📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔴 Resistance Levels: 48,944 | 49,151-49,234
🟢 Support Levels: 48,524 | 48,217-48,257
📝 Market Context:
Bank Nifty has shown strength near 48,600, with key resistance at 48,944. A breakout beyond this can trigger further momentum toward 49,100+. On the downside, a breakdown below 48,524 can push prices lower toward 48,217.
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (> 48,800) 🚀
If Bank Nifty opens above 48,800, it indicates bullish momentum. A breakout above 48,944 will confirm further upside.
- Buy above 48,944 🔼
🎯 Target: 49,151 – 49,234
🛑 Stop Loss: 48,800
📝 Plan: A sustained move above 48,944 signals strength. Look for volume confirmation before entering. If momentum weakens near 49,151, consider partial profit booking. - Rejection at 48,944 ❌
🔽 Sell below 48,944
🎯 Target: 48,700 – 48,600
🛑 Stop Loss: 49,000
📝 Plan: If price fails to sustain above 48,944 and forms a reversal pattern, a short opportunity arises with a risk-controlled approach.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (48,450 – 48,650) 📊
A flat opening within 48,450 – 48,650 suggests indecision. We wait for a breakout or breakdown.
- Buy above 48,650 🔼
🎯 Target: 48,944
🛑 Stop Loss: 48,500
📝 Plan: If price holds above 48,650, it can retest 48,944. Watch for price action confirmation before entering. - Sell below 48,524 🔽
🎯 Target: 48,300 – 48,217
🛑 Stop Loss: 48,600
📝 Plan: If price rejects 48,600-48,524, a downside move towards 48,217 is possible. Volume confirmation is key for safe entry.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (< 48,400) ⚠️
A gap-down below 48,400 indicates weakness. Immediate support is at 48,217 – 48,257.
- Buy near 48,217 – 48,257 🟢
🎯 Target: 48,524
🛑 Stop Loss: 48,150
📝 Plan: If price stabilizes at 48,217-48,257, it could bounce back towards 48,524. Ideal for risk-managed long positions. - Sell below 48,217 🔽
🎯 Target: 48,012 – 47,900
🛑 Stop Loss: 48,300
📝 Plan: If selling pressure increases, a breakdown below 48,217 could lead to further downside. Avoid panic selling; wait for confirmation.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🎯
✅ Time Decay Awareness: Avoid buying options too late in the session to minimize theta decay.
✅ Stop-Loss Discipline: Always set SL based on chart structure, not emotions.
✅ Position Sizing: Don’t risk more than 2% of your capital per trade.
✅ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to high-probability setups.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 📌
🔹 Bullish above 48,944 for 49,151-49,234.
🔹 Bearish below 48,217 for 48,012-47,900.
🔹 Flat open needs confirmation for direction.
🔹 Key levels to watch: 48,524 support | 48,944 resistance.
📢 Stay disciplined, trade with a plan, and manage risk wisely!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading. 📊📉📈
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