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Bitcoin Mean Value Analysis Supporting Bearish Bias

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Price most of the time after an extended move retraced back to the moving average and use them as a dynamic support/resistance.
From the Bitcoin Weekly chart above, we could see how price snaps back sharply below the 200 EMA at the point where the majority are anticipating the breakout of a wedge pattern in the 2018/2019 corrective phase.

We're facing the same scenario right now, the price is trading within a Flag pattern, we will most likely to see a sell-off to the 200 EMA that lined up with 78.6% ($5500) Fibonacci of the 2019 rally. If we get this decline, wave 2 corrective structure will be considered complete and the major rally should begin.

The potential minimum target for wave 3 is 1.618x wave 1 according to Elliot Wave principle, that level is around ~$23000 area considering we get the decline.

What do you think about the Mean Value Analysis?

Thanks for reading!
Vee.

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