Local Model Kalman Market ModeIntroduction
Heyo guys, I made a new (repainting) indicator called Local Model Kalman Market Mode.
I created it, because I wanted a reliable market mode filter for a potential mean-reversion strategy (e. g. BB Scalping).
On the screenshot you can see an example of how to use it in a BB strategy.
E.g. you would enter long when you have bullish divergence, price is under lower BB, price is under PoC and this indicator here shows range-bound market phase.
You would exit long on cross of the middle band.
Description
The indicator attempts to model the underlying market using different local models (i.e., trending, range-bound, and choppy) and combines them using the T3 Six Pole Kalman Filter to generate an overall estimate of the market.
The Fisher Transform is applied on the price to reach a Gaussian distribution, which increases the accuracy of the indicator itself.
The script first defines state variables for each local model, which include trend direction, trend strength, upper and lower bounds of the range, volatility of the range, level of choppiness, and strength of noise.
Then, likelihood functions are defined for each local model based on the state variables.
Next, the script calculates weights for each local model based on their likelihoods and uses them to calculate state variables for the overall estimate.
Finally, the script combines the state variables using the T3 Six Pole Kalman Filter to generate the overall estimate of the market, which is plotted in blue.
Fundamental Knowledge
To understand the explanation of the indicator and the script, there are a few fundamental concepts that you need to know:
Market: A market is a place where buyers and sellers come together to exchange goods or services.
In the context of trading, the market refers to the exchange where financial instruments such as stocks, currencies, and commodities are bought and sold.
Local models: Local models are statistical models that attempt to capture the characteristics of a particular market regime.
For example, a trending market may have different characteristics than a range-bound market or a choppy market.
The indicator uses different local models to capture the different market regimes.
Trend direction and strength: The trend direction refers to the direction in which the market is moving, either up or down.
The trend strength refers to the magnitude of the trend and how likely it is to continue.
Range-bound market: A range-bound market is a market where prices are trading within a specific range, with a clear upper and lower bound.
Choppiness: Choppiness refers to the degree of irregularity in price movements, often seen in sideways or range-bound markets.
Volatility: Volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of an asset over time. High volatility implies larger price swings, while low volatility implies smaller price swings.
Kalman filter: A Kalman filter is a mathematical algorithm used to estimate an unknown variable from a series of noisy measurements.
In the context of the indicator, the Kalman filter is used to generate an overall estimate of the market by combining the local models.
T3 Six Pole Kalman Filter: The T3 Six Pole Kalman Filter is a specific type of Kalman filter that is used to smooth and filter time-series data, such as the price data of a financial instrument.
Fisher Transform: The Fisher Transform is a mathematical formula used to transform any probability distribution into a Gaussian normal distribution. It is commonly used in technical analysis to transform non-Gaussian indicators into ones that are more suitable for statistical analysis.
By understanding these fundamental concepts, you should have a basic understanding of how the indicator works and how it generates an overall estimate of the market.
Usage
You can use this indicator on every timeframe.
Users can customize the parameters of the T3 Six Pole Kalman Filter (T3 length, alpha, beta, gamma, and delta) using input functions.
Try out different parameter combinations and use the one you like most.
Thank you for checking this out. Leave me a comment or boost the script, when you wanna support me! 👌
--
Credits to:
▪@HPotter - Fisher Transform
▪@loxx - T3
▪ChatGPT - Helped me to make the research for this indicator and helped to build the core algorithm.
在腳本中搜尋"scalping"
WillyCycle Oscillator&DoubleMa/ErkOzi/version 2This oscillator can be customized by adjusting the length of the Willy period, the length of Willy's EMA, and the upper and lower bands. The upper and lower bands help traders identify overbought and oversold conditions.
The WillyCycle Oscillator is a technical analysis tool used to measure the momentum of an asset and identify overbought and oversold conditions based on the price range of a specific period and calculating the percentage of the closing price in that range. The WillyCycle Oscillator consists of two main components: Willy and Willy's EMA. The Willy component is the percentage calculation of the asset's price range, and Willy's EMA is the exponential moving average of the Willy component. Willy's EMA is used to smooth out the Willy component and make it easier to identify trends.
