable consolidation phases (stages 1 and 3). We are fully invested and put our money to work for us, and we are fully invested when stocks are in their stage 2 uptrends.
But how can we use technical chart analysis to find stocks that are in a stable stage 2 uptrend?
Mark Minervini has developed the so-called 'trend template' for this purpose. This is an essential part of our JS-TechTrading pullback strategy. For our watchlists, only those individual values that meet the tough requirements of Minervini's trend template are eligible.
The Trend Template
• 200d MA increasing over a period of at least 1 month, better 4-5 months or longer
• 150d MA above 200d MA
• 50d MA above 150d MA and 200d MA
• Course above 50d MA, 150d MA and 200d MA
• Ideally, the 50d MA is increasing over at least 1 month
• Price at least 25% above the 52w low
• Price within 25% of 52w high
• High relative strength according to IBD.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available in TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
This strategy can be applied to all timeframes from 5 min to daily.
The VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy
For the JS-TechTrading VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy, only stocks and other financial instruments that meet the selected criteria of Mark Minervini's trend template are recommended for algorithmic trading with this startegy.
A further prerequisite for generating a buy signals is that the individual value is in a short-term oversold state (RSI).
When the selling pressure is over and the continuation of the uptrend can be confirmed by the MA / VWAP crossover after reaching a price low, a buy signal is issued by this strategy.
Stop-loss limits and profit targets can be set variably. You also have the option to make use of the trailing stop exit strategy.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator developed by Welles Wilder in 1978. The RSI is used to perform a market value analysis and identify the strength of a trend as well as overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100 and shows how much an asset has risen or fallen relative to its own price in recent periods.
The RSI is calculated as the ratio of average profits to average losses over a certain period of time. A high value of the RSI indicates an overbought situation, while a low value indicates an oversold situation. Typically, a value > 70 is considered an overbought threshold and a value < 30 is considered an oversold threshold. A value above 70 signals that a single value may be overvalued and a decrease in price is likely , while a value below 30 signals that a single value may be undervalued and an increase in price is likely.
For example, let's say you're watching a stock XYZ. After a prolonged falling movement, the RSI value of this stock has fallen to 26. This means that the stock is oversold and that it is time for a potential recovery. Therefore, a trader might decide to buy this stock in the hope that it will rise again soon.
The MA / VWAP Crossover Trading Strategy
This strategy combines two popular technical indicators: the Moving Average (MA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The MA VWAP crossover strategy is used to identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points in the market.
The VWAP is calculated by taking the average price of an asset for a given period, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. The MA, on the other hand, is calculated by taking the average price of an asset over a specified number of periods. When the MA crosses above the VWAP, it suggests that buying pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to enter a long position. When the MA crosses below the VWAP, it suggests that selling pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to exit a long position or enter a short position.
Traders typically use the MA VWAP crossover strategy in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make more informed trading decisions. As with any trading strategy, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before making any trades.
This strategy is applicable to all timeframes and the relevant parameters for the underlying indicators (RSI and MA/VWAP) can be adjusted and optimized as needed.
Backtesting
Backtesting gives outstanding results on all timeframes and drawdowns can be reduced to a minimum level. In this example, the hourly chart for MCFT has been used.
Settings for backtesting are:
- Period from Jan 2020 until March 2023
- Starting capital 100k USD
- Position size = 25% of equity
- 0.01% commission = USD 2.50.- per Trade
- Slippage = 2 ticks
Other comments
- This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
- The combination of the Trend-Template and the RSI qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
- Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
JS-TechTrading: VWAP Momentum_Pullback StrategyGeneral Description and Unique Features of this Script
Introducing the VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy (long-only) that offers several unique features:
1. Our script/strategy utilizes Mark Minervini's Trend-Template as a qualifier for identifying stocks and other financial securities in confirmed uptrends.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available on TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
2. Our strategy is based on the supply/demand balance in the market, making it timeless and effective across all timeframes. Whether you are day trading using 1- or 5-min charts or swing-trading using daily charts, this strategy can be applied and works very well.
3. We have also integrated technical indicators such as the RSI and the MA / VWAP crossover into this strategy to identify low-risk pullback entries in the context of confirmed uptrends. By doing so, the risk profile of this strategy and drawdowns are being reduced to an absolute minimum.
Minervini’s Trend-Template and the ‘Stage-Analysis’ of the Markets
This strategy is a so-called 'long-only' strategy. This means that we only take long positions, short positions are not considered.
