Pivot Highs&lows: Short/Medium/Long-term + Spikeyness FilterShows Pivot Highs & Lows defined or 'Graded' on a fractal basis: Short-term, medium-term and long-term. Also applies 'Spikeyness' condition by default to filter-out weak/rounded pivots
ES1! 4hr chart (CME) shown above, with lookback = 15; clearly identifying the major highs & lows on the basis of how they are fractally 'nested' within lesser Pivots.
-- in the above chart Short term pivot highs (STH) are simply represented by green 'ʌ', and short-term pivot lows (STL) are simply represented by orange 'v'.
//Basics: (as applying to pivot highs, the following is reversed for pivot lows)
-Short term highs (STH) are simple pivot highs, albeit refined from standard with the 'spikeyness' filter.
-Medium-term highs (MTH) are defined as having a lower STH on either side of them.
-Long-term highs (LTH) are defined as having a lower MTH on either side of them.
//Purpose:
-Education: Quick and easy visualization of the strength or importance of a pivot high or low; a way of grading them based on their larger context.
-Backtesting: use in combination with other trading methods when backtesting to see the relative significance and price sensitivity of LTHs/LTLs compared to lower grade highs and lows.
//Settings:
-Choose Pivot lookback/lookforward bars: One setting, the basis from which all further pivot calculations are done.
-Toggle on/off 'Spikeyness' condition to filter-out weak/rounded/unimpressive pivot highs or lows (default is ON).
-Toggle on/off each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL; and choose label text-styles/colors/sizes independently.
-Set text Vertically, horizonally, or simply use 'ʌ' or 'v' symbols if you want to declutter your chart.
//Usage notes:
-Pivots take time to print (lookback bars must have elapsed before confirmation). Fractally nested pivots as here (i.e. a LTH), take even longer to print/confirm, so please be patient.
-Works across timeframes & Assets. Different timeframes may require slightly tweaked lookback/forward settings for optimal use; default is 15 bars.
Example usage with just symbolic labels short-term, med-term, long-term with 1x, 2x and 3x ʌ/v respectively:
TERM
vx_termsUSAGE
--------
This script helps train your intuition for changes in the VX term structure. I recommend using it on the VIX chart, so you can compare changes in the terms to changes in VIX. It's also nice for calendar spread traders who want to get a feel for the same changes.
1. Select a day, month, and year using the inputs
2. Observe the data table.
3. Open the input again and increment or decrement the day (and month, year as necessary).
4. Click "Ok".
5. Click to deselect the indicator, which allows the chart to load new data.
6. The data table will be reloaded with the next/previous day's data.
The data table has the following columns:
- contract: the VX contracts, in sequence. refer to the CBOE for month codes (F for January, etc.)
- close: the closing price of the contract.
- ma:mb: the spread (difference) between this row and the next row.
- ma:mb chg: the spread's change from prior close.
For example, given the following values for the first two columns:
VXQ2021, 16.5, -3.1, -0.2
VXU2021, 19.6, ..., ...
The front month (Q = august) closed at 16.5, $3.1 below the s\September contract. The negative spread enlarged by $0.20 from $2.90 on the previous trading day.
BUGS, ODDITIES, AND LIMITATIONS:
-------------------------------------------
- The first column will be greyed out after expiration day, which is the 3rd Tuesday of that month. Unfortunately, I can't load the next month's contract due to some limitations with TV.
- The active date is highlighted with a yellow background. When a non-trading date is selected, the highlight will disappear. However, the data table will sometimes fill with the nearest trading date, prematurely. No worries, just know that the data is probably for the previous Friday.
- The script is clunky and slow, but this is the best I can do with TV. Hopefully they add more continuous contracts or allow true dynamic symbol loading.
SPECIAL THANKS:
---------------------
Thanks to HeWhoMustNotBeNamed for helping me get through some messiness. Very helpful guy.
www.tradingview.com
On Balance Volume - Color Packed Patch'emOBV is provided as a built-in by TradingView.
This contribution grew out of reading about trend discovery, and since the library kept on this end was lacking in a volume-centric indicator, it looked like a good time to play around.
This approach isn't all that much different than many others with the possible exception of its color scheme.
Should you decide to use the script, it might be worth your while to work with the logic of color and line, to produce alerts.
Enjoy.
