Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
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Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
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This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
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The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
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The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
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This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
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Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
在腳本中搜尋"trend"
Markov Chain Trend IndicatorOverview
The Markov Chain Trend Indicator utilizes the principles of Markov Chain processes to analyze stock price movements and predict future trends. By calculating the probabilities of transitioning between different market states (Uptrend, Downtrend, and Sideways), this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into market dynamics.
Key Features
State Identification: Differentiates between Uptrend, Downtrend, and Sideways states based on price movements.
Transition Probability Calculation: Calculates the probability of transitioning from one state to another using historical data.
Real-time Dashboard: Displays the probabilities of each state on the chart, helping traders make informed decisions.
Background Color Coding: Visually represents the current market state with background colors for easy interpretation.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Markov Chains: A stochastic process where the probability of moving to the next state depends only on the current state, not on the sequence of events that preceded it.
Logarithmic Returns: Used to normalize price changes and identify states based on significant movements.
Transition Matrices: Utilized to store and calculate the probabilities of moving from one state to another.
How It Works
The indicator first calculates the logarithmic returns of the stock price to identify significant movements. Based on these returns, it determines the current state (Uptrend, Downtrend, or Sideways). It then updates the transition matrices to keep track of how often the price moves from one state to another. Using these matrices, the indicator calculates the probabilities of transitioning to each state and displays this information on the chart.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the Markov Chain Trend Indicator to:
Identify Market Trends: Quickly determine if the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways state.
Predict Future Movements: Use the transition probabilities to forecast potential market movements and make informed trading decisions.
Enhance Trading Strategies: Combine with other technical indicators to refine entry and exit points based on predicted trends.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the Markov Chain Trend Indicator to your TradingView chart.
Observe the background color to quickly identify the current market state:
Green for Uptrend, Red for Downtrend, Gray for Sideways
Check the dashboard label to see the probabilities of transitioning to each state.
Use these probabilities to anticipate market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Combine the indicator with other technical analysis tools for more robust decision-making.
Modern Trend IdentifierThis is an update by Lightangel112 to Trendilo (Open-Source).
Thanks @ Lightangel112
The Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders and analysts seeking to accurately determine market trends. This indicator leverages the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) to smooth price data and calculate percentage changes, providing a clearer and more responsive trend analysis. MTI is engineered to highlight trend direction with visual cues, fill areas between the indicator and its bands, and color bars based on trend direction, making it a powerful tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversals.
Capabilities
Smoothing and Trend Calculation:
Utilizes ALMA to smooth price data, reducing noise and providing a clearer view of the trend.
Calculates percentage changes in price over a user-defined lookback period.
Dynamic Range Adjustment:
Normalizes the ALMA percentage change values to ensure they stay within a -100 to 100 range.
Uses a combination of linear and smoothstep compression to handle extreme values without losing sensitivity.
Trend Direction and Highlighting:
Determines the trend direction based on the relationship between the smoothed ALMA percentage change and dynamically adjusted RMS (Root Mean Square) bands.
Colors the trend line to visually indicate whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or neutral state.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Calculates dynamic thresholds using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Visualization Enhancements:
Fills areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands to provide a clear visual indication of the trend strength.
Offers the option to color price bars based on the identified trend direction.
Customizable Settings:
Provides extensive customization options for lookback periods, smoothing parameters, ALMA settings, band multipliers, and more.
Allows users to enable or disable various visual enhancements and customize their appearance.
Use Cases
Trend Identification:
MTI helps traders identify the current market trend, whether it's bullish, bearish, or neutral. This can be particularly useful for trend-following strategies.
Momentum Analysis:
By highlighting areas of strong momentum, MTI enables traders to spot potential breakouts or breakdowns. This can be useful for both entry and exit decisions.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The dynamic threshold bands can act as support and resistance levels. Traders can use these levels to set stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Divergence Detection:
MTI can help in identifying divergences between price and the indicator, which can signal potential trend reversals. This is useful for traders looking to capitalize on trend changes.
Risk Management:
The fill areas and colored bars provide clear visual cues about trend strength and direction, aiding in better risk management. Traders can adjust their positions based on the strength of the trend.
Backtesting:
The extensive customization options allow traders to backtest different settings and parameters to optimize their trading strategies for various market conditions.
Multiple Timeframes:
MTI can be applied to multiple timeframes, from intraday charts to daily, weekly, or monthly charts, making it a versatile tool for traders with different trading styles.
Example Scenarios
Day Trading:
A day trader can use MTI on a 5-minute chart to identify intraday trends. By adjusting the lookback period and smoothing parameters, the trader can quickly spot potential entry and exit points based on short-term momentum changes.
Swing Trading:
A swing trader might apply MTI to a 4-hour chart to identify medium-term trends. The dynamic thresholds can help in setting appropriate stop-loss levels, while the trend direction highlighting aids in making informed decisions about holding or exiting positions.
Position Trading:
For a position trader using a daily chart, MTI can help identify the overarching trend. The trader can use the fill areas and bar coloring to assess the strength of the trend and make decisions about entering or exiting long-term positions.
Market Analysis:
An analyst could use MTI to study historical price movements and identify patterns. By examining how the indicator reacted to past market conditions, the analyst can gain insights into potential future price movements.
In summary, the Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a versatile and powerful tool that enhances trend analysis with advanced smoothing techniques, dynamic adjustments, and comprehensive visual cues. It is designed to meet the needs of traders and analysts across various trading styles and timeframes, providing clear and actionable insights into market trends and momentum.
Updated with the following:
Additions and Enhancements in MTI
Grouped Inputs with Descriptive Tooltips:
Inputs are organized into groups for better clarity.
Each input parameter includes a descriptive tooltip.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Added dynamic threshold calculation using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Normalization and Compression:
Added normalization factor to ensure plots are within -100 to 100 range.
Introduced smoothstep function for smooth transition and selectively applied linear and smoothstep compression to values outside -80 to 100 range.
Enhanced Visualization:
Highlighted trend direction with RGB colors.
Enhanced fill areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands.
Colored price bars based on the identified trend direction.
RMS Lines Adjustment:
Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation without strict capping.
Ensured RMS lines stay below fill areas to maintain clarity.
Descriptive and Organized Code:
Enhanced code clarity with detailed comments.
Organized code into logical sections for better readability and maintenance.
Key Differences and Improvements.
Input Customization:
Trendilo: Inputs are simple and ungrouped.
MTI: Inputs are grouped and include tooltips for better user guidance.