The best market environment for such strategies are periods of stable upward trends in the so-called stage 2 - uptrend.
In stable upward trends, we increase our market exposure and risk.
In sideways markets and downward trends or bear markets, we reduce our exposure very quickly or go 100% to cash and wait for the markets to recover and improve. This allows us to avoid major losses and drawdowns.
This simple rule gives us a significant advantage over most undisciplined traders and amateurs!
'The Trend is your Friend'. This is a very old but true quote.
What's behind it???
• 98% of stocks made their biggest gains in a Phase 2 upward trend.
• If a stock is in a stable uptrend, this is evidence that larger institutions are buying the stock sustainably.
• By focusing on stocks that are in a stable uptrend, the chances of profit are significantly increased.
• In a stable uptrend, investors know exactly what to expect from further price developments. This makes it possible to locate low-risk entry points.
The goal is not to buy at the lowest price – the goal is to buy at the right price!
Each stock goes through the same maturity cycle – it starts at stage 1 and ends at stage 4
Stage 1 – Neglect Phase – Consolidation
Stage 2 – Progressive Phase – Accumulation
Stage 3 – Topping Phase – Distribution
Stage 4 – Downtrend – Capitulation
This strategy focuses on identifying stocks in confirmed stage 2 uptrends. This in itself gives us an advantage over long-term investors and less professional traders.
By focusing on stocks in a stage 2 uptrend, we avoid losses in downtrends (stage 4) or less profitable consolidation phases (stages 1 and 3). We are fully invested and put our money to work for us, and we are fully invested when stocks are in their stage 2 uptrends.
But how can we use technical chart analysis to find stocks that are in a stable stage 2 uptrend?
Mark Minervini has developed the so-called 'trend template' for this purpose. This is an essential part of our JS-TechTrading pullback strategy. For our watchlists, only those individual values that meet the tough requirements of Minervini's trend template are eligible.
The Trend Template
• 200d MA increasing over a period of at least 1 month, better 4-5 months or longer
• 150d MA above 200d MA
• 50d MA above 150d MA and 200d MA
• Course above 50d MA, 150d MA and 200d MA
• Ideally, the 50d MA is increasing over at least 1 month
• Price at least 25% above the 52w low
• Price within 25% of 52w high
• High relative strength according to IBD.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available in TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
This strategy can be applied to all timeframes from 5 min to daily.
The VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strateg y
For the JS-TechTrading VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy, only stocks and other financial instruments that meet the selected criteria of Mark Minervini's trend template are recommended for algorithmic trading with this startegy.
A further prerequisite for generating a buy signals is that the individual value is in a short-term oversold state (RSI).
When the selling pressure is over and the continuation of the uptrend can be confirmed by the MA / VWAP crossover after reaching a price low, a buy signal is issued by this strategy.
Stop-loss limits and profit targets can be set variably.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator developed by Welles Wilder in 1978. The RSI is used to perform a market value analysis and identify the strength of a trend as well as overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100 and shows how much an asset has risen or fallen relative to its own price in recent periods.
The RSI is calculated as the ratio of average profits to average losses over a certain period of time. A high value of the RSI indicates an overbought situation, while a low value indicates an oversold situation. Typically, a value > 70 is considered an overbought threshold and a value < 30 is considered an oversold threshold. A value above 70 signals that a single value may be overvalued and a decrease in price is likely , while a value below 30 signals that a single value may be undervalued and an increase in price is likely.
For example, let's say you're watching a stock XYZ. After a prolonged falling movement, the RSI value of this stock has fallen to 26. This means that the stock is oversold and that it is time for a potential recovery. Therefore, a trader might decide to buy this stock in the hope that it will rise again soon.
The MA / VWAP Crossover Trading Strategy
This strategy combines two popular technical indicators: the Moving Average (MA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The MA VWAP crossover strategy is used to identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points in the market.
The VWAP is calculated by taking the average price of an asset for a given period, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. The MA, on the other hand, is calculated by taking the average price of an asset over a specified number of periods. When the MA crosses above the VWAP, it suggests that buying pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to enter a long position. When the MA crosses below the VWAP, it suggests that selling pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to exit a long position or enter a short position.
Traders typically use the MA VWAP crossover strategy in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make more informed trading decisions. As with any trading strategy, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before making any trades.
This strategy is applicable to all timeframes and the relevant parameters for the underlying indicators (RSI and MA/VWAP) can be adjusted and optimized as needed.
