BigBear.ai _ Holdings Inc (BBAI)_ Distribution _ Summary

Asset Overview: BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (NYSE: BBAI)

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (NYSE: BBAI) has completed its Stage 1 Accumulation Phase and Stage 2 Advance Phase, with price action currently entering the Stage 3 Distribution Phase. Based on our proprietary forecasting model, the asset is expected to follow a multi-tiered distribution pattern prior to a major corrective move.

📈 Projected Distribution Levels

Level 1 Targets:

• $9.30
• $10.35
• $10.70

Level 2 Targets:

• $11.14
• $11.29
• $11.94

Level 3 Targets (Final Distribution Zone):

• $12.00
• $12.57
• $12.87

These levels represent key exhaustion zones where price is likely to peak before initiating a significant markdown phase.

🔻 Primary Downside Projection Post-Distribution

Following the completion of the distribution structure (top at approx. $12.87), a sharp corrective sequence is expected. The Primary Drop Level is forecasted at:

• $4.50

This represents a major structural retracement aligning with long-term support and cycle reset expectations.

📊 Structural Roadmap

• (A) to (C) indicates potential short-term re-accumulation within distribution.
• (C) to (D) denotes the primary markdown phase.
• (E) reflects a minor reactive rally before price stabilizes at the $4.50 level.

This outlook is designed to support risk-managed positioning for institutional and retail traders anticipating a reversal from euphoric highs into the next accumulation cycle.

Disclaimer: The following forecast is derived from a proprietary, hand-crafted mathematical model developed independently over several years. It does not rely on traditional indicators, technical patterns, or third-party frameworks such as Elliott Wave Theory.

This model calculates price action based on distribution phases, economic timing cycles, and natural market imbalances.