[FS] Time & Cycles Time & Cycles
A comprehensive trading session indicator that helps traders identify and track key market sessions and their price levels. This tool is particularly useful for forex and futures traders who need to monitor multiple trading sessions.
Key Features:
• Multiple Session Support:
- London Session
- New York Session
- Sydney Session
- Asia Session
- Customizable TBD Session
• Session Visualization:
- Clear session boxes with customizable colors
- Session labels with adjustable visibility
- Support for sessions crossing midnight
- Timezone-aware calculations
• Price Level Tracking:
- Daily High/Low levels
- Weekly High/Low levels
- Previous session High/Low levels
- Customizable history depth for each level type
• Customization Options:
- Adjustable colors for each session
- Customizable border styles
- Label visibility controls
- Timezone selection
- History level depth settings
• Technical Features:
- High-performance calculation engine
- Support for multiple timeframes
- Efficient memory usage
- Clean and intuitive visual display
Perfect for:
• Forex traders monitoring multiple sessions
• Futures traders tracking market hours
• Swing traders identifying key session levels
• Day traders planning their trading hours
• Market analysts studying session patterns
The indicator helps traders:
- Identify active trading sessions
- Track session-specific price levels
- Monitor market activity across different time zones
- Plan trades based on session boundaries
- Analyze price action within specific sessions
Note: This indicator is designed to work across all timeframes and is optimized for performance with minimal impact on chart loading times.
在腳本中搜尋"weekly"
Rolling Z-Score Trend [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Rolling Z-Score Trend measures how far the current price deviates from its rolling mean in terms of standard deviations. It transforms price data into standardized scores to identify overbought and oversold conditions while tracking momentum shifts.
The indicator displays a Z-Score line showing price deviation from statistical norms, with background momentum columns showing the rate of change in these deviations. This helps traders and investors identify mean reversion opportunities and momentum shifts across different asset classes and timeframes.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator uses the Z-Score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the current closing price, μ is the rolling mean, and σ is the rolling standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period. This creates a dynamic baseline that adapts to changing market conditions and standardizes price movements for interpretation across different assets and volatility conditions. The raw Z-Score undergoes 3-period EMA smoothing to reduce noise while maintaining responsiveness to market signals.
Beyond the basic Z-Score calculation, the indicator measures the rate of change in Z-Score values between successive bars, displayed as background momentum columns. This momentum component shows acceleration and deceleration of statistical deviations. All calculations are processed through confirmation filters, displaying signals only on confirmed bars to reduce premature signals based on incomplete price action.
🟢 How to Use
1. Z-Score Interpretation and Threshold Zones
Positive Values (Above Zero) : Price trading above statistical mean, suggesting bullish momentum or potential overbought conditions
Negative Values (Below Zero) : Price trading below statistical mean, suggesting bearish momentum or potential oversold conditions
Zero Line Crosses : Signal transitions between statistical regimes and potential trend changes
Upper Threshold Zone : Area above entry threshold (default 1.5) indicating potential overbought conditions
Lower Threshold Zone : Area below negative entry threshold (default -1.5) indicating potential oversold conditions
Extreme Values (±2.0 or higher) : Statistically significant deviations that may indicate reversal opportunities
2. Momentum Background Analysis and Info Table
Green Columns : Accelerating positive momentum in Z-Score values
Red Columns : Accelerating negative momentum in Z-Score values
Column Height : Magnitude of momentum change between bars
Momentum Divergence : When columns contradict primary Z-Score direction, often signals impending reversals
Info Table : Displays real-time numerical values for both Z-Score and momentum, including trend direction indicators and bar-to-bar change calculations for position management
3. Preconfigured Settings
Default : Balanced performance across multiple timeframes and asset classes for general trading and medium-term position management.
Scalping : Responsive setup for ultra-short-term trading on 1-15 minute charts with frequent signals and increased sensitivity to quick price movements.
Swing Trading : Optimized for multi-day positions with noise filtering, focusing on larger price swings. Most effective on 1-4 hour and daily timeframes.
Trend Following : Maximum smoothing that prioritizes established trends over short-term volatility. Generates fewer signals for daily and weekly charts.
Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector# Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector: User Guide
## Overview
The Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector is a TradingView indicator designed to track sector performance and identify market rotations in real-time. It monitors key sector ETFs, calculates performance metrics, and provides actionable stock recommendations based on sector strength and weakness.
## Purpose
This indicator helps traders identify when capital is moving from one sector to another (sector rotation), which can provide valuable trading opportunities. It also detects risk-off conditions in the market and highlights sectors with abnormal trading volume.
## Table Columns Explained
### 1. Sector
Displays the sector name being monitored. The indicator tracks six primary sectors plus the S&P 500:
- Energy (XLE)
- Financial (XLF)
- Technology (XLK)
- Consumer Staples (XLP)
- Utilities (XLU)
- Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
- S&P 500 (SPY)
### 2. Perf %
Shows the daily percentage performance of each sector ETF. Values are color-coded:
- Green: Positive performance
- Red: Negative performance
Positive values display with a "+" sign (e.g., +1.25%)
### 3. RSI
Displays the Relative Strength Index value for each sector, which helps identify overbought or oversold conditions:
- Values above 70 (highlighted in red): Potentially overbought
- Values below 30 (highlighted in green): Potentially oversold
- Values between 30-70 (highlighted in blue): Neutral territory
### 4. Vol Ratio
Shows the volume ratio, which compares today's volume to the average volume over the lookback period:
- Values above 1.5x (highlighted in yellow): Indicates abnormally high trading volume
- Values below 1.5x (highlighted in blue): Normal trading volume
This helps identify sectors with unusual activity that may signal important price movements.
### 5. Trend
Displays the current price trend direction with symbols:
- ▲ (green): Uptrend (today's close > yesterday's close)
- ▼ (red): Downtrend (today's close < yesterday's close)
- ◆ (gray): Neutral (today's close = yesterday's close)
## Summary & Recommendations Section
The summary section provides:
1. **Sector Rotation Detection**: Identifies when there's a significant performance gap (>2%) between the strongest and weakest sectors.
2. **Risk-Off Mode Detection**: Alerts when defensive sectors (Consumer Staples and Utilities) are positive while Technology is negative, which often signals investors are moving to safer assets.
3. **Strong Volume Detection**: Indicates when any sector shows abnormally high trading volume.
4. **Stock Recommendations**: Suggests specific stocks to consider for long positions (from the strongest sectors) and short positions (from the weakest sectors).
## Example Interpretations
### Example 1: Sector Rotation
If you see:
- Technology: -1.85%
- Financial: +2.10%
- Summary shows: "SECTOR ROTATION DETECTED: Rotation from Technology to Financial"
**Interpretation**: Capital is moving out of tech stocks and into financial stocks. This could be due to rising interest rates, which typically benefit banks while pressuring high-growth tech companies. Consider looking at financial stocks like JPM, BAC, and WFC for potential long positions.
### Example 2: Risk-Off Conditions
If you see:
- Consumer Staples: +0.80%
- Utilities: +1.20%
- Technology: -1.50%
- Summary shows: "RISK-OFF MODE DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: Investors are seeking safety in defensive sectors while selling growth-oriented tech stocks. This often occurs during market uncertainty or ahead of economic concerns. Consider reducing exposure to high-beta stocks and possibly adding defensive names like PG, KO, or NEE.
### Example 3: Volume Spike
If you see:
- Energy: +3.20% with Volume Ratio 2.5x (highlighted in yellow)
- Summary shows: "STRONG VOLUME DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: The energy sector is making a strong move with significantly higher-than-average volume, suggesting conviction behind the price movement. This could indicate the beginning of a sustained trend in energy stocks. Consider names like XOM, CVX, and COP.
## How to Use the Indicator
1. Apply the indicator to any chart (works best on daily timeframes).
2. Customize settings if needed:
- Timeframe: Choose between intraday (60 or 240 minutes), daily, or weekly
- Lookback Period: Adjust the historical comparison period (default: 20)
- RSI Period: Modify the RSI calculation period (default: 14)
3. To refresh the data: Click the settings icon, increase the "Click + to refresh data" counter, and click "OK".
4. Identify opportunities based on sector performance, RSI levels, volume ratios, and the summary recommendations.
This indicator helps traders align with market rotation trends and identify which sectors (and specific stocks) may outperform or underperform in the near term.
Luma DCA Tracker (BTC)Luma DCA Tracker (BTC) – User Guide
Function
This indicator simulates a regular Bitcoin investment strategy (Dollar Cost Averaging). It calculates and visualizes:
Accumulated BTC amount
Average entry price
Total amount invested
Current portfolio value
Profit/loss in absolute and percentage terms
Settings
Investment per interval
Fixed amount to be invested at each interval (e.g., 100 USD)
Start date
The date when DCA simulation begins
Investment interval
Choose between:
daily, weekly, every 14 days, or monthly
Show investment data
Displays additional chart lines (total invested, value, profit, etc.)
Chart Elements
Orange line: Average DCA entry price
Grey dots: Entry points based on selected interval
Info box (bottom left): Live summary of all key values
Notes
Purchases are simulated at the closing price of each interval
No fees, slippage, or taxes are included
The indicator is a simulation only and not linked to an actual portfolio
Flux Capacitor (FC)# Flux Capacitor
**A volume-weighted, outlier-resistant momentum oscillator designed to expose hidden directional pressure from institutional participants.**
---
### Why "Flux Capacitor"?
The name pays homage to the fictional energy core in *Back to the Future* — an invisible engine that powers movement. Similarly, this indicator detects whether price movement is being powered by real market participation (volume) or if it's coasting without conviction.
---
### Methodology
The Flux Capacitor fuses three statistical layers:
- **Normalized Momentum**: `(Close – Open) / ATR`
Controls for raw price size and volatility.
- **Volume Scaling**:
Amplifies the effect of price moves that occur with elevated volume.
- **Robust Normalization**:
- *Winsorization* caps outlier spikes.