Backtesting
Backtesting gives outstanding results on all timeframes and drawdowns can be reduced to a minimum level. In this example, the hourly chart for MCFT has been used.
Settings for backtesting are:
- Period from April 2020 until April 2021 (1 yr)
- Starting capital 100k USD
- Position size = 25% of equity
- 0.01% commission = USD 2.50.- per Trade
- Slippage = 2 ticks
Other comments
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The RSI qualifier is highly selective and filters out the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• As a result, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
Negroni MA & RSI Strategy, plus trade entry and SL/TP optionsI will start with the context, and some things to think about when using a strategy tool to back-test ideas.
CONTEXT
FIRST: This is derived from other people's work, but I honestly hadn't found a mixed indicator MA strategy tool that does what this now does. If it is out there, apologies!!
This tool can help back-test various MA trends (SMA, EMA, HMA, VWMA); as well as factoring in RSI levels (or not); and can factor in a fixed HTF MA (or not). You can apply a 'retest entry' or a 'breakout entry', and you can also apply various risk mgt for SL/TP orders: 1) No SL/TP; or 2) a fixed %, or 3) dynamic ATR multipliers.
Find below, some details explaining what this tool is attempting to do.
Thank you, tack, salute!
THINGS TO REVIEW (it is not just about 'profitability'!!)
Whilst discretion is always highly encouraged as a trader, and a 100% indicator-driven strategy is VERY unlikely to yield sustainable results going forward, at the very least back-testing your strategies can help provide some guidance, not just on win rate Vs profit factor, but other things including:
a) Trade frequency: if a strategy has an 75% win rate and profit factor of 4, with all your parameters and confluence checks, but only triggers 3 trades every 5 years, is that realistically implementable to your trading situation if you have a $10,000 account?
b) Trade entry type: is it consistently better to wait for a retest of an 'MA zone', or is it better to market buy/sell on breakout of the 'MA zone'?
c) Risk management (SL/TP): is it consistently better to have a fixed static % for SL/TP ("I always place my stops 2% away, whether it is EURUSD or BTCUSDT"), or would you be better placed to try using an ATR multiplier of the respective assets?
d) Moving average type: is your old faithful 100 EMA really serving you well, or is the classic SMA more reliable, or how about the HMA, or the VWMA? Is the 100/200 cross holding up, or do you need something more sensitive? Is there any significant difference between a 10 EMA/20 EMA trend zone compared to a 13 EMA /25 EMA zone?
e) Confluence: Do added confluence checks (RSI, higher timeframe MA) actually improve profitability? But even if they do, is at the cost of cutting too many trades?
INPUTS AND PARAMETERS
Choice 1) Entry Strategy: Retest or Breakout - You can select both!
[ ]:
a) RETEST entry strat: price crosses UNDER FastMA INTO the 'MA trend zone'.
b) BREAKOUT entry strat: price crosses OVER FastMA OUT the 'MA trend zone'.
Choice 2) Risk Management (SL and TP) - You can select more than 1 strategy!
a) No SL/TP: Long trades are closed when the LOW crosses back UNDER the fastMA again, and shorts are closed when the HIGH crosses back OVER the fastMA again.
b) Static % SL/TP: Your SL/TP will be a fixed % away from avg. position price... WARNING: You should change this for various asset classes; FX vol is not the same as crypto altcoin vol!
c) Dynamic ATR SL/TP: Your SL/TP is a multiple of your selected ATR range (default is 50, see 'info' when you select ATR range). ATR accounts for the change in vol of different asset classes somewhat, HOWEVER... you should probably still not have the same multiplier trading S&P500 as you would trading crypto altcoins!
Then select your preferred parameters: EMA, SMA, HMA, VWMA, etc. You can mix and match, and most options have a info/tooltip guide.
RSI note: If you don't care for RSI levels, then set buy signal at 1... i.e always buys! Similarly set sell signal at 99.
ATR note: standard ATR length is usually 14, however... your SL/TP will move POST entry, and can tighten or widen your initial SL/TP... for better AND usually for worse! Go find a trade (strat 3) on the chart, look at the SL/TP lines, now change the number to 5, you'll see.
Fixed HTF MA note: If you don't care for HTF MA confluence, just change the timeframe/options to match the 'Slow MA' options you've chosen.
Strategy Myth-Busting #20 - HalfTrend+HullButterfly - [MYN]#20 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the " I Found Super Easy 1 Minute Scalping System And Backtest It 100 Times " strategy from " Jessy Trading " who claims 30.58% net profit over 100 trades in a couple of weeks with a 51% win rate and profit factor of 1.56 on EURUSD .
