MACD of RSI [TORYS]MACD of RSI — Momentum & Divergence Scanner
Description:
This enhanced oscillator applies MACD logic directly to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rather than price, giving traders a clearer look at internal momentum and early shifts in trend strength. Now featuring a custom histogram, dual MA types, and RSI-based divergence detection — it’s a complete toolkit for identifying exhaustion, acceleration, and hidden reversal points in real time.
How It Works:
Calculates the MACD line as the difference between a fast and slow moving average of RSI. Adds a Signal Line (MA of the MACD) and plots a Histogram to show momentum acceleration/deceleration. Both RSI MAs and the Signal Line can be toggled between EMA and SMA for custom tuning.
Divergence Detection:
Bullish Divergence : Price makes a lower low while RSI makes a higher low → labeled with a green “D” below the curve.
Bearish Divergence : Price makes a higher high while RSI makes a lower high → labeled with a red “D” above the curve.
Configurable lookback window for tuning sensitivity to pivots, with 4 as the sweet spot.
RSI Pivot Dot Signals:
Plots green dots at RSI oversold pivot lows below 30,
Plots red dots at overbought pivot highs above 70.
Helps detect short-term exhaustion or bounce zones, plotted right on the MACD-RSI curve.
RSI 50 Crosses (Optional):
Optional ▲ and ▼ labels when RSI crosses its 50 midline — useful for momentum trend shifts or pullback confirmation, or to detect consolidation.
Histogram:
Plotted as a column chart showing the distance between MACD and Signal Line.
Colored dynamically:
Bright green : Momentum rising above zero
Light green : Weakening above zero
Bright red : Momentum falling below zero
Light red : Weakening below zero
The zero line serves as the mid-point:
Above = Bullish Bias
Below = Bearish Bias
How to Interpret:
Momentum Confirmation:
Use MACD cross above Signal Line with a rising histogram to confirm breakouts or trend entries.
Histogram shrinking near zero = momentum weakening → caution or reversal.
Exhaustion & Reversals:
Dot signals near RSI extremes + histogram peak can suggest overbought/oversold pressure.
Use divergence labels ("D") to spot early reversal signals before price breaks structure.
Inputs & Settings:
RSI Length
Fast/Slow MA Lengths for MACD (applied to RSI)
Signal Line Length
MA Type: Choose between EMA and SMA for MACD and Signal Line
Pivot Sensitivity for dot markers
Divergence Logic Toggle
Show/hide RSI 50 Crosses
Best For:
Traders who want momentum insight from inside RSI, not price
Scalpers using divergence or exhaustion entries
Swing traders seeking entry confirmation from signal crossovers
Anyone using multi-timeframe confluence with RSI and trend filters
Pro Tips:
Combine this with:
Bollinger Bands breakouts and reversals
VWAP or EMAs to filter entries by trend
Volume spikes or BBW squeezes for volatility confirmation
TTM Scalper Alert to sync structure and momentum
在腳本中搜尋"reversal"
Body Percentage of Range (Colored)Short Description:
This indicator measures the dominance of the candle's body relative to its total range (High - Low), providing a visual gauge of intra-candle strength versus indecision. Columns are colored based on whether the body constitutes more or less than a defined percentage (default 50%) of the candle's total height.
Detailed Description:
What it Does:
The "Body Percentage of Range" indicator calculates, for each candle, what percentage of the total price range (High minus Low) is occupied by the candle's body (absolute difference between Open and Close).
A value of 100% means the candle has no wicks (a Marubozu), indicating strong conviction during that period.
A value of 0% means the candle has no body (a Doji), indicating perfect indecision.
Values in between show the relative balance between the directional move (body) and the price exploration/rejection (wicks).
How to Interpret:
The indicator plots this percentage as columns:
Column Height: Represents the percentage of the body relative to the total range. Higher columns indicate a larger body dominance.
Column Color:
Green Columns: Appear when the body percentage is above the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that the directional move within the candle was stronger than the indecision (wicks). Often seen during trending moves or strong momentum candles.
Red Columns: Appear when the body percentage is at or below the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that wicks dominate the candle (body is 50% or less of the range), indicating significant indecision, struggle between buyers and sellers, or potential reversals. These are common in choppy, consolidating, or reversal market conditions.
Orange Line (Optional MA): A Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the body percentages is plotted to help smooth the readings and identify broader periods where candle structure indicates more trending (high MA) vs. ranging/indecisive (low MA) characteristics.
Potential Use Cases:
Identifying Choppy vs. Trending Markets: Sustained periods of low, predominantly red columns (and often a low/declining MA) can signal a choppy, range-bound market where trend-following strategies might underperform. Conversely, periods with frequent high, green columns suggest a more trending environment.
Confirming Breakouts/Momentum: High green columns appearing alongside increased volume during a breakout can add conviction to the move's strength.
Spotting Potential Exhaustion/Reversals: A very tall green column after a strong trend, followed immediately by a low red column (like a Doji or Spinning Top pattern appearing on the price chart), might signal potential exhaustion or a pending reversal, indicating indecision has suddenly entered the market.
Filtering Entries: Traders might avoid taking entries (especially trend-following ones) when the indicator shows a consistent pattern of low red columns, suggesting high market indecision.
Settings:
Color Threshold %: Allows you to set the percentage level above which columns turn green (default is 50%).
Smoothing MA Length: Adjusts the lookback period for the Simple Moving Average.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should be used in conjunction with other methods (like price action, volume analysis, other indicators) and robust risk management. It does not provide direct buy/sell signals and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gradient Trend Filter STRATEGY [ChartPrime/PineIndicators]This strategy is based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator developed by ChartPrime. Full credit for the concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is designed to execute trades based on the trend analysis and filtering system provided by the Gradient Trend Filter indicator. It integrates a noise-filtered trend detection system with a color-gradient visualization, helping traders identify trend strength, momentum shifts, and potential reversals.
How the Gradient Trend Filter Strategy Works
1. Noise Filtering for Smoother Trends
To reduce false signals caused by market noise, the strategy applies a three-stage smoothing function to the source price. This function ensures that trend shifts are detected more accurately, minimizing unnecessary trade entries and exits.
The filter is based on an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)-style smoothing technique.
It processes price data in three successive passes, refining the trend signal before generating trade entries.
This filtering technique helps eliminate minor fluctuations and highlights the true underlying trend.
2. Multi-Layered Trend Bands & Color-Based Trend Visualization
The Gradient Trend Filter constructs multiple trend bands around the filtered trend line, acting as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The mid-line changes color based on the trend direction:
Green for uptrends
Red for downtrends
A gradient cloud is formed around the trend line, dynamically shifting colors to provide early warning signals of trend reversals.
The outer bands function as potential support and resistance, helping traders determine stop-loss and take-profit zones.
Visualization elements used in this strategy:
Trend Filter Line → Changes color between green (bullish) and red (bearish).
Trend Cloud → Dynamically adjusts color based on trend strength.
Orange Markers → Appear when a trend shift is confirmed.
Trade Entry & Exit Conditions
This strategy automatically enters trades based on confirmed trend shifts detected by the Gradient Trend Filter.
1. Trade Entry Rules
Long Entry:
A bullish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to green).
The filtered trend value crosses above zero, confirming upward momentum.
The strategy enters a long position.
Short Entry:
A bearish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to red).
The filtered trend value crosses below zero, confirming downward momentum.
The strategy enters a short position.
2. Trade Exit Rules
Closing a Long Position:
If a bearish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Closing a Short Position:
If a bullish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the short position.
The trend shift markers (orange diamonds) act as a confirmation signal, reinforcing the validity of trade entries and exits.
Customization Options
This strategy allows traders to adjust key parameters for flexibility in different market conditions:
Trade Direction: Choose between Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short .
Trend Length: Modify the length of the smoothing function to adapt to different timeframes.
Line Width & Colors: Customize the visual appearance of trend lines and cloud colors.
Performance Table: Enable or disable the equity performance table that tracks historical trade results.
Performance Tracking & Reporting
A built-in performance table is included to monitor monthly and yearly trading performance.
The table calculates monthly percentage returns, displaying them in a structured format.
Color-coded values highlight profitable months (blue) and losing months (red).
Tracks yearly cumulative performance to assess long-term strategy effectiveness.
Traders can use this feature to evaluate historical performance trends and optimize their strategy settings accordingly.
How to Use This Strategy
Identify Trend Strength & Reversals:
Use the trend line and cloud color changes to assess trend strength and detect potential reversals.
Monitor Momentum Shifts:
Pay attention to gradient cloud color shifts, as they often appear before the trend line changes color.
This can indicate early momentum weakening or strengthening.
Act on Trend Shift Markers:
Use orange diamonds as confirmation signals for trend shifts and trade entry/exit points.
Utilize Cloud Bands as Support/Resistance:
The outer bands of the cloud serve as dynamic support and resistance, helping with stop-loss and take-profit placement.
Considerations & Limitations
Trend Lag: Since the strategy applies a smoothing function, entries may be slightly delayed compared to raw price action.
Volatile Market Conditions: In high-volatility markets, trend shifts may occur more frequently, leading to higher trade frequency.
Optimized for Trend Trading: This strategy is best suited for trending markets and may produce false signals in sideways (ranging) conditions.