*** When the oscillator is above the 80 level, it indicates that the asset is overbought, and when it is below the 20 level, it indicates that the asset is oversold. Traders can use these levels as a guide for buying and selling signals.
***Traders can also use the WillyCycle Oscillator to identify trend reversals. When the oscillator rises above the 50 level, it signals a potential uptrend, and when it falls below the 50 level, it signals a potential downtrend.
***I have added a smoothed line option to the WillyCycle Oscillator, which allows traders to see a more smoothed version of the oscillator. This option can be enabled by setting the 'smoothed' input to true. The default value for the smoothed line is 15.
***We have also changed the value range of the WillyCycle Oscillator from -100 to 100 to 0 to 100. This change was made to make the oscillator more user-friendly and easier to read.
In conclusion, the WillyCycle Oscillator is a versatile tool that can help traders identify potential trading opportunities and trend reversals. Traders can customize the oscillator to fit their trading style and preferences. Adding a smoothed line and changing the value range can enhance the user experience and make the oscillator easier to use.
Traffic Light Signal - POSTraffic Light Signal (TLS) is simple and most easy setup to trade.
How The Traffic Light Signal Works ?
First You have to find a Green and red candle pair or red and green candle pair then mark there highest high and lowest low with the help of line tool. if High breaks go for Buy and when low breaks go Sell. Avoid Doji candle Pair to get better result.
Additonal Indicator Used :
Relative Strength Index : To find Overbought and Oversold Zones
How to Take trade with The help of TLS indicator :
The Indicator detects the Pair candle and detect whether the pair bar high or low cross over or cross under and display the signal over the chart.
if Triangle UP Shape Appears on chart , Once the high of the signal candle breaks take entry for buy side StopLoss will be low of the signal candle.
if Triangle Down Shape Appears on chart, once the low of the signal candle breaks take entry for Short side StopLoss will be low of the signal Candle.
Always Try to take profit 1:2 or as per your risk rewards.
Note :
if you are scalping then avoid first and Last Bar of day in 1 min and 3 min timeframe only
if you are Intraday Trader Use 5 Min and 15 Min max for this strategy.
if your are positional Trader use 1hr or 1 day Timeframe to trade.
No more than 3 trades to trade on this indicator.
Use Additional Indicator for Accuracy
Indicator works on Crypto , Equity , Futures , Options.
Hope you like this if any issue with this indicator ask below or message me.
Thanks and Regards,
TradingTail
ADD 2This is a modification to the original ADD script by Tom1trader
I added the option to choose the timeframe, moving average type and length.
Note from the original script:
"This is the NYSE Advancers - decliners which the SPX pretty much follows. You can chart it like any index (ADD -NYSE $ADV MINUS $DECL) but I find it more useful in a separate panel with colors for direction.
The level gives an idea of days move (example: plus or minus 500 is not much movement through the session) but I follow the direction as when more stocks advance (green) or decline (red) the index tends to track it pretty closely.
On SPX , SPY and correlates - very useful for intra-day trading (Scalping or 0DTE option trades) but not for higher time frames at all. If you chart the ADD in a chart and compare 5 minute to daily you will see what I mean."
Drip's 11am rule breakout/breakdown (OG)This indicator is based on Drippy2hard's 11:30 am (EST) rule.
In simple terms the rule states that:
If a trending stock makes a new high after 11:15-11:30am EST, there is a 75% chance of closing within 1% of High of day (HOD). Same applies for downtrend.
Please note:
Not all stocks will abide by this, this is backtested on stocks with avg daily volume > 2M and mostly mega cap stocks which have liquid option chains. The backtesting results show very promising results on $SPY/ $SPX so it is advised to trade $SPY/ $SPX using this indicator over any other stocks.
