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BITCOIN First time on the 1D MA200 in 5 months. Disaster ahead?

CRYPTO:BTCUSD   比特幣
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the March 10 2023 Low and closed a 1D candle below it for the first time since January 12 2023. Can this be an early warning that the worse have yet to come?

It certainly could, considering that the price also broke and closed below the Higher Low trend-line that started BTC's recovery from the Bear Cycle back in December 2022. However the (massive) decline is so far contained within the March Channel Up. As long as it stays above the Channel's bottom, we expect a short-term (at least) rebound to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 28800. Below it, we expect the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) to be tested at 24000. In addition, the 1D RSI hit the 20.45 Support level (massively oversold) that was formed on the bottom of June 18 2022.

But a weekly candle closing below the 1W MA50 could be catastrophic and reverse the long-term trend to bearish again. Do you think that's the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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