Bitcoin remains in a volatile consolidation range following the May FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, as expected.
🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap:
Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus.
Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish.
Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies.
Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.”
🔎 Market takeaway:
The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent.
📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook:
Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200
Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support
Current Price: Holding above 95K
Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity
🧠 Trade Implications:
Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term.
A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+.
A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds.
🔁 Plan Ahead:
✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K)
✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation
✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints
🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.
🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap:
Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus.
Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish.
Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies.
Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.”
🔎 Market takeaway:
The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent.
📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook:
Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200
Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support
Current Price: Holding above 95K
Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity
🧠 Trade Implications:
Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term.
A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+.
A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds.
🔁 Plan Ahead:
✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K)
✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation
✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints
🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.
交易進行
🛑 Market Update (Post-FOMC Reaction):Markets are turning red across the board following Powell's press conference. Despite no rate change, the Fed's refusal to commit to any near-term easing, coupled with concerns about trade policy uncertainty and inflation risks, is triggering risk-off behavior.
📉 BTC is pulling back sharply, and equities like Nasdaq are under pressure as well. This reinforces our short thesis toward 92K.
🔍 We continue to monitor BTC’s reaction near the 94K–95K zone. A clean break below could accelerate downside toward 92K and beyond.
🧠 Reminder: Macro tone is still unclear. Until Fed pivots or inflation data softens, upside for BTC may remain capped.
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