This is the most important level for bitcoin. Bulls have to defend it or bear will make the winning touch down at the last minute of the super bowl.
Bitcoin went straight to this new LH. A lot of altcoins surprisingly did not follow the king as they did during the other LH. They were trapped in channels or triangles. I tought a lot about this divergence. And I found two opposite solutions.
Reload bitcoin and pump the altcoin later (my favourite and made me bullish again)
Pump bitcoin with a little bit of dollars and sustain the run shifting money from the altcoins and then take a lot of money out of the table. (altcoin = speculation, if there is a shift of money from the altcoin system to bitcoin, then there is really nothing more to speculate and crypto go to the cellar for a long period)
The problem is that we are now at a crossway. Why?
Look Verge/USD Pair:

Verge managed to come out very brilliantly from the wrong side of the triangle. Two major trendline are sustaining the fall.
More down and verge it will be without a decent support till the half of his price. 280millions of market cap - 1/2 of 280 = 1/2 of 280millions (sorry i cannot write this number).
This is money that won't flow into bitcoin, this is money that will disappear in mojitos and caipirinhas somewhere under a palm.
there are probably other example like this. All this money will disappear ... deflating bitcoin too.
IOTA:
It broke down the orange triangle and now is trying to find support on the major trendline supporting all the glorious bull run of the past and the basis of the red triangle. Normally it should speed up but I want to see more convincing up before jumping in. If it break down IOTA has a little bit more of structure than verge and it could find other supports earlier but I would not try to catch it.

There are still signs that this last downtrend is just a trap.
Ripple and EOS are holding these levels like warriors


both don't suffered from the fall of bitcoin in the last days. This means that there is still a shift of money from the bitcoin to altcoin system (bullish sign).
In conclusion:
Further downtrend of bitcoin will put the whole crypto market in a dangerous situation and probably a long/deep bearish situation.
BIO
Bitcoin went straight to this new LH. A lot of altcoins surprisingly did not follow the king as they did during the other LH. They were trapped in channels or triangles. I tought a lot about this divergence. And I found two opposite solutions.
Reload bitcoin and pump the altcoin later (my favourite and made me bullish again)
Pump bitcoin with a little bit of dollars and sustain the run shifting money from the altcoins and then take a lot of money out of the table. (altcoin = speculation, if there is a shift of money from the altcoin system to bitcoin, then there is really nothing more to speculate and crypto go to the cellar for a long period)
The problem is that we are now at a crossway. Why?
Look Verge/USD Pair:
Verge managed to come out very brilliantly from the wrong side of the triangle. Two major trendline are sustaining the fall.
More down and verge it will be without a decent support till the half of his price. 280millions of market cap - 1/2 of 280 = 1/2 of 280millions (sorry i cannot write this number).
This is money that won't flow into bitcoin, this is money that will disappear in mojitos and caipirinhas somewhere under a palm.
there are probably other example like this. All this money will disappear ... deflating bitcoin too.
IOTA:
It broke down the orange triangle and now is trying to find support on the major trendline supporting all the glorious bull run of the past and the basis of the red triangle. Normally it should speed up but I want to see more convincing up before jumping in. If it break down IOTA has a little bit more of structure than verge and it could find other supports earlier but I would not try to catch it.
There are still signs that this last downtrend is just a trap.
Ripple and EOS are holding these levels like warriors
both don't suffered from the fall of bitcoin in the last days. This means that there is still a shift of money from the bitcoin to altcoin system (bullish sign).
In conclusion:
Further downtrend of bitcoin will put the whole crypto market in a dangerous situation and probably a long/deep bearish situation.
BIO
註釋
Very significative ist this log chart of ethereum/btc
It is back to the trendline with btc. From there there is just strong up or change of direction with beginn of a bear situation against bitcoin.
I really have the impression that we are entering in a another new market phase. We have to see what happens next
註釋
ETF approval tomorrow = big green candle, rejection big red candle免責聲明
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