BANKNIFTY : Intraday Levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025

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📅 BANK NIFTY Trading Plan – 25th March 2025
⏰ Timeframe: 15-min | 📊 Index Spot Reference: 51,769

🚀 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (200+ points)

If BANK NIFTY opens above 51,969+ (200 points or more):

  1. [] Monitor price action near the Opening Resistance / Last Intraday Resistance Zone – 52,138. This is a crucial level where sellers might become active. [] A strong bullish candle above 52,138, sustained for 15 mins with volume, could trigger momentum towards the Profit Booking Zone around 52,693. [] However, if price shows rejection signs (doji, shooting star, or long upper wicks) at 52,138, consider shorting with SL above 52,200 on a 15-min candle close basis. [] The move towards 52,693 is likely to attract profit booking. Use this zone as a potential exit for long positions or consider building short positions only if reversal candles appear.
  2. Any failure to hold above 52,138 may lead to a retest of the support zone at 51,65951,509.

    🧠 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs directly at resistance. Wait for confirmation of breakout or signs of reversal. Option traders can use debit spreads (buy ATM CE, sell OTM CE) to limit risk.📈 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within ±200 points)

    If BANK NIFTY opens near 51,700–51,800:

    1. [] A range-bound session is possible early on. Let the first 15–30 minutes play out to gauge direction. [] Sustained price action above 51,769 can retest 52,138. Bulls must close candles above this level to expect higher targets like 52,693. [] Breakdown below 51,659 increases the chances of testing the Opening Support at 51,509. [] Reversal entries can be initiated near support levels if bullish candle patterns appear with confirmation.
    2. This zone offers both long and short opportunities based on real-time price reaction. Don’t preempt trades.

      🧠 Tip: If expecting a sideways day, option sellers may consider short strangles or iron condors with tight SL. Always manage positions with proper hedge or SL orders.📉 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (200+ points)

      If BANK NIFTY opens near or below 51,500:

      1. [] Immediate support lies near 51,509. If this breaks on strong bearish candles, expect a fall towards 51,218 and further down to 50,904. [] Aggressive sellers might enter if 51,509 is breached decisively. However, wait for confirmation rather than chasing the opening candle. [] Any recovery attempt will face resistance near 51,65951,769. Watch for rejection to re-enter shorts. [] Reversal buyers may consider 51,218 or 50,904 if bullish engulfing or hammer patterns appear. Ideal for scalping trades.
      2. Stay nimble, as gap-down days can be volatile and trap both bulls and bears.

        🧠 Tip: Avoid buying puts after large gaps – premiums are inflated. Consider bear put spreads or calendar spreads to minimize theta decay.🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
        1. [] Never allocate more than 2–5% of your capital on a single trade. [] Always trade with SL (Stop Loss) in place – do not hold losing positions hoping for recovery. [] Use spreads instead of naked options to reduce theta impact and protect against sudden reversals. [] Avoid trading 0-DTE (same day expiry) options unless you’re an experienced scalper.
        2. Review your trade post-market and journal the logic – it improves discipline and learning.

          📌 Summary & Conclusion:

          Upside Levels:
          52,138 – Crucial resistance for intraday
          52,693 – Strong profit booking zone

          Downside Levels:
          51,509 – Opening Support
          51,218 – Last intraday support
          50,904 – Breakdown danger zone

          🎯 Ideal Approach:
          → For gap-up: Wait for strength above 52,138 or reversal signs to short.
          → For flat: Follow breakout or breakdown setups near support/resistance.
          → For gap-down: Let price stabilize near supports; trade only on confirmation.

          🚨 Avoid emotional trades. Let price action confirm direction. Be flexible and adaptive based on live market structure.⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views shared above are for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decision.

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