Brent Crude Oil (BCOUSD) – Multi-Phase Distribution Forecast

Brent Crude Oil (BCOUSD) – Multi-Phase Distribution Forecast
Trading Venue: OANDA
Currency: USD
Current Price Zone: $67.93–$67.97
Forecast Methodology: Proprietary Distribution Cycle Model

Summary:

Brent Crude Oil is currently navigating a critical structural phase as per the proprietary distribution cycle model. The chart illustrates a projected multi-wave accumulation and distribution structure, following a retest drop to $64.625. If support at this level fails, Brent could decline further to a key level of $52.693. However, if the structure holds, the model forecasts a progressive lift-off across six primary distribution levels:

Projected Distribution Levels:

Level 1: $75.024
Level 2: $78.393
Level 3: $86.569
Level 4: $88.439

Level 5 (Composite Zone):

$90.689
$91.303
$92.313
$93.091
Level 6: $96.063

Future Distribution Targets:

Should momentum and structure remain intact beyond Q1 2026, Brent Crude Oil is projected to extend to the following major distribution levels:

$104.421
$109.893
$111.323
$121.983
$137.807
$143.262

Key Risk Zone:

If no valid support forms above $64.625, the model indicates a high-probability drop toward $52.693, invalidating the upper distribution path.

Technical Note:

The model captures market cycles through internal wave structures (A–B–C and A–B–C–D–E formations), enabling precise entry and exit forecasting across distribution zones. The currently active phase suggests a recovery sequence, targeting the mid-$90s before reassessing long-term continuation toward triple-digit levels.


Disclaimer: The following forecast is derived from a proprietary, hand-crafted mathematical model developed independently over several years. It does not rely on traditional indicators, technical patterns, or third-party frameworks such as Elliott Wave Theory.

This model calculates price action based on distribution phases, economic timing cycles, and natural market imbalances.