- *MAD-Z scoring* normalizes the signal across assets (crypto, futures, stocks).
- This produces consistent scaling across timeframes and symbols.
The result is a smooth oscillator that reliably indicates **liquidity-backed momentum** — not just price movement.
---
### Signal Events
- **Divergence (D)**: Price makes higher highs or lower lows, but Flux does not.
- **Absorption (A)**: Candle shows high volume and small body, while Flux opposes the candle direction — indicates smart money stepping in.
- **Compression (◆)**: High volume with low momentum — potential breakout zone.
- **Zero-Cross**: Indicates directional regime flip.
- **Flux Acceleration**: Histogram shows pressure rate of change.
- **Regime Background**: Color fades with weakening trend conviction.
All signals are color-coded and visually compact for easy pattern recognition.
---
### Interpreting Divergence & Absorption Correctly
Signal strength improves significantly when it appears **in the correct zone**:
#### Divergence:
| Signal | Zone | Meaning | Strength |
|--------|------------|------------------------------------------|--------------|
| Green D | Below 0 | Bullish reversal forming in weakness | **Strong** |
| Green D | Above 0 | Bullish, but less convincing | Moderate |
| Red D | Above 0 | Bearish reversal forming in strength | **Strong** |
| Red D | Below 0 | Bearish continuation — low warning value | Weak |
#### Absorption:
| Signal | Zone | Meaning | Strength |
|--------|------------|-----------------------------------------|--------------|
| Green A | Below 0 | Buyers absorbing panic-selling | **Strong** |
| Green A | Above 0 | Support continuation | Moderate |
| Red A | Above 0 | Sellers absorbing FOMO buying | **Strong** |
| Red A | Below 0 | Trend continuation — not actionable | Weak |
Look for **absorption or divergence signals in “enemy territory”** for the most actionable entries.
---
### Reducing Visual Footprint
If your chart shows a long line of numbers across the top of the Flux Capacitor pane (e.g. "FC 14 20 9 ... Bottom Right"), it’s due to TradingView’s *status line input display*.
**To fix this**:
Right-click the indicator pane → **Settings** → **Status Line** tab → uncheck “Show Indicator Arguments”.
This frees up vertical space so top-edge signals (like red `D` or yellow `◆`) remain visible and unobstructed.
---
### Features
- Original MAD-Z based momentum design
- True volume-based divergence and absorption logic
- Built-in alerts for all signal types
- Works across timeframes (1-min to weekly)
- Minimalist, responsive layout
- 25+ customizable parameters
- No future leaks, no repainting
---
### Usage Scenarios
- **Trend confirmation**: Flux > 0 confirms bullish trend strength
- **Reversal detection**: Divergence or absorption in opposite territory = high-probability reversal
- **Breakout anticipation**: Compression signal inside range often precedes directional move
- **Momentum shifts**: Watch for zero-crosses + flux acceleration spikes
---
### ⚠ Visual Note for BTC, ETH, Crude Oil & Futures
These high-priced or rapidly accelerating instruments can visually compress any linear oscillator. You may notice the Flux Capacitor’s line appears "flat" or muted on these assets — especially over long lookbacks.
> **This does not affect signal validity.** Divergence, absorption, and compression triggers still fire based on underlying logic — only the line’s amplitude appears reduced due to scaling constraints.
---
### Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. It is not trading advice. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Use in combination with your own risk management and analysis.
Magnificent 7 OscillatorThe Magnificent 7 Oscillator is a sophisticated momentum-based technical indicator designed to analyze the collective performance of the seven largest technology companies in the U.S. stock market (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta). This indicator incorporates established momentum factor research and provides three distinct analytical modes: absolute momentum tracking, equal-weighted market comparison, and relative performance analysis. The tool integrates five different oscillator methodologies and includes advanced breadth analysis capabilities.
Theoretical Foundation
Momentum Factor Research
The indicator's foundation rests on seminal momentum research in financial markets. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) demonstrated that stocks with strong price performance over 3-12 month periods tend to continue outperforming in subsequent periods¹. This momentum effect was later incorporated into formal factor models by Carhart (1997), who extended the Fama-French three-factor model to include a momentum factor (UMD - Up Minus Down)².
The momentum calculation methodology follows the academic standard:
Momentum(t) = / P(t-n) × 100
Where P(t) is the current price and n is the lookback period.
The focus on the "Magnificent 7" stocks reflects the increasing market concentration observed in recent years. Fama and French (2015) noted that a small number of large-cap stocks can drive significant market movements due to their substantial index weights³. The combined market capitalization of these seven companies often exceeds 25% of the total S&P 500, making their collective momentum a critical market indicator.
Indicator Architecture
Core Components
1. Data Collection and Processing
The indicator employs robust data collection with error handling for missing or invalid security data. Each stock's momentum is calculated independently using the specified lookback period (default: 14 periods).
2. Composite Oscillator Calculation
Following Fama-French factor construction methodology, the indicator offers two weighting schemes:
- Equal Weight: Each active stock receives identical weighting (1/n)
- Market Cap Weight: Reserved for future enhancement
3. Oscillator Transformation Functions
The indicator provides five distinct oscillator types, each with established technical analysis foundations:
a) Momentum Oscillator (Default)
- Pure rate-of-change calculation
- Centered around zero
- Direct implementation of Jegadeesh & Titman methodology
b) RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Wilder's (1978) relative strength methodology
- Transformed to center around zero for consistency
- Scale: -50 to +50
c) Stochastic Oscillator
- George Lane's %K methodology
- Measures current position within recent range
- Transformed to center around zero
d) Williams %R
- Larry Williams' range-based oscillator
- Inverse stochastic calculation
- Adjusted for zero-centered display
e) CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
- Donald Lambert's mean reversion indicator
- Measures deviation from moving average
- Scaled for optimal visualization
Operational Modes
Mode 1: Magnificent 7 Analysis
Tracks the collective momentum of the seven constituent stocks. This mode is optimal for:
- Technology sector analysis
- Growth stock momentum assessment
- Large-cap performance tracking
Mode 2: S&P 500 Equal Weight Comparison
Analyzes momentum using an equal-weighted S&P 500 reference (typically RSP ETF). This mode provides:
- Broader market momentum context
- Size-neutral market analysis
- Comparison baseline for relative performance
Mode 3: Relative Performance Analysis
Calculates the momentum differential between Magnificent 7 and S&P 500 Equal Weight. This mode enables:
- Sector rotation analysis
- Style factor assessment (Growth vs. Value)
- Relative strength identification
Formula: Relative Performance = MAG7_Momentum - SP500EW_Momentum
Signal Generation and Thresholds
Signal Classification
The indicator generates three signal states:
- Bullish: Oscillator > Upper Threshold (default: +2.0%)
- Bearish: Oscillator < Lower Threshold (default: -2.0%)
- Neutral: Oscillator between thresholds
Relative Performance Signals
In relative performance mode, specialized thresholds apply:
- Outperformance: Relative momentum > +1.0%
- Underperformance: Relative momentum < -1.0%
Alert System
Comprehensive alert conditions include:
- Threshold crossovers (bullish/bearish signals)
- Zero-line crosses (momentum direction changes)
- Relative performance shifts
- Breadth Analysis Component
The indicator incorporates market breadth analysis, calculating the percentage of constituent stocks with positive momentum. This feature provides insights into:
- Strong Breadth (>60%): Broad-based momentum
- Weak Breadth (<40%): Narrow momentum leadership
- Mixed Breadth (40-60%): Neutral momentum distribution
Visual Design and User Interface
Theme-Adaptive Display
The indicator automatically adjusts color schemes for dark and light chart themes, ensuring optimal visibility across different user preferences.
Professional Data Table
A comprehensive data table displays:
- Current oscillator value and percentage
- Active mode and oscillator type
- Signal status and strength
- Component breakdowns (in relative performance mode)
- Breadth percentage
- Active threshold levels
Custom Color Options
Users can override default colors with custom selections for:
- Neutral conditions (default: Material Blue)
- Bullish signals (default: Material Green)
- Bearish signals (default: Material Red)
Practical Applications
Portfolio Management
- Sector Allocation: Use relative performance mode to time technology sector exposure
- Risk Management: Monitor breadth deterioration as early warning signal
- Entry/Exit Timing: Utilize threshold crossovers for position sizing decisions
Market Analysis
- Trend Identification: Zero-line crosses indicate momentum regime changes
- Divergence Analysis: Compare MAG7 performance against broader market
- Volatility Assessment: Oscillator range and frequency provide volatility insights
Strategy Development
- Factor Timing: Implement growth factor timing strategies
- Momentum Strategies: Develop systematic momentum-based approaches
- Risk Parity: Use breadth metrics for risk-adjusted portfolio construction
Configuration Guidelines
Parameter Selection
- Momentum Period (5-100): Shorter periods (5-20) for tactical analysis, longer periods (50-100) for strategic assessment
- Smoothing Period (1-50): Higher values reduce noise but increase lag
- Thresholds: Adjust based on historical volatility and strategy requirements
Timeframe Considerations
- Daily Charts: Optimal for swing trading and medium-term analysis
- Weekly Charts: Suitable for long-term trend analysis
- Intraday Charts: Useful for short-term tactical decisions
Limitations and Considerations
Market Concentration Risk
The indicator's focus on seven stocks creates concentration risk. During periods of significant rotation away from large-cap technology stocks, the indicator may not represent broader market conditions.
Momentum Persistence
While momentum effects are well-documented, they are not permanent. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) noted momentum reversal effects over longer time horizons (2-5 years).
Correlation Dynamics
During market stress, correlations among the constituent stocks may increase, reducing the diversification benefits and potentially amplifying signal intensity.
Performance Metrics and Backtesting
The indicator includes hidden plots for comprehensive backtesting:
- Individual stock momentum values
- Composite breadth percentage
- S&P 500 Equal Weight momentum
- Relative performance calculations
These metrics enable quantitative strategy development and historical performance analysis.