This one surprised us quite a bit. Despite the title of this strategy indicating this is on the 1 min timeframe, the author demonstrates the backtesting manually on the 5 minute timeframe. Given the simplicity of this strategy only incorporating a couple of indicators, it's robustness being able to be profitable in both low and high timeframes and on multiple symbols was quite refreshing.
The 3 settings which we need to pay most attention to here is the Hull Butterfly length, HalfTrend amplitude and the Max Number Of Bars Between Hull and HalfTrend Trigger. Depending on the timeframe and symbol, these settings greatly impact the performance outcomes of the strategy. I've listed a couple of these below.
And as always, If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Hull Butterfly Oscillator by LuxAlgo
HalfTrend by Everget
Trading Rules
5 min candles but higher / lower candles work too.
Stop loss at swing high/low
Take Profit 1.5x the risk
Long
Hull Butterfly gives us green column, Wait for HalfTrend to present an up arrow and enter trade.
Short
Hull Butterfly gives us a red column , Wait for HalfTrend to present a down arrow and enter trade.
Alternative Trading Settings for different time frames
1 Minute Timeframe
Move the Hull Butterfly length from the default 11 to 9
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Enabling ADX Filter with a 25 threshold
2 Hour Timeframe
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Laddered Take Profits from 14.5% to 19% with an 8% SL
Power Of Stocks - Bollinger Band & 5Ema Indicator - Keanu_RiTz
Power of Stocks - Bollinger band & 5ema Strategy
In this script you get to take Buy/Sell trades using the 3 options mentioned below.(Alerts with price levels for buy/sell at , SL & Target are included in this one)
1. Combined Strategy :- uses confirmation from both strategies to trade.
2. Bollinger band Strategy :- use the Bollinger band Strategy to trade.
3. 5ema Strategy :- use the 5ema Strategy to trade.
1. Combined Strategy :-
for Selling :- we will go short/sell only when conditions of both strategies are satisfied.
i.e. when a candle is completely above the upper Bollinger band & completely above the 5ema then it will be our Alert Candle.
We Short/Sell only when the low of the Alert candle is broken or when the candle closes below the close of the Alert Candle.
SL will be above high of the Alert Candle. Target will be minimum 1:3 or as per your emotions.
for Buying:- we will go Long/Buy only when conditions of both strategies are satisfied.
i.e. when a candle is completely below the lower Bollinger band & completely below the 5ema then it will be our Alert Candle.
We go Long/Buy only when the high of the Alert candle is broken or when the candle closes above the close of the Alert Candle.
SL will be below low of the Alert Candle. Target will be minimum 1:3 or as per your emotions.
2. Power of Stocks - Bollinger Band Strategy :-
Bollinger band with standard deviation = 1.5
when a candle is completely above the upper Bollinger band, that candle will be called a signal/alert candle.
Initiate a Sell trade when that alert candles low is broken. SL will be above high of that alert candle.
Risk to reward ratio will be 1:4 i.e. target will be 4 times the SL.
when a candle is completely below the lower Bollinger band, that candle will be called a signal/alert candle.
Initiate a Buy trade when that alert candles high is broken. SL will be below low of that alert candle.
Risk to reward ratio will be 1:4 i.e. target will be 4 times the SL.
other rules for Options buying:- minimum 15min timeframe
The day you initiate the position , you should be in profit above 10%-15% then only you should carry forward that position overnight, otherwise squareoff your trade on that day only.
Buy ATM or slightly OTM, SL max 100 points , target 1:4
for Long-term/Investing :- Minimum Weekly
If candle is outside the lower band then initiate a Buy trade when that candles High is broken. Sl will be below Low of that candle.
for Long-term Target will be according to your emotions.
3. Power of Stocks - 5ema Strategy (target minimum 1:3)
Timeframe -
5 min for Selling (Sell Futures/index/stocks or buy Put)
15 min for Buying (Buy Futures/index/stocks or sell Put)
for selling stocks :-
you should enter trade within 10am , don't look for entries after that time. take only 2 entries a day.
for selling Index(Banknifty) :-
you can take trade at anytime of the day whenever conditions get satisfied. you can take multiple entries in banknifty as it is very volatile.
for options choose atm strikes: selling trade
sl for premium between 200-300 :- 20-30 points SL
sl for premium between 400-500 :- 40-50 points SL
sl for premium between 500-600 :- 50-60 points SL
Subhashish Pani's (power of stocks) 5 EMA Strategy:-
It plots 5 EMA and Buy/Sell signals with Target & Stoploss levels.