Trend Calculation:
Trendilo: Uses ALMA and calculates percentage change.
MTI: Enhanced with normalization, compression, and dynamic threshold calculation.
Normalization and Compression:
Trendilo: No normalization or compression applied.
MTI: Normalizes values to -100 to 100 range and applies smoothstep compression to handle extreme values.
Dynamic RMS Adjustment:
Trendilo: Simple RMS calculation.
MTI: Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation to ensure clarity in visualization.
Visual Enhancements:
Trendilo: Basic trend highlighting and filling.
MTI: Enhanced visual cues with RGB colors, dynamic threshold bands, and improved fill areas.
Code Clarity:
Trendilo: Functional but lacks detailed comments and organization.
MTI: Well-organized, extensively commented code for better readability and maintainability.
Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength OscillatorPersistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator
The Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator is a unique and powerful tool designed to measure the persistence of market trends over a specified rolling window. By applying the principles of persistent homology, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into the strength and stability of uptrends and downtrends, helping to inform better trading decisions.
What Makes This Indicator Original?
This indicator's originality lies in its application of persistent homology , a method from topological data analysis, to financial markets. Persistent homology examines the shape and features of data across multiple scales, identifying patterns that persist as the scale changes. By adapting this concept, the oscillator tracks the persistence of uptrends and downtrends in price data, offering a novel approach to trend analysis.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations:
Persistent Homology: This method identifies features such as clusters, holes, and voids that persist as the scale changes. In the context of this indicator, it tracks the duration and stability of price trends.
Rolling Window Analysis: The oscillator uses a specified window size to calculate the average length of uptrends and downtrends, providing a dynamic view of trend persistence over time.
Threshold-Based Trend Identification: It differentiates between uptrends and downtrends based on specified thresholds for price changes, ensuring precision in trend detection.
How It Works:
The oscillator monitors consecutive changes in closing prices to identify uptrends and downtrends.
An uptrend is detected when the closing price increase exceeds a specified positive threshold.
A downtrend is detected when the closing price decrease exceeds a specified negative threshold.
The lengths of these trends are recorded and averaged over the chosen window size.
The Trend Persistence Index is calculated as the difference between the average uptrend length and the average downtrend length, providing a measure of trend persistence.
How Traders Can Use It:
Identify Trend Strength: The Trend Persistence Index offers a clear measure of the strength and stability of uptrends and downtrends. A higher value indicates stronger and more persistent uptrends, while a lower value suggests stronger and more persistent downtrends.
Spot Trend Reversals: Significant shifts in the Trend Persistence Index can signal potential trend reversals. For instance, a transition from positive to negative values might indicate a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Confirm Trends: Use the Trend Persistence Index alongside other technical indicators to confirm the strength and duration of trends, enhancing the accuracy of your trading signals.
Manage Risk: Understanding trend persistence can help traders manage risk by identifying periods of high trend stability versus periods of potential volatility. This can be crucial for timing entries and exits.
Example Usage:
Default Settings: Start with the default settings to get a feel for the oscillator’s behavior. Observe how the Trend Persistence Index reacts to different market conditions.
Adjust Thresholds: Fine-tune the positive and negative thresholds based on the asset's volatility to improve trend detection accuracy.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator in conjunction with other technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD for a comprehensive analysis.
Backtesting: Conduct backtesting to see how the oscillator would have performed in past market conditions, helping you to refine your trading strategy.
Adaptive Trend Lines [MAMA and FAMA]Updated my previous algo on the Adaptive Trend lines, however I have added new functionalities and sorted out the settings.
You can now switch between normalized and non-normalized settings, the colors have also been updated and look much better.
The MAMA and FAMA
These indicators was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities V. 19:10: MESA Adaptive Moving Averages). Everget wrote the initial functions for these in pine script. I have simply normalized the indicators and chosen to use the Laplace transformation instead of the hilbert transformation
How the Indicator Works:
The indicator employs a series of complex calculations, but we'll break it down into key steps to understand its functionality:
LaplaceTransform: Calculates the Laplace distribution for the given src input. The Laplace distribution is a continuous probability distribution, also known as the double exponential distribution. I use this because of the assymetrical return profile
MESA Period: The indicator calculates a MESA period, which represents the dominant cycle length in the price data. This period is continuously adjusted to adapt to market changes.
InPhase and Quadrature Components: The InPhase and Quadrature components are derived from the Hilbert Transform output. These components represent different aspects of the price's cyclical behavior.
Homodyne Discriminator: The Homodyne Discriminator is a phase-sensitive technique used to determine the phase and amplitude of a signal. It helps in detecting trend changes.
Alpha Calculation: Alpha represents the adaptive factor that adjusts the sensitivity of the indicator. It is based on the MESA period and the phase of the InPhase component. Alpha helps in dynamically adjusting the indicator's responsiveness to changes in market conditions.
MAMA and FAMA Calculation: The MAMA and FAMA values are calculated using the adaptive factor (alpha) and the input price data. These values are essentially adaptive moving averages that aim to capture the current trend more effectively than traditional moving averages.
But Omar, why would anyone want to use this?
The MAMA and FAMA lines offer benefits:
The indicator offers a distinct advantage over conventional moving averages due to its adaptive nature, which allows it to adjust to changing market conditions. This adaptability ensures that investors can stay on the right side of the trend, as the indicator becomes more responsive during trending periods and less sensitive in choppy or sideways markets.
One of the key strengths of this indicator lies in its ability to identify trends effectively by combining the MESA and MAMA techniques. By doing so, it efficiently filters out market noise, making it highly valuable for trend-following strategies. Investors can rely on this feature to gain clearer insights into the prevailing trends and make well-informed trading decisions.
This indicator is primarily suppoest to be used on the big timeframes to see which trend is prevailing, however I am not against someone using it on a timeframe below the 1D, just be careful if you are using this for modern portfolio theory, this is not suppoest to be a mid-term component, but rather a long term component that works well with proper use of detrended fluctuation analysis.
Dont hesitate to ask me if you have any questions
Again, I want to give credit to Everget and ChartPrime!
Code explanation as required by House Rules:
fastLimit = input.float(title='Fast Limit', step=0.01, defval=0.01, group = "Indicator Settings")
slowLimit = input.float(title='Slow Limit', step=0.01, defval=0.08, group = "Indicator Settings")
src = input(title='Source', defval=close, group = "Indicator Settings")
input.float: Used to create input fields for the user to set the fastLimit and slowLimit values.
input: General function to get user inputs, like the data source (close price) used for calculations.
norm_period = input.int(3, 'Normalization Period', 1, group = "Normalized Settings")
norm = input.bool(defval = true, title = "Use normalization", group = "Normalized Settings")
input.int: Creates an input field for the normalization period.
input.bool: Allows the user to toggle normalization on or off.