References
¹Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Carhart, M. M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
1 Candle SMT Divergence (Nephew_Sam_)📊 1 Candle SMT Divergence Detector
3-Way Smart Money Theory (SMT) Divergence Scanner for Multi-Symbol Analysis
This indicator identifies 1-candle SMT divergences by comparing one primary symbol against up to 2 correlation symbols across multiple timeframes simultaneously. Perfect for detecting institutional smart money moves and market inefficiencies.
🎯 Key Features:
3-Way Comparison: Compare 1 "From" symbol vs 2 "To" symbols (configurable)
5 Symbol Pairs: Pre-configure up to 5 different symbol combinations
Multi-Timeframe: Scan 5 timeframes simultaneously (Chart, 1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly)
Smart Filtering: Only displays timeframes equal to or higher than your chart
Real-Time Detection: Compares current vs previous candle highs/lows
Visual Alerts: Clean table display with color-coded divergence status
Line Drawing: Optional trend lines connecting divergence points
Replay Compatible: Works with TradingView's replay mode
📈 How It Works:
Detects when one symbol makes a higher high while correlated symbols make lower highs (and vice versa for lows). This creates SMT divergence signals that often precede significant market moves.
Events assistantThis script gives an ability to manually add events to your charts. There is no option to define events for different pairs. I trade only 2-3 pairs and it helps me a lot. It also draws vertical lines that separate trading period of your selection: daily, weekly and monthly. It is also possible to strictly define trading period. I use trading period every time during backtesting so it is easy to know when to start and when to finish. It also helps to remember that I already written down trading news during selected period.
Breakout TrendTiltFolio Breakout Trend indicator
The Breakout Trend indicator is designed to help traders clearly visualize trend direction by combining two complementary techniques: moving averages and Donchian-style breakout logic.
Rather than relying on just one type of signal, this indicator merges short-term and long-term moving averages with breakout levels based on recent highs and lows. The moving averages define the broader trend regime, while the breakout logic pinpoints moments when price confirms directional momentum. This layered approach filters out many false signals while still capturing high-conviction moves.
Yes, these are lagging indicators by design — and that’s the point. Instead of predicting every wiggle, the Breakout Trend waits for confirmation, offering higher signal quality and fewer whipsaws. When the price breaks above a recent high and sits above the long-term moving average, the trend is more likely to persist. That’s when this indicator shines.
While it performs best on higher timeframes (daily/weekly), it's also adaptable to shorter timeframes for intraday traders who value clean, systematic trend signals.
For early signal detection, we recommend pairing this with TiltFolio’s Buying/Selling Proxy, which anticipates pressure buildups—albeit with more noise.
It's easy to read and built for real-world trading discipline.
Trendline Breakouts With Volume Strength [TradeDots]Trendline Breakouts With Volume Strength is an innovative indicator designed to identify potential market turning points using pivot-based trendline detection and volume confirmation. By merging dynamic trendline analysis with multi-tiered volume filters, this tool helps traders quickly spot breakouts or breakdowns that may signal significant shifts in price action.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Pivot-Based Trendline Detection
The script automatically scans for recent pivot highs and lows over a user-defined lookback period.
When it finds higher pivot lows, it plots green uptrend lines; when it finds lower pivot highs, it plots red downtrend lines.
These dynamic lines update as new pivots form, providing continuously refreshed trend guidance.
2. Volume Ratio Analysis
A moving average of volume is compared against the current bar’s volume to calculate a ratio (e.g., 1.5×, 2×).
Higher ratios suggest above-average volume, often interpreted as stronger participation.
The script applies color-coded cues to highlight the intensity of volume surges.
3. Breakout & Breakdown Detection
Each trendline is monitored for a defined “break threshold,” which helps avoid minor penetrations that can trigger premature signals.
When price closes beyond a threshold below an uptrend line, the indicator labels it a “BREAKDOWN.” If it closes above a threshold on a downtrend line, it labels it a “BREAKOUT.”
Volume surges accompanying these breaks are highlighted with contextual emojis and distinct color gradients for quick visual reference.
4. Trend Direction Table
A small on-chart table provides a snapshot of the current market trend—Uptrend, Downtrend, or Sideways—based on a simple moving average slope and the number of active uptrend or downtrend lines.
This table also displays quick stats on how many lines are actively tracked, helping traders assess the broader market posture at a glance.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Choose a Timeframe
This script works on multiple timeframes. Intraday traders can monitor minute or hourly charts for frequent pivot updates, while swing and position traders may prefer daily or weekly intervals to reduce noise.
2. Observe Trendlines & Labels
Watch for newly drawn green/red lines connecting pivots.
When you see a “BREAKOUT” or “BREAKDOWN” label, confirm whether volume was abnormally high based on the ratio or color-coded bars.
3. Consult the Trend Table
Use the table in the bottom-right corner to quickly check if the market is trending or range-bound.
Look at the count of active uptrend vs. downtrend lines to gauge broader sentiment.
4. Employ Additional Analysis
Combine these signals with other tools (e.g., candlestick patterns, oscillators, or fundamental analysis).
Validate potential breakouts using standard techniques like retests or support/resistance checks.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Delayed Pivots: Trendlines only adjust once new pivot highs or lows form, which can introduce a slight lag in highly volatile environments.
Choppy Markets: Rapid, back-and-forth price moves may produce conflicting trendline signals and frequent breakouts/breakdowns.
Volume Data Reliability: Gaps in volume data or unusual market conditions (holidays, low-liquidity sessions) can skew ratio readings.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading any financial instrument involves substantial risk, and this indicator does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. All signals and visual cues are for educational and informational purposes only; past performance does not assure future outcomes. You retain full responsibility for your trading decisions, including proper risk management, position sizing, and the use of additional confirmation methods. Always consider the possibility of losing some or all of your original investment.
ALEX - ATR Extensions + ADR + TableALEX - ATR Extensions + ADR + Table
Overview
The ALEX ATR Extensions indicator is a comprehensive volatility and momentum analysis tool that combines Average True Range (ATR), Average Daily Range (ADR), and moving average distance calculations in a single, customizable display. This indicator helps traders assess current price action relative to historical volatility and key moving averages, providing crucial context for risk management and trade planning.
Key Features
Multi-Metric Analysis
- ATR Percentage: Current ATR as a percentage of price for volatility assessment
- ADR Percentage: Average Daily Range as a percentage for typical daily movement
- Low of Day Distance: Distance from current price to daily low
- Moving Average Distance: ATR-normalized distance from 21 and 50 period moving averages
Flexible Moving Average Options
- Configurable MA Types: Choose between EMA or SMA for both 21 and 50 period averages
- Customizable Periods: Adjust moving average lengths to suit your trading style
- Daily Timeframe Data: Uses daily moving averages regardless of chart timeframe
ATR Extension Levels
- Dynamic Price Targets: Calculate extension levels based on ATR multiples from moving averages
- Visual Reference Lines: Optional overlay lines showing ATR extension targets
- Customizable Multipliers: Adjust ATR multipliers for different risk/reward scenarios
Smart Visual Alerts
- Color-Coded Distance Metrics: Automatic color changes based on distance thresholds
- Symbol Plotting: Customizable chart symbols when distance thresholds are exceeded
- Threshold-Based Alerts: Visual cues when price reaches significant ATR distances
Comprehensive Data Table
- Real-Time Metrics: Live updating table with all key measurements
- Customizable Display: Toggle individual metrics on/off based on preference
- Professional Styling: Adjustable colors, fonts, and transparency
How to Use
Volatility Assessment
- High ATR%: Indicates elevated volatility, larger position sizing considerations
- Low ATR%: Suggests compressed volatility, potential for expansion
- ADR% Comparison: Compare current day's range to historical average
Moving Average Analysis
- ATR Distance 21/50: Normalized distance showing how extended price is from key levels
- Positive Values: Price above moving average (bullish positioning)
- Negative Values: Price below moving average (bearish positioning)
- Color Changes: Automatic alerts when reaching threshold levels
Extension Target Planning
- ATR Extension Lines: Visual price targets based on volatility-adjusted projections
- Risk/Reward Planning: Use extension levels for profit target placement
- Breakout Confirmation: Extension levels can confirm breakout validity
Symbol Alert System
- Chart Symbols: Automatic plotting when distance thresholds are breached
- Customizable Triggers: Set your own threshold levels for alerts
- Visual Scanning: Quick identification of extended conditions across multiple charts
Settings
Display Controls
- Show ADR%: Toggle average daily range percentage display
- Show ATR%: Toggle average true range percentage display
- Show LoD Distance: Toggle low of day distance calculation
- Show LoD Price: Toggle actual low of day price display
- Show ATR Distance from 21/50 DMA: Toggle moving average distance metrics
- Show 21/50 DMA Price: Toggle actual moving average price display
- Show ATR Extension Levels: Toggle extension target display in table
Moving Average Configuration
- 21/50 DMA Type: Choose between EMA or SMA calculation methods
- 21/50 DMA Period: Customize moving average lengths
- ADR/ATR Length: Adjust calculation periods for range measurements
Color Thresholds
- Threshold Levels: Set distance levels for color changes (default 2.0 and 5.0)
- Custom Colors: Choose colors for different threshold breaches
- Separate 21/50 Settings: Independent color schemes for each moving average
Symbol Settings
- Show Char Symbol: Toggle symbol plotting for each moving average
- Custom Symbols: Choose any character for chart plotting
- Symbol Colors: Customize colors for visual distinction
- Threshold Levels: Set trigger points for symbol appearance
ATR Extension Lines
- Show Extension Lines: Toggle visual extension level lines
- ATR Multipliers: Customize extension distance (default 2.0x)
- Line Colors: Choose colors for extension level visualization
Table Customization
- Background Color: Adjust table transparency and color
- Text Color: Customize default text appearance
- Font Size: Choose from tiny to huge font options
Advanced Applications
Trend Strength Analysis
- Large ATR distances suggest strong trending moves
- Small ATR distances indicate potential consolidation or reversal zones
- Compare current readings to recent historical ranges
Risk Management
- Use ATR% for position sizing calculations
- Extension levels provide natural profit target zones
- Distance metrics help identify overextended conditions
Multi-Timeframe Context
- Apply to different timeframes for comprehensive analysis
- Daily data provides consistency across all chart intervals
- Combine with weekly/monthly analysis for broader context
Market Regime Identification
- High volatility periods: Increased ATR% readings
- Low volatility periods: Compressed ATR% readings
- Trending markets: Sustained high distance readings
- Consolidating markets: Low distance readings with frequent color changes
Best Practices
Volatility-Adjusted Trading
- Increase position sizes during low volatility periods
- Reduce position sizes during high volatility periods
- Use ATR% for stop-loss placement relative to normal market movement
Extension Level Usage
- Primary targets: 1.5-2.0x ATR extensions
- Secondary targets: 2.5-3.0x ATR extensions
- Avoid chasing prices beyond 3x ATR extensions
Threshold Optimization
- Backtest different threshold levels for your trading style
- Consider market conditions when setting alert levels
- Adjust thresholds based on instrument volatility characteristics
Integration Strategies
- Combine with momentum indicators for confirmation
- Use alongside support/resistance levels
- Incorporate into systematic trading approaches
Technical Specifications
- Compatible with Pine Script v6
- Uses daily timeframe data for consistency
- Optimized for real-time performance
- Works on all chart types and timeframes
- Supports all tradeable instruments
Ideal For
- Swing traders using daily charts
- Position traders seeking volatility context
- Day traders needing intraday reference levels
- Risk managers requiring volatility metrics
- Systematic traders building rule-based strategies
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other forms of analysis, proper risk management techniques, and consider your individual trading plan and risk tolerance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Compatible with Pine Script v6 | Optimized for daily timeframe analysis | Works across all markets and instruments
21DMA Structure Counter (EMA/SMA Option)21DMA Structure Counter (EMA/SMA Option)
Overview
The 21DMA Structure Counter is an advanced technical indicator that tracks consecutive periods where price action remains above a 21-period moving average structure. This indicator helps traders identify momentum phases and potential trend exhaustion points using statistical analysis.
