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Daily 4XSetUps - Monster Trend Reversal In The BMW Price Action

2025/02/19 - 8th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - Monster Trend Reversal In The BMW Price Action
“monster trend reversal pattern is in full swing, since mid of 2024!
where are the dangers? above what it is bullish? when bearish?”

Our German DAX came under pressure today, on Wednesday, February 19, 2025, after another record high. Finally - it was time to exhale! And/Or has the time finally come for the Dow Jones to experience another bullish wave? I don't know! But what I believe I know, I know that I believe, is that, for better or worse, inflation fears, together with statements from ECB board member Isabel Schnabel about a possible imminent end to the interest rate cutting cycle, have certainly not caused traders and/or investors to buy stocks from Europe today, let alone the $EIGHTCAP:EURUSD. The interview published today by the Financial Times can be found here: "Interview with Isabel Schnabel, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, conducted by Olaf Storbeck on 14 February 2025". And so there was finally a reason for the bears to take over the terrain in the DAX ! And how? Our leading German index ended the day with a loss of -1.80% to 22,433.63 points, meaning that the gains of the last two trading days are history again.

The EuroStoxx 50 paid tribute to his strong run on this Wednesday also. At the end of today's trading session, the Eurozone leading index lost -1.31% to 5,461.17 points. On Monday it surpassed its record, which was around a quarter of a century old, and on Tuesday it rose a little further to 5,544 points. From a chart perspective, there is still no reason to worry - analogous to our German DAX and/or the most other european stock market indices. Traders and/or investors are more likely to expect a healthy and welcome setback after the rally? Me too! The Swiss SMI lost -0.74% to 12,798.52 points in the middle of the week. The British FTSE 100 fell by -0.62% to 8,712.53 points.

“If you don’t look on yourself and think, ‘Wow how stupid I was a year ago,’ then you must not have learned much in the last year.”
Ray Dalio

€85.50 : 2024/07/31 - 1st Bearish GAP Upper Line
€84.50 : 2024/08/01 - 1st Bearish GAP Under Line
€81.84 : 2024/08/02 - 2nd Bearish GAP Upper Line
€80.80 : 2024/08/05 - 2nd Bearish GAP Under Line
€82.40 : 2025/02/18 - last price action
€77.28 : 2024/09/10 - Intraday High Sell-Off Day
€68.58 : 2024/09/10 - Intraday Low Sell-Off Day
The monster trend reversal in the price action is in full swing - even if it takes more time than I secretly and explicitly expected. But who cares? That's right - no one! What is more important is what the majority of traders and/or investors perceive, analyze, evaluate and buy or sell - even the so-called market. And in the case of the price action of the share, if I interpret it correctly, things are basically looking very good at the moment - even though we had a bearish minus of 2.29% today! Why? Because the monster trend reversal formation has been in full swing since mid-2024, i.e. the summer of last year. Because this week, traders and/or investors bought or sold shares above €82 for the first time since September 3, 2024 - including Friday of last week. Nevertheless, I don't want to and can't be bullish with euphoria - let alone scream: “buy buy buy”. But there are plenty of constructive arguments to remain bullish. Especially as long as the price action remains above €77.28. Because that was the intraday daily high price when the bears struck mercilessly with -11.15% on September 10, 2024. What had happened? As a reminder: BMW surprisingly scaled back its outlook for the full year in a press release on Tuesday, September 10, 2024, primarily due to problems with supplier parts. This year, the earnings margin before interest and taxes in the car business is only expected to be between 6% and 7%, the company announced at the time. Previously 8% to 10% was planned. said the reason was the costs of recalls and a delivery ban for many cars, but also the weak business in China. Which is why the former long BMW 4XSetUp has been discontinued. Because traders and/or investors sent the share to a multi-year low of €65.26 - which happened on Wednesday, November 13th, 2024. And now? Since then, the price action has recovered vertically in a bullish mirror image, almost at the same pace as it fell bearishly for four months. So we can assume - but don't have to - that we bulls could definitely leave €86.06 behind us by the end of March 2025. So I would write: buy buy buy, in the case of the share - without going into the price action in more detail today, here and/or now. Because as long as we bulls can keep the price action above €77.28 - i.e. the majority of traders and/or investors - there is a greater likelihood that we will continue to recover. Just €86.06 and/or even more!?

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€92.40 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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€82.40 : 2025/02/18 - last price action
€78.18 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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€66.00 : 2025/12/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron

“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.