Conclusion
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is a trend-following system based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator by ChartPrime. It integrates noise filtering, trend visualization, and gradient-based color shifts to help traders identify strong market trends and potential reversals.
By combining trend filtering with a multi-layered cloud system, the strategy provides clear trade signals while minimizing noise. Traders can use this strategy for long-term trend trading, momentum shifts, and support/resistance-based decision-making.
This strategy is a fully automated system that allows traders to execute long, short, or both directions, with customizable settings to adapt to different market conditions.
Credit for the original concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
Neural Pulse System [Alpha Extract]Neural Pulse System (NPS)
The Neural Pulse System (NPS) is a custom technical indicator that analyzes price action through a probabilistic lens, offering a dynamic view of bullish and bearish tendencies.
Unlike traditional binary classification models, NPS employs Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression with dynamically computed coefficients to produce a smooth probability output ranging from -1 to 1.
Paired with ATR-based bands, this indicator provides an intuitive and volatility-aware approach to trend analysis.
🔶 CALCULATION
The Neural Pulse System utilizes OLS regression to compute probabilities of bullish or bearish price action while incorporating ATR-based bands for volatility context:
Dynamic Coefficients: Coefficients are recalculated in real-time and scaled up to ensure the regression adapts to evolving market conditions.
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS): Uses OLS regression instead of gradient descent for more precise and efficient coefficient estimation.
ATR Bands: Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) bands serve as dynamic boundaries, framing the regression within market volatility.
Probability Output: Instead of a binary result, the output is a continuous probability curve (-1 to 1), helping traders gauge the strength of bullish or bearish momentum.
Formula:
OLS Regression = Line of best fit minimizing squared errors
Probability Signal = Transformed regression output scaled to -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands = Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) to frame price movements within market volatility
🔶 DETAILS
📊 Visual Features:
Probability Curve: Smooth probability signal ranging from -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands: Price action is constrained within volatility bands, preventing extreme deviations
Color-Coded Signals:
Blue to Green: Increasing probability of bullish momentum
Orange to Red: Increasing probability of bearish momentum
Interpretation:
Bullish Bias: Probability output consistently above 0 suggests a bullish trend.
Bearish Bias: Probability output consistently below 0 indicates bearish pressure.
Reversals: Extreme values near -1 or 1, followed by a move toward 0, may signal potential trend reversals.
🔶 EXAMPLES
📌 Trend Identification: Use the probability output to gauge trend direction.
📌Example: On a 1-hour chart, NPS moves from -0.5 to 0.8 as price breaks resistance, signaling a bullish trend.
Reversal Signals: Watch for probability extremes near -1 or 1 followed by a reversal toward 0.
Example: NPS hits 0.9, price touches the upper ATR band, then both retreat—indicating a potential pullback.
📌 Example snapshots:
Volatility Context: ATR bands help assess whether price action aligns with typical market conditions.
Example: During low volatility, the probability signal hovers near 0, and ATR bands tighten, suggesting a potential breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
ATR Period – Defines lookback length for ATR calculation (shorter = more responsive, longer = smoother).
ATR Multiplier – Adjusts band width for better volatility capture.
Regression Length – Controls how many bars feed into the coefficient calculation (longer = smoother, shorter = more reactive).
Scaling Factor – Adjusts the strength of regression coefficients.
Output Smoothing – Option to apply a moving average for a cleaner probability curve
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Uptrick Signal Density Cloud🟪 Introduction
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud is designed to track market direction and highlight potential reversals or shifts in momentum. It plots two smoothed lines on the chart and fills the space between them (often called a “cloud”). The bars on the chart change color depending on bullish or bearish conditions, and small triangles appear when certain reversal criteria are met. A metrics table displays real-time values for easy reference.
🟩 Why These Features Have Been Linked Together
1) Dual-Line Structure
Two separate lines represent shorter- and longer-term market tendencies. Linking them in one tool allows traders to view both near-term changes and the broader directional bias in a single glance.
2) Smoothed Averages
The script offers multiple smoothing methods—exponential, simple, hull, and an optimized approach—to reduce noise. Using more than one type of moving average can help balance responsiveness with stability.
3) Density Cloud Concept
Shading the region between the two lines highlights the gap or “thickness.” A wider gap typically signals stronger momentum, while a narrower gap could indicate a weakening trend or potential market indecision. When the cloud is too wide and crosses a certain threshold defined by the user, it indicates a possible reversal. When the cloud is too narrow it may indicate a potential breakout.
🟪 Why Use This Indicator
• Trend Visibility: The color-coded lines and bars make it easier to distinguish bullish from bearish conditions.
• Momentum Tracking: Thicker cloud regions suggest stronger separation between the faster and slower lines, potentially indicating robust momentum.
• Possible Reversal Alerts: Small triangles appear within thick zones when the indicator detects a crossover, drawing attention to key moments of potential trend change.
• Quick Reference Table: A metrics table shows line values, bullish or bearish status, and cloud thickness without needing to hover over chart elements.
🟩 Inputs
1) First Smoothing Length (length1)
Default: 14
Defines the lookback period for the faster line. Lower values make the line respond more quickly to price changes.
2) Second Smoothing Length (length2)
Default: 28
Defines the lookback period for the slower line or one of the moving averages in optimized mode. It generally responds more slowly than the faster line.
3) Extra Smoothing Length (extraLength)
Default: 50
A medium-term period commonly seen in technical analysis. In optimized mode, it helps add broader perspective to the combined lines.
4) Source (source)
Default: close
Specifies the price data (for example, open, high, low, or a custom source) used in the calculations.
5) Cloud Type (cloudType)
Options: Optimized, EMA, SMA, HMA
Determines the smoothing method used for the lines. “Optimized” blends multiple exponential averages at different lengths.
6) Cloud Thickness Threshold (thicknessThreshold)
Default: 0.5
Sets the minimum separation between the two lines to qualify as a “thick” zone, indicating potentially stronger momentum.
🟪 Core Components
1) Faster and Slower Lines
Each line is smoothed according to user preferences or the optimized technique. The faster line typically reacts more quickly, while the slower line provides a broader overview.
2) Filled Density Cloud
The space between the two lines is filled to visualize in which direction the market is trending.
3) Color-Coded Bars
Price bars adopt bullish or bearish colors based on which line is on top, providing an immediate sense of trend direction.
4) Reversal Triangles
When the cloud is thick (exceeding the threshold) and the lines cross in the opposite direction, small triangles appear, signaling a possible market shift.
5) Metrics Table
A compact table shows the current values of both lines, their bullish/bearish statuses, the cloud thickness, and whether the cloud is in a “reversal zone.”
🟩 Calculation Process
1) Raw Averages
Depending on the mode, standard exponential, simple, hull, or “optimized” exponential blends are calculated.
2) Optimized Averages (if selected)
The faster line is the average of three exponential moving averages using length1, length2, and extraLength.
The slower line similarly uses those same lengths multiplied by 1.5, then averages them together for broader smoothing.
3) Difference and Threshold
The absolute gap between the two lines is measured. When it exceeds thicknessThreshold, the cloud is considered thick.
4) Bullish or Bearish Determination
If sma1 (the faster line) is above sma2 (the slower line), conditions are deemed bullish; otherwise, they are bearish. This distinction is reflected in both bar colors and cloud shading.
5) Reversal Markers
In thick zones, a crossover triggers a triangle at the point of potential reversal, alerting traders to a possible trend change.
🟪 Smoothing Methods
1) Exponential (EMA)
Prioritizes recent data for quicker responsiveness.
2) Simple (SMA)
Takes a straightforward average of the chosen period, smoothing price action but often lagging more in volatile markets.
3) Hull (HMA)
Employs a specialized formula to reduce lag while maintaining smoothness.
4) Optimized (Blended Exponential)
Combines multiple EMA calculations to strike a balance between responsiveness and noise reduction.
🟩 Cloud Logic and Reversal Zones
Cloud thickness above the defined threshold typically signals exceeding momentum and can lead to a quick reversal. During these thick periods, if the width exceeds the defined threshold, small triangles mark potential reversal points. In order for the reversal shape to show, the color of the cloud has to be the opposite. So, for example, if the cloud is bearish, and exceeds momentum, defined by the user, a bullish signal appears. The opposite conditions for a bullish signal. This approach can help traders focus on notable changes rather than minor oscillations.
🟪 Bar Coloring and Layered Lines
Bars take on bullish or bearish tints, matching the faster line’s position relative to the slower line. The lines themselves are plotted multiple times with varying opacities, creating a layered, glowing look that enhances visibility without affecting calculations.
🟩 The Metrics Table
Located in the top-right corner of the chart, this table displays:
• SMA1 and SMA2 current values.
• Bullish or bearish alignment for each line.
• Cloud thickness.
• Reversal zone status (in or out of zone).
This numeric readout allows for a quick data check without hovering over the chart.
🟪 Why These Specific Moving Average Lengths Are Used
Default lengths of 14, 28, and 50 are common in technical analysis. Fourteen captures near-term price movement without overreacting. Twenty-eight, roughly double 14, provides a moderate smoothing level. Fifty is widely regarded as a medium-term benchmark. Multiplying each length by 1.5 for the slower line enhances separation when combined with the faster line.