Although the name suggests 11 AM rule, the backtesting shows higher win rate for 11:30 AM so please select that option in the settings.
As always, no indicator is perfect and please follow your risk management and understand that indicators are tools to aid your trading and by no means they are supposed to work as intended in all scenarios
How the script works
1. A HOD/LOD zone is identified based on regular session (9:30am-11:30am) EST. Users can select cut off time to 11AM in the settings. These will be indicated on chart after 11/11:30pm depending on what user selected
2. If the stock breaks above the HOD and the ADX is showing strong momentum to upside then the candlesticks will start showing neon color, if the trend based on moving averages and candle closing is also bullish then the indicator will show trend arrows under the candle indicating to stay in the trade. Same applies for break below LOD, only the colors will change to represent downtrend.
3. An optional cloud is also shown if the trend is developed. The cloud can be used as trail stop or re entry point as long as it is displayed on chart
How to use the indicator in trading
In general, there are three scenarios which are trade worthy
1. If the stocks breaks out above the HOD zone and up trend develops or the stocks breaks below the LOD zone and downtrend develops. See images below
2. You can also use the LOD/HOD zone as demand/ supply if the Price action is range bound like this example below
Thanks for reading, please give thumbs up if you like using it! Please post comments on how to use it.
"The Stocashi" - Stochastic RSI + Heikin-AshiWhat up guys and welcome to the coffee shop. I have a special little tool for you today to throw in your toolbox. This one is a freebie.
This is the Stochastic RS-Heiken-Ashi "The Stocashi"
This is the stochastic RSI built to look like Heikin-Ashi candles.
a lot of people have trouble using the stochastic indicator because of its ability to look very choppy at its edges instead of having nice curves or arcs to its form when you use it on scalping time frames it ends up being very pointed and you can't really tell when the bands turn over if you're using a stochastic Ribbon or you can't tell when it's actually moving in a particular direction if you're just using the K and the D line.
This new format of Presentation seeks to get you to have a better visual representation of what the stochastic is actually doing.
It's long been noted that Heikin-Ashi do a very good job of representing momentum in a price so using it on something that is erratic as the stochastic indicator seems like a plausible idea.
The strategy is simple because you use it exactly the same way you've always used the stochastic indicator except now you can look for the full color of the candle.
this one uses a gradient color setup for the candle so when the candle is fully red then you have a confirmed downtrend and when the candle is fully green you have a confirmed up trend of the stochastic however if, you a combination of the two colors inside of one candle then you do not have a confirmed direction of the stochastic.
the strategy is simple for the stochastic and that you need to know your overall trend. if you are in an uptrend you are waiting for the stochastic to reach bottom and start curving up.
if you are in a downtrend you are waiting for the stochastic to reach its top or its peak and curve down.
In an uptrend you want to make sure that the stochastic is making consistently higher lows just like price should be. if at any moment it makes a lower low then you know you have a problem with your Trend and you should consider exiting.
The opposite is true for a downtrend. In a downtrend you want to make sure you have lower highs. if at any given moment you end up with a higher high than you know you have a problem with your Trend and it's probably ending so you should consider exiting.
The stochastic indicator done as he can actually candles also does a very good job of telling you when there is a change of character. In that moment when the change of character shows up you simply wait until your trend and your price start to match up.
You can also use the stochastic indicator in this format to find divergences the same way you would on the relative strength index against your price highs and price lows so Divergence trading is visually a little bit easier with this tool.
The settings for the K percent D percent RSI length and stochastic length can be adjusted at will so be sure to study the history of the stochastic and find the good settings for your trading strategy.
Open Interest with Heikin Ashi candlesA simple modification of the Tradingview free script of futures Open Interest to Heikin Ashi candles. It displays the volume of the Open Interest futures contracts by applying the HA formula.
I use it to clear out the "noise" of up's and down's especially in intraday small time frames when I am scalping in crypto.
Background color can be turned on/off.
Just to give back a little something to a community that gave me A LOT!
Let me know what you think and if you need anything to add.