Key Features
Moving Average Structure
- Configurable MA Type: Choose between EMA (Exponential Moving Average) or SMA (Simple Moving Average)
- 21-Period Default: Optimized for the widely-watched 21-period moving average
- Triple MA Structure: Tracks high, close, and low moving averages for comprehensive analysis
Statistical Analysis
- Cycle Counting: Automatically counts consecutive periods above the MA structure
- Historical Data: Maintains up to 2,500 historical cycles (approximately 10 years of daily data)
- Z-Score Calculation: Provides statistical context using mean and standard deviation
- Multiple Standard Deviation Levels: Displays +1, +2, and +3 standard deviation thresholds
Visual Indicators
Color-Coded Bars:
- Gray: Below 10-year average
- Yellow: Between average and +1 standard deviation
- Orange: Between +1 and +2 standard deviations
- Red: Between +2 and +3 standard deviations
- Fuchsia: Above +3 standard deviations (extreme readings)
Breadth Integration
- Multiple Breadth Options: NDFI, NDTH, NDTW (NASDAQ breadth indicators), or VIX
- Background Shading: Visual alerts when breadth reaches extreme levels
- High/Low Thresholds: Customizable levels for breadth analysis
- Real-time Display: Current breadth value shown in data table
Smart Reset Logic
- High Below Structure Reset: Automatically resets count when daily high falls below the lowest MA
- Flexible Hold Period: Continues counting during temporary weakness as long as structure isn't violated
- Precise Entry/Exit: Strict criteria for starting cycles, flexible for maintaining them
How to Use
Trend Identification
- Rising Counts: Indicate sustained momentum above key moving average structure
- Extreme Readings: Z-scores above +2 or +3 suggest potential trend exhaustion
- Historical Context: Compare current cycles to 10-year statistical averages
Risk Management
- Breadth Confirmation: Use breadth shading to confirm market-wide strength/weakness
- Statistical Extremes: Exercise caution when readings reach +3 standard deviations
- Reset Signals: Pay attention to structure violations for potential trend changes
Multi-Timeframe Application
- Daily Charts: Primary timeframe for swing trading and position management
- Weekly/Monthly: Longer-term trend analysis
- Intraday: Shorter-term momentum assessment (adjust MA period accordingly)
Settings
Moving Average Options
- Type: EMA or SMA selection
- Period: Default 21 (customizable)
- Reset Days: Days below structure required for reset
Visual Customization
- Standard Deviation Lines: Toggle and customize colors for +1, +2, +3 SD
- Breadth Selection: Choose from NDFI, NDTH, NDTW, or VIX
- Threshold Levels: Set custom high/low breadth thresholds
- Table Styling: Customize text colors, background, and font size
Technical Notes
- Data Retention: Maintains 2,500 historical cycles for robust statistical analysis
- Real-time Updates: Calculations update with each new bar
- Breadth Integration: Uses security() function to pull external breadth data
- Performance Optimized: Efficient array management prevents memory issues
Best Practices
1. Combine with Price Action: Use alongside support/resistance and chart patterns
2. Monitor Breadth Divergences: Watch for breadth weakness during strong readings
3. Respect Statistical Extremes: Exercise caution at +2/+3 standard deviation levels
4. Context Matters: Consider overall market environment and sector rotation
5. Risk Management: Use appropriate position sizing, especially at extreme readings
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other forms of analysis and proper risk management techniques.
Compatible with Pine Script v6 | Optimized for daily timeframes | Best used on major indices and liquid stocks
Yearly Performance Table with CAGROverview
This Pine Script indicator provides a clear table displaying the annual performance of an asset, along with two different average metrics: the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean (CAGR).
Core Features
Annual Performance Calculation:
Automatically detects the first trading day of each calendar year.
Calculates the percentage return for each full calendar year.
Based on closing prices from the first to the last trading day of the respective year.
Flexible Display:
Adjustable Period: Displays data for 1-50 years (default: 10 years).
Daily Timeframe Only: Functions exclusively on daily charts.
Automatic Update: Always shows the latest available years.
Two Average Metrics:
AVG (Arithmetic Mean)
A simple average of all annual returns. (Formula: (R₁ + R₂ + ... + Rₙ) ÷ n)
Important: Can be misleading in the presence of volatile returns.
GEO (Geometric Mean / CAGR)
Compound Annual Growth Rate. (Formula: ^(1/n) - 1)
Represents the true average annual growth rate.
Fully accounts for the compounding effect.
Limitations
Daily Charts Only: Does not work on intraday or weekly/monthly timeframes.
Calendar Year Basis: Calculations are based on calendar years, not rolling 12-month periods.
Historical Data: Dependent on the availability of historical data from the broker/data provider.
Interpretation of Results
CAGR as Benchmark: The geometric mean is more suitable for performance comparisons.
Annual Patterns: Individual year figures can reveal seasonal or cyclical trends.
Market Zone Analyzer[BullByte]Understanding the Market Zone Analyzer
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1. Purpose of the Indicator
The Market Zone Analyzer is a Pine Script™ (version 6) indicator designed to streamline market analysis on TradingView. Rather than scanning multiple separate tools, it unifies four core dimensions—trend strength, momentum, price action, and market activity—into a single, consolidated view. By doing so, it helps traders:
• Save time by avoiding manual cross-referencing of disparate signals.
• Reduce decision-making errors that can arise from juggling multiple indicators.
• Gain a clear, reliable read on whether the market is in a bullish, bearish, or sideways phase, so they can more confidently decide to enter, exit, or hold a position.
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2. Why a Trader Should Use It
• Unified View: Combines all essential market dimensions into one easy-to-read score and dashboard, eliminating the need to piece together signals manually.
• Adaptability: Automatically adjusts its internal weighting for trend, momentum, and price action based on current volatility. Whether markets are choppy or calm, the indicator remains relevant.
• Ease of Interpretation: Outputs a simple “BULLISH,” “BEARISH,” or “SIDEWAYS” label, supplemented by an intuitive on-chart dashboard and an oscillator plot that visually highlights market direction.
• Reliability Features: Built-in smoothing of the net score and hysteresis logic (requiring consecutive confirmations before flips) minimize false signals during noisy or range-bound phases.
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3. Why These Specific Indicators?
This script relies on a curated set of well-established technical tools, each chosen for its particular strength in measuring one of the four core dimensions:
1. Trend Strength:
• ADX/DMI (Average Directional Index / Directional Movement Index): Measures how strong a trend is, and whether the +DI line is above the –DI line (bullish) or vice versa (bearish).
• Moving Average Slope (Fast MA vs. Slow MA): Compares a shorter-period SMA to a longer-period SMA; if the fast MA sits above the slow MA, it confirms an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend.
• Ichimoku Cloud Differential (Senkou A vs. Senkou B): Provides a forward-looking view of trend direction; Senkou A above Senkou B signals bullishness, and the opposite signals bearishness.
2. Momentum:
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifies overbought (above its dynamically calculated upper bound) or oversold (below its lower bound) conditions; changes in RSI often precede price reversals.
• Stochastic %K: Highlights shifts in short-term momentum by comparing closing price to the recent high/low range; values above its upper band signal bullish momentum, below its lower band signal bearish momentum.
• MACD Histogram: Measures the difference between the MACD line and its signal line; a positive histogram indicates upward momentum, a negative histogram indicates downward momentum.
3. Price Action:
• Highest High / Lowest Low (HH/LL) Range: Over a defined lookback period, this captures breakout or breakdown levels. A closing price near the recent highs (with a positive MA slope) yields a bullish score, and near the lows (with a negative MA slope) yields a bearish score.
• Heikin-Ashi Doji Detection: Uses Heikin-Ashi candles to identify indecision or continuation patterns. A small Heikin-Ashi body (doji) relative to recent volatility is scored as neutral; a larger body in the direction of the MA slope is scored bullish or bearish.