🟩 Originality and Usefulness
• Multi-Layered Smoothing. The user can select from several moving average modes, including a unique “optimized” blend, possibly reducing random fluctuations in the market data.
• Combined Visual and Numeric Clarity. Bars, clouds, and a real-time table merge into a single interface, enabling efficient trend analysis.
• Focus on Significant Shifts. Thick cloud zones and triangles draw attention to potentially stronger momentum changes and plausible reversals.
• Flexible Across Markets. The adjustable lengths and threshold can be tuned to different asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto) and timeframes.
By integrating multiple technical concepts—cloud-based trend detection, color coding, reversal markers, and an immediate reference table—the Uptrick Signal Density Cloud aims to streamline chart reading and decision-making.
🟪 Additional Considerations
• Timeframes. Intraday, daily, and weekly charts each yield different signals. Adjust the smoothing lengths and threshold to suit specific trading horizons.
• Market Types. Though applicable across asset classes, parameters might need tweaking to address the volatility of commodities, forex pairs, or cryptocurrencies.
• Confirmation Tools. Pairing this indicator with volume studies or support/resistance analysis can improve the reliability of signals.
• Potential Limitations. No indicator is foolproof; sudden market shifts or choppy conditions may reduce accuracy. Cautious position sizing and risk management remain essential.
🟩 Disclaimers
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud relies on historical price data and may lag sudden moves or provide false positives in ranging conditions. Always combine it with other analytical techniques and sound risk management. This script is offered for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
🟪 Conclusion
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud blends trend identification, momentum assessment, and potential reversal alerts in a single, user-friendly tool. With customizable smoothing methods and a focus on cloud thickness, it visually highlights important market conditions. While it cannot guarantee predictive accuracy, it can serve as a comprehensive reference for traders seeking both a quick snapshot of the current trend and deeper insights into market dynamics.
Salience Theory Crypto Returns (AiBitcoinTrend)The Salience Theory Crypto Returns Indicator is a sophisticated tool rooted in behavioral finance, designed to identify trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency market. Based on research by Bordalo et al. (2012) and extended by Cai and Zhao (2022), it leverages salience theory—the tendency of investors, particularly retail traders, to overemphasize standout returns.
In the crypto market, dominated by sentiment-driven retail investors, salience effects are amplified. Attention disproportionately focused on certain cryptocurrencies often leads to temporary price surges, followed by reversals as the market stabilizes. This indicator quantifies these effects using a relative return salience measure, enabling traders to capitalize on price reversals and trends, offering a clear edge in navigating the volatile crypto landscape.
👽 How the Indicator Works
Salience Measure Calculation :
👾 The indicator calculates how much each cryptocurrency's return deviates from the average return of all cryptos over the selected ranking period (e.g., 21 days).
👾 This deviation is the salience measure.
👾 The more a return stands out (salient outcome), the higher the salience measure.
Ranking:
👾 Cryptos are ranked in ascending order based on their salience measures.
👾 Rank 1 (lowest salience) means the crypto is closer to the average return and is more predictable.
👾 Higher ranks indicate greater deviation and unpredictability.
Color Interpretation:
👾 Green: Low salience (closer to average) – Trending or Predictable.
👾 Red/Orange: High salience (far from average) – Overpriced/Unpredictable.
👾 Text Gradient (Teal to Light Blue): Helps visualize potential opportunities for mean reversion trades (i.e., cryptos that may return to equilibrium).
👽 Core Features
Salience Measure Calculation
The indicator calculates the salience measure for each cryptocurrency by evaluating how much its return deviates from the average market return over a user-defined ranking period. This measure helps identify which assets are trending predictably and which are likely to experience a reversal.
Dynamic Ranking System
Cryptocurrencies are dynamically ranked based on their salience measures. The ranking helps differentiate between:
Low Salience Cryptos (Green): These are trending or predictable assets.
High Salience Cryptos (Red): These are overpriced or deviating significantly from the average, signaling potential reversals.
👽 Deep Dive into the Core Mathematics
Salience Theory in Action
Salience theory explains how investors, particularly in the crypto market, tend to prefer assets with standout returns (salient outcomes). This behavior often leads to overpricing of assets with high positive returns and underpricing of those with standout negative returns. The indicator captures these deviations to anticipate mean reversions or trend continuations.
Salience Measure Calculation
// Calculate the average return
avgReturn = array.avg(returns)
// Calculate salience measure for each symbol
salienceMeasures = array.new_float()
for i = 0 to array.size(returns) - 1
ret = array.get(returns, i)
salienceMeasure = math.abs(ret - avgReturn) / (math.abs(ret) + math.abs(avgReturn) + 0.1)
array.push(salienceMeasures, salienceMeasure)
Dynamic Ranking
Cryptos are ranked in ascending order based on their salience measures:
Low Ranks: Cryptos with low salience (predictable, trending).
High Ranks: Cryptos with high salience (unpredictable, likely to revert).
👽 Applications
👾 Trend Identification
Identify cryptocurrencies that are currently trending with low salience measures (green). These assets are likely to continue their current direction, making them good candidates for trend-following strategies.
👾 Mean Reversion Trading
Cryptos with high salience measures (red to light blue) may be poised for a mean reversion. These assets are likely to correct back towards the market average.
👾 Reversal Signals
Anticipate potential reversals by focusing on high-ranked cryptos (red). These assets exhibit significant deviation and are prone to price corrections.
👽 Why It Works in Crypto
The cryptocurrency market is dominated by retail investors prone to sentiment-driven behavior. This leads to exaggerated price movements, making the salience effect a powerful predictor of reversals.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Ranking Period : Number of bars used to calculate the average return and salience measure.
Higher Values: Smooth out short-term volatility.
Lower Values: Make the ranking more sensitive to recent price movements.
👾 Number of Quantiles : Divide ranked assets into quantile groups (e.g., quintiles).
Higher Values: More detailed segmentation (deciles, percentiles).
Lower Values: Broader grouping (quintiles, quartiles).
👾 Portfolio Percentage : Percentage of the portfolio allocated to each selected asset.
Enter a percentage (e.g., 20 for 20%), automatically converted to a decimal (e.g., 0.20).
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Easy CotHow to Use the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report for Market Analysis
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that breaks down the open interest in various futures markets. It categorizes traders into three main groups: Commercials, Non-Commercials, and Retail Traders (Non-Reportable positions). Understanding and analyzing the COT report can provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals, especially in commodity, currency, and stock index futures.
Key Components of the COT Report
Commercials (Hedgers)
These are entities involved in the production or consumption of the underlying asset. For example, oil producers might hedge by selling oil futures to lock in prices, while airlines might buy futures to hedge against rising prices.
Commercials typically act as hedgers, so their positions can indicate the need for protection rather than speculative intent. Because they are less price-sensitive, their positions are usually opposite to the trend near market reversals.
Non-Commercials (Large Speculators)
This group includes hedge funds, asset managers, and large traders who take speculative positions to profit from price movements.
Non-Commercials are often trend-followers, meaning they increase long positions in an uptrend and short positions in a downtrend. When Non-Commercials become extremely bullish or bearish, it may signal a potential market reversal.
Retail Traders (Non-Reportable Positions)
These are smaller individual traders whose positions are too small to be reported individually.
Retail traders tend to be less experienced and are often on the wrong side of major market moves, so extreme positions by retail traders can sometimes signal a market turning point.
How to Interpret the COT Data
1. Identify Extreme Positions
Extreme Long or Short Positions: When a group reaches a historically extreme level of long or short positions, it often signals a potential reversal. For instance, if Non-Commercials are overwhelmingly long, it may indicate that the uptrend is overextended, and a reversal could be near.
Contrarian Indicator: Since Retail Traders are often on the wrong side, you may look for signals where they are extremely long or short, indicating a possible reversal in the opposite direction.
2. Look for Divergences
Divergence Between Groups: If Non-Commercials (speculators) and Retail Traders are moving in opposite directions, it could indicate that a trend is losing momentum and a reversal is possible.
Commercials vs. Non-Commercials: Commercials are often positioned opposite to Non-Commercials. If there’s a divergence where Non-Commercials are highly bullish, but Commercials are increasingly bearish, it might suggest a coming reversal.
3. Trend Confirmation and Reversal Signals
Trend Confirmation: If both Non-Commercials and Retail Traders are aligned in one direction, it might confirm the trend. However, keep in mind that such alignment may signal the later stages of a trend.
Reversal Signals: Look for signs when Non-Commercials are reaching a peak in one direction while Retail Traders peak in the opposite. Such situations can often indicate that the current trend is close to exhaustion.
Using the COT Report in Trading Strategies
Contrarian Trading Strategy
Extreme Positions as Reversal Signals: Use COT data to identify extreme positions. For instance, if Non-Commercials have a very high long position in a commodity, it might suggest that a bullish trend is overextended and a bearish reversal could be near.
Retail Trader Extremes: If Retail Traders are heavily long or short, consider taking the opposite position once you have additional confirmation signals (e.g., technical indicators).
Following the Trend with Large Speculators
Non-Commercials tend to be trend-followers, so if you see them increasingly long (or short) on an asset, it could be a signal to follow the trend until extreme levels are reached.