Color settings in the code:
col_up = input.color(#22ab94, group = "Color Settings")
col_dn = input.color(#f7525f, group = "Color Settings")
Constants and functions
var float PI = math.pi
laplace(src) =>
(0.5) * math.exp(-math.abs(src))
_computeComponent(src, mesaPeriodMult) =>
out = laplace(src) * mesaPeriodMult
out
_smoothComponent(src) =>
out = 0.2 * src + 0.8 * nz(src )
out
math.pi: Represents the mathematical constant π (pi).
laplace: A function that applies the Laplace transform to the source data.
_computeComponent: Computes a component of the data using the Laplace transform.
_smoothComponent: Smooths data by averaging the current value with the previous one (nz function is used to handle null values).
Alpha function:
_computeAlpha(src, fastLimit, slowLimit) =>
mesaPeriod = 0.0
mesaPeriodMult = 0.075 * nz(mesaPeriod ) + 0.54
...
alpha = math.max(fastLimit / deltaPhase, slowLimit)
out = alpha
out
_computeAlpha: Calculates the adaptive alpha value based on the fastLimit and slowLimit. This value is crucial for determining the MAMA and FAMA lines.
Calculating MAMA and FAMA:
mama = 0.0
mama := alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * nz(mama )
fama = 0.0
fama := alpha2 * mama + (1 - alpha2) * nz(fama )
Normalization:
lowest = ta.lowest(mama_fama_diff, norm_period)
highest = ta.highest(mama_fama_diff, norm_period)
normalized = (mama_fama_diff - lowest) / (highest - lowest) - 0.5
ta.lowest and ta.highest: Find the lowest and highest values of mama_fama_diff over the normalization period.
The oscillator is normalized to a range, making it easier to compare over different periods.
And finally, the plotting:
plot(norm == true ? normalized : na, style=plot.style_columns, color=col_wn, title = "mama_fama_diff Oscillator Normalized")
plot(norm == false ? mama_fama_diff : na, style=plot.style_columns, color=col_wnS, title = "mama_fama_diff Oscillator")
Example of Normalized settings:
Example for setup:
Try to make sure the lower timeframe follows the higher timeframe if you take a trade based on this indicator!
Multi-Timeframe Trend Cloud (EMA13/21) with Alerts Purpose:
This indicator combines trend analysis across multiple timeframes with alerts to help identify general trends and market shifts. It visualizes trends by creating EMA clouds (The area between EMA13 & EMA21), detects confirmed EMA crossovers, and can alert users when the price re-enters the cloud or interacts with the EMA200.
Input Parameters:
Lower Timeframe (LTF): Allows you to select the lower timeframe for trend analysis (e.g., 1 hour, 4 hours).
Higher Timeframe (HTF): Allows you to select the higher timeframe for the main trend reference (e.g., 4 hours, 1 day).
Fill Colors: You can customize the colors used to fill the areas between the EMA lines in both the higher and lower timeframes. Note: The LTF cloud defaults to transparent white so if you have a light background change the color in style settings.
The EMA's default to transparent but can be turned on in the style settings.
Calculating & Plotting EMAs:
The indicator calculates two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on both the LTF and HTF: a faster 13-period EMA and a slower 21-period EMA.
Additionally, it calculates a 200-period EMA on the HTF.
These EMAs are plotted on your chart, providing a visual representation of the trend.
Identifying Trend States:
The script uses the relationships between the price and the 13-period and 21-period EMAs on the Higher Time Frame (HTF) to identify four distinct trend states, each depicted by a specific color to create the "Trend Cloud":
Strong Bull Trend: The 13-period EMA is above the 21-period EMA, and the price is above both EMAs. --- "Color 0" in HTF Trend style settings.
Broken Bullish Trend: The 13-period EMA is above the 21-period EMA but price has broken below both EMA's. --- "Color 3" in HTF Trend style settings.
Strong Bear Trend: The 13-period EMA is below the 21-period EMA, and the price is below both EMAs. --- "Color 2" in HTF Trend style settings.
Broken Bearish Trend: The 13-period EMA is below the 21-period EMA but price has broken above both EMA's. --- "Color 1" in HTF Trend style settings.
Important Note: The 200-period EMA is plotted for reference but is not directly used in determining the current trend state within this script.
Confirmed Crossover Signals:
The indicator plots upward or downward triangles to signal confirmed crossovers of the EMA13 and EMA21 on the HTF. A crossover is considered "confirmed" when it's followed by a candle closing on the same side of the crossing point, adding an extra layer of confidence to the signal.
Cloud Re-entry Alerts:
Receive alerts whenever the price re-enters the HTF cloud - aka "Trend".
EMA200 Retest Alerts:
Get alerts when the price touches the 200 EMA on the HTF. These alerts can be valuable for identifying potential trend reversals or trend continuation scenarios.
Benefits:
Clear Visual Representation: Easily visualize trends on both the lower and higher timeframes.
Confirmed Signals: Filter out false signals by focusing on confirmed crossovers.
Timely Alerts: Get instant notifications for important price actions, allowing you to react quickly to market opportunities.
Customizable: Tailor the indicator's appearance and alert settings to your preferences.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Select your desired LTF and HTF in the Inputs tab.
Customize the fill colors (and optional EMA line colors) in the Style tab.
Enable the alerts you want to receive in the Alerts tab.
Note: This indicator is a great tool for trend analysis, but it should be used with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques to make informed trading decisions.
Johnny's Trend Lines, Supports and ResistancesInspired and based on ismailcarlik's Trend Lines, Supports and Resistances.
Additions include an overall upgrade to Pinescript v5, changes in the way resistance and support levels are calculated, improved visual queues, and additional customization options.
This indicator is meticulously crafted to provide traders with visual tools for identifying trend lines, support, and resistance levels, enhancing the decision-making process in trading activities.
Features and Functionality
Trend Lines: The indicator allows users to enable or disable trend lines, adjust the number of points to check for establishing a trend, and set parameters for trend validation, including the maximum violation and exceptions for the last bars.
Support and Resistance: It offers tools to identify and visualize key support and resistance levels based on recent pivot points. This includes adjustable parameters for the maximum violations allowed and the exclusion of recent bars from the analysis.
