The US CPI for September released today came in at a slightly higher than expected annual rate of 2.4%, but already at the lowest level of the year, with little reaction from major investment prices.
With the various macro data out this week and the end of the Fed's many officials' speeches, the market is now 82% expecting a 25Bp rate cut on 8 November, 18% expecting no rate cut, and almost no trader already thinks there is a possibility of 50Bp.
Block trading accounted for a relatively large portion of the week, with 40% of cumulative volume coming from block trades, particularly block call option trades. Trade types and terms were more spread out, with shifting and shifting positions being the main trading drivers, as the market continues to be largely wait-and-see.
With the various macro data out this week and the end of the Fed's many officials' speeches, the market is now 82% expecting a 25Bp rate cut on 8 November, 18% expecting no rate cut, and almost no trader already thinks there is a possibility of 50Bp.
Block trading accounted for a relatively large portion of the week, with 40% of cumulative volume coming from block trades, particularly block call option trades. Trade types and terms were more spread out, with shifting and shifting positions being the main trading drivers, as the market continues to be largely wait-and-see.
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