AUDUSD possible short, AUD weakness.

2024年2月4日

The AUDUSD market is showing signs of weakness (in favor of the USD) after NFP news on Friday. Thursday reversal in London (as shown in the hourly chart) was a clear manipulation move taking the buy side liquidity from the Asian session. The daily is showing a bearish bias, breaching recent swing lows. We also can see that the swing lows from 11/2 and 12/7, were breached.

The trade setup is to wait for a possible retracement towards the 0.618 or 0.786 Fib levels from the measurement of the impulse in the 1H after the NFP. Ideally, this setup will form either during the London or NY session for a possible move lower and continuation of the bearish bias. Initial target would be lows of Friday or lower low after a possible run of the liquidity below Friday's lows.

This is a trade idea, for information purposes only. Trade at your own risk. If you decide to follow this idea, position yourself following your risk management plan.

2024年2月4日

註釋

Note: this idea is aligned with the short term momentum of the D. One thing to be aware of, is that the pair formed an outside candle after price tagging the old lows form the bullish structure, a zone that could act as S&R and where price could reverse. These candles usually suggest indecision or could signal a possible reversal.

2024年2月5日

註釋

The beginning of Sunday swept the lows of Friday. Measurement of FIB changed. Still, waiting for a retracement for a possible entry at the .618/0.786 FIB

2024年2月5日

註釋

Pair continued lower, no trade