Have fun :)
P.S. The way I use it is to try to find traps in the market and take (fast) advantage of them. When the OI are going up really fast in small time frames (which means either longs or shorts are going up) this creates a good opportunity for a squeeze (the trap).
Of course I use other indicators/oscillators to determine that but it gets me on my toes to look for... something ;)
Cuck WickAcknowledgement
This indicator is dedicated to my friend Alexandru who saved me from one of these scam cuck wicks which almost liquidated me.
Alexandru is one of the best scalpers out there and he always nails his entries at the tip of these wicks.
This inspired me to create this indicator.
What's a cuck wick?
It's that fast stop-hunting wick that cucks everyone by triggering their stop-loss and liquidation.
Liquidity is the lifeblood of stock market and liquidation is the process that moves price.
This indicator will identify when a liquidity pool is getting raided to trigger buy or sell stops, they are also know as stop-hunts.
How does it work?
When market consolidates in one direction, it builds up liquidity zones.
Market maker will break out of these consolidation phases by having dramatic price action to either pump or dump to raid these liquidity zones.
This is also called stop-hunts or liquidity raids. After that it will start reversing back to the opposite direction.
This is most noticeable by the length of the wick of a given candle in a very short amount of time and the total size of the candle.
This indicator highlights them accordingly.
Settings
Wick and Candle ratio works with default values but finetune will enhance user experience and usability.
Wick Ratio: Size of the wick compared to body of a candle.
Adjust this to higher ratio on smaller timeframe or smaller ratio on bigger timeframe to your trading style to spot a trend reversal.
Candle Ratio: The size of the candle, by default it is 0.75% of the current price.
For example, if BTC is at 20,000 then the size of the candle has to be minimum 150.
This can be fine tuned to bigger candle size on higher time frames or smaller for shorter timeframe depending on the trade type.
How to use it?
This indicator will identify when a liquidity pool is getting raided to trigger buy or sell stops, they are also know as stop-hunts. It can be used of its own for scalping but there are also a good few indicators which would most definitely help to confluence bigger timeframe trades.
Scalp
This indicator shows the most chaotic moments in price action; therefore it works best on smaller timeframes, ideally 3 or 5 minute candle.
- Wait for the market to start pumping or dumping.
- Current candle will change colour (Bullish/Bearish).
- Enter trade as soon as price starts to reverse back.
- Place the stop-loss outside of the current candle.
- Wait for the cuck wick to appear as confirmation.
Price is very chaotic during a liquidity stop-hunt raid but there is a saying:
"In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity" - Sun-Tzu
Since this is a very high risk, high reward strategy; it is advised to practice on paper trade first.
Practice until perfection and this indicator would be the perfect bread and butter scalp confirmation.
Fair Value Gap
FVG strategy is the most accurate in conjunction with this indicator.
Normally price would reverse after consuming fair value gaps but often it's difficult to know when and where.
This indicator would identify those crucial entry points for reverse course direction of the price action.
Support and Resistance
This indicator can also be used in conjunction with support and resistance lines.
Generally the cuck will go deep below the support or spike much further up the resistance lines to liquidate positions.
Bollinger Bands
Bolling Bands strategy would be to wait until the price breaks out of the band.
Once the wick is formed, it would be an ideal entry point.
Script change
This is an open-source script and feel free to modify according to your need and to amplify your existing strategy.
Multiple Indicators ScreenerThis is a stock screener that incorporates open source code by QuantNomad, with the addition of slow and fast EMA pullback and crossover functions. It is designed for intraday scalping and quick trades, using 1, 3, and 5 minute candles. The RSI, Supertrend, and ADX indicators help to confirm trade setups, and the use of discount, premium, and equilibrium zones can improve results. With the ability to screen 40 stocks, the screener ensures that no quick action is missed. ]
Disclaimer
It is important to note that any trade initiated using this screener should be well researched, as the creator is not responsible for any profit or loss incurred.