• Candle Range Measurement: Compares each candle’s high-low range against its own dynamic band (average range ± standard deviation). Large candles aligning with the prevailing trend score bullish or bearish accordingly; unusually small candles can indicate exhaustion or consolidation.
4. Market Activity:
• Bollinger Bands Width (BBW): Measures the distance between BB upper and lower bands; wide bands indicate high volatility, narrow bands indicate low volatility.
• Average True Range (ATR): Quantifies average price movement (volatility). A sudden spike in ATR suggests a volatile environment, while a contraction suggests calm.
• Keltner Channels Width (KCW): Similar to BBW but uses ATR around an EMA. Provides a second layer of volatility context, confirming or contrasting BBW readings.
• Volume (with Moving Average): Compares current volume to its moving average ± standard deviation. High volume validates strong moves; low volume signals potential lack of conviction.
By combining these tools, the indicator captures trend direction, momentum strength, price-action nuances, and overall market energy, yielding a more balanced and comprehensive assessment than any single tool alone.
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4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Multi-Dimensional Analysis: Rather than relying on a lone oscillator or moving average crossover, it simultaneously evaluates trend, momentum, price action, and activity.
• Dynamic Weighting: The relative importance of trend, momentum, and price action adjusts automatically based on real-time volatility (Market Activity State). For example, in highly volatile conditions, trend and momentum signals carry more weight; in calm markets, price action signals are prioritized.
• Stability Mechanisms:
• Smoothing: The net score is passed through a short moving average, filtering out noise, especially on lower timeframes.
• Hysteresis: Both Market Activity State and the final bullish/bearish/sideways zone require two consecutive confirmations before flipping, reducing whipsaw.
• Visual Interpretation: A fully customizable on-chart dashboard displays each sub-indicator’s value, regime, score, and comment, all color-coded. The oscillator plot changes color to reflect the current market zone (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for sideways) and shows horizontal threshold lines at +2, 0, and –2.
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5. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-Term (5 min, 15 min): Day traders and scalpers can benefit from rapid signals, but should enable smoothing (and possibly disable hysteresis) to reduce false whipsaws.
• Medium-Term (1 h, 4 h): Swing traders find a balance between responsiveness and reliability. Less smoothing is required here, and the default parameters (e.g., ADX length = 14, RSI length = 14) perform well.
• Long-Term (Daily, Weekly): Position traders tracking major trends can disable smoothing for immediate raw readings, since higher-timeframe noise is minimal. Adjust lookback lengths (e.g., increase adxLength, rsiLength) if desired for slower signals.
Tip: If you keep smoothing off, stick to timeframes of 1 h or higher to avoid excessive signal “chatter.”
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6. How Scoring Works
A. Individual Indicator Scores
Each sub-indicator is assigned one of three discrete scores:
• +1 if it indicates a bullish condition (e.g., RSI above its dynamically calculated upper bound).
• 0 if it is neutral (e.g., RSI between upper and lower bounds).
• –1 if it indicates a bearish condition (e.g., RSI below its dynamically calculated lower bound).
Examples of individual score assignments:
• ADX/DMI:
• +1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and +DI > –DI (strong bullish trend)
• –1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and –DI > +DI (strong bearish trend)
• 0 if ADX < adxThreshold (trend strength below threshold)
• RSI:
• +1 if RSI > RSI_upperBound
• –1 if RSI < RSI_lowerBound
• 0 otherwise
• ATR (as part of Market Activity):
• +1 if ATR > (ATR_MA + stdev(ATR))
• –1 if ATR < (ATR_MA – stdev(ATR))
• 0 otherwise
Each of the four main categories shares this same +1/0/–1 logic across their sub-components.
B. Category Scores
Once each sub-indicator reports +1, 0, or –1, these are summed within their categories as follows:
• Trend Score = (ADX score) + (MA slope score) + (Ichimoku differential score)
• Momentum Score = (RSI score) + (Stochastic %K score) + (MACD histogram score)
• Price Action Score = (Highest-High/Lowest-Low score) + (Heikin-Ashi doji score) + (Candle range score)
• Market Activity Raw Score = (BBW score) + (ATR score) + (KC width score) + (Volume score)
Each category’s summed value can range between –3 and +3 (for Trend, Momentum, and Price Action), and between –4 and +4 for Market Activity raw.
C. Market Activity State and Dynamic Weight Adjustments
Rather than contributing directly to the netScore like the other three categories, Market Activity determines how much weight to assign to Trend, Momentum, and Price Action:
1. Compute Market Activity Raw Score by summing BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume individual scores (each +1/0/–1).
2. Bucket into High, Medium, or Low Activity:
• High if raw Score ≥ 2 (volatile market).
• Low if raw Score ≤ –2 (calm market).
• Medium otherwise.
3. Apply Hysteresis (if enabled): The state only flips after two consecutive bars register the same high/low/medium label.
4. Set Category Weights:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use the trader’s base weight inputs (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 % by default).
D. Calculating the Net Score
5. Normalize Base Weights (so that the sum of Trend + Momentum + Price Action always equals 100 %).
6. Determine Current Weights based on the Market Activity State (High/Medium/Low).
7. Compute Each Category’s Contribution: Multiply (categoryScore) × (currentWeight).
8. Sum Contributions to get the raw netScore (a floating-point value that can exceed ±3 when scores are strong).
9. Smooth the netScore over two bars (if smoothing is enabled) to reduce noise.
10. Apply Hysteresis to the Final Zone:
• If the smoothed netScore ≥ +2, the bar is classified as “Bullish.”
• If the smoothed netScore ≤ –2, the bar is classified as “Bearish.”
• Otherwise, it is “Sideways.”
• To prevent rapid flips, the script requires two consecutive bars in the new zone before officially changing the displayed zone (if hysteresis is on).
E. Thresholds for Zone Classification
• BULLISH: netScore ≥ +2
• BEARISH: netScore ≤ –2
• SIDEWAYS: –2 < netScore < +2
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7. Role of Volatility (Market Activity State) in Scoring
Volatility acts as a dynamic switch that shifts which category carries the most influence:
1. High Activity (Volatile):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal +1.
• The script sets Trend weight = 50 % and Momentum weight = 35 %. Price Action weight is minimized at 15 %.
• Rationale: In volatile markets, strong trending moves and momentum surges dominate, so those signals are more reliable than nuanced candle patterns.
2. Low Activity (Calm):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal –1.
• The script sets Price Action weight = 55 %, Trend = 25 %, and Momentum = 20 %.
• Rationale: In quiet, sideways markets, subtle price-action signals (breakouts, doji patterns, small-range candles) are often the best early indicators of a new move.
3. Medium Activity (Balanced):
• Raw Score between –1 and +1 from the four volatility metrics.
• Uses whatever base weights the trader has specified (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
Because volatility can fluctuate rapidly, the script employs hysteresis on Market Activity State: a new High or Low state must occur on two consecutive bars before weights actually shift. This avoids constant back-and-forth weight changes and provides more stability.
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8. Scoring Example (Hypothetical Scenario)
• Symbol: Bitcoin on a 1-hour chart.
• Market Activity: Raw volatility sub-scores show BBW (+1), ATR (+1), KCW (0), Volume (+1) → Total raw Score = +3 → High Activity.
• Weights Selected: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Signals:
• ADX strong and +DI > –DI → +1
• Fast MA above Slow MA → +1
• Ichimoku Senkou A > Senkou B → +1
→ Trend Score = +3
• Momentum Signals:
• RSI above upper bound → +1
• MACD histogram positive → +1
• Stochastic %K within neutral zone → 0
→ Momentum Score = +2
• Price Action Signals:
• Highest High/Lowest Low check yields 0 (close not near extremes)
• Heikin-Ashi doji reading is neutral → 0
• Candle range slightly above upper bound but trend is strong, so → +1
→ Price Action Score = +1
• Compute Net Score (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 1 × 0.15 = 0.15
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.15 = 2.35
• Since 2.35 ≥ +2 and hysteresis is met, the final zone is “Bullish.”
Although the netScore lands at 2.35 (Bullish), smoothing might bring it slightly below 2.00 on the first bar (e.g., 1.90), in which case the script would wait for a second consecutive reading above +2 before officially classifying the zone as Bullish (if hysteresis is enabled).
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9. Correlation Between Categories
The four categories—Trend Strength, Momentum, Price Action, and Market Activity—often reinforce or offset one another. The script takes advantage of these natural correlations:
• Bullish Alignment: If ADX is strong and pointed upward, fast MA is above slow MA, and Ichimoku is positive, that usually coincides with RSI climbing above its upper bound and the MACD histogram turning positive. In such cases, both Trend and Momentum categories generate +1 or +2. Because the Market Activity State is likely High (given the accompanying volatility), Trend and Momentum weights are at their peak, so the netScore quickly crosses into Bullish territory.
• Sideways/Consolidation: During a low-volatility, sideways phase, ADX may fall below its threshold, MAs may flatten, and RSI might hover in the neutral band. However, subtle price-action signals (like a small breakout candle or a Heikin-Ashi candle with a slight bias) can still produce a +1 in the Price Action category. If Market Activity is Low, Price Action’s weight (55 %) can carry enough influence—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral—to push the netScore out of “Sideways” into a mild bullish or bearish bias.
• Opposing Signals: When Trend is bullish but Momentum turns negative (for example, price continues up but RSI rolls over), the two scores can partially cancel. Market Activity may remain Medium, in which case the netScore lingers near zero (Sideways). The trader can then wait for either a clearer momentum shift or a fresh price-action breakout before committing.
By dynamically recognizing these correlations and adjusting weights, the indicator ensures that:
• When Trend and Momentum align (and volatility supports it), the netScore leaps strongly into Bullish or Bearish.
• When Trend is neutral but Price Action shows an early move in a low-volatility environment, Price Action’s extra weight in the Low Activity State can still produce actionable signals.