Pivot Points: Users can define the pivot length for calculating highs and lows, which helps in marking significant pivot points that are instrumental in trend analysis.
Alerts and Notifications: The indicator is equipped with customizable alerts for trend line breaches and pivot point formations, which can be set to trigger at different frequencies based on user preference.
How It Works
Input Flexibility: Users can adjust various settings like the length of trend lines and pivot points, enabling or disabling specific features like marking pivots, and managing alert settings directly from the indicator’s input panel.
Dynamic Analysis: By analyzing the price action relative to the calculated trend lines and pivot points, the indicator dynamically identifies potential trend reversals, continuations, and significant price levels.
Visualization: It plots trend lines and marks support and resistance levels directly on the chart, with options to extend these lines and add labels for better clarity. Violated trend lines can be visually differentiated by changing their style and width.
Practical Application
Trend Line Strategy: Traders can use the trend lines to determine the strength of the current market trend and to spot potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Strategy: By marking where the price has historically faced resistance or found support, traders can plan entry and exit points, set stop-loss orders, or identify breakout opportunities.
Pivot Points Strategy: Pivot points serve as vital indicators for intraday trading or long-term trend analysis, providing insights into potential support and resistance levels.
Customization and Alerts
Custom Alerts: Traders can set alerts for when the price crosses trend lines or when new support or resistance levels are formed, helping them stay informed of critical market movements without having to continuously monitor the charts.
Visual Customization: Users can personalize the appearance of trend lines and labels, choosing from a variety of colors and styles to match their chart setup or preferences.
"Johnny's Trend Lines, Supports and Resistances" is an essential tool for traders who rely on technical analysis, offering detailed insights and real-time updates on market conditions, trend strength, and potential price barriers.
Alligator + MA Trend Catcher [TradeDots]The "Alligator + MA Trend Catcher" is a trading strategy that integrates the William Alligator indicator with a Moving Average (MA) to establish robust entry and exit conditions, optimized for capturing trends.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy combines the traditional William Alligator set up with an additional Moving Average indicator for enhanced trend confirmation, creating a user-friendly backtesting tool for traders who prefer the Alligator method.
The original Alligator strategy can frequently present fluctuations, even in well-established trends, leading to potentially premature exits. To mitigate this, we incorporate a Moving Average as a secondary confirmation measure to ensure the market trend has indeed shifted.
Here’s the operational flow for long orders:
Entry Signal: When the price rises above the Moving Average, it confirms a bullish market state. Enter if Alligator spread in an upward direction. The trade remains active even if the Alligator indicator suggests a trend reversal.
Exit Signal: The position is closed when the price falls below the Moving Average, and the Alligator spreads in the downward direction. This setup helps traders to maintain positions through the entirety of the trend for maximum gain.
APPLICATION
This strategy is tailored for assets with significant, well-defined trends, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are known for their high volatility and substantial price movements.
This strategy offers a low win-rate but high reward configuration, making asset selection critical for long-term profitability. If you choose assets that lack strong price momentum, there's a high chance that this strategy may not be effective.
For traders seeking to maximize gains from large trends without exiting prematurely, this strategy provides an aggressive yet controlled approach to riding out substantial market waves.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Multi Timeframe Trend Screener [TradeDots]The "Multi Timeframe Trend Screener" is a trading indicator designed to assist traders in identifying the market trends of multiple assets within a single panel. This tool is invaluable for detecting shifts in trends, enabling traders to easily adjust their strategies under different market conditions.
HOW DOES IT WORK
Upon initialization, the indicator requires users to input two key pieces of information:
The assets to be monitored.
The timeframes to be analyzed.
The tool is capable of simultaneously tracking up to four assets across five distinct timeframes.
By specifying the type and length of the moving average, the indicator uses this data as a baseline to determine the current market trend.
A price movement below the moving average triggers a downward trend symbol (📉), indicating bearish conditions.
Conversely, a movement above the moving average displays an upward trend symbol (📈), signaling bullish conditions.
The aggregation of moving averages across various timeframes provides a comprehensive view of the overall market sentiment.
APPLICATION
In scenarios where the market consistently demonstrates an upward trend, each timeframe will display a bullish symbol. Shifts in market sentiment typically start in the shorter timeframes and can progressively affect longer ones if the trend continues.
This cascading effect allows the indicator to show all timeframes transitioning to a bearish orientation when the trend reverses.
The indicator also facilitates comparison between different assets. For assets with high correlation, a trend shift in one can often predict similar movements in correlated assets, thus allowing traders to swiftly adapt their strategies to align with new market conditions.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Trend Fusion: ADX&EMA+IchimokuTrend Fusion: ADX & EMA+Ichimoku is an innovative indicator designed to provide traders with comprehensive insights into market trends. Combining the power of the Average Directional Index (ADX) with Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and the Ichimoku Cloud, this indicator offers a sophisticated approach to trend analysis.
This indicator stands out for its unique integration of multiple trend-following indicators, offering traders a holistic view of market dynamics. Unlike traditional trend indicators that focus solely on price movements, Trend Fusion incorporates the ADX, EMA, and Ichimoku Cloud to provide a more nuanced understanding of trend strength and direction. By combining these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions and enhance their trading strategies.
How it works:
Trend Fusion generates buy and sell signals based on the convergence of these indicators. A combination of strong ADX readings, EMA crossovers, and alignment with the Ichimoku Cloud confirms trend direction and provides entry and exit points for traders.
Average Directional Index (ADX): Measures the strength of the prevailing trend by analyzing price movements. A rising ADX indicates a strengthening trend, while a falling ADX suggests weakening momentum.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Detects potential trend reversals through crossover signals. A bullish crossover (fast EMA crossing above slow EMA) suggests an uptrend, while a bearish crossover indicates a downtrend.
Ichimoku Cloud: Provides support and resistance levels along with trend direction. Price movements above the cloud indicate bullish sentiment, while movements below the cloud suggest bearish sentiment.
How to use
Colour codes:
Green Candles: Represent a strong uptrend, indicating robust buying momentum. The intensity of green color deepens with increasing trend strength.
Red Candles: Indicate a strong downtrend, signaling significant selling pressure in the market. The intensity of red color deepens with increasing trend strength.
Yellow Candles: Suggest a weak trend, characterized by indecision and lack of clear direction. The intensity of yellow color varies based on the strength of the trend, with lighter shades indicating weaker trends and darker shades suggesting slightly stronger trends.
