The AUD/USD exchange rate is approaching a key supply zone on the weekly chart, a region where significant long positions are concentrated. This presents a potential reversal point for the currency pair. Adding to the market's focus is the imminent release of Australia's inflation data on Wednesday. This report will be crucial in shaping expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next policy move. Market forecasts generally point towards a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in May, a decision likely driven by concerns over the potential economic fallout from recently imposed US tariffs. The upcoming inflation data will be closely scrutinized to confirm or challenge these anticipated policy adjustments. The confluence of technical analysis (the supply zone) and macroeconomic factors (the inflation report and RBA considerations) makes this a potentially pivotal week for AUD/USD.
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