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10. Market Activity State & Its Role (Detailed)
The Market Activity State is not a direct category score—it is an overarching context setter for how heavily to trust Trend, Momentum, or Price Action. Here’s how it is derived and applied:
1. Calculate Four Volatility Sub-Scores:
• BBW: Compare the current band width to its own moving average ± standard deviation. If BBW > (BBW_MA + stdev), assign +1 (high volatility); if BBW < (BBW_MA × 0.5), assign –1 (low volatility); else 0.
• ATR: Compare ATR to its moving average ± standard deviation. A spike above the upper threshold is +1; a contraction below the lower threshold is –1; otherwise 0.
• KCW: Same logic as ATR but around the KCW mean.
• Volume: Compare current volume to its volume MA ± standard deviation. Above the upper threshold is +1; below the lower threshold is –1; else 0.
2. Sum Sub-Scores → Raw Market Activity Score: Range between –4 and +4.
3. Assign Market Activity State:
• High Activity: Raw Score ≥ +2 (at least two volatility metrics are strongly spiking).
• Low Activity: Raw Score ≤ –2 (at least two metrics signal unusually low volatility or thin volume).
• Medium Activity: Raw Score is between –1 and +1 inclusive.
4. Hysteresis for Stability:
• If hysteresis is enabled, a new state only takes hold after two consecutive bars confirm the same High, Medium, or Low label.
• This prevents the Market Activity State from bouncing around when volatility is on the fence.
5. Set Category Weights Based on Activity State:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use trader’s base weights (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
6. Impact on netScore: Because category scores (–3 to +3) multiply by these weights, High Activity amplifies the effect of strong Trend and Momentum scores; Low Activity amplifies the effect of Price Action.
7. Market Context Tooltip: The dashboard includes a tooltip summarizing the current state—e.g., “High activity, trend and momentum prioritized,” “Low activity, price action prioritized,” or “Balanced market, all categories considered.”
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11. Category Weights: Base vs. Dynamic
Traders begin by specifying base weights for Trend Strength, Momentum, and Price Action that sum to 100 %. These apply only when volatility is in the Medium band. Once volatility shifts:
• High Volatility Overrides:
• Trend jumps from its base (e.g., 40 %) to 50 %.
• Momentum jumps from its base (e.g., 30 %) to 35 %.
• Price Action is reduced to 15 %.
Example: If base weights were Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %, then in High Activity they become 50/35/15. A Trend score of +3 now contributes 3 × 0.50 = +1.50 to netScore; a Momentum +2 contributes 2 × 0.35 = +0.70. In total, Trend + Momentum can easily push netScore above the +2 threshold on its own.
• Low Volatility Overrides:
• Price Action leaps from its base (30 %) to 55 %.
• Trend falls to 25 %, Momentum falls to 20 %.
Why? When markets are quiet, subtle candle breakouts, doji patterns, and small-range expansions tend to foreshadow the next swing more effectively than raw trend readings. A Price Action score of +3 in this state contributes 3 × 0.55 = +1.65, which can carry the netScore toward +2—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral or only mildly positive.
Because these weight shifts happen only after two consecutive bars confirm a High or Low state (if hysteresis is on), the indicator avoids constantly flipping its emphasis during borderline volatility phases.
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12. Dominant Category Explained
Within the dashboard, a label such as “Trend Dominant,” “Momentum Dominant,” or “Price Action Dominant” appears when one category’s absolute weighted contribution to netScore is the largest. Concretely:
• Compute each category’s weighted contribution = (raw category score) × (current weight).
• Compare the absolute values of those three contributions.
• The category with the highest absolute value is flagged as Dominant for that bar.
Why It Matters:
• Momentum Dominant: Indicates that the combined force of RSI, Stochastic, and MACD (after weighting) is pushing netScore farther than either Trend or Price Action. In practice, it means that short-term sentiment and speed of change are the primary drivers right now, so traders should watch for continued momentum signals before committing to a trade.
• Trend Dominant: Means ADX, MA slope, and Ichimoku (once weighted) outweigh the other categories. This suggests a strong directional move is in place; trend-following entries or confirming pullbacks are likely to succeed.
• Price Action Dominant: Occurs when breakout/breakdown patterns, Heikin-Ashi candle readings, and range expansions (after weighting) are the most influential. This often happens in calmer markets, where subtle shifts in candle structure can foreshadow bigger moves.
By explicitly calling out which category is carrying the most weight at any moment, the dashboard gives traders immediate insight into why the netScore is tilting toward bullish, bearish, or sideways.
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13. Oscillator Plot: How to Read It
The “Net Score” oscillator sits below the dashboard and visually displays the smoothed netScore as a line graph. Key features:
1. Value Range: In normal conditions it oscillates roughly between –3 and +3, but extreme confluences can push it outside that range.
2. Horizontal Threshold Lines:
• +2 Line (Bullish threshold)
• 0 Line (Neutral midline)
• –2 Line (Bearish threshold)
3. Zone Coloring:
• Green Background (Bullish Zone): When netScore ≥ +2.
• Red Background (Bearish Zone): When netScore ≤ –2.
• Gray Background (Sideways Zone): When –2 < netScore < +2.
4. Dynamic Line Color:
• The plotted netScore line itself is colored green in a Bullish Zone, red in a Bearish Zone, or gray in a Sideways Zone, creating an immediate visual cue.
Interpretation Tips:
• Crossing Above +2: Signals a strong enough combined trend/momentum/price-action reading to classify as Bullish. Many traders wait for a clear crossing plus a confirmation candle before entering a long position.
• Crossing Below –2: Indicates a strong Bearish signal. Traders may consider short or exit strategies.
• Rising Slope, Even Below +2: If netScore climbs steadily from neutral toward +2, it demonstrates building bullish momentum.
• Divergence: If price makes a higher high but the oscillator fails to reach a new high, it can warn of weakening momentum and a potential reversal.
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14. Comments and Their Necessity
Every sub-indicator (ADX, MA slope, Ichimoku, RSI, Stochastic, MACD, HH/LL, Heikin-Ashi, Candle Range, BBW, ATR, KCW, Volume) generates a short comment that appears in the detailed dashboard. Examples:
• “Strong bullish trend” or “Strong bearish trend” for ADX/DMI
• “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Fast MA below slow MA” for MA slope
• “RSI above dynamic threshold” or “RSI below dynamic threshold” for RSI
• “MACD histogram positive” or “MACD histogram negative” for MACD Hist
• “Price near highs” or “Price near lows” for HH/LL checks
• “Bullish Heikin Ashi” or “Bearish Heikin Ashi” for HA Doji scoring
• “Large range, trend confirmed” or “Small range, trend contradicted” for Candle Range
Additionally, the top-row comment for each category is:
• Trend: “Highly Bullish,” “Highly Bearish,” or “Neutral Trend.”
• Momentum: “Strong Momentum,” “Weak Momentum,” or “Neutral Momentum.”
• Price Action: “Bullish Action,” “Bearish Action,” or “Neutral Action.”
• Market Activity: “Volatile Market,” “Calm Market,” or “Stable Market.”
Reasons for These Comments:
• Transparency: Shows exactly how each sub-indicator contributed to its category score.
• Education: Helps traders learn why a category is labeled bullish, bearish, or neutral, building intuition over time.
• Customization: If, for example, the RSI comment says “RSI neutral” despite an impending trend shift, a trader might choose to adjust RSI length or thresholds.
In the detailed dashboard, hovering over each comment cell also reveals a tooltip with additional context (e.g., “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Senkou A above Senkou B”), helping traders understand the precise rule behind that +1, 0, or –1 assignment.
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15. Real-Life Example (Consolidated)
• Instrument & Timeframe: Bitcoin (BTCUSD), 1-hour chart.
• Current Market Activity: BBW and ATR both spike (+1 each), KCW is moderately high (+1), but volume is only neutral (0) → Raw Market Activity Score = +2 → State = High Activity (after two bars, if hysteresis is on).
• Category Weights Applied: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Sub-Scores:
1. ADX = 25 (above threshold 20) with +DI > –DI → +1.
2. Fast MA (20-period) sits above Slow MA (50-period) → +1.
3. Ichimoku: Senkou A > Senkou B → +1.
→ Trend Score = +3.
• Momentum Sub-Scores:
4. RSI = 75 (above its moving average +1 stdev) → +1.
5. MACD histogram = +0.15 → +1.
6. Stochastic %K = 50 (mid-range) → 0.
→ Momentum Score = +2.
• Price Action Sub-Scores:
7. Price is not within 1 % of the 20-period high/low and slope = positive → 0.
8. Heikin-Ashi body is slightly larger than stdev over last 5 bars with haClose > haOpen → +1.
9. Candle range is just above its dynamic upper bound but trend is already captured, so → +1.
→ Price Action Score = +2.
• Calculate netScore (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 2 × 0.15 = 0.30
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.30 = 2.50 → Immediately classified as Bullish.
• Oscillator & Dashboard Output:
• The oscillator line crosses above +2 and turns green.
• Dashboard displays:
• Trend Regime “BULLISH,” Trend Score = 3, Comment = “Highly Bullish.”
• Momentum Regime “BULLISH,” Momentum Score = 2, Comment = “Strong Momentum.”
• Price Action Regime “BULLISH,” Price Action Score = 2, Comment = “Bullish Action.”
• Market Activity State “High,” Comment = “Volatile Market.”
• Weights: Trend 50 %, Momentum 35 %, Price Action 15 %.
• Dominant Category: Trend (because 1.50 > 0.70 > 0.30).
• Overall Score: 2.50, posCount = (three +1s in Trend) + (two +1s in Momentum) + (two +1s in Price Action) = 7 bullish signals, negCount = 0.
• Final Zone = “BULLISH.”
• The trader sees that both Trend and Momentum are reinforcing each other under high volatility. They might wait one more candle for confirmation but already have strong evidence to consider a long.
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• .
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Disclaimer
This indicator is strictly a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should:
• Always backtest the “Market Zone Analyzer ” on their chosen symbols and timeframes before committing real capital.