What is Subhashish Pani's (power of stocks) 5 EMA Strategy :-
His strategy is very simple to understand. for intraday use 5 minutes timeframe for selling. You can sell futures, sell call or buy Puts in selling strategy.
What this strategy tries to do is , it tries to catch the tops, so when you sell at top & it turns out to be a reversal point then you can get good profit.
this will hit stop losses often, but stop losses are small and minimum target should be 1:3. but if you stay with the trend you can get big profits.
According to Subhashish Pani this strategy has 60% success rate.
Strategy for Selling (Short future/Call/stock or buy Put)
When ever a Candle closes completely above 5 ema (no part of candle should be touching the 5ema), then that candle should be considered as Alert Candle.
If the next candle is also completely above 5 ema and it has not broken the low of previous alert candle, Then the previous Alert Candle should be ignored and the new candle should be considered as new Alert Candle.
so if this goes on then continue shifting the Alert Candle, but whenever the next candle breaks the low of the Alert Candle we should take the Short trade (Short future/Call/stock or buy Put).
Stoploss will be above high of the Alert Candle and minimum target will be 1:3.
Strategy for Buying (Buy future/Call/stock or sell Put)
When ever a Candle closes completely below 5 ema (no part of candle should be touching the 5ema), then that candle should be considered as Alert Candle.
If the next candle is also completely below 5 ema and it has not broken the high of previous alert candle, Then the previous Alert Candle should be ignored and the new candle should be considered as new Alert Candle.
so if this goes on then continue shifting the Alert Candle, but whenever the next candle breaks the high of the Alert Candle we should take the Long trade (Buy future/Call/stock or sell Put).
Stoploss will be below low of the Alert Candle and minimum target will be 1:3.
Buy/Sell with extra conditions :
it just adds 1 more condition to buying/selling
1. checks if closing of current candle is lower than alert candles closing for Selling & checks if closing of current candle is higher than alert candles closing for Buyling.
This can sometimes save you from false moves but by using this, you can also miss out on big moves as you'll enter trade after candle closing instead of entering at break of high/low.
Note :- According to Subhashish Pani Timeframe for intraday buying should be 15 minutes Timeframe.
If you haven't understood the strategy by reading above description, then search for "Subhashish Pani's (power of stocks) 5 EMA Strategy" on YouTube to get a deeper understanding.
Note:- This is not only for Intraday trading , you can use this strategy for Positional/Swing trading as well. If you use this on Monthly Timeframe then it can be very good for Long Term Investing as well.
Rules will be same for all types of trades & Timeframes.
Supertrend, MA 44|6, EMA FIBS 13|21|34I have this indicator based on my strategy. This indicator is based on existing functions available in the system. I haven't added anything new. This indicator uses Supertrend, MA44|6, EMA fibs 13|21|34 combining to find a profitable trade.
- Supertrend : Indicator uses supertrend strategy with default ATR period of 10 and Factor value 3. These values can be customized based on your preferences. Uptrend is denoted by green color and downtrend by red color. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
- MA 44|6: Indicator plots moving averages of 44 and 6. These values can be customized based on your preferences. Although it is highly recommended to keep 44 as is. Value 6 can be adjusted based on your preference. Default color for uptrend is green and for downtrend is red. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
- FIBS EMA 13|21|34: Indicator plots EMA of fibbonacci numbers 13, 21,34 to identify consolidation and breakout. The periods can be adjusted but it is highly recommended not to do so. Default colors for 13,21 and 34 is Aqua, Blue and Navy respectively. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
When to take trade?
To take a trade all conditions needs to be fulfilled.
Supertrend : Always take a trade in the direction of Supertrend. It is always advisable to take trade if the trend is changing or price is taking support of resistance.
MA 44|6: Moving average 44 indicates average price of 44 last candles and 6 for last 6 candles. Price crossing MA 44 indicates change in trend. It is advisable to take trade at crossing the line above or below. If many candles closing near MA 44 then it indicates consolidation. The more far the candle closes from MA44 the better. MA 6 is used to identify when to enter or exit the trade. If candle closes away from MA 6 then you can wait for candle to start near the MA 6 line. If candle closes above/below MA 6 you can exit your trade.
Fibonacci 13|21|34: When all lines are closed it indicates consolidation. When price breakouts to either direction you can take a trade in that direction with following conditions.