Trend Strength: Monitor the ADX to gauge the strength of the prevailing trend. Higher ADX values indicate stronger trends, while lower values suggest weaker trends.
Trend Direction: Confirm trend direction using EMA crossovers and Ichimoku Cloud signals. Look for bullish crossovers and price movements above the cloud for uptrends, and bearish crossovers and movements below the cloud for downtrends.
Entry and Exit Signals: Enter trades when all components align, signaling a strong trend. Use EMA crossovers and cloud confirmations to identify potential entry points, and consider exiting trades when these signals reverse.
The ADX calculation and signal logic are based on the ADX script by PineCoders, with modifications to integrate it into this indicator.
The EMA crossover logic is adapted from the GDAX EMA Cross script by stefano98.
The Ichimoku Cloud calculation and plotting are adapted from the Ichimoku Cloud script by lonesometheblue.
Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is recommended to use this indicator alongside other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies.
Uptrick: Trend Analysis 1 Trend Identification:
• The indicator primarily aims to identify trends in the market. It does this by computing two EMAs (fast and slow) and deriving the MACD line, which is the difference between these two EMAs. The MACD line is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages. When the MACD line is above the signal line, it suggests bullish momentum, while below indicates bearish momentum.
2 Entry and Exit Signals:
• The indicator generates potential entry and exit signals based on several conditions:
• Price vs. 20-period EMA: It checks whether the price is above or below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average. This is a common technique used to determine the overall direction of the trend. If the price is above the 20-period EMA, it suggests a bullish trend, and if it's below, it indicates a bearish trend.
• MACD Slope: It calculates the slope of the MACD line over a specified number of bars. A positive slope suggests increasing bullish momentum, while a negative slope indicates increasing bearish momentum.
• Signal Line Crossings: Traders often look for crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line as potential buy or sell signals. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's considered a bullish signal (buy), and when it crosses below, it's seen as a bearish signal (sell).
3 Visual Representation:
• The indicator provides a visual representation of these conditions by plotting the MACD line with different colors depending on the market conditions (bullish, bearish, or neutral). Additionally, it draws vertical lines at the start of negative MACD slopes to highlight potential shifts in momentum.
4 Volume Analysis:
• It incorporates volume analysis by coloring the volume histogram differently based on whether the price is above or below the 20-period EMA. This can provide additional confirmation of trend strength. Higher volumes during price movements above the EMA may confirm bullish trends, while higher volumes during price movements below the EMA may confirm bearish trends.
5 Customization:
• Traders can customize the input parameters such as the fast and slow EMA periods according to their trading strategies and the specific market they're analyzing.
Bull Bear Trend IndicatorIntroduction: Origin of the Swing Point Indicator
In the quest for a reliable indicator that accurately predicts trend directions and identifies valid highs and lows, the genesis of the Swing Point Indicator emerged. Faced with the challenge of finding a tool that provided comprehensive market analysis and actionable insights, the need for a novel solution became evident. Combining insights gleaned from market analysis and innovative algorithmic approaches, the Swing Point Indicator was born.
Enhanced Feature: Highs and Lows Labeling in Trend Direction
In addition to its core functionalities, the Swing Point Indicator incorporates an advanced feature that enhances the visualization of trend direction. This feature provides further clarity by selectively labeling highs and lows based on the prevailing trend, reinforcing the identification of higher highs and lower lows in uptrends and downtrends, respectively. Overlapping labels on highs and lows signify a potential trend change, providing traders with valuable insight into market reversals.
Detailed Description:
1. Uptrend Labeling:
- Higher Highs (Green Label with Price): In an uptrend, where higher highs are observed, the indicator labels these points with vibrant green color and includes the corresponding price value. This visually highlights the significance of higher highs as pivotal points in the upward trajectory of prices.
- Higher Lows (Red Marker without Text or Diamond): To complement the identification of higher highs, higher lows are marked with a distinct red marker or diamond, devoid of any accompanying text. While these points are crucial in delineating the ascending trend, their emphasis lies in their role as support levels, providing a foundation for upward price movements.
2. Downtrend Labeling:
- Lower Lows (Red Label with Price): Conversely, in a downtrend characterized by lower lows, the indicator labels these points with conspicuous red color, accompanied by the corresponding price value. Lower lows signify critical levels of downward price momentum, acting as indicators of potential bearish continuation.
- Lower Highs (Green Marker without Text or Diamond): Lower highs, indicative of downward retracements in a downtrend, are marked by distinctive green markers or diamonds without accompanying text. While these points denote temporary pauses or pullbacks in the bearish trend, their emphasis lies in their role as resistance levels, impeding upward price movements.
Functionality and Utility:
- Customizable Lookback Candle Count: Traders have the option to adjust the lookback candle count, which is set by default at 108 candles in the settings. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading preferences and timeframes.
- Equal Highs or Lows Option: When enabled, the Swing Point Indicator can identify equal highs or equal lows, providing traders with additional insight into market dynamics.
- Formation Confirmation: A new higher high along with its higher low or a new lower low along with its lower high is confirmed after two candles have closed following the swing point candle. This ensures the reliability of the identified trend direction.
Conclusion:
The incorporation of selective labeling for highs and lows based on trend direction, alongside the introduction of customizable settings and formation confirmation criteria, enhances the effectiveness of the Swing Point Indicator. This feature-rich tool empowers traders with a nuanced understanding of market dynamics, highlighting critical price levels and trend reversals. By offering enhanced visualization, customizable options, and confirmation criteria, the Swing Point Indicator equips traders with the confidence and precision needed to navigate the markets successfully, contributing to more informed and profitable trading strategies.
RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)
This is the "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" indicator
This is a modification of the "RSI Trends" indicator by zzzcrypto123.
What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R, also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
How Does "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" work?
This indicator combines the momentum of both RSI and Williams %R by adding upper and lower thresholds. When the thresholds are broken, this indicator changes color from gray to either green or red.
What Are The Thresholds?
The default RSI thresholds are 55 and 45. These values are configurable.
The default Williams %R thresholds are 80 and 20. These values are configurable and made positive so it can be plotted against the RSI line.
How To Use?
When the RSI exceeded the upper/lower thresholds, the RSI line color will change from gray to lighter green/red color.
When the Williams %R exceeded the upper/lower thresholds, the RSI color will change to darker green/red color signifying a strong momentum in that direction.
When the RSI color is gray, this means the RSI and Williams %R thresholds are not broken which can also signify as no trend or consolidation.
