Looking at how BTC performed over the past 3 US presidential elections, I used those numbers to come up with an idea of where BTC might land at its highest point in 2025.
There are significant diminishing returns as far as percentage gain, post inauguration, since 2013. It looks like we will see an 85% gain from 2024 election day this cycle, especially with BTC price rising above its previous 2021 ATH prior to the 2024 election this year.
Previously in 2020, BTC beat its ATH right around Election Day. And the cycle before that, it didn't beat its 2013 ATH until after the 2017 inauguration date.
So that would put us at a peak of 130k/BTC around November 2025 this coming year. This is a conservative estimate based on the average rate of diminishing percentage increase. I hope it goes higher, but this seems realistic to me, and would nearly double the previous ATH.
There are significant diminishing returns as far as percentage gain, post inauguration, since 2013. It looks like we will see an 85% gain from 2024 election day this cycle, especially with BTC price rising above its previous 2021 ATH prior to the 2024 election this year.
Previously in 2020, BTC beat its ATH right around Election Day. And the cycle before that, it didn't beat its 2013 ATH until after the 2017 inauguration date.
So that would put us at a peak of 130k/BTC around November 2025 this coming year. This is a conservative estimate based on the average rate of diminishing percentage increase. I hope it goes higher, but this seems realistic to me, and would nearly double the previous ATH.
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