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Two scenarios - 386000 USD or 1000 USD

Bitcoin is currently at a crossroads and is deciding whether the trend will continue or it is over. At Weekly RSI, we have a threefold divergence. On the daily chart as well. Falling volumes indicate that it is still undecided. For the bullish scenario, we need to see the breakthrough of the trend line on RSI and the high-volume green candle and the creation of a new maximum. For the bearish scenario, we need to see a breakthrough in support and the MA 50 Daily. Why $ 386,000? Because it's 261.8% of wave (a). If we create a new maximum and weekly the candle closes above 161.8% of wave (a), then it cannot be Expanded FLAT and Running FLAT is in play. Wave (c) is then created by the following correction and should be the same as wave (a). This should complete the supercycle.

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/a/aACJLGMV.png

註釋

Bitcoin broke rising wedge. Today will be extremely important for the next trend. If the week closes as red and under support there will be a bearish scenario in the game. Breaking the invalidation level can be considered a fake breakout.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/t/tMLHnKfg.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/e/etfO1dKh.png

註釋

It seems that BTC has actually completed the supercycle wave (b). If so, the next move might look like this.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/fbjBexQ0.png

註釋

Ending Diagonal structure 3-3-3-3-3
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/oBvFNFgr.png

交易進行

Bearish scenario active. s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/5/5uqJiXKe.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/jiGxAhqP.png

註釋

So far we have lower low and lower high.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/OSJAJvbc.png?fbclid=IwAR3SDpQ40UD3LVzyrkqb9HJ9lbAG086OC8utYwnxMsca6XydWfXcqTjtOH8

註釋

We see in the chart that another lower low has been created.We are now testing the MA21 weekly. This moving average has historically been the strongest support for the bull market. If they don't keep this, we are clearly in the bear market. The bearish scenario only changes the creation of a new all time high.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/R9kX0iPn.png

註釋

Note the correlation between MA21 and support on RSI. 53.54 RSI is a very important level separating bear market from bull market.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/e/EFTkL5Xe.png

註釋

Critical level
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/qXK9p3dT.png

註釋

Bear market begins
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/mB5ZSoXO.png

註釋

Wave 3 completed
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/jgElc5UI.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/fwEizsuK.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/K90xzcBg.png

註釋

It seems that the 4th wave is still forming in the form of a triangle. BTC also tested the MA 200 Daily from below.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/kdj2uIYq.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/NMJgRXZy.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/0/0NQhbjaN.png?fbclid=IwAR03h7eNTh_abXuvZ5-5kNgBYpk4QZFbJHNzTUjZASlTeOaoRmdbmTHJ5gQ

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/mgMwinU3.png

註釋

BTC broke the triangle down and confirmed the completion of the 4th wave. He is now in the fifth wave. He is now battling the Daily MA 300.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/t/T7tWS6tG.png

註釋

BTC probably completed the second sub wave from the fifth wave. Subsequently, we should see a strong fall.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/x/Xv2ye3pn.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/NOPNvaed.png

註釋

The triangle was canceled on the BTC. It became the abc correction of the fourth wave, which looks like a bear flag.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/1/1y4Zkhwc.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/Lxt1FIas.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/sr6L83ym.png?fbclid=IwAR1-DTUg0HHuPnRX3z54VOZRDplph71iJxK3GeDdtyKV8KcGY86-LV-DtmE

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/OKbrG4lQ.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/8/8nnM07do.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/B1NnEYjw.png

註釋

s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/Lj6NURB0.png