Using Divergences for Entry and Exit Points
Entry: If Non-Commercials are long, but Retail Traders are heavily short, consider entering a long position as it may confirm the trend.
Exit: If Non-Commercials begin to reduce their positions while Retail Traders increase theirs, it might be time to consider exiting, as the trend could be losing momentum.
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
ARIMA Indicator with Optional SmoothingOverview
The ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) Indicator is a powerful tool used to forecast future price movements by combining differencing, autoregressive, and moving average components. This indicator is designed to help traders identify trends and potential reversal points by analyzing the historical price data.
Key Features
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Utilizes past values to predict future prices.
Moving Average Component (MA): Averages past price differences to smooth out noise.
Differencing: Reduces non-stationarity in the time series data.
Optional Smoothing: Applies EMA to the ARIMA output for a smoother signal.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust AR and MA orders, differencing periods, and smoothing lengths.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Differencing: Subtracts previous prices from current prices to remove trends and seasonality, making the data stationary.
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Predicts future prices based on a linear combination of past values.
Moving Average Component (MA): Uses past forecast errors to refine future predictions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Applies more weight to recent prices, providing a smoother and more responsive signal.
How It Works
The ARIMA Indicator first calculates the differenced series to achieve stationarity. Then, it computes the simple moving average (SMA) of this differenced series. The indicator uses the AR and MA components to adjust the SMA, creating an approximation of the ARIMA model. Finally, an optional smoothing step using EMA can be applied to the ARIMA approximation to produce a smoother signal.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the ARIMA Indicator to:
Identify Trends: Detect emerging trends by observing the direction of the ARIMA line.
Spot Reversals: Look for divergences between the ARIMA line and the price to identify potential reversal points.
Generate Trading Signals: Use crossovers between the ARIMA line and the price to generate buy or sell signals.
Filter Noise: Enable the optional smoothing to filter out market noise and focus on significant price movements.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the ARIMA Indicator to your chart.
Adjust the input parameters to suit your trading strategy:
Set the SMA Length (e.g., 14).
Choose the Differencing Period (e.g., 1).
Define the AR Order (p) and MA Order (q) (e.g., 1).
Configure the Smoothing Length if smoothing is desired (e.g., 5).
Enable or disable smoothing as needed.
Observe the ARIMA line (blue) and compare it to the price chart.
Use the ARIMA line to identify trends and potential reversals.
Implement trading decisions based on the ARIMA line’s behavior relative to the price.
Divergence Toolkit (Real-Time)The Divergence Toolkit is designed to automatically detect divergences between the price of an underlying asset and any other @TradingView built-in or community-built indicator or script. This algorithm provides a comprehensive solution for identifying both regular and hidden divergences, empowering traders with valuable insights into potential trend reversals.
🔲 Methodology
Divergences occur when there is a disagreement between the price action of an asset and the corresponding indicator. Let's review the conditions for regular and hidden divergences.
Regular divergences indicate a potential reversal in the current trend.
Regular Bullish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a lower low.
Indicator - Forms a higher low.
Interpretation - Suggests that while the price is making new lows, the indicator is showing increasing strength, signaling a potential upward reversal.
Regular Bearish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a higher high.
Indicator - Forms a lower high.
Interpretation - Indicates that despite the price making new highs, the indicator is weakening, hinting at a potential downward reversal.
Hidden divergences indicate a potential continuation of the existing trend.
Hidden Bullish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a higher low.
Indicator - Forms a lower low.
Interpretation - Suggests that even though the price is retracing, the indicator shows increasing strength, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a lower high.
Indicator - Forms a higher high.
Interpretation - Indicates that despite a retracement in price, the indicator is still strong, signaling a potential continuation of the downward trend.
In both regular and hidden divergences, the key is to observe the relationship between the price action and the indicator. Divergences can provide valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations.
The methodology employed in this script involves the detection of divergences through conditional price levels rather than relying on detected pivots. Traditionally, divergences are created by identifying pivots in both the underlying asset and the oscillator. However, this script employs a trailing stop on the oscillator to detect potential swings, providing a real-time approach to identifying divergences, you may find more info about it here (SuperTrend Toolkit) . We detect swings or pivots simply by testing for crosses between the indicator and its trailing stop.
type oscillator
float o = Oscillator Value
float s = Trailing Stop Value
oscillator osc = oscillator.new()
bool l = ta.crossunder(osc.o, osc.s) => Utilized as a formed high
bool h = ta.crossover (osc.o, osc.s) => Utilized as a formed low
// Note: these conditions alone could cause repainting when they are met but canceled at a later time before the bar closes. Hence, we wait for a confirmed bar.
// The script also includes the option to immediately alert when the conditions are met, if you choose so.
By testing for conditional price levels, the script achieves similar outcomes without the delays associated with pivot-based methods.
type bar
float o = open
float h = high
float l = low
float c = close
bar b = bar.new()
bool hi = b.h < b.h => A higher price level has been created
bool lo = b.l > b.l => A lower price level has been created
// Note: These conditions do not check for certain price swings hence they may seldom result in inaccurate detection.
🔲 Setup Guide
A simple example on one of my public scripts, Standardized MACD
🔲 Utility
We may auto-detect divergences to spot trend reversals & continuations.
🔲 Settings
Source - Choose an oscillator source of which to base the Toolkit on.
Zeroing - The Mid-Line value of the oscillator, for example RSI & MFI use 50.
Sensitivity - Calibrates the sensitivity of which Divergencies are detected, higher values result in more detections but less accuracy.
Lifetime - Maximum timespan to detect a Divergence.
Repaint - Switched on, the script will trigger Divergencies as they happen in Real-Time, could cause repainting when the conditions are met but canceled at a later time before bar closes.
🔲 Alerts
Bearish Divergence
Bullish Divergence
Bearish Hidden Divergence
Bullish Hidden Divergence
As well as the option to trigger 'any alert' call.
The Divergence Toolkit provides traders with a dynamic tool for spotting potential trend reversals and continuations. Its innovative approach to real-time divergence detection enhances the timeliness of identifying market opportunities.
MTF ChartingKey Features
Visual Settings: The script allows customization of the visual aspects of the candlesticks. Traders can select colors for the bodies, borders, and wicks of bullish (rising) and bearish (falling) candles. This customization enhances readability and personal preference alignment.
Timeframe Settings: Traders can choose up to five different timeframes (labeled as HTF 1 to HTF 5) to display on the main chart. For each selected timeframe, traders can specify the number of candlesticks (bars) to display.
Candlestick Representation: The script redraws the candlesticks from the selected timeframes onto the main chart. This redrawing includes the high, low, opening, and closing prices of the candlesticks for each timeframe, providing a multi-dimensional view of market trends.
Labeling: The script includes an option to label each set of candlesticks with their respective timeframe for easy identification.
Practical Usage for Traders
Market Analysis: By displaying candlesticks from different timeframes, traders can analyze the market more comprehensively. For instance, while the main chart might show a short-term trend, the MTF charting can reveal a different longer-term trend, aiding in more informed decision-making.
Trend Confirmation: Viewing multiple timeframes simultaneously helps in confirming trends. If multiple timeframes show a similar trend, it might indicate a stronger, more reliable trend.
Identifying Reversals: The script can be useful in spotting potential trend reversals. For example, if the lower timeframe shows a bearish trend while the higher timeframe remains bullish, it might signal a potential reversal.
Customization for Strategy Alignment: Traders can customize the timeframes and the number of bars to align with their specific trading strategies, whether they are short-term day traders or long-term position traders.
Technical Aspects
The script uses arrays to store and manipulate candlestick data for each timeframe. This approach ensures efficient handling of data and updates.
Examples
- Display up to 5 timeframes on your main price chart. You are able to get a zoomed out view of the market without taking up too much screen real estate.
- Show a lower timeframe on your primary chart. In this instance maybe you primarily look at the 5 minute chart, but like to refine your entries on the 1 minute. Here you can do it with one chart.
- Look at how the daily candle is forming relative to the timeframe that you are currently on. You can more easily spot where price closed and opened on certain days.
Price Exhaustion IndicatorThe Price Exhaustion Indicator (PE) is a powerful tool designed to identify trends weakening and strengthening in the financial markets. It combines the concepts of Average True Range (ATR), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator to provide a comprehensive assessment of trend exhaustion levels. By analyzing these multiple indicators together, traders and investors can gain valuable insights into potential price reversals and long-term market highs and lows.
The aim of combining the ATR, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator, is to provide a comprehensive analysis of trend exhaustion. The ATR component helps assess the volatility and range of price movements, while the MACD offers insights into the convergence and divergence of moving averages. The Stochastic Oscillator measures the current price in relation to its range, providing further confirmation of trend exhaustion. The exhaustion value is derived by combining the MACD, ATR, and Stochastic Oscillator. The MACD value is divided by the ATR value, and then multiplied by the Stochastic Oscillator value. This calculation results in a single exhaustion value that reflects the combined influence of these three indicators.
Application
The Price Exhaustion Indicator utilizes a unique visual representation by incorporating a gradient color scheme. The exhaustion line dynamically changes color, ranging from white when close to the midline (40) to shades of purple as it approaches points of exhaustion (overbought at 100 and oversold at -20). As the exhaustion line approaches the color purple, this represents extreme market conditions and zones of weakened trends where reversals may occur. This color gradient serves as a visual cue, allowing users to quickly gauge the strength or weakness of the prevailing trend.