The Williams %R line is not displayed by default but can be enabled using the checkbox provided in the Style tab.
This "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" indicator can be combined with other technical indicators to verify the idea behind this theory.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in this indicator does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type.
My scripts/indicators/ideas are for educational purposes only!
Liquidity Trendline With Signals [BigBeluga]The Liquidity Trendline is an indicator designed to identify potential breakouts by utilizing pivot points. These pivotal moments can trigger significant market reactions, either by breaking out or by serving as breakout and retest signals.
🔶 FEATURES
The indicator contains the following features:
Period of the calculation
Padding (spacing between the 2 lines)
Signal for breakouts
🔶 USAGE
As shown in the example, breakouts can be powerful points to see reversions in the market and can lead to a lot of volatility in the market.
When a trendline is broken, a signal will be plotted; the user can disable/enable those signals.
A trendline is formed when 2 consecutive pivot points are found, each of them lower or higher than the previous one. this is the anchor point for our trend line that we will use to spot rejection or breakouts
The delay in the creation of those trend lines will be the period input used to find the pivot point on the chart.
Another good example is using these trendlines as simple retests.
Prices bouncing on top of them will suggest a possible continuation of the current trend.
We can filter out stronger breakouts by looking at how many times the price has rejected the trendline, more rejections will result in more liquidity once the price breaks it.
Signals are plotted on the chart for every breakout that happens.
Another good utility is simply using them as retest once the price breaks those levels and holding above/below them, indicating a possible support or resistance area used for confluence
Here is another good example of how we can correctly spot price deviating from our trendline and spotting powerful continuation in price.
As said before we can filter out bad and good breakouts simply by looking at how many times rejected from those levels.
More rejection will result in a stronger reaction
🔶 CONCLUSION
This script is as simple as that and can be used in a few ways to spot reversals, price continuation, or even sentiment in price (bullish or bearish).
[S] Rolling TrendlineThe Rolling Linear Regression Trendline is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to offer traders a dynamic view of market trends over a selectable period. This indicator employs linear regression to calculate and plot a trendline that best fits the closing prices within a specified window, either defined by a number of bars or a set period in days, independent of the chart's timeframe.
Key Features:
Dynamic Window Selection: Users can choose the calculation window based on a fixed number of bars or days, providing flexibility to adapt to different trading strategies and timeframes. For the 'days' option, the indicator calculates the equivalent number of bars based on the chart's timeframe, ensuring relevance across various market conditions and trading sessions.
Linear Regression Analysis: At its core, the indicator uses linear regression to identify the trend direction by calculating the slope and intercept of the trendline. This method offers a statistical approach to trend analysis, highlighting potential uptrends or downtrends based on the positioning and direction of the trendline.
Customizable Period: Traders can input their desired period (N), allowing for tailored analysis. Whether it's short-term movements or longer-term trends, the indicator can adjust to focus on specific time horizons, enhancing its utility across different trading styles and objectives.
Applications:
Trend Identification: By plotting a trendline that mathematically fits the closing prices over the chosen period, traders can quickly identify the prevailing market trend, aiding in bullish or bearish decision-making.
Support and Resistance: The trendline can also serve as a dynamic level of support or resistance, offering potential entry or exit points based on the price's interaction with the trendline.
Strategic Planning: With the ability to adjust the calculation window, traders can align the indicator with their trading strategy, whether focusing on intraday movements or broader swings.
Using this indicator with other parameters can widen you view of the market and help identifying trends
Volume-Trend Sentiment (VTS) [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Volume-Trend Sentiment by AlgoAlpha, a unique tool designed for traders who seek a deeper understanding of market sentiment through volume analysis. This innovative indicator offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics, blending volume trends with price action to provide an insightful perspective on market sentiment. 🚀📊
Key Features:
1. 🌟 Dual Trend Analysis: This indicator combines the concepts of price movement and volume, offering a multi-dimensional view of market sentiment. By analyzing the relationship between the closing and opening prices relative to volume, it provides a nuanced understanding of market dynamics.
2. 🎨 Customizable Settings: Flexibility is at the core of this indicator. Users can adjust various parameters such as the length of the volume trend, standard deviation, and SMA length, ensuring a tailored experience to match individual trading strategies.
3. 🌈 Visual Appeal: With options to display noise, the main plot, and background colors, the indicator is not only informative but also visually engaging. Users can choose their preferred colors for up and down movements, making the analysis more intuitive.
4. ⚠️ Alerts for Key Movements: Stay ahead of market changes with built-in alert conditions. These alerts notify traders when the Volume-Trend Sentiment crosses above or below the midline, signaling potential shifts in market momentum.
How It Works:
The core of the indicator is the calculation of the Volume-Trend Sentiment (VTS). It is computed by subtracting a double-smoothed Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the price-volume ratio from a single EMA of the same ratio. This method highlights the trend in volume relative to price changes.
volumeTrend = ta.ema((close - open) / volume, volumeTrendLength) - ta.ema(ta.ema((close - open) / volume, volumeTrendLength), volumeTrendLength)
To manage volatility and noise in the volume trend, the indicator employs a standard deviation calculation and a Simple Moving Average (SMA). This smoothing process helps in identifying the true underlying trend by filtering out extreme fluctuations.
standardDeviation = ta.stdev(volumeTrend, standardDeviationLength) * 1
smoothedVolumeTrend = ta.sma(volumeTrend / (standardDeviation + standardDeviation), smaLength)
A unique feature is the dynamic background color, which changes based on the sentiment level. This visual cue instantly communicates the market's bullish or bearish sentiment, enhancing the decision-making process.
getColor(volumeTrendValue) =>
sentimentLevel = math.abs(volumeTrendValue * 10)
baseTransparency = 60 // Base transparency level
colorTransparency = math.max(90 - sentimentLevel * 5, baseTransparency)
volumeTrendValue > 0 ? color.new(upColor, colorTransparency) : color.new(downColor, colorTransparency)
bgcolor(showBackgroundColor ? getColor(smoothedVolumeTrend) : na)
In summary, the Volume-Trend Sentiment by AlgoAlpha is a comprehensive tool that enhances market analysis through a unique blend of volume and price trends. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator offers valuable insights into market sentiment and helps in making informed trading decisions. 📈📉🔍🌐
RelativeVolatilityIndicator with Trend FilterGuide to the Relative Volatility Indicator with Trend Filter (RVI_TF)
Introduction
The Relative Volatility Indicator with Trend Filter (RVI_TF) aims to provide traders with a comprehensive tool to analyze market volatility and trend direction. This unique indicator combines volatility ratio calculations with a trend filter to help you make more informed trading decisions.