Bullish Trade:
When to enter?
If candle closed above MA 44, Supertrend is uptrend and EMA Fibs are moving away and are above MA 44. The price is near to MA 6 line then you can enter into bullish trade. If price is away from MA 6 then you should wait until the price/line comes near to avoid loss.
When to exit?
Price moving in opposite direction:
You should set a stop loss when you enter the trade. The stop loss can be set below the low of the previous candle or any other strategy you have. But it is really important to set the stop loss. If price moves in opposite direction then your stop loss will hit and you will be out of the trade.
Price moving in same direction:
Once you enter the trade you can exit based on two conditions whichever suits you.
1. Exit the trade if candle closes below MA6. The drawback is you may exit too early. You can also adjust the period based on your preferences.
2. Exit the trade if candle closed below low of previous candle. The drawback is you may book less profit but you can capture the movement very well.
Bearish Trade:
When to enter?
If candle closed below MA 44, Supertrend is downtrend and EMA Fibs are moving away and are below MA 44. The price is near to MA 6 line then you can enter into bearish trade. If price is away from MA 6 then you should wait until the price/line comes near to avoid loss.
When to exit?
Price moving in opposite direction:
You should set a stop loss when you enter the trade. The stop loss can be set below the low of the previous candle or any other strategy you have. But it is really important to set the stop loss. If price moves in opposite direction then your stop loss will hit and you will be out of the trade.
Price moving in same direction:
Once you enter the trade you can exit based on two conditions whichever suits you.
1. Exit the trade if candle closes below MA6. The drawback is you may exit too early. You can also adjust the period based on your preferences.
2. Exit the trade if candle closed below low of previous candle. The drawback is you may book less profit but you can capture the movement very well.
When not to take trade?
1. If MA 44 is completely horizontal and EMA Fibs are very close to each other. This indicates that the market is consolidated and if you enter the trade you may hit stop loss very often.
Note: Please note that I am not expert and I don't take any responsibility of your profits or losses. I have created this indicator based on my knowledge and it is for study purpose. Use of this indicator is totally your responsibility. Use all your knowledge and expertise and don't totally depend on the indicator. Don't forget to use stop loss and do money management.
Happy Trading!
Crypto Terminal [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
Introducing Crypto Terminal (:
The indicator makes use of cryptocurrency data provided by vendor INTOTHEBLOCK.
NOTE: The cryptocurrency on your chart must be paired with USD or USDT. Data won't load otherwise - possibly transient. For instance, BTCUSD or BTCUSDT, ETHUSD or ETHUSDT.
Provided datasets:
Twitter Sentiment Data
Telegram Sentiment Data
Whale Data (i.e. % of Asset Belonging to Whales)
$100,000+ Transactions
Bulls/Bears (Bulls Buying | Bears Selling)
Current Position PnL (Currently Open Positions for the Coin are Retrieved and Plotted. Data is Split into Currently Profitable Positions, Losing Positions, and B/E Positions)
Average Balance
Holders/Traders Percentage (Addresses are Retrieved and Classified as Holding Accounts or Trader Accounts)
Correlation
Futures OI
Perpetual OI
Zero Balance Addresses
Flow (Money Inflow & Outflow)
Active Addresses
Average Transaction Time
Realized PnL (Addresses with Realized Profits, Realized Losses, and B/E)
Cruisers
A few more data points are provided.
Additionally, you can plot the values of any dataset in a pane below price.
Below are images of plottable data; different cryptocurrencies will be shown for each example (:
Twitter sentiment data.
Assess this data lightly; difficult to confirm accuracy.
Telegram sentiment data.
Assess this data lightly; difficult to confirm accuracy.
Percentage of asset belonging to whales.
$100,000+ transactions (volume oriented)
Bulls buying; bears selling.
Current positions at profit; current positions at loss; current positions at breakeven.
Average balance.
Percentage of asset belonging to traders; percentage of asset belonging to holders.
Asset's 30-interval correlation to BTC.
Perpetual open interest.
Zero-balance addresses.
Flows.
Active addresses.
Average transaction time.
Addresses at realized profit; addresses at realized loss; addresses at breakeven.
Cruiser data.
Futures open interest.
Naturally, this data isn't provided for every cryptocurrency; NaN values are returned in some instances.
Table 1
I provided three data tables, which load independently, so you don't have to change plotted data to access values.
Table 2
Lastly, you can create a 10-asset crypto index and run calculations against it.
The image shows an example.
