Getting closer and closer to the bullflag targets

3 天前

Two of the biggest patterns bitcoin has broken upwards from this year are both bull flags and they both have a bullish confluence measured move breakout target of around $99,999. The first one that’s been forming the longest from we actually broke upwards from all the way back n February or March, and here is what it looks like:

it was all the way back then I knew we would eventually reach this target and it’s extremely satisfying to click play and watch price action go directly to the target. You can see the price target for that one shown at the chart on the top of this page at the top of the dotted purple line. The other big bull flag of this year we only just recently broke upwards from in October, and it has also had beautiful priceaction unfold perfectly shown here:

Clicking play on this chart also is amazing to watch it seemingly go up and hit the exact target with the dotted red line acting as a magnet. That same dotted red line can be seen on the chart image above on this current chart idea. Even though on both of those charts it looks like we have already hit the exact target, when you zoom n on the daily time frame here you can see that we came within a whisker of hitting the $99999 target but still have only gotten just below it. IN the process recently we have been consolidating in a rising wedge (as indicated by the diagonal pink trendline) and a rising channel (the ascending red trendline + the dotted red trendline). The rising wedge also can qualify as a bullish pennant and when you factor in the pink flagpole to where price has broken above the top trendline of the wedge, the measured move target for a breakout of such a pennant is around 116k. Rising wedges default mode is to break down instead of up, but in a parabolic bull phase many of them can consecutively break upwards, I do believe at the very least price action will finally reach both the dotted red and dotted purple targets. However, since that was the full target for two of the most pivotal bullish chart patterns of the year that may actually be a good time for it to make a solid correction. We also have the psychological resistance of 100k where many people would likely take profit at which could add to the liklihood of a correction in that range. Usually once price gets this close to a psychological level it tends to hit it so it would not surprise me at all if we hit 100k before the correction, there’s also a chance we could hit the little pennants 16k breakout target before the correction too but if we correct right after 100k, right after the 115-116k target zone, or just above that at the next big resistance area around 120-130k which is the top green trendline of this series of channels on the log chart:

My belief is the correction will go down to fill the gap that was created in the CME bitcoin futures chart shown here:

. I think it could likely retest that zone right around the 1day 50ma (in orange) rises up to meet that zone. My goal is to wait for a pullback back around there or back to the neckline (in yellow) of the big cup and handle we broke up from just recently, I will look for those levels as potential zones to make any additional entries into the market. The cup and handle has been by far the absolute biggest chart pattern of the entire year, however the channel of the red bullflag is also the handle of the cup and handle. Will be interesting to see how much of the above plays out how I anticipate it will. *not financial advice*

3 天前

註釋

It would’ve be bad timing for price to go down and have a correction / Black Friday discount right after hitting the 99999-100k price target because retesting the 50ma at this level would fill the CME futures gap around 78kish, and it could retest the neckline of the cup & handle simultaneously with the 1day 50ma for double reinforced bounce support acting as I good way to end the correction.