Key Components
Scaled Volatility Ratio: This measures the current market volatility relative to historical volatility and scales the values for better visualization.
Fast and Slow Moving Averages for Volatility: These provide a smoothed representation of the scaled volatility ratio, making it easier to spot trends in market volatility.
Trend Filter: An additional line representing a long-term Simple Moving Average (SMA) to help you identify the prevailing market trend.
User Inputs
Short and Long ATR Period: These allow you to define the length for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), used in the volatility ratio.
Short and Long StdDev Period: Periods for short-term and long-term standard deviation calculations.
Min and Max Volatility Ratio for Scaling: Scale the volatility ratio between these min and max values.
Fast and Slow SMA Period for Volatility Ratio: Periods for the fast and slow Simple Moving Averages of the scaled volatility ratio.
Trend Filter Period: Period for the long-term SMA, used in the trend filter.
Show Trend Filter: Toggle to show/hide the trend filter line.
Trend Filter Opacity: Adjust the opacity of the trend filter line.
Visual Components
Histogram: The scaled volatility ratio is displayed as a histogram. It changes color based on the ratio value.
Fast and Slow Moving Averages: These are plotted over the histogram for additional context.
Trend Filter Line: Shown when the corresponding toggle is enabled, this line gives an indication of the general market trend.
How to Use
Volatility Analysis: Look for divergences between the fast and slow MAs of the scaled volatility ratio. It can signal potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Trend Confirmation: Use the Trend Filter line to confirm the direction of the current trend.
Conclusion
The RVI_TF is a multi-faceted indicator designed for traders who seek to integrate both volatility and trend analysis into their trading strategies. By providing a clearer understanding of market conditions, this indicator can be a valuable asset in a trader's toolkit.
Normalized Adaptive Trend Lines [MAMA and FAMA]These indicators was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities V. 19:10: MESA Adaptive Moving Averages). Everget wrote the initial functions for these in pine script. I have simply normalized the indicators and chosen to use the Laplace transformation instead of the hilbert transformation
How the Indicator Works:
The indicator employs a series of complex calculations, but we'll break it down into key steps to understand its functionality:
LaplaceTransform: Calculates the Laplace distribution for the given src input. The Laplace distribution is a continuous probability distribution, also known as the double exponential distribution. I use this because of the assymetrical return profile
MESA Period: The indicator calculates a MESA period, which represents the dominant cycle length in the price data. This period is continuously adjusted to adapt to market changes.
InPhase and Quadrature Components: The InPhase and Quadrature components are derived from the Hilbert Transform output. These components represent different aspects of the price's cyclical behavior.
Homodyne Discriminator: The Homodyne Discriminator is a phase-sensitive technique used to determine the phase and amplitude of a signal. It helps in detecting trend changes.
Alpha Calculation: Alpha represents the adaptive factor that adjusts the sensitivity of the indicator. It is based on the MESA period and the phase of the InPhase component. Alpha helps in dynamically adjusting the indicator's responsiveness to changes in market conditions.
MAMA and FAMA Calculation: The MAMA and FAMA values are calculated using the adaptive factor (alpha) and the input price data. These values are essentially adaptive moving averages that aim to capture the current trend more effectively than traditional moving averages.
But Omar, why would anyone want to use this?
The MAMA and FAMA lines offer benefits:
The indicator offers a distinct advantage over conventional moving averages due to its adaptive nature, which allows it to adjust to changing market conditions. This adaptability ensures that investors can stay on the right side of the trend, as the indicator becomes more responsive during trending periods and less sensitive in choppy or sideways markets.
One of the key strengths of this indicator lies in its ability to identify trends effectively by combining the MESA and MAMA techniques. By doing so, it efficiently filters out market noise, making it highly valuable for trend-following strategies. Investors can rely on this feature to gain clearer insights into the prevailing trends and make well-informed trading decisions.
This indicator is primarily suppoest to be used on the big timeframes to see which trend is prevailing, however I am not against someone using it on a timeframe below the 1D, just be careful if you are using this for modern portfolio theory, this is not suppoest to be a mid-term component, but rather a long term component that works well with proper use of detrended fluctuation analysis.
Dont hesitate to ask me if you have any questions
Again, I want to give credit to Everget and ChartPrime!
Wick-to-Body Ratio Trend Forecast | Flux ChartsThe Wick-to-Body Ratio Trend Forecast Indicator aims to forecast potential movements following the last closed candle using the wick-to-body ratio. The script identifies those candles within the loopback period with a ratio matching that of the last closed candle and provides an analysis of their trends.
➡️ USAGE
Wick-to-body ratios can be used in many strategies. The most common use in stock trading is to discern bullish or bearish sentiment. This indicator extends candle ratios, revealing previous patterns that follow a candle with a similar ratio. The most basic use of this indicator is the single forecast line.
➡️ FORECASTING SYSTEM
This line displays a compilation of the averages of all the previous trends resulting from those historical candles with a matching ratio. It shows the average movements of the trends as well as the 'strength' of the trend. The 'strength' of the trend is a gradient that is blue when the trend deviates more from the average and red when it deviates less.
Chart: AMEX:SPY 30 min; Indicator Settings: Loopback 700, Previous Trends ON
The color-coded deviation is visible in this image of the indicator with the default settings (except for Forecast Lines > Previous Trends ), and the trend line grows bluer as the past patterns deviate more.
➡️ ADAPTIVE ACCEPTABLE RANGE
The algorithm looks back at every candle within the loopback period to find candles that match the last closed candle. The algorithm adaptively changes the acceptable range to which a candle can differ from the ratio of the last closed candle. The algorithm will never have more than 15 historical points used, as it will lower its sensitivity before it reaches that point.
Chart: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 5 min; Indicator Settings: Loopback 700
Here is the BTC chart on 7/6/23 with default settings except for the loopback period at 700.
Chart: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 5 min; Indicator Settings: Loopback 200
Here is the exact same chart with a loopback period of 200. While the first ratio for both is the same, a new ratio is revealed for the chart with a loopback of only 200 because the adaptive range is adjusted in the algorithm to find an acceptable number of reference points. Note the table in the top right however, while the algorithm adapts the acceptable range between the current ratio and historical ones to find reference points, there is a threshold at which candles will be considered too inaccurate to be considered. This prevents meaningless associations between candles due to a particularly rare ratio. This threshold can be adjusted in the settings through "Default Accuracy".
