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Historical Resistance ?!? Will it hold ?

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Last time BTC Price closed below the trend line was on the 6th December 2011. The 200 day SMA touched it 2 times till then.
IMHO I think this time the price may go below, but the 200 day SMA will rebounce.

Any suggestions appreciate.

best regards.
註釋
looks like it's testing again. So hopefully it will hold the line.
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