To further enhance its usability, the Price Exhaustion Indicator also includes circle plots that signify potential points of trend reversion. These plots appear when the exhaustion lines cross or enter the overbought and oversold zones. Red circle plots indicate potential short entry points, suggesting a weakening trend and the possibility of a downward price reversal. Conversely, green circle plots represent potential long entry points, indicating a strengthening trend and the potential for an upward price reversal.
Traders and investors can leverage the Price Exhaustion Indicator in various ways. It can be utilized as a trend-following tool, or a mean reversion tool. When the exhaustion line approaches the overbought or oversold zones, it suggests a weakening trend and the possibility of a price reversal, helping identify potential market tops and bottoms. This can guide traders in timing their entries or exits in anticipation of a trend shift.
Utility
The Price Exhaustion Indicator is particularly useful for long-term market analysis, as it focuses on identifying long-term market highs and lows. By capturing the gradual weakening or strengthening of a trend, it assists investors in making informed decisions about portfolio allocation, trend continuation, or potential reversals.
In summary, the Price Exhaustion Indicator is a comprehensive and visually intuitive tool that combines ATR, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator to identify trend exhaustion levels. By utilizing a gradient color scheme and circle plots, it offers traders and investors valuable insights into potential trend reversals and long-term market highs and lows. Its unique features make it a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, providing a deeper understanding of market dynamics and assisting in decision-making processes. Please note that future performance of any trading strategy is fundamentally unknowable, and past results do not guarantee future performance.
Volume Orderbook (Expo)█ Overview
The Volume Orderbook indicator is a volume analysis tool that visually resembles an order book. It's used for displaying trading volume data in a way that may be easier to interpret or more intuitive for certain traders, especially those familiar with order book analysis.
This indicator aggregate and display the total trading volume at different price levels over the entire range of data available on the chart, similar to how an order book displays current buy and sell orders at different price levels. However, unlike a real-time order book, it only considers historical trading data, not current bid and ask orders. This provides a 'historical order book' of sorts, indicating where most trading activities have taken place.
Summary
This is a volume-based indicator that shows the volume traded at specific price levels, highlighting areas of high and low activity.
█ Calculations
The algorithm operates by calculating the cumulative volume traded in each specific price zone within the range of data displayed on the chart. The length of each horizontal bar corresponds to the total volume of trades that occurred within that particular price zone.
In essence, when the price is in a specific zone, the volume is added to the bar representing that zone. A thicker bar implies a larger price zone, meaning that more volume is accumulated within that bar. Therefore, the thickness of the bar visually indicates the amount of trading activity that took place within the associated price zone.
█ How to use
The Volume Orderbook indicator serves as a beneficial tool for traders by identifying key price levels with a significant amount of trading activity. These high-volume areas could represent potential support or resistance levels due to the large number of orders situated there. The indicator's ability to spotlight these zones might be particularly advantageous in pinpointing breakouts or breakdowns when prices move beyond these high-volume regions. Moreover, the indicator could also assist traders in recognizing anomalies, such as when an unusually large volume of trades occurs at unconventional price levels.
Identify Key Price Levels: The indicator highlights high-volume areas where a significant number of trades have occurred, which could act as potential support or resistance levels. This is based on the notion that many traders have established positions at these prices, so these levels may serve as significant areas for market activity in the future.
Volume Nodes: These are the peaks (high-volume areas) and troughs (low-volume areas) seen on the indicator. High-volume nodes represent price levels at which a large amount of volume has been traded, typically areas of strong support or resistance. Conversely, low-volume nodes, where very little volume has been traded, indicate price levels that traders have shown little interest in the past and could potentially act as barriers to price. It's important to note that while high trading volume can imply significant market interest, it doesn't always mean the price will stop or reverse at these levels. Sometimes, prices can quickly move through high-volume areas if there are no current orders (demand) to match with the new orders (supply).
Analyze Market Psychology: The distribution of volume across different price levels can provide insights into the market's psychology, revealing the balance of power between buyers and sellers.
Highlight Potential Reversal Points: The indicator can help identify price levels with high traded volume where the market might be more likely to reverse since these levels have previously attracted significant interest from traders.
Validate Breakouts or Breakdowns: If the price moves convincingly past a high-volume node, it could indicate a strong trend, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown. Conversely, if the price struggles to move past a high-volume node, it could suggest that the trend is weak and might potentially reverse.
Trade Reversals: High-volume areas could also indicate potential turning points in the market. If the price reaches these levels and then starts to move away, it might suggest a possible price reversal.
Confirm Other Signals: As with all technical indicators, the "Volume Orderbook" should ideally be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis to confirm signals and increase the odds of successful trades.
Summary
The Volume Orderbook indicator allows traders to identify key price levels, analyze market psychology, highlight potential reversal points, validate breakouts or breakdowns, confirm other trading signals, and anticipate possible trade reversals, thereby serving as a robust tool for trading analysis.
█ Settings
Source: The user can select the source, the default of which is "close." This implies that volume is added to the volume order book when the closing price falls within a specific zone. Users can modify this to any indicator present on their chart. For example, if it's set to an SMA (Simple Moving Average) of 20, the volume will be added to the volume order book when the SMA 20 falls within the specific zone.
Rows and width: These settings allow users to adjust the representation of volume order book zones. "ROWS" pertains to the number of volume order book zones displayed, while "WIDTH" refers to the breadth of each zone.
Table and Grid: These settings allow traders to customize the Volume order-book's position and appearance. By adjusting the "left" parameter, users can shift the position of the Volume order book on the chart; a higher value pushes the order book further to the right. Additionally, users can enable "Table Border" and "Table Grid" options to add gridlines or borders to the Volume order book for easier viewing and interpretation.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Directional ATROANDA:EURUSD
TLDR: A custom volatility indicator that combines Average True Range with candle direction.
The Directional ATR (DATR) is an indicator that enhances the traditional Average True Range (ATR) by incorporating the direction of the candle (bullish or bearish).
This indicator is designed to help traders identify trend strength, potential trend reversals, and market volatility.
Key Features:
Trend Confirmation: Positive and increasing DATR values suggest a bullish trend, while negative and decreasing values indicate a bearish trend. A higher absolute DATR value signifies a stronger trend.
Trend Reversal: A change in the direction of the DATR from positive to negative or vice versa may signal a potential trend reversal.
Volatility: Like the standard ATR, the DATR can be used to gauge market volatility, with larger absolute values indicating higher volatility and smaller values suggesting lower volatility.
Divergence: Divergence between the price and the DATR could signal a potential weakening of the trend and an upcoming reversal.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Extreme DATR values can be used to identify overbought or oversold market conditions, signaling potential reversals or corrections.
Please note that the Directional ATR is just an indicator, and the interpretations provided are based on its underlying logic.
It is essential to combine the DATR with other technical analysis tools and test the indicator on historical data before using it in your trading strategy. Additionally, consider other factors such as risk management, and your own trading style.
Traders Dynamic Index(RSI) w/ Bull&Bear Control ZonesMomentum (RSI) is one of the most commonly used indicators for trading, but the vast majority of traders who use it, simply apply it as an oscillator to measure overbought and oversold conditions. However, momentum is much more complex than that and using a basic RSI fails to highlight these complexities.
What this highlights are some of the areas/zones that many people may not even know about or are unaware what the RSI can actually reveal about a particular trend.
What this indicator is showing:
Fast moving RSI (Green) - 1 period
Slow moving RSI (Red) - 9 period
Bollinger Bands
Relative Strength: 1 - 100
Bearish Control Zone: 30(Below) - 45
Bullish Control Zone: 60 - 70 (Above)
How this identifies trends:
Bear Market(Bearish Control Zone):
-Support: 20(Below) - 30
-Resistance: 55 - 65
-Momentum will test resistance but will fail to hold support at 50
Bull Market(Bullish Control Zone):
-Support: 45 - 50
-Resistance: 80 - 90(Above)
-Momentum will test support but will not continue past the 45 support
How this identifies reversals:
If a market is bullish, but loses support at 45 and tests 30, it has begun reversal. If a market is bearish, but breaks 60 and tests 70, it has begun reversal.
-A bull market reversal is confirmed if it finds resistance at 60 after testing bearish support
-A bear market reversal is confirmed if it finds support at 50 after testing bullish resistance
Slow & Fast RSI w/ Boll Bands:
-The Slow and Fast RSI crossovers will act as Intermediate trends within the Macro trend - Fast crosses slow, bullish. Slow cross fast, bearish.
-Use in confluence with the Macro trend.
-While under Bearish Control, the Slow RSI will act as resistance for the Fast RSI.
-While under Bullish Control, the Slow RSI will act as support for the Fast RSI.
-The two will have an impulsive crossover when the Macro trend reverses.
-The Bollinger Bands will act as a volatility gauge for potential approaching tests of Support & Resistances. (Expansions & Contractions)
This is an analog of TDIGM (GoldMinds)
-Added Bullish/Bearish Control Zones.
-Changed Fast RSI to Green and Slow RSI to Red.
Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT)Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) Indicator
The Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) is a powerful momentum and breakout detection tool designed to identify consecutive bullish and bearish closes, potential reversals, and breakout points. By tracking consecutive candle closes and plotting key levels, this indicator provides traders with visual cues to recognize trend continuations, reversals, and breakout opportunities effectively.
🔹 Key Features of CCT
1️⃣ Consecutive Move Lines (Green/Red/Yellow Lines)
Tracks three consecutive bullish or bearish closes.
If the fourth candle confirms the trend, a green line (bullish) or red line (bearish) is drawn.
If the fourth candle fails to confirm, a yellow line is drawn, signaling potential indecision.
Helps traders spot trend continuations and exhaustion points.
2️⃣ Reversal Detection Lines (Cyan & Light Red)
Identifies bullish and bearish reversals based on three higher/lower closes followed by a reversal.
A cyan line indicates a bullish reversal, while a light red line signals a bearish reversal.
Useful for traders looking for trend reversals and key turning points.
3️⃣ Breakout Line (Dynamic Resistance/Support Level)
Automatically calculates a breakout level based on the previous timeframe’s open and close.
Can be customized to use different timeframes (e.g., hourly, daily, weekly).
Acts as a dynamic resistance or support level, helping traders determine breakout opportunities.
🔍 How to Use the Indicator?
✅ 1. Spotting Trend Continuations with Consecutive Move Lines
Green Line: Three consecutive bullish closes followed by a fourth higher close.
🚀 Indicates strong buying pressure & potential uptrend continuation.
Red Line: Three consecutive bearish closes followed by a fourth lower close.
📉 Indicates strong selling pressure & potential downtrend continuation.
Yellow Line: Three consecutive closes, but the fourth candle fails to confirm.
⚠️ Signals possible indecision or trend exhaustion.
🔥 Best Strategy:
If a green line appears near support, consider long entries.
If a red line appears near resistance, consider short entries.
If a yellow line appears, wait for further confirmation before entering a trade.
✅ 2. Identifying Trend Reversals with Reversal Lines
Cyan Line: A bearish trend with three consecutive lower closes, followed by a bullish candle → Possible uptrend reversal.
Light Red Line: A bullish trend with three consecutive higher closes, followed by a bearish candle → Possible downtrend reversal.
🔥 Best Strategy:
If a cyan line appears near a major support level, look for long entry opportunities.
If a light red line appears near resistance, prepare for a potential short entry.
Use these lines in combination with candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bars) for confirmation.
✅ 3. Using the Breakout Line for Key Entry & Exit Points
The breakout line represents a key dynamic level (midpoint of the previous timeframe’s open & close).
If price breaks above the breakout line, it suggests bullish momentum → Consider long trades.
If price breaks below the breakout line, it suggests bearish momentum → Consider short trades.
🔥 Best Strategy:
Use the breakout line in combination with support & resistance levels.
When price approaches the breakout line, watch for confirmation candles before entering a trade.
The breakout line can also act as a stop-loss or take-profit level.
🎯 How to Utilize CCT Effectively?
✅ For Intraday Traders
Use the consecutive close tracker on a 5M or 15M chart to catch short-term trends.
Watch for reversal lines near major intraday support/resistance for quick scalping opportunities.
Use the breakout line from the hourly chart to identify potential trend shifts.
✅ For Swing Traders
Apply the indicator on 1H, 4H, or daily charts to track medium-term trends.
Look for green/red lines near key Fibonacci retracement or pivot levels.
Use reversal lines to detect early trend reversals before bigger moves occur.
✅ For Breakout Traders
Focus on the breakout line on higher timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, Daily) to identify strong momentum shifts.
If price crosses the breakout line with strong volume, enter trades with trend confirmation.
Place stop-loss just below the breakout level for controlled risk management.
🏆 Final Thoughts
The Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) is a powerful momentum and reversal indicator that helps traders:
✅ Identify strong trend continuations (green/red lines).
✅ Detect early reversal points (cyan/light red lines).
✅ Use a dynamic breakout line for better trade entries & exits.
Whether you’re an intraday trader, swing trader, or breakout trader, this tool can enhance your market insights and improve your trading decisions. 📈🔥
🚀 Try it out, and integrate it with your strategy to maximize its potential! 🚀
[blackcat] L2 Kiosotto IndicatorOVERVIEW
The Kiosotto Indicator is a versatile technical analysis tool designed for forex trading but applicable to other financial markets. It excels in detecting market reversals and trends without repainting, ensuring consistent and reliable signals. The indicator has evolved over time, with different versions focusing on specific aspects of market analysis.
KEY FEATURES
Reversal Detection: Identifies potential market reversals, crucial for traders looking to capitalize on turning points.
Trend Detection: Earlier versions focused on detecting trends, useful for traders who prefer to follow the market direction.
Non-Repainting: Signals remain consistent on the chart, providing reliable and consistent signals.
Normalization: Later versions, such as Normalized Kiosotto and Kiosotto_2025, incorporate normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
VERSIONS AND EVOLUTION
Early Versions: Focused on trend detection, useful for following market direction.
2 in 1 Kiosotto: Emphasizes reversal detection and is considered an improvement by users.
Normalized Versions (e.g., Kiosotto_2025, Kiosotto_3_2025): Introduce normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
HOW TO USE THE KIOSOTTO INDICATOR
Understanding Signals:
Reversals: Look for the indicator's signals that suggest a potential reversal, indicated by color changes, line crossings, or other visual cues.
Trends: Earlier versions might show stronger trending signals, indicated by the direction or slope of the indicator's lines.
Normalization Interpretation (for normalized versions):
Oversold: When the indicator hits the lower boundary, it might indicate an oversold condition, suggesting a potential buy signal.
Overbought: Hitting the upper boundary could signal an overbought condition, suggesting a potential sell signal.
PINE SCRIPT IMPLEMENTATION
The provided Pine Script code is a version of the Kiosotto indicator. Here's a detailed explanation of the code:
//@version=5
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false)
//Pine version of Kiosotto 2015 v4 Alert ms-nrp
// Input parameters
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period")
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level")
tsbul = 0.0
tsber = 0.0
hpres = 0.0
lpres = 9999999.0
for i = 0 to dev_period - 1
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period)
if high > hpres
hpres := high
tsbul := tsbul + rsi * close
if low < lpres
lpres := low
tsber := tsber + rsi * close
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0
// Plotting
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver)
EXPLANATION OF THE CODE
Indicator Definition:
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false): Defines the indicator with the name " L2 Kiosotto Indicator" and specifies that it should not be overlaid on the price chart.
Input Parameters:
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period"): Allows users to set the period for the deviation calculation.
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level"): Allows users to set the level for alerts.
Initialization:
tsbul = 0.0: Initializes the tsbul variable to 0.0.
tsber = 0.0: Initializes the tsber variable to 0.0.
hpres = 0.0: Initializes the hpres variable to 0.0.
lpres = 9999999.0: Initializes the lpres variable to a very high value.
Loop for Calculation:
The for loop iterates over the last dev_period bars.
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period): Calculates the RSI for the current bar.
if high > hpres: If the high price of the current bar is greater than hpres, update hpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsbul.
if low < lpres: If the low price of the current bar is less than lpres, update lpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsber.
Buffer Calculation:
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0: Calculates the first buffer as the ratio of tsbul to tsber if tsber is not zero.
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0: Calculates the second buffer as the ratio of tsber to tsbul if tsbul is not zero.
Plotting:
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the first buffer as a histogram with an aqua color.
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the second buffer as a histogram with a fuchsia color.
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver): Draws a horizontal line at the alerts_level with a silver color.
FUNCTIONALITY
The Kiosotto indicator calculates two buffers based on the RSI and price levels over a specified period. The buffers are plotted as histograms, and a horizontal line is drawn at the alerts level. The indicator helps traders identify potential reversals and trends by analyzing the relationship between the RSI and price levels.
ALGORITHMS
RSI Calculation:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements. It is calculated using the formula:
RSI=100− (1+RS) / 100
where RS is the ratio of the average gain to the average loss over the specified period.
Buffer Calculation:
The buffers are calculated as the ratio of the sum of RSI multiplied by the close price for high and low price conditions. This helps in identifying the balance between buying and selling pressure.
Signal Generation:
The indicator generates signals based on the values of the buffers and the alerts level. Traders can use these signals to make informed trading decisions, such as entering or exiting trades based on potential reversals or trends.
APPLICATION SCENARIOS
Reversal Trading: Traders can use the Kiosotto indicator to identify potential reversals by looking for significant changes in the buffer values or crossings of the alerts level.
Trend Following: The indicator can also be used to follow trends by analyzing the direction and slope of the buffer lines.
Oversold/Overbought Conditions: For normalized versions, traders can use the indicator to identify oversold and overbought conditions, which can provide buy or sell signals.
THANKS
Special thanks to the TradingView community and the original developers for their contributions and support in creating and refining the Kiosotto Indicator.
Fibonacci & Bollinger Bands StrategyThis strategy combines Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci retracement/extension levels to identify potential entry and exit points in the market. Here’s a breakdown of each component and how the strategy works:
1. Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of a simple moving average (SMA) and two standard deviations (upper and lower bands) plotted above and below the SMA. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility.