Moving Average-TREND POWER v2.0-(AS)HELLO:
-This indicator is a waaaay simpler version of my other script - Moving Average-TREND POWER v1.1-(AS).
HOW DOES IT WORK:
-Script counts number of bars below or above selected Moving Average (u can se them by turning PLOT BARS on). Then multiplies number of bars by 0.01 and adds previous value. So in the uptrend indicator will be growing faster with every bar when price is above MA. When MA crosess price Value goes to zero so it shows when the market is ranging.
If Cross happens when number of bars is higher than Upper threshold or below Lower threshold indicator will go back to zero only if MA crosses with high in UPtrend and low in DNtrend. If cross happens inside THSs Value will be zero when MA crosses with any type of price source like for example (close,high,low,ohlc4,hl etc.....).This helps to get more crosess in side trend and less resets during a visible trend
HOW TO SET:
Just select what type of MA you want to use and Length. Then based on your preference set values of THSs'
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
-Script was created and tested on EURUSD 5M.
-For bigger trends choose slowerMAs and bigger periods and the other way around for short trends (FasterMAs/shorter periods)
-Below script code you can find not used formulas for calculating indicator value(thanks chat GPT), If you know some pinescript I encourage you to try try them or maybe bulid better ones. Script uses most basic one.
-Pls give me some feedback/ideas to improve and check out first version. Its way more complicated for no real reason but still worth to take a look'
-Also let me know if you find some logical errors in the code.
Enjoy and till we meet again.
Moving Average Trend Sniper [ChartPrime]Today we introducing the Moving Average Trend Sniper (MATS), a unique and powerful multi faceted tool. This moving average is designed to adapt to the ever-changing market conditions. MATS provides the ideal solution for traders looking to capitalize on market trends while accurately identifying support and resistance levels.
Why MATS?
MATS was developed with the trader in mind, focusing on the key factors crucial for a successful trading strategy - trend following, support, and resistance. Its unique moving average calculation not only accounts for market volatility and momentum but also provides a stable yet adaptable foundation for your trading decisions.
MATS employs a range of mathematical techniques to provide a precise and adaptive moving average, offering traders a more effective tool for analyzing market trends and identifying support and resistance levels. One of the primary distinctions of MATS is its use of delta, the change in market conditions, to update the moving average based on the trend's strength. This delta-based updating allows the moving average to adapt to market fluctuations and helps traders make more informed decisions when entering or exiting positions. MATS also focuses on the highs in a downtrend and the lows in an uptrend to provide more reliable support and resistance. By taking these crucial market points into consideration, the moving average delivers a comprehensive and accurate insight into the market's behavior and allows traders to make more precise predictions.
MATS leverages trigonometry to determine the trend angle for the moving average. By calculating this angle, MATS can efficiently pick the correct source (either the high or the low) to provide the best support and resistance analysis. This innovative use of trigonometry ensures that the moving average is better suited to the current market conditions and provides traders with a dynamic yet stable tool to support their trading decisions.
Settings:
Length: The length input for MATS plays a crucial role in determining how responsive the moving average will be to changes in market conditions. A shorter length setting results in a more reactive moving average that closely follows price movements, whereas a longer length setting generates a smoother, less volatile average. By adjusting the length setting, traders can fine-tune the sensitivity of MATS to align with their specific trading strategies and needs.
Glow: MATS offers a customizable and visually engaging display that helps traders effectively identify market trends. The "glow" effect surrounding support and resistance levels, available as an optional feature, enables users to assess these crucial areas more easily.
Example use cases:
In the screenshot below you can see the MATS acting as both a classical support and resistance while the glow and coloring is helped to provide a more classical trend following visualization to a trader. This duel functionality can help in re-entering during market retracements.
Probability Trend IndicatorUnderstanding the Indicator:
The indicator calculates the probabilities of upward and downward trends based on the percentage change in price over a specified lookback period.
It displays these probabilities in a table and plots a histogram to represent the difference between the probabilities.
The colors of the histogram bars indicate the trend direction and whether the trend is increasing or decreasing.
Setting the Lookback Period:
The indicator allows you to specify the lookback period, which determines the number of bars to consider for calculating the probabilities.
By default, the lookback period is set to 50 bars. However, you can adjust it based on your trading preferences and the timeframe you're analyzing.
Analyzing the Probabilities:
The indicator calculates the probabilities of upward and downward trends and displays them in a table on the chart.
The probabilities are presented as percentages, representing the likelihood of each type of trend occurring.
You can use these probabilities to gain insights into the potential market direction and assess the strength of the prevailing trend.
Interpreting the Histogram:
The histogram is plotted based on the difference between the probabilities of upward and downward trends, known as the oscillator value.
The histogram bars are colored to provide visual cues about the trend direction and whether the trend is gaining or losing strength.
Green bars indicate upward trends, and red bars indicate downward trends.
Lighter shades of green or red suggest increasing trends, while darker shades suggest decreasing trends.
Making Trading Decisions:
The indicator serves as a tool for assessing the probabilities of trends and can be used alongside other technical analysis methods.
You can consider the probabilities, the histogram pattern, and the overall market context to make informed trading decisions.
It's important to remember that no indicator or tool can guarantee future market movements, so prudent risk management and additional analysis are essential.
Crypto Trend IndicatorThe Crypto Trend Indicator is a trend-following indicator specifically designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in the price of Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies. This indicator doesn't provide explicit instructions on when to buy or sell, but rather offers an understanding of whether the trend is bullish or bearish. It's important to note that this indicator is only useful for trend trading.
The band is a visual representation of the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, the trend is bullish and the band is green. When the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA, the trend is bearish and the band is red. When the 30-day EMA starts to converge with the 60-day EMA, the trend is neutral and the band is grey.
The line is a visual representation of the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) in the daily timeframe. "Bull" and "Bear" signals are generated when the 20-day EMA is either above or below the 20-week SMA, in conjunction with a bullish or bearish trend. When the band is green and the 20-day EMA is above the 20-week SMA, a “Bull” signal emerges. When the band is red and the 20-day EMA is below the 20-week SMA, a “Bear” signal emerges. The 20-week SMA can potentially also function as a leading indicator, as substantial price deviations from the SMA typically indicate an overextended market.
While this indicator has traditionally identified bullish and bearish trends in various cryptocurrency assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, range-bound indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exits points.