I'll update this script with additional calculations/data in the near future. If you've any suggestions - please let me know!
Enjoy (:
Squeeze Momentum Strategy [LazyBear] Buy Sell TP SL Alerts-Modified version of Squeeze Momentum Indicator by @LazyBear.
-Converted to version 5,
-Taken inspiration from @KivancOzbilgic for its buy sell calculations,
-Used @Bunghole strategy template with Take Profit, Stop Loss and Enable/Disable Toggles
-Added Custom Date Backtesting Module
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All credit goes to above
Problem with original version:
The original Squeeze Momentum Strategy did not have buy sell signals and there was alot of confusion as to when to enter and exit.
There was no proper strategy that would allow backtesting on which further analysis could be carried out.
There are 3 aspects this strategy:
1 ) Strategy Logic (easily toggleable from the dropdown menu from strategy settings)
- LazyBear (I have made this simple by using Kivanc technique of Momentums Moving Average Crossover, BUY when MA cross above signal line, SELL when crossdown signal line)
- Zero Crossover Line (BUY signal when crossover zero line, and SELL crossdown zero line)
2) Long Short TP and SL
- In strategies there is usually only 1 SL and 1 TP, and it is assumed that if a 2% SL giving a good profit %, then it would be best for both long and short. However this is not the case for many. Many markets/pairs, go down with much more speed then they go up with. Hence once we have a profitable backtesting setting, then we should start optimizing Long and Short SL's seperately. Once that is done, we should start optimizing for Long and Short TP's separately, starting with Longs first in both cases.
3) Enable and Disable Toggles of Long and Short Trades
- Many markets dont allow short trades, or are not suitable for short trades. In this case it would be much more feasible to disable "Short" Trading and see results of Long Only as a built in graphic view of backtestor provides a more easy to understand data feed as compared to the performance summary in which you have to review long and short profitability separately.
4) Custom Data Backtesting
- One of most crucial aspects while optimizing for backtesting is to check a strategies performance on uptrends, downtrend and sideways markets seperately as to understand the weak points of strategy.
- Once you enable custom date backtesting, you will see lines on the chart which can be dragged left right based on where you want to start and end the backtesting from and to.
Note:
- Not a financial advise
- Open to feedback, questions, improvements, errors etc.
- More info on how the squeeze momentum works visit LazyBear indicator link:
Happy Trading!
Cheers
M Tahreem Alam @mtahreemalam
STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones is a standard deviation filtered R-squared Adaptive T3 moving average with dynamic zones.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
What is R-squared Adaptive?
One tool available in forecasting the trendiness of the breakout is the coefficient of determination ( R-squared ), a statistical measurement.
The R-squared indicates linear strength between the security's price (the Y - axis) and time (the X - axis). The R-squared is the percentage of squared error that the linear regression can eliminate if it were used as the predictor instead of the mean value. If the R-squared were 0.99, then the linear regression would eliminate 99% of the error for prediction versus predicting closing prices using a simple moving average .
R-squared is used here to derive a T3 factor used to modify price before passing price through a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
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VWAP + EMA Analysis [Joshlo]Overview and Use Case
VWAP Analysis gives the possibility to combine multiple time frames of VWAP along with a triplet of exponential moving averages. This can provide insight into potential scalp, swing and longer term trades, depending on your time frame. The use of this indicator with it's setup is based off the the Scalp Setup Alerts provided by Roensch Capital.
The primary use for this script is to help with intraday scalp set ups. Using the Daily VWAP, turned on by default, we can look for price to respect and bounce from one of the VWAP lines (support or resistance) back toward equilibrium, we can also look for price to bounce off of equilibrium and move back toward VWAP support or resistance.
The chart attached shows AMD bouncing off of the Daily time frame VWAP Resistance level multiple times (see yellow boxes), often with confirmation given by an increase in volume which is often far higher than the average volume. In many of these cases a short position could've been opened or put option could have been placed with a profitable outcome.
Every line projected onto the chart via this indicator has the potential to create support or resistance as well as causing 'hang ups', meaning price loses it's momentum, slows down and hangs out in the particular area. This is shown on the chart within the green box.
Chart walkthrough - See attached chart
After a rejection off of the Daily VWAP Resistance line (depicted by the white circle), price starts to move back toward Daily VWAP Equilibrium. In order to reach this line, price needs to move through the 20EMA (white) and 50EMA (purple), the Weekly VWAP Resistance (red circles) and the 200EMA (orange). All of these lines are a part of this single indicator.
