APD downtrend SHORT

now everyone is looking at the price of gas, however, I assume that the cost of APD will be 242 by the beginning of January, and in March it will be below 200. If we look at the chart, starting from November 2020, APD has a downward trend. tops down, lows down. Resistance at 290, support at 240, when we break 240 there will be a very strong drop to 200, I suggest breaking 180, support at 155.
If the schedule includes not only technical analysis, but also the economic situation in the industry. In order to produce something, demand is needed, if there is none, then the price goes down.