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Another good Setup on AUDUSD
已更新
Hello Traders,
Last week I took a short position on the AUDUSD before the CPI data release, the stop loss was tight so it got hit But I took another short position and I'm still in.
I still like shorting the AUDUSD, and here is why:
*The Fundamentals:
- GDP Growth: (AUD 0.5% / USD: 2.7%) is higher in the US.
- Inflation: (AUD: 7.8% / USD: 6.0%) is hotter in Australia than the US.
- Unemployment: (AUD: 3.7% / USD: 3.6%)
- Interest Rates: (AUD: 3.60% / USD: 4.75%) is higher in the US which is good for the USD.
The Fundamentals numbers are in the favor of the USD.
*Sentiment:
-COT Report: shows /65.4%/ of the institutional Future open contracts are long on the USD, while /40.7%/ are long on the AUD.
This favors the USD over the AUD.
- Retail Sentiment: 56% of retail traders are long, which is not in our favor this time.
-We can see the /Risk Off/ Sentiment in the markets after some banks collapse and the high inflation in the America. /Risk Off/ assets like Gold, JPY, USD, Bitcoin is shooting higher.
Technical:
The Price is in a good and healthy downtrend with lower lows and lower highs, made a retracement to the /0.618/ fib zone which shows a good resistance. This gives a good risk to reward ratio.
This Thursday we have a VERY important news from America /Fund interest rate/ release. This news most likely to make volatility in the markets.
Trade Safe !
Last week I took a short position on the AUDUSD before the CPI data release, the stop loss was tight so it got hit But I took another short position and I'm still in.
I still like shorting the AUDUSD, and here is why:
*The Fundamentals:
- GDP Growth: (AUD 0.5% / USD: 2.7%) is higher in the US.
- Inflation: (AUD: 7.8% / USD: 6.0%) is hotter in Australia than the US.
- Unemployment: (AUD: 3.7% / USD: 3.6%)
- Interest Rates: (AUD: 3.60% / USD: 4.75%) is higher in the US which is good for the USD.
The Fundamentals numbers are in the favor of the USD.
*Sentiment:
-COT Report: shows /65.4%/ of the institutional Future open contracts are long on the USD, while /40.7%/ are long on the AUD.
This favors the USD over the AUD.
- Retail Sentiment: 56% of retail traders are long, which is not in our favor this time.
-We can see the /Risk Off/ Sentiment in the markets after some banks collapse and the high inflation in the America. /Risk Off/ assets like Gold, JPY, USD, Bitcoin is shooting higher.
Technical:
The Price is in a good and healthy downtrend with lower lows and lower highs, made a retracement to the /0.618/ fib zone which shows a good resistance. This gives a good risk to reward ratio.
This Thursday we have a VERY important news from America /Fund interest rate/ release. This news most likely to make volatility in the markets.
Trade Safe !
註釋
The price tested the resistance level few times but couldn't break it and now the trade is on green ..交易結束：達到停損點
The Dollar shows weakness after the interest rate increase of 25bps.
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