Bitcoin 2-Year MA Multiplier by GodtrixHi guys, I found this tool very useful and accurate, but can't find it on Trading View, so I made one for myself and everyone here ;)
Alert is available too.
Indicator Overview
The 2-Year MA Multiplier is intended to be used as a long term investment tool.
It highlights periods where buying or selling Bitcoin during those times would have produced outsized returns.
To do this, it uses a moving average (MA) line, the 2yr MA, and also a multiplication of that moving average line, 2yr MA x5.
Note: the x5 multiplication is of the price values of the 2yr moving average, not of its time period.
Buying Bitcoin when price drops below the 2yr MA (green line) has historically generated outsized returns. Selling Bitcoin when price goes above the 2yr MA x 5 (red line) has been historically effective for taking profit.
Why This Happens
As Bitcoin is adopted, it moves through market cycles. These are created by periods where market participants are over-excited causing the price to over-extend, and periods where they are overly pessimistic where the price over-contracts. Identifying and understanding these periods can be beneficial to the long term investor.
This tool is a simple and effective way to highlight those periods.
Credit to & Created By
Philip Swift
Date Created
July 2017
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Simple way to BEAT the market [STRATEGY]This script has been created to demonstrate the effectiveness of using market regime filters in your trading strategy, and how they can improve your returns and lower your drawdowns
This strategy adds a simple filter (A historical volatility percentile filter, an implementation of which can be found on my trading profile) to a traditional buy and hold strategy of the index SPY.
Note, There are other filters that could also be added including a long-term moving average/percentile rank filter/ADX filter etc, to improve the returns further.
The filter closes our long position during periods of volatility that exceed the 95th percentile (or in the top 5% of volatile days) and buys back when the volatility is below 95% rank of the past 100 days
Have included the backtest results since 1993 which is 28 years of data at the time of writing. Comparison of traditional buy and hold with this modified strategy can be found below:
Traditional buy and hold:
Return per year: 7.95 % (ex Dividends)
Total return: 851.1 %
Max drawdown: 50.79 %
'Modified' buy and hold (this script):
Return per year: 9.92 % (ex Dividends)
Total return: 1412.2 %
Max drawdown: 31.57 %
Feel free to use some of the market filters in my trading profile to improve and refine your strategies further, or make a copy and play around with the code yourself. This is just a simple example for demo purposes.
GBP/JPY Daily time FX Strategy ATR W% BaselineThis is a preety good strategy suited for long term trading.
It has been adapted and optimized in this case for GBP/JPY 1D time frame.
Its made of Kiojun baseline, together with ATR for stop loss and size calculation and Williams % R
For the purpose of this example we simulate that we have a leverage of 100x in order to be able to buy the ammount of lots required for our stop loss to be in same page with the risk % of our capital.
For entry we have for long, ascending R in the last 2 candles and crossover of close with KIOJUN baseline. For short the same but in reverse.
We exit if we reach the TP -100 points in this example, or SL , which is based on ATR of the last x days.
If you have any questions feel free to write me in private !
Long RSIThe RSI is a technical indicator generally used with the general setting being 14 days, and often shorter.
The accepted view is that a level of 70 indicates overbought conditions, and 30 indicates oversold conditions.
A short RSI setting will give signals quite often, and they might sometimes contradict each other.
As a individual investor, perhaps with a background in fundamental analysis, the RSI might be overlooked for other fundamental metrics.
But the idea here is that longer RSI settings can be used for investing.
The problem that arises is how to know when the indicator has reached a level that is either overbought or oversold.
This script solves that by using a specific look back period (selectable, but the standard is 1 year), and plotting the highest/lowest value that the RSI has had for that time period.
The idea is that a buy signal occurs when the indicator is at a 'historic' low, and a sell signal occurs when it at its 'historic' high.
Since you generally want to buy when the indicator is at its low, and has stopped decreasing, the script comes with a function that shows you when yesterdays value reached a historic low, but todays value is higher than yesterday.
This is shown by a color change of the background to green. The same is true, but opposite, for sell signals and then the background turns red.
THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE, AND YOU SHOULD ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH
GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING
Short In Downtrend Below MA100 (Coinrule)This is a simple strategy to take advantage of downtrends. It's useful to run such a strategy as a hedge in times of market uncertainty.
