When did it become cool to be bearish?
I have remained bullish on Bitcoin (and altcoins) throughout these massive swings.
Though massive it is, we have a classic bull flag playing out (big run up, and then parallel channel travel straight, or downward)
I understand that these big swings are scary, but it's important to remain calm and look at the bigger picture.
Fundamentally, and technically, I see very little reason to be bearish on bitcoin right now.
"But Ecoinamist, CME Futures contracts expire tomorrow!"
Well, that's in about 12 hours from time of posting this. I believe we would have already started to see the dumping.
Regardless, my sentiment does not determine market sentiment.
So I have a plan for either scenario (as good traders should).
Bullish:
I really like the idea of using this resistance at the pink line to indicate bullish movement.
Breaking this resistance could mean a run back up to top of channel (~$15,000)
If this happens I will probably begin to enter some coins that have had some nice corrections already.
Alts have been trending with Bitcoin lately, rather than inversely trending. I will trade according to this.
I believe this outcome could lead to a nice little altcoin party.
Bearish:
Bearish movement to me will be indicated by breaking the pink line support.
Even then, I still think we'd bounce bottom of channel.
However, bottom of channel is below 10k, which is where people seem to freak out the most. It's actually mid 8k down there.
That would probably lead to some pretty big corrections on our favorite alts.
So a support break would cause me to start exiting my more pumped positions (not 100%)
Either scenario should play out within a couple days.
Hope this helps some of you traders! As always, feel free to ask questions and give any feedback you see fit.