Purpose in Strategy:
The lower band represents an area where the market might be oversold.
The upper band represents an area where the market might be overbought.
The price crossing these bands suggests overextended market conditions, which can be used to identify potential reversals.
2. Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels:
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where price might find support or resistance as it retraces some of its previous movement. Common retracement levels are 61.8% and 78.6%.
Fibonacci extension levels are used to project areas where the price might extend after completing a retracement. These levels can help determine potential targets after a significant price movement.
Purpose in Strategy:
The strategy calculates the most recent swing high (fibHigh) and swing low (fibLow) over a lookback period. It then plots Fibonacci retracement and extension levels based on this range.
The Fibonacci levels are used as key support and resistance areas. The price approaching or touching these levels signals potential turning points in the market.
3. Entry Criteria:
A long position (buy) is triggered when:
The price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an oversold condition.
The price is near or above a Fibonacci extension level (calculated based on the most recent price swing).
This suggests that the price is potentially reaching a strong support area, where a reversal is likely.
4. Exit Criteria:
The long position is closed (exit trade) when either:
The price touches or crosses the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
The price reaches a Fibonacci retracement level or exceeds the recent swing high (fibHigh), indicating a potential exhaustion point or a reversal area.
5. General Strategy Logic:
The strategy takes advantage of market volatility (captured by the Bollinger Bands) and key support/resistance levels (determined by Fibonacci retracement and extension levels).
By combining these two techniques, the strategy identifies potential entry points at oversold levels with the expectation that the market will retrace or reverse upward, especially when near key Fibonacci extension levels.
Exit points are identified by potential overbought levels (Bollinger upper band) or key Fibonacci retracement levels, where the price might reverse downward.
6. Conditions to Execute the Strategy:
The Fibonacci levels are only calculated once the price has made a significant movement, establishing a recent high and low over a 50-bar period (which you can adjust). This ensures the Fibonacci levels are based on meaningful swings.
The entry and exit signals are filtered using both Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels to ensure that trades are not taken solely based on one indicator, thus reducing false signals.
Key Features of the Strategy:
Trend-following with reversal: It tries to catch reversals when the price hits extreme levels (Bollinger Bands) while respecting important Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic market adaptation: The strategy adapts to market conditions as it recalculates Fibonacci levels based on recent price swings and adjusts the Bollinger Bands for market volatility.
Confirmation through multiple indicators: It uses both the volatility-based signals from Bollinger Bands and the price structure from Fibonacci levels to confirm trade entries and exits.
Summary of the Strategy:
The strategy looks to buy low and sell high based on oversold/overbought signals from Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels that indicate key support and resistance zones.
By combining these two technical indicators, the strategy aims to reduce risk and increase accuracy by only entering trades when both indicators suggest favorable conditions.
Smart Money Oscillator [ChartPrime]The "Smart Money Oscillator " is a premium and discount zone oscillator with BOS and CHoCH built in for further analysis of price action. This indicator works by first determining the the premium and discount zones by using pivot points and high/lows. The top of this oscillator represents the current premium zone while the bottom half of this oscillator represents the discount zone. This oscillator functionally works like a stochastic oscillator with more sophisticated upper and lower bounds generated using smart money concept theories. We have included a moving average to allow the user to visualize the currant momentum in the oscillator. Another key feature we have included lagging divergences to help traders visualize potential reversal conditions.
Understanding the concepts of Premium and Discount zones, as well as Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH), is crucial for traders using the Smart Money Oscillator. These concepts are rooted in market structure analysis, which involves studying price levels and movements.
Premium Zone is where the price is considered to be relatively high or 'overbought'. In this zone, prices have risen significantly and may indicate that the asset is becoming overvalued, potentially leading to a reversal or slowdown in the upward trend.
The Discount Zone represents a 'discount' or 'oversold' area. Here, prices have fallen substantially, suggesting that the asset might be undervalued. This could be an indicator of a potential upward reversal or a pause in the downward trend.
Break of Structure (BoS) is about the continuation of a trend. In a bullish trend, a BoS is identified by the break of a recent higher high. In a bearish trend, it's the break of a recent Lower Low. BoS indicates that the trend is strong and likely to continue in its current direction. It's a sign of strength in the prevailing trend, whether up or down.
Change of Character (CHoCH) is an indication of a potential end to a trend. It occurs when there's a significant change in the market's behavior, contradicting the current trend. For example, in an uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows, a CHoCH may occur if a new high is formed but then is followed by an impulsive move downwards. This suggests that the bullish trend may be weakening and a bearish reversal could be imminent. CHoCH is essentially a sign of trend exhaustion and potential reversal.
With each consecutive BoS, the signal line of the oscillator will deepen in color. This allows you to visually see the strength of the current trend. The maximum strength of the trend is found by keeping track of the maximum number of consecutive BoS's within a window of 10. This calculation excludes periods without any BoS's to allow for a more stable max.
Quick Update is a feature that implements a more aggressive algorithm to update the highs and lows. Instead of updating the pivot points exclusively to update the range levels, it will attempt to use the current historical highs/lows to update the bounds. This results in a more responsive range at the cost of stability. There are pros and cons for both settings. With Quick Update disabled, the indicator will allow for strong reversals to register without the indicator maxing out. With Quick Update enabled, the indicator will show shorter term extremes with the risk of the signal being pinned to the extremities during strong trends or large movements. With Quick Update disabled, the oscillator prioritizes stability, using a more historical perspective to set its bounds. When Quick Update is enabled, the oscillator becomes more responsive, adjusting its bounds rapidly to reflect the latest market movements.
The Scale Offset feature allows the indicator to break the boundaries of the oscillator. This can be useful when the market is breaking highs or lows allowing the user to identify extremities in price. With Scale Offset disabled the oscillator will always remain inside of the boundaries because the extremities will be updated instantly. When this feature is enabled it will update the boundaries one step behind instead of updating it instantly. This allows the user to more easily see overbought and oversold conditions at the cost of incurring a single bar lag to the boundaries. Generally this is a good idea as this behavior makes the oscillator more sensitive to recent price spikes or drops, reflecting sudden market movements more accurately. It accentuates the extremities of the market conditions, potentially offering a more aggressive analysis. The main trade-off with the Scale Offset feature is between sensitivity and potential overreaction. It offers a more immediate and exaggerated reflection of market conditions but might also lead to misinterpretations in certain scenarios, especially in highly volatile markets.
Divergence is used to predict potential trend reversals. It occurs when the price of an asset and the reading of an oscillator move in opposite directions. This discrepancy can signal a weakening of the current trend and possibly indicate a potential reversal.
Divergence doesn't always lead to a trend reversal, but it's a warning sign that the current trend might be weakening. Divergence can sometimes give false signals, particularly in strongly trending markets where the oscillator may remain in overbought or oversold conditions for extended periods. The lagging nature of using pivot points to calculate divergences means that all divergences are limited by the pivot look forward input. The upside of using a longer look forward is that the divergences will be more accurate. The obvious con here is that it will be more delayed and might be useless by the time it appears. Its recommended to use the built in divergences as a way to learn how these are formed so you can make your own in real time.
By default, the oscillator uses a smoothing of 3 to allow for a more price like behavior while still being rather smooth compared to raw price data. Conversely, you can increase this value to make this indicator behave smoother. Something to keep in mind is that the amount of delay from real time is equal to half of the smoothing period.
We have included a verity of alerts in this indicator. Here is a list of all of the available alerts: Bullish BOS, Bearish BOS, Bullish CHoCH, Bearish CHoCH, Bullish Divergence, Hidden Bullish Divergence, Bearish Divergence, Hidden Bearish Divergence, Cross Over Average, Cross Under Average.
Below are all of the inputs and their tooltips to get you started:
Settings:
Smoothing: Specifies the degree of smoothing applied to the oscillator. Higher values result in smoother but potentially less responsive signals.
Average Length: Sets the length of the moving average applied to the oscillator, affecting its sensitivity and smoothness.
Pivot Length: Specifies the forward-looking length for pivot points, affecting how the oscillator anticipates future price movements. This directly impacts the delay in finding a pivot.
Max Length: Sets the maximum length to consider for calculating the highest values in the oscillator.
Min Length: Defines the minimum length for calculating the lowest values in the oscillator.
Quick Update: Activates a faster update mode for the oscillator's extremities, which may result in less stable range boundaries.
Scale Offset: When enabled, delays updating minimum and maximum values to enhance signal directionality, allowing the signal to occasionally exceed normal bounds.
Candle Color: Enables coloring of candles based on the current directional signal of the oscillator.
Labels:
Enable BOS/CHoCH Labels: Activates the display of BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) labels on the chart.
Visual Padding: Turns on additional visual padding at the top and bottom of the chart to accommodate labels. Determines the amount of visual padding added to the chart for label display.
Divergence:
Divergence Pivot: Defines the number of bars to the right of the pivot in divergence calculations, influencing the oscillator's responsiveness.
Divergence Pivot Forward: Directly impacts latency. Longer periods results in more accurate results at the sacrifice of delay.
Upper Range: Sets the upper range limit for divergence calculations, influencing the oscillator's sensitivity to larger trends.
Lower Range: Determines the lower range limit for divergence calculations, affecting the oscillator's sensitivity to shorter trends.