Up/Down Volume + DeltaThis simple script is a modification of Tradingview's Up/Down Volume. In this case the delta between the buys and sells is plotted in columns style above the regular up/down volume columns. This gives a better visual of the dominant volume and is useful to spot divergences in tops and bottoms.
The indicators uses data from lower timeframe volumes. By default the lowest timeframe it will use is 1m, but for those that have a premium account you can try using a custom LTF set to seconds when scalping on the 1m chart.
Enjoy :)
Strategy Myth-Busting #13 - MultiEMA+BXTrender - [SP/MYN]#13 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the "I Found The Highest Win Rate 15 Minute Scalping Trading Strategy Ever" strategy from "TradeIQ" who claims to have backtested this manually and achieved 410% profit over 100 trades within 6 months on Natural Gas with 79 Wins / 21 Losses with an astounding 3.96% Max Drawdown.
It was quite challenging emulating the same subjective EMA pullback logic along with the dependent sequencing of events necessary to enter a trade and we might improve on this to make it better in the future. Super kudos to @spdoinkal who helped with this strategy. If you have ideas on how this could be improved on, would love to hear about them.
As is, we were unable to substantiate similar results to what was manually backtested by TradeIQ, we do however see potential here. Given some optimizations and improvements to the the entry logic accommodating for a wider more variable margin after pullbacks reestablish above/below the fast EMA we think the performance of this strategy could certainly be improved upon. So not sure if we have totally myth busted this completely at this point in time.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
3 EMA's (Trading View Internal)
B-Xtrender by Puppytherapy
Three separate (21), (89) and (200) EMA's are used as a means to confirm and keep entry out of ranged markets. When the 3 EMA's are all clumped up together with no distance it's indicative of a flat or ranged market. This is then used in conjunction with B-XTrender as a means to detect the trend direction. B-XTrender which is a trend following indicator originally published in the IFTA Journal by Bharat Jhunjhunwala. It uses both a short and long term lengths along with a compound EMA used as a means to smooth and sample trend direction.
Trading Rules
15 min candles but other lower time-frames
Stop Loss on previous swing high/low
No Take Profit, Exit on new red/green circles from BX-Trender
Long
EMA Green (21) on top, White (89)in middle and red (200) on bottom and there is distance between EMA's need to be spaced, otherwise in a ranged market
Price action must pull back into 89 EMA (White line) either close or touching it.
Once pullback occurs wait for BX Trender to issue a new green circle and BX Trend line must be green and above 0
Price action must also pull up back above the (Green Line) EMA 21
Short
EMA Red (200) on top, White (89) in middle and Green (21) on bottom and there is distance between EMA's need to be spaced, otherwise in a ranged market
Price action must pull back into 89 EMA (White line) either close or touching it.
Once pullback occurs wait for BX Trender to issue a new red circle and BX Trend line must be red and below 0
Price action must also pull up back below the (green Line) EMA 21
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
Setup 123 ScalperSetup 123 Scalper is characterized by a bottom (buy pattern formed by 3 candles where the 2nd has the lowest minimum) or a top (sell pattern formed by 3 candles where the 2nd has the highest maximum). It has a filter that only shows the signal when the asset is trending. Setup popularized by trader Alexandre Wolwacz (Stormer).
Na linguagem do autor:
O Setup 123 Scalper é caracterizado por um fundo (padrão de compra formado por 3 candles onde o 2º tem a menor mínima) ou um topo (padrão de venda formado por 3 candles onde o 2º tem a maior máxima). Possui um filtro em que só mostra o sinal quando o ativo está em tendência. Setup popularizado pelo trader Alexandre Wolwacz (Stormer).
PAC newThis indicator will alert you when a candle goes above or below the price action channel (PAC) but only on the first or second candle after a colour change in candle.
When price is above the price action channel that is a bullish sign, when price is below the PAC that is a bearish sign.
