澳元/美元看空
Return to Average on AUD/USD (Purple Line)
The AUD/USD recently made a long term higher low. That means that the downtrend failed to break previous lows. Because of this failure, I'm expecting at least a return to the 50-line (average) marked on the chart by the purple line. Recent strength in commodity currencies (NOR/CAD/AUD/NZD) provides confluence for this.
> Numerous factors suggest that commodity-currencies (NOR/CAD/AUD/NZD) will do well against the USD and EUR for the foreseeable future:
1. Oil (CL) is at multi-year lows, trading as of this writing (April 2020) at around $20. This is likely a bottom. Countries which depend on Oil cannot sustain these oil prices.
2. The ECB and Fed. Reserve are pumping in MASSIVE amounts of liquidity to stabilize the credit markets (bonds/repo/etc.). All of this is only inflation. There's no economy to speak of at this time. And suggests that these currencies will face serious devaluation.
> Numerous factors suggest that commodity-currencies (NOR/CAD/AUD/NZD) will do well against the USD and EUR for the foreseeable future:
1. Oil (CL) is at multi-year lows, trading as of this writing (April 2020) at around $20. This is likely a bottom. Countries which depend on Oil cannot sustain these oil prices.
2. The ECB and Fed. Reserve are pumping in MASSIVE amounts of liquidity to stabilize the credit markets (bonds/repo/etc.). All of this is only inflation. There's no economy to speak of at this time. And suggests that these currencies will face serious devaluation.
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