• Combine this tool with sound risk management, position sizing, and, if possible, fundamental analysis.
• Understand that no indicator is foolproof; always be prepared for unexpected market moves.
Goodluck
-BullByte!
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Volume Point of Control with Fib Based Profile🍀Description:
This indicator is a comprehensive volume profile analysis tool designed to identify key price levels based on trading activity within user-defined timeframes. It plots the Point of Control (POC), Value Area High (VAH), and Value Area Low (VAL), along with dynamically calculated Fibonacci levels derived from the developing period's range. It offers extensive customization for both historical and developing levels.
🍀Core Features:
Volume Profiling (POC, VAH, VAL):
Calculates and plots the POC (price level with the highest volume), VAH, and VAL for a selected timeframe (e.g., Daily, Weekly).
The Value Area percentage is configurable. 70% is common on normal volume profiles, but this script allows you to configure multiple % levels via the fib levels. I recommend using 2 versions of this indicator on a chart, one has Value Area at 1 (100% - high and low of lookback) and the second is a specified VA area (i.e. 70%) like in the chart snapshot above. See examples at the bottom.
Historical Levels:
Plots POC, VAH, and VAL from previous completed periods.
Optionally displays only "Unbroken" levels – historical levels that price has not yet revisited, which can act as stronger magnets or resistance/support.
The user can manage the number of historical lines displayed to prevent chart clutter.
Developing Levels:
Shows the POC, VAH, and VAL as they form in real-time during the current, incomplete period. This provides insight into intraday/intra-period value migration.
Dynamic Fibonacci Levels:
Calculates and plots Fibonacci retracement/extension levels based dynamically on the range between the developing POC and the developing VAH/VAL.
Offers 8 configurable % levels above and below POC that can be toggled on/off.
Visual Customization:
Extensive options for colors, line styles, and widths for all plotted levels.
Optional gradient fill for the Value Area that visualizes current price distance from POC - option to invert the colors as well.
Labels for developing levels and Fibonacci levels for easy identification.
🍀Characteristics:
Volume-Driven: Levels are derived from actual trading volume, reflecting areas of high participation and price agreement/disagreement.
Timeframe Specific: The results are entirely dependent on the chosen profile timeframe.
Dynamic & Static Elements: Developing levels and Fibs update live, while historical levels remain fixed once their period closes.
Lagging (Historical) & Potentially Leading: Historical levels are based on the past, but are often respected by future price action. Developing levels show current dynamics.
🍀How to Use It:
Identifying Support & Resistance: Historical and developing POCs, VAHs, and VALs are often key areas where price may react. Unbroken levels are particularly noteworthy.
Market Context & Sentiment: Trading above the POC suggests bullish strength/acceptance of higher prices, while trading below suggests bearishness/acceptance of lower prices.
Entry/Exit Zones: Interactions with these levels (rejections, breakouts, tests) can provide potential entry or exit signals, especially when confirming with other analysis methods.
Dynamic Targets: The Fibonacci levels calculated from the developing POC-VA range offer potential intraday/intra-period price targets or areas of interest.
Understanding Value Migration: Observing the movement of the developing POC/VAH/VAL throughout the period reveals where value is currently being established.
🍀Potential Drawbacks:
Input Sensitivity: The choice of timeframe, Value Area percentage, and volume resolution heavily influences the generated levels. Experimentation is needed for optimal settings per instrument/market. (I've found that Range Charts can provide very accurate volume levels on TV since the time element is removed. This helps to refine the accuracy of price levels with high volume.)
Volume Data Dependency: Requires accurate volume data. May be less reliable on instruments with sparse or questionable volume reporting.
Chart Clutter: Enabling all features simultaneously can make the chart busy. Utilize the line management inputs and toggle features as needed.
Not a Standalone Strategy: This indicator provides context and key levels. It should be used alongside other technical analysis tools and price action reading for robust decision-making.
Developing Level Fluctuation: Developing POC/VA/Fib levels can shift considerably, especially early in a new period, before settling down as more volume accumulates and time passes.
🍀Recommendations/Examples:
I recommend have this indicator on your chart twice, one has the VA set at 1 (100%) and has the fib levels plotted. The second has the VA set to 0.7 (70%) to highlight the defined VA.
Here is an example with 3 on a chart. VA of 100%, VA of 80%, and VA of 20%
Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
Last Week's APM & Daily % Move(Corrected)Last Week's Average Price Movement + Daily Percentage Move (based on NY time)
This indicator accurately displays last week's Average Pip Movement (APM) consistently across all timeframes and tracks the true daily percentage move relative to that APM in a clear table in the top-right corner.
Key Features:
-Consistent Last Week's APM: Calculates the average pip movement from Monday to Friday of the previous trading week (based on daily wick-to-wick ranges, divided by 5). This APM value is now stable and the same across all chart timeframes.
-Accurate Live Daily % Move: Tracks the maximum percentage the price has moved (either up or down) since the 5 PM New York time daily open, compared to last week's APM. The percentage holds the maximum value reached during the day and resets at the next 5 PM NY open.
-NY Time Alignment: All time-based calculations are aligned with the New York time zone
Pip Adjustment: Automatically adjusts for JPY pairs.
⚠️ Important: For the intended display and relevance of the daily percentage move, this indicator is best used on timeframes 4-hour and under. On Daily and Weekly timeframes, the APM display will show a message indicating this.
We hope this indicator enhances your trading analysis.
Directional Strength IndexThis indicator is designed to detect the dominant market direction and quantify its strength by aggregating signals across six key timeframes: 1H, 4H, 1D, 3D, 1W, and 1M.
At its core, it uses a SMEMA 'the Simple Moving Average of an EMA' as the main trend reference. This hybrid smoothing method was chosen for its balance: the EMA ensures responsiveness to recent price moves, while the SMA dampens short-term volatility. This makes the SMEMA more stable than a raw EMA and more reactive than a simple SMA, especially in noisy or volatile environments.
For each timeframe, a score between -10 and +10 is calculated. This score reflects:
- the distance of the price from the SMEMA, using ATR as a dynamic threshold
- the number of price deviations above or below the SMEMA
- the slope of the SMEMA, which adjusts the score based on momentum
These six timeframe scores are then combined into a single Global Score, using weighted averages. Three weighting profiles are available depending on your trading horizon:
- Long Term: emphasizes weekly and monthly data
- Swing Trading: gives balanced importance to all timeframes
- Short Term: prioritizes 1H and 4H action
This multi-timeframe aggregation makes the indicator adaptable to different styles while maintaining a consistent logic.
The result is displayed in a table on the chart, showing:
- the trend direction per timeframe (up, down or neutral)
- the strength score per timeframe
- the overall trend direction and strength based on the selected profile
Optional deviation bands based on ATR multiples are also plotted to provide visual context for overextensions relative to the SMEMA.
This indicator is non-repainting and built for objective, trend-based decision making.
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment
## 1. Introduction
The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016).
The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms.
## 2. Theoretical Framework
### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration
The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009).
### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory
Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986).
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework
The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds:
Supply Indicators:
- US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP)
- US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR)
- API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR)
Inventory Indicators:
- US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC)
- Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS)
- API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC)
- API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS)
- API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS)
Demand Indicators:
- Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR)
- Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO)
- Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP)
- Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO)
Trade Indicators:
- US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI)
- US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE)
- API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI)
- Dollar Index (TVC:DXY)
Sentiment Indicators:
- Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX)
### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System
Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring:
Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators
Where validity is determined by:
- Non-null data availability
- Positive value validation
- Temporal consistency checks
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework
#### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization
The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability:
Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i
Where:
- X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t
- μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i
- σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i
Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977).
#### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation
For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999):
Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100
### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework
Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter:
S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1}
Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period.
### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization
The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ)
Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime.
### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation
The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging:
Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i)
Where:
- w_i = Normalized component weight
- Score_i = Component fundamental score
- Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor
## 4. Implementation Architecture
### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework
The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility:
Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100
High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors.
### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol
Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators.
### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring
Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal:
Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor)
This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise.
## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices
### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations
For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
- Lookback Period: 26 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods
- Confidence Period: 13 weeks
- Increase inventory and sentiment weights
For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months):
- Lookback Period: 52 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods
- Confidence Period: 26 weeks
- Balanced component weights
For Long-term Analysis (3+ months):
- Lookback Period: 104 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods
- Confidence Period: 52 weeks
- Increase supply and demand weights
### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework
Bullish Signals (Score > 70):
- Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation
- Consider long positions or reduced short exposure
- Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Bearish Signals (Score < 30):
- Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness
- Consider short positions or reduced long exposure
- Evaluate downside protection strategies
Neutral Range (30-70):
- Mixed fundamental environment
- Favor range-bound or volatility strategies
- Wait for clearer directional signals
### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations
1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution.
2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure.
3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness.
4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes.
### 5.4 Alert System Optimization
Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals:
- Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals
- Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity
- Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection
## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics
### 6.1 Statistical Validation
The model's statistical robustness is ensured through:
- Out-of-sample testing protocols
- Rolling window validation
- Bootstrap confidence intervals
- Regime-specific performance analysis
### 6.2 Economic Validation
Fundamental accuracy is validated against:
- Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports
- International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments
- Commercial inventory data verification
## 7. Limitations and Considerations
### 7.1 Model Limitations
1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources.
2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability.
3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation.
4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration.
### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations
The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals.
## References
Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill.
Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403.
Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417.
Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206.
Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069.
Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons.
Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360.
Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58.
Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
BK AK-Scope🔭 Introducing BK AK-Scope — Target Locked. Signal Acquired. 🔭
After building five precision weapons for traders, I’m proud to unveil the sixth.
BK AK-Scope — the eye of the arsenal.
This is not just an indicator. It’s an intelligence system for volatility, signal clarity, and rate-of-change dynamics — forged for elite vision in any market terrain.
🧠 Why “Scope”? And Why “AK”?
Every shooter knows: you can’t hit what you can’t see.