The idea is that a sudden change in price is a cause to investigate further price action moving in that direction so the indicator aims to identify reversal
Scalping strategy that works on 5 min chart and aims to gain 10 pips. Do not act on every signal. Further investigation is required, for example by looking at RSI oversolf and overbought levels. For example, at an oversold area, a buy signal is more valid
GRIDBOT Scalper by nnamWhat is this Indicator used for?
Made specifically for GRID Bots
note: before continuing... this indicator works on any timeframe, but it WORKS BEST ON THE 15 MINUTE TIMEFRAME
Straters and Forex Master Pattern Value Line Traders use this to help determine when the price could reverse.
This indicator is a scalping indicator that produces signals when a "potential" reversal in price is indicated. When the price moves UP and a Potential Bearish Reversal Signal occurs, traders can use this signal as a potential SHORT entry signal for their Short Grid Bot. The process is the same in reverse. After a sustained move down, a Potential Bullish Signal can be used by the trader as a potential LONG entry signal for their GridBot.
As shown in the screenshot below, lines develop on the chart (either RED or GREEN) indicating that a sustained move in one direction is currently occurring; however, there is no potential reversal signal plotted (this means that price action is currently moving in one direction only).
As shown in the screenshot below, lines can be used as a stop-loss after entering the GRIDbot. (usually, by this time, the Grid Bot is in Profit as it usually moves in the opposite direction first)
What this Indicator Does
The GRIDBOT Scalper provides information regarding potential reversals in the market after a sustained movement in one direction (either Bullish or Bearish).
The indicator is based on PRICE-ACTION ONLY and does not take into account the current state of the market (Bullish or Bearish).
Once the price moves in a particular direction for at least 14 bars , a line appears as shown in a previous screenshot. Once the price stops moving in that direction and begins moving in the opposite direction - and after a sustained run - a "signal" appears alerting the trader that a "potential" reversal could be on the horizon soon.
If price moves in one direction and plots both a line and a signal and then begins moving back in the other direction in a sustained manner, the original signal will remain even when a NEW line begins forming (the original line will disappear). (see below) This line will continue to move as the price continues to move. Not until a signal plots on the chart is the potential reversal forming. THE LINE DOES NOT SIGNAL A REVERSAL . Some traders, however, use this information to "ride the wave UP or DOWN" and exit their positions once the signal prints.
As shown below, optional input settings allow the trader to set the line at CLOSE or HIGH/LOW of the candle preceding the potential reversal.
It is suggested to use Close instead of High or Low but the setting allows one to use either.
As shown in the screenshot below, it is typical on LOWER TIME FRAMES to see the price pass the signal line. The Indicator works best on the 15 minute timeframe, as it gives the trader time to make the decisions required as the volatility is less on the 15 minute chart vs the 1 minute or 5 minute charts.
If you have any questions or suggestions for this indicator, please join our Discord. We offer free training on this Indicator on our Discord Server.
Strategy Myth-Busting #7 - MACDBB+SSL+VSF - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our seventh one we are automating is the "Magic MACD Indicator: Crazy Accurate Scalping Trading Strategy ( 74% Win Rate )" strategy from "TradeIQ" who claims to have backtested this manually and achieved 427% profit with a 74% winrate over 100 trades in just a 4 months. I was unable to emulate these results consistently accommodating for slippage and commission but even so the results and especially the high win-rate and low markdown is pretty impressive and quite respectable.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
AK MACD BB v 1.00 by Algokid
SSL Hybrid by Mihkel00
Volume Strength Finder by Saravanan_Ragavan
This is considered a trend following Strategy. AK MACD BB is being used as the primary short term trend direction indicator with an interesting approach of using Bollinger Bands to define an upper and lower range and upon the MACD going above the upper Bollinger Bands, it's indicative of an up trend, where as if the MACD is below the lower Bollinger Band, it's indicative of a down trend. To eliminate false signals, SSL Hyrbid is used as a trend confirmation filter, confirming and eliminating false signals from the MACD BB. It does this by validating the price action is above the the EMA and the SSL is positive that is a confirmation of an uptrend. When the price action is below the EMA and the SSL is negative, that is an confirmation of a downtrend. To avoid taking trades during ranged markets, VSF Buyer's Strength is used so the buyers/sellers strength and must be above 50% or the trade will not be inititiated.
