Bitcoin Strong Momentum Below Key Resistance

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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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• Momentum: Strong bullish momentum across higher timeframes. Generalized “Up” alignment via MTFTI, strong leverage from the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (Strong Buy on all timeframes except temporary 2H Down).
  
• Supports / Resistances: Price evolving just below major resistances (107643.9, 109952.8, 111949) and holding above key defensive zones (104940/105287.8, then 100353/100335).
  
• Volumes: Average on higher timeframes, very high/accelerating on 30min/15min (potential buying climax or local volatility spike).
  
• Multi-TF/ISPD DIV Behaviour: ISPD mostly neutral, but “Sell” warning on 30min during volume peaks (risk of quick profit-taking or fake breakout).
  

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Strategic Summary
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• Global Bias: Ultra-bullish. Momentum structure supported by technical/sectoral/on-chain convergence.
  
• Opportunity: Buy on defended pullbacks (support 104940/105287.8) or daily confirmation > 107700. Extension toward 109950–111949 upon pivot breakouts.
  
• Main Risk: Extreme volumes + ISPD Sell alerts (30min) = caution, speculative excess/whipsaw possible, quick profit-taking, lack of macro catalyst (weekend proximity).
  
• Macro Catalysts: No urgent catalysts (macro stable, low exogenous risk).
  
• Action Plan:
  1. Tactical entry on defended pullbacks or validated daily signal > 107700.
     
  2. Stop-loss below 104940 (pivot), swing validation below 100335/100353 (on-chain).
     
  3. Active management of 107600–107700 zone (potential climax/local capitulation).
     

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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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• 1D (Daily): Strong momentum, price just below pivots, no sell signal. Supports: 100300/93337.4.
  
• 12H: Similar structure, buyers in control, potential dip under 107600–109900.
  
• 6H/4H: Ongoing bullish impulse, test of the critical 107640–107644; no signs of weakness bar minor consolidation.
  
• 2H: Only TF Down, technical breakout underway, “Up” signal restoring (watch for fakeout below 107600).
  
• 1H: Strong Up momentum, breakout confirmed, next candle confirmation needed.
  
• 30min/15min: Record volumes, ISPD Sell at 30min: high “bull trap” risk. Microsctructure strongly bullish but high post-spike volatility risk.
  
• Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on all major timeframes.
  

Bullish Confluences:

• Up alignment (all majors except 2H), breakouts, confirmed sectoral momentum.
  
• Very high volumes = new trend or potential buying climax.
  

Short-term risks:

• ISPD Sell + extreme volume 30min/15min = possible local exhaustion.
  
• Critical zone: 107600–107700. Watch out for fake breakouts!
  

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Strategic Bias – Pro Summary
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• Technical: Setups remain bullish. Pivot breaks “open” the target zone up to 109950–111949. Stops below 104940 (pivot), swing validation sub 100335/100353. Switch to active management on exhaustion signals (vol spike or ISPD Sell).
  
• On-Chain: Mature distribution; upside limited without new catalyst, but 103700/104940 zone remains pivotal.
  
• Macro: No bearish macro/news catalyst short-term, technical dominance prevails.
  

Operational Summary:

• Tactical bullish stance.
  
• Favor buying dips toward 104940–105287.8.
  
• Partial profit-taking above 109950.
  
• Switch defensive on daily break 104940/104000.
  

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