The Scope brings range, clarity, and target distinction. It filters motion from noise. Purpose from panic.
“AK” continues to honor the man who trained my sight — my mentor, A.K.
His discipline taught me to wait for alignment. To move with reason, not emotion.
His vision lives in every code line here.
🔬 What Is BK AK-Scope?
A Triple-Tier TSI Correlation Engine, fused with adaptive opacity logic, a volatility scoring system, and real-time signal clarity. It’s momentum dissected — by speed, depth, and rate of change.
Built to serve traders who:
Need visual hierarchy between fast, mid, and slow TSI responses.
Want adaptive fills that pulse with volatility — not static zones.
Require a volatility scoring overlay that reads the battlefield in real time.
⚙️ Core Systems: How BK AK-Scope Works
✅ Fast/Mid/Slow TSI →
Three layers of correlation: like scopes with zoom levels.
You track micro moves, mid swings, and macro flow simultaneously.
✅ Rate-of-Change Adaptive Opacity →
Momentum fills fade or flash based on speed — giving you movement density at a glance.
Bull vs. Bear zones adapt to strength. You feel the market’s pulse.
✅ Volatility Score Intelligence →
Custom algorithm measuring:
Range expansion
Rate-of-change differentials
ATR dynamics
Standard deviation pressure
All combined into a score from 0–100 with live icons:
🔥 = Extreme Heat (70+)
🧊 = Cold Zone (<30)
⚠️ = ROC Warning
• = Neutral drift
✅ Auto-Detect Volatility Modes →
Scalp = <15min
Swing = intraday/hourly
Macro = daily/weekly
Or override manually with total control.
🎯 How To Use BK AK-Scope
🔹 Trend Continuation → When all three TSI layers align in direction + volatility score climbs, ride with the trend.
🔹 Early Reversals → Opposing TSI + rapid opacity change + volatility shift = sniper reversal zone.
🔹 Consolidation Filter → Neutral fills + score < 30 = stay out, wait for signal surge.
🔹 Signal Confluence → Pair with:
• Gann fans or angles
• Fib time/price clusters
• Elliott Wave structure
• Harmonics or divergence
To isolate entry perfection.
🛡️ Why This Indicator Changes the Game
It's not just momentum. It’s TSI with depth hierarchy.
It’s not just color. It’s real-time strength visualization.
It’s not just volatility. It’s rate-weighted market intelligence.
This is market optics for the advanced trader — built for vision, clarity, and discipline.
🙏 Final Thoughts
🔹 In honor of A.K., my mentor. The man who taught me to see what others miss.
🔹 Inspired by the power of vision — because execution without clarity is chaos.
🔹 Powered by faith — because Gd alone gives sight beyond the visible.
“He gives sight to the blind and wisdom to the humble.” — Psalms 146
Every tool I build is a prayer in code — that it helps someone trade with clarity, integrity, and precision.
⚡ Zoom In. Focus Deep. Trade Clean.
BK AK-Scope — Lock on the target. See what others don’t.
🔫 Clarity is power. 🔫
Gd bless. 🙏
Volume-Enhanced Candlestick Patterns 1
Overview
Scans for four major candlestick reversal patterns:
Harami
Engulfing
Morning/Evening Star
Piercing Line/Dark Cloud Cover
Underlying logic assumes that, at a turning point, the dominant side (bulls or bears) often delivers a “final” push—either a last surge of buying or selling—before the reversal truly takes hold.
Pattern Toggles
Each individual pattern can be turned on or off in the inputs.
Enable only the patterns you want to monitor to reduce chart clutter and speed up performance.
Volume Filter Toggle
On: Requires volume-based exhaustion or climax to confirm each pattern.
Off: Relies purely on price-action candlestick logic (no volume checks).
Grouped Labels & Confluence
When one or more patterns trigger on the same bar close, a single label is drawn:
Grouping multiple confirmed patterns on one bar increases confluence and signal strength.
Climax Volume × Multiplier
Adjusting this input affects signal frequency and conviction:
Higher multiplier → fewer signals but with stronger volume confirmation
Lower multiplier → more signals, each with a looser volume requirement
Alerts
Built-in alert condition for each individual pattern (bullish/bearish Harami, Engulfing, Star, Piercing, Dark Cloud Cover), so you can receive real-time notifications whenever a confirmation occurs.
Follow for Weekly Scripts
If you find this helpful, please hit Follow and 🚀button —I release a new scripts every week.
Disclaimer
Not Financial Advice. This script is for educational and research purposes only.
Use as Part of a Larger System. It should not be used in isolation; combine it with your own risk management rules, additional indicators, and broader market analysis.
No Guarantees. Candlestick patterns and volume filters can improve signal quality, but they do not guarantee profitable trades. Always perform your own due diligence before entering any position.
Institutional Volume Footprint ProOVERVIEW
The Institutional Volume Footprint Pro is a comprehensive volume analysis indicator designed to identify institutional trading activity and significant volume patterns. Based on the proven Pocket Pivot Volume methodology by Chris Kacher and Gil Morales, this indicator has been enhanced with multiple additional volume analysis techniques to provide traders with a complete picture of smart money movements.
KEY FEATURES
1. Pocket Pivot Volume (PPV) Detection
- Identifies bullish volume patterns where current volume exceeds the highest down-day volume of the past 10 days
- Blue volume bars with "PPV" labels mark potential institutional accumulation
- Customizable lookback period (5-20 days)
2. Pivot Negative Volume (PNV) Detection
- Spots bearish volume patterns where selling volume exceeds recent up-day volumes
- Orange bars with "PNV" labels indicate potential institutional distribution
- Early warning system for trend reversals
3. Advanced Institutional Patterns
- Accumulation Detection (Aqua): High volume with narrow price range - classic stealth accumulation
- Churning/Distribution (Yellow): Heavy volume with minimal price progress - potential topping pattern
- Volume Dry-up (Purple): Extremely low volume periods that often precede significant moves
- Volume Climax (Fuchsia): Extreme volume spikes signaling potential exhaustion
4. Real-time Analytics Dashboard
- Relative Volume: Current volume compared to 10-day average
- Volume vs MA: Multiple of current volume to selected moving average
- Price Range Analysis: Narrow/Normal/Wide range classification
5. Accumulation/Distribution Trend
- Background coloring shows overall money flow direction
- Green tint: Net accumulation phase
- Red tint: Net distribution phase
HOW TO USE
Entry Signals:
- PPV (Blue): Consider long positions when price breaks above resistance with PPV confirmation
- Accumulation (Aqua): Watch for breakouts following multiple accumulation days
- Volume Dry-up (Purple): Prepare for potential explosive moves
Exit/Warning Signals:
- PNV (Orange): Consider taking profits or tightening stops
- Churning (Yellow): Distribution may be occurring despite stable prices
- Volume Climax (Fuchsia): Potential reversal point - extreme caution advised
CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
Analysis Parameters:
- PPV Lookback Period (5-20 days)
- Volume MA Length & Type (SMA/EMA/WMA)
- Relative Volume Threshold
- Climax Volume Multiplier
Visual Controls:
- Toggle Info Table display
- Enable/disable individual label types (PPV, PNV, ACC)
- Show/hide volume moving averages
- Control A/D trend background
- Customize threshold lines
BUILT-IN ALERTS
- Pocket Pivot Volume detected
- Pivot Negative Volume detected
- Institutional Accumulation pattern
- Volume Climax warning
- Volume Dry-up alert
PRO TIPS
1. Combine with Price Action: Volume confirms price - look for PPV at breakouts and PNV at breakdowns
2. Multiple Timeframes: Check daily and weekly charts for confluence
3. Relative Volume Matters: Patterns are stronger when relative volume > 1.5x
4. Watch for Divergences: Price up with decreasing volume = weakness
COLOR LEGEND
- Blue: Pocket Pivot Volume (Bullish)
- Orange: Pivot Negative Volume (Bearish)
- Aqua: Institutional Accumulation
- Yellow: Churning/Distribution
- Purple: Volume Dry-up
- Fuchsia: Volume Climax
- Green: Above-average up volume
- Red: Above-average down volume
- Gray: Below-average volume
EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND
This indicator implements concepts from:
- "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple" by Gil Morales & Chris Kacher
- William O'Neil's volume analysis principles
- Richard Wyckoff's accumulation/distribution methodology
Happy Trading! May the volume be with you!
1A Monthly P&L Table - Using Library1A Monthly P&L Table: Track Your Performance Month-by-Month
Overview:
The 1A Monthly P&L Table is a straightforward yet powerful indicator designed to give you an immediate overview of your asset's (or strategy's) percentage performance on a monthly basis. Displayed conveniently in the bottom-right corner of your chart, this tool helps you quickly assess historical gains and losses, making it easier to analyze trends in performance over time.
Key Features:
Monthly Performance at a Glance: Clearly see the percentage change for each past month.
Cumulative P&L: A running total of the displayed monthly P&L is provided, giving you a quick sum of performance over the selected period.
Customizable Display:
Months to Display: Choose how many past months you want to see in the table (from 1 to 60 months).
Text Size: Adjust the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge) to fit your viewing preferences.
Text Color: Customize the color of the text for better visibility against your chart background.
Intraday & Daily Compatibility: The table is optimized to display on daily and intraday timeframes, ensuring it's relevant for various trading styles. (Note: For very long-term analysis on weekly/monthly charts, you might consider other tools, as this focuses on granular monthly P&L.)
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the percentage change from the close of the previous month to the close of the current month. For the very first month displayed, it calculates the P&L from the opening price of the chart's first bar to the close of that month. This data is then neatly organized into a table, updated on the last bar of the day or session.
Ideal For:
Traders and investors who want a quick, visual summary of monthly performance.
Analyzing seasonal trends or consistent periods of profitability/drawdown.
Supplementing backtesting results with a clear month-by-month breakdown.
Settings:
Text Color: Changes the color of all text within the table.
Text Size: Controls the font size of the table content.
Months to Display: Determines the number of recent months included in the table.