Symbol: Allows selection of the label style for divergence indicators, with options for text or symbolic representation.
Regular Bullish: Activates the detection and marking of regular bullish divergences in the oscillator.
Hidden Bullish: Enables the identification and display of hidden bullish divergences.
Regular Bearish: Turns on the feature to detect and highlight regular bearish divergences.
Hidden Bearish: Activates the functionality for detecting and displaying hidden bearish divergences.
Color:
Bullish: Determines the minimum/maximum color gradient for bullish signals, impacting the chart's visual appearance.
Bearish: Defines the minimum/maximum color gradient for bearish signals, affecting their visual representation.
Average: Specifies the color for the average line of the oscillator, enhancing chart readability.
CHoCH: Sets the color for bullish/bearish CHoCH (Change of Character) signals.
Premium/Discount: Determines the color for the premium/discount zone in the oscillator's visual representation.
Text Color: Sets the color for the text in BoS/CHoCH labels.
Regular Bullish: Defines the color used to represent regular bullish divergences.
Hidden Bullish: Specifies the color for hidden bullish divergences.
Regular Bearish: Determines the color for hidden bearish divergences.
Divergence Text Color: Specifies the color for the text in divergence labels.
Swing based support and resistanceThis indicator provided here is for identifying swing-based support and resistance levels. It uses two swing lengths, which can be adjusted by the user, to identify swings in the price data. For each swing length, the script calculates the support level as the low of the swing if the trend is up, or the high of the swing if the trend is down. It then plots the support and resistance levels on the chart, along with buy and sell signals.
The buy and sell signals are generated by comparing the current closing price to the support and resistance levels. If the closing price is above the support level, the script plots a buy signal. If the closing price is below the level, the script plots a sell signal.
To use the script, you would first need to add it to your trading platform. Once it is added, you can configure the swing lengths and other parameters to suit your trading style. You can then apply the script to a chart and begin using the support and resistance levels and buy and sell signals to make trading decisions.
Points to be noted while using the indicator:
# The script is designed to be used on a daily chart. However, you can also use it on other timeframes, such as weekly or monthly charts.
# The swing lengths that you choose will depend on your trading style. If you are a swing trader, you may want to use longer swing lengths. If you are a day trader, you may want to use shorter swing lengths.
# Remember, the support and resistance levels generated by the script are not exact price points. They are rather zones where demand and supply can change. Therefore, you should always use other technical analysis tools and indicators to confirm your trading decisions.
# Overall, the script is a useful tool for identifying swing-based support and resistance levels. It can be used by traders of all experience levels to generate trading ideas and improve their trading performance.
To use the swing-based support and resistance indicator with respect to price, you can follow these steps:
=> Identify the support and resistance levels that have been generated by the indicator.
=> Look for price action that is taking place near these levels.
=> If the price is above the level, look for bullish reversals or continuations.
=> If the price is below the level, look for bearish reversals or continuations.
For Example,
=> Bullish reversal: The price is above the level and forms a bullish candlestick pattern, such as a bullish hammer or engulfing pattern.
=> Bullish continuation: The price is above the level and bounces off of the level.
=> Bearish reversal: The price is below the level and forms a bearish candlestick pattern, such as a bearish hammer or engulfing pattern.
=> Bearish continuation: The price is below the level and rejects the level.
$$ You can also use the indicator to identify potential trading entry and exit points. For example, you could enter a long trade when the price breaks above a resistance level and exit the trade when the price retraces to the resistance level. Or, you could enter a short trade when the price breaks below a support level and exit the trade when the price rallies to the support level.
This swing-based support and resistance indicator is just one tool that you can use to trade. You should always use other technical analysis tools and indicators, such as price action and trend analysis, to confirm your trading decisions.
Additionally:
=> Be aware of the overall trend direction. If the trend is up, you should be looking for bullish reversals or continuations. If the trend is down, you should be looking for bearish reversals or continuations.
=> Use a stop loss order to limit your risk on each trade.
=> Consider using a position sizing strategy to manage your risk.
=> Do your own research and backtest any trading strategy before using it in a live trading environment.
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Moving Average Contrarian IndicatorThis indicator is designed to identify potential turning points in the market. By measuring the distance between the price and a moving average, and normalizing it, the MACI provides valuable insights into market sentiment and potential reversals. In this article, we will explore the calculation, interpretation, and practical applications of the MACI, along with its potential limitations.
The MACI is calculated in several steps. First, a moving average is computed using a user-defined length, representing the average price over the specified period. The distance between the current price and the moving average is then determined. This distance is normalized using the highest and lowest distances observed within the chosen length, resulting in a value between 0 and 100. Higher MACI values indicate that the price is relatively far from the moving average, potentially signaling an overextension, while lower values suggest price consolidation or convergence with the moving average.
Altering the parameters of the Moving Average Contrarian Indicator can provide traders with additional flexibility and adaptability to suit different market conditions and trading styles. By adjusting the length parameter, traders can customize the sensitivity of the indicator to price movements. A shorter length may result in more frequent and responsive signals, which can be useful for short-term traders aiming to capture quick price reversals. On the other hand, a longer length may provide smoother signals, suited for traders who prefer to focus on longer-term trends and are less concerned with minor fluctuations. Experimenting with different parameter values allows traders to fine-tune the indicator to align with their preferred trading timeframes and risk tolerance. However, it is essential to strike a balance and avoid excessive parameter adjustments that may lead to over-optimization or curve fitting. Regular evaluation and optimization based on historical data and real-time market observations can help identify the most suitable parameter values for optimal performance.
The coloration of the Moving Average Contrarian Indicator provides visual cues that assist traders in interpreting its signals. The background color, set based on the indicator's values, adds an additional layer of context to the chart. When the indicator is indicating bullish conditions, the background color is set to lime, suggesting a favorable environment for long positions. Conversely, when the indicator signals bearish conditions, the background color is set to fuchsia, indicating a potential advantage for short positions. In neutral or transitional periods, the background color is set to yellow, indicating caution and the absence of a clear bias.
The bar color complements the histogram and provides additional visual clarity. When the MACI value is greater than the MACI SMA value and exceeds the threshold of 30, the bars are colored lime, signaling potential bullish conditions. Conversely, when the MACI value is below the MACI SMA value and falls below the threshold of 70, the bars are colored fuchsia, indicating potential bearish conditions. For values that fall between these thresholds, the bars are colored yellow, highlighting a neutral or transitional state.
Practical Uses and Strategies:
The MACI offers traders and analysts valuable insights into market dynamics and potential reversal points. When the MACI is above its moving average and above a predefined threshold (e.g., 30), it suggests that prices have deviated significantly from the average and may be overbought. This could serve as an early indication for potential short-selling opportunities or taking profits on existing long positions. Conversely, when the MACI is below its moving average and below a predefined threshold (e.g., 70), it suggests oversold conditions, potentially signaling a buying opportunity. Traders can combine MACI with other technical indicators or price patterns to further refine their trading strategies.
The MACI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential market reversals. When the MACI reaches extreme levels, such as above 70 or below 30, it indicates overbought or oversold conditions, respectively. Traders can use these signals to anticipate price reversals and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For example, when the MACI enters the overbought zone, traders may consider initiating short positions or tightening stop-loss levels on existing long positions. Conversely, when the MACI enters the oversold zone, it may indicate a buying opportunity, prompting traders to consider initiating long positions or loosening stop-loss levels.
The MACI can also be used in conjunction with price action to identify potential divergence patterns. Divergence occurs when the MACI and price move in opposite directions. For instance, if the price is making higher highs while the MACI is making lower highs, it suggests a bearish divergence, indicating a potential trend reversal. Conversely, if the price is making lower lows while the MACI is making higher lows, it suggests a bullish divergence, signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside. Traders can use these divergence patterns as additional confirmation signals when making trading decisions.
Limitations:
-- Sideways and Choppy Markets : The MACI performs best in trending markets where price movements are more pronounced. In sideways or choppy markets with limited directional bias, the MACI may generate false signals or provide less reliable indications. Traders should exercise caution when relying solely on the MACI in such market conditions and consider incorporating additional analysis techniques or filters to confirm potential signals.
-- Lagging Indicator : The MACI is a lagging indicator, as it relies on moving averages and historical price data. It may not provide timely signals for very short-term trading or capturing rapid price movements. Traders should be aware that there may be a delay between the occurrence of a signal and its confirmation by the MACI.
-- False Signals : Like any technical indicator, the MACI is not immune to false signals. It is essential to use the MACI in conjunction with other technical indicators, chart patterns, or fundamental analysis to increase the probability of accurate predictions. Combining multiple confirmation signals can help filter out false signals and enhance the overall reliability of trading decisions.
-- Market Conditions : It's important to consider that the effectiveness of the MACI may vary across different markets and asset classes. Each market has its own characteristics, and what works well in one market may not work as effectively in another. Traders should evaluate the performance of the MACI within their specific trading environment and adapt their strategies accordingly.
This indicator can be a valuable addition to a trader's toolkit, offering insights into potential entry and exit points. However, it should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques and should not be relied upon as a standalone trading signal. Understanding its calculation, interpreting its values, and considering its limitations will empower traders to make more informed decisions in their pursuit of trading success.