Trading Rules
5 min candles but other lower time frames even below 5m work quite well too.
Best results can be found by tweaking these 2 input parameters:
Number Of bars to look back to ensure MACD isn't above/below Zero Line
Number Of bars back to look for SSL pullback
Long Entry when these conditions are true
AK MACD BB BB issues a new continuation long signal. A new green circle must appear on the indicator and these circles should not be touching across the zero level while they were previously red
SSL Hybrid price action closes above the EMA and the line is blue color and then creates a pullback . The pullback is confirmed when the color changes from blue to gray or from blue to red.
VSF Buyers strength above 50% at the time the MACD indicator issues a new long signal.
Short Entry when these conditions are true
AK MACD BB issues a new continuation short signal. A new red circle must appear on the indicator and these circles should not be touching across the zero level while they were previously green
SSL Hybrid price action closes below the EMA and the line is red color then it has to create a pullback . The pullback is confirmed when the color changes from red to gray or from red to blue.
VSF Sellers strength above 50% at the time the MACD indicator issues a new short signal.
Stop Loss at EMA Line with TP Target 1.5x the risk
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Strategy Myth-Busting #5 - POKI+GTREND+ADX - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our fifth one we are automating is one of the strategies from "The Best 3 Buy And Sell Indicators on Tradingview + Confirmation Indicators ( The Golden Ones ))" from "Online Trading Signals (Scalping Channel)". No formal backtesting was done by them and resuructo messaged me asking if we could validate their claims.
Originally, we mimic verbatim the settings Online Trading Signals was using however weren't getting promising results. So before we stopped there we thought we might want to see if this could be improved on. So we adjusted the Renko Assignment modifier from ATR to Traditional and adjusted the value to be higher from 30 to 47. We also decided to try adding another signal confirmation to eliminate some of the ranged market conditions so we choose our favorite, ADX . Also, given we are using this on a higher time-frame we adjusted the G-Channel Trend detection source from close to OHLC4 to get better average price action indication and more accurate trend direction.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
poki buy and sell Take profit and stop loss by RafaelZioni
G-Channel Trend Detection by jaggedsoft
Trading Rules
15m - 4h timeframe. We saw best results at the recommended 1 hour timeframe.
Long Entry:
When POKI triggers a buy signal
When G-Channel Trend Detection is in an upward trend (Green)
ADX Is above 25
Short Entry:
When POKI triggers a sell signal
When G-Channel Trend Detection is in an downward trend (red)
ADX Is above 25
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Strategy Myth-Busting #4 - LSMA+HULL Crossover - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our fourth one we are automating is one of the strategies from "I Found The Best 1 Minute Scalping Strategy That Actually Works! ( Beginner Friendly )" from "Trade Domination" who claims to have made 366% profit on the 1 min chart of Solona despite having a 31% win rate in just a few weeks. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything close to that that claim on the same symbol ( SOLUSD ), timeframe (1m) with identical instrument settings that "Trade Domination" was demonstrating with. Strategy Busted.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
LSMA
Hull Suite by InSilico
Trading Rules
1 min candles
Stop Loss on recent swing High/Low
1:5 Risk Ratio
Enter Long
LSMA cross above Red Hull Suite line
Price has to be above Hull Suite Line
Enter Short
LSMA crosses under green Hull Suite Line
Price has to be below Hull Suite Line
PSAR BBPT ZLSMA BTC 1minLong entry:
PSAR gives buy signal
BBPT prints green histogram
ZLSMA is below the price
ZLSMA has uptrend
SL is smaller than the max SL
Optional Sessions and EMA filters
Short entry
PSAR gives sell signal
BBPT prints red histogram
ZLSMA is above the price
ZLSMA has downtrend
SL is smaller than the max SL
Optional Sessions and EMA filters
SL:
Placed below ZLSMA + offset on long
Placed above ZLSMA + offset on short
TP1:
1x the SL by default
Takes no profit by default, 50% is also a good setting
TP2:
2x the SL by default
Take out all remaining position size.