The Sell Condition - Entry
The sell signal triggers when:
the coin has MA (100) greater than the price in a timeframe of 15 minutes, meaning that the coin is in a short-term downtrend.
the coin has an RSI greater than 30 in a timeframe of 15 minutes, indicating that it didn't reach oversold conditions yet, so there is still room for a further price drop.
On Coinrule, you can launch the strategy on real market conditions, setting up multiple sequential sell orders. The strategy would keep selling while the price stays below the MA(100). In that case, it's advisable to set low amounts for the sell orders. the position will grow gradually while the downtrend intensifies. Set a minimum time interval between the sell orders will also help to have control over the overall position size.
The Buy Condition - Exit
The bot connects to each trade a stop loss and a take profit. The percentages are optimized for short term trades on mid-cap coins. You can adjust the percentages depending on the specific coin you are trading. A ratio of 1:1.5 between the stop loss and the take profit could work as the strategy trades in the same direction of the trend.
Stop loss at 3% from the entry price
Take profit at 2% from the entry price
A slightly larger stop loss allows tolerating more volatility to reduce the case of stops triggering when it shouldn't.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Wilder's Volatility Trailing Stop Strategy with various MA'sFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets. This strategy is based on Wilder's Volatility System. It is an ATR trailing stop that is used for long term trends. This strategy focuses on the trailing stop alone and goes long and short only when it goes above or below the trailing line. It is similar to Donchian channels except it does not include the certain period channel breakout, only the trailing signal. This is only the trailing stop and an attempt to show how well it works standalone as Wilder described.
In his book, Wilder recommends a multiplier of 2.8-3.1 and an ATR lookback of 7 periods along with a running moving average or otherwise known as Wilder's moving average. The calculation and programming part for the trailing stop varies everywhere. I opted to keep it as simple and accurate as I could think of and interpret from the book. The variations to these types of indicators are numerous unfortunately, but Wilder seems to be the original author of ATR and this ATR-based trailing stop. In his book he says to use the significant closing price or highest/lowest closing price for the calculation part but I also included the option of choosing the highest high and lowest low, and the option to choose various moving averages in case anyone wants to experiment.
Comparing this and Donchian channels, it seems that a 2.5 multiplier is somewhat similar to the middle band of DCs and a 3.0 multiplier is somewhat similar to a double length middle band of DCs. It's hard to say which is the better trailing stop for a long term strategy. It's hard to beat the simplicity of DCs but maybe some might find a need for more inputs in a trailing stop or maybe an ATR based one like Wilder's can work better depending on what setting or strategy it's used in.
Auto Analysis Short-term Reversals ExplorationAuto Analysis Short-term Reversals Exploration
Based on a study by Larry Lovrencic
Closing Price Reversals Automatic Analysis
Hook Reversals Automatic Analysis
Island Reversals Automatic Analysis
Key Reversals Automatic Analysis
Open/Close Reversals Automatic Analysis
Pivot Point Reversals Automatic Analysis
RSI buy opportunityRSI buy opportunity is an indicator to look for the best entries on weekly charts.
It depends on each stock and the values should change to optimize the entry.
Buy when green triangle shows up.
Never buy when red signal appears.
Reliability[UO]This is an SMA based indicator. It gives a sense of long term behavior of the asset to make a reliable trade setup
How reliable is your asset to trade without gambling? Is there a reliable trend?
Is this price dip an opportunity to buy?
Is this price spike an opportunity to sell? Or would you avoid buying now and rather wait a bit for prices to fall down to a more reasonable level?
You can recognize all of those points on this indicator. The best to do is to look at the prices and patterns on the indicator to learn about those points.
Hucklekiwi Pip - HLHB Trend-Catcher SystemThe strategy was authored by Hucklekiwi Pip back in 2015 and is still being updated today. She says that the system was designed to simply catch short-term forex trends. At its heart, the system is a simple EMA crossover strategy with a couple of other indicators used for confirming entries.
Strategy Rules
See her original post here:
www.babypips.com
Be sure to check out the updates and tweaks over the years!
HOW TO USE
For full information on how to use this strategy and how to correctly set the exit time, see this post:
backtest-rookies.com
T3DMA Trend DirectionI am using T3 moving averages to generate the idea of what kind of bias I should take in a current market.