The 20EMA seems to offer little resistance but follows the price on it's move, offering some resistance to a volatile move upward. Initially upon contact with the 50EMA, price hangs up and bounces above and below the line whilst finding support on the Weekly VWAP Resistance at the same time. This causes a 'hang up' or sideways movement for around 20 minutes of trading. A potential trade may have entered at the white circle with a VWAP Resistance rejection and exited upon contact with the 50EMA in anticipation of multiple EMAs and support / resistance lines converging which is known to cause price movement to slow.
Eventually with an increase in volume, price breaks below the 20EMA (white), 50EMA (purple) and the Weekly VWAP Resistance level (red circles). Price then finds support on the 200EMA (orange), although there was potential for the price to fall to the Daily VWAP Equilibrium (solid blue). As the Red VWAP lines tend to act more often as resistance as opposed to support (price is rarely above these lines for extended periods), the trade from earlier may have profited more by awaiting contact with the 200EMA before exiting, taking the assumption that the Weekly VWAP Resistance was more likely to act as resistance than support.
A period of consolidation in the green box, around the Weekly VWAP Resistance, 20EMA, 50EMA and with support from the 200EMA eventually resulted in another break out where the price came back up to the Daily VWAP Resistance. Prior to the end of this trading day, there were two more opportunities for scalp setups based off of the price showing consistent rejections off the Daily VWAP Resistance back down to the 50EMA.
In the final example, price breaks above the Daily VWAP Resistance but quickly rejects off of the Monthly VWAP Resistance. For examples where the VWAP Resistance or Support or broken, it can help to look at an indicator such as the RSI to look for bullish divergence or bearish divergence.
Just as this example shows bounces and rejection off of VWAP Resistance, the same applies around the Equilibrium and Support VWAP lines.
The perfect scenario would be to find a ticker where there has already been two or three bounces off of one of these levels, with the goal of taking the trade on the next bounce and either using a percentage price target or technical price target based off of the EMAs or VWAP lines. If there are EMAs close in the direction you want to take the trade, there is a higher chance of hang ups and reversals, so a clear run is the more desired trade set up.
You can also look for these indicator lines to stack up in order to form a stronger support and resistance. For example the 200EMA and Daily VWAP Equilibrium being close to each other may suggest it would take more of an effort to break both of these levels, but one by itself may break more easily.
Indicator Setup
In the settings for the indicator, almost everything you might want to change can be done from the Input tab.
The three options for VWAP (daily, weekly and monthly) allow for analysis on multiple time frames. Daily is turned on as standard.
Standard Deviation Multiplier is set to 2 as standard, this effects the distance of the VWAP support and resistance from the equilibrium line. This seems to be a level that works well with finding support and resistance lines, however if there is excessively high or low volume, occasionally the lines can be thrown off. You can adjust this level if required to find a 'sweet spot' where price likes to reject or find support.
The colors for all VWAPs can be adjusted via the Inputs tab, however if you'd like to change the type of line these are depicted as, this can be done from the Styles tab.
The 3 EMAs (20, 50 and 200) can be toggled on or off and also have their color changed. The style of the lines can be adjusted from with the Styles tab if required.
RSI+PA+PrTPHi everybody,
This strategy is a RSI, Price Averaging, Pyramiding Strategy based on the earlier RSI+PA+DCA strategy. See below.
For this slightly different strategy I left the DCA option out and instead focused on the Take Profit calculation. In the previous strategy the Take Profit was directly connected to the Average Price level with a specified take profit %. When the price reached the Take Profit all positions where exited. The strategy opened multiple position based on the PA price levels. The separate positions can close when they reach separately specified Take Profit Limit. Each time the prices crosses the PA layer again the position can be re-opened. This causes the average price to drop each time a separate position is opened and closed.
I thought it was an interesting way to minimize losses and in general it works fine. Only when the market goes bearish it can cause significant losses
For the lack of a better word, I dubbed it Progressive Take Profit. The PrTP works different and is less risky. It doesn't directly follow the average price development and is calculated for a part based on the estimated profits of the separate closed positions. Every time a separate position is closed, the profit of that position is deducted of the Take Profit Limit. This causes the Take Profit Limit to drop les drastically then the average price and the whole position will only be closed when the separately opened and closed positions made up for the biggest losses.
There are still some aspects in the puzzle that are not fully worked out yet and I am still working on it, but I wanted to share this idea already and maybe you have some thoughts about it.
The next step is to re-implement a better worked out DCA function.
To be continued.