If price reaches TP1, the SL is set to the entry price.
MMA V2 Indicator - BlastBest indicator for scalping on 5 min Timeframe
Rules of trading
For Long Entry
When a candle break the line upside and you see (three white soldiers) enter for a long trade. Stoploss should be at lower of at line breaking candle and take profit should be 1.5 (three white soldier's first candle should break the line)
For Short entry
When a candle break the line downside and you see (three black crows) enter for a short trade. Stoploss should be at above of at line breaking candle and take profit should be 1.5 (three Black Crow's first candle should break the line)
Special thanks goes to Venkatesh
TSG's Binance Round NRs - only for BTCThis is good real-time / scalp indicator for those scalping Bitcoin.
It is based solely on Binance's BTCUSDT Perpetuals, but can be used on any BTCUSD pair as I am requesting info directly from Binance's chart.
IDEA
I have spotted that many times, round nrs (most likely caused by algo-trading) mark a top / bottom on a trend. Many times have catched extremes because of this technique and I have now coded it into an indicator on TradingView.
Feel free to test it out - It's not a 100% strategy - but if you spot round nrs around confluences - your odds go up big time.
SETUP
You are able to set the amount of candles you want to search for - default is 20.
Ofcourse we look only for extremes, therefore it will only look for extreme highs and lows within the amount of candles of your input.
HOW TO READ IT
The indicator will mark only the last High and Low matching the criteria - above and below the candle with the price number.
Good luck!
Band of Filtered RS by Mustafa ÖZVERBand of Filtered RS by Mustafa ÖZVER
This code shows a range (max-min values) price may get if we get strong movements. These values is based on RSI (Relative Strange Index). And also these are calculated using RSI, if we get trades to make rsi is equal to 25 (or rsi down limit) or 75 (rsi up limit) or any value you set, how much will price value get? This code calculate these and shows these to you on graph.
This price are between these band limits because we expect cross reaction to hard movements on price.
For scalping, we can use these values as
long signal when price under down limit,
short signal when price over up limit,
But only these values can not guarantee good results for trading. BE CAREFUL
Strategy Myth-Busting #20 - HalfTrend+HullButterfly - [MYN]#20 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the " I Found Super Easy 1 Minute Scalping System And Backtest It 100 Times " strategy from " Jessy Trading " who claims 30.58% net profit over 100 trades in a couple of weeks with a 51% win rate and profit factor of 1.56 on EURUSD .
This one surprised us quite a bit. Despite the title of this strategy indicating this is on the 1 min timeframe, the author demonstrates the backtesting manually on the 5 minute timeframe. Given the simplicity of this strategy only incorporating a couple of indicators, it's robustness being able to be profitable in both low and high timeframes and on multiple symbols was quite refreshing.
The 3 settings which we need to pay most attention to here is the Hull Butterfly length, HalfTrend amplitude and the Max Number Of Bars Between Hull and HalfTrend Trigger. Depending on the timeframe and symbol, these settings greatly impact the performance outcomes of the strategy. I've listed a couple of these below.
And as always, If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Hull Butterfly Oscillator by LuxAlgo
HalfTrend by Everget
Trading Rules
5 min candles but higher / lower candles work too.
Stop loss at swing high/low
Take Profit 1.5x the risk
Long
Hull Butterfly gives us green column, Wait for HalfTrend to present an up arrow and enter trade.
Short
Hull Butterfly gives us a red column , Wait for HalfTrend to present a down arrow and enter trade.
Alternative Trading Settings for different time frames
1 Minute Timeframe
Move the Hull Butterfly length from the default 11 to 9
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Enabling ADX Filter with a 25 threshold
2 Hour Timeframe
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Laddered Take Profits from 14.5% to 19% with an 8% SL