So, how does this works?
When the close is higher than T3EMA10, the trend direction is upwards,
When the close is lower than T3EMA10, the trend direction is downward.
Using this, we can assume that there is higher probability for market to continue it's trend up or down, hence trade only in that direction. T3EMA5 is used to exit any open positions before trend changes it's direction.
Have a nice day trading and enjoy.
Dumb Indicator 9 - Bitfinex Shorts X LongsThis is a way to study how the crypto market is going on Bitfinex, you can see the diference between the Long and Short terms on most popular pairs.
BadaBing IchimokuUses a combination of entry parameters to define a very strict entry criterion
Uses a simple criteria to close trades
Intended for long-term trending trades
EMA SlingShotUsing ema for close and high, provides optimal entry and exit point. Work best for 1 day period.
LONG TERM INVESTMENT TECHNICAL STRATEGY SCRIPT200 - WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGE
GREEN LINE IS 200 WEEKS MOVING AVERAGE OF CLOSE
BLUE LINE IS 200 WEEKS MOVING AVERAGE OF LOW MULTIPLIED BY 0.90
RED LINE IS 100 WEEKS MOVING AVERAGE OF CLOSE
CONDITION: GREEN LINE SHOULD BE ABOVE RED LINE AND PRICE SHOULD BE ABOVE GREEN LINE
BUY ONCE THE PRICE IS ABOVE GREEN LINE AND FULFILLS THE CONDITION.
TARGET 1 FOR TIME FRAME 1 YEAR= 2 X GREEN LINE VALUE WHEN PRICE CROSSED IT
TARGET 2 FOR TIME FRAME 3 YEARS= 3 X GREEN LINE VALUE WHEN PRICE CROSSED IT
TARGET 3 FOR TIME FRAME 5 YEARS= 5 X GREEN LINE VALUE WHEN PRICE CROSSED IT
TARGET 4 FOR TIME FRAME 10 YEARS= 10 X GREEN LINE VALUE WHEN PRICE CROSSED IT
STOP LOSS IS TRAILING TO BLUE LINE
Simple RSI-MA Algo Beats DOW By Huge Margin Over Past 100 Years!This simple RSI-MA long/short algorithm beats the Dow by a FREAKING HUGE margin over the past century (excluding dividends and trading costs).
The algorithm uses a fast SMA of the RSI as a buy/cover signal and a slow SMA of the RSI as a sell/short signal.
Backtest period = 09/17/1916 - 11/02/2015
Dow = 98 --> 17,830 = +18,094% = 5.38% CAGR
Algorithm = net profit + open P/L = +43,349% = 6.31% CAGR
Notice how the algorithm dodged both the 30s' Great Depression and the 2008 Crisis. Pretty cool huh? :)
ALGORITHM'S FORMULA (use weekly chart):
Buy/Cover = MA10(RSI10) cross> 50
Sell/Short = MA50(RSI10) cross< 50
STRATEGY TESTER'S SETTINGS:
- Initial cash = $10,000
- Pyramiding disabled
- Re-investment enabled (order size = 100% of equity )
- Trade re-calculations disabled
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
UCS_S_Steve Primo - Strategy #8Hello Fellas,
Hope you are trading fantastic and fine. Here is another setup from Steve Primo (Stocks) Setups. He claims this can be applied on any market, and you can. Primarily focused on Stocks and Futures market.
NOTE : I DID CODE THE BOTTOM INDICATOR, NOT PUBLISHING IT, ITS JUST RSI(5)
What did I change, ofcourse I don't publish what I find, There is a bit of me in the codes.....
1. Setup only shows up at meaningful levels, Stringent Filter
Myself and tradearcher will keep this upto date. As he has volenteered to help with the track record of steve primo strategies.
docs.google.com
This is more like catching a freight train after a mini pullback.
AGAIN, This is not a holy grail, but this fits my personality of trading, Buying pullbacks on stronger stocks. Because it is harder to get a UCS_momo_Oscillator to signal a setup, primarily because of the smoothing, you can use this as an alternative to catch the excitement trade.
Do not sit on it for more than T+4 days, Unless another setup triggered in your way.
Rule - Buy/Sell the candle breakout next day after the setup - in the direction it is setting up
- Close the Position @ 100% candle extension or RSI Oversold.
